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O F C H A RT S
AND MEN
Trading by the Universal Laws
of God and Nature
PAID
VERSION
REGISTERED
STUDENTS
ONLY!
SECTION CONTENTS
TRADING PIVOT REVERSALS - When the man pivots the law of momentum is on
your side.
ENTRY AND EXIT RULES - That keep your stops safe, gives you maximum profit, in
the shortest time.
RECOGNIZING SWING FAILURE -So you can exit early if wrong and reverse directions quickly.
23
24
ONE BAR REVERSALS AND COMPLEX PIVOTS -Give more players time to enter
the market to fuel the next swing.
25
FIRST HIGHER BOTTOM FIRST LOWER TOP -Signals 1st reversal in in the balance of supply and demand. Provides largest profits.
26
THE CYCLE OF SWINGS -Give you a roadmap of where the man is planning to go.
27
FIBONACCI PROJECTIONS
30
31
PREDATOR ZONES -Alert you to areas where predators lie in wait to ambush you.
35
WHY USING PHYSICAL STOP-LOSS ORDERS - Puts you in the predator zone
and makes you a target.
35
TRADING THE NEWS -How predators use news to spook the herd into panic.
37
PRE-TRADE CHECK LIST -How he system is like a robot that automatically tells you
when and where to enter and exit. Mechanical trading keeps you from emotional, panic
decisions with the herd.
43
IF YOU MUST DAY-TRADE THE FOREX MARKET -Why you should day- trade
within the context of the pivots on the daily chart.
46
KNOWING WHEN A GAP MEANS BUSINESS -How to know when a gap open
signals an explosive up-move or a shooting star about to flame out.
47
PAID VERSION
SYSTEM OVERVIEW
Where to trade, When to trade, What to trade, When to open trade, Where to place stop-loss, When to
close the position
UP TREND
SWINGS
USE PIVOT PATTERN TO DETERMINE DIRECTION
( Pivot forms top/bottom)
I. Wait for pivot to form.
1.
If price backs up and touches the range of the pivot bar before it goes up
to test the high, you will enter within the range of the pivot bar with a
stop loss order below the range of the pivot bar and your target will be
the most recent high.
b.
If price goes up and tests the high before testing the pivot, price will not
close above the high before testing the pivot bar range. So, you will
execute a short entry in the range of the pivot bar that formed, the high.
with a stop above the range of the pivot bar high. The target for your
short will be the range of the prior pivot.
If price backs up and tests the old high before continuing higher price
will continue up near the high of the highest 2 bars above the old high or
the prior bottom above the old high . So, you will enter long at the old
high with a target at the high of first 2 bars above the old high or the next
highest bottom, whichever is closer. Your stop will be the low of the pivot
bar that formed the old high.
b.
If price first continues up before testing the old high it will not continue
past the high of the next highest 2 bars above the old high or the next
bottom before testing the old high. So, you will enter a short trade at the
high of the 2 bars after the old top or bottom whichever is closer. Your
stop will be the high of the highest 2 bars above the old high.
If a prior bottom is closer you will enter short at the low of the pivot bar that formed that
bottom. Your stop will be the high of that pivot bar and your target will be the old high.
BY JERRY STEWART!
PAGE 2
PAID VERSION
This section will bring together the universal concepts we have discussed into a
profitable trading system. The system naturally incorporates the principles of
Balance, Cycles, and Sacred Geometry.
With this system you will know exactly when to enter a trade. When to exit.
Where to place your stop loss. And most importantly when to sit on the sidelines.
The formation of a pivot point tips you o to a change in the balance of supply
and demand.
A pivot point formed at a support or resistance level is telling you that the market
is about to turn in the opposite direction.
If price flips past the pivot point you should exit the trade.
You should never enter a trade until a pivot is formed on the chart for the time
frame you are analyzing.
Just as weather occurs in recognizable patterns that tip you o with high probability that it is
about to rain, market prices occur in recognizable patterns that let you know price is about to
turn. Just as with weather, sometimes the pattern will not fulfill the anticipated result but the
probability of the prediction is very high. The key to successful trading is to know early on when
you're wrong so you can get out with only a small loss.
BY JERRY STEWART!
PAGE 3
PAID VERSION
PIVOT REVERSALS
Pivot Point - The point at which resistance or support disintegrates and the stock price begins
to rise or fall past the prior resistance level. This point can be considered the optimal time to
buy as the bulls are gaining strength or to sell because the bears are gaining strength.
You cannot predict highs and lows but you can spot one after if occurs. It happens the same on
monthly, weekly, daily, and intra-day charts. Price has not turned until a pivot has formed. You
will see this pattern occur at a support or resistance level before a price reversal 9 times out of
10.
The pivot point focuses on the closing price relative to
the bar with the highest High (or lowest Low).
