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REPORT DATE:
January 21, 2014
PREPARED FOR:
Mr. Thomas D. Bridenbaugh
1400 K Street, N.W.
Suite 1000
Washington, D.C. 20005
PREPARED BY:
LAND VALUE PANEL
Land Appraisal:
Square 607, Lot 13
S W LAND HOLDER, LLC
1900 1st Street, S.W.
Proposed Land Exchange Between
District of Columbia and Akridge
Page 2.
It is the consensus of the Land Value Panel that the estimated retrospective market value
of the fee simple estate in the subject property, as of the effective appraisal date of July 25, 2013,
was:
TWENTY-ONE MILLION ONE HUNDRED THOUSAND DOLLARS
($21,100,000).
The Panel Members appreciate this opportunity to be of service in this important matter.
Respectfully submitted,
LAND VALUE PANEL CHAIRMAN
Respectfully submitted,
PANEL MEMBER
TABLE OF CONTENTS
Page
I.
INTRODUCTION
Summary of Important Facts and Conclusions. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1
Purpose, Scope and Use of the Appraisal. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2
Definitions of Value and Property Rights Appraised. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5
Certification of Value. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8
Assumptions and Limiting Conditions. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10
II.
FACTUAL DESCRIPTIONS
Identification of the Property. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13
Ownership History. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13
Sub-Market Area Description.. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13
Zoning.. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16
Site Description.. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 17
Building Description.. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 17
III.
IV.
ADDENDA
Exhibit
Subject Plat. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
NPS Land Lease. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
Zoning Letter and Plat. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
Subject Photographs. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
Sale Plats.. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
A
B
C
D
E
TYPE OF PROPERTY:
ADDRESS:
LEGAL DESCRIPTION:
LAND OWNER:
LAND LEASE:
The land owner leases Lot 13 to NPS (month-tomonth) for $78,000 per year (paid monthly); the lease
can be terminated by either party at any time and for
any reason
LAND AREA:
BUILDING:
ZONING:
DATE OF REPORT:
EFFECTIVE DATE OF
VALUE OPINION:
PROPERTY:
The Lot is leased to NPS (month-to-month); however, both parties have a right to cancel the
agreement for any reason and at any time.
EXPOSURE TIME:
VALUE ESTIMATES:
ESTIMATED RETROSPECTIVE MARKET VALUE OF THE
PROPERTY. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . $21,100,000
Cost Approach: The approach was not used as the site improvements (fencing and
paving) and the single structure fail to produce competitive economic returns.
Sales Comparison Approach: Recent sales of land for residential uses in the District
were obtained from CoStars database and the Districts assessment web site as well as the
appraisers office files. The retrieval process typically included reviewing copies of deeds, BZA
or Zoning Commission records, and financing and deed instruments on the Districts web site,
reviewing tax maps, verifying specifics of the sales transactions by contacting parties to the
transfers, and inspecting the value-supporting analogues. This approach was used to provide an
indication of the retrospective market value of the property.
Income Capitalization Approach: The approach was not used as the contribution to the
land of the site improvements and structure is considered de minimis. Moreover, the at will
termination provisions in the lease nullify the use of this approach.
INTENDED USE AND USERS
It is our understanding that the intended use of this report is to provide our clients,
Messrs. Thomas D. Bridenbaugh, representing the District of Columbia, and Adam Gooch,
representing Akridge, with a retrospective market value estimate of the property for a proposed
exchange of parcels between the District of Columbia and Akridge. The intended users of this
report are our clients.
This report may not be relied on for any other purpose or by any other person or firm
unrelated to matters concerning the parties who hold the subject asset. Further, Land Value Panel
members and the signatories to this report assume no responsibility or liability to any user of this
document other than our clients and their legal counsel. Our clients recognize that the signatories
to this report (i.e, the Land Value Panel) have had no role in any past or present decisions
regarding the acquisition, development, operation or disposition of this property nor the asset
to be exchanged in Northwest D.C. located at 2000 14th Street.
