Documente Academic
Documente Profesional
Documente Cultură
DOI 10.1007/s10546-005-2772-5
Springer 2005
Abstract. Evolution of sea fog has been investigated using three-dimensional Mesoscale
Model 5 (MM5) simulations. The study focused on widespread fog-cloud layers advected
along the California coastal waters during 1416 April 1999. According to analysis of the
simulated trajectories, the intensity of air mass modication during this advection signicantly
depended on whether there were clouds along the trajectories and whether the modication
took place over the land or ocean. The air mass, with its trajectory endpoint in the area where
the fog was observed and simulated, gradually cooled despite the gradual increase in
sea-surface temperature along the trajectory. Modelling results identied cloud-top cooling as
a major determinant of marine-layer cooling and turbulence generation along the trajectories.
Scale analysis showed that the radiative cooling term in the thermodynamic equation overpowered surface sensible and latent heat uxes, and entrainment terms in cases of the transformation of marine clouds along the trajectories. Transformation of air masses along the
trajectories without clouds and associated cloud-top cooling led to fog-free conditions at the
endpoints of the trajectories over the ocean. The nal impact on cloud-fog transition was
determined by the interaction of synoptic and boundary-layer processes. Dissipation of sea fog
was a consequence of a complex interplay between advection, synoptic evolution, and
development of local circulations. Movement of the high-pressure system over land induced
weakening of the along-shore advection and synoptic-pressure gradients, and allowed development of oshore ows that facilitated fog dissipation.
Keywords: Lagrangian framework, Mesoscale model 5 (MM5), Mesoscale simulations, Oshore fog, Radiative cooling, U.S. West Coast.
1. Introduction
Understanding the formation and evolution of sea fog remains a research
challenge primarily due to the lack of surface and upper-air observations over
the ocean. Satellite data are emerging as a valuable tool providing signicant
*E-mail: Darko.Koracin@dri.edu
448
weather information over the oceans; however, there is still ambiguity and
uncertainty in characterizing three-dimensional cloudiness and fog using
satellite data. Due to the existence of routine land-based observations, fog
over land has received considerably more attention than fog at sea.
We focus on a sea-fog event along the U.S. West Coast where there is
signicant complexity in the ocean structure, in the marine atmospheric
boundary layer, and in coastal topography. As noted by Filonczuk et al.
(1995), fog along the West Coast occurs over a wide range of observed wind
and temperature conditions, and the frequency of fog events is spatially and
temporally variable along the coast. Although there is a range of conditions
conducive to fog formation, it appears that there is no set of most favourable
conditions that uniquely dene the occurrence and maintenance of sea fog.
As discussed in Leipper (1994), Leipper and Koracin (1998), and Lewis et al.
(2004), forecasting sea fog along the California coast is a very challenging
task due to the complex topography, delicate interplay of physical processes,
and the scarcity of oshore observations. Nevertheless, there have been
important contributions to the study of sea fog o the West Coast, notably
the early work of Byers (1930), Anderson (1931), and Petterssen (1936, 1938).
In the period following World War II, Leipper (1948) and the Cornell
Aeronautical Laboratory (CALSPAN) team (Mack et al., 1974; Pilie et al.,
1979) set the stage for numerical experiments that used one-dimensional
models with turbulence parameterization and treatment of radiative heat
transfer (e.g., see Oliver et al., 1978).
In the spirit of the early work of G.I. Taylor (Taylor, 1917) and Oliver
et al. (1978), Koracin et al. (2001) (hereafter K2001) conducted a synthesized
modelling and observational study of sea fog that accounted for the path
history of surface air and the turbulence-radiative processes in the marine
layer. They developed a conceptual model of the formation and evolution of
sea fog. Koracin et al. (2001) used a one-dimensional model with turbulence
closure and radiative parameterization similar to the model used by Oliver
et al. (1978); however, in contrast to Oliver et al., they emulated evolution of
the air parcel in a Lagrangian frame of reference along multi-day trajectories
over varying sea-surface temperatures and a strong marine inversion. In the
case study (April 1999) that was central to the K2001 investigation, sea fog
formed as a result of stratus lowering along multi-day, over-water trajectories. The modelling results were consistent with the observed time of fog
onset and the location of fog along the coast as well as at sea, and identied
cloud-top radiative cooling as the primary mechanism for fog formation.