This is what is meant when you hear the term buy low and sell high. You can look at a historical
chart of any market and this pattern will follow through 80 to 90 % of the time. Just look at the
charts of the various markets used as illustrations throughout this book. Then get on the web
and look at charts as far back as you can go. You can go back a hundred years And see the same
thing.
BY JERRY STEWART!
PAGE 4
PAID VERSION
SYSTEM OVERVIEW
After a market forms a pivot on the daily chart, the range of the pivot bar is now
short term support/resistance and the most recent top or bottom from the pivot is
the next price target. If a pivot fails, a big move in the opposite direction will follow.
BY JERRY STEWART!
PAGE 5
PAID VERSION
Whichever scenario occurs first signals the most probable short-term price direction and distance
with a high degree of accuracy.
After a pivot is tested, price will reach a counter-trend target within 3 trading days.
After a pivot has formed, price will reach a with-trend target within 5 trading days. (INSIDE
DAYS DON'T COUNT AS A TRADING DAY).
Counter-trend target is extreme range of 2 bars preceding the pivot bar unless it runs into a prior top
or bottom first. (AND EXTENDED RANGE BAR COUNTS AS 2 BARS AND THE RANGE OF A
GAP COUNTS AS 1 BAR).
If trade is with the trend the target will be the most recent bottom or top.
Stop-loss is beyond the extreme range of the pivot bar you are trading off of.
BY JERRY STEWART!
PAGE 6
PAID VERSION
FOR THE TIME BEING WE WILL USE THE CHART BELOW AS OUR REFERENCE CHART. IT IS A CHART FROM A NEW YORK STOCK EXCHANGE
STOCK. BUT THAT DOES NOT MATTER BECAUSE ALL MARKET CHARTS
WORK THE SAME WHETHER IT IS A STOCK, INDICE, COMMODITY, FUTURES, CURRENCY, WEATHER OR ANY OTHER DATA SET THAT IS BEING
CHARTED.
BY JERRY STEWART!
PAGE 7
PAID VERSION
BY JERRY STEWART!
PAGE 8
PAID VERSION
THE STOP-LIMIT ORDER - This type of order puts your trading on automatic pilot.
This order does three things for you simultaneously. It will execute your order to enter at the
price you have specified. It will execute your stop-loss order at the price you have specified, and
execute your take profit at the price you have specified. This is all on one order ticket. This
means that you don't have to watch the market. Just take 15 minutes to look at your end of day
charts at close of each trading day.
Now that you know how to trade a reversal move it's time to look at the second type of trading
opportunity, THE CONTINUATION MOVE. A continuation occurs when price moves
through a support or resistance level and continues on to the next support or resistance level.
But, how do you know the move will continue? Many times price will go through a support or
resistance level and then reverse. Commonly know as a "Head Fake". You are about to find
out how to spot a continuation and how to profit from it.
REACTION - Look at the chart above. Look at arrow (A), It shows a breakout bar that indicates a closing price below the prior bottom set in early September. This event signals that a
possible short term down trend will follow. As you can see, in the bar highlighted by arrow (B),
before price could continue down to test the next bottom (support level), it had to pull back up
to test the previous bottom (support level) which has now changed to resistance. You will notice
that when the pullback bar (B) moved up to touch the resistance line, price immediately fell
BY JERRY STEWART!
PAGE 9
PAID VERSION
back down and closed lower than the open. If bar (B) had closed up within the resistance area it
would be a sign of a false breakout as this would have formed a pivot reversal back up.
PULLBACK - After the pullback, price will continue in the direction of the breakout until it
forms a pivot reversal, usually before it hits another support/resistance. This reversal will push
price back to test the breakout level for the second time. This second test is called a reaction.
If the reaction forms a pivot before or at the breakout level, price will continue in the direction
of the breakout with a target of the next support/resistance level.
Look at the (P) arrow. Price has closed below support a arrow (A) for a valid breakout and has
pulled back to test the breakout at arrow (B). After the pullback price fell for the next 3 bars
before forming what, at first glance, appears to be a reversal pivot and heading back up to test
the breakout area. But, before price can go all the way back up, another reversal pivot occurs
before it can get there. This is a strong signal that the downtrend has resumed, as evidenced by
the next bar which gapped down violently.
ENTRY RULES FOR A CONTINUATION TRADE - A continuation move occurs after a support or resistance level, more commonly referred to as tops and bottoms, has been broken. As illustrated by arrow (A) above. It is important to note that it is not enough for
price to merely move past a support or resistance level. Price must CLOSE past the
support/resistance level. When price pulls back to the broken resistance level and does not
close above it, this is your signal that price will continue in the direction of the break, as shown
at arrow (B). Therefore you should look for an opportunity to enter in the direction of the
break.
