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8.6
10. The managers of Logical Balance Financial have evaluated five potential projects. Each
project has conventional cash flows and would require an initial investment of $1 million. Based
on the information given in this paragraph and presented in the table, which one of the projects is
the riskiest?
Discounted
Cost of
Net present
Payback
payback
Internal rate
capital
value
period
period
of return
Project
(in %)
(in $ millions)
(in years)
(in years)
(in %)
A
12.0
0.2
7.7
8.2
12.1
B
14.2
12.5
2.5
3.2
14.4
C
8.1
53.2
5.7
8.9
14.5
D
10.2
-1.4
2.2
9.6
E
7.7
8.8
5.9
8.4
15.3
10. The managers of Logical Balance Financial have evaluated five potential projects. Each
project has conventional cash flows and would require an initial investment of $1 million. Based
on the information given in this paragraph and presented in the table, which one of the projects is
the riskiest?
Discounted
Cost of
Net present
Payback
payback
Internal rate
capital
value
period
period
of return
Project
(in %)
(in $ millions)
(in years)
(in years)
(in %)
A
8.3
53.4
5.6
8.8
14.6
B
10.5
-1.6
2.1
9.7
C
12.2
0.2
7.6
8.3
12.1
D
14.5
12.3
2.4
3.3
14.5
E
7.9
8.6
5.9
8.4
15.4
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
19
20
21
22
23
22
N
9.0
I%
0
PV
-10,000
PMT
Solve for
FV
628,733.38
N
9.68
9.0
I%
-628,733.38
PV
24
100,000
PMT
0
FV
24
N
9.0
I%
0
PV
-10,000
PMT
Solve for
FV
767,898.13
N
13.63
9.0
I%
-767,898.13
PV
25
100,000
PMT
0
FV
25
N
9.0
I%
0
PV
-10,000
PMT
Solve for
FV
847,008.96
N
16.67
9.0
I%
-847,008.96
PV
26
100,000
PMT
0
FV
0
0
1
0
2
0
3
0
4
0
5
100
6
100
7
100
8
100
9
100
10
100
11
100
12
100
13
0
The cash flows represent an 8-year delayed annuity with $100 million payments, the first payment
in 5 years, and a discount rate of 10.0%. It is an 8-year annuity, because there are 8 payments (in 5,
6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, and 12 years). Because the cash flows from the drug start in 5 years, we can value
them as of year 4 (1 year before the first payment) as a standard annuity.
Therefore take the following 2 steps to find the present value
1) find PV4 as the value of an annuity
2) find PV0 as PV4 /(1+r)4
1) Find PV4 as the value of an annuity
PV4 = (C [(1/r) 1/{r(1+r)t}]) where C = 100 million, r = .100, and t = 8
PV4 = (100 million [(1/.100) 1/{.100(1.100)8}]) = 533,492,620
END mode
Enter
8
N
10.0
I%
PV
-533,492,620
Solve for
100,000,000
PMT
0
FV
10.0
I%
PV
-364,382,638
0
PMT
533,492,620
FV
0
0
0
364.4
1
0
0
0
2
0
0
0
3
0
0
0
4
0
533.5
0
5
100
0
0
6
100
0
0
7
100
0
0
27
8
100
0
0
9
100
0
0
10
100
0
0
11
100
0
0
12
100
0
0
13
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0
3
0
4
0
5
0
6
100
7
100
8
100
9
100
10
100
11
100
12
100
13
0
The cash flows represent a 7-year delayed annuity with $100 million payments, the first payment in
6 years, and a discount rate of 10.0%. It is a 7-year annuity, because there are 7 payments (in 6, 7,
8, 9, 10, 11, and 12 years). Because the cash flows from the drug start in 6 years, we can value them
as of year 5 (1 year before the first payment) as a standard annuity.
