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Documente Profesional
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CINCO INDIVIDUAL
ENA FAJARDO
DISTANCIA UNAD
Conclusiones
Con este trabajo se pretende que los estudiantes realice una revisin minuciosa de los temas que se
Evaluacin de alternativas de inversin con el apoyo de hojas de clculo y simuladores, como herram
nes
Datos
Esperado
$ 688,535.00
$ 1,021.00
Costo Unitario
$ 645.00
Se incrementa en un 10%
cada ao
Costo fijo
$ 135,780,430.00
Valor residual
Inversin
Tasa de descuento
$ 1,500,000.00
$ 150,000,000.00
0.11
11
Rubros
$ 702,994,235.00
Ingresos
Ventas
Valor residual
Egresos
$ 702,994,235.00
$ 150,000,000.00
Costo fijo
Costo variable
Inversin
Flujo Neto
$ 579,885,505.00
$ 135,780,430.00
$ 444,105,075.00
$ 150,000,000.00
-$ 150,000,000.00
Indicadores de evaluacin
$ 207,015,702.01
VAN
66%
TIR
$ 2.38
RB/C=
CON EXCEL RB/C=
$ 2.38
$ 123,108,730.00
CASO 1
$ 688,535.00
$ 1,021.00
$ 645.00
%
2
$ 702,994,235.00
$ 702,994,235.00
$ 702,994,235.00
$ 704,494,235.00
$ 702,994,235.00
###
###
###
$ 1,500,000.00
$ 593,463,548.00
###
###
###
$ 149,358,473.00
$ 164,294,320.30
$ 180,723,752.33
$ 198,796,127.56
$ 444,105,075.00
$ 444,105,075.00
$ 444,105,075.00
$ 444,105,075.00
$ 109,530,687.00
$ 94,594,839.70
$ 78,165,407.67
$ 61,593,032.44
VPB=
$ 123,108,730.00
(1+
VPB=
0.11
$ 123,108,730.00
1.11
+
1
(1+
$ 109,530,687.00
1.11
$ 109,530,687.00
1.23
$ 123,108,730.00
1.11
VPB=
$ 110,908,765.77
$ 357,015,702.01
VPc=VF/(1+h) n
VPC=
150,000,000.00
RB/C=
$ 2.38
0.11
+
1
VPB=
VPB=
$ 109,530,687.00
$ 88,897,562.70
BENEFICIO COSTO
$ 109,530,687.00
)
$ 109,530,687.00
1.11
+
2
$ 94,594,839.70
(1+
+
2
$ 109,530,687.00
1.23
8,897,562.70
0.11
$ 94,594,839.70
1.11
$ 94,594,839.70
1.37
$ 69,166,931.50
$ 78,165,407.67
+
3
(1+
0.11
$ 78,165,407.67
1.11
$ 78,165,407.67
1.52
$ 51,489,975.14
$ 61,593,032.44
(1+ 0.11 )
+
4
GK25
1.11
$ 61,593,032.44
1.69
$ 36,552,466.90
Datos
Esperado
$ 1,100.00
Costo Unitario
$ 780.00
Costo fijo
Valor residual
Inversin
Tasa de descuento
Rubros
Ingresos
$ 650,000.00
$ 135,780,430.00
$ 1,500,000.00
$ 150,000,000.00
0.14
14
$ 0.00
$ 715,000,000.00
Ventas
Valor residual
Egresos
$ 715,000,000.00
$ 150,000,000.00
Costo fijo
Costo variable
Inversin
Flujo Neto
$ 642,780,430.00
$ 135,780,430.00
$ 507,000,000.00
$ 150,000,000.00
-$ 150,000,000.00
Indicadores de evaluacin
$ 98,714,684.34
VAN
39%
TIR
$ 1.66
RB/C=
CON EXCEL RB/C=
$ 1.66
$ 72,219,570.00
CASO 2
$ 650,000.00
$ 1,100.00
$ 780.00
%
2