After the pullback price will continue in the direction of the break before the reaction reversal
pushes price back up to the broken resistance level for the second test. If a pivot reversal occurs
at or before the broken support/resistance level, this is a sign that the move will continue in the
direction of the break and you should look to enter in that direction.SEE ARROW (P).
WHEN TO ENTER - On a pullback to the broken support/resistance level or the reaction
pivot
WHERE TO PLACE STOPS - Place your stop beyond the range of the pivot bar that
formed the support/resistance level that is being tested.
HOW MUCH TO RISK - The amount to risk on a trade is determined by the distance from
the entry level to range of the pivot bar that formed the support/resistance level
If that distance is $100 and you cannot aord to lose $100 do not enter the trade.
BY JERRY STEWART!
PAGE 10
PAID VERSION
HOW TO ENTER - You should enter with a conditional (limit) order. After a support/
resistance level has been broken as evidenced by a close price beyond the level, you should enter
a standing (waiting) limit order which will automatically execute your buy or sell order when
price pulls back to the support/resistance level. No need for you to watch the computer.
OR
Enter after the reaction pivot using the reversal entry techniques
HOW TO EXIT - You should exit with a standing limit order that will automatically liquidate
your position at a loss if price goes past the high/low of the pivot bar that formed the support/
resistance level being tested. You should simultaneously have a standing limit order that will
automatically liquidate your position at a profit when price touches the next resistance level in
the direction of the break.
A short entry order should go like this: sell at 1.2200--Stop at 1.2300- Take profit at 1.2000.
Then go on about your day. If price never touches 1.2200 your order will not be filled.
OR
If you enter a trade and a pivot reversal occurs before your target is reached, but your stop has
not been hit, you should exit the trade immediately, regardless of profit or loss.
HOW TO IDENTIFY YOUR PROFIT TARGET - On a short trade your target should be
the next bottom in the direction of the break..
On a long trade your target should be the next top in the direction of the break
THE STOP-LIMIT ORDER - The name for the type of conditional order we have been
discussing.
BY JERRY STEWART!
PAGE 11
PAID VERSION
In the illustration above the market has started a down swing as evidenced by pivot point (1).
Pivot point 2 indicates a change in the balance of supply and demand and that an up swing is
now imminent. Once the up swing pivot has been established ( the close of the pivot bar is
higher than the high of the measuring bar ) you have what is called a "TRADE SETUP." Pivot
point (2) has now become the first area of support. Pivot point (1) becomes the first area of
resistance.
NOTE; THERE ARE THREE VERY, VERY IMPORTANT TERMS YOU
SHOULD REMEMBER, AND THEY ARE PRINT, TEST AND RANGE.
A PRINT IS THE PRICE A BAR CLOSES AT IN WHATEVER
TIME FRAME YOU ARE ANALYZING. DAILY PRINT, WEEKLY PRINT,
MONTHLY PRINT, INTRA-DAY PRINT ( 1 HOUR BAR, 4 HOUR BAR, 5 MINUTE BAR, TIC BAR, ETC
FOR A TEST, PRICE ONLY HAS TO TOUCH A SPECIFIED PRICE DURING
THE TIME FRAME YOU ARE ANALYZING.
A TEST WILL MOVE ANYWHERE WITHIN THE RANGE OF THE MEASURING BAR. THE RANGE OF A BAR IS THE DISTANCE BETWEEN THE HIGH
AND LOW OF THE BAR.
BY JERRY STEWART!
PAGE 12
PAID VERSION
Once the pivot point is established one of two events will happen.
1.
2.
EVENT 1
BY JERRY STEWART!
PAGE 13
PAID VERSION
A REACTION IS WHEN PRICE REVERSES DIRECTION WITHOUT FORMING A PIVOT. IT CAN BE A SINGLE BAR OR A SERIES OF BARS. A REACTION ONLY OCCURS LONG ENOUGH TO TEST THE LAST SUPPORT OR
RESISTANCE LEVEL BEFORE CONTINUING IN THE DIRECTION OF THE
SWING.
BY JERRY STEWART!
PAGE 14
PAID VERSION
EVENT 2
If event 2 occurs first, and price does not print below the low of the measuring bar,
price will usually continue up to print a new high.
BY JERRY STEWART!
PAGE 15
PAID VERSION
ADVANTAGE
You don't have to watch the market. Since the strategy is based on print (closing bar) prices and
your trade is only executed if one of your limit prices is tested, you can enter your order and go
on about your business.
In addition; You know your entry and exit points in advance. No guessing. This eliminate trading o hope, fear, and greed.
