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the Economy
Ten tasks, ten years
#RewireEconomy
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Copyright 2015 University
of Cambridge Institute for
Sustainability Leadership
(CISL). Some rights reserved.
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Disclaimer
The opinions expressed here
are those of CISL and do not
represent an official position
of any of its individual
business partners or clients.
Reference
Please refer to this report
as Rewiring the Economy
(CISL, 2015).
Copies
This full document can be
downloaded from CISLs website:
www.cisl.cam.ac.uk
Contact
To obtain more information
on the report, please contact
Dr Jake Reynolds:
E: jake.reynolds@cisl.cam.ac.uk
T: +44 (0)1223 768850
July 2015
Executive summary
Despite many business leaders engaging with their peers, politicians and
policymakers to turn sustainability ambition into practice, inequality is still
rising, ecosystems are being degraded, resources depleted and greenhouse
gas levels are climbing. These trends are detrimental to environments,
communities, businesses and long-term economic performance.
For economies to overcome these challenges there is a
clear need to tilt operating conditions in favour of sustainable
business practice.
Rewiring the Economy is CISLs ten-year plan to lay the
foundations of a sustainable economy1. It is built on ten
interconnected tasks, delivered by three key groups of leaders:
government, finance and business. These tasks (see Figure 1)
are not unique to the plan. Rather, Rewiring the Economy
shows how they can be tackled co-operatively over the next
decade to create an economy that encourages sustainable
business practices and delivers positive outcomes for people
and societies (see Figure 4).
Task 6: Innovate
financial structures
to better serve
sustainable business
Financial intermediaries
in particular can apply
their influence and
creativity to increasing
the flow of capital into
business models that
serve societys interests.
An economy that does not undermine its own capacity to continue through loss of social and environmental value.
1
Background
2015 is an exceptional year that sees the convergence of a number
of important international agreements on sustainable development,
culminating in the long-awaited climate change summit in Paris in
December. These new frameworks, some of which have been years in
design, are intended to shape economic growth and prosperity long into
the future in order to secure the wellbeing of societies across the world.
In the context of this new regime, business leaders
have an opportunity to work with peers, politicians and
policymakers to make significant advances in taking
sustainability aspiration into practice. While many are
already doing just this, and despite the extraordinary efforts
of pioneers, inequality is still rising, ecosystems are being
degraded, resources depleted and greenhouse gas levels
are still climbing. The Great Acceleration (see Figure 2)
that began in the 1950s remains at full pace, driven by an
economy that has proved its ability to innovate and yet
which is, in fundamental respects, unsustainable, with
necessary reforms discussed but not delivered.2
The current economy shows no sign of maintaining global
temperature rise under two degrees, or addressing key
challenges like inequality or natural resource degradation.
That this is the case reveals a monumental market failure:
current price signals are too weak to change economic
behaviour, despite the costs to society that arise from
business as usual. Thoughtful companies can mitigate their
impacts to a certain degree but, in a competitive market,
investment in public goods has obvious limits. To go further,
business needs to compete on a different playing field.
To respond to this need and seize the opportunities presented
in 2015, CISL decided to harness the insights we have
gathered over a quarter of a century of working with business,
finance and government, along with the wealth of experience
in our network, in the development of a new ten-year plan to
rewire the global economy.
We are setting out to find and exploit the key leverage
points for positive change those places where relatively
modest effort could produce a new paradigm. Two such
points are public policy and financial services, both with
universal influence over business. Together they offer the
alluring and achievable prospect of capital seeking social and
Steffen, W., Broadgate, W., Deutsch, L., Gaffney, O. and Ludwig, C. (2014), The trajectory of
the Anthropocene: The Great Acceleration, The Anthropocene Review, 118, January 2015.
