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Performance
Year
Return
S&P/TSX Return
2007
11.20%
5.49%
9.83%
2008
8.60%
-37.00%
-35.00%
2009
58.60%
26.46%
26.03%
2010
46.20%
15.06%
14.50%
2011
14.50%
1.46%
-12.40%
2012
34.90%
13.41%
4.00%
2013
75.37%
29.08%
9.58%
2014
22.90%*
13.70%
8.61%
Returns prior to 2010 are for the Theodor Tonca Joint Account which predates the inception of Graham Theodor & Co. Ltd.
* Return includes one-time realized gains from PARG & BOBS divestitures.
Good things come to those who wait? Seldom true in my personal experience,
but patience and persistence coupled with a major purpose and a definite
plan for its achievement has taken Graham Theodor, with the acquisition
of its second operating subsidiary in just as many years to a company with
owners/shareholders in three countries on two continents(North America &
Europe), operations in two countries(two US states and one Canadian
province), nearly ten employees and close to two dozen independent
contractors.
It goes without saying that we are still very far from where we ultimately
desire to be as a company, but we are off to a good start from humble
beginnings and now sit upon a solid foundation on which to build upon. In
this respect, we will be right back at it plying our trade and seeking
another deal in 18-24 months time or possibly even sooner.
The aforementioned second owned operating subsidiary which is currently
in the midst of being re-branded as I write this. Seeing as the company
was previously doing business under its former owner's personal name
(which he is retaining;). What we received in turn is 100% of a long
established retail fuel distribution business, operating from its current
Short of the above, I can confidently say that we would never sell a
minority or majority interest in any business. A few years of under
performance won't do it (so long as management possesses the right
underlying philosophy and principles as applied to their business), short
term macro-economic conditions won't do it and share price fluctuations
(of any nature) sure as hell won't do it.
The Pargesa Holdings and Brazil Fast Food Corp. dispositions happened to
be in line with the first and third reasons outlined, respectively. In the
case of Pargesa, though still appraised by the open market far below its
net asset or break-up value of 104.20 CHF at the time of our sale back
in May of last year, the better opportunity came in the form of a
controlling stake in our most recent purchase for a price of only some
0.5x its current cash flow from operations.
Update: It seems that (for once) our timing was rather fortuitous. Since
selling off our Pargesa stake for around 80 CHF per share over multiple
ask orders, the company's adjusted net asset value has subsequently
dropped (for a multitude of reasons) to approx. 88.51 CHF per share as of
January 16, 2015 the latest figure available as this letter is compiled.
As for BFFC, our ownership was not continued for a decidedly different
reason altogether. Fellow owners will remember the company's failed
privatization attempt back in September of 2013 which was voted down by
a majority of shareholders two months later. A case of wrong way to do
the right thing.
A going private transaction to re-double management's efforts solely on
the business and its ongoing operations and do away with other obligatory
regulatory distractions associated with publicly listed companies is
always a good thing, but attempting to low-ball fellow owners in
said same transaction (as subsequent events have proved) isn't. Despite
management's deep expertise of the fast casual restaurant industry and its
very apparent operational knowledge, their underlying philosophy was
starkly at odds with our own in this matter hence our departure from
the ownership ranks.
All told, our realized gain from the Pargesa share sale netted us an above
average return of approx. 54% (or 21.6% annualized) over the two and a
half plus years of our ownership with BOBS earning an out-sized 112%,
some 22.4% weighted annually over five years time given our avg. selling
price of just over $17.30 per share.
Present Holdings
Avg. Cost
$0.24
$17.15
$16.64
$11.98
$20.55
**************
Super Ugly
Much like the December 2001 Jay-Z freestyle by the same name, some of the
following transgressions and omissions are downright nasty. Though
invaluable to look back upon nonetheless so as to glean the many benefits
they never disappoint in offering us.
**************
this section.
Below are the real reasons why I do, what I do, in my own words.