The example we have covered was for a market which was in an up-trend. In the midst of the
up-trend the market suered a down-swing against the trend and then had an up-swing reversal
in the direction of the trend. Therefore in the example there was an upward bias. While you can
be successful trading a counter-trend swing your chances of getting stopped out are greatly decreased when you enter a trade in the direction of the trend.
The trading rules are exactly the same for a market which is in a down-trend and
then occurs an up-swing against the trend. Everything is simply reversed. You will
have a short bias in a down-trend.
When you only trade with the trend you will only enter after an event 1 occurrence.
This means that you would only enter one limit order instead of two.
Now that you know how to trade swing reversals lets take a look at illustrations on how to
trade;
BY JERRY STEWART!
PAGE 16
PAID VERSION
After printing a new high the market will do one of two things;
1.Continue higher
2.Test the range of measuring bar (A) (the range of the next closest prior
swing pivot)
Whichever occurs first will determine your next move:
BY JERRY STEWART!
PAGE 17
PAID VERSION
CONTINUATION EVENT 1
As you can see above the market has printed a new high above the old high. This is what is
commonly termed a 'BREAK OUT' of the prior high. Many traders enter on breakouts and
lose money. Why? Because they are a part of the herd.
The herd enters on breakouts without waiting for a TEST of the old high!
The range of measuring bar (A) has changed from RESISTANCE to SUPPORT.
Never trust a move that has not TESTED support. If the next bar after the breakout bar
blows higher the herd feel like they are about to miss the move and rush into the trade and that
is when the trap is sprung.
The market will immediately retrace to TEST the range of measuring bar (A) until the stops
placed by the herd have been taken out. Price may even exceed the low of measuring bar (A) but
will not PRINT below that point. If price does print below the low of measuring bar (A) you
have a FAILED BREAKOUT.
BY JERRY STEWART!
PAGE 18
PAID VERSION
During the test most of the herd will either be stopped out or will bail out because they have
CHASED the move without waiting for a TEST. This is called a "SHAKEOUT." The herd
enters a move too early because of GREED and they get shook out of their soon to be profitable position because of FEAR.
That is the reason for the old saying that, MARKETS ARE RULED BY FEAR AND
GREED.
The vast majority of traders are undercapitalized so their account balance cannot withstand a
shakeout. That is why precise entry and exit points are crucial to the small market player and
that is the reason for the term "WEAK HAND." JUST AS ALL PREDATORS SINGLE
OUT THE WEAKER AND SICK ANIMALS, A MARKET OPERATES LIKE AN
ORGANISM AND PREYS UPON THE WEAK IN ORDER TO MAINTAIN THE
STRONG (properly capitalized traders).
Now, look at the test bar in the illustration above. What does it tell you? You would be right if
you said it has formed a pivot or swing reversal. This tells you that the breakout has most likely
failed and your bias should be for a short trade back down to test the range of pivot point (2).
BY JERRY STEWART!
PAGE 19
PAID VERSION
In the illustration above the market prints a new high. The next bar retraces and tests the old
high then closes above the old high. This is a positive test and confirms the breakout. The
breakout can be expected to move up to the next resistance level. The next resistance level
will be the next closest swing low or the next closest swing high whichever is closest.
This is the form in which a market moves form one support or resistance level to the
next. Just as an man walks with a specific identifiable form a market moves in the
same way.
If you see a man walking in one direction and his form begins to break down it is a
signal to any observer that a change in direction, or speed is likely. In this way you
can judge a market. If it doesn't move in the way it is supposed to move then you
have uncertainty and you should exit if you are in the market.
BY JERRY STEWART!
PAGE 20
PAID VERSION
In the illustration above we see that the market was in a downtrend and formed a pivot reversal
at point (P) 1. After the pivot the market continued to move up without testing the pivot
range. As expected the market did not go up to make a new high, instead it formed a pivot reversal (P) 2 and turned back down but this pivot was not tested either so you could assume
price will not print below support. Armed with that knowledge you could expect price to
test pivot
(P) 1 and continue upward to at least test (P) 2 which, by it's creation has formed resistance
level (1).
Now look at the third pivot (P) 3. Notice that the first bar after the pivot backed down to
test the pivot, then printed above the pivot. Since (p) 3 has experienced a positive test the
market can be expected to print a new high above resistance level (1), which it did. We now
have a breakout of resistance level (1).
After the breakout, if the market continues up without testing resistance level (1),
It will not print above resistance level (2) which is the next closest resistance level which is
(P) 4. Price may test the full range of the (P) 4 measuring bar but will not print above the
measuring bar before reversing to test resistance level (1).
BY JERRY STEWART!
PAGE 21
PAID VERSION
YOU CAN LOOK AT A CHART OF ANY MARKET IN ANY TIME FRAME, INCLUDING INTRA-DAY MOVEMENTS AND SEE THAT THIS IS HOW A MARKET MOVES. MARKETS CYCLE FROM PIVOT TO PIVOT, BOUNCING BETWEEN SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE.