Radiative cooling at the top of the marine layer over-compensated for
warming at the surface in the presence of a sea surface that was several
Kelvin (K) warmer than the adjoining surface air. Net cooling led to condensation and fog. Although one-dimensional models can emulate specic
advection associated with a Lagrangian path, they inherently cannot account
449
for variability in the three-dimensional structure of the atmospheric boundary layer and advective processes.
Another approach to investigating air parcel modication within a
Lagrangian or quasi-Lagrangian framework was performed by Stevens et al.
(2003a, b) using aircraft observations o southern California. They followed
cloud parcels by means of circular aircraft patterns and focused on the roles
of cloud-top radiative cooling, entrainment, and drizzle on the evolution of
nocturnal marine stratocumulus. Stevens et al. (2003a, b) analysed the aircraft data and concluded that the observed temperature and moisture discontinuities for a strong marine inversion over the U.S. West Coast denitely
would lead to signicant entrainment and cloud drying based on cloud-top
entrainment instability (Deardor, 1980; Randall, 1980). In contrast, the
observations indicated persistent cloud layers that were even further developed during the time when entrainment instability suggested cloud dissipation. In addition, the consequent microphysical evolution led to signicant
formation of observed drizzle ux. Stevens et al. (2003a) indicated that the
role of radiative processes in the maintenance and growth of clouds should be
investigated further.
In this study, we seek to complement previous studies by examining
simulated air parcel trajectories and investigating the roles and interplay of
advection, cloud-top radiation, surface uxes, and entrainment on the evolution of the cloudy marine atmospheric boundary layer (MABL). To better
understand air transformation along Lagrangian trajectories, we performed
three-dimensional numerical simulations using Mesoscale Model 5 (MM5)
(Grell et al., 1994). To support the three-dimensional modelling, we relied on
a recent observational study that explored the formation, maintenance, and
dissipation of sea fog for this particular case (Lewis et al., 2003). The main
objective of our study is to develop a qualitative and quantitative understanding of the modication determinants relevant to the eventual formation
of sea fog. Under certain conditions characterized by advection, strength of
the marine inversion, and subsidence, modication of the cloudy marine
layer can lead to sea-fog formation. The inuence of land-driven circulation
on sea-fog dissipation is analysed and elaborated on, and implications of the
study ndings on the operational forecasting of sea fog are discussed in the
concluding remarks and epilogue.
2. Oshore Cloudiness and Fog Along the California Coast During 1415
April 1999
Extensive cloud and fog layers occurred along the California coast during
1415 April 1999 in response to a synoptic disturbance that moved on to the
West Coast on 11 April (K2001; Lewis et al., 2003). Prior to fog formation, a
450
Figure 1. Composite mean (0000 and 1200 UTC) sea-level pressure (hPa) for 13 April (a)
and 16 April (b) 1999. Obtained from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, Climate Diagnostic Center using National Centers for Environmental Prediction and
National Center for Atmospheric Research re-analysis.
high pressure system over the north-eastern Pacic and a low pressure system
over Arizona and California set up intense north-westerly and northerly
ows along the West Coast that are characteristic of warm season dynamics
in this region (Figure la). The high pressure system and associated subsidence
(reaching 0.05 m s)1) maintained a strong marine inversion of 10 K or more
(Lewis et al., 2003). As the high pressure system moved inland (Figure lb),
451
the pressure gradient weakened along the coast and induced oshore ows in
the coastal zone. According to our analysis, this synoptic evolution had a
signicant impact on the evolution of oshore cloudiness and fog. The initial
intense northerly and north-westerly ows were favourable to the cooling of
cloudy air along over-water trajectories. Inland displacement of the high
pressure system reduced horizontal pressure gradients and winds, leading to
conditions favourable to the formation of sea fog. Gradual development of
oshore ows at the end of the fog event, however, induced drying of the
marine layer near the coast at night as well as drying and warming of this
layer during daytime hours. This is further explained in the following sections.
