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Indonesian
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Capacity Studies
Final
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Final Report
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Indonesian Airspace
Sectorisation, Concept of
Operations and Capacity
Studies
Final Report
CONSULTANT REPORT
October 2012
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
This report has been prepared by John McCarthy (Project Manager), Peter Atkins
(International Consultant) and Novaro Martodihardjo for Strategic Airspace Pty Ltd,
engaged under the Indonesia Infrastructure Initiative (IndII), funded by AusAID, as part
of the Activities #289 and #290.
The support provided by the staff at IndII, Directorate General of Civil Aviation,
Angkasa Pura I, Angkasa Pura II and Cathy Pak-Poy (Strategic Airspace) in the
preparation of this report, is gratefully acknowledged.
Any errors of fact or interpretation are solely those of the authors.
Peter Atkins and John McCarthy
Jakarta, October 2012
IndII 2012
All original intellectual property contained within this document is the property of the Indonesia
Infrastructure Initiative (IndII). It can be used freely without attribution by consultants and IndII partners in
preparing IndII documents, reports designs and plans; it can also be used freely by other agencies or
organisations, provided attribution is given.
Every attempt has been made to ensure that referenced documents within this publication have been
correctly attributed. However, IndII would value being advised of any corrections required, or advice
concerning source documents and/ or updated data.
TABLE OF CONTENTS
ACRONYMS.............................................................................................................. V
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY ........................................................................................... VII
CHAPTER 1: INTRODUCTION ..................................................................................... 1
1.1
1.2
2.4
2.5
GEOGRAPHY ................................................................................... 5
POLITICAL AND ORGANISATIONAL ........................................................ 6
AIR TRAFFIC MANAGEMENT ............................................................... 8
2.3.1 Characteristics Common To Both FIRs ..................................... 8
2.3.2 Air Traffic Management - Jakarta FIR ..................................... 10
2.3.3 Air Traffic Management Ujung Pandang FIR ..................... 13
COMMUNICATION, NAVIGATION AND SURVEILLANCE (CNS) .................... 15
AVIATION ACTIVITY ........................................................................ 17
INTRODUCTION ............................................................................. 19
OVERVIEW OF STAKEHOLDER MANAGEMENT ....................................... 19
KEY INDONESIAN STAKEHOLDER GROUPS ............................................ 20
EXTERNAL ATM AND FOREIGN AGENCIES ............................................ 21
STAKEHOLDER ASSESSMENT ............................................................. 23
4.6
INTRODUCTION ............................................................................. 25
ASSESSMENT OF INDONESIAN ATM CONTEXT ...................................... 25
ASSESSMENT OF INDONESIAN AGENCIES CAPABILITIES ............................ 27
POTENTIAL FOREIGN AID CHARACTERISTICS AFFECTING THE PROJECTS........ 28
RISK PROFILES .............................................................................. 30
4.5.1 Application of Risk Management for Change......................... 30
4.5.2 Risk Exposure.......................................................................... 31
SCOPES OF WORK (SOWS) CONOPS, CAPACITY ANALYSIS,
RESECTORISATION ......................................................................... 33
INTRODUCTION ............................................................................. 34
PROPOSED IMPLEMENTATION STRATEGY ............................................. 34
5.2.1 Objectives ............................................................................... 34
5.2.2 Approach ................................................................................ 35
5.3
5.4
INTRODUCTION ............................................................................. 39
BACKGROUND .............................................................................. 40
CAPACITY DETERMINATION USING ANALYSIS METHODS .......................... 40
CALCULATING A METRIC USING DEDUCTIVE METHODS............................ 41
APPLICATION OF THE BRAZILIAN MODEL TO AN INDONESIAN SECTOR ......... 43
ADDITIONAL METRICS .................................................................... 45
TAXONOMY FOR PERFORMANCE MEASURES ........................................ 46
CHAPTER 7: CONCLUSION....................................................................................... 48
