Documente Academic
Documente Profesional
Documente Cultură
Warming
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2
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4. Below is a graph that shows CO2 levels since 1850. In your own words, how has the CO2 level in
the atmosphere changed since 1850?
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5. Below is a graph that shows global annual temperatures for the same period. In what ways, if any, do
you think the 2 graphs are linked?
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6. What level of CO2 do climatologists agree is fairly safe?
___ ppm.
7. What temperature increase do climatologists agree is fairly safe?
___ degrees.
8. What, if any, is the consensus among climatologists regarding future CO2 and temperature trends
with a business as usual approach (BAU)?
2050
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2075
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2100
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Part 2: The Causes
1. The graph below from the The Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations identifies
the global warming contributions by industry. Please describe the graph in the space provided below.
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2. Does anything in the graph surprise you? Justify your answer.
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3. Below is a table showing the top 10 countries by carbon dioxide emissions. The table also shows the
CO2 per person for each country. Analyze and explain the data in your own words.
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4. Through your research, you will have noticed that a significant contributor to global warming is the
animal agriculture industry. Now visit, the following environmental organisations and try to find
mention of animal agriculture on their sites. Fill in the below table:
1
2
Name of organisation
http://www.greenpeace.org/japan/ja/
http://www.sierraclub.org/
Any mention?
Comment
3
4
5
6
http://wwf.org/
http://amazonwatch.org/
http://350.org/
https://www.edf.org/
5. Discuss your findings.
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6. How do the findings make you feel?
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7. Read the following infographic and answer the questions that follow.
Questions
1. What percentage of amazon deforestation is due to animal agriculture?
___ %
2. What percentage of global greenhouse gas emissions are attributed to animal agriculture?
___ %
3. What percentage of the Earths water is used by animal agriculture?
___ %
4. What is the effect on animals and insects from rainforest destruction?
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5. What does fish by-kill mean?
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6. What percentage of the Earths land does animal agriculture use?
___ %
7. How much water does it take to make a hamburger?
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The video has been purchased and you may watch it at:
www.cowspiracy.vhx.tv
There are Japanese subtitles.
(http://www.cowspiracy.com/facts/)
1. Briefly describe what the film is about and the argument that it makes.
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2. List six facts described in the movie that impressed you and explain how each fact relates to the
film's argument.
Fact
Relation to argument
1.
Fact
Relation to argument
2
.
4
.
6
.
3.
5.
3. What is the call to action in this movie? How do you think you will respond to that call? Describe
your reasons.
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Part 3: The potential effects
coastlines
water cycle
ecosystems
water resources
agriculture
coastal occupation
human health
2. Below is a graph showing the IPCC projected sea level rise for the 21st century.
3. For every degree of temperature increase in the next 2000 years, what is the estimate for
corresponding sea level increase? (Wikipedia)
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4. Is this represented in the IPCC graph? Why or why not?
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5. The map below shows a specific area susceptible to sea level increases. Analyze the information in
your own words.
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6. What is currently happening to the worlds coral reefs?
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7. What likely effect will this have on fish?
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8. What effect will this in turn have on humans?
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9. What is currently happening to honey bees around the world? And what effects will this have?
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10. In climate science there is something called a feedback loop. These can be split into 2 types; positive
and negative. Please define them in your own words below.
11
By Brian Kahn
http://www.climatecentral.org/news/sea-levels-rise-20-feet-19211
12
sea
level rise
in
the long term, Andrea Dutton,
a geochemist
at the University of Florida and one
of the studys co-authors, said. The
decisions we make now about where
we want to be in 2100 commit us on
a pathway where we cant go back. Once these ice sheets start to melt, the changes become irreversible.
The study examined past changes and laid out a framework for using them to refine our understanding of
what the future holds for coastal communities. According to separate research by Climate Central, a 20-foot
sea level rise would reshape the U.S. coast, causing Louisiana to lose its boot and transforming the Bay
Area into the Bays Area by forming a second inland bay. It would also threaten the world's coastal nations
and megacities.
Sea levels have already risen about 8 inches compared
to pre-industrial times. That rise has helped boost the
surge and flooding damage from
storms
of every
Baltimore to
Honolulu.
