Traffic Report - LASA

IDBI Ltd
TRAFFIC ASSESSMENT REPORT

Yedeshi to Aurnagabad Section of NH-211 in the State of
Maharashtra
Four Laning of Yedeshi to Aurnagabad Section of NH-211 from Km 100.000 to Km 290.200 to
be executed as BOT (Toll) Project on DBFO Pattern under NHDP Phase-IVB in the state of
Maharashtra.
August 2014

FOUR LANING OF YEDESHI TO AURANGABAD SECTION OF NH-211
Table of Contents
1.0
Introduction .................................................................................................................................. 1-1
1.1
Project Corridor......................................................................................................................... 1-1
1.2
Project Influence Area............................................................................................................... 1-1
1.3
Scope of Study........................................................................................................................... 1-2
1.4
Report Structure ....................................................................................................................... 1-2
2.0
Traffic Assesment .......................................................................................................................... 2-1
2.1
Objectives of Traffic Surveys ..................................................................................................... 2-1
2.2
Traffic Surveys and Survey Methodology ................................................................................. 2-1
2.2.1
Classified Traffic Volume Count ........................................................................................ 2-1
2.2.2
Origin Destination Surveys ................................................................................................ 2-2
2.2.3
Turning Movement Survey................................................................................................ 2-2
Traffic Characteristics................................................................................................................ 2-3
2.3
2.3.1
Average Daily Traffic ......................................................................................................... 2-4
2.3.2
Annual Average Daily Traffic ............................................................................................. 2-5
2.3.3
Daily Variation ................................................................................................................. 2-10
2.3.4
Hourly Variation and Peak Hour Factor (PHF)................................................................. 2-11
2.3.5
Traffic Composition ......................................................................................................... 2-13
Intersection Turning Movement Traffic .................................................................................. 2-14
2.4
3.0
Travel Characteristics .................................................................................................................... 3-1
3.1
Sample Size ............................................................................................................................... 3-1
3.2
Zoning System ........................................................................................................................... 3-1
3.3
Commodity Classification.......................................................................................................... 3-2
3.4
Expansion Factors ..................................................................................................................... 3-3
3.5
Travel Desire Pattern ................................................................................................................ 3-3
3.6
Passenger Trip Characteristics .................................................................................................. 3-1
3.6.1
Trip Frequency .................................................................................................................. 3-1
3.6.2
Purpose of Trips ................................................................................................................ 3-2
3.6.3
Occupancy Analysis ........................................................................................................... 3-2
3.6.4
Lead Analysis ..................................................................................................................... 3-3
Freight Trip Characteristics ....................................................................................................... 3-3
3.7
4.0
3.7.1
Trip Frequency .................................................................................................................. 3-3
3.7.2
Commodity Analysis .......................................................................................................... 3-4
3.7.3
Load Analysis ..................................................................................................................... 3-5
3.7.4
Lead Analysis ..................................................................................................................... 3-6
Surrounding Road Network & Development ................................................................................ 4-1
August 2014

Network Appreciation ............................................................................................................... 4-1
4.1
4.1.1
Local Alternative Routes ................................................................................................... 4-1
4.1.2
Regional Alternative Routes.............................................................................................. 4-1
Developments in Project Influence Area .................................................................................. 4-2
4.2
Economic Growth Outlook ................................................................................................ 4-4
4.2.1
5.0
Analysis of Traffic Growth Potential ............................................................................................. 5-1
5.1
General ...................................................................................................................................... 5-1
5.2
Methodology............................................................................................................................. 5-1
5.3
Elasticity of Traffic Growth in Relation to Economic Growth ................................................... 5-1
5.3.1
Traffic Projection Trip Ends Method .............................................................................. 5-1
5.3.2
Transport Demand Elasticities .......................................................................................... 5-2
5.3.3
Economic Perspective ....................................................................................................... 5-5
5.3.4
Projected Traffic Growth Rates ......................................................................................... 5-5
Traffic Forecast.......................................................................................................................... 5-6
5.4
6.0
Toll Revenue Estimation ............................................................................................................... 6-1
6.1
Toll Policy .................................................................................................................................. 6-1
6.2
Toll Rates and Vehicle Categories ............................................................................................. 6-1
6.2.1
Non Tollable Vehicles ........................................................................................................ 6-1
6.2.2
Exempted Vehicles ............................................................................................................ 6-1
Revision in Toll Rates ................................................................................................................ 6-1
6.3
6.3.1
Inflation Rate..................................................................................................................... 6-2
6.4
Toll Plaza Location and Tollable Length .................................................................................... 6-2
6.5
Segmentation of Tollable Traffic ............................................................................................... 6-2
6.5.1
One Way Traffic ................................................................................................................ 6-3
6.5.2
Return Trip ........................................................................................................................ 6-3
6.5.3
Monthly Pass ..................................................................................................................... 6-3
6.5.4
Local Traffic ....................................................................................................................... 6-3
6.5.5
Estimated Segmentation ................................................................................................... 6-3
6.6
Estimation of Toll Fee and Discounts ........................................................................................ 6-4
6.7
Estimation of Revenue .............................................................................................................. 6-4
August 2014
ii

List of Tables
Table 2-1: Vehicle Classification System ................................................................................................... 2-1
Table 2-2: Recommended PCUs as per IRC: 64-1990 .............................................................................. 2-3
Table 2-3: ADT at Proposed Toll Plazas Locations on NH-211 .................................................................. 2-4
Table 2-4: Seasonal Variations in Fuel Sales ............................................................................................. 2-5
Table 2-5: AADT at Proposed Toll Plazas Locations on NH-211 ................................................................ 2-6
Table 2-6: Summary of Classified Traffic Volume Count at Km 134+000, NH-211 ................................... 2-7
Table 2-9: Peak Hour Traffic.................................................................................................................... 2-11
Table 2-10: Peak Hour Traffic at Intersection ......................................................................................... 2-14
Table 3-1: O-D Survey Sample Size ........................................................................................................... 3-1
Table 3-2: Traffic Zones for O-D Analysis .................................................................................................. 3-2
Table 3-3: Classification of Commodities .................................................................................................. 3-3
Table 3-4: Project Influence Area.............................................................................................................. 3-1
Table 3-5: Average Passenger Trip Frequency Distribution (%) on Main Toll Plazas................................ 3-2
Table 3-6: Distribution of Trips by Purpose (%) ........................................................................................ 3-2
Table 3-7: Average Occupancy.................................................................................................................. 3-2
Table 3-9: Average Freight Trip Frequency Distribution (%) on Toll Plaza Locations ............................... 3-4
Table 3-10: Commodity Wise Goods Movement Pattern (%) .................................................................. 3-5
Table 3-11: Load Distribution (%) ............................................................................................................. 3-6
Table 3-12: Average Load.......................................................................................................................... 3-6
Table 4-2: GDP of India and NSDP of Maharashtra and some other States ............................................. 4-5
Table 5-1: Mode Wise PIA Percentage Share for Project Corridor ........................................................... 5-2
Table 5-2: Vehicle Registration Data for Maharashtra State .................................................................... 5-3
Table 5-3: Zonal Transport Demand Elasticity using Vehicle Registration Data ....................................... 5-4
Table 5-4: Projected Transport Demand Elasticity for Project Corridor ................................................... 5-5
Table 5-5: Economic Growth Rate ............................................................................................................ 5-5
Table 5-6: Projected Optimistic Traffic Growth Rates using Econometric Model (%) .............................. 5-6
Table 5-7: Projected Likely Traffic Growth Rates using Econometric Model (%) ..................................... 5-6
Table 5-8: Projected Pessimistic Traffic Growth Rates using Econometric Model (%) ............................. 5-6
Table 5-9: Traffic Criteria DCA................................................................................................................ 5-7
Table 5-10: Average Total Traffic (PCUs) on Project Road........................................................................ 5-7
Table 5-11: Observed Traffic Criteria ........................................................................................................ 5-8
Table 5-12: Mode Wise Forecasted Traffic at Toll Plaza 1 ........................................................................ 5-8
Table 5-13: Mode Wise Forecasted Traffic at Toll Plaza 2 ........................................................................ 5-9
Table 5-14: Mode Wise Forecasted Traffic at Toll Plaza 3 ...................................................................... 5-10
Table 6-1: Base Rate of Toll for Different Categories of Traffic ................................................................ 6-1
Table 6-2: Toll Rate for Different Categories of Vehicles.......................................................................... 6-2
Table 6-3: Segmentation (Percentage) of Tollable Traffic ........................................................................ 6-4
Table 6-4: Average Daily and Annual Toll Collection on Project Road ..................................................... 6-5
August 2014
iii

List of Figures
Figure 1-1: Project Location ...................................................................................................................... 1-1
Figure 2-1: Daily Variation on NH-211 .................................................................................................... 2-10
Figure 2-2: Hourly Variation of Traffic on NH-211 .................................................................................. 2-12
Figure 2-3: Composition of Traffic on NH-211 and SH-218 .................................................................... 2-13
Figure 2-5: Turning Traffic at Km 178.3 .................................................................................................. 2-15
Figure 2-6: Turning Traffic at Km 195 ..................................................................................................... 2-16
Figure 3-1: Trip Length Frequency Distribution for Passenger Vehicles ................................................... 3-3
Figure 3-2: Trip Length Frequency distribution for Goods Vehicles ......................................................... 3-7
Figure 4-1: Local Network in Project Influence Area ................................................................................ 4-1
Figure 4-2: Regional Network in Project Influence Area........................................................................... 4-2
Figure 4-3: Log Linear Relationship between GDP and States NSDP ....................................................... 4-5
Figure 5-1: Traffic Elasticities for Maharashtra State ............................................................................... 5-3
August 2014
iv

1.0
1.1
INTRODUCTION
Project Corridor
The Project study corridor starts from Yedeshi (Km 100+000) and ends at Aurangabad (Km 290+200) on
NH-211. The length of project road is 189.09Kms.The project road is section of NH-211, which starts
from Solapur and ends at Dhule, running completely within the state of Maharashtra. The project
section passes through the districts of Osmanabad, Beed, Jalna and Aurangabad.
The project road alignment passes through only one major town/ built-up area i.e. Beed.
The project is to be undertaken for development and operation/ maintenance under NHDP Phase-IV,
through Public Private Partnership (PPP) on BOT (Toll) on Design, Build, Finance, Operate and Transfer
(DBFOT) basis.
The project location has been shown inFigure 1-1below.
Figure 1-1: Project Location
1.2
Project Influence Area
The project road forms part of an important north south connectivity corridor in combination with NH13 and NH-3. The project road caters tolocal and intrastate traffic between districts of Solapur,
Osmanabad, Beed, Latur, Aurangabad and Dhule.Significant traffic between northern and southern
states can also be observed due to a strategic north south linkage provided by the corridor.
August 2014
1-1

1.3
Scope of Study
The scope of the study includes
To assess the traffic volumes and traffic characteristics by conducting Classified Traffic Volume
Counts and Turning Movement Surveys.
To assess the travel characteristics and travel desire patterns by conducting Origin & Destination
Surveys
To assess potential or risk of diversion due to alternative routes by conducting Network Analysis.
To assess the growth potential and make projections for future traffic.
1.4
Report Structure
The report has been presented in six chapters. The contents of each chapter have been briefly described
below.
1. Introduction: This gives the project background and the scope of study.
2. Traffic Assessment: This presents the traffic surveys conducted and the survey methodology
adopted. It also presents the traffic characteristics.
August 2014
1-2

3. Travel Characteristics: This presents the travel desire pattern and trip characteristics of passenger
and freight vehicles.
4. Surrounding Road Network & Development: This presents the analysis of network conditions and
explores possibility of alternative routes or diversions.
5. Analysis of Traffic Growth Potential: This presents the estimated traffic growth rates and future
traffic projections under alternative scenarios and proposed toll lanes.
6. Toll Revenue Estimation: This presents the breakup of toll category and revenue estimation.
August 2014
1-3

2.0
2.1
TRAFFIC ASSESMENT
Objectives of Traffic Surveys
Traffic surveys are an essential task to assess the likely quantum and composition of traffic over the
design period on the project corridor. The details of various traffic surveys conducted, methodologies
adopted collection of data in understandable formats and analysis, including traffic forecast has been
discussed in detail in subsequent paragraphs.
The main objectives of the traffic surveys are:
To assess the volumes of traffic flows along the project corridor and their characteristics.
To assess the traffic and travel characteristics.
To assess the turning traffic characteristics at various junctions.
2.2
Traffic Surveys and Survey Methodology
In order to understand the characteristics and the volume of traffic using the project corridor, data on
road network and traffic & travel pattern of vehicles plying on the project corridor were collected
through primary surveys. Traffic volume and Origin-Destination surveys were conducted at the proposed
toll plaza locations. Reconnaissance survey was also carried out to identify any possible alternate routes
where the traffic could divert to/from the project corridor after the project road is improved and tolled.
As per the requirements, the following surveys were undertaken to obtain the traffic data in the desired
form.
Classified Traffic Volume for 7 days at 3 proposed toll plaza locations on NH-211.
Origin and Destination Survey for 96 hours at 3proposed toll plaza locations on NH-211.
Turning Movement Surveys at 5intersections.
2.2.1 Classified Traffic Volume Count

Classified traffic volume count for seven days have been carried out at 3locations.
i.
At Km 134+000, NH-211 (Proposed Toll Plaza location), from 17thJune 2014 to 24thJune 2014
ii. At Km 194+650, NH-211 (Proposed Toll Plaza location), from 17th June 2014 to 24thJune 2014
iii. At Km 254+000, NH-211 (Proposed Toll Plaza location), from 17thJune 2014 to 24thJune 2014
The Classified Traffic Volume Count survey was conducted at locations representing the existing/
proposed toll plaza locations on the project corridor. The Classified Traffic Volume Count was conducted
at each location as recommended in IRC: SP: 19-2001 Manual for Survey, Investigation and Preparation
of Road Projects. The vehicles were broadly classified into fast moving / motorized and slow moving /
non-motorized vehicles, which were further classified into specific categories of vehicles as per the Toll
Categories defined in the CA. The groupings of vehicles were further split to capture the tollable vehicle
categories specifically and toll exempted vehicles were counted separately. The detailed vehicle
classification system is presented in Table 2-1. Traffic surveys were carried out for both directions using
manual counting method. A day was divided into two shifts of 12 hours each and different groups of
enumerators with a supervisor were assigned for each shift. The count data was recorded at 15-minute
intervals for each vehicle group for each direction of travel separately. Trained enumerators were
deployed for counting and recording by making tally marks in the five-dash system. Hourly totals were
summarized at the end of each shift.
Table 2-1: Vehicle Classification System
Motorized / Fast Vehicles
Non-Motorized / Slow Vehicles
August 2014
2-1

Passenger Car
Bicycle
Taxi
Cycle Rickshaw
Ambulance/ Police/ Military/ VIP Cars (Exempted)
Hand/ Animal Cart
2-Wheeler
3-Wheeler
Other Passenger Vehicle
Minibus
Bus
Standard Bus
Police/ Military Bus (Exempted)
Tempo/ LCV
2-Axle Truck
Truck
3-Axle Truck
Multi Axle Vehicle/ HCM (4 to 6 Axles)
Oversized Vehicle (>6 Axles)
Police/ Military Truck (Exempted)
Tractor
2.2.2 Origin Destination Surveys
Origin & Destination survey has been carried out continuously for 96 hours at the following 3locations.
iv. At Km 134+000, NH-211 (Proposed Toll Plaza location), from 20thJune 2014 to 24thJune 2014
v. At Km 194+000, NH-211 (Proposed Toll Plaza location), from 19thJune 2014 to 23rdJune 2014
vi. At Km 254+550, NH-211 (Proposed Toll Plaza location), from 18thJune 2014 to 22ndJune 2014
The origin-destination survey was carried out with the primary objective of studying the travel pattern of
goods and passenger traffic along the study corridor. The results have also been used for identifying the
Influence area of the project corridor and estimating the growth rates of traffic on the project corridor.
The O-D survey was carried out along with the classified traffic volume counts. Roadside interview
method as described in IRC: 102-1988 was adopted for the survey. The survey was carried out for both
passenger and goods vehicles in both directions. The vehicles were stopped on random sample basis
with the help of police, and the drivers were interviewed by trained enumerators to obtain the required
data. During the surveys the information pertaining to origin, destination, trip-length, commodity types,
loading pattern, trip purpose and occupancy as applicable for various vehicle types were recorded. The
survey was carried out for both passenger and goods vehicles in both directions. Trained enumerators
under the supervision of Traffic Engineers collected the trip characteristics using the survey forms
designed for this purpose.
2.2.3 Turning Movement Survey
Turning movement surveys has been carried out at identified 5 intersectionsfor 24 hours and the details
of the junctionare given below.
Location
NH-211, Km
178+300 (
Beed)
August 2014
Intersecting Roads
Type
Day
Duration
BT road to Panwari on LHS , BT road

to Market on RHS
4-arm
23 -24 June 2014
th
24 hours
rd
2-2

NH-211, Km 195 (
Padalsingi)
NH-211, Km 201 (
Shivajinagar)
NH-211, Km 231 (
Wadigodri Junction)
NH-211, Km 250 (
Pachod)
th
th
24 hours
th
th
24 hours
th
st
24 hours
th
th
24 hours
AHMADNAGAR ON LHS (NH-222)
3-arm
18 -19 June 2014
MANJANGAON ON RHS (NH-222)
3-arm
19 -20 June 2014
3-arm (Y)
20 -21 June 2014
3-arm
18 -19 June 2014
SH-218 (JALNA ON RHS,