BREAKOUT THEN TEST, BREAKOUT THEN TEST. THE CYCLE CONTINUES IN ONE DIRECTION UNTIL THE TREND IS REVERSED, THEN BEGINS AGAIN IN THE OPPOSITE DIRECTION.
THE METHOD OF ENTRY AND EXIT WE HAVE ALREADY COVERED.
BY JERRY STEWART!
PAGE 22
PAID VERSION
In the illustration above, the market was in the midst of a downswing and then formed a bullish
pivot reversal (pivot point (1). But the next bar after the pivot closed back inside the range
of measuring bar (1) and also forms a second bearish pivot (pivot point (2). An experienced trader would not enter long until price printed back above the high of measuring bar
(1).
However, the next bar printed (closed) below the low of measuring bar (1). This is a
failed pivot test and prices can be expected to continue down to the next support level.
It is not unusual for a market to test (touch or go below) the low of measuring bar (1), as an attempt to shake out the weak hands (the herd), but not print (close) below the low of measuring bar (1) before continuing the upswing as illustrated below.
BY JERRY STEWART!
PAGE 23
PAID VERSION
In the illustration above the market experienced a breakout of the old high. The next bar after
the breakout continued up without testing the old high, which is now considered support. But
then bars 1 and 2 turn around to test the old high.
Bar 2 has closed below the measuring bar of the old high. This is a signal that the breakout has
failed and a long entry should be avoided unless price rises back up and prints (closes) above the
high of measuring bar (A). Especially since bar 1 has created a pivot reversal, the market can
be expected to continue down to test the last pivot (measuring bar (B) ).
BY JERRY STEWART!
PAGE 24
PAID VERSION
In the illustration above you have support and resistance levels that most traders do not acknowledge but any chart analysis will bear the reality. From time to time a market will experience a bar that is 2 to 3 times the of the range of an average bar for that market. This type of
bar is called a RANGE BAR. The high and low of a range bar serves as support and
resistance. A range bar should be traded according to the entry and exit rules of any other
support/resistance level.
BY JERRY STEWART!
PAGE 25
PAID VERSION
In illustration (A) above the market is in a down-trend and then forms a bottom at point 1.
From there the market swings up counter-trend to form a top at point 2. The market then
swings back down to form a second bottom at point 3.
The pivot forming the first higher bottom is the signal that a trend reversal is in eect, at least
for the short term. This is where the most profitable trades occur because it starts the largest
swing in the cycle of swings.
Illustration (B) below shows a trend reversal for a market that is in an up-trend and reversing to
a down-trend.
BY JERRY STEWART!
PAGE 26
PAID VERSION
What is a wave?
A wave is measured from pivot to pivot. For an upswing you would measure from the low of
the measuring bar of the pivot reversal at the 1st bottom to the high of the measuring bar of the
pivot at the top for wave 1. Measure from the high of the measuring bar at the top to the low
of the measuring bar at the 2nd bottom for wave 2. The measurement for wave 3 would begin
from the low of the measuring bar at the 2nd bottom. See the illustration below.
Elliott was able to spot unique characteristics of wave patterns and make detailed market predictions based on the patterns he identified. Fractals are mathematical structures, which on an
ever-smaller scale infinitely repeat themselves. The patterns that Elliott discovered are built in
the same way. An impulsive wave, which goes with the main trend, always shows five waves in its
pattern. On a smaller scale, within each of the impulsive waves of the before-mentioned impulse, five waves can again be found. In this smaller pattern, the same pattern repeats itself ad
infinitum. These ever-smaller patterns are labeled as dierent wave degrees in the Elliott Wave
Principle. Only much later were fractals recognized by scientists. NOTE: AN IMPULSE
WAVE CAN BE CONSIDERED AS A STEP BY THE MAN ON THE CHART.
HE MUST PUSH OFF SUPPORT BY USING HIS LEG MUSCLES TO GENERATE THE IMPULSE. ONCE IMPULSE ENERGY IS GENERATED IT DOES
NOT HAVE TO CONTINUE. MOMENTUM FROM THE IMPULSE WILL
CARRY HIM A MINIMUM DISTANCE AFTER THE ENERGY THAT CREATED
THE IMPULSE IS CUT OFF.
BY JERRY STEWART!
PAGE 27
PAID VERSION
Look at the following chart made up of eight waves (five up and three down) which are labeled
1, 2, 3, 4, 5, a, b and c
You can see that the three waves in the direction of the trend are impulses, so these waves also
have five waves. The waves against the trend are corrections and are composed of three waves.
BY JERRY STEWART!
PAGE 28
PAID VERSION
BY JERRY STEWART!