The most recent projections from the
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate
Change indicate that if emissions continue on their current
cities from Hong Kong to Dhaka to New York trillions annually unless adaptation measures are taken.
13
According to Climate Central estimates, 150 million or more people are currently living on land that will
either be submerged or exposed to chronic flooding by 2100.
But sea level rise isnt going to just
turn off after 2100 and according to
climate scientists, current
greenhouse gases are baking much
more than 3 feet of sea level rise
into the system. The worlds
oceans, ice sheets and climate are
constantly performing an intricate
dance. The current rate of warming
could have them dancing a different
routine forcing ice sheets to
accommodate by melting, and sea
levels in turn to rise.
Ice sheets as we see them today appear to be out of equilibrium with the present climate, Dutton said.
Recent research showed the West Antarctic Ice Sheet, which contains enough ice to lift sea levels 10-13 feet,
appears to have entered collapse, mostly driven by warm water and, to a lesser degree, air melting its ice
shelves from above and below. Those ice shelves essentially act as doorstops, keeping the rest of
Antarcticas massive stores of ice on land. Losing them would send ice tumbling to the sea and, after it
melted, lapping up against the shorelines around the world. Other parts of the Antarctic ice sheet are also
less stable than previously believed and could further drive sea level rise from the southern hemispheres
store of ice.
The planets other major cache of land ice is Greenland. Its melt and contribution to sea level rise has
increased over the past decade and scientists project that it will play an increasingly larger role in raising the
oceans.
In addition to looking at the deep past, Duttons analysis also considered the more (geologically) recent past
by looking at periods around 400,000 and 125,000 years ago when global temperatures were 3.6F and
1.8F above pre-industrial times, respectively. Because theyre more recent, Duttons analysis was able to
get better estimates of the upper bounds of sea level rise. And those results dont bode well for the worlds
coastlines as they showed that sea levels were up to 42 feet higher than the present.
14
These numbers are consistent with our study on sea level commitment, Anders Levermann, a sea level rise
expert at the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research who authored a 2013 study, said.
Levermann said the Duttons approach of breaking down sea level rise by the different ice sheets could help
with regional sea level estimates. For example, Greenlands melt could drive up sea levels on the Eastern
Seaboard in addition to having a potential impact on ocean circulation.
Were going to reach temperatures we had in the past periods in the next couple decades. Understanding
which the most vulnerable sectors of polar ice sheets are is critical to projecting future pattern of sea level
rise regionally, Dutton said.
The big outstanding question and the one thats most relevant to people living along the coasts is just
how long it could take sea levels to rise to such great heights. The process isnt linear. Its currently
accelerating and that trend is expected to continue. Dutton said her group is working on new techniques to
better define the rates of rise, but other efforts have shown tipping points could cause sudden, rapid rises
faster than previous estimates.
There are some recent modeling efforts that now show you could get a section of the Antarctic ice sheet,
several meters worth of sea level rise, to go in a decade. We used to think it was centuries, she said.
Questions
1. What may happen if the global temperature increases by only 2C?
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2. Why does the journal Science predict this?
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3. In paragraph 3, Andrea Dutton says that if we make the wrong decisions now, we may not be able to
go back?
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4. What effect has the 8 inch sea level rise since pre-industrial times had recently?
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5. What forecast for sea level rise has the IPCC made lately?
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6. How many people are living on land vulnerable to sea level increases?
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7. If the West Antarctic Ice Sheet melted, what could be the effect on sea levels?
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8. In paragraph 8, the West Antarctic Ice Sheet is likened to a doorstop. Please explain this reference.
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9. In paragraph 10, Dutton compares sea level data from 400,000 years ago (3.6C hotter) and 125,000
years ago (1.8C hotter). What was the sea level at those times?
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10. How do you think Japan would be affected by such a change? Consider water, food, society, eco
systems.
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For the purpose of the study, the monitoring service compiled data on changes in glaciers over the
last 120 years. A total of over 5,000 measurements of glacier volume and mass changes since 1850
and more than 42,000 records from observations and reconstructions dating back to the
sixteenth century were analyzed.