3. Numerical Model
Mesoscale Model 5 is used worldwide and was developed jointly by
Pennsylvania State University and the National Center for Atmospheric
Research in Boulder, Colorado. Details of the model structure are described
in Grell et al. (1994). Mesoscale Model 5 has been used in a variety of
research and application studies focused on atmospheric dynamics and
cloudiness along the California coast (Koracin and Dorman, 2001), structure
and evolution of wind stress and wind-stress curl impacting ocean dynamics
(Koracin et al., 2004), and as a driver for an ocean model (e.g., Powers and
Stoelinga, 1999; Beg-Paklar et al., 2001), among others. To account for
synoptic processes and also to resolve characteristics of mesoscale processes,
coarse and nested grids were set up to cover a large portion of the U.S. West
Coast from southern Oregon to the Los Angeles region (Figure 2). The
coarse grid was centred at 37.5 N, 122.5 W and consisted of 177 207 43
points with a horizontal resolution of 6 km. The nested grid (consisting of
271 385 43 points with a horizontal resolution of 2 km) extended from
the northern California coast to Point Conception (34.4 N, 120.5 W) where
the coastline sharply turns to the east. Most of the clouds and fog were
observed in this area.
Table I shows the models vertical grid structure with average heights
converted from 43 full-sigma levels (integer values). Horizontal wind components and thermodynamic variables are computed on half-sigma levels,
while vertical velocity is computed on full-sigma levels (midpoint values). In
order to provide high vertical resolution within the MABL, seventeen vertical
levels are provided in the lowest kilometre. Topography input was extracted
from the 30-resolution global terrain and land use les. The main physics
options included warm-rain microphysics; the Grell cumulus parameterization; the Gayno-Seaman second-moment, turbulence parameterization with
the prognostic turbulence kinetic energy (TKE) equation (Shafran et al.,
452
Figure 2. Setup of MM5 modelling domains. The outer domain (D01) consists of 177
207 35 grid points with horizontal resolution of 6 km, and the inner domain (DO2) has
271 385 35 grid points with horizontal resolution of 2 km.
453
TABLE I
Average heights (m) of full-sigma and half-sigma vertical levels of MM5 grids.
Level
Full-sigma level
height (m)
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
18
36
54
82
118
155
191
247
321
396
472
548
625
702
780
938
1180
1429
1701
1995
2294
2607
2931
3262
3610
3973
4344
4738
5149
5574
6028
6506
7005
7543
8118
8726
9393
10121
10911
11805
12820
13983
Half-sigma level
height (m)
9
27
45
68
100
136
173
219
284
359
434
510
586
664
741
859
1059
1305
1565
1848
2144
2450
2769
3097
3436
3792
4158
4541
4944
5362
5801
6267
6756
7274
7831
8422
9060
9757
10516
11358
12313
13402
454
3.1. MODEL
EVALUATION
Wind speed
Santa Maria
Bodega Bay
Pt. Arena
Pt. Arguello
San Francisco
San Martin
Santa Barbara
Pt. Conception
Pt. Arena
(land)
San Fran.
Airport
34.88
38.23
39.22
34.71
37.75
35.74
34.24
34.25
38.96
37.60
46011
46013
46014
46023
46026
46028
46053
46063
PTAC1
SFO
122.40
120.87
123.30
123.97
120.97
122.82
121.88
119.85
120.66
123.74
3
5
5
5
10
5
5
5
5
30
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
26
Std dev
4.52
6.68
5.73
4.70
5.57
4.87
5.55
6.50
4.48
2.97
4.02
4.82
5.22
5.26
3.66
4.31
3.59
5.81
4.08
2.39
2.53
2.77
3.03
2.53
2.38
2.18
3.34
3.18
1.74
2.67
2.15
3.72
3.56
2.68
2.26
2.50
2.35
3.21
2.22
MM5 OBS
MM5 OBS
(m s)1) (m s)1) (m s)1) (m s)1)
Mean
120 3.31
121
121
121
121
97
121
121
121
121
0.50
1.86
0.51
)0.55
1.91
0.56
1.96
0.68
0.37
0.64 0.35
0.52
0.75
0.63
0.54
0.43
0.70
0.70
0.71
0.59
1.70
1.86
2.64
2.28
2.07
2.63
1.52
2.46
1.98
1.56
2.17
2.35
3.09
2.89
2.54
3.12
1.90
3.09
2.53
1.88
2.96
3.40
4.06
3.55
3.99
5.01
2.79
5.32
3.76
3.06
Corr ME
MAE RMSE RMSVE
(m s)1) (m s)1) (m s)1) (m s)1)
TABLE II
Statistical parameters of the comparison between MM5 results and buoy and coastal land station data for the period 1217 April 1999.