AURANGABD ON LHS)
PAITHAN ON LHS
The turning movement survey was conducted at 5major intersections falling on the project corridor to
obtain information on turning movement of traffic. The survey was conducted for 24 hours with the help
of trained enumerators.Each turning movement at the intersection was recorded by deploying
enumerators in sufficient numbers at suitable locations. The turning movement data has been used to
analyze the diverting traffic from and joining the project road at different locations.
2.3
Traffic Characteristics
The survey data collected from the Classified Volume Count were coded and processed in order to
analyze the results with respect to existing traffic intensity, flow pattern, hourly variation and
composition of traffic on the study road network. The various vehicle types having different sizes and
characteristics were converted into a single unit called Passenger Car Unit (PCU). Passenger Car Unit for
various vehicles are adopted based on recommendations of Indian Road Congress prescribed in IRC: 641990, Gudelines for Capacity of Roads in Rural areas. The adopted passenger car unit values (PCU) are
presented in Table 2-2.
Table 2-2: Recommended PCUs as per IRC: 64-1990
Fast Vehicles
PCU
Slow Vehicles
PCU
Passenger Car/ Taxi
1.0
Cycle
0.5
Two Wheeler
0.5
Cycle Rickshaw
2.0
Three Wheeler/ Other Passenger Vehicle
1.0
Hand/ Animal Cart
6.0
Minibus
1.5
Standard Bus
3.0
Tempo/ LCV
1.5
2 Axle Truck
3.0
3 Axle Truck
3.0
Multi Axle Vehicle/ HCM (4 to 6 Axles)
4.5
4.5
Tractor
4.5
The varioustraffic characteristics have been presented in the following:
Average Daily Traffic (ADT)
Annual Average Daily Traffic (AADT)
Daily Variation
Hourly variation and Peak Hour Factor (PHF)
Directional distribution
August 2014
2-3

Traffic composition
2.3.1 Average Daily Traffic

The traffic volume count data collected for each location were averaged to determine the Average Daily
Traffic (ADT). The location wise ADT by vehicle type for the proposed toll plazas on the project section of
NH-211is presented in Table 2-3.
Table 2-3: ADT at Proposed Toll Plazas Locations on NH-211
Location
Vehicle Type
Passenger Car
Taxi
Two Wheeler
Non Tollable Three Wheeler
Minibus
Standard Bus
Tempo/ LCV
Tollable
2-Axle Truck
3-Axle Truck
Multi Axle Vehicle/ HCM/ EMV (4
Tollable
Non Tollable Tractors

Tollable

Bycycle
Non Tollable Cycle Rickshaw
Hand/ Animal Cart
Ambulance/ Police/ Military/ VIP
Car
Toll
Exempted Police/ Military/ Cemetry Bus
Police/ Military Truck
Motorised Traffic
Vehicle Non Motorised Traffic
Total
Motorised Traffic
PCU
Non Motorised Traffic
Total
Tollable Vehicles
Traffic
PCUs
Non Tollable Vehicles
Traffic
PCUs
Adopted
PCU
Yedshi - Aurangabad
NH-211 (Km NH-211 (Km NH-211 (Km Factors
134+000)
194+000)
254+550)
1151
2599
2023
1.0
152
165
270
1.0
952
3426
2548
0.5
64
1309
323
1.0
0
3
9
1.0
16
47
46
1.5
224
544
352
3.0
655
1333
719
1.5
784
1344
852
3.0
1941
2446
2170
3.0
788
718
634
4.5
48
45
30
4.5
0
6
0
2
0
7
0
28
0
9
0
7
4.5
0.5
2.0
6.0
50
50
1.0
0
0
6783
8
6791
15467
12
15480
5711
14702
1080
778
2
1
14031
36
14067
24348
172
24521
9195
21065
4871
3456
6
1
10033
17
10050
18227
49
18276
7066
16416
2984
1861
3.0
3.0
The ADT observed oneach of the toll plazalocations is very different with toll plaza 1 (Km 134) has the
lowest traffic intensity of the three toll plazas. Toll plaza 2 (Km 194) has the highest traffic and then goes
down again at Toll plaza 3 (Km 254.55).
August 2014
2-4

2.3.2 Annual Average Daily Traffic

The traffic plying on any road generally varies over the different periods of the year depending on the
cycle of different socio-economic activities in the regions through which it passes. Therefore, in order to
have more realistic picture of the traffic on the project corridor, it is required to assess seasonal
variation in traffic to estimate Annual Average Daily Traffic (AADT). Therefore, the ADT observed during
the survey duration is multiplied by a Seasonal Correction Factor (SCF) to derive AADT. The seasonal
correction factor is generally derived from secondary data.
Secondary data for monthly sales of fuels was collected from the filling stations located along the project
highway.The SCF is calculated separately for petrol driven and diesel driven vehicles on the project
corridor using the petrol and diesel sales data and is presented in Table 2-4.
Table 2-4: Seasonal Variations in Fuel Sales
Average Daily Sales (L)
Correction Factor
Month
HSD
MS
HSD
MS
April 14
52000
16400
0.85
1.08
May 14
53032
19742
0.83
0.89
June 13
45067
17967
0.98
0.98
July 13
33290
15581
1.33
1.13
August 13
31935
17226
1.38
1.02
September 13
31700
16700
1.39
1.06
October 13
37387
18032
1.18
0.98
November 13
48333
18067
0.91
0.98
December 13
50871
18677
0.87
0.94
January 14
52968
17419
0.83
1.01
February 14
47517
17276
0.93
1.02
March 14
46194
18419
0.96
0.96
Annual Average
44163
17632
1.00
1.00
The collected ADT converted into Annual Average Daily Traffic (AADT) by multiplying with the seasonal
correction factors. Since the traffic surveys were carried out in the month of Junethe correction factors
for the same were used. As such June appears to be the month of slightly higher than the representative
traffic with the SCF being less than one for freight traffic. The seasonal correction factor for both goods
and passenger traffic is about 0.98. The summary of AADT in Vehicles as well as PCUs for all locations is
given in Table 2-5.
August 2014
2-5

Table 2-5: AADT at Proposed Toll Plazas Locations on NH-211

Location
Yedshi - Aurangabad
Vehicle Type
NH-211 (Km
NH-211 (Km
NH-211 (Km
134+000)
194+000)
254+550)
Passenger Car
1130
2551
1985
Tollable
Taxi
149
162
265
Two Wheeler
934
3363
2501
Non Tollable Three Wheeler
63
1285
317
0
3
9
Minibus
16
46
45
Standard Bus
220
533
345
Tempo/ LCV
641
1306
704
Tollable
2-Axle Truck
768
1317
835
3-Axle Truck
1902
2397
2126
Multi Axle Vehicle/ HCM/ EMV
772
703
621
Non Tollable Tractors
Tollable

Bycycle
Non Tollable Cycle Rickshaw
Hand/ Animal Cart
Ambulance/ Police/ Military/
VIP Car
Toll
Exempted Police/ Military/ Cemetry Bus
Motorised Traffic
Vehicle
Total
Motorised Traffic
PCU
Total
Tollable
Vehicles
Traffic
PCUs
Non Tollable Vehicles
Traffic
PCUs
Adopted
PCU
Factors
1.0
1.0
0.5
1.0
1.0
1.5
3.0
1.5
3.0
3.0
4.5
47
44
29
4.5
0
6
0
2
0
7
0
28
0
9
0
7
4.5
0.5
2.0
6.0
50
50
1.0
0
0
6651
8
6658
15160
12
15172
5598
14409
1060
763
2
1
13761
36
13797
23869
172
24042
9015
20646
4782
3396
6
1
9840
17
9857
17868
49
17917
6927
16089
2930
1828
3.0
3.0
The summary of Classified Traffic Volume Count for the three proposed toll plaza locationsis presented
inTable 2-6, Table 2-7 andTable 2-8.
August 2014
2-6

FOUR LANING OF YEDSHI TO AURANGABAD SECTION OF NH-211
Table 2-6: Summary of Classified Traffic Volume Count at Km 134+000, NH-211
84
66
3
4
0
0
0
2
14
11
28.58 11.60 0.71 0.00 0.09

PEAK CHARACTERISTICS
89
91
43
42
2
2
0
0
Traffic Composition (In Vehicle)
Weekly Traffic Variation

18000
15564
15686
14594
15655
Tractors
0.0%
15173
NMTs
0.1%
14000
0.00 0.02 0.11 0.00 0.00

0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
100
388
377
3.17
3.45
3.20
2.67
2.54
2.86
3.72
4.34
4.54
5.31
5.71
4.97
4.48
4.44
4.35
4.41
5.15
5.37
5.55
5.19
4.25
3.61
3.29
3.44
100
3.62
4.23
3.88
3.34
3.16
3.44
4.28
4.61
4.50
5.05
5.20
4.24
3.77
3.76
3.66
3.79
4.53
4.74
5.19
5.17
4.49
3.81
3.59
3.94
100
107
119
122
90
82
88
116
145
159
186
187
167
147
146
143
142
157
168
189
188
153
122
102
110
3335
268
332
340
250
234
235
297
353
367
422
378
333
283
277
271
267
306
335
405
448
382
292
251
288
7613
108
115
96
91
91
106
137
149
149
174
201
171
157
155
153
157
193
196
188
165
136
123
122
123
3456
292
324
261
267
255
297
366
360
330
359
428
323
301
305
295
319
396
399
399
352
313
298
306
323
7867
Directional Split:
805
803
SALIENT FEATURES
200
Average Daily Traffic
180
Passenger Motor: 2,568 Vehs 37.8%
160
Goods Motorized: 4,215 Vehs 62.1%
PCU
6791 15480
Vehicle
561
655
601
517
489
533
663
714
697
781
805
656
584
582
567
586
702
734
803
800
695
590
556
610
PCU
215
234
218
181
172
194
252
295
308
360
388
338
304
302
295
299
350
365
377
352
289
245
224
234
Vehicle
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
5.7
5.6
5.2
5.2
00:00-01:00
01:00-02:00
02:00-03:00
03:00-04:00
04:00-05:00
05:00-06:00
06:00-07:00
07:00-08:00
08:00-09:00
09:00-10:00
10:00-11:00
11:00-12:00
12:00-13:00
13:00-14:00
14:00-15:00
15:00-16:00
16:00-17:00
17:00-18:00
18:00-19:00
19:00-20:00
20:00-21:00
21:00-22:00
22:00-23:00
23:00-24:00
Grand Total
49.1
49.2
50.9
50.8
% Share
187
189
378
405
201
188
428
399
10:00-11:00
18:00-19:00
Hourly Variation
140
LCV/Tempo
9.6%
60
40
23:00-24:00
22:00-23:00
21:00-22:00
20:00-21:00
19:00-20:00
18:00-19:00
17:00-18:00
16:00-17:00
15:00-16:00
14:00-15:00
13:00-14:00
12:00-13:00
11:00-12:00
10:00-11:00
09:00-10:00
08:00-09:00
07:00-08:00
06:00-07:00
20
05:00-06:00
Buses
3.5%
Tollable Vehicles
Car/Jeeps 1,303
LCV/Mini Buses 671
Truck/Buses 2,949
Multi-Axle Trucks 788
Oversized Vehicles
80
04:00-05:00
2000
100
03:00-04:00
4000
120
02:00-03:00
Significant Peak Hour: 10:00-11:00

Car/Jeep
Peak Hour Traffic: 805 PCU 5.2%
19.3%
6000
Days of the Week
Total AADT 6,658 Vehs 15,172 PCU
01:00-02:00
Trucks
52.4%
8000
Total ADT 6,791 Vehs 15,480 PCU
Vehicle (No.)
Auto
Rickshaw
1.0%
10000
August 2014
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Time Period
(Hours)
Non Motorized: 8 Vehs .1%
12000
ADT (in PCU)
Sc/Mc
14.0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
7
00:00-01:00
16000
16097
15591
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
Aurangabad To
Yedshi (DN)
PCU
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Yedshi To
Aurangabad (UP)
Vehicle
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
6
PCU
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Hourly (%age)
(Both Direction)
Total Number
(Both Direction)
Vehicle
38
41
7
7
0
1
1
2
0
1
2
4
2
4
2
3
4
2
2
2
3
2
2
4
1
2
1
1
48
Police/ Military Bus
38
37
68
73
10:00-11:00
18:00-19:00
25
32
25
28
28
29
39
40
38
42
43
33
29
27
26
28
32
36
42
40
38
31
24
32
788
Hand/ Animal Cart
11.54
84
105
100
78
74
82
91
90
83
84
89
68
59
56
55
59
73
81
91
102
88
80
81
88
1941
Toll Exempted
Ambulance/ Police/
Military/ VIP Car
9.64
Cycle Rickshaw
16.95 2.24 14.02 0.95 0.00 0.24 3.30
Bycycle
2-Axle Truck
% Share
Oversized Vehicle (>6

Axles)
Tempo/ LCV
3
1
2
1
2
7
19
41
49
68
84
83
73
66
66
65
70
71
66
46
28
20
12
9
952
Tractors
Standard Bus
33
38
34
28
24
28
38
35
37
39
38
28
23
28
24
28
36
30
41
41
41
27
32
34
784
6
6
6
4
5
5
7
8
5
7
7
8
8
8
8
6
6
8
7
5
5
5
5
6
152
3-Axle Truck
Minibus
21
18
20
15
15
16
23
25
33
38
38
32
31
30
29
27
40
45
37
32
26
24
22
19
655
34
27
22
17
15
21
27
38
47
57
68
64
60
64
64
63
69
73
73
71
53
47
39
38
1151
Multi Axle Vehicle/

HCM/ EMV (4 to 6
Axles)
Three Wheeler
Other Passenger
Vehicle
7
6
8
7
7
5
5
10
9
15
14
12
11
15
14
12
14
11
11
8
5
8
6
7
224
Two Wheeler
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
2
0
0
1
1
1
1
2
1
2
1
1
1
0
0
16
Taxi
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Passenger Car
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
4
5
3
6
5
5
5
6
5
5
4
2
2
1
1
1
64
00:00-01:00
01:00-02:00
02:00-03:00
03:00-04:00
04:00-05:00
05:00-06:00
06:00-07:00
07:00-08:00
08:00-09:00
09:00-10:00
10:00-11:00
11:00-12:00
12:00-13:00
13:00-14:00
14:00-15:00
15:00-16:00
16:00-17:00
17:00-18:00
18:00-19:00
19:00-20:00
20:00-21:00
21:00-22:00
22:00-23:00
23:00-24:00
Grand Total
Time Period
(Hours)
Non Motorized
Vehicle
Goods Vehicle
Motorized Vehicles
Passenger Vehicle
Time Period
Sc/Mc
LCV/Tempo
Auto Ricksh aw
Trucks
Car/Jeep
Tractors
Buses
NMTs
2-7

115
94
0
0
2
2
31
32
94
93
34
33
3
1
0
0
3
0
2
2
0
0

26127
23798
24035
24623
24628
Tractors
0.0%
24711
944
862
154
146
134
120
127
161
219
271
332
447
489
444
427
390
400
407
435
395
360
308
249
236
204
170
7026
385
383
353
310
324
394
470
498
532
626
697
649
608
585
606
580
608
567
559
536
491
521
467
418
12167
159
141
119
122
136
157
202
272
334
411
455
475
439
403
384
390
427
407
386
344
263
243
201
171
7041
393
361
303
318
353
385
435
510
572
614
628
658
615
594
585
592
649
648
632
615
512
514
455
413
12353
1326
1257
6.7
6.1
5.4
5.1
49.9
49.6
50.1
50.4
489
435
697
608
455
427
628
649
00:00-01:00
01:00-02:00
02:00-03:00
03:00-04:00
04:00-05:00
05:00-06:00
06:00-07:00
07:00-08:00
08:00-09:00
09:00-10:00
10:00-11:00
11:00-12:00
12:00-13:00
13:00-14:00
14:00-15:00
15:00-16:00
16:00-17:00
17:00-18:00
18:00-19:00
19:00-20:00
20:00-21:00
21:00-22:00
22:00-23:00
23:00-24:00
Grand Total
% Share
10:00-11:00
16:00-17:00
350
Hourly Variation
300
NMTs
0.3%
Sc/Mc
24.4%
Trucks
32.4%
250

200
150
Buses
4.2%
Days of the Week
23:00-24:00
22:00-23:00
21:00-22:00
20:00-21:00
19:00-20:00
18:00-19:00
17:00-18:00
16:00-17:00
15:00-16:00
14:00-15:00
13:00-14:00
12:00-13:00
11:00-12:00
10:00-11:00
09:00-10:00
08:00-09:00
07:00-08:00
06:00-07:00
Car/Jeep
20.0%
LCV/Mini Buses 1,380

