To what extent has the political legitimacy of the CCP been affected by the
negative consequences of its rural policies?
Many of Chinas rural and socio-economic policies, which support rapid urbanization and industrialization that contributed to the high growth, were however, at the expense of the rural-agrarian community. As of 2005, about 40-50million farmers lost their lands to urbanization and industrialization, with little or no compensation. The policies adopted by the CCP since 1978 hav egiven rise to negative consequences such as dwindling peasant income, increasing urban-rural inequalities and resultant growing discontent. The spikes in rural protests up to 2006, create social instability that challenges the political legitimacy of the CCP. The CCP which had itself risen to power based on the twin pillar of support from the workers and peasants and on the promise of an egalitarian society, were undoubtedly aware of the political time bomb that the rural discontent would constitute. This essay seeks to argue that the political legitimacy of the CCP government is affected, but not severely threatened, by the negative consequences of its rural policies. While sporadic spikes in peasant protests due to the negative consequences of Chinas rural policies challenged in the CCPs political ideology and legitimacy, they do not threaten its leadership as they were uncoordinated and were not targeted at seeking political changes. At the same time, the CCP was able, through authoritative efficiency; to manage the delicate balance between growing the economy and managing the growing rural discontent through concerted effort at constant review and revision of the rural policies to bring about social and economic development in the rural regions. With a strong economy, the CCPs political leadership looks secure. Local misgovernance as a result of agrarian decentralization led to outright exploitative of many peasants who in turn viewed the CCP government as exploitative. Before 2006, development in the rural community was directly impacted by a two-key policies, the privatization and grain procurement policies. The early grain procurement policies suppressed grain prices, the main form of rural productivity, in order to allow cities to sustain low costs of living. This price suppression was made possible by the mandatory grain contracts between farmers and the government. The system was decentralized as each province was given the responsibility of ensuring its own food supply. Lack of proper governance and corrupt by local officials in a decentralized system resulted in high taxation of the farmers and illicit acquisition of agrarian land for urban and industrial development. According to a study by the UN Development Program, more than 50 million farmers have been displaced by such land grabs with little or no compensation. These landless peasants have been pushed to the bottom rung of Chinas poverty ladder. The land seizure and diminishing income of the remaining peasants due to high inflation which hit a high of 6.9% in 2005 resulted in mass migration of rural workers to the cities and industrial regions. There
was a statistical rise in reported public order disturbances in the
countryside, from being virtually non-existent in Maos era to more than 87000 in 2005. The CCP rose to power predicated on promises of an egalitarian society which was in the best interest of the peasant majority. Instead of delivering the communist paradise the privatization of land coupled with rural autonomy led to regressive and disproportionate taxation of the peasants, environmental degradation of agrarian land due to illicit industrial use and land seizure by local authorities without just compensation. From the ideology perspective, the rural policies and lop-sided development strategy gave rise to consequences that contradicted the Marxist/Communist egalitarian ideals. CCPs developmental strategy for China has been aimed at stimulating urban growth at the expense of rural well-being. Such has resulted in widening social and regional disparity. After three decades of procapitalist reform, rural China suffers from widening income gap between urban and rural, which in 2005 was officially 3:1. When factors such as social services, healthcare and education were taken into account, the difference was an astounding 7:1. Between 2002 to2004, there was a rise from about 54000 to 74000 reports of rural unrests. This can be traced to Chinas ascension into the WTO in 2001, when the removal of trade barriers on agricultural imports has led to cheaper grains from overseas flooding the Chinese market. The increased influx of FDI which helped spur the urban development has in turn created high inflation which further diminished the purchasing power and relative wealth of the farmers. Mass migration into the cities in search of better prospects to escape from rural poverty also created potentials of instability for the CCP regime. Peasantry migration to the cities, which provided cheap labour to fuel the labour-intensive industries in China hence attracting FDI created labour shortages in the farmland and inevitably result in an impoverished countryside. Each year, about 20million from the countryside would migrate to the coastal cities. Domestic migrants as such caused social problems for the coastal cities from Chinese policies where are understaffed to handle the sudden population increase. Subsequently, millions have become unemployed as numerous export-oriented factories are closed down due to shrinking global demands given the 2008-2009 financial downturns. Hordes of unemployed millions as such could be a major time bomb to the CCP regime. Meanwhile, diminishing food production relative to rapidly rising urban populace could adversely threaten CCPs political legitimacy. Lack of incentive and surplus capital for research and development of better farming technologies have resulted in the relatively backwardness of Chinese agricultural. Given the absence of private land ownership, amalgamation of smaller estates to form larger farms are not common in China. This resulted
in Chinese farms not having the advantage of in EOS in their production
capacity, Chinese food reserves have plunged from a guaranteed three-year supply to the current stock of less than three months. This could threaten the political standing of the CCP as traditionally; the legitimacy of a Chinese government is often based on its ability to deliver food to its people. However, on closer analysis, the bulk of the peasant protests do not appear to be politically motivated. They were mainly airing of local grievances without the kind of politically aspirations that may pose a realistic threat to the regime. The mass decentralization of rural activities, isolate and confine such public disturbances to their region and percent their spread or the formation of a unified mobilization by political adversaries. Simple pockets of peasants airing materialistic grievances of dissatisfaction over local officials cannot political changes. Local feedback mechanisms instituted by the government further divide and isolate the magnitude and focus of rural unhappiness. The fact that many brought their petitions to Beijing implied common trust in the integrity of the central government, despite misrule by the authorities. The CCP, mindful that the rural unrest as a consequence of its failed rural policies would adversely impact its political legitimacy and leadership, took steps to appease the rural protestors. The Go West and the Socialist Countryside policies implemented in 2006 were attempts to bring social, health and educational benefits to the countryside through urbanization and commercialization of the inland provinces. It is still left to be seen if these again well-intended policies would be sufficient to appease the rural majority. The 2008 Sichuan earthquake and Beijing Olympics had temporarily diverted attention from the rural discount. Despite the urban-based development, the peasants could have benefited from the economic growth, had there been a trickle-down effect. Most developing countries such as Japan, Korea and Taiwan underwent urban-based development as industrialization involves transferring rural surplus to the urban areas for industrial development. The economic wealth however failed to trickle down to the peasants due to largely poor governance in the implementation of policies and corruption at the regional level. The lack of good governance and corruption are major issues for the CCP to address in order to maintain political credibility and legitimacy. Successful economic reforms as a result of CCPs urban-based strategy have muted many strong and fierce criticisms of the governments problematic rural policies. The CCPs political legitimacy hinges on its ability to bring about sustained economic wealth and to find a balance between rapid economic growth at the expense of peasants, and peasant welfare through state subsidies, at the expense of the economy. This no doubt placed the CCP in a limbo between two very similar but apparently mutually exclusive macro-objectives. The tough authoritarian and pragmatic rural policies which
supported rapid urbanization and industrialization were seen as necessary to
fuel the competitive advantage of Chinese industry and economy. Swift economic growth also led to rapid urbanization which in turn resulted in more than half of Chinas population living in cities. The number of peasants resulted in the magnitude of rural discontent hence diminished, while on the other hand, most urban dwellers are largely grateful to and proud of their governments economic achievements. In conclusion, despite mass rural migration to the town and cities due to growing disenchantment with the rural policies, there remain a significant number in the rural community who collectively could still constitute a serious challenge to the CCPs leadership. In the meantime, general elevation of the peoples standard of living by the CCP and the partys modification of its peasant-based ideology orthodoxy, have also contributed to the relative insulation of the partys political legitimacy from the rural unrests.