Therefore take the following 2 steps to find the present value
1) find PV5 as the value of an annuity
2) find PV0 as PV5 /(1+r)5
1) Find PV5 as the value of an annuity
PV5 = (C [(1/r) 1/{r(1+r)t}]) where C = 100 million, r = .100, and t = 7
PV5 = (100 million [(1/.100) 1/{.100(1.100)7}]) = 486,841,882
END mode
Enter
7
N
10.0
I%
PV
-486,841,882
Solve for
100,000,000
PMT
0
FV
10.0
I%
PV
-302,290,505
0
PMT
486,841,882
FV
0
0
0
302.3
1
0
0
0
2
0
0
0
3
0
0
0
4
0
0
0
5
0
486.8
0
6
100
0
0
7
100
0
0
28
8
100
0
0
9
100
0
0
10
100
0
0
11
100
0
0
12
100
0
0
13
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0
3
0
4
0
5
0
6
0
7
100
8
100
9
100
10
100
11
100
12
100
13
100
The cash flows represent a 7-year delayed annuity with $100 million payments, the first payment in
7 years, and a discount rate of 10.0%. It is a 7-year annuity, because there are 7 payments (in 7, 8,
9, 10, 11, 12, and 13 years). Because the cash flows from the drug start in 7 years, we can value
them as of year 6 (1 year before the first payment) as a standard annuity.
Therefore take the following 2 steps to find the present value
1) find PV6 as the value of an annuity
2) find PV0 as PV6 /(1+r)6
1) Find PV5 as the value of an annuity
PV6 = (C [(1/r) 1/{r(1+r)t}]) where C = 100 million, r = .100, and t = 7
PV6 = (100 million [(1/.100) 1/{.100(1.100)7}]) = 486,841,882
END mode
Enter
7
N
10.0
I%
PV
-486,841,882
Solve for
100,000,000
PMT
0
FV
10.0
I%
PV
-274,809,550
0
PMT
486,841,882
FV
0
0
0
274.8
1
0
0
0
2
0
0
0
3
0
0
0
4
0
0
0
5
0
0
0
6
0
486.8
0
7
100
0
0
29
8
100
0
0
9
100
0
0
10
100
0
0
11
100
0
0
12
100
0
0
13
100
0
0
$9,000 today
$9,000 in 1 year
A series of annual payments of $2,000, with the first payment due later
today and the last payment due in 5 years from today
A. Fairfax Cookie should prefer option B more than option A and Fairfax Cookie should prefer option C
more than option A
B. Fairfax Cookie should prefer option B more than option A and Fairfax Cookie should not prefer
option C more than option A
C. Fairfax Cookie should not prefer option B more than option A and Fairfax Cookie should prefer option
C more than option A
D. Fairfax Cookie should not prefer option B more than option A and Fairfax Cookie should not prefer
option C more than option A
To answer this question, we need to find the present value of options B and C and compare them to
option A because a firm would be indifferent between paying Ct in t years and paying an amount
equal to the present value of Ct today, prefer to pay an amount today that is less than the present
value of Ct more than it would prefer to pay Ct in t years, and prefer to pay Ct in t years more than
it would prefer to pay an amount today that is greater than the present value of Ct.
C
0
PMT
PV
8,181.82
-9,000
FV
The present value of option B is -8,181.82, which is smaller in magnitude than -$9,000, the payment
associated with A, so Fairfax Cookie should prefer option B more than option A. Intuitively, this makes
sense. The discount rate is positive, so $9,000 in 1 year has less value than $9,000 today.
Option C involves regular, fixed payments with the first one due today, so it is an annuity due where
r = .100; t = 6; and C = -2,000
Note that t = 6 because there are payments at time 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, and 5
BEG Mode
Enter
Solve for
6
N
10.0
I%
-2,000
PMT
PV
9,581.57
0
FV
The present value of option C is -9,581.57, which is greater in magnitude than -$9,000, the payment
associated with A, so Fairfax Cookie should not prefer option C more than option A
Putting it all together: Fairfax Cookie should prefer option B more than option A, but Fairfax
Cookie should not prefer option C more than option A
30
$10,000 in 1 year
To answer this question, we need to find the present value of options B and C and compare them to
option A because a firm would be indifferent between paying Ct in t years and paying an amount
equal to the present value of Ct today, prefer to pay an amount today that is less than the present
value of Ct more than it would prefer to pay Ct in t years, and prefer to pay Ct in t years more than
it would prefer to pay an amount today that is greater than the present value of Ct.