PAGE 29
PAID VERSION
It is important to note that you must wait for waves 1 and 2 to form before you can project the
distance of wave 3.
Not knowing wave structure can hurt you as a trader. In illustration B above let's say that the
market is in a downtrend and you are waiting for a correction to enter. Most traders will enter
short at the reversal back down after the completion of wave 1. If you understand wave structure you know that corrections take the form of 3 waves. If you enter at wave 2 you are entering too early. You need to enter short after the completion of wave 3, at the beginning of wave
4 which will complete the correction.
It is also beneficial to note this; When the waves are in the direction of the trend, and wave 3 is
the longest wave, then waves 1 and 5 will be approximately the same length. Refer to the section of the book that explains the golden ratio.
THERE SHOULD BE NO NEED FOR US TO COVER FIBONACCI RETRACEMENTS HERE. THIS WAS COVERED IN AN EARLIER SECTION ON PROJECTED SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE.
BY JERRY STEWART!
PAGE 30
PAID VERSION
CONFIRMING INDICATORS
You will hear a lot these days about this indicator or that indicator, and many will say that in the
age of electronic trading indicators no longer work. But this is the thing. INDICATORS
DO WORK WHEN THEY ARE APPLIED TO A RELEVANT SITUATION! THE
ONLY TIME AN INDICATOR IS RELEVANT IS WHEN PRICE IS AT A SUPPORT OR RESISTANCE LEVEL.
The most accurate indicator I have ever seen is the most simple. I am speaking of the 10 and
20 period exponential moving averages. Only go long when the 10 period avg. is above the 20
period avg. or crossing up through the 20. Only go short when the 10 period avg. is below the
20 period avg. or crossing down through the 20.
BY JERRY STEWART!
PAGE 31
PAID VERSION
When the 10 is above the 20 and price prints below the 10 avg. It will at least continue down
to test the 20 avg. Or when the 10 is below the 20 and price prints above the 10 avg. it will
at least continue up to test the 20.
When the 10 is above the 20 and the 10 falls to the 20 only to bounce back up you should go
long. When the 10 is below the 20 and rises only to bounce back down you should look to
go short.
This indicator alone will keep you on the right side of the market at least 80% of the time.
These two moving avgs., when used together, create a formidable support or resistance level on
their own. But when use in conjunction with highs and lows or swing pivots the signal is
awesome. If price action has given you a long signal you should only enter if the signal is confirmed by the 10/20 avg. crossover.
The keys to the 10/20 crossover are the same as for any indicator. You must ask yourself the
following questions;
Where
Where
Where
BY JERRY STEWART!
PAGE 32
PAID VERSION
BY JERRY STEWART!
PAGE 33
PAID VERSION
THE M.A.C.D
The same thing that is said for the stochastic indicator applies to the MACD indicator with one
dierence. Pay attention to the zero line. If the MACD is above the zero line the trend is
up. As long as the MACD is below the zero line the trend is down. If the stochastic is up
and the MACD down you do not have a valid signal.
If you have 3 indicators, the 10/20, the stochastics, MACD, and price is all giving you the same
signal you have a go.
When you have all signals lined up and execute your entry and exits as we have detailed in this
book you will have a success rate approaching 90% on your trades.
BY JERRY STEWART!
PAGE 34
PAID VERSION
PREDATOR ZONES
Stop running
Just like any jungle the market jungle has it's predators. We have already discussed the nature
of the predators (operators). Market predators are ambush hunters. If the prey (you) can stay
out of the ambush zone they can survive. So, you need to know where the predators are
hiding. The predator zones.
The other key to avoiding predators is to wait until they have eaten their fill and are no longer
hungry. Have you ever seen one of those nature shows where the lions have killed their prey
and eaten their fill. After that the other prey animals do not run when they see the lions.
They have no fear at that moment.
In a market the predator zone is created when a swing pivot is formed. The predator zone is
the length of the measuring bar of the pivot. Once the pivot has been tested the predators
have eaten their fill. Before a predator picks out a specific prey they will spook the herd. By
making the herd run they can see who is weak, sick, or young (inexperienced). In market language spooking the herd is called stop-running.
Market predators know that many stops are below the low of the measuring bar in the case of
an up-swing or above the high of the measuring bar in a down-swing. Operators will manipulate price through these levels in an attempt to spook out the weak hands. In most cases they
succeed.
BY JERRY STEWART!
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You have to understand that market operators have positions in the market also. They want
the market to go up or down according to their position. If they can take your position from
you at a better price they make more money. They want as many shares as possible as cheaply
as possible. That's where you, the herd, comes in. Everybody is told by the so-called professional where to place their stops so all the stops are in the same area for easy cleanup. The operators are not smarter than you they just have a window on everyone's positions. They then
give advice and you believe they must be right because they are making money, driving expensive cars, luxurious homes. As far as I am concerned, you are smarter because most of the time
you are right but you are a victim. Take away their cheaters advantage and they are dumb.