7.1
7.2
7.3
ANNEXES ............................................................................................................... 50
ANNEXE 1:
ANNEXE 2:
ANNEXE 3:
ANNEXE 4:
ANNEXE 5:
REFERENCES .......................................................................................................... 76
ii
LIST OF TABLES
Table 1: Summary of Required Resources and Estimates of for the Proposed Projects .. x
Table 2: Strategic Airspace Approach to the Task ............................................................ 3
Table 3: Airports that AP II Operates .............................................................................. 10
Table 4: AP I Makassar Airports ...................................................................................... 13
Table 5: Jakarta FIR Sector Traffic for September 2011.................................................. 18
Table 6: Key Indonesian Stakeholders ............................................................................ 20
Table 7: Australian Aid & Support Organisations working within the Indonesian ATM
Framework ......................................................................................................... 21
Table 8: External Agencies (other than Australia) .......................................................... 22
Table 9: Indonesian ATM Context ................................................................................... 26
Table 10: Indonesian Aviation Capabilities ..................................................................... 27
Table 11: Potential Foreign Aid Characteristics & Effect on Projects ............................. 29
Table 12: Preliminary Qualitative Risk Assessment ........................................................ 31
Table 13: Project Prioritisation ....................................................................................... 36
Table 14: Performance Areas & Metrics ......................................................................... 46
Table 15: Stakeholder Management and Communication ............................................. 61
Table 16: Key Comments by Stakeholders ...................................................................... 65
LIST OF FIGURES
Figure 1: Proposed Project Indicative Schedule ............................................................ xi
Figure 2: Relationship of Proposed Projects with ATM Masterplan ................................. 1
Figure 3: Indonesian FIR Boundaries................................................................................. 6
Figure 4: Indonesian Aviation Agency Overview Current Situation ............................. 7
Figure 5: Indonesian Aviation Agency Overview Future (Post-Transition)................... 8
Figure 6: Traffic Density Comparison ................................................................................ 9
Figure 7: Current Jakarta FIR ATC Sectorisation.............................................................. 11
Figure 8: Proposed Sectorisation Jakarta FIR ............................................................. 11
Figure 9: Air Route Structure Jakarta FIR ........................................................................ 12
iii
iv
ACRONYMS
AIP
ANSP
AP I
AP II
ATC
ATFM
ATM
ATS
CGK
CNS
CNS/ATM
CONOPS
Concept of Operations
DGCA
EJAATS
Emergency Jakarta Air Traffic Control System (refer also JAATS and
MAATS)
FAA
FIR
FTS
HMI
ICAO
JAATS
Jakarta Air Traffic Control System (refer also EJAATS and MAATS)
JATC
MAATS
Makassar Air Traffic Control System (refer also EJAATS and JAATS)
PBN
PANS-OPS
PANS-ATM
RNAV
Area Navigation
RNP
RNP-AR APCH
SARP
SHIA
SMS
SRA
SOP
WGS-84
vi
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
The volume of both domestic and international air traffic in the two Indonesian Flight
Information Regions (FIRs see Figure 3: Indonesian FIR Boundaries) continues to
grow at an increasing rate; some of the routes in Indonesian airspace are already
amongst the busiest in the world. The Indonesian aviation agencies, and others, are
concerned that the present Air Traffic Management (ATM) arrangements are less than
adequate to safely and efficiently handle this growing volume of traffic. The strain
under the excessive demand is evident: from observation of air traffic controller (ATC)
workload; from delays experienced within some current ATC sectors and at major
airports; and from the excessive and increasing number of incidents (due to
breakdown of aircraft separation) reported by the airlines.
Studies undertaken by Indonesia Infrastructure Initiative (IndII) and others, over the
last few years, have identified the need to revise both the route structure and the
sectorisation of the airspace. This is intended to help cope with growing demand (and
changing traffic requirements) by providing increased airspace capacity; to modernise
aspects of the airspace, which in itself should serve to improve capacity; and to more
closely harmonise it with adjoining FIRs and regional airspace plans.
