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chaotic disruptions was the earthquake and tsunami that engulfed the plant
in 2010, causing a catastrophic meltdown. The Fukushima reactors are
based on an antiquated U.S. design from the 1960s, dependent upon an
electrical emergency cooling system. When the electricity failed, including
the backup generators, the emergency control system became inoperative
and the reactor cores melted. It was also a mistake (in retrospect) to
centralize power production by placing six large nuclear reactors next to
each other. The trouble with chaotic disruptions is that they are inherently
unpredictable. Actually we can predict (though poorly) the likelihood of an
earthquake and tsunami relatively better compared to other natural
phenomena. Think of how difficult it would be to predict the time and
location of an asteroid collision, or more difficult yet, to prepare for the
consequences. Physicists refer to this kind of chaos as a far from
equilibrium condition. This is a problem that designers are beginning to
take much more seriously, as we deal with more freakish events like
Hurricane Sandy actually a chaotic combination of three separate
weather systems that devastated the Caribbean and the eastern coast of
the U.S., in 2012.
Map of the Internet: a paradigmatic resilient network in part because it is scale-free and
redundant.
Image: The Opte Project/Wikimedia
that code earlier patterns are re-used and re-incorporated later. The most
familiar example of this is, of course, DNA. The evolutionary transformation
of organisms using DNA gradually built up a world that transitioned from
viruses and bacteria, to vastly more complex organisms.
Applying the lessons to resilient human designs
How can we apply these structural lessons to create resilient cities, and to
improve smaller vulnerable parts of cities by making them resilient?
Developing the ideas from our previous list, resilient cities have the
following characteristics:
1. They have inter-connected networks of pathways and
relationships. They are not segregated into neat categories of use,
type, or pathway, which would make them vulnerable to failure.
whole.)
4. Following from (3), they (and their parts) can adapt and organize
in response to changing needs on different spatial and temporal
scales, and in response to each other. That is, they can selforganize. This process can accelerate through the evolutionary
exchange and transformation of traditional knowledge and concepts
about what works to meet the needs of humans, and the natural
environments on which they depend.
Resilient cities evolve in a very specific manner. They retain and build upon
older patterns or information, at the same time that they respond to change
by adding novel adaptations. They almost never create total novelty, and
almost always create only very selective novelty as needed. Any change is
tested via selection, just as changes in an evolving organism are selected
by how well the organism performs in its environment. This mostly rules out
drastic, discontinuous changes. Resilient cities are thus structurepreserving even as they make deep structural transformations. How do
these elements contribute to resilient cities in practice, in an age of
resource depletion and climate change? Its easy to see that a city with
networked streets and sidewalks is going to be more walkable and less cardependent than a city with a rigid top-down hierarchy of street types,
funneling all traffic into a limited number of collectors and arterials.
Similarly, a city designed to work with a mix of uses is going to be more
diverse and be able to better adapt to change than a city with rigidly
separated monocultures.
A city with a rich and balanced diversity of scales, especially including and
encouraging the most fine-grained scales, is going to be more easily
repairable and adaptable to new uses. It can withstand disruptions better
because its responses can occur on any and all different levels of scale.
The city uses the disruption to define a pivot on a particular scale, around
which to structure a complex multi-scale response. And its more likely to
be able to self-organize around new economic activities and new
resources, if and when the old resources come to be in short supply.
The evolution of non-resilient cities
So where are we today? Many of our cities were (and still are) shaped by a
model of city planning that evolved in an era of cheap fossil-fuel energy and
a zeal for the mechanistic segregation of parts. The result is that in many
respects we have a rigid non-resilient kind of city; one that, at best, has
some engineered resilience towards a single objective, but certainly no
AUTHORS NOTE: With this post we begin a new five-part series on the
concept of resilience, and how designers can apply its insights.
Michael Mehaffy is an urbanist and critical thinker in complexity and the
built environment. He is a practicing planner and builder, and is known for
his many projects as well as his writings. He has been a close associate of
the architect and software pioneer Christopher Alexander. Currently he is a
Sir David Anderson Fellow at the University of Strathclyde in Glasgow, a
Visiting Faculty Associate at Arizona State University; a Research
Associate with the Center for Environmental Structure, Chris Alexanders
research center founded in 1967; and a strategic consultant on
international projects, currently in Europe, North America and South
America.