455
Temperature
Santa Maria
Bodega Bay
Pt. Arena
Pt. Arguello
San Francisco
San Martin
Santa Barbara
Pt. Conception
P. Arena (land)
San Fran. Airport
46011
46013
46014
46023
46026
46028
46053
46063
PTAC1
SFO
34.88
38.23
39.22
34.71
37.75
35.74
34.24
34.25
38.96
37.60
120.87
123.30
123.97
120.97
122.82
121.88
119.85
120.66
123.74
122.40
4
4
4
10
4
4
4
4
24
3
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
26
9
121
121
121
121
97
121
121
121
121
120
Table II
Continued.
9.34
10.59
9.18
9.36
11.73
10.67
11.21
9.66
11.31
14.81
1.81
1.18
1.15
1.75
1.82
2.00
1.42
1.55
4.67
5.39
2.81
3.34
3.36
2.87
3.73
2.92
2.14
2.63
1.63
5.04
MM5 OBS
(C)
(C)
MM5 OBS
(C)
(C)
11.51
11.07
10.95
11.12
11.31
11.14
11.22
10.99
9.70
15.21
Std dev
Mean
0.63
0.72
0.77
0.70
0.76
0.65
0.75
0.66
0.73
0.91
2.17
0.47
1.78
1.76
0.42
0.47
0.01
1.33
)1.66
0.42
Corr ME
(C)
2.51
2.20
2.57
2.20
2.06
1.89
1.12
1.85
3.51
1.87
3.06
2.68
3.18
2.71
2.65
2.26
1.42
2.34
3.97
2.32
456
DARKO KORACIN ET AL.
457
300
250
200
150
Sim
Meas
100
50
0
12
12.5
13
13.5
14
14.5
15
Day of April 1999
15.5
16
16.5
17
(b) 350
Wind direction ()
300
250
200
150
Sim
Meas
100
50
0
12
12.5
13
13.5
14
14.5
15
Day of April 1999
15.5
16
16.5
17
Figure 3. Time series of measured and simulated wind direction at the Point Arena (a) and
San Francisco (b) coastal land stations from 12 to 17 April 1999.
458
Figure 4. GOES-10 visible images in hourly intervals from 1601 to 2301 UTC on 13 April
1999.
Figure 5. Horizontal, colour-lled cross-sections of the simulated liquid water mixing ratio
(kg kg)1) at 90 m on 13 April at 1200 UTC (a), on 13 April at 1800 UTC (b), and on 14
April 1999 at 0000 UTC (c).
459
Figure 6. Colour-lled, sea-surface temperature contours (C) o the southern Oregon and
California coasts at the time of sea-fog formation over southern California coastal waters
on 14 April 1999 at 0200 UTC. Contour interval is 0.5 K.
460
4.1 BACK-TRAJECTORIES
AREAS
To better understand how marine air is modied while being advected along
the coast, we constructed a series of backward trajectories computed from
MM5-simulated wind elds and examined the simultaneous eects of cloudtop cooling, surface heating, and moistening along these trajectories. It
should be noted that the specied height of a backward trajectory refers to
the height at its end point. While tracing a trajectory backward in time, the
height of the trajectory will vary in time as a consequence of vertical motions.