Truck/Buses 4,334
Oversized Vehicles
05:00-06:00
LCV/Temp
o
9.5%
50
04:00-05:00
Auto
Tollable Vehicles
Rickshaw
Car/Jeeps 2,764
9.3%
5000
100
03:00-04:00
Peak Hour Traffic: 1,326 PCU 5.4%
10000
02:00-03:00
01:00-02:00
15000
August 2014
0
0
3.17
3.03
2.67
2.56
2.76
3.18
3.69
4.11
4.51
5.06
5.41
5.33
4.99
4.81
4.86
4.78
5.13
4.95
4.85
4.69
4.09
4.22
3.76
3.39
100
Directional Split:
00:00-01:00
23726
20000
ADT (in PCU)
0
0
SALIENT FEATURES
30000
25000
0
0
2.22
2.04
1.80
1.72
1.87
2.26
3.00
3.86
4.74
6.10
6.71
6.53
6.16
5.64
5.57
5.67
6.13
5.70
5.30
4.63
3.64
3.41
2.88
2.42
100
Vehicle (No.)
333
284
24521
100
PCU
59
65
10
10
14067
Vehicle
68
77
189
169
0.00 0.20 0.36 0.01 0.01
778
744
656
628
677
779
906
1008
1105
1240
1326
1307
1223
1178
1191
1173
1257
1215
1190
1150
1004
1035
922
831
PCU
17.39 5.10 0.32 0.00 0.05

313
287
254
242
263
318
422
543
666
858
944
919
866
793
783
797
862
802
746
652
513
480
405
340
Vehicle
9.56
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
Time Period
(Hours)
PCU
9.47
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
Yedshi To Aurangabad Aurangabad To Yedshi

(UP)
(DN)
Vehicle
18.48 1.17 24.36 9.31 0.02 0.33 3.87
1
2
1
2
2
2
2
2
2
1
2
2
2
3
3
2
2
2
4
2
1
3
2
2
50
Hourly (%age)
(Both Direction)
PCU
% Share
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
2
3
3
3
0
1
0
0
0
2
7
4
0
0
0
0
28
Total Number
(Both Direction)
Vehicle
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
7
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Hand/ Animal Cart
0
0
0
0
2
2
3
2
5
2
3
3
4
2
2
1
1
4
3
4
1
0
0
0
45
55
42
38
36
34
43
60
89
131
154
189
172
151
138
138
153
169
170
161
135
102
97
82
61
2599
Toll Exempted
Ambulance/ Police/
Military/ VIP Car
21
23
19
19
24
27
29
27
35
32
34
34
33
30
35
34
33
33
32
40
31
38
31
24
718
Cycle Rickshaw
123
117
108
102
96
106
109
105
86
93
94
90
88
89
90
85
93
98
92
90
118
128
121
127
2446
Bycycle
52
51
41
39
45
52
62
57
57
56
59
62
55
62
60
56
65
56
61
59
56
63
64
55
1344
Tractors
2-Axle Truck
32
31
27
24
34
37
46
52
60
73
68
64
63
74
74
77
77
77
70
76
57
54
44
42
1333

Axles)
Tempo/ LCV
13
12
13
12
13
16
17
27
28
30
31
35
30
28
30
30
32
25
25
28
20
17
16
13
544
3-Axle Truck
Standard Bus
1
2
2
2
1
2
1
4
3
3
2
3
4
4
1
1
2
2
1
2
1
1
1
1
47
Multi Axle Vehicle/

HCM/ EMV (4 to 6
Axles)
Minibus
Three Wheeler
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
00:00-01:00
01:00-02:00
02:00-03:00
03:00-04:00
04:00-05:00
05:00-06:00
06:00-07:00
07:00-08:00
08:00-09:00
09:00-10:00
10:00-11:00
11:00-12:00
12:00-13:00
13:00-14:00
14:00-15:00
15:00-16:00
16:00-17:00
17:00-18:00
18:00-19:00
19:00-20:00
20:00-21:00
21:00-22:00
22:00-23:00
23:00-24:00
Grand Total
10:00-11:00
16:00-17:00
3
7
4
3
2
1
2
2
1
2
3
1
4
5
3
5
15
11
5
53
34
7
107
61
10
179
65
10
295 103
10
333 115
10
326 115
11
310 114
10
256
96
7
247
93
9
253
96
10
284
94
9
241
82
11
205
75
8
144
57
7
73
46
4
46
27
4
30
11
4
9
4
165 3426 1309
Non Motorized
Vehicle
Goods Vehicle
Other Passenger
Vehicle
Two Wheeler
Taxi
Time Period
(Hours)
Passenger Car
Motorized Vehicles
Passenger Vehicle
Time Period
Sc/Mc
LCV/Tempo
Auto Ricksh aw
Trucks
Car/Jeep
Tractors
Buses
NMTs
2-8

21.59 6.31 0.30 0.00 0.09

32
37
40
39
124
152
19
20
227
215
25
20
0
0
3
3
25
23
98
107
24
30
3
1
0
0
1
0
2
2
0
0
0
0
549
515
460
396
504
637
742
787
860
906
952
919
845
992
941
960
1011
966
872
876
739
652
613
581
10050
18276
100
624
650
2.13
1.96
1.69
1.40
1.78
2.52
3.18
3.88
4.99
5.76
6.21
6.03
5.39
5.95
5.70
6.04
6.47
6.20
5.43
5.24
3.87
3.15
2.71
2.32
100
3.00
2.82
2.52
2.17
2.76
3.49
4.06
4.31
4.71
4.96
5.21
5.03
4.63
5.43
5.15
5.25
5.53
5.28
4.77
4.79
4.04
3.57
3.35
3.18
100
114
107
87
69
81
125
154
183
244
296
322
303
289
319
305
311
359
314
274
258
195
167
132
115
5124
297
290
234
193
220
307
360
387
428
472
484
479
444
484
474
468
534
487
415
414
380
355
315
299
9219
100
90
82
71
98
128
165
207
258
283
302
304
253
279
268
296
291
309
272
269
194
150
140
119
4926
252
225
225
203
285
330
382
401
432
434
468
439
402
508
467
492
477
479
457
462
359
297
298
282
9057
Directional Split:
952
1011
6.2
6.5
5.2
5.5
Time Period
(Hours)
00:00-01:00
01:00-02:00
02:00-03:00
03:00-04:00
04:00-05:00
05:00-06:00
06:00-07:00
07:00-08:00
08:00-09:00
09:00-10:00
10:00-11:00
11:00-12:00
12:00-13:00
13:00-14:00
14:00-15:00
15:00-16:00
16:00-17:00
17:00-18:00
18:00-19:00
19:00-20:00
20:00-21:00
21:00-22:00
22:00-23:00
23:00-24:00
Grand Total
51.0
50.4
49.0
49.6
% Share
322
359
484
534
302
291
468
477
10:00-11:00
16:00-17:00
250
Hourly Variation
19088
18291
15000
17651
16676
Sc/Mc
25.4%
18604
16993
NMTs
0.2%
Trucks
36.7%
200

150
Vehicle (No.)
Tractors
0.0%
20630
100
10000
Peak Hour Traffic: 1,011 PCU 5.5%
Buses
4.0%
Days of the Week
August 2014
23:00-24:00
22:00-23:00
21:00-22:00
20:00-21:00
19:00-20:00
18:00-19:00
17:00-18:00
16:00-17:00
15:00-16:00
14:00-15:00
13:00-14:00
12:00-13:00
11:00-12:00
10:00-11:00
09:00-10:00
08:00-09:00
07:00-08:00
06:00-07:00
05:00-06:00
04:00-05:00
Car/Jeep
23.3%
Car/Jeeps 2,293
LCV/Mini Buses 765
Truck/Buses 3,374
Oversized Vehicles
03:00-04:00
LCV/Tempo
7.1%
50
02:00-03:00
5000
01:00-02:00
Auto
Rickshaw Tollable Vehicles
3.3%
00:00-01:00
ADT (in PCU)
0
0
SALIENT FEATURES
25000
20000
2
1
0.00 0.07 0.49 0.06 0.01
214
197
169
140
179
253
319
390
501
579
624
606
541
598
573
607
650
623
546
527
389
317
272
233
PCU
8.48
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
Vehicle
7.15
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
6
PCU
20.13 2.69 25.36 3.22 0.09 0.46 3.50
1
0
1
0
0
3
5
7
2
2
2
1
2
2
3
3
2
3
2
3
1
3
1
0
50
Vehicle
% Share
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
7
Aurangabad To
Yedshi (DN)
PCU
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Yedshi To
Aurangabad (UP)
Vehicle
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
2
0
1
1
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
9
Hourly (%age)
(Both Direction)
PCU
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Total Number
(Both Direction)
Vehicle
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
3
2
3
2
1
1
1
2
3
1
1
1
0
0
30
22
22
23
21
21
25
34
31
26
25
24
23
23
31
30
33
30
28
30
31
30
21
27
24
634
Hand/ Animal Cart
86
80
75
61
81
97
100
95
92
92
98
96
81
102
103
99
107
96
81
91
88
91
82
95
2170
39
31
23
16
13
31
43
66
86
118
124
117
111
107
111
131
152
150
128
123
99
90
67
49
2023
Toll Exempted
Ambulance/ Police/
Military/ VIP Car
Cycle Rickshaw
29
30
19
20
31
39
42
43
44
38
40
46
41
53
40
39
39
40
35
35
29
28
25
26
852
Bycycle
2-Axle Truck
18
19
15
10
16
21
25
35
37
37
32
33
31
43
38
40
37
40
43
39
30
27
31
22
719

Axles)
Tempo/ LCV
9
6
6
7
10
11
13
13
16
20
25
16
21
20
20
17
23
20
16
18
15
11
12
6
352
Tractors
Standard Bus
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
1
5
4
3
1
3
3
2
5
3
3
4
2
1
1
1
0
46
3-Axle Truck
Minibus
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
3
0
0
0
9
Multi Axle Vehicle/

HCM/ EMV (4 to 6
Axles)
Three Wheeler
1
0
1
0
1
3
8
16
26
27
25
26
28
24
26
19
20
27
17
15
8
4
2
1
323
00:00-01:00
01:00-02:00
02:00-03:00
03:00-04:00
04:00-05:00
05:00-06:00
06:00-07:00
07:00-08:00
08:00-09:00
09:00-10:00
10:00-11:00
11:00-12:00
12:00-13:00
13:00-14:00
14:00-15:00
15:00-16:00
16:00-17:00
17:00-18:00
18:00-19:00
19:00-20:00
20:00-21:00
21:00-22:00
22:00-23:00
23:00-24:00
Grand Total
10:00-11:00
16:00-17:00
3
4
3
5
3
2
3
1
4
2
6
15
12
37
15
67
14
147
20
192
19
227
16
226
16
181
18
193
16
181
17
201
20
215
15
197
18
167
12
155
7
78
7
33
5
18
3
6
270 2548
Non Motorized
Vehicle
Goods Vehicle
Other Passenger
Vehicle
Two Wheeler
Taxi
Time Period
(Hours)
Passenger Car
Passenger Vehicle
Motorized Vehicles
Time Period
Sc/Mc
LCV/Tempo
Auto Ricksh aw
Trucks
Car/Jeep
Tractors
Buses
NMTs
2-9

2.3.3 Daily Variation

The daily variation of traffic over the survey duration for each location has been studied. Daily variation
of traffic during different days of week at each location in terms of Vehicles and PCUs has been
illustrated in Figure 2-1.
Figure 2-1: Daily Variation on NH-211
DAILY TRAFFIC VOLUME SUMMARY NH-211 (KM 134+000) (in Vehicles)
8000
7000
6000
5000
DAILY TRAFFIC VOLUME SUMMARY NH-211 (KM 134+000) (in PCUs)
NMT
18000
Tractors
16000
3Axle, MAV, OV &

Police/ Military Trucks
14000
2 Axle Trucks
12000
LCV
10000
4000
Buses
8000
Minibus
6000
Three Wheelers
4000
Two Wheeler
2000
3000
2000
1000
0
Monday
Tuesday
Wednesday
Thursday
Friday
Saturday
Sunday
Cars/ Taxi
0
Monday
16000
NMT
14000
Tuesday
Wednesday
Thursday
Friday
Saturday
Sunday

30000
Tractors
25000
3Axle, MAV, OV &

12000
2 Axle Trucks
10000
20000
LCV
15000
8000
Buses
6000
Minibus
10000
4000
Three Wheelers
5000
2000
Two Wheeler
0
Monday
Tuesday
Wednesday
Thursday
Friday
Saturday
Sunday
Cars/ Taxi
0
Monday
12000
NMT
Tuesday
Wednesday
Thursday
Friday
Saturday
Sunday

25000
Tractors
10000
20000
3Axle, MAV, OV &

8000
2 Axle Trucks
15000
LCV
6000
Buses
10000
4000
Minibus
Three Wheelers
5000
2000
Two Wheeler
0
Monday
Tuesday
Wednesday
Thursday
Friday
Saturday
Sunday
Cars/ Taxi
0
Monday
Tuesday
Wednesday
Thursday
Friday
Saturday
Sunday
From the above figure, the daily variation of traffic along the project corridor has been observed to vary
among each survey station. The highest traffic flow in terms of vehicle has been observed on
Wednesdayat Km 194 with a countnearing15,000 vehicles and exceeding 25,000 PCU.However, a clear
pattern is not visible at Km 254.55 where higher traffic is observed on Monday with about 11,000
vehicles and 20,000 PCU. The vehicle count on Sunday is somewhat higher than Monday but the total
PCU is significantly lower due to more passenger traffic. Tuesday is the peak traffic day at Km 134 with
over 7000 vehicles and about 16000 PCU.
August 2014
2-10

2.3.4 Hourly Variation and Peak Hour Factor (PHF)

The hourly variation of traffic illustrates the distribution of traffic over the day with respect to time and
the peak hour factor is the maximum percentage of the total traffic that uses the project highway in one
single hour of the day. It is of significance as highway capacities and design calculations are based on
peak hour factor. The peak hour factors observed at the count locations is summarized in Table 2-9. The
hourly variation of traffic is similar at all locations and has been illustrated pictorially in Figure 2-2.
Table 2-9: Peak Hour Traffic
Survey Location
Peak Hour Flow

Peak Hour Flow
Morning Peak
Evening Peak
Peak hour
Peak hour
duration
duration
PCUs
PCUs
share (%)
share (%)
NH-211 (Km 134+000)
10:00-11:00
805
5.2
18:00-19:00
803
5.2
NH-211 (Km 194+000)
10:00-11:00
1326
5.4
16:00-17:00
1257
5.1
NH-211 (Km 254+550)
10:00-11:00
952
5.2
16:00-17:00
1011
5.5
It is observed that the morning peak hour on NH211 at all locations is 10:00-11:00 hours. However, the
evening peak hour is slightly different at Km 134 being 18:00-19:00 hours and 16:00 to 17:00 hours at
both Km 194 and Km 254.55. The peak hour share varies from 5.1% to 5.5% on the project corridor.
August 2014
2-11

Figure 2-2: Hourly Variation of Traffic on NH-211

HOURLY TRAFFIC VARIATION AT NH-211 (KM 134+000) (in Vehicles)
NMT
3Axle, MAV, OV & Police/ Military Trucks
LCV
Minibus
Two Wheeler
Tractors
2 Axle Trucks
Buses
Three Wheelers
Cars/ Taxi
450
HOURLY TRAFFIC VARIATION AT NH-211 (KM 134+000) (in PCUs)
400
900
350
800
300
700
250
600
200
500
400
150
300
100
200
50
100

NMT
LCV
Minibus
Two Wheeler
Tractors
2 Axle Trucks
Buses
Three Wheelers
Cars/ Taxi
1000
900
1400
800
1200
700
1000
600
500
800
400
600
300
400
200
100
200

NMT
LCV
Minibus
Two Wheeler
Tractors
2 Axle Trucks
Buses
Three Wheelers
Cars/ Taxi
700

600
1200
500
1000
400
800
300
600
200
100
0
400
200
The above figures depict that on project corridor, the traffic movement pattern shows high share of
traffic during day and night but greatly reduces during midnight and early morning hours.
August 2014
2-12

2.3.5 Traffic Composition

The traffic composition on the project corridor has been analyzed to derive the vehicle mode which
travels on the project corridor and the travel pattern. The composition of tollabletraffic as observed at
various survey locations on the project corridor is presented inFigure 2-3.
Figure 2-3: Composition of Traffic on NH-211 and SH-218
TRAFFIC COMPOSITION AT NH-211 (KM 134+000) Average Vehicles
TRAFFIC COMPOSITION AT NH-211 (KM 134+000) Average PCUs
Non Motorised
Traffic
0%
Tractors
1%
Cars/ Taxi
19%
3Axle, MAV,
OV & Police/
Military Trucks
40%
Tractors
1%
Non Motorised
Traffic
0%
Cars/ Taxi
9%
Two Wheeler
3%
Three
Wheelers
1%
Minibus, 1.0
Buses
4%
Two Wheeler
14%
Three
Wheelers
1%
Minibus, 0.7
Buses
3%
LCV
10%
2 Axle Trucks
12%
LCV
6%
3Axle, MAV,
OV & Police/
Military
Trucks
61%
Non Motorised
Traffic
0%
Tractors
0%
3Axle, MAV,
OV & Police/
Military Trucks
23%
2 Axle Trucks
15%
Tractors
1%
Cars/ Taxi
20%
Non
Motorised
Traffic
1%
Cars/ Taxi
12%
Two Wheeler
7%
Three
Wheelers
5%
3Axle, MAV,
OV & Police/
Military
Two Wheeler
Trucks
24%
43%
2 Axle Trucks
10%
LCV
10%
Buses
4%
Minibus, 2.0
Buses
7%
Three
Wheelers
9%
2 Axle Trucks
16%
3Axle, MAV,
OV & Police/
Military Trucks
28%
LCV
8%
Non Motorised
Traffic
0%
Tractors
0%
Minibus,
2.9
Tractors
1%
Cars/ Taxi
23%
Non
Motorised
Traffic
0%
Cars/ Taxi
13%
Two Wheeler
7%
Three
Wheelers
2%
2 Axle Trucks
9%
Two Wheeler
25%
LCV
7%
Buses
4%
August 2014
Minibus, 1.9
Three
Wheelers
3%
3Axle, MAV,
OV & Police/
Military
Trucks
51%
Minibus,
2.9
Buses
6%
LCV
2 Axle Trucks
6%
14%
2-13