However, there are two missing pre-requisites for a proper and satisfactory revision of
the route structure and ATC sectors. These are: a Concept of Operations (CONOPS) that
will provide a policy level definition of the standards and practices to be used in
Indonesian airspace; and accurate and detailed information concerning the current
route and airspace demand and capacity. The first of these pre-requisites defines the
rules to be used in re-designing the routes and sectors; the second provides data on
two of the most important (in the context of design) parameters of the routes and the
airspace demand and capacity.
As a precursor to any full project activity and to provide an effective scope of work, a
scoping study was undertaken by Strategic Airspace under contract to IndII. The scopes
of work for each of the three proposed projects were to be delivered by two
interdependent projects (IndII Activities #289 and #290). This report is the result of
both of these projects.
The required deliverables included terms of reference and contextual information to
support the Scope of Work for the development of:
Project : IndII Activity #289
i.
A Concept of Operation (CONOPS) for the future Air Traffic Management (ATM)
system for Indonesian airspace; and
vii
capability for airspace change, including all the processes necessary for the aviation
agencies to implement those changes.
The formation of a new single air navigation service provider (ANSP), formally
initiated towards the end of the scoping study, gives high importance and
considerable urgency to the development of a Concept of Operations (CONOPS).
This new entity will take on all the ATM functions, including ATC and airspace
management, which are currently distributed across three organisations including
the Directorate General of Civil Aviation (DGCA). The CONOPS is needed during the
formation period of the new ANSP as it will describe, at a policy level, the operation
of the new organisations core business; this can assist in defining the structure of
the new business. As well, because the CONOPS is a pre-requisite for the Resectorisation project, some of the urgency for the CONOPS project derives from
that project.
The imperatives for air route and airspace sector re-design are safety and
efficiency. It is considered that the congestion of aircraft in some ATC sectors is
already exceeding safe levels on a regular basis. The present route structure is outdated; it doesnt support current traffic patterns or demands, and demand is
increasing at over 8% per annum. All segments of the aviation market are growing
rapidly: domestic is growing exceedingly fast; the rate of international will increase
once the ASEAN Open Sky becomes effective in 2013; and over-flights from/to
numerous countries are increasing because the Asian economies are booming. The
upper airspace has a mix of over-flights, between numerous FIRs including
Australia, as well as an increasing number of domestic and international arrivals.
Thus, Australian travellers are directly affected by the diminishing safety as
demand and traffic complexity increases. For these reason the Re-sectorisation
project is urgently needed. The existing Indonesian aviation agencies are aware
that airspace changes are needed and they have independently initiated some
airspace sectorisation and route re-structuring projects to attempt to tackle these
viii
issues. However, they lack the expertise, resources and / or tools to successfully
complete these projects.
The Indonesian aviation agencies are aware of the airspace and air route
congestion problems. They have grappled with the means of measuring capacity
versus demand (that is, the level of congestion) as part of their re-sectorisation
efforts. However, they do not have the tools (for example, Fast Time Simulation
software) or expertise to accurately measure capacity and to model alternatives.
This is the objective of the Capacity Analysis project: to provide the tools and
expertise to develop the capability for capacity analysis within the local agencies.
One of the primary objectives of each of these projects is to develop capability so that
the Indonesian agencies can undertake studies and projects of a similar nature in the
future (they will need to do this because of changing technology and growing and
changing demand patterns). Such ongoing improvement of airspace usage and ATM
arrangements is a concern for ATM organisations worldwide. As part of the
development of capability, areas such as airspace change management (including risk
assessment and the preparation of safety cases) are included in the catalogue of skills
that need to be developed and fostered. There are shortcomings in these areas at the
moment and these processes are needed for the proposed IndII projects and for future
Indonesian agency projects.
The need to include the development of capability within these projects also stems
from the fact that some of the tasks involved in these projects are iterative; so to
completely study all details (of capacity) or implement all changes (of air route or
airspace) may take longer than is a sensible timeframe for these projects.. It also makes
the most sense in terms of delivering longer-term benefit and return on future aid
funded investments. The Scopes of Work (SOW) that have resulted from this
consultancy (delivered as separate documents) incorporate the capability development
objectives within each project scope.