We focus on two regions: one at which fog occurrence was inferred from
buoy measurements (Point Arguello, hereafter PA), and one at which fog was
absent according to the analysis of buoy observations (San Francisco,
hereafter SF). The eects of cloud-top cooling can be inferred by tracing
simulation results of air temperature at various levels and dierences with
respect to the SST. Trends in dew-point temperature as well as surface sensible and latent heat uxes can be used to infer eects of the ocean surface on
modication of the MABL as it is advected along the coast. Analysis of the
simulations indicated fog formation upwind of PA in the early hours of 14
April 1999. At 0300 UTC on 14 April, model results show fog formation at
the Point Arguello buoy location and no-fog conditions at the SF buoy
location predictions in agreement with saturation conditions at the buoys.
Figure 7 shows back-trajectories from these two sites at 10 m (near the
surface), 90 m (the lower part of the marine layer), 270 m (the upper part of
the marine layer), and 1000 m (above the marine layer) with an ending time
of 0300 UTC on 14 April. The typical depth of the marine layer (300500 m)
is indicated in the observational (e.g., Rogers et al., 1998) and modelling
studies (e.g., Koracin and Dorman, 2001). The surface back-trajectory from
PA (Figure 7a) was signicantly oshore, while the back-trajectory at 270 m
was originally located closer to the coast, approached the coastline south of
the Monterey Bay area for a short time, and then turned oshore afterwards.
461
(b)
The ow above the marine layer was fully oshore. Back-trajectories with the
endpoint at the SF buoy location (Figure 7b) were oshore while
approaching the buoy, but the time history indicated an origin over land
where the back-trajectories encountered warming and drying. Figure 7
indicates that the origin and modication of the marine layer through
warming and drying over land can be a signicant determinant of cloud-free
and fog-free conditions.
4.2 MODIFICATION
OCCURRENCE
In order to examine simulated atmospheric conditions along back-trajectories, we constructed time series of air temperature, dew-point temperature,
SST, and cloud occurrence in terms of the vertically integrated liquid water
path (ILWP) (Stull, 1988) as well as surface sensible and latent heat uxes.
Figure 8 shows a time series of these parameters simulated along a surface
back-trajectory with the end point at PA where fog was inferred from
measurements. The SST gradually increased by about 2.5 K along the path
during the rst 12 h, and sensible and latent heat uxes increased by about
462
Temperature (C)
11
10
9
8
7
6
5
4
30
35
40
Hour after simulation start
45
50
45
50
45
50
pa lwp (bo)
Integrated liquid water path (g m2)
400
350
300
250
200
150
100
50
0
30
35
40
Hour after simulation start
pa shflx (bo) & lhflx (gx)
100
Heat flux (W m 2 )
80
60
40
20
0
20
30
35
40
Hour after simulation start
Figure 8. Time series of simulated air temperature (solid line with circles), sea-surface temperature (dashed line), and dew-point temperature (solid line with x) (a); integrated liquid
water path (b); and surface heat (solid line with circles) and latent heat (solid with x) uxes
(c) along the surface back-trajectory at 10 m with the end point at the Point Arguello buoy
location on 14 April at 0300 UTC.
463
464
Temperature (C)
11
10
9
8
7
6
5
4
40
42
44
46
Hour after simulation start
48
50
48
50
48
50
sf lwp (bo)
2
100
80
60
40
20
0
40
42
44
46
Hour after simulation start
sf shflx (bo) & lhflx (gx)
40
Heat flux (W m 2)
20
0
20
40
60
80
100
40
42
44
46
Hour after simulation start
Figure 9. Same as Figure 8, except with the end point at the San Francisco buoy location.
have dierent pathways and origins. Figure 8 shows that the air temperature
along the PA back-trajectory gradually decreased within the rst 10 h or so
and then gradually increased in approximately the middle of its duration
465
:
dt
zb
zb
zb
The term on the left-hand side represents the total change of the potential
temperature due to the following terms on the right-hand side: divergence of
sensible heat ux, divergence of net radiative ux, and entrainment processes.