Analysis of the data showed that despite isolated cases where ice volume and thickness increased,
none of the advancing glaciers have come close to the maximums achieved during the so-called
Little Ice Age -- a period of cooling between the sixteenth and the nineteenth century. The longterm trend remains one of retreat.
Exact measurements of this ice loss are reported from a few hundred glaciers only. However,
these results are qualitatively confirmed from field and satellite-based observations for tens of
thousands of glaciers around the world, Zemp said, in the statement.
Previous studies have shown that glaciers in the European Alps and Greenland are especially
vulnerable to the effects of climate change. While the Alps could lose anything between 75 percent
and 90 percent of their glacial ice by the end of the century, Greenlands glaciers -- which have the
potential to raise global sea levels by up to 20 feet -- are expected to melt faster as their exposure to
warm ocean water increases.
The meltwater from these glaciers, in addition to the water released by glaciers in West
Antarctica -- a region currently shedding the weight of Mount Everest every two years -- would
further raise sea levels that have already risen nearly seven inches over the past 100 years.
Questions
1. Which organization stated that we have never before witnessed this amount of glacial melt?
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2. The current glacial melt is how much more than the normal melt?
0% - 29%
30% - 59%
60% - 90%
91% +
3. What would happen to the ice if climate temperatures steadied?
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4. The scientists involved in this research studied data from many periods. When was the first period
involved in the study?
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5. According to the study, what is the overall picture of the ice melt? What word does the paper use to
illustrate this?
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6. What was the little ice age? And when was it?
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Solutions
Solutions
Problems
Solutions
Solutions
Solutions
2. Research some of the ways in which scientists and conservationists are proposing we deal with the
threat of global warming. Define them below.
a) Carbon sequestration
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b) Renewable energy
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c) Geoengineering
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d) Move away from fossil fuels
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e) Change to a vegan diet
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f) Reduce consumption
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3. Choose 3 from the previous list as your preferred way to combat global warming and justify your
answer.
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4. There are various perspectives held by people regarding humans role in the larger ecological picture.
These can be split into 3 main types. Please define them in the space below.
Ecocentrism
Anthropocentrism
Technocentrism
http://www.bbc.com/news/science-environment-30197085
Schemes to tackle climate change could prove disastrous for billions of people, but might be
required for the good of the planet, scientists say.
That is the conclusion of a new set of studies into what's become known as geo-engineering.
This is the so far unproven science of intervening in the climate to bring down temperatures.
These projects work by, for example, shading the Earth from the Sun or soaking up carbon dioxide.
Ideas include aircraft spraying out sulphur particles at high altitude to mimic the cooling effect of volcanoes
or using artificial "trees" to absorb CO2.
Long regarded as the most bizarre of all solutions for global warming, ideas for geo-engineering have come
in for more scrutiny in recent years as international efforts to limit carbon emissions have failed.
Now three combined research projects, led by teams from the universities of Leeds, Bristol and Oxford,
have explored the implications in more detail.
The central conclusion, according to Dr Matt Watson of Bristol University, is that the issues surrounding
geo-engineering - how it might work, the effects it might have and the potential downsides - are "really
really complicated".
Sun block
"We don't like the idea but we're more convinced than ever that we have to research it," he said.
"Personally I find this stuff terrifying but we have to compare it to doing nothing, to business-as-usual
leading us to a world with a 4C rise."
The studies used computer models to simulate the possible implications of different technologies - with a
major focus on ideas for making the deserts, seas and clouds more reflective so that incoming solar radiation
does not reach the surface.
One simulation imagined sea-going vessels spraying dense plumes of particles into the air to try to alter the
clouds. But the model found that this would be far less effective than once thought.
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21
Questions
22
Electric vehicles
Photovoltaics
Wind generation
Geothermal
Vegan diet
Consume less
(GDP)
International CO2
emission controls
1
0
Reduce water
consumption
11 ?
1. Having researched the above, what level of progress (if any) do you think we are making toward
reducing global warming?
Perfect
Impressive
Average
Unimpressive
Terrible
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4. Why do you think these scientists and the Cato Institute disagree with President Obama?