There are many factors that may influence the conduct of these projects. Some of the
more important are:
Changing Roles of the Aviation Agencies: the new single ANSP is one of the major
clients of these projects;
Changing ATM technology: the current JAATS air traffic control system used for the
western half of Indonesian airspace will be replaced by a temporary system while a
new system is sourced;
ix
The timeframes for the two pre-requisite projects (CONOPS and Capacity Analysis) are
about the same between 4 to 6 months to complete each of them. As they are
independent of each other they could run in parallel. The Concept of Operations
project will also deliver early benefit during the formation of the new ANSP. The third
project, Re-sectorisation, delivers the major benefits of safety and efficiency
improvements and so it is desirable to commence this project as early as practicable. It
is estimated that the Re-sectorisation project would require approximately 9 to 12
months. Hence all three projects, if run optimally, could be completed within an overall
timeframe of 15-18 months.
A summary of the estimated timing and costs (including travel, accommodation and
overheads) for the three projects is provided in the following table. The costs are based
on IndIIs current standard rates.
Table 1: Summary of Required Resources and Estimates of for the Proposed Projects
Order
1
Project
Concept of
Operations
Effort
Budgetary Estimates
Consultants: ... AU $365,000
Capacity
Analysis
Re-sectorisation
xi
CHAPTER 1: INTRODUCTION
CHAPTER 1: INTRODUCTION
The IndII-sponsored Indonesian Air Traffic Management Master Plan was completed in
2011. Following on from this, the Directorate General of Civil Aviation (DGCA) selected
several projects indentified in the Masterplan as having high importance and urgency.
These projects were: the development of a policy level Concept of Operations; a review
of ATC Sectorisation to improve safety and efficiency; and the analysis the airspace
capacity including implementation of Fast Time Simulation tools and metrics.
Figure 2: Relationship of Proposed Projects with ATM Masterplan
Subsequently, IndII initiated two projects (IndII Activity #289 and Activity #290) to
develop Scopes of Work for future projects intended to address these identified needs.
These projects are referred to in this report as the Scoping Study and the projects they
provide the scope for are referred to as the Proposed Projects.
Strategic Airspace successfully tendered for both projects that make up the Scoping
Study. Because both the study team and the subject domains for the two Scoping
projects overlap, in some contexts within this report the two projects are considered
and referred to as one single project.
This report includes:
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SECTORISATION, CONOPS & CAPACITY
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o the attitudes of the primary stakeholders (those who will be involved in some
substantial way with Proposed Projects) towards the Proposed Projects;
o the potential risks associated with each of the Proposed Projects;
o the rationale for the way the Scopes of Work have been framed;
The report also includes a discussion on Metrics and Performance Indicators for
airspace and ATM system performance that might be used to assess the outcomes of
capacity analysis, re-sectorisation and revision of the route structure. This was called
for in the briefs for each of the Scoping Studies.
1.1
Each of the Proposed Projects, and the relationship between them, is briefly
summarised below:
Revision of the Route Structure and ATC Sectorisation this project is necessary to
ensure safety and improve efficiency as demand increases. This project will
effectively initiate the modernization of Indonesian airspace and Air Traffic
Management. This project includes the re-design of all airspace and the route
structure for both FIRs and developing the procedures for the implementation of
the results. The timeframe for the implementation will be longer than lifetime of
the proposed IndII-sponsored project.
This Proposed Project is to be supported by the other two Proposed Projects in the
following ways:
o The scientific determination of both current and future capacity and demand is
a necessary decision support tool for the envisaged route re-structure and resectorisation. The capability to effectively use this decision support tool is to be
developed by Capacity Analysis project;
o Changes to both the route structure and sectorisation should take place within
the framework of commonly accepted policies and standards that are
harmonised with adjacent FIRs. The common policies and standards should be
defined in a Concept of Operations.
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CHAPTER 1: INTRODUCTION
1.2
This Scoping Study set out to achieve the objectives shown in the following table.
Table 2: Strategic Airspace Approach to the Task
Our Aim
Achieved?