In this equation, w0 h0e is the surface kinematic heat ux; zb is the height of the
MABL (equal to the height of the inversion base); Rc, and Rb are the normalized net radiative uxes at the cloud top and base, respectively; we is the
entrainment rate velocity; and Dhe is the jump in equivalent potential temperature within the inversion.
466
5.1. SCALE
TEMPERATURE
where wm is the mean model vertical velocity at the top of the MABL. From
the model results we computed the change of the boundary-layer height (lefthand side of Equation (2)). Then we computed we from Equation (3) using
these wm and dzdtb estimates.
Since modelled radiation tendency is a computed value for each grid
point, we converted radiation tendency from a particular point into the
associated eect for the entire MABL. Radiation tendency for each point is
assumed to be representative of the half-grid vertical interval above and
below the considered point. The magnitude of the radiation tendency was
1
Ks )
1.5
0.5
0.5
1.5
10
15
20
Figure 10. Time series of simulated terms on the right-hand side of Equation (1) contributing to the MABL heating and cooling processes: surface heat ux (dashed), radiation tendency (solid), and entrainment (dashed-dotted line with circles) for back-trajectory with
endpoint at the Point Arguello buoy location on 14 April at 0300 UTC.
467
then multiplied by the ratio of this vertical separation to the MABL depth;
then these values for each layer are summed up to the top of the MABL. In
our specic case, we performed this procedure for the vertical prole for
every hour at the point where the trajectory was at that hour. By following
this process, we were able to extrapolate the value of the radiation tendency
derived for each particular point and its corresponding z into its particular
contribution to heating or cooling of the entire MABL. As discussed in the
previous section, turbulence was sucient to provide mixing and redistribution of this heating and cooling.
Figure 10 shows a time series of the main components contributing to the
potential temperature tendency. Use of the simplied thermodynamic
equation (Equation (1)) imposes a residual with respect to the simulated total
change of the potential temperature that includes treatment of full threedimensional processes. The average dierence between the left-hand side of
Equation (1) and the simulated total change of the potential temperature is
26%. Relative magnitudes among the components shown in Figure 10,
however, remain the same as the initial estimate of individual importance.
Figure 10 clearly indicates that longwave cooling is the main contributor to
the cooling of the MABL in the rst part of the period when the overall
cooling of the marine layer was simulated along the back-trajectory with the
end point at Point Arguello (Figure 8). Cloudand fog-induced cooling is
counteracted by heating due to the surface heat ux and entrainment.
According to this scale analysis, cloud- and fog-top cooling is denitely a
process that can dominate surface forcing and entrainment and, in conjunction with increased moisture, can lead to condensation. The eect was
prominent during the rst 7 h and at the nal stage of the trajectory when the
surface heat ux was low. Note that the moisture ux increased during the
period of increased heat ux and that apparent cooling of the air along the
trajectory during the last several hours prior to fog formation was sucient
to produce fog.
6. Dissipation of Sea Fog
In accordance with the observations in K2001, the sea fog analysed in the
previous section dissipated in the area north of Point Conception after 1600
UTC on 15 April. In order to examine the eect of advection and surface
uxes on fog dissipation, we constructed back-trajectories with the end point
in the PA area at the time after fog clearing (0000 UTC on 16 April) and
extending 18 h backward in time, while the trajectories were in the domain.
