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GE Energy

2009 GE EPC AND ENGINEERING SUMMIT

Africa
Jay Wileman
The content of the attached presentation is the property of the General Electric
Company and is proprietary to the General Electric Company. Any use, in whole or
in part, of the materials without the written permission of the General Electric
Company and its affiliates is prohibited.

Copyright 2009 General Electric Company

Quality of Life for the


African Continent and its people
Increase

Copyright 2009 General Electric Company

Electricity
to enhance
quality of

Clean water
to sustain

life

life

Fuel
life

to provide
essentials

Copyright 2009 General Electric Company

Regional outlook
Key drivers
Access to electricity rural electrification
Varied fuel sources limited infrastructure
Water scarcity rural accessibility
Finance capabilities resource rich, cash poor
Customer dynamics
Impacted by the crisis but still growing
Relying on EPC skills build / own / operate / transfer model
Power additions 9000MW announced REAL? When?
Localization needs:
BBBEE required for South Africa
Nigeria local content
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Copyright 2009 General Electric Company

Africas electricity demand


1,020

Billions of kW hours
2

504

550

030
2
y
Xb

862
727

613

Africas energy production ~9.5% of the worlds total output


Africa represents 14% of the worlds population but
consumes only 3% of the worlds energy
>500 million people lack access to modern energy rural
electricification rates as low as 2%
2009

2012

2015

2020

2025

2030

Source: Africa Development Bank, Clean energy investment framework 2008


Graph : GE Energy Infrastructure outlook June 2009
Copyright 2009 General Electric Company

Africas oil production and demand


Million barrels of oil per day (Mbbl/d)

New additions
Existing production

7.1 Mbbl/d
=
UAE + Iran

Domestic oil demand

The continent holds 10% of the world's proven reserves


Africa exports equivalent to 73% of the continent's oil production
It hosts just 3.3% of global refining capacity
The continents 1 billion inhabitants consume 4.5% of U.S. energy per capita
6
* CERA, Oil and condensate production, May 09
Copyright 2009 General Electric Company

Global mining projects


By scheduled
production date

By region

$124B

$6B
$6B

$35B
$35B

$46B $41B $55B $45B

$59B
$59B

$61B
$61B

$64B
$64B
10

11

12

13

$95B
$95B

>14

By customer

By commodity
Total capex

BHP
Billiton

Rio
Tinto

Anglo
American

VALE

$46B+

$39B+

$16B+

$8B+

$55B

$82B

$72B
$52B

$39B
$20B

Copper
Uranium
Other
Iron ore
Aluminum
Coal
Copyright 2009 General Electric Company

Global water demand


14 African counties are experiencing water scarcity
expected to increase to ~25% by 2025
~65% of the rural population and 25% of the urban
population lack access to safe drinking water

62.2
50.2

Water usage (in billion cubic meters)


20

Clean water
demand will triple
by 2030

15
10
5

U.
S.

Br
az
il
Sp
ai
n
In
di
a
Ch
in
a

Ko

re

Eg
yp
t

Al

ge
ria

iA
ra
bi
a

Af
ric
Sa
ud
a

UA

So
ut
h

Tu
ni
si
a
Ke
ny
a

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Source: Africa Development Bank, Policy for integrated water resources management
Graph: http://www.globalwaterintel.com University of Kassel, Germany: Alcamo, J., Henrichs, T. & Roesch, T.
Copyright 2009 General Electric Company

An energy infrastructure of the future


Africa has the opportunity to leap-frog to cleaner technologies

Technology Policy development New financing initiative Training

Cleaner, smarter more efficient


9

Copyright 2009 General Electric Company

Invest in the most important


natural resource PEOPLE
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Copyright 2009 General Electric Company

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