2.4
Intersection Turning Movement Traffic
Turning movement survey data has been analyzed to obtain the peak hour and peak hour traffic at the
major junctions. The peak characteristic of the intersection is shown in Table 2-10.
Table 2-10: Peak Hour Traffic at Intersection
Morning Peak
Location
KM-178.300
KM-195
KM-201
KM-231
KM-250
ADT
All Directions
Peak Duration
(PCUs)
total of daily
(Hours)
flows (PCUs)
72118
32245
26951
27910
23964
11:00 - 12:00
10:00 - 11:00
10:00 - 11:00
08:00 - 09:00
10:00 - 11:00
4446
1946
1983
1707
1554
Evening Peak
Peak
Hour
Share
(%)
6.2
6.0
7.4
6.1
6.5
Peak
All Directions
Hour
Peak Duration
total of daily
Share
(Hours)
flows (PCUs)
(%)
12:00 - 13:00
16:00 - 17:00
17:00 - 18:00
18:00 - 19:00
16:00 - 17:00
4797
1759
2020
1791
1379
6.7
5.5
7.5
6.4
5.8
At Km 178.3 (Beed) the morning peak and evening peak hours are bunched together between 11:00 to
13:00 hours and total share is around 12.9% for the two hours combined.
At Km 195 (Padalsingi) the morning peak hour occurs between 10:00 to 11:00 hours and peak hour share
is around 6.0%. There is an afternoon peak between 16:00 to 17:00 hours with a peak hour share of
5.5%. The connecting arm is NH-222 connecting to Ahmednagar but turning traffic is not very significant.
At Km 201 (Shivaji Nagar) the morning peak hour occurs between 10:00 to 11:00 hours and peak hour
share is around 7.4%. There is an afternoon peak between 17:00 to 18:00 hours with a peak hour share
of 7.5%. The connecting arm is NH-222 connecting to Manjangaon and turning traffic is not very
significant, though more than the previous intersection.
At Km 231 (Wadigodri) the morning peak hour occurs between 08:00 to 09:00 hours and peak hour
share is around 6.1%. There is an afternoon peak between 18:00 to 19:00 hours with a peak hour share
of 6.4%. The connecting arm is SH-218 connecting to Jalna. Significant turning traffic is observed at this
point.
At Km 250 (Pachod) the morning peak hour occurs between 10:00 to 11:00 hours and peak hour share is
around 6.5%. There is an afternoon peak between 16:00 to 17:00 hours with a peak hour share of 5.8%.
The turning movement flow diagram and turning movement data for both the junctions is presented in
Figure 2-5, Figure 2-6, Figure 2-7, Figure 2-8 and Figure 2-9.
August 2014
2-14
DRAFT TRAFFIC ASSESSMENT REPORT

Figure 2-4: Turning Traffic at Km 178.3

TOLLABLE TRAFFIC (PCU'S)
Bus
724
LCV
1897
2 Axle
1790
3 Axle
MAV
OV
Tollable PCUs
2774
735
1
32068.5
1010
980
581
2571
Bus
6441
1705
411
575
1675
11839
581
5809
2602
980
2227
LCV
1799
2 Axle
1786
3 Axle
2688
14095
2424
2227
12996
752
741
931
752
15974
5489
2883
931
1675
MAV
766
Car
Taxi
Minibus
OV
Tollable PCUs
August 2014
BEED MARKET
582
15181
Minibus
AURANGABAD
2602
11839
741
1986
16888
Taxi
2883
12996
1010
7188
AHMEDNAGAR
Car
Total Tollable
Traffic (PCUs)
39214
Total Tollable
Traffic (Vehicle)
23030
YEDSHI
30068.5
2-15

Figure 2-5: Turning Traffic at Km 195

3380
Minibus
88
Taxi
118
35
Minibus
79
Bus
92
LCV
533
Bus
557
LCV
2 Axle
1347
389
2 Axle
1625
3 Axle
337
3 Axle
2627
MAV
58
MAV
812
OV
OV
2773
Car
1105
1668
Taxi
AHMEDNAGAR
2825
1942
1305
1520
Car
Tollable PCUs 5597
Tollable PCU 23745
12415
10747
1520
11330
AURANGABAD
1668
Bus
531
LCV
1322
2 Axle
1562
3 Axle
2556
MAV
784
OV
1105
9810
74
10915
Minibus
1305
10747
3270
100
12052
9810
Car
Taxi
Total Tollable
Traffic (PCUs)
26154
Total Tollable
Traffic (Vehicle)
12115
Tollable PCUs 22966
YEDSHI
August 2014
2-16


Taxi
Minibus
Bus
361
LCV
922
2 Axle
Aurangabad
Car
1578
170
Taxi
139
12
Minibus
Bus
65
9679
2251
8454
Car
2 Axle
1107
3 Axle
1922
3 Axle
375
MAV
696
MAV
OV
OV
8342
1337
733
1437
6925
1529
LCV
Tollable PCUs 18132
Tollable PCUs 7485
1337
Magalgaon
3622
2285
1529
3863
348
LCV
1019
2 Axle
1962
3 Axle
1907
MAV
697
OV
8342
2334
16
Bus
10676
Minibus
6925
2285
2405
135
9209
2334
Car
Taxi
Total Tollable
Traffic (PCUs)
22751
Total Tollable
Traffic (Vehicle)
10136
Tollable PCUs 19885
Yedshi
August 2014
2-17


Taxi
Minibus
Bus
292
LCV
714
2 Axle
Aurangabad
Car
905
252
Taxi
186
95
Minibus
22
Bus
144
6873
1889
9056
Car
2 Axle
569
3 Axle
2251
3 Axle
687
MAV
530
MAV
401
OV
OV
6393
481
669
846
8531
525
LCV
Tollable PCUs 15929
Tollable PCU 8146
481
4576
Jalna
4096
525
3570
412
LCV
1149
2 Axle
1333
3 Axle
2842
MAV
865
OV
6393
3045
89
Bus
9437
Minibus
8531
4096
2384
160
12627
3045
Car
Taxi
Total Tollable
Traffic (PCUs)
23069
Total Tollable
Traffic (Vehicle)
9848
Tollable PCUs 22064
Yedshi
August 2014
2-18


2272
Minibus
243
Taxi
197
76
Minibus
82
Bus
396
LCV
993
Bus
336
LCV
2 Axle
1024
918
2 Axle
837
3 Axle
2201
3 Axle
2182
MAV
643
MAV
619
OV
OV
8567
Car
1291
7276
Taxi
Aurangabad
9397
2670
1348
8049
Car
Tollable PCUs 17964
Tollable PCU 16983
7276
8081
Yedshi
805
8049
8902
118
LCV
711
2 Axle
287
3 Axle
135
MAV
26
OV
1291
853
70
Bus
2144
Minibus
1348
805
1310
74
2153
853
Car
Taxi
Total Tollable
Traffic (PCUs)
19622
Total Tollable
Traffic (Vehicle)
9212
Tollable PCUs 4297
Paithan
August 2014
2-19

3.0
TRAVEL CHARACTERISTICS
To estimate travel characteristics in the region and the tollable traffic streams, Origin & Destination (OD) survey at threelocationson the project corridorwas carried out for 96 hours respectively. Both
passenger and commercial vehicles plying on the project corridor were stopped on a random sampling
basis and interviewed. Along with the OD survey, volume count survey has been carried out at both
locations to observe the sample size.
The travel characteristics obtained by O-D survey facilitate the identification of:
Local and through traffic on the project corridor.
Potential divertible traffic from project corridor to various alternative routes.
The tollable traffic at the proposed toll plaza on the project corridor.
Growth Potential
Travel characteristics like origin, destination and frequency of trip collected for passenger vehicles. For
goods vehicles, the survey elicited characteristics like origin, destination, frequency and commodity
being transported. The collected data was analyzed to obtain the trip distribution based on a zoning
system suitably designed for the present study.
3.1
Sample Size
The vehicles during the OD surveys were interviewed on a random sample basis. The traffic volume
count and the sample size (both in absolute numbers and in percentage terms) captured at the survey
locations on the project corridor is given in Table 3-1.
3.2
Tempo/ LCV
2-Axle Truck
3-Axle Truck
Multi Axle
Vehicle/ HCM/
EMV (4 to 6 Axles)
NH-211 (Km
254+550)
Standard Bus
NH-211 (Km
194+000)
Average Traffic
Average Sample
Sample %
Average Traffic
Average Sample
Sample %
Average Traffic
Average Sample
Sample %
Minibus
NH-211 (Km
134+000)
Taxi
Location
Passenger Car
Table 3-1: O-D Survey Sample Size
1151
414
36.0
2599
617
23.7
2023
565
27.9
152
53
34.8
165
65
39.4
270
47
17.2
16
6
34.4
47
20
41.6
46
10
20.6
224
97
43.0
544
183
33.7
352
132
37.5
655
77
11.8
1333
232
17.4
719
141
19.6
784
268
34.1
1344
441
32.8
852
403
47.3
1941
478
24.6
2446
435
17.8
2170
455
21.0
788
155
19.6
718
128
17.8
634
122
19.2
Zoning System
The zoning system has been defined by districts within Maharashtra at the first stageand other states at
the second level. The project corridor lies within four districts namely Osmanabad, Beed, Jalna and
Aurangabad in Maharashtra. The remaining states excluding Maharashtrahave been taken as zones and
assigned separate codes. In all, total 66 traffic zones have been considered for the analysis of project
corridor.
The traffic zones considered for travel analysis is listed in Table 3-2.
August 2014
3-1

Table 3-2: Traffic Zones for O-D Analysis

Zone No
Zone No
Zone Name
Zone Name
1010 Maharashtra-Ahmadnagar
1100 Andhra Pradesh
1011 Maharashtra-Aurangabad
1200 Arunachal Pradesh
1012 Maharashtra-Beed
1300 Assam
1013 Maharashtra-Bhandara
1400 Bihar
1014 Maharashtra-Chandrapur
1500 Chandigarh
1015 Maharashtra-Gadchiroli
1600 Chhattisgarh
1016 Maharashtra-Gondia
1700 Dadar Nagar Haveli
1017 Maharashtra-Hingoli
1800 Daman & Diu
1018 Maharashtra-Jalna
1900 Delhi
1019 Maharashtra-Kolhapur
2000 Goa
1020 Maharashtra-Latur
2100 Gujarat
1021 Maharashtra-Mumbai
2200 Haryana
1022 Maharashtra-Mumbai Suburban
2300 Himachal Pradesh
1023 Maharashtra-Nanded
2400 Jammu & Kashmir
1024 Maharashtra-Nashik
2500 Jharkhand
1025 Maharashtra-Osmanabad
2600 Karnataka
1026 Maharashtra-Parbhani
2700 Kerala
1027 Maharashtra-Pune
2800 Madhya Pradesh
1028 Maharashtra-Raigad
2900 Manipur
1029 Maharashtra-Ratnagiri
3000 Meghalaya
1030 Maharashtra-Sangli
3100 Mizoram
1031 Maharashtra-Satara
3200 Nagaland
1032 Maharashtra-Sindhudurg
3300 Odisha
1033 Maharashtra-Solapur
3400 Puducherry
1034 Maharashtra-Thane
3500 Punjab
1035 Maharashtra-Wardha
3600 Rajasthan
1036 Maharashtra-Washim
3700 Sikkim
1037 Maharashtra-Yavatmal
3800 Tamil Nadu
1038 Maharashtra-Nagpur
3900 Tripura
1039 Maharashtra-Amravati
4000 Uttar Pradesh
1040 Maharashtra-Akola
4100 Uttrakhand
1042 Maharashtra-Buldhana
4200 West Bengal
1045 Maharashtra-Jalgaon
1047 Maharashtra-Dhule
1051 Maharashtra-Nandurbar
3.3
Commodity Classification
The commodity has been classified into 13 categories and had beenused during the O-D survey for
recording the type of commodity. The commodity has been classified with emphasis to include all
possible commodities and categorize them into homogeneous groups. The list of classified commodities
is given in Table 3-3.
August 2014
3-2

Table 3-3: Classification of Commodities

Code
3.4
Commodity Type
Food Item/ Fruit/ Vegetable/ Dairy/ Meat (Raw/ Processed)
Cotton or Synthetic Yarn/ Fibre/ Textile/ Garment/ Handicraft/ Leather
Petroleum Product/ HSD/ Petrol
Iron & Steel (Aluminum or Metal) Rod/ Bar/ Sheet
Mineral and Ore
Coke/ Coal
Automobile/ Machine & Auto Spare Part
Rubber/ Plastic/ Tyre
Chemical/ Fertilizer/ Pharmaceutical Product
10
Building Material/ Cement/ Timber
11
Electronic/ Computer/ Electrical Appliance
12
Empty
13
Others
Expansion Factors
The origin-destination details were collected from the trip makers during the O-D survey on sample basis
by stopping and interviewing the fast moving vehicles. The sample size varied for different survey
locations depending upon the quantum of traffic volume moving on the road. Sampling rate varied with
the changes in traffic flow during different parts of the day at the same location as well. Care has been
taken to eliminate any element of bias in the sampling method. Since the data was collected on the
sample basis, expansion factors are required to replicate the pattern as reflected in the sample to the
total number of vehicular trips made during the day. These expansion factors are calculated separately
for each class of vehicle. For Example if xc is the number of cars interviewed and Xc is the total
number of cars counted during the day, then Xc/xc would be the expansion factor for Cars.
OD Matrices are developed to assess the traffic movement pattern. These matrices actually provide
distribution of trips for each zone as various inter-zonal movements. The vehicle wise O-D matrices for
each survey locations are developed by multiplying the sample O-D matrix obtained from the survey
data with the expansion factor. On the basis of O-D matrices, travel pattern of the vehicles moving on
the project corridor is discussed below.
3.5
Travel Desire Pattern
The origins and destinations of various types of vehicles observed at the O-D survey locations have been
analyzed for O-D matrices as per the zoning system presented above.
The following tables present Zone Influence Factors (ZIF) for understanding of trip generation in the PIA.
ZIF has been defined as:
Where,
ZIF i is the Zone Influence Factor of Zone i
O i is the number of trip productions at Zone i
D i is the number of trip attractions at Zone i
N is set of zones
August 2014
3-3

A detailed analysis of the travel characteristics reveal that the most significant traffic generating
locations for the corridor are Beed and Aurangabad districts followed by Solapur,Osmanabad, Jalna and
Ahmednagar districts. Karnataka, Gujarat, Andhra and Tamil Naduaremajor influencing states with a
significant share of trips of freight traffic. The project influence area is presented in Table 3-4.
Table 3-4: Project Influence Area
Zone Name
Andhra Pradesh
Delhi
Goa
Gujarat
Haryana
Karnataka
Kerala
Madhya Pradesh
Punjab
Rajasthan
Tamil Nadu
Uttar Pradesh
Maharashtra-Ahmadnagar
Maharashtra-Aurangabad
Maharashtra-Beed
Maharashtra-Jalna
Maharashtra-Kolhapur
Maharashtra-Latur
Maharashtra-Osmanabad
Maharashtra-Pune
Maharashtra-Sangli
Maharashtra-Solapur
Maharashtra-Nagpur
Maharashtra-Jalgaon
Maharashtra-Mumbai & Suburbs
Total
3.6
Cars
0.6
0.7
0.0
1.2
1.0
1.4
0.2
0.7
0.0
0.9
0.5
0.3
2.6
7.4
51.9
6.9
1.6
2.0
9.0
1.4
0.4
4.9
1.2
0.8
0.6
98.3
Buses
0.8
0.7
0.0
0.6
1.0
1.7
0.2
0.7
0.2
0.9
0.5
0.4
3.6
22.8
30.1
6.8
0.5
7.5
7.1
0.6
0.7
7.2
0.6
1.6
0.8
97.3
Trucks
5.6
4.4
0.9
5.8
2.6
8.6
1.6
2.3
1.2
2.1
4.2
3.5
3.5
7.8
20.9
3.6
1.4
1.6
5.0
1.4
1.0
4.8
0.9
1.1
1.6
97.6
Total
4.09
3.27
0.61
4.34
2.10
6.40
1.18
1.83
0.81
1.71
3.05
2.50
3.26
8.54
29.34
4.63
1.42
2.00
6.11
1.38
0.82
4.97
0.99
1.08
1.34
97.8
Passenger Trip Characteristics
The trip characteristics of passenger vehicles is discussed below

3.6.1 Trip Frequency
The trip frequency distribution of different mode of passenger vehicles plying on the project corridor has
been analyzed and the average trip frequency distribution of each mode of passenger vehicle plying on
the corridor is presented inTable 3-5. At least 50% of the trips are less than daily in frequency and
therefore likely to be one-way trips.
August 2014
3-1

2,3 Times a
week
Weekly
Occasionally
Total
NH-211 (Km 134+000)