Nikos A. Salingaros is a mathematician and polymath known for his work
on urban theory, architectural theory, complexity theory, and design
philosophy. He has been a close collaborator of the architect and computer
software pioneer Christopher Alexander. Salingaros published substantive
research on Algebras, Mathematical Physics, Electromagnetic Fields, and
Thermonuclear Fusion before turning his attention to Architecture and
Urbanism. He still is Professor of Mathematics at the University of Texas at
San Antonio and is also on the Architecture faculties of universities
in Italy, Mexico, and The Netherlands.
Before its cancellation, the Anara Tower was planned to be one of Dubais tallest
buildings, and an icon of sustainability despite its west-facing glazing, high embodied
energy in materials, and, remarkably, a giant non-functional (i.e. decorative) wind
turbine. The building offered the consumer packaging of an image of sustainability at
the apparent expense of real sustainability.
Image by WS Atkins PLC
large, deep-plan designs that put most usable space far from exterior
walls, forcing greater reliance on artificial light and ventilation systems.
Partly in response to the bad press, the City of New York instituted a new
law requiring disclosure of actual performance for many buildings. That led
to reports of even more poor-performing sustainability icons. Another Times
article, Citys Law Tracking Energy Use Yields Some Surprises, noted that
the gleaming new 7 World Trade Center, LEED Gold-certified, scored just
74 on the Energy Star rating one point below the minimum 75 for highefficiency buildings under the national rating system. That modest rating
doesnt even factor in the significant embodied energy in the new materials
of 7 World Trade Center. Things got even worse in 2010 with a lawsuit
[$100 Million Class Action Filed Against LEED and USGBC] against the
US Green Building Council, developers of the LEED certification system
(Leadership in Energy and Environmental Design). The plaintiffs in the
lawsuit alleged that the USGBC engaged in deceptive trade practices,
false advertising and anti-trust by promoting the LEED system, and argued
that because the LEED system does not live up to predicted and advertised
energy savings, the USGBC actually defrauded municipalities and private
entities. The suit was ultimately dismissed, but in its wake the website
Treehugger and others predicted, based on the evidence uncovered, that
there will be more of this kind of litigation. Whats going on? How can the
desire to increase sustainability actually result in its opposite? One problem
with many sustainability approaches is that they dont question the
underlying building type. Instead they only add new greener components,
such as more efficient mechanical systems and better wall insulation. But
this bolt-on conception of sustainability, even when partially successful,
has the drawback of leaving underlying forms, and the structural system
that generates them, intact. The result is too often the familiar law of
unintended consequences. Whats gained in one area is lost elsewhere as
the result of other unanticipated interactions.
Energy-wasting glass box from the 1960s compared to a new LEED-certified curtainwall building. Spot the difference? The trouble is, (paraphrasing Albert Einstein) we
cannot solve problems with the same basic typologies that created them.
Drawing by Nikos A. Salingaros
For example, adding more efficient active energy systems tends to reduce
the amount of energy used, and therefore lowers its overall cost. But, in
turn, that lower cost tends to make tenants less careful with their energy
use a phenomenon known as Jevons Paradox. Increasing efficiency
lowers cost, and increases demand in turn increasing the rate of
consumption, and wiping out the initial savings. The lesson is that we cant
deal with energy consumption in isolation. We have to look at the concept
of energy more broadly, including embodied energy and other factors.
There are often other unintended consequences. A notable case is
Londons sustainability-hyped Gherkin (Foster & Partners, 2003), where
the buildings open-floor ventilation system was compromised when
security-conscious tenants created glass separations. Operable windows
whose required specifications had been lowered because of the natural
ventilation feature actually began to fall from the building, and had to be
building and also accumulate heat through thermal mass. They have
networks of spaces that can be reconfigured easily, even converted to
entirely new uses, with relatively inexpensive modifications (unlike the
open-plan typology, which has never delivered on expectations). They are
all-around, multi-purpose buildings that arent narrowly designed to one
fashionable look or specialized user. And perhaps most crucially, they dont
stand apart from context and urban fabric, but work together with other
scales of the city, to achieve benefits at both larger and smaller scales.