SPECIAL ASSUMPTIONS/HYPOTHETICAL CONDITIONS
No hypothetical conditions or extraordinary assumptions are used in this report.
WORK PERFORMED BY THE LAND VALUE PANEL
The work performed for this assignment included the following:
Inspect the property land, the exterior of the industrial building, street circulation
patterns, access points and the micro-market area
Consider all relevant market data by culling sales and listings and studying price and
rental trends for similar residential property
Study supply and demand conditions for residential and office space specifically in the
Southwest quadrant of the District of Columbia
3
Test various highest and best use scenarios for the continuation of current or future
development of the land within prevailing market conditions on the effective appraisal
date (i.e., July 25, 2013)
Review relevant sections of the District of Columbia Zoning Regulations (DCMR Title
11) to understand development restrictions under the subjects CG/CR zoning
Verify land sale comparators through a review of tax records, conversations with
individuals familiar with the transactions (when possible), inspections of all comparators,
and a review of deeds on the Districts web site
Develop the single most relevant valuation approach to support our value opinions, i.e.,
the sales comparison approach
Excluded from the scope of this assignment are issues outside the range of the appraiser's
expertise such as, but not limited to, environmental and subsoil conditions, zoning and easement
compliance issues, and other considerations identified in our report.
LAND VALUE PANELS DELIBERATIONS
The Panels Chairman was engaged on October 8, 2013. The Panel Members tasks and
activities are outlined below:
1)
Review the following: the propertys features and location within tits sub-market; prior
history of development activity in the vicinity; all documents provided by our clients;
recent real estate market observations, trends and projections published by various active
brokerage firms; the DC Development Report, 2013/2014 edition; and office files of each
Panel Member
2)
Panel Members, after considering the above, conversed on issues relative to future trends
and feasible uses of the property for residential purposes
3)
Offer analytical studies of development options relating to those uses that produce the
highest value for the asset
4
4)
Compare and test these independent studies produced by each Panel Member within the
context of prevailing sub-market conditions on or about the appraisal date
5)
Discuss and test all highest and best use alternatives that are legally permissible
6)
Develop a consensus as a Panel with regard to the propertys highest and best use
7)
After completing the above activities, each Panel Member presented his respective valuesupporting analogues consistent with the best use of the property
8)
All sales data were cross-checked and additionally vetted to determine the reliability of
the terms and conditions of each sale to be applied in the valuation process
9)
The best and most reliable comparators were selected from a larger land sale list
10)
A second vetting process evolved targeting those specific land transactions to be used in
the analysis
11)
After several hours of conference calls relating to the above activities, a consensus was
arrived at as to the propertys retrospective market value
12)
The Panels Chairman drafted an Appraisal Report that was reviewed and revised by all
Panel Members
13)
The narrative, supporting data and retrospective market value opinions follow in this
Summary Appraisal Report
DEFINITIONS OF VALUE AND PROPERTY RIGHTS APPRAISED
This appraisal is based on the following definitions relating to market value:
"MARKET VALUE" means "the most probable price which a property should bring in
a competitive and open market under all conditions requisite to a fair sale, the buyer and seller,
each acting prudently, knowledgeably and assuming the price is not affected by undue stimulus.
Implicit in this definition is the consummation of a sale as of a specified date and the passing of
title from seller to buyer under conditions whereby: (1) buyer and seller are typically motivated;
(2) both parties are well informed or well advised, and acting in what they consider their own
best interests; (3) a reasonable time is allowed for exposure in the open market; (4) payment is
made in terms of cash in U.S. dollars or in terms of financial arrangements comparable thereto;
and (5) the price represents the normal consideration for the property sold unaffected by special
or creative financing or sales concessions granted by anyone associated with the sale."2
Government Printing Office, Federal Register, Vol. 55, No. 165, Rules and Regulations (Washington: Government
Printing Office, 1990), 34696.
The market value estimate reflects the most probable price in terms of financial
arrangements equivalent to cash (i.e., market rate, conventional financing).