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5. Now, do some research. Go to your search engine and type in CATO INSTITUTE Funding. Who is the
chairman of the board?
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6. What industry is he/she involved in?
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7. What, if any, do you think is the connection between this person and their industry and the CATO
INSTITUTEs scientists?
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8. The same people are heavily involved in resisting the widespread use of renewable energy. In your
search engine, type in FOSSIL FUEL COMPANIES ATTACK RENEWABLES. In your own words,
summarize their involvement.
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9. Why do you think that many people around the world disbelieve in manmade global warming?
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Who remembers that climate change was a top priority early in George W Bushs first term as
US president? Merchants of Doubt, a new documentary film released in US cinemas this week,
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reminds us that in June 2001 Bush and the Republican party were 100% committed to curbing
carbon emissions causing global warming.
Six months later everything changed. The film shows Republican party leader John Boehner
calling the idea of global warming laughable, said Merchants of Doubt director Robert
Kenner.
With the 9/11 attacks on the World Trade Center occupying attention, Americans For Prosperity,
a powerful, fossil-fuel lobby group founded by the billionaire Koch Brothers, launched a
decade-long, multi-pronged campaign to sow doubt about the reality of climate change.
By equating the findings of climate scientists as an attack on
personal freedoms, they cleverly shifted the focus away
from science to political opinion. Creating a focus
point away from what is actually going on is how
magicians pull off their tricks, said Kenner who directed
the Oscar-nominated documentary Food Inc.
The deception has worked well. Few Americans know 97%
of scientists agree climate change is caused by human
activity and is happening now.
Inspired by the 2010 book of the same name, Kenners film
about deception and profiles many of the charming and
always smiling professional deceivers who work for the tobacco,
chemical, pharmaceutical, and fossil fuel industries. The tobacco industry
successfully deceived the public for 50 years about the
connection between smoking and cancer, the 1988
tobacco lawsuit settlement revealed.
is
knowingly and
and often clear ties to industry lobby groups and yet are treated as expert commentators on
climate science by media. Its not just Fox News. Serious news outlets like CNN and the New
York Times are complicit by featuring misinformers in news articles and on discussion panels,
he said.
The film also focuses on the many self-described grassroots organisations that are actually
promoting specific corporate and political interests. These organisations are often aided by, and
passionately supported by, ordinary citizens who believe they are fighting for personal
freedoms and libertarian or conservative values.
Kenner is hoping audiences will realise theyve been lied to and develop better bullshit
detectors.
http://www.theguardian.com/environment/2014/nov/20/merchants-of-doubt-film-exposes-slickus-industry-behind-climate-denial
Questions
1. What did the Koch brothers do?
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2. How do magicians pull off their tricks?
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3. How is the climate science debate linked to the debate on the dangers of smoking from the 60s and
70s?
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4. How are the media partly to blame for the misinformation?
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Pacific island nations have pleaded with wealthy countries to help their people migrate and find
work if they are forced to flee their homelands because of the consequences of climate change.
28
A coalition of low-lying island nations said moving people because of rising sea levels, storms and
ruined agriculture was a last resort, but the calamity of climate change required industrialised
countries to devise a plan.
In a joint statement after a summit in Kiribati
the Pacific nations Fiji,Kiribati, Tuvalu and
Tokelau said they were gravely concerned
over the lack of effective international response
to climate change that posed major
existential challenges to their populations
and cultures.
They repeated calls for an international body to
be set up to coordinate population movement caused by climate change. The creation of such a
body was included in an early draft of a UN agreement to be negotiated at climate talks in Paris
in December but the idea was dropped last week. Australia opposed it, although countries
including Britain, the US and France were open to the concept.
The countries called for funding for health and education programs, and aid to raise buildings
above predicted sea level increases and safeguard water supplies from saltwater intrusion.
Wealthy nations should prepare our people for migration with dignity, capable of contributing to
other nations economies and development processes as skilled migrant workers, the Pacific
leaders said.
Developing nations have access to the UN-administered green climate fund to help adapt to or
mitigate climate change. In 2009 nations agreed at Copenhagen to provide $100bn in climate
finance although this target has not been met and will be debated again at the Paris talks.