Older buildings perform better sometimes Many older buildings took
exactly this passive approach, simply because they had to. In an era
when energy was expensive (or simply not available) and transportation
was difficult, buildings were naturally more clustered together in urban
centers. Their shape and orientation exploited natural daylight, and typically
featured smaller, well-positioned windows and load-bearing walls with
higher thermal mass. The simple, robust shapes of these buildings allowed
almost endless configurations. In fact many of the most in-demand urban
buildings today are actually adaptive reuse projects of much older
buildings. The results of this passive approach are reflected in good energy
performance. While New Yorks 7 World Trade Center actually scored
below the citys minimum rating of 75 out of 100, older buildings in the city
that had been retrofitted with the same efficient heating, cooling, and
lighting technologies fared much better: the Empire State Building scored a
rating of 80, the Chrysler Building scored 84. But just being old is clearly
not a criterion of success. The 1963 MetLife/PanAm building (Walter
Gropius & Pietro Belluschi), now a half-century old, scored a dismal 39.
Another mid-century icon, the Lever House (Skidmore, Owings & Merrill,
1952), scored 20. The worst performer of all was Ludwig Mies Van der
Rohes iconic Seagram building, built in 1958. Its score was an
astonishingly low 3. Whats the problem with these buildings? As the earlier
New York Times article noted, they have extensive curtain-wall assemblies,
large window areas, large-scale deep-plan forms, and other limitations.
On a fundamental level, as we can now begin to see from resilience theory,
they lack many crucial resilient advantages of older building types. There
may be something inherent in the building type itself that is non-resilient.
The form language itself could be an innate problem something that,
according to systems thinking, no mere bolt-on green additions can fix.
Oil-interval architecture Architectural critic Peter Buchanan, writing
recently in the UK magazine, The Architectural Review, placed the blame
for these failures squarely at the feet of the Modernist design model itself,
and called for a big rethink about many of its unquestioned assumptions
[The Big Rethink: Farewell To Modernism And Modernity Too].
Modernism is inherently unsustainable, he argued, because it evolved in
the beginning of the era of abundant and cheap fossil fuels. This cheap
energy powered the weekend commute to the early Modernist villas, and
kept their large open spaces warm, in spite of large expanses of glass and
thin wall sections. Petrochemicals created their complex sealants and
fueled the production of their exotic extrusions. Modern architecture is thus
an energy-profligate, petrochemical architecture, only possible when fossil
fuels are abundant and affordable, he said. Like the sprawling cities it
spawned, it belongs to that waning era historians are already calling the oil
interval.
Cities built using a form language whose dominant feature is to maximize the
consumption of fossil fuels. Though a successful economic development strategy during
the oil-interval era, it has left us with a looming catastrophe.
Drawing by Nikos A. Salingaros
Buchanan is not alone in calling for a big rethink about the assumptions of
Modernist design. It is fashionable among many architects today to attack
Modernism, and argue instead for various kinds of avant-garde and PostModernist styles. Buchanan lumps these styles together under a category
he calls Deconstructionist Post-Modernism. But he insists that the
Deconstructionists have not actually transcended the Modernist paradigm
they attack: they still operate almost entirely within the industrial
assumptions and engineering methodologies of the oil interval. Once
again, resilience theory provides insight into the serious flaws carried by
this family of related form languages and indeed, flaws in their very
C
uriously, after one century of unfettered design experiments, the Modernist form
language evolves back to the traditional glass box.
Drawing by Nikos A. Salingaros
Not everyone seems to care for this new/old aesthetic, however. Some see
the new structures as sterile, ugly, and disruptive to their neighborhoods
and cities. Defenders of the designs often attack these critics for being
presumably unsophisticated, nostalgic, or unwilling to accept the inevitable
progress of a dynamic culture. This battle of stylistic preferences rages
on, with the Neo-Modernists claiming the avant-garde high ground, where
they tend to dominate the media, critics, and schools. Of course, fashions
come and go, and architecture is no different: in a sense this is just another
phase in the more or less continuous waxing and waning of architectural
Modernism for almost a century now, along with raging debates about its
aesthetic merits. Those debates have never really died down. Critics like
Buchanan are not new: in the 1960s and 1970s equally vociferous critics
like Christopher Alexander, Peter Blake, Jane Jacobs, David Watkin, and
Tom Wolfe made withering critiques, but little has changed. What has now
changed, however, is that we are asking newly urgent questions about the
resilience of this kind of structure, at a time when we need to rigorously
assess and improve that resilience. As this discussion suggests, it is not
only the particular and practical issues of expansive glazed curtain walls,
bulky and transparent buildings, and exotic assemblies overly reliant on
petrochemical products that are the root of the problem. It is perhaps the
very idea of buildings as fashionable icons celebrating their own newness,
a quintessentially Modernist idea, which is fundamentally at odds with the
notion of sustainability. As they age, these buildings are destined to be less
new and therefore less useful, not more so. The pristine Modernist (and
now Post-Modernist and Deconstructivist) industrial surfaces are destined
to mar, weather, and otherwise degrade. The eye-catching novelties of one
era will become the abandoned eyesores of the next, an inevitability lost on
a self-absorbed elite fixated on todays fashions. Meanwhile the humble,
humane criteria of resilient design are being pushed aside, in the rush to
embrace the most attention-getting new technological approaches which
then produce a disastrous wave of unintended failures. This is clearly no
way to prepare for a sustainable future in any sense.