###
###
###
$ 1,500,000.00
$ 642,780,430.00
###
###
###
$ 135,780,430.00
###
###
###
$ 72,219,570.00
$ 72,219,570.00
$ 72,219,570.00
$ 73,719,570.00
VPB=
$ 72,219,570.00
(1+
VPB=
0.14
$ 72,219,570.00
1.14
+
(1+
$ 72,219,570.00
1.30
VPB=
$ 63,350,500.00
VPc=VF/(1+h) n
VPC=
150,000,000.00
RB/C=
$ 1.66
$ 72,219,570.00
1.14
$ 72,219,570.00
1.14
$ 248,714,684.34
0.14
VPB=
VPB=
$ 72,219,570.00
$ 55,570,614.04
IO COSTO
$ 72,219,570.00
(1+
+
2
+
0.14
$ 72,219,570.00
1.14
$ 72,219,570.00
1.48
$ 48,746,152.66
$ 72,219,570.00
+
3
(1+
0.14
+
$ 72,219,570.00
4
1.14
$ 72,219,570.00
1.69
$ 42,759,783.04
$ 73,719,570.00
(1+ 0.14 )
$ 73,719,570.00
1.14
$ 73,719,570.00
1.93
$ 38,287,634.61
Datos
Esperado
$ 650,000.00
$ 1,100.00
Costo Unitario
$ 780.00
Costo fijo
$ 135,780,430.00
Valor residual
Inversin
Tasa de descuento
Rubros
$ 1,500,000.00
$ 150,000,000.00
0.13
13
Ingresos
$ 715,000,000.00
Ventas
Valor residual
Egresos
$ 715,000,000.00
$ 150,000,000.00
Costo fijo
Costo variable
Inversin
Flujo Neto
Se incrementa en un 10%
cada ao
$ 642,780,430.00
$ 135,780,430.00
$ 507,000,000.00
$ 150,000,000.00
-$ 150,000,000.00
Indicadores de evaluacin
$ 869,544.86
VAN
13%
TIR
$ 1.00
RB/C=
CON EXCEL RB/C=
$ 1.01
$ 72,219,570.00
CASO 3
$ 650,000.00
$ 1,100.00
$ 780.00
%
2
###
###
###
$ 1,500,000.00
###
###
###
$ 507,000,000.00
###
$ 150,000,000.00
###
###
$ 72,219,570.00
-$ 77,780,430.00
$ 72,219,570.00
$ 73,719,570.00
VPB=
$ 72,219,570.00
(1+
VPB=
0.13
+
1
$ 72,219,570.00
1.13
(1+
0.13
$ 72,219,570.00
1.13
$ 72,219,570.00
1.28
VPB=
$ 72,219,570.00
1.13
VPB=
$ 63,911,123.89
VPB=
$ 72,219,570.00
$ 56,558,516.72
$ 204,775,284.50
VPc=VF/(1+h) n
VPC=
###
+
(1+
###
###
$ 77,780,430.00
0.13 )
$ 77,780,430.00
1.13
$ 77,780,430.00
1.44
$ 53,905,739.63
VPC=
203,905,739.63
RB/C=
$ 1.00
O COSTO
+
2
$ 72,219,570.00
+
3
(1+
0.13
+
$ 72,219,570.00
4
1.13
$ 72,219,570.00
1.63
+
2
$ 44,293,614.79
$ 73,719,570.00
(1+ 0.13 )
$ 73,719,570.00
1.13
$ 73,719,570.00
1.84
$ 40,012,029.10
Datos
Esperado
$ 750,000.00
Precio Unitario
$ 980.00
Costo Unitario
$ 780.00
Costo fijo
$ 135,780,430.00
Valor residual
Inversin
Tasa de descuento
Rubros
$ 1,500,000.00
$ 150,000,000.00
0.12
12
Ingresos
$ 735,000,000.00
Ventas
Valor residual
Egresos
$ 735,000,000.00
$ 150,000,000.00
Costo fijo
Costo variable
Inversin
Flujo Neto
Se incrementa en un 10%
cada ao
$ 720,780,430.00
$ 135,780,430.00
$ 585,000,000.00
$ 150,000,000.00
-$ 150,000,000.00
Indicadores de evaluacin
-$ 97,890,492.17
VAN
-20%
TIR
$ 0.35
RB/C=
CON EXCEL RB/C=
$ 0.35