There is a view that Australia is putting coal ahead of people.
David Ritter, Greenpeace Australia
There is no body that oversees the orderly movement of people because of climate change impacts.
The UN refugee convention applies only to those fleeing persecution, with little appetite among the
richest nations to expand its definition to include climate refugees amid predictions that up to
250 million people may be displaced worldwide by 2050.
People living on coral atolls in the Pacific are considered particularly vulnerable to a sea level that
is rising by 1.2cm a year, four times faster than the global average. Coastal erosion, tainted water
supplies and failing crops have prompted communities to move inland or to other islands.
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Pacific leaders have taken an increasingly strident tone in calling for action, with Anote Tong, the
president of Kiribati, recently calling Australia very selfish for its continued commitment to
coalmining.
Peter Christian, the president of Micronesia, told a UN gathering in New York earlier this month:
I speak as an islander who has walked the shores of many atoll islands, where there was once
sandy beaches and coconut trees.
Now there are none. I am told this will continue. We must become more cohesive in our actions to
bring a useful conclusion to help mitigate the threat of sinking islands and prevent the potential
genocide of Oceanic peoples and cultures.
The chief executive of Greenpeace Australia, David Ritter, said Australia should do more given its
clout in the region.
Australia is the richest, largest country in the region, so to sit back and say we are doing enough is
pathetic really, said Ritter, who attended the Kiribati summit.
People in the Pacific are very polite but privately the view of Australia is very clear: this is a
country not doing enough. Theres a view that Australia is putting coal ahead of people.
At the moment, if you are forced out of your home due to inundation you simply become
stateless. Theres no mechanism to ensure that these people wont fall through the cracks. When
you go to Kiribati and see people trying to repair sandbagged seawalls, you can see why this is a
live issue for them.
Questions
1. What was Australias position on creating a plan to coordinate population movement? Why do you
think they held this position?
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2. How many people may be climate refugees by 2050?
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3. How does sea level rise on coral atolls in the Pacific compare to the global average?
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4. What does Anote Tong think of Australia?
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5. In your own words, what do you think the people of Pacific Islands want from developed countries?
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6. Do you agree with them? Justify your answer.
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The report, The Clean Energy Future: Protecting the Climate, Creating Jobs and Saving Money, refutes
claims that meeting the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) targets for greenhouse gas
(GHG) reductions would take a toll on the economy and introduces an energy platform that would:
Transform the electric system, cutting coal-fired power in half by 2030 and eliminating it by 2050;
building no new nuclear plants; and reducing the use of natural gas far below business-as-usual
levels.
Reduce greenhouse gas emissions 86 percent below 1990 levels by 2050, in the sectors analyzed
(which account for three-quarters of US GHG emissions).
Save moneythe cost of electricity, heating, and transportation under this plan is $78 billion less
than current projections from now through 2050.
Create new jobsmore than 500,000 per year over business as usual projections through 2050.
"The Clean Energy Future represents a pathway away from climate destruction."
"This report presents a practical, realistic way for the United States to address the climate crisis and proves
that we dont have to choose between jobs and the environment," said May Boeve, executive director of the
environmental action group 350.org, which helped craft the report along with the Labor Network for
Sustainability and Synapse Energy Economics.
Most of the jobs created from the program would occur in the construction and manufacturing industries,
such as electric auto production, the report states. That will serve three separate, but intertwining purposes
supporting economic growth; concentrating job creation in sectors that have a high proportion of workers
of color; and helping unite environmental and labor advocates, who occasionally spar over their respective
causes.
"We don't have to choose between jobs and the environment."
May Boeve, 350.org
"For unions and other jobs advocates, climate protection is also a great jobs program," the report states.
"This program will help bring together environmental and labor advocates around their common interest in
putting Americans to work saving the earth's climate."
32
Figure 2. Job creation in the Clean Energy Future, 2016 - 2050 The graph shows differences between employment in the Clean
Energy Future and reference case projections, by year and major category of employment. Each category includes direct, indirect
and induced employment.