Passenger Car
Taxi
NH-211 (Km 194+000)
Passenger Car
Taxi
NH-211 (Km 254+550)
Passenger Car
Taxi
Daily
Location
2,3 Times a
Day
Table 3-5: Average Passenger Trip Frequency Distribution (%) on Main Toll Plazas
4.6
3.8
28.7
31.0
8.1
9.5
23.0
32.1
35.6
23.7
100
100
7.8
4.9
30.6
48.1
10.5
10.9
32.1
28.4
18.9
7.7
100
100
5.3
0.0
53.9
16.2
16.4
38.9
15.6
39.3
8.8
5.7
100
100
3.6.2 Purpose of Trips

The purpose of trips carried out by passenger vehicles and passengers at each location have been
presented in Table 3-6. Maximum trips have been observed for work/ business followed by educational
trips. Other trip purposes like shopping, recreation and health are also a significant proportion of the
travel demand
Social/
Recreation
Shopping
Health
Return
Others
Total
NH-211 (Km 134+000)

Vehicles
Passengers
NH-211 (Km 194+000)
Vehicles
Passengers
NH-211 (Km 254+550)
Vehicles
Passengers
Education
Location
Work/
Business
Table 3-6: Distribution of Trips by Purpose (%)
33.7
32.7
13.0
11.7
8.0
10.2
6.0
6.1
8.7
7.7
15.6
16.5
15.0
15.1
100
100
43.0
41.8
10.2
8.6
6.3
7.0
6.9
6.6
4.6
4.7
12.1
13.0
16.9
18.3
100
100
30.4
32.0
23.6
23.2
10.5
11.9
7.2
7.9
3.1
3.2
3.4
3.3
22.0
18.5
100
100
3.6.3 Occupancy Analysis

The occupancy of passenger vehicles at each location has been analyzed. The average occupancy by
vehicle mode at each location has been presented in Table 3-7. The average occupancy for cars and taxis
varies from 2.7 to 3.5, for minibus and standard buses between 9 and 37.
Table 3-7: Average Occupancy
Mode
NH-211 (Km 134+000)
NH-211 (Km 194+000)
NH-211 (Km 254+550)
August 2014
Passenger Car
Taxi
Minibus
Standard Bus
3.5
3.3
2.7
3.4
3.5
3.9
15.0
20.6
9.4
30.0
36.8
28.0
3-2

3.6.4 Lead Analysis

The lead distribution for passenger vehicles at each location was analyzed based on the reported trip
lengths.It is seen that almost negligible trips are under 20Km in length implying less local users.Standard
buses have the longest range with about30% of the trips are more than 200Km in length and mini buses
have the shortest range with only about 15% trips longer than 200Km. Cars and taxis have about 15 and
25% trips longer than 200Km. The trip length frequency distribution is shown in Figure 3-1.
Figure 3-1: Trip Length Frequency Distribution for Passenger Vehicles
1.0000
0.9000
0.8000
Proportion of Trips
0.7000
0.6000
0.5000
0.4000
0.3000
0.2000
0.1000
0.0000
0
50
Passenger Car
3.7
100
150
Travel Distance (Km)
Taxi
Minibus
200
250
300
Standard Bus
Freight Trip Characteristics
The trip characteristics of goods vehicles are discussed below.

3.7.1 Trip Frequency
The average trip frequency distribution of each mode of goods vehicles plying on the corridor is
presented in Table 3-9.60 to 90% of the vehicles are plying with a frequency of less than daily and
therefore likely to be one-way trips.
August 2014
3-3

2,3 Times a
week
Weekly
Occasionally
Total
NH-211 (Km 134+000)

Tempo/ LCV
2-Axle Truck
3-Axle Truck
to 6 Axles)
NH-211 (Km 194+000)
Tempo/ LCV
2-Axle Truck
3-Axle Truck
to 6 Axles)
NH-211 (Km 254+550)
Tempo/ LCV
2-Axle Truck
3-Axle Truck
to 6 Axles)
Daily
Location
2,3 Times a
Day
Table 3-8: Average Freight Trip Frequency Distribution (%) on Toll Plaza Locations
6.7
2.9
0.9
20.7
13.1
8.3
17.1
5.9
4.1
34.4
34.9
29.9
21.1
43.2
56.8
100
100
100
0.3
4.3
4.6
39.5
51.3
100
11.3
8.9
4.0
42.8
20.8
13.9
13.2
11.5
7.8
23.8
27.7
42.8
8.9
31.1
31.4
100
100
100
1.9
12.8
10.4
30.8
44.0
100
7.1
3.7
1.8
39.9
21.4
15.4
15.2
10.4
9.3
32.4
37.3
39.5
5.4
27.3
34.1
100
100
100
2.7
18.3
5.9
40.3
32.9
100
3.7.2 Commodity Analysis

During the O-D surveys, information of goods pertaining to commodity and tonnage were recorded
along with the origin and destination details.
The information was analyzed to assess the kind of goods movement on the project corridor. The
commodity wise goods movement pattern at all locations across different vehicle categories in terms of
percent share has been presented in Table 3-10.
August 2014
3-4

NH-211 (Km 134+000)

Tempo/ LCV
2-Axle Truck
3-Axle Truck
Multi Axle Vehicle/
HCM (4 to 6 Axles)
NH-211 (Km 194+000)
Tempo/ LCV
2-Axle Truck
3-Axle Truck
Multi Axle Vehicle/
HCM (4 to 6 Axles)
NH-211 (Km 254+550)
Tempo/ LCV
2-Axle Truck
3-Axle Truck
Multi Axle Vehicle/
HCM (4 to 6 Axles)
1.61
5.52
0.67
8.75
8.13
7.09 14.17
2.59
16.86 12.79
18.36 7.78
20.78 7.53
1.06
2.10
4.30
0.45 7.41
0.91 10.13
1.62 11.20
1.96
0.46
0.59
3.03
6.53
8.21
7.93
5.43
6.40
3.65 13.33
4.74 12.59
3.76 9.96
1.97 15.23 14.33

1.35 16.11 13.51
1.28 8.37 15.98
20.59
4.60
3.45
0.80
6.87
1.95 10.17
4.68
3.89 10.75
0.35 10.53 21.39
21.34 12.11
18.56 8.99
22.24 9.01
3.24
5.45
2.27
3.87
3.10
0.99
5.34
3.11
3.65
1.82
0.88
0.36
2.48
3.77
5.07
4.63
4.57
3.76
2.80 8.22
4.69 14.42
3.54 18.90
3.24 18.10 12.80

1.71 17.26 13.47
3.93 16.48 9.80
18.44 11.70
1.06
0.84
7.31
3.10
8.33
1.91
3.32 17.11
2.13 18.13
Others
4.87
Empty
7.42
Electronic/ Computer/ Electrical

Appliance
24.61
Building Material/ Cement/ Timber
0.00 11.02 6.68

2.93 5.10 13.60
2.59 3.31 15.24
Chemical/ Fertilizer/ Pharmaceutical

Product
3.30 9.20
5.66 10.71
3.71 9.42
Rubber/ Plastic/ Tyre
3.12 5.21 10.24

4.03 9.69 7.89
2.28 10.95 6.30
Automobile/ Machine & Auto Spare Part
3.21 14.93
3.11 4.12
0.53 6.38
Coke/ Coal
0.00
3.49
2.60
Mineral and Ore
9.20
7.60
8.09
Iron & Steel (Aluminum or Metal) Rod/

Bar/ Sheet
23.87
22.09
28.59
Petroleum Product/ HSD/ Petrol
Cotton or Synthetic Yarn/ Fibre/ Textile/

Garment/ Handicraft/ Leather
Commodity Tyoe
Food Item/ Fruit/ Vegetable/ Dairy/ Meat

(Raw/ Processed)
Table 3-9: Commodity Wise Goods Movement Pattern (%)
2.59 11.99
6.60
The major commodity plying on the project corridor has been observed as food items, building
materials, minerals and automobile parts. The share of empty vehicles is quitemoderateindicating
higher utilization.
3.7.3 Load Analysis
The distribution of load among various goods vehicles observed at each location is presented in the
Table 3-11.
August 2014
3-5

Total
2.6
7.1 30.3 23.9 19.5 6.2 4.2
0.6
100.0
7.3
7.5
3.0
27.0 27.8 17.2 16.2 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5

7.2 3.9 5.3 26.4 31.7 15.7 2.1 0.0 0.0
2.7 3.5 2.8 20.3 28.3 25.0 10.1 3.2 1.0
0.0
0.2
0.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
4.4
9.9
3.9 15.7 26.5 22.2 7.6 2.9 4.0
0.0
100.0
8.6
6.0
6.7
22.2 18.8 26.7 19.8 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

7.8 6.6 8.9 17.9 24.6 27.0 1.2 0.0 0.0
2.8 5.7 8.3 12.9 22.1 30.8 9.8 0.8 0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
10.2
5.4
0.0
100.0
2.8
7.6
2.9
30 - 45
0.0
25 - 30
2.6
20 - 25
100.0
100.0
100.0
15 - 20
0.0
0.0
0.0
10 - 15
15.2 30.6 27.2 8.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

1.6 6.9 22.2 43.0 19.9 0.4 0.4 0.0
0.3 2.9 12.2 40.4 22.0 9.7 7.4 0.6
6 - 10
7.2
0.4
1.2
4-6
11.0
5.1
3.3
2-4
Greater
than 45
NH-211 (Km 134+000)

Tempo/ LCV
2-Axle Truck
3-Axle Truck
Multi Axle Vehicle/ HCM/
EMV (4 to 6 Axles)
NH-211 (Km 194+000)
Tempo/ LCV
2-Axle Truck
3-Axle Truck
EMV (4 to 6 Axles)
NH-211 (Km 254+550)
Tempo/ LCV
2-Axle Truck
3-Axle Truck
EMV (4 to 6 Axles)
Less than
2
Load Range (Tonnes)

Location
Empty
Table 3-10: Load Distribution (%)
5.8 11.9 13.5 28.1 13.7 3.7 0.0
The analysis of reported loading pattern indicates that the load range of LCV is upto 10 tonnes, 2-Axle
trucks carries load ranges upto20 tonnes and 3-Axle truck carries load ranges upto30 tonnes. It has been
also observed that MAV has varying load distribution ranging up to 45 tonnes. This indicates significant
of overloading above the designated load limits for each vehicle class.
The average load carried by freight vehicles on the project corridor is presented in Table 3-12. The
average load for freight vehicles including and excluding empty vehicles does not vary too much because
of therelatively smaller share of empty vehicles.
Mode
Tempo/ LCV
2-Axle Truck
3-Axle Truck
(4 to 6 Axles)
Table 3-11: Average Load

Average Load (Tonnes)
including Empty Vehicles excluding Empty Vehicles
4.9
5.3
11.0
13.9
11.7
14.6
14.6
15.5
3.7.4 Lead Analysis

The lead distribution for goods vehicles at each location was analyzed based on the reported trip
lengths.70 to 90% of the trips are longer than 300Km and likely to be one way trips. It can even be seen
that, there is a significant share of long distance trips having trip length in excess of 1000Kms. The trip
length frequency distribution for goods vehicles is given in Figure 3-2.
August 2014
3-6

Figure 3-2: Trip Length Frequency distribution for Goods Vehicles

1.0000
0.9000
0.8000
Proportion of Trips
0.7000
0.6000
0.5000
0.4000
0.3000
0.2000
0.1000
0.0000
0
150
300
Tempo/ LCV
3-Axle Truck
August 2014
450
600
750
Travel Distance (Km)
900
1050
1200
1350
1500
2-Axle Truck
Multi Axle Vehicle/ HCM/ EMV (4 to 6 Axles)
3-7

4.0
SURROUNDING ROAD NETWORK & DEVELOPMENT
4.1
Network Appreciation
4.1.1 Local Alternative Routes

There are no practical alternatives to the project corridor. All the alternatives identified were
significantly longer compared to the project road.Overall, none of the alternatives pose a threat of
diversion of traffic from the project highway.
Figure 4-1: Local Network in Project Influence Area
4.1.2 Regional Alternative Routes

The project road forms part of an important north south connectivity corridor in combination with NH13 and NH-3. The project road caters to local and intrastate traffic between districts of Solapur,
Osmanabad, Beed, Latur, Aurangabad and Dhule. Significant traffic between northern and southern
states is also observed due to a strategic north south linkage provided by the corridor. Considering
almost equal lengths of all routes and prevailing conditions on the network traffic is expected to
maintain an equilibrium and there is little likelihood of any traffic diversion from the project corridor.
August 2014
4-1

Figure 4-2: Regional Network in Project Influence Area
4.2
Developments in Project Influence Area
The project road has an influence area with significant traffic observed from Maharashtra, Karnataka,
Andhra Pradesh, Tamil Nadu, Gujarat and Madhya Pradesh. The major urban centers forming the
influence areas of the project corridor include Solapur, Beed and Aurangabad in the immediate vicinity.
Solapur
Solapur is the fourth largest district in Maharashtra in terms of land area and seventh largest in
terms of population. Solapur is one of the biggest cities in Maharashtra, situated near the
borders with Karnataka and Andhra Pradesh. It is situated at a distance of 410 km from the
Maharashtra State Capital of Mumbai by road and train. Solapur is at a distance of 245 km from
Pune and 305 km from Hyderabad. Four National Highways are going from Solapur city. These
are:
NH 9 Pune, Solapur, Hyderabad, Vijayawada.
NH 13 Solapur, Bijapur, Mangalore
NH 204 Ratnagiri, Kolhapur, Solapur, Nagpur
NH 211 Solapur, Aurangabad, Dhule
August 2014
4-2

The Major contribution to the economy in Solapur is agricultural produce, fruits like grapes,
pomegranate etc. The district also consists of medium and small scale industries. Presently Solapur has
five MIDC zones aggregating to 1213 Hectares and has one textile SEZ.
There are more than 31 sugar factories in one district making Solapur one of the largest center of sugar
production in India. Solapur district has the largest industry in Maharashtra for Beedi production.
Solapur is also known for its oilseed-market. Solapur is the home of Handloom and Powerloom weaving
industry which provides employment to a large number of workers. There are around 6000 powerloom
industries operational in the district. The main production is Chadders, Towels and Napkins. These
products are exported to various countries in the world
The industrial empire of the Kirloskars expanded to Solapur way back in 1900. They set up their factory
near Tikekarwadi, thus announcing the industrialisation of Maharashtra to the world. The Foundry with
an annual capacity of 40000 MT is a major supplier to Mahindras, Toyota, Piaggio, Escorts, TAFE etc. The
other leading industries include: Precision Camshafts Limited, Smruthi Organics Limited, CIMCCO, Balaji
Amines Ltd., Laxmi Hydraulics Pvt. Ltd.
Solapur has become a Power Hub in recent years. Power Plants are:
1. 400/220 KV Power Grid plant started in 2011 (which connects Parli Power Plant, Koyna
Hydroelectric Power Plant and Raichur (Karnataka) Power Plant.
2. 2x660 MW (1320MW) Solapur Thermal Power plant (work in progress) by NTPC and Bharat
Forge Joint Venture. It is states first ultra-mega thermal power plant.
Aurangabad
Aurangabad District is located mainly in the Godavari River Basin and partly in the Tapi River
Basin.Aurangabad has major industries in metals, engineering, pharma, bio-tech, chemicals and
jems&jewellery. It has 7 MIDC zone aggregating to 3825 hectares and 6 multi-product SEZs. Various
major manufacturing companies are - Bajaj Auto Limited, Garware Polyester, Videocon Industries Ltd.,
Skoda, Audi assembly, Siemens, Perkins, Hindalco, Varroc, Endurance, Ceat Goodyear, Orchid, Lupin,
Ajanta Pharma, Sabmiller, Fosters, Cosmo Films Ltd., Grindmaster, Greaves, Forbes Gokak, Forbes
Marshall, Lombardini and many more. Aurangabad has following MIDC areas - Waluj, Shendra five star
MIDC, Chikalthana, Paithan and Railway Station MIDC. Also there is Software Technology Park in
Chikalthana MIDC.
Aurangabad is also an important tourist destination and the only district of India having two-world
heritage monuments to its credit. Moreover it is hoped that there will be good addition of two more in
near future. Barring these heritage monuments of Ajanta, Ellora, Daulatabad and Bibi-Ka-Maqbara the
district is rich in monuments, historical and religious, of National importance.
August 2014
4-3