$ 14,219,570.00
CASO 4
$ 750,000.00
$ 980.00
$ 780.00
%
2
###
###
###
$ 1,500,000.00
###
###
###
$ 585,000,000.00
###
###
###
$ 14,219,570.00
$ 14,219,570.00
$ 14,219,570.00
$ 15,719,570.00
VPB=
$ 14,219,570.00
(1+
VPB=
0.12
$ 14,219,570.00
1.12
+
1
(1+
$ 14,219,570.00
1.25
VPB=
$ 12,696,044.64
VPc=VF/(1+h) n
VPC=
150,000,000.00
RB/C=
$ 0.35
$ 14,219,570.00
1.12
$ 14,219,570.00
1.12
$ 52,109,507.83
0.12
+
1
VPB=
VPB=
$ 14,219,570.00
$ 11,335,754.15
IO COSTO
+
2
$ 14,219,570.00
(1+
+
2
+
0.12
$ 14,219,570.00
1.12
$ 14,219,570.00
1.40
$ 10,121,209.06
$ 14,219,570.00
+
3
(1+
0.12
+
$ 14,219,570.00
4
1.12
$ 14,219,570.00
1.57
$ 9,036,793.80
$ 15,719,570.00
(1+ 0.12 )
$ 15,719,570.00
1.12
$ 15,719,570.00
1.76
$ 8,919,706.18
Datos
Esperado
$ 722,952.00
$ 1,100.00
Costo Unitario
$ 650.00
Costo fijo
Valor residual
$ 135,780,430.00
$ 1,500,000.00
Inversin
0.14
$100.000.000,00
ao 1
14
$ 150,000,000.00
Tasa de descuento
Rubros
Ingresos
$ 795,247,200.00
Ventas
Valor residual
Egresos
$ 795,247,200.00
$ 150,000,000.00
Costo fijo
Costo variable
Inversin
Flujo Neto
$ 705,699,230.00
$ 135,780,430.00
$ 150,000,000.00
-$ 150,000,000.00
Indicadores de evaluacin
-$ 76,649,662.72
VAN
-14%
TIR
$ 0.63
RB/C=
CON EXCEL RB/C=
$ 0.67
$ 469,918,800.00
$ 100,000,000.00
$ 89,547,970.00
CASO 5
$ 722,952.00
$ 1,100.00
$ 650.00
###
###
###
$ 1,500,000.00
###
###
###
$ 469,918,800.00
$ 250,000,000.00
###
###
###
###
###
###
-$ 60,452,030.00
-$ 10,452,030.00
$ 89,547,970.00
-$ 8,952,030.00
VPB=
$ 89,547,970.00
(1+
VPB=
0.14
$ 89,547,970.00
1.14
VPB=
$ 89,547,970.00
1.14
VPB=
$ 78,550,850.88
VPB=
$ 131,570,437.79
VPc=VF/(1+h) n
VPC=
###
+
(1+
###
###
$ 60,452,030.00
0.14 )
$ 60,452,030.00
1.14
$ 60,452,030.00
1.30
$ 46,515,874.12
VPC=
196,515,874.12
RB/C=
$ 0.63
4,649,403.86
IO COSTO
$ 89,547,970.00
+
3
(1+
$ 89,547,970.00
4
1.14
$ 150,000,000.00 +
0.14
$ 89,547,970.00
1.69
$ 53,019,586.92
$ 8,952,030.00
5
0
)
###
+
(1+
$ 150,000,000.00 +
$ 8,952,030.00
1.14
5
###
$ 150,000,000.00 +
$ 8,952,030.00
1.93
###
(1+
$ 4,649,403.86
4,649,403.86
7,054,822.54
208,220
$ 10,452,030.00
(1+
0
)
$ 10,452,030.00
1.14
$ 10,452,030.00
1.48
$ 7,054,822.54
208,220,100.52
Datos
Esperado
$ 805,000.00
$ 1,300.00
Costo Unitario
$ 780.00
Costo fijo
Valor residual
$ 135,780,430.00
$ 1,500,000.00
Inversin
$ 150,000,000.00
Tasa de descuento
Rubros
0.13
13
Ingresos
$ 1,046,500,000.00
Ventas
Valor residual
Egresos
$ 1,046,500,000.00
$ 150,000,000.00
Costo fijo
Costo variable
Inversin
Flujo Neto
$ 763,680,430.00
