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is referred to as a
a. curvilinear model
b. curvilinear model with one predictor variable
c. simple second-order model with one predictor variable
d. simple first-order model with one predictor variable
ANS: D
10. Serial correlation is
a. the correlation between serial numbers of products
b. the same as autocorrelation
c. the same as leverage
d. None of these alternatives is correct.
ANS: B
11. The following regression model
is known as
a. first-order model with one predictor variable
b. second-order model with two predictor variables
c. second-order model with one predictor variable
d. None of these alternatives is correct.
ANS: C
12. The range of the Durbin-Watson statistic is between
a. -1 to 1
b. 0 to 1
c. -infinity to + infinity
d. 0 to 4
ANS: D
Exhibit 16-4
In a laboratory experiment, data were gathered on the life span (Y in months) of 33 rats, units of daily protein intake (X 1), and
whether or not agent X2 (a proposed life extending agent) was added to the rats diet (X2 = 0 if agent X2 was not added, and X2 = 1
if agent was added.) From the results of the experiment, the following regression model was developed.
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a.
b.
c.
d.
1.7 months more than those who did not take agent X2
1.7 months less than those who did not take agent X2
0.8 months less than those who did not take agent X2
0.8 months more than those who did not take agent X2
ANS: B
14. Refer to Exhibit 16-4. The life expectancy of a rat that was not given any protein and that did not take agent X 2 is
a. 36.7
b. 34.3
c. 36
d. 38.4
ANS: C
15. Refer to Exhibit 16-4. The life expectancy of a rat that was given 2 units of agent X2 daily, but was not given any protein is
a. 32.6
b. 36
c. 38
d. 34.3
ANS: D
16. Refer to Exhibit 16-4. The degrees of freedom associated with SSR are
a. 2
b. 33
c. 32
d. 30
ANS: A
CHAPTER 18FORECASTING
17. Which of the following is not present in a time series?
a. seasonality
b. operational variations
c. trend
d. cycles
ANS: B
18. The time series component that reflects variability during a single year is called
a. a trend
b. seasonal
c. cyclical
d. irregular
ANS: B
19. The time series component that reflects variability due to natural disasters is called
a. a trend
b. seasonal
c. cyclical
d. irregular
ANS: D
20. The trend component is easy to identify by using
a. moving averages
b. exponential smoothing
c. regression analysis
d. the Delphi approach
ANS: C
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21. The following linear trend expression was estimated using a time series with 17 time periods.
Tt = 129.2 + 3.8t
The trend projection for time period 18 is
a. 68.4
b. 1093.8
c. 197.6
d. 6.84
ANS: C
22. A group of observations measured at successive time intervals is known as
a. a trend component
b. a time series
c. a forecast
d. an additive time series model
ANS: B
23. A method of smoothing a time series that can be used to identify the combined trend/cyclical component is
a. the moving average
b. the percent of trend
c. exponential smoothing
d. the trend/cyclical index
ANS: A
24. A method that uses a weighted average of past values for arriving at smoothed time series values is known as
a. a smoothing average
b. a moving average
c. an exponential average
d. an exponential smoothing
ANS: D
25. A parameter of the exponential smoothing model which provides the weight given to the most recent time series value in the
calculation of the forecast value is known as the
a. mean square error
b. mean absolute deviation
c. smoothing constant
d. None of these alternatives is correct.
ANS: C
26. One measure of the accuracy of a forecasting model is
a. the smoothing constant
b. a deseasonalized time series
c. the mean square error
d. None of these alternatives is correct.
ANS: C