Where
Yes
Chapter 2 Context
Yes
Annexe 3 Stakeholder
Engagement Plan
Yes
Chapter 5 Project
Implementation
Yes
Chapter 1 Introduction
and
Chapter 5 Project
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Our Aim
Achieved?
Where
Implementation
Yes
Various
Yes
Various
Yes
CONOPS SoW
Yes
Resectorisation SoW
Yes
Yes
Yes
Various
Yes
Chapter 5 Project
Implementation
Yes
Chapter 5 Project
Implementation
Yes
Chapter 5 Project
Implementation
Yes
Various
Yes
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CHAPTER 2: CONTEXT
CHAPTER 2: CONTEXT
Globalisation is not only a driver for economic growth and development: it also affects
the implementation of the technical standards in many industries, including aviation.
Thus, there is a requirement to contribute and comply with international standards
primarily, ICAO Standards and Recommended Practices (SARPs).
While it is necessary for individual States to comply with globally accepted aviation
standards and to integrate with a global Air Traffic Management (ATM) framework, it is
essential that this task is undertaken in a way that recognises the unique geo political
factors of the region as well as national and organisational cultures.
The following contextual information is provided as background for any assessment of
work required to complete a review and implementation of airspace changes, and for
the introduction and implementation of a Concept of Operations.
The Republic of Indonesia has a thriving economy with a rapidly expanding aviation
sector. In terms of air traffic, it has a large and growing domestic fleet and increasing
international traffic including a large number of overflying aircraft. Its geographic
nature, being the worlds largest archipelago, and its location at the crossroads
between south-east Asia and Oceania provide a challenging environment for Air Traffic
Management.
2.1
GEOGRAPHY
The IndII-sponsored Open Sky Stage 21 report provides the following succinct
description of the Indonesian geographic archipelago:
Indonesia is the biggest archipelago in the world consisting of some 18,000
islands over an area of 5,110 km from east to west and 1,800 km from
north to south. Its unique geographical situation, lack of surface
infrastructure, large and growing population and ongoing economic
prosperity continues to increase the countrys propensity to fly, making it
one of the fastest-growing countries in terms of air traffic demand in the
world.
The Indonesian airspace is split into two Flight Information Regions (FIRs), as depicted
in Figure 3 (page 10). The (western) Jakarta FIR is managed from the Jakarta ATC
Centre, and the (eastern) Ujung Pandang FIR is managed an ATC centre in Makassar.
The figure provides an overview of the current route structure in the two (2) FIRs and
http://www.indii.co.id/upload_file/201205091605550.National%20Strategy%20for%20the%20Implement
ation%20of%20ASEAN%20Open%20Sky%20Policy%20Stage%202%20%20Final%20Report.pdf
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also illustrates the extent of over-flight routes through the Indonesian airspace to/from
the 10 adjacent FIRs, which are managed by other States.
Figure 3: Indonesian FIR Boundaries
Source: DGCA
2.2
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CHAPTER 2: CONTEXT
is not the primary business of the Angkasa Pura: the primary business is managing the
major airports
The Sanskrit term Angkasa Pura translates literally into English sky city or airport.
Because this of the issues and problems of demand and capacity are sometimes seen
as issues relating to the airports, not aerodromes or airspace.
Although the DGCA is the State regulator, it is not an entirely independent regulator
because it provides a variety of services including: operation of some airports (some of
which it also owns); air traffic services at many aerodromes that are not serviced by
AP I or AP II; and Aeronautical Information Services.
Figure 4: Indonesian Aviation Agency Overview Current Situation
In addition to the above, there are an unknown (relatively small) number of private
services associated with large mining sites. These services are not, at present, subject
to any regulatory oversight; they probably only consist of some form of flight following
and SAR alerting service.
As there is an international commitment by Indonesia to the reduction of carbon
emissions the Ministry of Environment is both interested and involved in aerodrome
and airspace management.
The Military have responsibility for aerodromes and restricted airspace for military
training and other operational purposes. There is little or no history of cooperation
with the civil agencies in regard to airspace usage or management.