$ 135,780,430.00
$ 627,900,000.00
$ 150,000,000.00
-$ 150,000,000.00
Indicadores de evaluacin
$ 764,141,982.48
VAN
187%
TIR
$ 6.09
RB/C=
CON EXCEL RB/C=
$ 6.09
$ 282,819,570.00
CASO 6
$ 805,000.00
$ 1,300.00
$ 780.00
$150.000.000,00
ao 5
%
2
$ 1,046,500,000.00
$ 1,046,500,000.00 $ 1,046,500,000.00
$ 1,048,000,000.00
$ 1,046,500,000.00
###
###
###
$ 1,500,000.00
$ 763,680,430.00
$ 763,680,430.00
$ 763,680,430.00
$ 913,680,430.00
$ 135,780,430.00
$ 135,780,430.00 $ 135,780,430.00
$ 135,780,430.00
$ 627,900,000.00
$ 627,900,000.00 $ 627,900,000.00
$ 627,900,000.00
$ 150,000,000.00
$ 282,819,570.00
$ 282,819,570.00
$ 282,819,570.00
$ 134,319,570.00
VPB=
$ 282,819,570.00
(1+
VPB=
0.13
1.13
(1+
$ 282,819,570.00
$ 282,819,570.00
1.13
VPB=
$ 250,282,805.31
$ 914,141,982.48
VPc=VF/(1+h) n
VPC=
150,000,000.00
RB/C=
$ 6.09
0.13
$ 282,819,570.00
1.13
VPB=
VPB=
$ 282,819,570.00
$ 282,819,570.00
1.28
$ 221,489,208.24
BENEFICIO COSTO
$ 282,819,570.00
)
1.13
(1+
$ 282,819,570.00
$ 282,819,570.00
+
2
0.13
$ 282,819,570.00
1.28
21,489,208.24
$ 282,819,570.00
1.13
$ 282,819,570.00
1.44
$ 196,008,148.88
$ 282,819,570.00
+
(1+
+
3
0.13
$ 282,819,570.00
1.13
$ 282,819,570.00
1.63
$ 173,458,538.84
$ 134,319,570.00
(1+ 0.13 )
+
4
$ 134,319,570.00
1.13
$ 134,319,570.00
1.84
$ 72,903,281.22
Datos
Esperado
$ 650,000.00
$ 1,100.00
Costo Unitario
$ 820.00
Se incrementa en un 10%
cada ao
Costo fijo
$ 135,780,430.00
Valor residual
Inversin
Tasa de descuento
$ 1,500,000.00
$ 150,000,000.00
0.13
13
Rubros
Ingresos
$ 715,000,000.00
Ventas
Valor residual
Egresos
$ 715,000,000.00
$ 150,000,000.00
Costo fijo
Costo variable
Inversin
Flujo Neto
$ 668,780,430.00
$ 135,780,430.00
$ 533,000,000.00
$ 150,000,000.00
-$ 150,000,000.00
Indicadores de evaluacin
$ 13,379,056.40
VAN
17%
TIR
$ 1.09
RB/C=
CON EXCEL RB/C=
$ 1.09
$ 46,219,570.00
CASO 1
$ 650,000.00
$ 1,100.00
$ 820.00
%
2
###
###
###
$ 1,500,000.00
###
###
###
$ 533,000,000.00
###
###
###
$ 46,219,570.00
$ 46,219,570.00
$ 46,219,570.00
$ 47,719,570.00
VPB=
$ 46,219,570.00
(1+
VPB=
0.13
$ 46,219,570.00
1.13
+
1
(1+
$ 46,219,570.00
1.28
VPB=
$ 40,902,274.34
VPc=VF/(1+h) n
VPC=
150,000,000.00
RB/C=
$ 1.09
$ 46,219,570.00
1.13
$ 46,219,570.00
1.13
$ 163,379,056.40
0.13
+
1
VPB=
VPB=
$ 46,219,570.00
$ 36,196,702.95
IO COSTO
+
2
$ 46,219,570.00
(1+
+
2
+
0.13
$ 46,219,570.00
1.13
$ 46,219,570.00
1.44
$ 32,032,480.49
$ 46,219,570.00
+
3
(1+
0.13
+
$ 46,219,570.00
4
1.13
$ 46,219,570.00
1.63
$ 28,347,327.87
$ 47,719,570.00
(1+ 0.13 )
$ 47,719,570.00