They are that's why they have to cheat.
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BY JERRY STEWART!
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A market makes swings. They don't be related to any another other factors other than the net
long and short built up in that market. If you relate market moves to any other factor then confusion arises.
Also you need to understand that the operators are big traders and they also need to book profits, their intentions will become visible to you, and you will be able to sell when they sell and
buy when they buy and book profit along with them.
Big traders also have the limitations because they are trading through the banks
-they also have the margin requirements. They don't have unlimited money to rig
the market. simply rising or dropping levels will not give them profit - they also
need to close the open positions.
Actually the operators create the market sentiments and induce traders to commit and then
suddenly reverse as surprise to traders using some hype of data, rumor etc. All of them are short
lived as they continue to come day in and day out and provide surprise to traders. The same data
may have dierent interpretations to justify the moves...actually the moves are determined
based on the traders commitments. When traders are net long or net short, operators will
engineer a correction regardless of the news or data to the contrary.
By following the trading rules outlined in this book you will automatically trade with the operators and against the herd.
BY JERRY STEWART!
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PAID VERSION
In the illustration above we will see an explanation of a 2 to 1 risk/reward ratio, meaning the
amount you could lose if you get stopped out is only half the amount you stand to gain if your
target price is reached.
For example; If you were thinking about going long in the chart above, you would measure the
range of the measuring bar at pivot (1). We will say that the range of the bar is 100 pips.
Since this is the range in which you have placed your stop-loss, 100 pips is the amount you stand
to lose if you get stopped out.
Now, the range from the pivot breakout of the measuring bar to the low of measuring bar at
pivot (2), which is the first place you should look to take profits.
The range of that distance is 200 pips. So, 200 pips is the amount you stand to profit if you
are correct about the direction of the trade.
You don't have to trade only 2 to one risk ratio. It is up to you how much you want to risk. 2
to one is a fair standard. It is the same as saying I won't enter a trade unless I can double my
money.
BY JERRY STEWART!
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PAID VERSION
Here is why you need a broker that oers advance hedging. In the illustration above let's say
you saw that a pivot has formed at (1). After the pivot prints at the close of the pivot bar the
setup is now in place.
You will place 2 separate orders, one cancels other, meaning that when one of the orders is executed the second order is automatically canceled.
Order 1; place limit order to enter long at point (A) with a hedge below point (1).
Order 2; place limit order to enter short at point (B) with hedge above the high at the measuring
bar for the pivot at point (2).
BY JERRY STEWART!
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PAID VERSION
Since price continued up to point (B) before testing the pivot at point (A) our order will be executed short at point (B). On the short entry the range of the measuring bar is 75 pips. Now,
Since the pivot has not been tested at point (A) the target for the short trade will be 200 pips
with a stop of 75 pips. It this case you are risking 75 to make 200. Or a 2.6/1 risk reward
ratio. Even better than 2/1.
But what if, instead of placing stops you placed advanced hedging orders. A hedge means that
if price goes beyond the range at which you would have placed a stop, instead , you will enter
long. When the hedge is executed you will be short and long in the same market at the same
time. The two positions cancel each other out. Once the hedge is on you can neither lose
nor make money.
This gives you time to stay in your position until you can see if the market will print (close) beyond your stop level or if the move was a shakeout of the herd (price does not print (close) beyond the stop level.
Using advanced hedging puts you on a level playing field with the operators because you can
withstand a move against you of any magnitude. When the shakeout is over and price is heading back in your direction you can take o the hedge and still be in the trade.
BY JERRY STEWART!
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PAID VERSION
In the illustration above a pivot reversal has formed on the daily chart at (1).
The following day you wait until a pivot has formed above the daily pivot point before you enter
long. Now you are protected by two areas of support. You could place your stop below the
measuring bar of the intra-day pivot (2).
You would wait for the intra-day pivot to print above the daily pivot level and enter on a pullback of the intra-day chart to the daily pivot level.
This method could lower your stop to 30 pips or you could hedge below the intra-day pivot instead of the daily pivot.
BY JERRY STEWART!
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PRE-TRADE QUESTIONS
WHERE IS CURRENT SWING IN RELATION TO:
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
11.
12.
BY JERRY STEWART!
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this you will be trading with the operators by buying when the herd is selling and selling when
the herd is buying. Only enter after breakout of a pivot reversal, a top, or bottom. If it is a
breakout of a high or low you need to know if the breakout is in the direction of the trend or
countertrend.