Option A involves paying 10,000 today, which is a cash flow of -$10,000
Option B involves a single cash flow, so PV0 = Ct (1+r)t where r = .100; t = 1; C1 = -10,000
PV0 = Ct (1+r)t = C1 (1+r)1 = -10,000 (1.100)1 = -9,090.91
Mode is not relevant, since PMT = 0
Enter
1
10.0
N
I%
Solve for
0
PMT
PV
9,090.91
-10,000
FV
The present value of option B is -9,090.91, which is smaller in magnitude than -$10,000, the payment
associated with A, so Fairfax Cookie should prefer option B more than option A. Intuitively, this makes
sense. The discount rate is positive, so $10,000 in 1 year has less value than $10,000 today.
Option C involves regular, fixed payments with the first one due today, so it is an annuity due where
r = .100; t = 7; and C = -2,000
Note that t = 7 because there are payments at time 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, and 6
BEG Mode
Enter
Solve for
7
N
10.0
I%
-2,000
PMT
PV
10,710.52
0
FV
The present value of option C is -10,710.52, which is greater in magnitude than -$10,000, the
payment associated with A, so Fairfax Cookie should not prefer option C more than option A
Putting it all together: Fairfax Cookie should prefer option B more than option A, but Fairfax
Cookie should not prefer option C more than option A
31
$11,000 in 1 year
To answer this question, we need to find the present value of options B and C and compare them to
option A because a firm would be indifferent between paying Ct in t years and paying an amount
equal to the present value of Ct today, prefer to pay an amount today that is less than the present
value of Ct more than it would prefer to pay Ct in t years, and prefer to pay Ct in t years more than
it would prefer to pay an amount today that is greater than the present value of Ct.
Option A involves paying 11,000 today, which is a cash flow of -$11,000
Option B involves a single cash flow, so PV0 = Ct (1+r)t where r = .100; t = 1; C1 = -11,000
PV0 = Ct (1+r)t = C1 (1+r)1 = -11,000 (1.100)1 = -10,000.00
Mode is not relevant, since PMT = 0
Enter
1
10.0
N
I%
Solve for
0
PMT
PV
10,000
-11,000
FV
The present value of option B is -10,000, which is smaller in magnitude than -$11,000, the payment
associated with A, so Fairfax Cookie should prefer option B more than option A. Intuitively, this makes
sense. The discount rate is positive, so $11,000 in 1 year has less value than $11,000 today.