1.13
$ 47,719,570.00
1.84
$ 25,900,270.76
Datos
Esperado
$ 722,952.00
Precio Unitario
$ 980.00
Costo Unitario
$ 650.00
Costo fijo
Valor residual
Inversin
Tasa de descuento
Rubros
$ 135,780,430.00
$ 1,500,000.00
$ 150,000,000.00
0.13
13
Ingresos
$ 708,492,960.00
Ventas
Valor residual
Egresos
$ 708,492,960.00
$ 150,000,000.00
$ 605,699,230.00
Costo fijo
$ 135,780,430.00
Costo variable
Inversin
$ 469,918,800.00
Flujo Neto
$ 150,000,000.00
-$ 150,000,000.00
Indicadores de evaluacin
$ 212,363,460.55
VAN
62.54%
TIR
$ 2.42
RB/C=
CON EXCEL RB/C=
$ 2.42
$ 102,793,730.00
CASO 1
$ 722,952.00
$ 980.00
$ 650.00
%
2
###
###
###
$ 1,500,000.00
###
###
###
$ 469,918,800.00
###
###
###
VPB=
$ 102,793,730.00
(1+
VPB=
0.13
$ 102,793,730.00
1.13
(1+
$ 102,793,730.00
1.28
VPB=
$ 90,967,902.65
VPc=VF/(1+h) n
VPC=
150,000,000.00
RB/C=
$ 2.42
$ 102,793,730.00
1.13
$ 102,793,730.00
1.13
$ 362,363,460.55
0.13
VPB=
VPB=
$ 102,793,730.00
$ 80,502,568.72
IO COSTO
$ 102,793,730.00
(1+
+
2
+
0.13
$ 102,793,730.00
1.13
$ 102,793,730.00
1.44
$ 71,241,211.26
$ 102,793,730.00
+
3
(1+
0.13
+
$ 102,793,730.00
4
1.13
$ 102,793,730.00
1.63
$ 63,045,319.70
$ 104,293,730.00
(1+ 0.13 )
$ 104,293,730.00
1.13
$ 104,293,730.00
1.84
$ 56,606,458.22
Caso
Caso
Caso
Caso
Caso
Caso
Caso
Caso
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
688,535.00
650,000.00
650,000.00
750,000.00
722,952.00
805,000.00
650,000.00
722,952.00
Precio
Unitario
$ 1,021.00
$ 1,100.00
$ 1,100.00
$ 980.00
$ 1,100.00
$ 1,300.00
$ 1,100.00
$ 980.00
Costo
Unitario
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
645.00
780.00
780.00
780.00
650.00
780.00
820.00
$ 650.00
VAN
$ 207,015,702.01
$ 98,714,684.34
$ 869,544.86
-$ 97,890,492.17
-$ 76,649,662.72
$ 764,141,982.48
$ 13,379,056.40
$ 212,363,460.55
STIMACION DE INDICADORES
TIR
RB/C
Tasa de
descuento
66%
39%
13%
-20%
-14%
187%
17%
63%
2.38
1.66
1.00
0.35
0.63
6.09
1.09
2.42
11%
14%
13%
12%
14%
13%
13%
13%
Conclusiones
La realizacin de esta actividad nos permite afianzar los conocimientos , la aplicacin de conceptos, c
Excel para realizar flujos de fondos, realizando pronostico de proyecciones para minimizar los riesgos
productivas.
nes
Referencias
Alba Sanchez, Doris Amelia, (2014). Syllabus Curso 102007 Matematica Financiera. Primera Edicin. U
Recuperado de http//:campus12.unad.edu.co/campus12_20151/mod/lesson/view.php?id=1186
Video desarrollo actividad 5. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wY2O3eiAzng&feature=youtu.be
erencias
Azng&feature=youtu.be