For The Love of the Game. This aforementioned game should not be
confused with picking stocks, sitting in front of a computer screen
all day watching financial instruments of dubious merit gyrate(who
would love that? or doing anything strictly quantitative in nature
(such as highly sophisticated algebra:/
The game reference should rather be interpreted as enjoying, no
loving, the process of reading, thinking, thinking some more and
hopefully learning as much as possible about a given operating
business, its underlying economics, the people who founded and operate
the concern, its particular industry and so on and so forth. This
activity can be absolutely enthralling and stimulating to no end I
can easily get lost in it for more than several hours at a time and
end up wondering afterward where the day ever went.
In short, enjoying the process far more than the proceeds (or more
than anything else for that matter) as Mr. Buffett lamented long ago,
is, was and always will be my first consideration in deciding whether
to pursue anything in life.
My Way. The lyrics to Frank Sinatra's timeless 1969 track say it much
better than I ever could:
I planned each charted course. Each careful step along the byway
And more, much more than this I did it my way. Yes there were times
I'm sure you knew When I bit off more than I could chew But through
it all when there was doubt I ate it up and spit it out, I faced it
all And I stood tall and did it my way.
The Seven Military Classics of Ancient China which pre-date the year
960 teach us that there are only two methods of attack a direct
method (called Cheng)and in-direct method (Ch'i). For example, there
are not any more than five musical notes, yet the combinations of
these five give rise to more than a billion possible melodies that can
be heard. Just the same, there are not more than five primary colors
(black, white, blue, red and yellow), yet in combination they can
produce almost an endless array of hues.
It is no different when it comes to the wicked craft of investing.
There is a direct method (got to school, hope to get hired as an
analyst, perhaps break out on one's own eventually by starting an
asset management firm, get it registered with the relevant financial
authority wherever one chooses, comply with their regulations,
mandates, etc., all the while doing the best one can under such
conditions). Then there is the in-direct method(the way I did it:/
which opens one up to nearly endless possibilities.
By simply being a business owner (holding company), the regulatory
burden is not nearly as heavy, there are far less rules to comply with
in regards to allocating capital - no mandates to uphold in terms of
Purpose & Fulfillment. Often I have asked myself and pondered why I do
what I do? Sure I genuinely enjoy it and am immensely fortunate to be
able to practice my chosen craft in a way most befitting to my
personality as mentioned above.
But do I want my life's work to amount to exercising discrepancies and
efficiencies in a marketplace? Or merely swapping pieces of paper
every now and then or being a liquidity provider (an argument I never
personally bought into. The early investment trusts of the previous
century could genuinely lay claim to such a statement, but not the
market makers of today). The answer is a definitive NO!
Right from the time I got my start, I was clear about wanting to own
businesses or significant pieces of businesses (as opposed to just
renting them) for the very long-term. Businesses which provide useful
services such as transporting and delivering goods, that help
facilitate property ownership or any number of other essential
activities that make a positive contribution to the communities which
they serve.
I fully realize (and appreciate) that others may not share such a
benevolent view and their sole interest lies in obtaining federal
reserve notes, Canadian dollars or whatever other currency may be in
fashion today. But insofar as capital accumulation and compounding is
concerned, I believe this is also the best way to achieve that end
that is to be a part of something that truly fills a need, for
someone, somewhere and to do so in a constantly more efficient manner,
providing more and better service at a lower price point.
To quote B.C. Forbes He is an unmitigated fool who imagines for a
moment that it is more important to make the money than to make it
honestly.
Best in the World. This last reason is simply meant to signify that
whatever it is that one chooses to undertake in his or her life, be it
caring for children, cleaning offices, professional athletics or
anything else, strive to be the very best one can be at it. A master
of one's craft, if one will.
I believe the natural human disposition to be unsatisfied, to want and
to boundlessly aim for ever higher peaks in one's specific area of
interest to be one of the highest and most noble earthly pursuits.
**************
Miscellaneous
This letter was compiled in part at the following awesome locations
Vancouver Public Library, Surrey Public Library, Revolver (don't drink
coffee, but I sure do love my hot chocolate;)
Sincerely,
Theodor Tonca
Chairman & CEO