8. WHERE IS CLOSEST HEAD AND SHOULDERS ?
Go back and find the most recent head and shoulders pattern on the charts for the time frame
you are analyzing. The breakout of the head and shoulders pattern will almost always begin
and end a trend. The position of the head and shoulders tells you the direction of his
imbalance. When counting waves the wave count should begin from the top of the head of
the man on the charts.
9. HOW DO THE INDICATORS CONFIRM THE SWING?
There are six simple indicators that need to confirm the direction of the breakout. After price
has printed past a support of resistance level, where is the location of the 10/20 exponential
moving average crossover, 200 period moving average, Slow Stochastics, MACD, trend lines,
and Fibonacci levels. If price prints beyond a support/resistance level and all indicators are
pointing in the same direction the breakout is valid with 90% probability.
10. WHICH WAVE OF THE MOVE IS THE CURRENT SWING?
Since only waves 3 and 5 can be projected via Fibonacci, knowing which wave you're in helps
predict likely turning points so you can be prepared to enter and exit before the herd.
11. WHERE ARE THE FIBONACCI RELATIONSHIPS?
By knowing where the current swing is in relation to the next closest bottoms and tops along
with Fibonacci levels you will know the most likely place the move will encounter the most resistance.
12. WHERE ARE THE TREND-LINES?
If a swing is pivoting o a trend-line with the trend, you know the move should continue to the
opposite trend-line.
When you can answer the previous 12 questions you will be prepared to analyze and trade any
market according to the:
BY JERRY STEWART!
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PAID VERSION
Only go long near the low set for the day and only go short near the high of the day
Handling hedging: if hedging facility is available in the platform or with the bank, then use it
instead of stoponce the position is hedged you get the time to observe the market move without losing the position.
Why wild swings happen it is man made. Mainly to trap traders either way.you need to be
defensive all the time using hedging order - limit risk
When, European Economic data release is weak then Euro drops by the data release..sensible
then during US session the US Economic data also comes as weak or less than market expectation, then Euro rises. But the real economic situation does not get improved in a few hours
from European to US session. So the data release time is used for the market to become active
and to show big swings and spikes as the interpretations and media hype on that situation induce the traders to go in their height of imagination as if the economy of that country is either
going to collapse or grow big.
So day traders need to understand the market limitations for the day and set the trades accordingly. The market makes swings, if you follow carefully in a day, in dierent pairsthe understanding can come easily - around 150 -200 pips moves are the daily potencies.
So even if you take position at the wrong side, still the loss can be to the tune of 150 pips in a
worst scenario. If the day trader decides to take sell near the high set for the day or buy near the
low set for the day, then the wrong side position will limit the loss to only 75 pips.
Never try a trade of sell after the visible drop or buy after a visible rise unless you can
read well the market potency for the next day.
There are 3 days in 24 hrs market in dierent parts of world. i.e. there are 3 sessions (active
day time) in a day - Japanese, European and US sessions. each session will be the day trading
opportunity for the respective country traders..Each session runs around 6:30 hrs as follows.
Japanese session 00:30 - 07:00 GMT, European session 07:30 - 13:00 GMT and US session 13:30
-20:30 GMT, based on their geographical positions. In between time of the sessions is called
Gap time. If you watch the market during these gap times there will be big swings.
Keep in mind that the operators make the market active during start and end of the sessions
BY JERRY STEWART!
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PAID VERSION
and the gap time. Rest of the time (with in the sessions), the moves will be mostly swings between the high and low or from low to high. Always aim to take positions when the market is
active to grab the swing trade profitsthat will reduce the waiting time to book profit. There is
no need to burn the candle and wait over night awake and stress your body and mind. fatigue
condition will lead only to distress trading. How long you trade is not greatness, how smart you
trade and earn is important.
Operators don't make one-sided moves for more than 2 sessions; they have the task of maintaining volatility of the market and earn for them.
So aim to set your convenient day trading time and only focus to do day trading without bothering about the big calls, then trading becomes easier.
Never enter between pivots to stay out of the predator zones.
Expect a bounce- never enter on first touch of a support or resistance level because, even if
price does eventually print beyond the support or resistance level, it will first bounce o like a
ball hitting a wall and may bounce beyond your ability to stay in your position.
If price gaps beyond the closest support/resistance level it is a continuation gap and a
rapid price movement in the direction of the gap can be expected.
2.
If price gaps, but is still inside the support/resistance area, it signals an exhaustion of
the current move and when price hits the next support/resistance it will bounce and
reverse.
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Now that you know how markets really work you are not only ready to
make successful trades but you are also prepared to defend yourself.
You are ready to break away from the herd and ride a symbiotic relationship with market operators.
You are ready to read a market's moves for what they are;
The manipulations of men, who are unknowingly working within the
fundamental laws of nature by accident or design.
You now understand that you are actually trading...
BY JERRY STEWART!
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