Osmanabad
Osmanabad district covers the major portion of the project corridor. It is also a significant location for
chemicals, agriculture and manufacturing. MIDC has six zones aggregating to 566 hectares and has a
manufacturing unit of the Mahindra group.
Apart from industries there are major tourist attractions of historical and cultural significance like
Naldurg fort, TuljaBhawani Temple in Tuljapur and Dharashiv Caves.
Karnataka
The major traffic influencing zone for the project highway other than Maharashtra is Karnataka.
Karnataka is one of the high economic growth states in India with a huge industrial activity based on
mining, manufacturing and IT industry.
Karnataka is the leader in the information technology sector in India and its capital Bangalore is known
as the Silicon Valley of India.Gold, iron ore, quartz, limestone, manganese and bauxite are some of the
minerals that are found in Karnataka.
Karnataka evolved as the manufacturing hub for some of the largest public sector industries of India.
Hindustan Aeronautics Limited which is dedicated to research and development activities for indigenous
fighter aircraft for the Indian Air Force. Other heavy industries such as National Aerospace Laboratories,
Bharat Heavy Electricals Limited, Indian Telephone Industries, Bharat Earth Movers Limited (BEML),
Bharat Electronics Limited, Hindustan Machine Tools and Indian subsidiaries of Volvo and Toyota are
also headquartered in Bangalore. TVS Motors has a motorcycle manufacturing plant at Mysore and Tata
Motors at Dharwad. Karnataka state has many companies engaged in manufacturing of electrical
equipment and machinery like Kirloskar, ABB, Kavika, Larsen and Toubro etc. This may be due to the
location of the Central Power Research Institute (CPRI) at Bangalore.
There is petroleum refinery, Mangalore Refinery and Petrochemicals Limited (MRPL) at Katipalla in
Dakshina Kannada district. There is also fertilizer factory MCF near New Mangalore port.
Andhra Pradesh
Another major traffic influencing zone for the project highway is Andhra Pradesh.
Mining is identified as one of the growth engines for the overall development of industry and
infrastructure. Andhra Pradesh is rich in natural minerals resources. 32% of the countrys total reserves
of limestone is in AP. The Tummalapalle Uranium mine in Andhra has confirmed 49,000 tonnes of ore
and there are indications that it could hold reserves totaling three times its current size. 700 million
tonnes of metal grade Bauxite deposits in close proximity to Visakhapatnam Port.
The Government of Andhra Pradesh is keen to utilize large deposits of KG Basin (Krishna Godavari Basin
gas for power production to overcome the energy shortage, create employment opportunities and
contribute to economic value and exports.
4.2.1 Economic Growth Outlook
Maharashtra is one of the highly industrialized and growing states of India. Considering the economic
growth of Maharashtra and other states in the project influence area it may be safely assumed that the
traffic growth risks associated with the project highway are not significant. The long term log linear
relationship between GDP of India and NSDP of Maharashtra shows that Maharashtra has been growing
at an average growth rate which is about 13% higher than the national average. Similar analysis was
carried out for all states in the project influence i.e. the ones contributing traffic to the project corridor.
August 2014
4-4

26887 29176
67161 24308 23044
26550 29920
68738 26619 25010
27211 31252
71382 27400 25523
26107 32866
75864 27892 31337
27724 31273
76839 30061 29087
28737 34002
82889 32367 28969
28083 32492
84018 33498 31751
29300 36931
89684 35241 29550
32239 39640
99047 37109 41759
34405 40464
115386 40240 40905
37008 46214
120582 41005 47322
37732 42881
120205 42862 43692
40454 46027
138383 44884 50243
44639 50928 21136 153642 46845 46149
48488 51817 21167 156625 48019 54577
50433 54926 21715 173904 49793 56585
52452 58612 22662 180764 53460 63198
53588 61679 23548 190739 54907 70885
57277 65752 24123 198332 58067 73988
61359 72655 23840 217196 61139 74174
62909 66750 22372 210526 63172 71764
66052 71525 25503 217963 63995 79936
70885 67795 25072 232994 65085 70333
75479 75400 29782 250989 69149 92712
82590 77874 31377 272860 72587 90445
91043 81797 31890 315921 76146 96520
98236 89254 37956 361532 84358 107881
107003 93472 41024 401703 91664 112796
113583 105177 43716 411847 96745 122282
123817 116017 45860 470233 102676 128677
135498 125101 51469 520605 109530 143079
9524
10373
10270
10917
11049
11183
11187
12582
13179
14413
15553
17599
20036
22571
26445
29269
32533
34908
Delhi
74836
76630
82617
85859
87221
90639
94565
98837
111725
114833
121664
122161
123474
126535
133135
137436
152689
151064
152177
156809
160015
162926
168198
177054
185920
196772
212400
226014
243188
258062
278320
West Bengal
40969
45470
43012
45340
51271
53303
52843
56152
60920
65092
70513
72397
76132
82773
92870
95944
99879
108704
113004
119704
126349
123901
124521
132281
147994
169349
195867
208136
217852
238502
266980
Uttrakhand
Uttar Pradesh
Rajasthan
Punjab
Chhattisgarh
Madhya
Pradesh
Kerala
Karnataka
Haryana
Gujarat
Goa
39945 1559 31058 16888 29299

46413 1445 34146 17517 31240
47231 1663 33634 18609 32000
49205 1682 40090 19004 34276
47717 1747 40067 19745 36830
50738 1672 38966 23287 35309
49358 1752 41366 23304 38624
56034 1945 36760 22892 41340
65605 2360 51580 28467 44906
70825 2464 50669 28841 47439
74065 2811 51419 31854 47785
78220 2801 47173 32511 53858
76110 3211 62353 32500 55106
84771 3345 60441 33965 59213
89545 3475 72575 36436 62311
95103 3718 74741 37169 65604
101674 4347 86136 41549 71629
98992 4391 86128 41910 76080
111653 5489 92197 44144 86398
116360 5570 92541 47329 90532
126035 5287 86431 51090 91136
131750 5492 93455 55036 92788
134749 5826 101603 58410 97765
147950 6225 118525 64156 99669
158714 6891 125599 69688 109768
174166 7465 143830 75985 121061
192841 8198 155995 84627 133649
215026 8555 174440 91264 150420
230426 9224 181897 98322 161121
244421 10264 204826 110229 167002
268692 11269 225591 120954 171625
Tamil Nadu
641921
678033
697861
752669
782484
815049
850217
880267
969702
1029178
1083572
1099072
1158025
1223816
1302076
1396974
1508378
1573263
1678410
1786525
1864301
1972606
2048286
2222758
2388768
2616073
2866726
3134383
3346252
3612532
3921310
Andhra
Pradesh
India (GDP)
1980-81
1981-82
1982-83
1983-84
1984-85
1985-86
1986-87
1987-88
1988-89
1989-90
1990-91
1991-92
1992-93
1993-94
1994-95
1995-96
1996-97
1997-98
1998-99
1999-00
2000-01
2001-02
2002-03
2003-04
2004-05
2005-06
2006-07
2007-08
2008-09
2009-10
2010-11
Growth
1981-2011
Growth
1994-2011
Growth
2000-2011
Maharashtra
Table 4-1: GDP of India and NSDP of Maharashtra and some other States
Year
45948 11778
44707 12737
46474 14344
51996 14004
53376 14584
55607 16887
57815 17981
60919 19569
63524 21248
65780 23210
69242 24208
74664 27892
76886 28866
82475 30862
88206 34576
94801 35180
101387 40021
109887 46506
116898 48840
125299 51175
129691 53177
139057 55222
143931 59454
152388 62694
162491 69479
172722 76635
186280 86150
200773 95861
208865 107802
229413 119685
245698 132752
6.01
6.34
6.59
6.61
6.56
5.87
5.36
4.81
5.07
6.83
4.98
6.07
6.23
4.33
7.48
5.56
8.13
6.68
6.62
6.98
7.59
7.31
6.09
6.36
5.12
5.07
7.01
4.83
6.49
6.72
4.48
7.48
6.25
8.44
6.77
7.22
6.05
7.71
8.13
5.47
6.82
4.63
6.62
7.56
4.98
5.63
6.91
4.90
9.95
5.77
8.27
Figure 4-3: Log Linear Relationship between GDP and States NSDP
5.8
y = 1.1358x - 1.781
5.6
5.4
y = 1.0166x - 1.2885
5.2
Ln (NSDP)
y = 1.0302x - 1.3642
5.0
y = 1.0119x - 1.4028
4.8
4.6
4.4
5.7
5.8
5.9
6.0
6.1
6.2
6.3
6.4
6.5
6.6
6.7
Ln (GDP)
August 2014
Maharashtra
Karnataka
Andhra Pradesh
Tamil Nadu
Linear (Maharashtra)
Linear (Karnataka)
Linear (Andhra Pradesh)
Linear (Tamil Nadu)
4-5

5.0
ANALYSIS OF TRAFFIC GROWTH POTENTIAL
5.1 General
The traffic growth on a road facility is generally estimated on the basis of historical trends. Demand
changes are usually because of shifts in the pattern of economic activities in the surrounding regions.
Hence, future traffic estimation necessitates a preview, however imprecise, of the probable pattern of
future growth of the economy.
The traffic growth rates established for this study are based on the elasticity procedure outlined in IRC:
108-1996 Guidelines for Traffic Prediction on Rural Highways. In the elasticity approach, a relationship
is established between traffic and socio-economic indicators of influence area. The methodology thus
adopted incorporates the perspective growth envisaged in the economic indicators of these project
influence area and the changes in transport demand elasticity over a period of time. Traffic growth rates
by vehicle type, for the project road sections, have been forecasted for a period of 30 yearsthough the
concession period is 26 years.
The National Highway No. 211 originates from Solapur and ends at Dhule, The project road is a section
between Yedeshi and Aurangabad. The project road act as a link between NH-3, NH-6 and NH-7 in north
& west to NH-9 and NH-13 in south and caters to local as well as long distance traffic.
5.2 Methodology
The following methodology has been adopted for estimating traffic growth rates. The methodology uses
the basic principle of elasticity of traffic growth with respect to economic growth.
Step 1:
Analysis of past vehicle registration data with economic growth parameters of

PIA to derive elasticity of traffic in relation to NSDP.
Step 2:
Development of future GDP growth scenario.
Step 3:
Correlation of NSDP of PIA with GDP.
Step 4:
Estimation of future NSDP and Derivation of traffic growth rates.
5.3 Elasticity of Traffic Growth in Relation to Economic Growth

The following section describes the methodology in detail.
5.3.1 Traffic Projection Trip Ends Method
The trip ends method relates the growth in transportation demand with the growth and development of
the PIA at the zonal level. This method incorporates regional disparities in terms of its economic
activities and contribution towards traffic.
The model used to estimate future traffic can be expressed as follows:
(E z TE mz )
e
= T( y 1) m 1 + z =1 n
ym

TE
mz
z =1
Where
T ym
=
Trips by Mode and Year
T (y-1) m =
Trips by Mode in Previous Year
Ez
=
Zonal Economic Growth Rates
e ym
=
Year and Mode Elasticity values
Trip end by Mode and Zone
TE mz
=
n
=
Number of zones
The results of O-D analysis on the project road section indicate that the The project road mainly caters to
intrastate traffic between districts of Solapur, Osmanabad, Beed, Latur, Aurangabad and Dhule.
Significant traffic between northern and southern states can also be observed due to a strategic north
south linkage provided by the corridor.
Tym
August 2014
5-1

Table 5-1: Mode Wise PIA Percentage Sharefor Project Corridor

Zone Name
Andhra Pradesh
Delhi
Goa
Gujarat
Haryana
Karnataka
Kerala
Madhya Pradesh
Punjab
Rajasthan
Tamil Nadu
Uttar Pradesh
Maharashtra-Ahmadnagar
Maharashtra-Aurangabad
Maharashtra-Beed
Maharashtra-Jalna
Maharashtra-Kolhapur
Maharashtra-Latur
Maharashtra-Osmanabad
Maharashtra-Pune
Maharashtra-Sangli
Maharashtra-Solapur
Maharashtra-Nagpur
Maharashtra-Jalgaon
Maharashtra-Mumbai & Suburbs
Total
Cars
0.6
0.7
0.0
1.2
1.0
1.4
0.2
0.7
0.0
0.9
0.5
0.3
2.6
7.4
51.9
6.9
1.6
2.0
9.0
1.4
0.4
4.9
1.2
0.8
0.6
98.3
Buses
0.8
0.7
0.0
0.6
1.0
1.7
0.2
0.7
0.2
0.9
0.5
0.4
3.6
22.8
30.1
6.8
0.5
7.5
7.1
0.6
0.7
7.2
0.6
1.6
0.8
97.3
Trucks
5.6
4.4
0.9
5.8
2.6
8.6
1.6
2.3
1.2
2.1
4.2
3.5
3.5
7.8
20.9
3.6
1.4
1.6
5.0
1.4
1.0
4.8
0.9
1.1
1.6
97.6
Total
4.09
3.27
0.61
4.34
2.10
6.40
1.18
1.83
0.81
1.71
3.05
2.50
3.26
8.54
29.34
4.63
1.42
2.00
6.11
1.38
0.82
4.97
0.99
1.08
1.34
97.8
5.3.2 Transport Demand Elasticities

The elasticity approach has been used for determining the growth rates of future traffic. This involved
establishing a quantitative relationship between traffic growth as the dependent variable and growth in
NSDP/ GDP as the independent variable. The methodology involved fitting log-log regression equations
to the time series data.As the time series traffic data on project road is not available, elasticity values are
established by using registered vehicles as dependent variable and the states NSDP as independent
variable. Table 5-2 shows the growth of registered vehicles under different categories in the state of
Maharashtra. Figure 5-1shows the relationship between the growth of registered vehicles and economic
growth in the state of Maharashtra.
A similar exercise was carried out for most major PIA zones to estimate their respective modal elasticity
values. Further, for states that have a minor share of trip-ends or for which the vehicle registration data
was not available, it was deemed suitable to use national level elasticity.
August 2014
5-2

Figure 5-1: Traffic Elasticities for Maharashtra State

15
y = 1.2208x - 1.2793
R = 0.9545
14
y = 1.1307x - 0.9734
R = 0.9753
Ln(Vehicles)
13
y = 0.9092x + 0.1875
R = 0.9304
12
y = 0.8004x + 1.0143
R = 0.9853
Cars
11
Taxi Cabs
10
Buses
Goods
Linear (Cars)
9
11
11.2
11.4
11.8
11.6
12
12.2
12.4
12.6
12.8
13
Ln(NSDP)
Table 5-2: Vehicle Registration Data for Maharashtra State

Year
Two
Wheelers
Cars
Taxi
Cabs
Stage
AutoGoods
Carriage / School
Tractors Trailors Others
Ambulance
rickahaws Contract Buses
Vehicles
Carriage
Total
2000
4047156
832538
84015
388037
40339
1664
3906 378873 163182 158388 15425
6113523
2001
4519351
921928
89308
413828
41248
1741
4052 404069 176421 171222 16306
6759474
2002
5023126 1000318
97081
440018
38289
1892
4187 425692 186675 179995 16298
7413571
2003
5587662 1087885
94920
463550
39346
2008
4434 456355 194902 186100 16675
8133837
2004
6216794 1199356 102475
493142
40480
2251
4894 499195 201940 190628 17578
8968733
9935965
2005
6926576 1335429 113380
515249
47067
2910
5823 559847 212466 197169 20049
2006
7691856 1479877 122389
534535
48711
3218
6328 621971 229362 204733 23451 10966431
2007
8573679 1648379 133309
555118
50955
3834
6830 700356 250950 220284 27297 12170991
2008
9394869 1822458 149526
574625
55281
4154
7453 781492 276438 238080 31485 13335861
2009 10212360 1979191 157916
598013
57353
4698
8260 845617 302249 252409 32842 14450908
2010 11181762 2182969 168307
626332
60387
5222
9104 896397 331694 270078 36169 15768421
CAGR
10.7%
10.1%
7.2%
4.9%
4.1% 12.1%
8.8%
9.0%
7.4%
5.5%
8.9%
9.9%
The transport demand elasticity arrived by regression analysis between vehicle registration and state
NSDP for each mode for the immediate project influence area for major PIA zones is presented in Table
5-3.The mode wise elasticity values were arrived at by taking an average elasticity value for each project
influence region/ states weighed by the trip end factor as revealed from the O-D survey results.
With most of the traffic on the project road coming in from within these zones, it may be expected to
experience significantly higher growth in passenger traffic and moderate growth in freight traffic.
August 2014
5-3

Minibus
Standard Bus
Tempo/ LCV
2-Axle Truck
3-Axle Truck
Multi Axle Vehicle/

HCM/ EMV (4 to 6 Axles)

Axles)
Beed
Aurangabad
Osmanabad
Solapur
Jalna
Ahmadnagar
Latur
Mumbai Suburban
Kolhapur
Pune
Nagpur
Jalgaon
Sangli
Karnataka
Gujarat
Andhra Pradesh
Tamil Nadu
Delhi
Uttar Pradesh
Madhya Pradesh
Haryana
Rajasthan
Kerala
Punjab
Goa
Taxi
Zone Name
Passenger Car
Table 5-3: Zonal Transport Demand Elasticity using Vehicle Registration Data
1.5
1.5
1.6
1.0
1.5
1.0
1.5
0.8
1.6
1.9
1.7
1.7
1.6
2.1
1.2
2.1
1.8
1.1
3.3
1.9
3.5
1.9
1.6
3.4
1.6
1.6
1.6
2.8
1.4
1.6
0.8
1.6
0.0
1.1
1.9
1.1
1.3
1.1
2.3
0.5
3.6
2.0
0.9
2.2
1.6
3.9
1.9
1.7
3.7
1.7
0.4
0.4
0.0
-0.2
0.4
-0.8
0.4
-0.2
0.3
1.1
1.2
0.5
0.3
1.0
2.1
0.1
0.6
1.8
1.5
1.8
1.2
1.2
0.6
0.8
0.6
0.8
0.8
0.1
-0.2
0.8
-0.8
0.8
-0.2
0.3
1.1
1.2
0.5
0.3
2.1
0.5
0.1
0.6
1.8
1.5
1.8
1.2
1.2
1.2
0.8
1.2
1.2
1.2
1.7
0.6
1.2
0.0
1.2
-0.3
0.7
0.9
0.8
1.1
0.7
1.5
1.2
2.5
2.1
0.4
1.0
1.0
2.2
4.5
1.3
1.8
1.3
0.7
0.7
0.9
0.3
0.7
0.0
0.7
-0.3
0.4
0.5
0.4
0.6
0.4
0.8
0.3
1.4
1.2
0.2
0.6
0.6
1.2
0.7
0.7
1.0
0.7
1.3
1.3
1.9
0.7
1.3
0.0
1.3
0.1
0.8
1.0
0.9
1.2
0.8
1.6
0.6
2.7
2.3
0.5
1.1
1.1
2.4
1.4
1.4
1.9
1.4
1.6
1.6
2.2
0.8
1.6
0.1
1.6
0.1
0.9
1.1
1.0
1.4
0.9
1.9
0.6
3.3
2.8
0.6
1.3
1.3
2.9
1.4
1.7
2.3
1.7
1.0
1.0
1.3
0.5
1.0
0.0
1.0
0.0
0.6
0.7
0.6
0.8
0.6
1.1
0.5
2.0
1.7
0.3
0.8
0.8
1.8
1.0
1.0
1.4
1.0
The projected elasticity values are based on the premise that transport demand elasticity for both
freight and passenger traffic tend to decline over time as regional imbalances are corrected and regions
become self-sufficient. Moreover, irrational traffic flows are being gradually cut down, with an increase
in road network and improved accessibility. As the economy and its various sectors grow, every region
tends to become self-sufficient. The project elasticity values have been rationalized for freight vehicles
as per the trend in the growth of these vehicles. The past trend in the growth of vehicles has seen more
growth in MAVs &3-axle trucks, moderate growth in 2-axle trucks and re-categorization of LCV and 2axle trucks. The elasticity value for LCV has been considered as per the past trend of growth of vehicles.
The projected elasticity values adopted in the study for 5 yearly intervals for eachlocation on the project
corridorsare presented in Table 5-4.
August 2014
5-4