Figure 11 shows the position of the back-trajectories at the surface, 90 m,
270 m, and 1000 m. In contrast to Figure 7, which shows the oshore origin
of the back-trajectories, Figure 11 clearly indicates that trajectories both
468
within and above the MABL originated over land and entered the coastal
waters mainly as an easterly ow. Figure 12 shows a time series of the
temperature, dew-point temperature, ILWP, and surface sensible and latent
heat uxes along the surface back-trajectory shown in Figure 11. In contrast
to the properties of the air mass along the back-trajectory relevant to fog
formation (Figure 8), the air mass at the origin of the trajectory over land
was warm and dry and encountered cooling and moistening while mixing
with coastal air over the ocean. The air temperature gradually decreased,
approaching the SST, as shown by the reduction in sensible heat ux. The
main temperature decrease was from hour 6 to 11 when the air mass
encountered thin cloud, as indicated in Figure 12. ILWP was more than 10
times lower in this case than in the case of the oshore trajectory relevant to
cloud and fog formation (Figure 8). During the short-term cooling from
hours 6 to 11, surface uxes were small and did not contribute to vertical
moisture transport. In spite of the gradual increase in the dew-point tem-
469
Temperature (C)
20
15
10
8
10
12
Hour after backtrajectory start
14
16
18
8
10
12
Hour after backtrajectory start
14
16
18
8
10
12
Hour after backtrajectory start
14
16
18
(b) 40
Heat flux (W m 2)
(c)
35
30
25
20
15
10
5
0
50
50
100
Figure 12. Time series of simulated air temperature (solid line with circles), sea-surface temperature (dashed line), and dew-point temperature (dashed dotted line with x) (a); integrated liquid water path (b); and surface heat (solid line with circles) and latent heat
(dashed line with x) uxes (c) along the surface back-trajectory that are relevant to fog dissipation. The end point of the back-trajectory is at the Point Arguello buoy location on 16
April 1999 at 0000 UTC.
470
perature until the last few hours of the back-trajectory, there was no signicant cooling of the surface air when the trajectory was approaching PA.
All these processes led to clear-sky conditions at the end of the considered
back-trajectory.
Another complexity in the formation and dissipation of sea fog is the
interaction of synoptic processes and locally induced coastal circulations
(Lewis et al., 2003). A process of gradual cooling of the cloudy marine air
occurred along the oshore advection path with sucient moisture, turbulence, and saturation. In the case of synoptic pressure centre displacements
and weakening of the synoptic pressure gradients, land-breeze ows develop
during nighttime and, by mixing with alongshore marine ows, induce general drying of the MABL. During daytime, sea breezes develop and in the
return ow, they bring warm and dry air that originated over land. Drying
and warming are enhanced by daytime shortwave radiational heating of the
cloud and fog layers (Nicholls, 1984; Koracin and Rogers, 1990). All these
eects promote fog dissipation. The eects of radiative processes on the
diurnal evolution of coastal clouds are discussed by Betts (1990) and Koracin
and Dorman (2001).
Figure 13a shows surface vector winds at the time (0200 UTC on 14 April)
when fog onset was simulated in the PA area. This area was under the
(a)
(b)
Figure 13. Simulated vector winds and wind speed contours on 14 April at 0200 UTC (13
April at 1800 LST) during fog formation, at the surface (a) and at 500 m (b). Contour
interval for the wind speed is 2 m s)1. For clarity, wind vectors are plotted at every tenth
grid point.
471
inuence of alongshore marine ows with strong winds near San Francisco
and Monterey Bay that weakened south of Monterey Bay. We simulated
similar ow characteristics, although with greater wind speeds, at 500 m
(Figure 13b). Simulated vector winds at the surface and at 500 m (prior to
fog dissipation) are shown in Figure 14a, b, respectively. As indicated in
Figure 1 and explained further in this section (see Figures 15 and 16), the
high pressure system moved inland and synoptic pressure gradients were
substantially weaker. This produced a signicant decrease in winds within the
marine layer and allowed for the development of oshore ows. Oshore
ows were simulated throughout the marine layer, as shown by the vector
winds at the surface and 500 m (Figure 14a, b). The main impact of the
oshore ows was to warm and dry the MABL near the coast. This is clearly
seen in Figure 15, which shows colour-lled, surface-temperature contours
during fog formation (Figure 15a) and 48 h later (Figure 15b). The gure
shows gradual warming and a decrease of the pressure gradients over the
ocean in the southern and south-western regions of the domain. Gradual
heating of the air over land associated with the high pressure system also can
be seen in Figure 15. Another important feature of the oshore ows is the
consequent drying of the MABL near the coast. Figure 16 shows gradual
(b)
(a)
Figure 14. Simulated vector winds and wind speed contours on 15 April at 1300 UTC
(0500 LST) prior to fog dissipation, at the surface (a) and at 500 m (b). Contour interval
for the wind speed is 2 m s)1. For clarity, wind vectors are plotted at every tenth grid
point.