Modernism is more than just a style In this light, why have the form
language and design methodologies of Modernism proven so stubbornly
persistent? The answer is that Modernism is not merely a style that one
may care for or not. It is part and parcel of a remarkably comprehensive
even totalizing project of aesthetics, tectonics, urbanism, technology,
culture, and ultimately, civilization. That project has had a profound effect
upon the development of modern settlements, for better or worse, and
(especially visible in the light of resilience theory) made a huge contribution
to the current state in which we find our cities, and our civilization. The
origins of architectural Modernism are closely affiliated with the progressive
goals of the early Twentieth Century, and the humanitarian ideals even
the utopian zeal of well-meaning visionaries of that day. Those
individuals saw a promising capacity, in the dawning industrial technology
of the age, to deliver a new era of prosperity and quality of life for humanity.
At their most credulous, its leaders were clearly enraptured by the
seemingly infinite possibilities for a technological utopia. From that they
developed an elaborate and in surprising ways, still poorly-evaluated
theory about the necessary new tectonics and form languages of the
civilization of the future. Their followers today still argue that it is,
unquestionably, Modernism that is best positioned to don the mantle of
sustainability. Many things did improve under this technological regime, of
course, and today we can cure diseases, reduce backbreaking toil, eat
exotic foods, travel fast in comfortable motoring and flying craft, and do
many other things that would astonish our ancestors. But along with that
new regime has come a calamitous ecological depletion and destruction of
resources, and an erosion of the foundation on which all economics and
gave birth to the modernist style and form language, still popular with
architects today and part of a design movement that in various forms has
dominated the world for a century. But such choices of style and type are
not independent of how well our buildings perform on criteria of
sustainability and resilience a growing body of evidence is damning. So
what does recent science tell us about the soundness of this approach to
architecture? Science forces us to conclude that the modernist view of
environmental structure itself appears un-modern and unsustainable. It
rests upon now largely discredited theories of culture, technology,
environmental geometry, and building form; theories that have never been
properly re-assessed by their proponents. Far from being an inevitable
product of inexorable historical forces, the evidence reveals 20th century
design to be developed as a series of rather peculiar choices by a few
influential individuals. The story goes back to a small group of German,
Swiss, and Austrian architect-theorists, and at its seminal moment, the
particular ideas of one of them regarding ornament which turns out to
have far-reaching implications.
Adolf Loos idea takes hold In his famous essay of 1908, Ornament and
Crime, the Austrian writer/architect Adolf Loos presented an argument for
the minimalist industrial aesthetic that has shaped modernism and neomodernism ever since. Surprisingly, he built this argument upon a
foundation that is accepted today by almost no one; the cultural superiority
of modern man [sic], by which he meant Northern European males. Loos
proclaimed that, in this new era of streamlined modern production, we had
apparently become unable to produce authentic ornamental detail. But
are we alone, he asked, unable to have our own style do what any Negro
[sic], or any other race and period before us, could do? Of course not, he
argued. We are more advanced, more modern. Our style must be the
very aesthetic paucity that comes with the streamlined goods of industrial
production a hallmark of advancement and superiority. In effect, our
ornament would be the simple minimalist buildings and other artifacts
themselves, celebrating the spirit of a great new age. Indeed, the continued
use of ornament was, for Loos, a crime. The Papuan, he argued, had
not evolved to the moral and civilized circumstances of modern man [sic].
As part of his primitive practices, the Papuan tattooed himself. Likewise,
Loos went on, the modern man who tattoos himself is either a criminal or a
degenerate. Therefore, he reasoned, those who still used ornament were
on the same low level as criminals, and Papuans.