2
Surface
temperature
-0.2
-0.4
-0.6
140
120
100
80
60
40
Coastal
nitrogen
Billion
Thousand KM3
Thousand dams
2
1
0
1500
800
600
200
0
Methane
100
8.5
30
8.0
7.5
7.0
6.5
6.0
25
20
15
Tropical
forest loss
10
20
80
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
20
0
Marine fish
capture
0.2
4
3
2
Shrimp
aquaculture
1
0
0.4
0.3
Stratospheric
ozone
40
500
0
Ocean
acidification
80
60
1000
280
International
tourism
400
2000
Nitrous oxide
Million arrivals
1000
Telecommunications
% loss
340
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
Water use
Million tonnes
300
0.2
600
250
0.6
0.4
Transportation
Urban
population
5
4
900
% loss (area)
Temperature anomally C
270
310
4.0
3.5
3.0
2.5
2.0
1.5
1.0
0.5
0
Domesticated
land
0.1
0
330
300
Carbon dioxide
Large dams
390
1200
7
6
50
1500
Paper
production
100
360
Fertilizer
consumption
400
Million tonnes
100
1.0
Foreign Direct
Investment
200
150
2.0
1.5
Socio-economic trends
0.5
Primary
energy use
100
200
20
0
200
300
30
Million tonnes
300
40
Real GDP
400
50
10
600
500
60
Trillion US dollars
World
population
Trillion US dollars
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
Million tonnes
Exajoule (EJ)
Billion
Figure 2:
The Great Acceleration
40
30
20
Terrestrial
biosphere
degradation
10
0
Figure 3:
What the economy should be
delivering: six broad social and
environmental ambitions
BA
SIC
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SO
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W
NT
OR
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E
Secure,
socially inclusive
jobs and working
conditions
for all
Health, education,
justice and equality
of opportunity
for all
Preserve
stocks of natural
resources through
efficient and
circular use
ED
S
Food, water,
shelter, sanitation,
security and basic
freedoms for all
Maintain
ecologically sound
landscapes and
seas for nature
and people
NE
HE A
LTHY ECOSYSTE
L IT Y
Limit GHG
levels to
stabilise global
temperature rise
under 2C
MS
M
LI
AB I
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AT
http://sustainabledevelopment.un.org
4
the whole world, guiding the global agenda for the next
decade and longer.
The SDGs break down a seemingly overwhelming challenge
into seventeen parts, which CISL has condensed further
into six. For business to become an engine for the delivery
of the goals they must now be turned into a practical agenda,
which is the purpose of the Rewiring the Economy initiative.
The plan
The question is how do we put these ambitions
into practice? Business thrives on a clear long-term
plan. To this end we have developed a ten-year
plan to empower our network to lay the foundations
for a sustainable economy one that is capable
of achieving these ambitions.
5
AL
F I N A NCE
RE
S TE S O U RC E
WAR
DS H IP
ES
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M
ON
EN
10
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A sustainable economy does not guarantee a sustainable society factors like basic freedoms
and universal healthcare and education lie beyond the control of business.
5
Business models that produce positive social and environmental outcomes alongside financial returns.
6
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4
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Figure 4:
Ten tasks for business, finance and
government to lay the foundations
for a sustainable economy
The ten
tasks
Task 1:
Measure the
right things,
set the right
targets
Governments can set bold targets for social and
environmental progress, and adopt new measures
to track how well the economy is delivering them.
Many policies are geared toward growing GDP without
sufficient regard to the quality of the growth achieved.
Such a limited strategy can be counterproductive
in terms of meeting social and environmental goals.
Governments should consider how well they are
served by GDP, and whether their goals and strategies
may have been distorted as a result of its ubiquitous
application. New metrics that integrate changes in
social and natural capital alongside economic output
provide a more rounded view of economic progress.
Measurement is only one part of this story, the other
being the targets that governments set on the basis of
the metrics they agree. Clear, measurable commitments
from governments are essential in areas such as binding
carbon emissions targets, achieving or surpassing zero
net waste, and rules and incentives to achieve zero net
deforestation, integrated with goals relating to skills,
employment and living standards.
Without clear targets, backed up by integrated
measurements, legal mandates and political
commitment, then other government actions
for example social and environmental policies
will continue to work against the grain of the economy
rather than through it, producing mixed messages
for business.
Task 2:
Use fiscal
policy to correct
externalities
Task 3:
Drive socially
useful
innovation
Governments should
consider whether their
current approach to
subsidies may in fact be
encouraging economic
activities that run
counter to sustainable
development goals.
10
The ten
tasks
Task 4:
Ensure capital
acts for the
long term
11
Task 5:
Price capital
according to
the true costs
of business
activities
Task 6:
Innovate financial
structures to
better serve
sustainable
business
The cost of capital is a key factor in business decisionmaking. It is influenced by multiple drivers that interact
with one another, including the business strategies of
individual capital providers and the requirements set by
regulators. Ultimately, the assessment of risk and return
that underpins cost of capital calculations dictates how
capital is deployed and hence which business activities
are able to flourish.
Today, the cost of capital rarely reflects the true costs of
business activities across equity, debt and insurance. This
means that one of the key drivers of business decisionmaking is at best sending unhelpful signals to companies,
and at worst allowing important risks to society to
accumulate in the longer term. This danger is already being
recognised by some central banks and financial regulators,
who, for example, are asking whether the by-products of
unsustainable economic activity, such as climate change
and income inequality, could threaten financial stability.