"The workers displaced from fossil fuel industries are not cardboard cutouts," the report continues. "They
have done hard, dirty and dangerous jobs that kept our lights on and our cars moving for all the years before
we recognized the need for a different energy future. In addition to our thanks, they deserve a just
transition, with assistance in training and placement in new jobs, or retirement with dignity."
Industry accounts for 18 percent of carbon emissions in the U.S. alone, largely emanating from the
manufacturing of chemicals, primary metals, paper, and cement, the report states. Switching to recyclable
materials and investing in renewables will contribute to reducing greenhouse gases by 80 percent by 2050.
But the crux of the report focuses on its potential impact on the job market and uniting environmentalists
and labor advocates.
"This report is good news for American workers," said Joe Uehlein, founder of the Labor Network.
"Protecting the climate has often been portrayed as a threat to American workers' jobs and the U.S.
economy. But this report shows that a clean energy future will produce more jobs than 'business as usual'
with fossil fuels."
The report concludes: "The Clean Energy Future represents a pathway away from climate destruction that is
also far better for workers and consumers than our current pathway based on fossil fuels. Should we let
greed and inertia prevent us from taking it?"
http://commondreams.org/news/2015/10/16/renewables-can-create-jobs-and-healplanet-report
Questions
1. In the opening quote, what does it refer to?
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2. What does the plan aim to do with regard coal by 2050?
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3. How many jobs does the plan aim to generate per year by 2050?
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4. What type of jobs would the plan produce?
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5. What does the plan suggest regarding former fossil fuel company workers?
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6. What is the core focus of the report?
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Part 6: Hope
Please make a list of things that would help reduce our carbon footprint.
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Governments
Fiona Harvey
Environment correspondent
France has launched an unprecedented diplomatic drive to shepherd nations big and small towards a major
climate change deal, ahead of a Paris summit next month that is the next major make-or-break moment for
the movement against global warming.
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COP21, as it is known in the jargon, is seen as a make-or-break conference, the last chance for the twodecades-old UN process to bring nations together to tackle what many scientists regard as the biggest single
threat to humanity.
This week, governments will gather in Bonn for the last chance before the Paris conference to amend the
text of the potential agreement. Previous such meetings have produced little progress, however.
For Hollande, whose low poll ratings have seen him become the most unpopular French president on record,
securing a climate change deal is crucial for his reputation at home.
France, marked by high unemployment and economic sluggishness, will go to the polls in regional elections
while the climate talks are wrapping up in December, in two rounds on 6 and 13 December. Hollande, who
still hopes to run for the presidency in 2017, will seek to use any successful deal to boost his standing.
Will the climate diplomacy succeed? Elements of an agreement are slowly falling into place. Most countries,
including all the biggest economies, have now submitted plans on their emissions to come into force after
2020, when current commitments expire. The US and China, the two biggest emitters, made a joint
announcement on their emissions, for the first time, in a marked show of unity.
But there is still no guarantee of success, and France has tried hard to learn the lessons of Copenhagen, the
location of the last climate change summit.
If Paris succeeds, it will not be down only to the French government and its troupes of ministers, civil
servants, ambassadors and negotiators. But if it fails, the French and the UN know they will cop the blame.
Questions
1. How is France trying to encourage other countries to make a deal on the climate?
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2. Is there any precedent for climate diplomacy?
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3. What does Sylvie Bermann say is the current case in China regarding climate change?
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4. When and where was the last climate change summit?
When? ________
Where? ________
5. Who will be blamed if the Paris summit fails to produce a clear strategy?
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Project
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Spoken: This is a group project. You should use this pack to help guide you to make a presentation on
global warming. You should discuss the following:
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
The science
The causes
The potential effects
What needs to be done?
Current situation
The future
Hope
The presentation should be between 15-20 minutes and the workload should be shared equally.
It might be a good time to improve your presentations by using https://prezi.com/.
Written: Make a petition requesting the Japanese envoy to the Paris 2015 climate talks to take urgent action
to avert catastrophic climate change. Distribute the petition to AICJ students that want to sign it then send it
to the Japanese delegation on behalf of AICJ students.
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