What was this limited form language? It employed the repetitive production
of standardized machine components, conceived in the most limited sense
(eliminating complex artifacts, tools and utensils, and complex architectural
components). It was an extreme strategy to exploit economies of scale and
quantity to achieve efficiencies. Those industrial parts blank flat sheets,
razor-straight line cuts, simple unadorned squares, cubes, and cylinders
were standardized to allow for easy and low-cost assembly.
Some holes were evident in Adolf Loos theories, even at the time they were written. On
the left, mass-produced Art Nouveau silver jewelry box by P. A. Coon, 1908. On the
right, hand-made Machine Aesthetic silver teapot by C. Dresser, 1879. The machine
aesthetic was an artistic metaphor of modernity chosen by Loos not a true
functional requirement.
Drawing by Nikos A. Salingaros
Precisely because of its limitations, this form language made for dramatic,
somewhat disquieting new shapes, readily suited to metaphoric use as the
attention-getting expressions of a great new age. The raw, simple forms
were well suited psychologically to the streamlined shapes of the
breathtakingly fast-moving new vehicles like locomotives, aircraft, and
ships. In turn, these reinforced the idea of streamlined buildings as a
The cube ate the flower: how the machine aesthetic devoured all other form
languages, from Architecture for Beginners by Louis Hellman, 1994.
Adapted and redrawn by Nikos A. Salingaros
Corporate branding with science fiction The clever use of machine parts
production, through the early application of industrial technology, as a
romantic new form language was not lost on Loos German contemporary
Peter Behrens. Known now as the father of corporate branding, Behrens
recruited industrial minimalism as an aesthetic tool to create a streamlined
marketing image to help his client AEG (Germanys version of General
Electric) sell its products. He created striking logos, stationery,
advertisements and buildings, which, in effect, were converted into giant
billboards to help to sell the companies and their products. In taking this
momentous step, Behrens was masterfully solving a critical problem for
environmental designers offering their services in a new age of
standardization and mass production. If we were no longer going to
generate the form of buildings in place, through localized craft-like
processes, but must rely instead upon (supposedly superior, and certainly
cheaper) combinations of standardized parts, then how were we, as
designers, going to create aesthetically distinctive works? By theming
The form language of nature is not mechanical in the modern sense. The only known
exception: Donald Duck discovers square eggs, from Lost in the Andes by Carl Barks,
1948.
Redrawn by Nikos A. Salingaros
I
s this ornamental embroidery? Actually, a fractal antenna which, when miniaturized,
makes cell phone reception possible. There is an important role here for functionalism,
understood in a much deeper sense.
Drawing by Nikos A. Salingaros
changes that might otherwise prove catastrophic (in a post titled Biology
Lessons).
We also argued that a more resilient future for humankind demands new
technologies incorporating precisely these characteristics. As a result,
environmental design, especially, is set to change dramatically.
But such desirable characteristics do not exist as abstract entities. Rather,
they are embodied in the physical geometries of our world the
relationship between elements in space. As we will discuss here, these
geometries typically arise from the processes that produce resilience, but in
turn they go on to create or to destroy the capacity for resilience in
their own right. So if we want a more resilient future, we first need to
understand these geometries, and the technological and economic
processes that produce them.
Courtesy Christopher Alexander, from The Nature of Order I (pp. 256, 266, 288)
We will not enter here into the details of Alexanders analysis, which is
extensive (over 2,000 pages within four volumes of his magnum opus, The
Nature of Order ). But we can describe several categories of these
geometries, and point out some important implications for the resilience of
the human environment and its capacity to promote wellbeing. Together,
these geometric elements make up what we will describe as The
Geometry of Resilience.
What will become apparent is that these geometries are the counterparts of
the four characteristics of resilience: diversity; web-network structure;
distribution across a range of scales; and the capacity to self-adapt and
self-organize. They are:
1. Geometries of differentiated symmetries. Diversity is created
through small-scale adaptive changes that arise with the stepwise
development of structure. For example, every flower in a vast
meadow is slightly different from all the others. The genetic code of
one individual is also slightly different from all others (except in the
case of clones). This differentiation also produces other familiar
geometries, such as local symmetry: for example, our bodies have
two hands and two legs. Evidence suggests that the ability to
perceive this kind of symmetry (along with other related kinds) is a
very important aspect of our evolutionary psychology, and an
environmental attribute that promotes human wellbeing. The
presence of symmetry generated through differentiation also appears
to be essential to structural resilience; without it, the result is lifeless
cellular groups, all greatly enhance the structural resilience of the wood, in
its ability to resist stress from chaotic events (in the case of wood, powerful
windstorms).