Some individual capital providers are identifying strategies
that enable them, on a unilateral basis, to reflect more
closely the true costs of business activitiesin their cost
of capital. For example, some banks require customers
to meet certain environmental, social and governance
(ESG) standards as a condition of business, while some
investors integrate these considerations into their asset
choices. These efforts need to be brought front and centre
of financial institutions thinking, enabled as necessary by
fiscal, monetary and regulatory interventions.
Though they are regarded by some to be simply good risk
management, how consistently are they being applied, and
how visible is this to business?
12
The ten
tasks
Task 7:
Set a bold
ambition,
and innovate
to deliver
greater value
Businesses can seek models of value creation that
generate a fair social contribution within the natural
boundaries set by the planet.
We know that for many businesses, the current operating
model isnt going to be sustainable in the long term, and
companies will have to transform their value-creation
system. This will, for example, require sustainable production
methods for agricultural commodities, circular manufacturing
and consumption models, blends of product and service
approaches, and a revolution in the energy system.
The shift business needs to make is dramatic and multiyear. It will be incredibly challenging for many companies,
and unlikely to happen without clear aspirations and a
strong imperative for change. For many companies it will
mean working differently with partners and suppliers, and
understanding the full lifecycle of their products and services.
For incumbent players, this level of disruptive innovation
is challenging, and is likely to lead to the rebalancing of
corporate portfolios.
As is the case with governments, robust measures and
targets, aligned with the UNs Sustainable Development
Goals (SDGs), will be required to drive execution, alongside
investment in strategy, R&D and corporate venture capital.
Parallel innovation will be needed from the financial sector
to provide capital, and from governments to set the right
enabling conditions.
Companies will need to consider how value can be
created while making a fair social contribution with neutral
or positive impacts on the natural world. Is their strategy
consistent with maintaining global temperature rise under
2C, with a fair distribution of earnings between tax and
profit? Do all staff and workers through the supply base
receive at least a living wage?
13
Task 8:
Broaden the
measurement
and disclosure
framework
Task 9:
Grow the
capability and
incentives
to act
14
The ten
tasks
Task 10:
Harness
communications
for positive
change
Companies can use their communications and
marketing muscle to build public understanding
of (and appetite for) sustainable business.
A significant proportion of the information citizens
and governments receive is via the communications,
marketing and public relations undertaken by business.
These powerful influences could be used to help
stakeholders across civil society see why sustainable
business makes sense, why a sustainable economy is
not only critical for survival but a great place to live and
do business. Our popular culture is based in large part
on our relationships with brands. If those relationships
could be harnessed for sustainability, then the shifts
the world needs to make will be more likely to occur.
Marketing and communications professionals,
as well as public affairs experts, have a vital role to play
in building awareness and engaging in an informed
debate about sustainability. Key starting points are
customers, suppliers, investors, regulators, and the
business schools that train the future employees of
the firms concerned.
Given what is at stake for business in the transition to a
sustainable economy, this is no time for greenwash. Not
all stakeholders including governments are currently
on board with the challenges, or pedalling hard to find
solutions. Deploying corporate influence for positive
policy and cultural change is an essential characteristic
of a sustainable business. For example, how does a
company show its investors that it is making capital
work in the long term? And how is it communicating the
need for effective enabling policies to governments?
15
A unique partner
CISL is a unique partner in this process. We bring academic
rigour to bear on business and policy problems and translate
findings into actionable steps. We have the ability to convene
across boundaries and create space to initiate difficult
conversations and help stakeholders co-create solutions.
We see our role in Rewiring the Economy as follows:
16
Over to you
We are looking to our extensive and diverse network of leaders
to take action and share their insights into the challenges and
opportunities they encounter along the way, and wherever
possible to collaborate with us over the next decade to deliver
this plan.
We invite you to look at your own organisation, at your own
niche in the economic system, and consider what it would
take for you and your peers to play a part in delivering against
these ten tasks. Above all, we are looking to you to take action.
Cambridge insight,
policy influence,
business impact
The University of Cambridge
Institute for Sustainability
Leadership (CISL) brings together
business, government and
academia to find solutions to
critical sustainability challenges.
Capitalising on the world-class,
multidisciplinary strengths of the
University of Cambridge, CISL
deepens leaders insight and
understanding through its executive
programmes; builds deep, strategic
engagement with leadership
companies; and creates opportunities
for collaborative enquiry and action
through its business platforms.
Over 25 years, we have developed
a leadership network with more
than 6,000 alumni from leading global
organisations and an expert team of
Fellows, Senior Associates and staff.
HRH The Prince of Wales is the
patron of CISL and has inspired and
supported many of our initiatives.
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