"HIGHEST AND BEST USE" is defined as "the reasonably probable and legal use of
vacant land or an improved property that is physically possible, appropriately supported,
financially feasible, and that results in the highest value. The four criteria the highest and best
use must meet are legal permissibility, physical possibility, financial feasibility, and maximum
productivity. Alternatively, the probable use of land or improved property - specific with respect
to the user and timing of the use - that is adequately supported and results in the highest present
value."3
"FEE SIMPLE ESTATE" is defined as "absolute ownership unencumbered by any
other interest or estate, subject only to the limitations imposed by the governmental powers of
taxation, eminent domain, police power, and escheat."4 Fee simple estate is sometimes referred
to as "fee simple interest" or "fee simple."
"RETROSPECTIVE VALUE OPINION" is "a value opinion effective as of a
specified historical date. The term does not define a type of value. Instead, it identifies a value
opinion as being effective at some specific prior date. Value as of a historical date is frequently
sought in connection with property tax appeals, damage models, lease renegotiation, deficiency
judgments, estate tax, and condemnation. Inclusion of the type of value with this term is
appropriate, e.g., retrospective market value opinion.5
"MARKET AREA" means "the area associated with a subject property that contains its
direct competition."6
FLOOR AREA RATIO (FAR) means the relationship between the above-ground
floor area of a building, as described by the building code, and the area of the plot on which it
stands; in planning and zoning, often expressed as a decimal, e.g., a ratio of 2.0 indicates that
the permissible floor area of a building is twice the total land area.7
"CLIENT" is "the party or parties who engage an appraiser (by employment or contract)
in a specific assignment."8
Appraisal Institute, The Dictionary of Real Estate Appraisal, 5th ed. (Chicago: Appraisal Institute, 2010), 93.
Ibid, 78.
Ibid, 171.
Ibid, 121.
Ibid, 82.
Ibid, 134; see also The Appraisal Foundation, Uniform Standards of Professional Appraisal Practice, 20142015 Edition (Washington, D.C.: The Appraisal Foundation, 2013), U-2.
"INTENDED USE" is "the manner in which the intended users expect to employ the
information contained in a report."9
"INTENDED USER" is "the client and any other party as identified, by name or type,
as user of the appraisal, appraisal review, or appraisal consulting report, by the appraiser on the
basis of communication with the client at the time of the assignment; a party who the appraiser
intends will employ the information contained in a report."10
"EXPOSURE TIME" is "the time a property remains on the market; the estimated
length of time the property interest being appraised would have been offered on the market prior
to the hypothetical consummation of a sale at market value on the effective date of the appraisal;
a retrospective estimate based on an analysis of past events assuming a competitive and open
market.11
"APPRAISAL REPORT," is a written report prepared under Standards Rule 2-2(a) of
the Uniform Standards of Professional Appraisal Practice, 2014 through 2015 Edition.
Ibid, 102; see also The Appraisal Foundation, Uniform Standards of Professional Appraisal Practice, 20142015 Edition (Washington, D.C.: The Appraisal Foundation, 2013), U-3.
Ibid, 102-103; see also The Appraisal Foundation, Uniform Standards of Professional Appraisal Practice,
2014-2015 Edition (Washington, D.C.: The Appraisal Foundation, 2013), U-3.
10
11
Ibid, 73.
CERTIFICATION OF VALUE
We certify that, to the best of our knowledge and belief,...
-
The statements of fact contained in this report are true and correct.
The reported analyses, opinions, and conclusions are limited only by the reported
assumptions and limiting conditions and are our personal, impartial, and unbiased
professional analyses, opinions, and conclusions.
Members of the Land Value Panel have no present or prospective interest in the property
that is the subject of this report and no personal interest with respect to the parties
involved.
Members of the Land Value Panel have performed no services, as appraisers or in any
other capacity, regarding the property that is the subject of this report within the threeyear period immediately preceding acceptance of this assignment.
Members of the Land Value Panel have no bias with respect to the property that is the
subject of this report or to the parties involved with this assignment.
Our engagement in this assignment was not contingent upon developing or reporting
predetermined results.