Recurrent types and genetic information
What causes many geometric characteristics to occur repeatedly in nature?
One mechanism is adaptive recapitulation. Biological evolution often
recapitulates previous solutions, for the simple reason that the problems
themselves commonly recur and thus, the adaptive solutions are the
same. For example, the porpoise dorsal fin recapitulates the shark dorsal
fin of 300 million years earlier, because the problems of turbulence and
hydrodynamics in nature are unchanged.
Similarly, the possible set of solutions to problems of living well within large
numbers of people within cities also have many recurrent aspects
that are remarkably stable over centuries of human experience. (For
example, the dynamics of urban networks continue to behave in similar
ways, and urban network patterns frequently recur across many eras and
conditions.) Mathematicians refer to such recurrent patterns within solutionspace as attractors. Thus, geometries of recurrent pattern or type are
seen throughout the natural world.
Another important mechanism that reproduces forms is genetic coding.
When design solutions are discovered through a laborious step-by-step
adaptive process, the result embodies valuable information into a pattern.
In many cases, this pattern is re-usable, which saves vast amounts of time,
energy, and effort. Nature found out how to replicate organismic patterns
through stored genetic information what we call life.
Something similar happens within human technologies. We encode genetic
information as patterns or types, which are then expressed through
differentiated processes. The result is a reliable set of generative patterns,
which take on endlessly variable forms, across myriad cultures, times, and
places. There is ample scope within this generative process for the greatest
of human arts, and for profound adventure and daring in design.
Or, we should say, this has been the case for most of human history, up to
the beginning of the last century the era when we began to experience a
possibly catastrophic loss of resilience and technological sustainability.
A meadow below a hilltop village in Spain, both incorporating the four classes
of geometries discussed above.
Courtesy Michael Mehaffy
creating resilient, responsive buildings and settlements. In fact, the postoccupancy research on the actual performance of many buildings from that
era and up to the present day is damning (as we review inHow Green Often
Isnt).
Importantly for this discussion, oil-age technology has generated a set of
highly constrained geometries within the built environment. According to the
argument presented here, the result radically limits the capacity for
adaptive morphogenesis that critical ingredient of resilient environments.
Economies of scale/standardization, versus economies of
place/differentiation
In order to understand how this geometrical poverty has come about, we
need to look beneath the level of the specific geometries that designers
employ, and consider the underlying economic processes that contribute to
generate system geometries. For designers, the over-reliance on two
narrow forms of economic benefit is most relevant: so-called economies of
scale, and economies of standardization.
We noted earlier that the fine-grained adaptation present in biological
systems is not nearly as prevalent in todays human technologies. Thats
because the latter rely upon the benefits of large-scale industrial
processes, which can achieve impressive economies of scale. Those work
either with large numbers, or with large sizes. All other things being equal,
its far cheaper to produce identical objects in large quantities than it is to
make them individually, or in small groups. This is true for computer chips,
automobiles, buildings, and components of buildings. An important corollary
is that its also generally cheaper per unit of space (all other things equal)
to make much bigger buildings.
The other related industrial economy is the economy of standardization.
Henry Ford was one of many inventors who took advantage of the
standardization of parts in order to reduce the costs of their production, as
well as their assembly into larger systems. Both aspects of production
became far less labor-intensive through the use of standardization. Again,
this has helped enormously with the delivery of affordable cars, computer
chips, and buildings. This affordability in buildings was achieved through a
high standardization of components, so that most of the parts of our
buildings (like many other products) are today standardized and massproduced: doors, windows, details, etc. (This is one reason it is premature
at best, and wishful thinking at worst, to talk of a Post-Fordist society.)
The same is true for the other elements of the built environment: gas
stations, shopping malls, fast-food restaurants, and even entire
neighborhoods, have been standardized and homogenized. Architects have
occasionally been brought in to add some fine-art design allure to this
runaway replication, without having much power to challenge it. Here and
there, a building might be dramatically designed with imaginative new
aesthetics, but those are cloaked over essentially the same standardized
product.
The missing economies
Natural systems also exploit the economies of scale and standardization.