Table 5-4: Projected Transport Demand Elasticityfor Project Corridor

Modes
2015-19 2020-24 2025-29 2030-34 2035-39 2040-44
1.5
1.5
1.3
1.1
0.9
0.8
Passenger Car
1.7
1.7
1.4
1.3
1.1
0.9
Taxi
0.4
0.4
0.4
0.3
0.3
0.3
Minibus
0.6
0.6
0.5
0.5
0.4
0.4
Standard Bus
1.2
1.2
1.0
0.9
0.8
0.7
Tempo/ LCV
0.7
0.7
0.5
0.4
0.3
0.3
2-Axle Truck
1.4
1.4
1.2
0.9
0.8
0.7
3-Axle Truck
1.6
1.6
1.4
1.1
1.0
0.8
EMV (4 to 6 Axles)
1.0
1.0
0.9
0.7
0.6
0.5
5.3.3 Economic Perspective
The rate of change in NSDP at constant prices is the main economic indicator for measuring the real
growth in the economy. The time series of state income at constant prices for the NSDP of for all states
have been studied to assess the past performance of the state economy with respect to the growth of
Indias GDP for a period of almost thirty years starting from 1980-81 to 2010-11. Regression analysis was
conducted for all states in the project influence, with NSDP being the dependent variable and GDP as the
independent variable.
The average annual growth rates for Maharashtra and other states whicharerepresent the influence area
of the project corridor are presented in Table 5-5.
Table 5-5: Economic Growth Rate
State
2015-19
India
6.00
Maharashtra
5.76
Gujarat
6.56
Karnataka
5.97
Tamil Nadu
5.45
Andhra Pradesh
5.91
Madhya Pradesh
4.05
3.47
Uttar Pradesh
2020-24
6.50
6.24
7.11
6.47
5.91
6.40
4.39
3.76
2025-29
6.50
7.15
6.99
6.70
6.42
6.67
5.02
4.33
2030-34
6.00
6.60
6.45
6.18
5.92
6.16
4.63
4.00
2035-39
5.50
5.28
5.77
5.47
5.56
5.42
4.35
3.75
2040-44
5.00
4.80
5.24
4.97
5.06
4.93
3.96
3.41
The relationships between the state and national economies were used to project state wise economic
growth rates for different periods based on GDP growth forecasts. The GDP forecasts have been made
based on the recent trends for the short term and long term trends based on various outlooks on Indian
Economy. Based on the current trends and outlook the average GDP growth has been assumed to be
6.0% per annum for the immediate 5 year period after which it has been assumed to slightly accelerate
before slowing down gradually to 5% per annum during 2040-44 period.
5.3.4 Projected Traffic Growth Rates
The traffic growth rates over the next 30 years for the project corridors were derived based on transport
demand elasticity and economic growth perspective under three scenarios namely Optimistic, Most
Likely and Pessimistic. The mode wise growth rates under each of the scenarios are shown in Table 5-6,
Table 5-6 and Table 5-6 below.
August 2014
5-5

Table 5-6: Projected Optimistic Traffic Growth Rates using Econometric Model (%)
Modes
2015-19 2020-24 2025-29 2030-34 2035-39 2040-44 2015-40
Passenger Car
9.4
8.7
8.4
6.7
4.6
3.7
7.0
Taxi
10.4
9.6
9.8
7.8
5.4
4.2
8.0
Minibus
2.6
2.4
2.5
2.1
1.5
1.2
2.1
Standard Bus
3.9
3.6
3.7
2.9
2.1
1.7
3.0
Tempo/ LCV
7.5
7.0
7.1
5.7
4.1
3.3
5.9
2-Axle Truck
4.1
3.5
2.9
2.2
1.5
1.1
2.6
3-Axle Truck
8.6
7.8
6.9
5.4
3.9
3.1
6.1
10.3
9.5
8.2
6.5
4.7
3.7
7.3
EMV (4 to 6 Axles)
6.3
5.8
5.0
3.9
2.9
2.3
4.4
Axles)
Table 5-7: Projected Likely Traffic Growth Rates using Econometric Model (%)
Modes
2015-19 2020-24 2025-29 2030-34 2035-39 2040-44 2015-40
Passenger Car
8.6
8.0
7.8
6.2
4.3
3.3
6.5
Taxi
9.6
8.9
9.1
7.2
4.9
3.9
7.4
Minibus
2.4
2.3
2.3
1.9
1.3
1.1
1.9
Standard Bus
3.6
3.3
3.4
2.7
1.9
1.5
2.8
Tempo/ LCV
6.9
6.5
6.6
5.3
3.8
3.0
5.4
2-Axle Truck
3.8
3.3
2.7
2.0
1.4
1.0
2.4
3-Axle Truck
7.9
7.3
6.4
5.0
3.6
2.8
5.6
9.5
8.8
7.6
6.0
4.3
3.4
6.7
EMV (4 to 6 Axles)
5.8
5.3
4.6
3.6
2.6
2.0
4.1
Axles)
Table 5-8: Projected Pessimistic Traffic Growth Rates using Econometric Model (%)
Modes
2015-19 2020-24 2025-29 2030-34 2035-39 2040-44 2015-40
Passenger Car
7.9
7.4
7.2
5.6
3.9
3.0
6.0
Taxi
8.8
8.2
8.4
6.6
4.5
3.5
6.8
Minibus
2.2
2.1
2.2
1.7
1.2
1.0
1.8
Standard Bus
3.3
3.1
3.1
2.5
1.7
1.4
2.6
Tempo/ LCV
6.3
6.0
6.1
4.8
3.4
2.7
5.0
2-Axle Truck
3.5
3.0
2.5
1.8
1.2
0.9
2.2
3-Axle Truck
7.3
6.7
5.9
4.6
3.3
2.5
5.2
8.7
8.1
7.0
5.5
3.9
3.0
6.2
EMV (4 to 6 Axles)
5.3
4.9
4.3
3.3
2.4
1.8
3.8
Axles)
The following sections present further detailed traffic and revenue projections which were carried out
using the projected growth rates.
5.4
Traffic Forecast
Long term forecasting of traffic on project road for next 30 years is required for pavement design and
assessing the financial returns of the proposed investment. The traffic has been forecasted as per the
most likely projected traffic growth rate for the project corridor of NH-211.
August 2014
5-6

The traffic forecast has been carried out for each toll plaza location as per the base AADT numbers.
The criteria for traffic assessment as per theConcession Agreement are given in Table 5-9 and the
average total traffic PCUs is given in Table 5-10. Exempted vehicles in the tollable categories have also
been included for this analysis.
Table 5-9: Traffic Criteria DCA
Project Road Designed Capacity (PCUs) Target Traffic (PCUs) Target Date
NH-211
60000
24407
1-Oct-2023
Year
KM134+000
KM 194+000
KM 254+550
Average NH-211
Traffic (PCUs)
Table 5-10: Average Total Traffic (PCUs) on Project Road
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
2031
2032
2033
2034
2035
2036
2037
2038
2039
2040
2041
2042
2043
14409
15481
16640
17891
19243
20705
22158
23720
25399
27206
29148
31010
32999
35122
37390
39812
41846
43990
46250
48632
51143
53038
55006
57052
59177
61385
63160
64989
66873
68815
20646
22096
23657
25339
27151
29104
31040
33117
35344
37734
40298
42783
45434
48261
51277
54496
57198
60043
63041
66198
69524
72019
74610
77300
80093
82994
85328
87732
90208
92757
16089
17264
18531
19899
21375
22968
24552
26252
28079
30042
32151
34190
36367
38692
41174
43826
46054
48402
50876
53485
56235
58301
60448
62678
64995
67401
69338
71332
73388
75505
17048
18280
19609
21043
22590
24259
25917
27696
29608
31660
33866
35995
38267
40692
43281
46045
48366
50812
53389
56105
58967
61119
63355
65677
68088
70593
72608
74684
76823
79026
The target traffic is achieved in the year 2020, about 4 years earlier than the target date. On target date
the traffic is expected to be more (about 38.8%) than the target traffic. The design traffic capacity is
onlyreached towards the end of theconcession period, i.e. till year 2035, as shown in Table 5-11.
August 2014
5-7

Table 5-11: Observed Traffic Criteria

Project Road
Year Exceeds
Designed Capacity
(PCUs)
Year - Exceeds
Target Traffic (24407
PCUs)
Traffic on Target
Date 01-10-23
NH-211
2035
2020
33866
The mode-wise forecasted traffic at each section on the project corridor is presented in Table 5-12,Table
5-13 and Table 5-14.
Passenger Car
Taxi
Minibus
Standard Bus
Tempo/ LCV
2-Axle Truck
3-Axle Truck
Multi Axle Vehicle/


Axles)
Total Vehicles
Total PCUs
Table 5-12: Mode Wise Forecasted Traffic at Toll Plaza 1
1130
1227
1333
1449
1574
1710
1847
1995
2156
2329
2516
2712
2922
3149
3393
3656
3881
4120
4373
4642
4928
5138
5357
5585
5823
6072
6273
6482
6697
6919
149
164
179
196
215
236
257
280
305
332
361
394
430
470
513
559
600
643
689
739
792
831
872
915
960
1008
1047
1087
1129
1172
16
16
16
17
17
18
18
18
19
19
20
20
21
21
22
22
23
23
23
24
24
25
25
25
26
26
26
27
27
27
220
228
236
244
253
262
271
280
289
299
309
320
330
342
353
365
375
385
396
407
418
426
434
442
450
459
466
473
480
488
641
686
733
783
837
895
953
1015
1081
1151
1226
1306
1393
1484
1582
1687
1776
1870
1969
2073
2182
2264
2350
2438
2529
2625
2703
2784
2867
2953
768
797
827
858
891
924
954
986
1018
1051
1086
1115
1145
1177
1209
1241
1266
1292
1318
1344
1371
1390
1409
1428
1447
1467
1481
1496
1511
1525
1902
2052
2215
2390
2579
2783
2986
3204
3437
3687
3956
4208
4476
4761
5064
5387
5656
5939
6236
6548
6876
7124
7380
7646
7921
8206
8434
8669
8910
9157
772
846
927
1015
1112
1218
1325
1441
1568
1706
1856
1997
2149
2313
2489
2678
2839
3009
3189
3380
3582
3737
3900
4069
4245
4430
4578
4731
4890
5054
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
5598
6016
6466
6953
7478
8046
8612
9220
9873
10575
11330
12072
12867
13716
14624
15596
16416
17280
18193
19156
20173
20934
21726
22548
23403
24292
25009
25748
26510
27296
14409
15481
16640
17891
19243
20705
22158
23720
25399
27206
29148
31010
32999
35122
37390
39812
41846
43990
46250
48632
51143
53038
55006
57052
59177
61385
63160
64989
66873
68815
Year
KM134+000
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
2031
2032
2033
2034
2035
2036
2037
2038
2039
2040
2041
2042
2043
August 2014
5-8

Passenger Car
Taxi
Minibus
Standard Bus
Tempo/ LCV
2-Axle Truck
3-Axle Truck
Multi Axle Vehicle/


Axles)
Total Vehicles
Total PCUs
2551
2771
3011
3271
3554
3861
4171
4506
4868
5260
5682
6123
6598
7110
7662
8256
8764
9303
9875
10483
11128
11602
12097
12612
13150
13710
14166
14636
15122
15624
162
177
194
213
233
256
278
303
330
360
391
427
466
509
555
606
650
696
747
800
858
900
945
991
1040
1092
1134
1178
1223
1270
46
47
48
49
51
52
53
54
55
57
58
59
61
62
63
65
66
67
69
70
71
72
73
74
75
76
77
78
79
80
533
552
572
592
613
635
657
679
701
725
749
774
801
828
856
885
909
934
959
985
1012
1031
1051
1071
1091
1112
1129
1146
1164
1182
1306
1396
1492
1595
1705
1823
1941
2067
2201
2344
2496
2660
2835
3022
3222
3434
3616
3807
4008
4220
4443
4610
4784
4963
5150
5344
5503
5668
5837
6012
1317
1367
1419
1472
1528
1585
1637
1691
1746
1803
1862
1913
1965
2018
2073
2130
2172
2216
2261
2306
2352
2384
2416
2449
2482
2516
2541
2566
2591
2617
2397
2586
2791
3012
3250
3507
3763
4037
4331
4647
4985
5303
5640
6000
6382
6788
7128
7484
7859
8252
8665
8977
9300
9635
9982
10341
10629
10924
11228
11539
703
770
844
924
1012
1109
1207
1313
1428
1553
1690
1818
1957
2106
2266
2439
2585
2740
2904
3078
3262
3403
3551
3705
3866
4034
4169
4309
4453
4602
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
9015
9667
10371
11129
11946
12828
13707
14649
15661
16747
17914
19078
20324
21655
23080
24603
25890
27248
28681
30194
31791
32981
34217
35502
36837
38226
39348
40505
41697
42927
20646
22096
23657
25339
27151
29104
31040
33117
35344
37734
40298
42783
45434
48261
51277
54496
57198
60043
63041
66198
69524
72019
74610
77300
80093
82994
85328
87732
90208
92757
Year
KM 194+000
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
2031
2032
2033
2034
2035
2036
2037
2038
2039
2040
2041
2042
2043
August 2014
5-9

Passenger Car
Taxi
Minibus
Standard Bus
Tempo/ LCV
2-Axle Truck
3-Axle Truck
Multi Axle Vehicle/


Axles)
Total Vehicles
Total PCUs
1985
2156
2343
2545
2765
3004
3245
3506
3788
4092
4421
4764
5134
5532
5961
6424
6819
7239
7684
8157
8659
9028
9412
9813
10232
10668
11022
11388
11766
12157
265
290
318
349
382
419
456
497
541
589
642
700
764
834
910
993
1065
1141
1224
1312
1406
1475
1548
1625
1705
1789
1858
1930
2005
2082
45
46
47
49
50
51
52
53
54
56
57
58
60
61
62
64
65
66
68
69
70
71
72
73
74
75
76
77
78
78
345
357
370
383
397
411
425
439
454
469
484
501
518
536
554
573
588
604
620
637
654
667
680
693
706
719
730
742
753
764
704
753
805
860
919
983
1046
1114
1187
1264
1346
1434
1529
1630
1737
1852
1949
2053
2161
2275
2396
2486
2579
2676
2777
2881
2967
3056
3147
3241
835
867
900
933
969
1005
1038
1072
1107
1143
1181
1213
1246
1280
1315
1350
1377
1405
1433
1462
1491
1512
1532
1553
1574
1595
1611
1627
1643
1659
2126
2295
2476
2672
2884
3112
3339
3582
3843
4123
4424
4705
5005
5324
5663
6023
6324
6641
6973
7322
7688
7965
8252
8549
8857
9176
9431
9693
9962
10239
621
681
746
817
895
980
1066
1160
1262
1372
1493
1607
1729
1861
2002
2155
2284
2421
2566
2719
2882
3007
3138
3274
3416
3564
3683
3807
3934
4066
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
6927
7445
8004
8608
9260
9965
10668
11423
12236
13109
14047
14983
15984
17056
18204
19434
20472
21570
22729
23953
25247
26211
27213
28256
29340
30468
31380
32319
33289
34288
16089
17264
18531
19899
21375
22968
24552
26252
28079
30042
32151
34190
36367
38692
41174
43826
46054
48402
50876
53485
56235
58301
60448
62678
64995
67401
69338
71332
73388
75505
Year
KM 254+550
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
2031
2032
2033
2034
2035
2036
2037
2038
2039
2040
2041
2042
2043
August 2014
5-10

6.0
6.1
TOLL REVENUE ESTIMATION

Toll Policy
The tolling on the project highway is governed by the National Highway Fee (Determination of Rates and
Collection) Rules 2008 (also known as the toll policy) and the subsequent amendments of 2010 and
2011. The rules define the method of determining toll rates and collection of the same for different
vehicle categories being used by the road users. The toll revenue for the project road has been
estimated in compliance with the toll policy and the project parameters as defined in the Concession
Agreement and its schedules:
6.2
a. Tollable, exempted and non-tollable vehicle categories.