Our compensation for completing this assignment is not contingent upon the development
or reporting of a predetermined value or direction in value that favors the cause of the
client, the amount of the value opinion, the attainment of a stipulated result, or the
occurrence of a subsequent event directly related to the intended use of this appraisal.
Our analyses, opinions, and conclusions were developed, and this report has been
prepared, in conformity with the Uniform Standards of Professional Appraisal Practice.
Members of the Land Value Panel have made personal inspections of the property that
is the subject of this report.
The reported analyses, opinions, and conclusions were developed, and this report has
been prepared, in conformity with the requirements of the Code of Professional Ethics
and Standards of Professional Appraisal Practice of the Appraisal Institute.
The use of this report is subject to the requirements of the Appraisal Institute relating to
review by its duly authorized representatives.
As of the date of this report, Oakleigh J. Thorne, MAI, CRE; Mark A. Chaney, MAI,
MRICS; and Richard R. Harps, MAI, CRE have completed the continuing education
program for designated members of the Appraisal Institute.
Disclosure of the contents of this appraisal report is governed by the By-laws and
Regulations of the Appraisal Institute.
Certified by the Chairman of,
LAND VALUE PANEL
Certified by,
PANEL MEMBER
Certified by,
PANEL MEMBER
This analysis is not to be used in connection with a Real Estate Syndicate(s) or Securities
related activity.
2.
No responsibility is assumed for the legal description or for matters including legal or
title considerations. Title to the property is assumed to be good and marketable unless
otherwise stated. We further assume that the subject is not encumbered by the existence
of marked or unmarked cemeteries and/or historic resources which would hinder any
development process.
3.
The property is appraised free and clear of any or all liens or encumbrances unless
otherwise stated.
4.
The information furnished by others is believed to be reliable and was verified wherever
possible. However, no warranty is given for its accuracy. It is assumed that all
information known to the client and relative to the valuation has been accurately
furnished and that there is no undisclosed information or documents affecting the use of
the property or the valuation herein.
5.
All engineering information is assumed to be correct. The plot plans and illustrative
material in this report are included only to assist the reader in visualizing the property.
The Land Value Panel has made no survey of the property and assumes that the existing
boundaries are correct and that no encroachments exist. The appraisers assume no
responsibility for any condition not readily observable from customary investigation and
inspection of the premises which might affect the valuation.
6.
It is assumed that there are no hidden or unapparent conditions of the property or subsoil
that render them more or less valuable, including subsurface oil, gas or mineral rights as
well as air rights, unless otherwise stated in this report. Moreover, no opinion is
expressed as to the value of any such items or whether the property is subject to surface
entry for the exploration or removal of subsurface materials. No responsibility is assumed
for such conditions or for arranging engineering studies that may be required to discover
them. The Panel Members are not experts on soil conditions or engineering issues, and
our efforts are limited to visual inspection. We suggest our clients seek appropriate
professional engineering counsel on all matters pertaining to soil structure and
engineering. This report is not to be relied on as an opinion of the conditions of the
property or soils, nor should any such representation be made.
10
7.
Unless otherwise stated in this report, the existence of hazardous substances, including
without limitation asbestos, polychlorinated biphenyls, petroleum leakage, or agricultural
chemicals, which may or may not be present on the property, or other environmental
conditions, was not called to our attention nor did we become aware of such during our
inspection. We have no knowledge of the existence of such materials on or in the
property unless otherwise stated. However, we are not qualified to test such substances
or conditions. If the presence of such substances, such as asbestos, urea formaldehyde
foam insulation, or other hazardous substances or environmental conditions, may affect
the value of the property, the value estimated is predicated on the assumption that there
are no conditions on or in the property or in such proximity thereto that they would cause
a loss in value. No responsibility is assumed for any such conditions, nor for any
expertise or engineering knowledge required to discover them.
8.