472
(a)
(b)
Figure 15. Colour-lled, simulated surface air temperature (C) overlaid with sea-level pressure (hPa) and surface winds (knots) at 0200 UTC at a 48-h interval: 14 April 1999 (a) and
16 April 1999 (b). Contour interval for the sea-level pressure is 0.5 hPa. For clarity, wind
vectors are plotted at every tenth grid point.
(a)
(b)
473
Figure 16. Colour-lled, simulated surface relative humidity (%) overlaid with sea-level
pressure (hPa) and surface vector winds at 0200 UTC at a 48-h interval: 14 April 1999 (a)
and 16 April 1999 (b). Contour interval for the sea-level pressure is 0.5 hPa. For clarity,
wind vectors are plotted at every tenth grid point.
jectories that originate over land). The study also shows that modication
of the MABL is signicantly dependent on advection processes over the
land and ocean and whether clouds are present during the transformation.
During the time when the fog formed, a fog layer and cloud layer were
present with signicant ILWP (0.20.4 kg m)2). Cloud-top cooling generated net cooling of the marine layer by about 4 K despite the gradual
increase in the SST by 23 K along the trajectory. Within 12 h this triggered an increase of the surface heat and latent heat uxes of about
7080 W m)2 along the trajectory. This surface heating counteracted
cloud-top cooling but not suciently to overcome the eect of cloudgenerated cooling and fog formation that was simulated at the end of the
back-trajectories. Scale analysis of the major factors (radiative cloud-top
cooling, surface uxes, and entrainment) determining the evolution and
fate of sea fog showed that in this case cloud-top cooling was a dominant
process creating net cooling of the MABL, and leading to the formation
and maintenance of the cloud and fog layers. When the cloud and fog
layers were absent with a greater increase of the SST along the trajectory,
surface uxes continuously increased air and dew-point temperatures.
474
Consequently, these conditions did not yield fog conditions at the end
points of the trajectories.
Our model results show that dissipation of sea fog along the West Coast is
signicantly inuenced by the development of land-driven circulations.
Dissipation of sea fog is governed by the complex interplay between advection, synoptic evolution, and development of local circulations. Displacement
and weakening of horizontal synoptic pressure gradients and the consequent
decrease in marine winds allows for development of oshore ows. These
oshore ows merge with weak marine ows and cause drying of the MABL.
During daytime, the oshore ows can induce warming and consequent fog
dissipation.
In conclusion, we would like to emphasize that we have provided a
theoretical background for the formation, evolution, and dissipation of sea
fog and indicated the major components determining sea-fog characteristics. This methodology should be applied to other cases and types of sea
fog and further evaluated using observations from future eld programs to
be conducted in Lagrangian and Eulerian frameworks of reference over
the ocean.
8. Epilogue on Sea-Fog Research and Implications for Operational
Forecasting
In addition to the summary and conclusions section, we believe that it is
important to provide a general picture of sea-fog research, its challenges, and
associated implications for operational forecasting.
We have completed a suite of observational and modelling studies related to
coastal sea fog (K2001; Lewis et al., 2003, 2004; and the current contribution).
The observational studies of the sea-fog event of April 1999 (part of K2001 and
Lewis et al., 2003) and the view of sea fog in the context of synoptic processes
over the West Coast (Lewis et al., 2003) showed that widespread sea fog is
controlled by large- and regional-scale processes: subsidence, long over-water
trajectories and land-based trajectories, and the consequent structure of the
marine layer. It appears that cooling of the marine layer in the presence of a
warm ocean is due to radiative cooling associated with stratus. The value of
these precise simulations of radiative uxes stems from the models very ne
vertical resolution (approximately 10 m, K2001).
Our three-dimensional modelling results indicate that delineation of fog and
fog-free areas can be ascertained through careful analysis of trajectories within
and above the MABL. These modelling results also provide reasonable values
of the liquid water content of the fog layer. Further, results indicate that the
dissipation of fog is linked to changes in the mesoscale wind eld. Radiative
cloud-top cooling generates turbulence that can induce fog maintenance and
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