Option C involves regular, fixed payments with the first one due today, so it is an annuity due where
r = .100; t = 8; and C = -2,000
Note that t = 8 because there are payments at time 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, and 7
BEG Mode
Enter
Solve for
8
N
10.0
I%
-2,000
PMT
PV
11,736.84
0
FV
The present value of option C is -11,736.84, which is greater in magnitude than -$11,000, the
payment associated with A, so Fairfax Cookie should not prefer option C more than option A
Putting it all together: Fairfax Cookie should prefer option B more than option A, but Fairfax
Cookie should not prefer option C more than option A
32
60
N
I%
1.11
65,000
PV
-1,489.62
PMT
2. Find the EAR of a loan with the monthly rate from step 1
EAR= [(1+periodic rate)number of periods in a year] 1
In this case, the periodic rate = monthly rate = 1.11% = .0111
Number of periods in a year = 12
EAR= [(1.0111)12] 1 = .1416 = 14.16%
33
0
FV
60
N
I%
1.13
70,000
PV
-1,612.86
PMT
2. Find the EAR of a loan with the monthly rate from step 1
EAR= [(1+periodic rate)number of periods in a year] 1
In this case, the periodic rate = monthly rate = 1.13% = .0113
Number of periods in a year = 12
EAR= [(1.0113)12] 1 = .1444 = 14.44%
34
0
FV
60
N
I%
1.16
75,000
PV
-1,742.01
PMT
2. Find the EAR of a loan with the monthly rate from step 1
EAR= [(1+periodic rate)number of periods in a year] 1
In this case, the periodic rate = monthly rate = 1.16% = .0116
Number of periods in a year = 12
EAR= [(1.0116)12] 1 = .1484 = 14.84%
35
0
FV
17
N
I%
10.76
-1,018
PV
110
PMT
36
1000
FV
17
N
I%
10.64
-1,028
PV
110
PMT
37
1000
FV
17
N
I%
10.51
-1,038
PV
110
PMT
38
1000
FV
3
D3
D2 (1+g)
D1 (1+g)2
7.70 (1.025)2
4
D4
D3 (1+g)
D1 (1+g)3
7.70 (1.025)3
5
D5
D4 (1+g)
D1 (1+g)4
7.70 (1.025)4
Since the dividends are expected to grow at a constant rate forever as of year 5 (actually
starting sooner), the expected value of the stock in 4 years can be found using the constantgrowth dividend discount model.
P4 = D5 / (R g)
R is the annual return expected on the stock divided by the number of possible dividends
per year = .130 1 = .130
g = .025
In 4 years from today, the next dividend is expected in 5 years from today.
D5 = D1 (1+g)5-1 = D1 (1+g)4
= 7.70 (1.025)4 = 8.50
P4 = $8.50 / (.130 .025)
= $8.50 / .105
= $80.95
Answers may differ slightly due to rounding, especially with respect to the expected dividend
39
3
D3
D2 (1+g)
D1 (1+g)2
8.70 (1.025)2
4
D4
D3 (1+g)
D1 (1+g)3
8.70 (1.025)3
5
D5
D4 (1+g)
D1 (1+g)4
8.70 (1.025)4
Since the dividends are expected to grow at a constant rate forever as of year 5 (actually
starting sooner), the expected value of the stock in 4 years can be found using the constantgrowth dividend discount model.
P4 = D5 / (R g)
R is the annual return expected on the stock divided by the number of possible dividends
per year = .140 1 = .140
g = .025
In 4 years from today, the next dividend is expected in 5 years from today.
D5 = D1 (1+g)5-1 = D1 (1+g)4
= 8.70 (1.025)4 = $9.60
P4 = $9.60 / (.140 .025)
= $9.60 / .115
= $83.48
Answers may differ slightly due to rounding, especially with respect to the expected dividend
40
3
D3
D2 (1+g)
D1 (1+g)2
9.60 (1.025)2
4
D4
D3 (1+g)
D1 (1+g)3
9.60 (1.025)3
5
D5
D4 (1+g)
D1 (1+g)4
9.60 (1.025)4
Since the dividends are expected to grow at a constant rate forever as of year 5 (actually
starting sooner), the expected value of the stock in 4 years can be found using the constantgrowth dividend discount model.
P4 = D5 / (R g)
R is the annual return expected on the stock divided by the number of possible dividends
per year = .160 1 = .160
g = .025
In 4 years from today, the next dividend is expected in 5 years from today.
D5 = D1 (1+g)5-1 = D1 (1+g)4
= 9.60 (1.025)4 = $10.60
P4 = $10.60 / (.160 .025)
= $10.60 / .135
= $78.52
Answers may differ slightly due to rounding, especially with respect to the expected dividend
41
42
43
44
8.6
A. Project A
B. Project B
C. Project C
D. Project D
E. Project E
Project C has the highest cost of capital, which is the only relevant piece of information for
answering this question. Higher cost of capital higher risk.
45
9.6
E
7.7
8.8
5.9
8.4
15.3
A. Project A
B. Project B
C. Project C
D. Project D
E. Project E
Project B has the highest cost of capital, which is the only relevant piece of information for
answering this question. Higher cost of capital higher risk.