It is assumed that all applicable zoning and use regulations and restrictions have been
complied with, and all easements are enforceable and have been complied with, unless
a nonconformity has been stated, defined, and considered in the report. Panel Members
are not experts on zoning or easement issues, and our efforts are limited to reporting what
we perceive as pertinent existing land use regulations and easements. We advise our
clients to seek appropriate legal counsel on all matters pertaining to the status of easement
agreements and the compliance of any existing or proposed uses of the subject property
with applicable zoning codes. This report is not to be relied on as an opinion of
compliance with zoning restrictions or as an opinion regarding the validity of easement
agreements nor should any such representation be made.
9.
10.
The conclusions expressed in our appraisal report apply only as of the stated date of
appraisal, and we assume no responsibility for economic or physical factors occurring at
some later date which may affect the opinions stated herein.
11.
12.
Disclosure of the contents of the report is subject to the requirements of the Appraisal
Institute relating to review by its duly authorized representatives.
13.
The principal business activity of the Land Value Panel Members is the valuation of real
estate, including the analysis of real estate markets, operating statements, investor
criteria, property sales, and cost data. Our report is prepared so that readers who consider
our opinions can evaluate them in terms of the available data and its applications, the
methodologies of analyses employed, and our judgments and conclusions. The reader is
advised to reach an independent conclusion regarding all facts, recognizing that the Panel
Members do not possess expertise regarding certain issues. Appropriate experts should
11
It is assumed that there is full compliance with all applicable federal, state, and local
environmental regulations and laws unless noncompliance is stated, defined and
considered in the report.
15.
It is assumed that the utilization of the land and improvements is within the boundaries
or property lines of the property described and that there is no encroachment or trespass
unless noted in the report.
16.
The values reported here are valid estimates only under the valuation circumstances
described, and the dollar amount of any value opinion rendered was based on the
purchasing power of the U.S. dollar and normal financing rates, terms and charges as of
the appraisal date. Further, the final estimate of the value is not guaranteed, and no
warranty is implied or intended. If the subject property becomes distressed or is auctioned
or market conditions change or the property cannot be held until the market for same
returns, then the value estimates reported herein are invalid.
17.
The distribution, if any, of the total valuation in this report between land and
improvements applies only under the specified uses of the property as set forth.
18.
The appraiser reserves the right, subject to agreement for time and fee, to make such
adjustments to the analyses, opinions and conclusions set forth in this report as may be
required by consideration of additional data or more reliable data that may become
available.
19.
The liability of the Land Value Panel and its Panel Members is limited to our clients only,
not subsequent parties or users, and to the amount of the fees actually received by the
Panel Members. Further, as previously stated, there is no accountability, obligation or
liability to any other party. If this report is placed in the hands of anyone other than our
clients, our clients shall make such party aware of all limiting conditions and assumptions
of the report and the assignment. The appraisers are in no way to be responsible for any
costs incurred to discover or correct any deficiencies of any type present in the property,
physically, financially and/or legally. In the event the report is placed in the hands of a
third party, it is required that such party be made cognizant of any and all limiting
conditions resulting from the basis of the appraisers employment and discussions related
thereto as well as those set forth in the report. Acceptance of and/or use of this report by
the clients or any third party constitutes acceptance of the above conditions.
12
13
Directly east of the subject and running from R Street to V Street is Pepco's Buzzard Point
substation. Pepco owns five blocks of land in the neighborhood. The power plant will be
decommissioned and dismantled in the near future. Directly west of the subject is the 100-acre
Fort Leslie McNair. The Fort occupies all the land from P Street south to the Anacostia River,
except for the James Creek Marina, and from 2nd Street west
to the Potomac River. The main entrance to the Fort is on P
Street with other entrances on Q and 2nd Streets.
S W Land Holder, LLC also owns Squares 609 and
611 directly south of the subjects Square 607. These large
lots are open and unimproved asphalt-covered surface
parking lots and storage yards surrounded by six-foot-high
chain link fencing.
As can be seen by the map at the right, numerous
industrial uses abound north of the subject to Q Street and
east to South Capitol Street.