The genetic process of growth uses remarkably standardized genetic and
typological components. These are tools, and aspects of nature, that are
enormously important, to be sure.
Note, however, that natural systems rely upon a variety of other kinds of
economies that we do not utilize in our technologies today, for the most
part. Crucially, these economies are necessary to produce the geometric
characteristics we discussed previously the geometry of resilience.
For example, designers tend to ignore the economy of place. They treat a
component of a system as though it were entirely independent of its
physical location anywhere in the production process. Of course, this is not
true, and an important efficiency comes from mere proximity of place. More
than that, as this discussion begins to show, physical adjacency promotes
interaction and self-organization one of the most important engines of
resilient and resource-efficient economic development.
Another crucial form of natural economy, the economy of differentiation, is
also mostly ignored today, with profound consequences. Differentiation
creates diversity, which allows more efficient adaptation to varying
conditions, as well as enhancing the potential to resist unforeseen
problems. Differentiation is a key component of adaptation, the crucial
process in the evolution of resilient natural systems. Adaptation is
successful when this differentiation responds to adaptive pressures, and
takes place in a small enough grain of scale. Unfortunately, our current
human technologies are not very good at this and hence, they are not
resilient.
The key point here is not that economies of scale and standardization are
necessarily bad in and of themselves. It is that the world has become
dangerously dependent on these particular factors in isolation, and built an
enormous and dangerously unbalanced industrial civilization around them.
The result has been enviable growth and prosperity for some in the short
term but in the long term, a likely catastrophic loss of resilience and
wellbeing.
The second point, for designers, is that this loss is manifested in the
particular forms of geometric poverty that we have discussed, and the
associated loss of capacity for adaptive morphogenesis. This geometric
poverty in form, and in the process that generates form is itself an
important contributor to the loss of resilience in human environments.
The reforms ahead
By definition, the environmental design professions bear singular
responsibility for the pattern of settlement across the face of the planet, and
its resilient characteristics or lack of them. So those same professions
must play a crucial role in the critical transition ahead to a more resilient
world. But we argue here that this can only be done through major changes
to business as usual. In particular, a rigorous re-assessment is urgently
needed a big re-think as some have termed it of the foundational
theories and assumptions of modern (now almost a century old) tectonics,
aesthetics, design, and even technology itself.
Three examples of Chinas so-called ghost cities, some 400 new cities planned for the
next 20 years. These and many other new developments around the globe employ the
functionally segregated geometries of early 20th century architectural theory, heavily
exploiting economies of scale and standardization. The theory of resilience suggests
that this approach is leading us toward global disaster.
Courtesy Google Earth and Digital Globe
and even life itself depend. Our own technology including our economic
technology is triggering an interacting, cascading series of unintended
consequences that degrade quality of life, and now threaten to become
catastrophic. The most notable example (though by no means the only
one) is anthropogenic climate change.
Closely related to the malfunction of our technology is the malfunction of
our institutions that are critical to learning, governance, regulation, and
reform: politics, economics, journalism, law, and others. Worrisome
evidence is growing that those institutions are unable to address the real
problems we face dangerously degraded by unintended consequences
and perverse incentives, fragmenting and confusing the essential
processes of an intelligent culture. This is a formula for sure disaster in the
years ahead. (Hence the clear warning of the great urbanist Jane Jacobs
final book, Dark Age Ahead).
A case in point is in the professions of architecture, planning, and
development. Research in environmental psychology reveals a huge gulf
between what most people judge to be good quality development, and what
architects, planners, and developers actually build (and celebrate through
relentless and effective group indoctrination). The chasm is so large that its
common to hear ordinary people, un-bewitched by marketing, remarking on
the ugliness, strangeness, or inferior quality of most new development [see
"The Architect Has No Clothes in On the Commonsmagazine].
Those perceptions are also backed up by research into the actual
performance of these places even highly touted green ones built by
Two hospitals in Portland, Oregon. (L) Providence St. Vincent Medical Center is an
isolated campus style that disrupts the urban fabric around it. (R) Legacy Good
Samaritan Medical Center is fully integrated into the walkable mixed-use street grid of
Northwest Portland.
Photos courtesy Bing
confusion of roles is bad for art, and even worse for cities. The art-clad
novelty regime dominating todays consumer-oriented architecture and
design is fundamentally non-resilient and unsustainable.