b. Differential toll rates for different categories of vehicles.
c. Discounted tolling for frequent and local road users
d. Project length and toll plaza locations
e. Provisions for additional fees for structures and bypasses on project road.
f. Escalation of toll rates in relation to inflation.
Toll Rates and Vehicle Categories
The toll policy defines six categories of vehicles and provides for differential toll rates for each category.
Sub rule 2 of rule 4 provides the following base rates of fee on a per kilometer basis considering 2007-08
as the base year.
Table 6-1: Base Rate of Toll for Different Categories of Traffic
S No
Vehicle Category
Toll Rate (/Km)
Car, Jeep, Van or Light Motor Vehicle
0.65
Light Commercial Vehicle, Light Goods Vehicle or Mini Bus
1.05
Bus or Truck (Two Axles)
2.20
Three Axle Commercial Vehicles
2.40
Heavy Construction Machinery (HCM) or Earth Moving Equipment

(EME) or Multi Axle Vehicle (MAV) (4 to 6 axles)
3.45
Oversized Vehicles (7 or more Axles)
4.20
6.2.1 Non Tollable Vehicles

Apart from the above mentioned vehicle categories the other such as two-wheelers, three wheelers,
tractors and non-motorized vehicles are not to be subject to toll. However, wherever there is a provision
of service roads these vehicles shall compulsorily use the service road.
6.2.2 Exempted Vehicles
There is a long descriptive list of categories of users who by law are exempted from paying toll. These
primarily cover
i. top level officials from legislative, executive and judicial arms of the government,
ii. military, para military and police vehicles on duty,
iii. emergency services (Fire, Ambulance, Funeral Vans)
6.3
Revision in Toll Rates
The toll policy provides for annual revision of toll rates in response to inflation and has been partially
pegged to the WPI, which is a standard measure of inflation in India.
The formula for determining the applicable rate of fee is as follows
August 2014
6-1

Where;
(a) applicable rate of fee shall be the rate payable by the user;
(b) base rate is the rate as shown inTable 6-1above inflated by a simple interest of 3% per annum;
(c) WPI A means the wholesale price index of the week ending on or subsequent to 1stJanuary
immediately preceding the date of revision under these rules. The value of 179.6 as published by the
Office of the Economic Adviser to the Government of India, Ministry of Commerce and Industry as
the WPI value for month ending December 2013 was used to calculate the Toll Rates for the financial
year 2014-15.
(d) WPI B means the wholesale price index of the week ending on 6 January, 2007 i.e. 208.7. While the
WPI was being estimated with 1993-94 as the base year, however, recently the estimation of WPI
has been reset with the base year as 2004-05. The future WPI values shall be available with the
2004-05 base only. In absence of weekly WPI data for the new series the monthly data has been
used. End of December being closest to the first week of January, the WPI B has been taken as 112.2
(end of December 2006) under the new series.
6.3.1 Inflation Rate
Considering the present high inflation scenario the rate of inflation has been assumed to be 6.0% per
annum for the purpose of calculation of toll rates as per the above formula.
6.4
Toll Plaza Location and Tollable Length
The toll at the first plaza at Km 134 is chargeable for a length of 52 Km including 4.8 Km of Chausala
Bypass. The toll length applicable at the Km 194 toll plaza is 69 Km including 12.501 Km of Beed bypass.
Similarly toll length applicable at the Km 234 toll plaza is 68 Km including 11.109 Km of Georaiand
PachodBypass. The toll for bypasses and major bridges is also payable at the respective toll plazas but for
bypasses at 1.5 times the normal toll rates applicable for an equivalent length.
The total toll applicable at the three toll plazas for the financial year 2014-15 are shown in Table 6-2.
Table 6-2: Toll Rate for Different Categories of Vehicles
2015
Passenger Car
Taxi
Minibus
Standard Bus
Tempo/ LCV
2-Axle Truck
3-Axle Truck
EMV (4 to 6 Axles)
6.5
KM134+000 KM 194+000 KM 254+550

55.0
55.0
85.0
180.0
85.0
180.0
195.0
75.0
75.0
120.0
250.0
120.0
250.0
270.0
70.0
70.0
115.0
245.0
115.0
245.0
265.0
280.0
390.0
380.0
345.0
475.0
465.0
Segmentation of Tollable Traffic
Based on the earlier discussion the toll is to be collected according to the following categories:
August 2014
6-2

6.5.1 One Way Traffic

The commuters who use the project facility only once in a day are covered under this category. These
commuters are required to pay the complete notified one way fee.
6.5.2 Return Trip
The commuters who complete one round trip within 24 hours are covered under this category.These
commuters are required to pay 1.5 times the normal one way fee.
During the OD surveys the respondents were asked whether they would be returning the same day.
However, to eliminate possibility of error only the trip makers responding as yes and travelling up to
200Km were considered for this category.
Further, it was assumed that local traffic and monthly pass holders will also most likely return the
same day. Therefore, this component was deleted from the return traffic share to avoid double
counting of concessional traffic.
6.5.3 Monthly Pass

The commuters who want to use the project facility on a regular basis can opt for monthly pass by
paying 33.3 times of normal one way fee for performing 50 one way trips. High frequency travelers were
put into this category.
6.5.4 Local Traffic
Local Traffic means and includes a personal vehicle (car/passenger van/jeep) which is registered with
the Concessionaire by any person who normally resides or works at a place that can normally be
approached only by using a part of the project road and such person is, therefore, required to use such
vehicles for commuting on a part of the said section in the course of normal travel to and from his place
of work or residence. Only persons residing or working within 20Km of any one toll plaza can be
categorized as Local provided further that no such pass shall be issued If a service road or alternative
road is available for use of such driver, owner or person in charge of a mechanical vehicle.
A person, who owns a commercial vehicle (excluding vehicle plying underNational Permit), registered
with address on the Registration Certificate of a particular districtand uses such vehicle for commuting
on a section of the National Highway, permanent bridge,tunnel or bypass, as the case may be, which is
located within that district, shall be levied user fee on all toll plazas which are located within that district,
at the rate of fifty percent of the prescribed rate of fee.
The trips with a travel distance within 20Km of the toll plaza and showing a regular frequency, as
revealed during the OD survey, were considered as local traffic. Since for commercial traffic there is the
condition of the vehicle being registered in the same district as the toll plaza, the data was also analyzed
to extract the proportion of locally registered vehicles. It was observed that the proportion of locally
registered vehicles was generally higher compared to local traffic estimated from trip length and travel
frequency method. The average of the two methods was finally used as the Local Traffic proportion.
Such traffic is supposed to register with the concessionaire and will be issued a local pass costing Rs.150
per month for cars and pay 50% of the toll rate for rest of the categories.
6.5.5 Estimated Segmentation
Registration plate vehicle count was conducted to arrive at the share of local commercial traffic. During
O-D survey, the operation of the vehicle under National Permit was also enquired. From the share of
local traffic obtained from registration plate vehicle count, the percentage of vehicles with National
Permit obtained from O-D survey was deducted to arrive at the share of local traffic.
Table 6-3shows the adopted segmentation of traffic in categories described above for each of the two
toll plaza locations for all vehicle classes.
August 2014
6-3

Table 6-3: Segmentation (Percentage) of Tollable Traffic

NH-211 (Km 134+000)
S No
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Mode
Passenger Car
Taxi
Minibus
Standard Bus
Tempo/ LCV
2-Axle Truck
3-Axle Truck
(4 to 6 Axles)
District Osmanabad
One Way Return Monthly Local Total
63.5
17.3
12.5
6.7
100
55.7
27.4
14.5
2.4
100
49.5
31.2
10.8
8.5
100
67.2
23.4
8.2
1.2
100
61.8
21.6
13.0
3.6
100
84.6
10.2
4.7
0.5
100
91.6
5.6
2.7
0.0
100
96.7
NH-211 (Km 194+000)

S No
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Mode
Passenger Car
Taxi
Minibus
Standard Bus
Tempo/ LCV
2-Axle Truck
3-Axle Truck
(4 to 6 Axles)
Mode
Passenger Car
Taxi
Minibus
Standard Bus
Tempo/ LCV
2-Axle Truck
3-Axle Truck
(4 to 6 Axles)
0.7
0.0
100
District Beed
46.4
24.8
25.4
3.4
100
34.8
23.9
40.3
1.1
100
35.6
39.0
15.2 10.3
100
34.2
49.7
13.5
2.6
100
43.1
24.8
27.6
4.5
100
68.0
16.1
15.1
0.8
100
82.5
8.8
8.4
0.3
100
82.7
NH-211 (Km 254+550)

S No
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
2.6
11.4
5.7
0.2
100
District Aurangabad
43.4
23.6
31.2
1.8
100
73.7
19.3
5.2
1.8
100
27.3
41.7
16.9 14.1
100
21.2
59.0
16.2
3.6
100
49.9
25.3
17.9
6.9
100
75.0
14.8
9.0
1.2
100
78.6
13.0
6.9
1.5
100
85.8
8.8
5.3
0.1
100
6.6 Estimation of Toll Fee and Discounts

The toll fees were estimated taking into consideration the base rates, inflation, discounting rules and the
length chargeable at each of the toll plazas. Further, it is stipulated that the toll fees so derived shall be
rounded off to the nearest multiple of 5 rupees to ensure ease of transaction.
6.7 Estimation of Revenue
Toll revenue has been estimated for the most likely scenario and a summary of average daily toll
collection estimates, for different years during the concession period, taking into account the traffic
projections, toll rates and discounts as discussed in earlier sections.
August 2014
6-4

The project corridor will have a traditional open tolling system with all vehicles crossing a toll plaza have
to pay applicable toll irrespective of the actual distance travelled on the project road.
The summary of toll revenue is presented in Table 6-4
Year
Passenger Car
Taxi
Minibus
Standard Bus
Tempo/ LCV
2-Axle Truck
3-Axle Truck
Multi Axle
Vehicle/ HCM/
EMV (4 to 6 Axles)
Oversized Vehicle
(>6 Axles)
Total Daily
(Rs in Lakhs)
Total Annual
(Rs in Crores)
Table 6-4: Average Daily and Annual Toll Collection on Project Road
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
2031
2032
2033
2034
2035
2036
2037
2038
2039
2040
2041
2042
2043
306.6
352.2
403.0
459.3
528.8
603.5
690.3
800.5
914.0
1037.1
1191.7
1363.0
1550.7
1771.5
2025.0
2329.1
2620.1
2951.7
3309.1
3759.0
4217.7
4684.8
5195.5
5754.7
6403.6
7096.8
7804.7
8585.9
9474.4
10445.7
32.6
37.2
43.1
50.0
58.1
66.9
77.1
89.3
102.9
117.7
137.3
158.0
183.4
210.5
244.1
284.6
323.6
368.1
416.2
478.5
541.9
606.1
676.4
754.2
842.1
942.8
1042.6
1152.4
1276.1
1414.4
9.0
9.8
10.6
11.4
12.3
13.4
14.5
15.7
16.9
18.4
19.8
21.6
23.4
25.4
27.7
30.0
32.4
35.0
38.1
41.2
44.6
48.0
51.8
55.8
60.1
64.9
70.0
75.3
81.2
87.4
197.8
217.9
237.1
258.9
284.6
312.0
340.4
372.1
407.2
446.2
488.8
534.4
587.6
642.5
705.0
775.0
843.8
921.5
1005.1
1097.3
1197.7
1297.9
1406.3
1524.9
1656.1
1794.8
1941.8
2099.3
2272.1
2458.5
230.3
262.9
296.9
332.9
376.0
426.6
481.6
540.9
608.6
688.1
772.0
879.6
989.3
1122.2
1271.8
1434.9
1599.9
1785.0
2006.9
2247.2
2509.4
2768.0
3056.8
3373.5
3716.3
4108.4
4516.3
4949.2
5441.1
5964.6
582.9
643.0
698.1
765.1
842.8
927.6
1010.9
1102.4
1205.4
1320.9
1446.4
1568.5
1718.2
1864.3
2031.3
2219.9
2399.7
2603.4
2819.8
3061.0
3313.9
3572.9
3849.2
4150.0
4488.1
4832.6
5198.8
5590.1
6017.8
6477.6
1422.1
1623.9
1848.5
2123.5
2416.4
2758.3
3136.9
3557.0
4023.1
4575.6
5207.1
5859.2
6617.4
7453.9
8422.5
9512.8
10600.7
11809.3
13146.6
14685.2
16422.5
18060.8
19947.4
21952.6
24241.7
26758.2
29243.8
32070.8
35087.7
38440.6
664.9
768.9
894.4
1032.9
1193.4
1381.6
1593.7
1840.1
2110.6
2429.6
2796.1
3198.1
3647.2
4163.8
4751.5
5425.4
6107.6
6864.9
7743.5
8718.0
9818.9
10888.7
12103.4
13422.2
14905.6
16567.4
18232.2
20071.6
22139.7
24351.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.3
0.3
0.3
0.4
0.4
0.4
0.5
0.5
0.6
0.6
0.7
0.7
0.8
0.9
0.9
1.0
1.1
34
39
44
50
57
65
73
83
94
106
121
136
153
173
195
220
245
273
305
341
381
419
463
510
563
622
681
746
818
896
125.79
142.93
161.76
183.74
208.51
236.89
268.11
303.61
342.70
388.13
440.17
495.77
559.09
629.79
710.99
803.44
895.27
997.88
1112.73
1244.21
1389.44
1530.37
1689.49
1861.08
2055.48
2269.09
2483.87
2722.73
2985.37
3271.90
August 2014
6-5

Traffic Report - LASA

Încărcat de

Informații document

Titlu original

Drepturi de autor

Formate disponibile

Partajați acest document

Partajați sau inserați document

Opțiuni de partajare

Vi se pare util acest document?

Este necorespunzător acest conținut?

Drepturi de autor:

Formate disponibile

Traffic Report - LASA

Încărcat de

Drepturi de autor:

Formate disponibile

IDBI Ltd

TRAFFIC ASSESSMENT REPORT

TRAFFIC ASSESSMENT REPORT

Introduction .................................................................................................................................. 1-1

Project Corridor......................................................................................................................... 1-1

Project Influence Area............................................................................................................... 1-1

Scope of Study........................................................................................................................... 1-2

Report Structure ....................................................................................................................... 1-2

Traffic Assesment .......................................................................................................................... 2-1

Objectives of Traffic Surveys ..................................................................................................... 2-1

Traffic Surveys and Survey Methodology ................................................................................. 2-1

Classified Traffic Volume Count ........................................................................................ 2-1

Origin Destination Surveys ................................................................................................ 2-2

Turning Movement Survey................................................................................................ 2-2

Traffic Characteristics................................................................................................................ 2-3

Average Daily Traffic ......................................................................................................... 2-4

Annual Average Daily Traffic ............................................................................................. 2-5

Daily Variation ................................................................................................................. 2-10

Hourly Variation and Peak Hour Factor (PHF)................................................................. 2-11

Traffic Composition ......................................................................................................... 2-13

Intersection Turning Movement Traffic .................................................................................. 2-14

Travel Characteristics .................................................................................................................... 3-1

Sample Size ............................................................................................................................... 3-1

Zoning System ........................................................................................................................... 3-1

Commodity Classification.......................................................................................................... 3-2

Expansion Factors ..................................................................................................................... 3-3

Travel Desire Pattern ................................................................................................................ 3-3

Passenger Trip Characteristics .................................................................................................. 3-1

Trip Frequency .................................................................................................................. 3-1

Purpose of Trips ................................................................................................................ 3-2

Occupancy Analysis ........................................................................................................... 3-2

Lead Analysis ..................................................................................................................... 3-3

Freight Trip Characteristics ....................................................................................................... 3-3

Trip Frequency .................................................................................................................. 3-3

Commodity Analysis .......................................................................................................... 3-4

Load Analysis ..................................................................................................................... 3-5

Lead Analysis ..................................................................................................................... 3-6

Surrounding Road Network & Development ................................................................................ 4-1

TRAFFIC ASSESSMENT REPORT

Network Appreciation ............................................................................................................... 4-1

Local Alternative Routes ................................................................................................... 4-1

Regional Alternative Routes.............................................................................................. 4-1

Developments in Project Influence Area .................................................................................. 4-2

Economic Growth Outlook ................................................................................................ 4-4

Analysis of Traffic Growth Potential ............................................................................................. 5-1

General ...................................................................................................................................... 5-1

Elasticity of Traffic Growth in Relation to Economic Growth ................................................... 5-1

Traffic Projection Trip Ends Method .............................................................................. 5-1

Transport Demand Elasticities .......................................................................................... 5-2

Economic Perspective ....................................................................................................... 5-5

Projected Traffic Growth Rates ......................................................................................... 5-5

Traffic Forecast.......................................................................................................................... 5-6

Toll Revenue Estimation ............................................................................................................... 6-1

Toll Policy .................................................................................................................................. 6-1

Toll Rates and Vehicle Categories ............................................................................................. 6-1

Non Tollable Vehicles ........................................................................................................ 6-1

Exempted Vehicles ............................................................................................................ 6-1

Revision in Toll Rates ................................................................................................................ 6-1

Inflation Rate..................................................................................................................... 6-2

Toll Plaza Location and Tollable Length .................................................................................... 6-2

Segmentation of Tollable Traffic ............................................................................................... 6-2

One Way Traffic ................................................................................................................ 6-3

Return Trip ........................................................................................................................ 6-3