While most of Buzzard Point is occupied by Fort
McNair and industrial uses, there are two existing large
office buildings located south of the subject. Both have been
occupied primarily by Federal agencies for most of the last
14
15
The Panel believes that new development at Buzzard Point will not occur until after
projects on the remaining land in the Capitol Waterfront area east of South Capitol Street near
completion.
ZONING
The subject site contains 89,251
square feet of CR/CG (Commercial
Residential/Capitol Gateway Overlay) zoned
land in Square 607. The CR District is
designed to help create major new
residential and mixed use areas in planned
locations at appropriate densities, heights and
mixtures. The Capitol Gateway Overlay is
intended to encourage a mix of uses while
creating a pedestrian-friendly environment.
The subject was previously zoned industrial,
and most of the current uses in the
neighborhood remain industrial. The table on
the following page summarizes the
requirements of the CR/CG zoning district.
The Comprehensive Plan Generalized
Policy Map locates the subject within the
Land Use Change Areas. These are areas
where change to a different land use is
anticipated. The guiding philosophy in Land
Use Change Areas is to encourage and
facilitate new development and promote the
16
adaptive reuse of existing structures. The Future Land Use Map designates the subject site for
high-density commercial and residential uses. The subjects highest and best use is consistent
with this land use designation.
Any residential development which includes more than 10 units would also be subject to
Inclusionary Zoning, requiring a certain percentage of affordable units be built as part of the
development. The Inclusionary Zoning further provides for a bonus FAR and increased height
and occupancy above what is allowed as a matter of right. The potential development for the
subject site as a matter of right is 89,251 square feet times 6.0 FAR, or 535,506 square feet. With
the residential bonus density, an FAR of 7.0 permits 624,757 square feet of gross floor area. An
increase in the FAR to 8.2 (731,858 square feet) is possible provided 8.0% of the area (58,549
square feet) is allocated for affordable housing occupancy. Market-rate units along with limited
first floor retail total 673,310 square feet. Refer to the addenda for a copy of a zoning opinion
proffered by Goulston&Storrs, dated November 13, 2013.
SITE DESCRIPTION
The subject Lot 0013 occupies the entirety of Square 0607. The 89,251-square-foot
rectangular site has frontage of 335 feet on both S and T Streets and 266.42 feet of frontage on
both 1st and 2nd Streets, S.W. The CR/CG zoned site is level and on grade with all four streets.
All streets have curbs, paving and streetlights but no sidewalks. The rights-of-way are 90
feet for 1st and 2nd Streets and 85 feet on S and T Streets. According to the most recent flood
insurance rate map, #1100010057C effective September 27, 2010, the site lies within Zone X,
an area determined to be outside the 0.2% annual chance floodplain.
The entire parcel has an asphalt cover, and its perimeter is fenced and gated with six-foothigh chain linked fencing. The Panel was not furnished with any report regarding soil conditions,
and this appraisal assumes that there are no adverse soil or sub-soil conditions that would cause
unusual construction impairments.
We are aware that the subject may have some level of contamination; however, that
contaminate level is deemed about equal to conditions present on the comparators and
throughout the former industrial sites south of M Street.
No title report was furnished to the appraisers, and it is assumed that there are no
detrimental easements or encumbrances that adversely affect the property. This valuation
assumes that the current owners have clear title and that there are no restrictions or impediments
to a sale of the property related to ownership, title or other legal considerations.
BUILDING DESCRIPTION
The subject parcel is encumbered by a small metal frame warehouse in the northwest
corner of the site. The single-story structure contains about 4,500 square feet. The Panel assumes
the warehouse would be demolished with any redevelopment of the site.
17
The Land Value Panel reviewed the potential for an office building at the site. Although
legally permissible, a new office building is not feasible given that 1.1 million square feet will
soon be vacated proximate to the subject parcel. Moreover, the isolated location appeals only to
the public sector where there is no foreseeable demand.
While market conditions are supportive of multi-family development, the delivery timing
at the subject property is open. The Panel contends that feasible development of land in the
western sub-section of the Capitol Riverfront market area will not occur until the Southeast
quadrant is close to build-out.