46
9.7
C
12.2
0.2
7.6
8.3
12.1
D
14.5
12.3
2.4
3.3
14.5
E
7.9
8.6
5.9
8.4
15.4
A. Project A
B. Project B
C. Project C
D. Project D
E. Project E
Project D has the highest cost of capital, which is the only relevant piece of information for
answering this question. Higher cost of capital higher risk.
47
48
Initial investment
Amount depreciated to
Useful life
Annual depreciation
Revenues
Costs
Annual depreciation
EBIT (revs costs depreciation)
Tax rate
Taxes
Net inc = EBIT taxes
OCF = NI + dep
OCF
Cash flow effects from NWC
CF from capital spending
CF from project sale
Terminal value
Opportunity costs
Relevant CF
.080
PV(relevant CF)
NPV
0
300,000
0
2
0
Year
1
300,000
0
2
150,000
2
300,000
0
2
150,000
0
0
0
0
0.30
0
0
0
700,000
500,000
150,000
50,000
0.30
15,000
35,000
185,000
900,000
600,000
150,000
150,000
0.30
45,000
105,000
255,000
0
-300,000
No sale
Year
1
0
No sale
0
-300,000
0
0
2
0
0
300,000
300,000
0
0
0.30
0
0
0
0
0
0
-300,000
0
0
0
-300,000
Year
1
185,000
0
0
0
0
0
185,000
2
255,000
0
0
0
0
0
255,000
0
-300,000
49
Year
1
171,296
89,918
2
218,621
50
Initial investment
Amount depreciated to
Useful life
Annual depreciation
Revenues
Costs
Annual depreciation
EBIT (revs costs depreciation)
Tax rate
Taxes
Net inc = EBIT taxes
OCF = NI + dep
OCF
Cash flow effects from NWC
CF from capital spending
CF from project sale
Terminal value
Opportunity costs
Relevant CF
.080
PV(relevant CF)
NPV
0
500,000
0
2
0
Year
1
500,000
0
2
250,000
2
500,000
0
2
250,000
0
0
0
0
0.30
0
0
0
900,000
500,000
250,000
150,000
0.30
45,000
105,000
355,000
700,000
400,000
250,000
50,000
0.30
15,000
35,000
285,000
0
-500,000
No sale
Year
1
0
No sale
0
-500,000
0
0
2
0
0
500,000
500,000
0
0
0.30
0
0
0
0
0
0
-500,000
0
0
0
-500,000
Year
1
355,000
0
0
0
0
0
355,000
2
285,000
0
0
0
0
0
285,000
0
-500,000
51
Year
1
328,704
73,045
2
244,342
52
Initial investment
Amount depreciated to
Useful life
Annual depreciation
Revenues
Costs
Annual depreciation
EBIT (revs costs depreciation)
Tax rate
Taxes
Net inc = EBIT taxes
OCF = NI + dep
OCF
Cash flow effects from NWC
CF from capital spending
CF from project sale
Terminal value
Opportunity costs
Relevant CF
.080
PV(relevant CF)
NPV
0
700,000
0
2
0
Year
1
700,000
0
2
350,000
2
700,000
0
2
350,000
0
0
0
0
0.30
0
0
0
900,000
400,000
350,000
150,000
0.30
45,000
105,000
455,000
700,000
300,000
350,000
50,000
0.30
15,000
35,000
385,000
0
-700,000
No sale
Year
1
0
No sale
0
-700,000
0
0
2
0
0
700,000
700,000
0
0
0.30
0
0
0
0
0
0
-700,000
0
0
0
-700,000
Year
1
455,000
0
0
0
0
0
455,000
2
385,000
0
0
0
0
0
385,000
0
-700,000
53
Year
1
421,296
51,371
2
330,075
54
55
56
57
58
59
60
61
62
63
64
65
66
67
68
69
70
71
72
73
74
75