Arts profoundly important role in design has become corrupted, and turned
into novelty packaging, which has created a dangerous form of cultural
clutter. The essential contribution of Art to communication, to legibility, to
elucidating meanings, is now exploited as a kind of Trojan Horse for those
who would profitably industrialize the built environment, without regard to
the long-term consequences.
Correcting this damaging state of affairs requires that we recapitulate good
solutions from any evolutionary source, from any era. If we want to be truly
sustainable, we need to freely utilize, as nature utilizes, the recurrence of
evolutionary geometric patterns. (This includes the best solution-patterns
evolved from centuries of human tradition, but foolishly rejected by nave
modern designers.) Within this resilient framework, art can take its fully
creative place.
Two shopping centers in the Portland, Oregon area. (L) Washington Square in
Value externalities
The most powerful incentive fueling any operating system for growth lies
simply in the way the underlying economic processes work, and how
certain kinds of economies (strategies to achieve economic efficiency and
benefit) are rewarded, while others are neglected. We wrote in "The
Geometry of Resilience about the powerful economies
of scale and standardization displacing two other essential economies
needed for resilience: the economies of place and differentiation.Correcting
this imbalance will bring in more local economic functionality, as well as
more diverse kinds of economic activities. (A familiar example of both might
be, say, a local farmers market that offers a wide variety of heirloom
vegetables by different growers. The opposite might be a standardized kind
of corn that dominates international markets and drives local varieties to
extinction.)
At present there is an unequal contest between the economics of scale and
standardization on the one hand, and those of place and differentiation on
the other. This comes from the failure of markets to value what are known
as externalities negative (and sometimes positive) external factors that
are not taken into account in the economic calculations for a project. Such
a project could end up damaging these external resources, or it may fail to
create the benefits that would otherwise be possible.
The problem may be understood as the unequal competition between
distinct temporal scales (processes defined on very different time intervals).
Natural and human systems eventually adjust to forces that are destroying
them, but with a relatively long reaction time. By contrast, global finance
can move very quickly to intervene significantly in human and natural
ecosystems. This is a historically novel phenomenon, which our
technological systems are not equipped to handle. If such moves damage
long-term processes and they often do, because they are oriented
strictly towards the extraction of short-term profits then the system
cannot possibly respond in time.
Two industrial districts. (L) The Intel Ronler Acres campus in Hillsboro, Oregon, planned for
an area with limited industrial uses. (R) The new North American headquarters of Vestas Wind
Systems, in the walkable street grid of Northwest Portland, an area popular with high tech
employees.
There is another major piece of economic reform that is related. Right now,
human creativity is taxed in a way that is largely indistinguishable from the
way depletion of resources is taxed. That makes no sense long-term. We
need to transition to a form of public valuation and pricing (that is, of
taxation) that prices the consumption and depletion of resources in a very
different way and usually at a significantly higher rate than the
creative activities of people. We suggest that this Georgist approach to
tax policy (so named for 19th century political economist Henry George) is
likely to be a key economic ingredient in the resilient transition ahead.
Two big box format buildings exhibiting very different urban models. (L) An IKEA in
suburban Portland, Oregon, characteristic of many thousands of similar retail facilities around
the world. (R) A Target Store in a 200,000 sq ft building in downtown Portland, occupying two
floors (about 90,000 sq ft). This historic building was one of the first department stores west of
the Mississippi River in the USA, and now includes an adjoining parking garage. The format on
the left vastly outnumbers that on the right.
Most of those reading this post are, like us, at the higher end of the global
economic pyramid. It is sobering to recognize that the wellbeing of many
billions (as well as our own descendants) depends disproportionately on
our own actions in coming years. We face the difficult task of balancing
enjoyment in our own daily lives with the larger responsibilities of
stewardship over the culture and the planet.
It is understandably fun to engage in the edgy, attention-getting artnovelties of our consumer-based design culture. But it is silly to suppose
that this approach is in any genuine sense progressive, sustainable, or
modern. In fact it is only reactionary orthodoxy, clinging to a nearly
century-old, outmoded conception of industrial modernity. True modernity
lies in the embrace of new models of global growth, embodying
evolutionary pattern, organized complexity, and adaptive morphogenesis. It
lies in a different way of thinking about what it is to design for the full
participation of all human beings, for living systems, and for a living planet.
Comparison of object buildings on superblocks with fabric buildings within a walkable, transit-
served, multi-modal mixed-use community. The structure on the left is closer to a sculpture
gallery than to a functioning city.