Maximally Productive
The Panels comprehensive analysis of the subjects land and its market area activity led
to the belief that development of a multi-family residential structure(s) with a building mass of
about 731,900 could be deferred by as much as eight to ten years. However, a number of factors
could shorten the holding term. The South Capitol Street bridge construction will remove some
industrial uses. If the available sites for new development in Southeast become limited, then the
holding term for the subject could be shortened. Accordingly, the best use of the parcel is to hold
the land until residential demand is adequate to support feasible construction of new multifamily housing units.
VALUATION METHODOLOGY
The highest and best use of the property is to hold the land for the long term and, in the
distant future, redevelop the site with a residential project(s) with first floor retail. The sales
comparison approach is the only method used in this analysis as it is judged to offer more
reliable evidence than the other approaches to value and is more apt to be used by purchasers to
determine a land price. We reviewed the possible use of a land residual method but deemed it
a corroborative measure only due to the distant opportunity for development.
The Panel observed that the comparators in Southeast acquired by active builders are
more apt to illustrate land prices with all entitlements in place on the sale date, and the
opportunities for feasible construction are more contemporary than at the subject and its location.
These conditions were recognized and accounted for in the sales comparison approach used by
the Panel.
LAND SALE COMPARISON APPROACH
Recent sales of land suitable for new residential construction were obtained from the
Districts tax records and CoStars database. As a result of our investigation, we obtained
information on four transactions summarized in the table on the following page. The selected
land value supporting analogues occurred between February 2011and September 2012. A sale
location map follows the adjustment table, and the land sale plats are found in the addenda.
19
20
21
Presence of Entitlements (a land sale that includes final site plan approvals with all
engineering completed reflects value-added efforts accounted for in the transaction price)
Project Scale (issue of scale economics - larger projects have longer absorption rates and
higher carrying costs when compared to smaller projects; generally, but not always, larger
tracts tend to sell at lower unit prices when compared to unit prices paid for smaller
tracts)
Features (e.g., shape, frontage, corner versus mid-block, access and development
impediments, if any)
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PHYSICAL ADJUSTMENTS
Location - The first three sales are located in more accessible locations and where
development activity is evident. Only the last comparator, directly opposite the
subject, has an equal location compared to the subject.
Entitlements - Development approvals were present at only Sale One. Two of the
remaining three sales (Sales Two and Four) were deemed equal to the subjects
condition. Sale Three was deemed inferior as the conversion of an existing
structural shell previously occupied for office use is found to be marginally more
expensive than new construction. Adapting the benefit of the existing shell to a
converted residential use produces a negative relationship.
Project Scale - We found only limited market evidence to support a scale
adjustment for differences in total project mass between the subject and the sales.
Generally, larger scale buildings are more efficient in the distribution of fixed
costs, and some variable expenses may be lower on a unit basis for larger assets.
However, larger scale projects have longer construction and absorption periods.
Both contribute to additional risk due to possible market condition changes during
construction and absorption.
Only Sales Two and Four were considered superior to the subject as their potential
FARs are limited to about 204,000 and 186,000 square feet, respectively, both of
which are well below the subjects potential of over 730,000 square feet.
Site Features - The subject parcel offers superior air, light and view amenities
with frontage on four public streets when compared to all sales. The shape and
size of the parcel offer efficient floor plates as well as design opportunities for
entrance lobbies and public areas. The first three sales include half-blocks while
the subject occupies a full block. Sale Four, a corner lot with frontage on two
streets, was deemed inferior to the subject. Moreover, Sale Four is burdened by
the adjacent presence of a salvage yard with very limited opportunity to use
buffers to shield any new development. Although the subject lies directly opposite
the salvage yard, the site has an adequate land area to effectively use buffers.
Regarding this adjustment category, the Panel is aware that the subject may have
some level of contamination; however, that contaminate level is deemed about
equal to conditions present on the comparators and throughout these former
industrial sites south of M Street. The Panel considered the issue and deemed that,
if contaminates are present, the level is likely to be relatively consistent with the
supporting analogues and will not impair feasible development of the tract.
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