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In September 2012, the President signed Law 22, 2012 which created a new Air
Navigation Service Provider (ANSP) that will take-over all ATM functions currently
performed by AP I, AP II and DGCA. AP I and AP II will remain as airport operators, and
DGCA will retain its regulatory functions.
This provision of a single regulator that is decoupled from service provision is a
recommendation of the International Civil Aviation Organisation (ICAO) and is the
model used by the vast majority of ICAO Contracting States
The complete transfer of ATS to the new organisation is planned to take two years.
Following this transfer, AP I and AP II will continue to operate as airport management
organisations. Whilst the transition process and transfer of functions may not provide
the ideal environment for conducting the Proposed Projects completion of the
Proposed Projects as early as possible will provide better information and a more
certain basis for tasks for the new ANSP.
Figure 5: Indonesian Aviation Agency Overview Future (Post-Transition)
2.3
The characteristics ATM in of each the FIRs are briefly described below.
2.3.1 Characteristics Common To Both FIRs
The current air route structure has not been updated for many years and is based on
historical traffic requirements and design concepts. Because of this it is not able to
effectively or efficiently support current traffic requirements. The route structure is
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CHAPTER 2: CONTEXT
mostly based upon conventional navigation using ground based navaids as the start
and end points of routes.
Jakarta terminal area acts as hub for most domestic airline traffic. Most of the airspace
congestion problems exist with 200NM of Jakarta as this is one of the main hubs. This
congestion is not surprising as four of the worlds 21 busiest air routes, terminate at
Jakarta. Soekarno-Hatta is not in the top thirty airports in terms of movements but it is
the ninth busiest in the world by passengers per annum. The relative size of traffic
densities for city pairs linked with Jakarta is illustrated in Figure 6 below (the diagram
was provided by Jakarta Area Control Centre).
There is a Performance Based Navigation (PBN) plan but it is only in the very early
stages of implementation. The route structure might be less congested with the use of
more PBN routes because of the flexibility and reduced separation standards it offers;
however, at present there are only a few RNAV high level routes for over-flights, some
RNAV SIDs and STARs and some RNP and RNP-AR approaches (recently published, but
not yet implemented).
The international air routes, in some cases, share the underlying domestic structure.
There are hot spots in terms of traffic delays and conflict points within the upper
airspace. The trend to more congested upper airspace will continue with the growth in
traffic unless the route structure is revised. The route structure is inhibited by military
restricted airspace which is rarely shared with civil traffic. The air route structure for
both the Jakarta and Makassar FIRs is published in the Indonesian AIP.
The busiest ATC sectors are around Jakarta as the busiest routes terminate there. Table
5 Jakarta FIR Sector Traffic for September 2011 provides an example of traffic
movements within the current sectorisation for Jakarta FIR.
Figure 6: Traffic Density Comparison
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10
Airport Location
SOEKARNO-HATTA
JAKARTA (CGK)
Polonia
MEDAN (MDN)
PEKANBARU (PKU)
Supadio
PONTIANAK
Minangkabau
PADANG (MKB)
PALEMBANG (PLB)
Husein Sastranegara
BANDUNG (BND)
Halim Perdanakusuma
JAKARTA
Sultan Taha
JAMBI (JMB)
TANJUNGPINANG (TJP)
Amir Depati
L nut PANGKA
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CHAPTER 2: CONTEXT
Source: AP II
Figure 8: Proposed Sectorisation Jakarta FIR
Source: AP II
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11
Figure 8 above shows AP IIs plan for a revision of the sectorisation of the Jakarta FIR.
This plan has been developed because of concerns about safety and efficiency. The
proposed sectorisation sub-divides some of the busiest current sectors in an attempt
to reduce ATC workload to more acceptable and safer levels. Modelling based on
international experience is likely to show an increase in workload.
The proposed changes do not include any changes to the underlying route structure.
While AP II has done considerable work on the proposed sector changes they are not
yet approved by DGCA because there are insufficient trained controllers to man the
proposed 11 sectors (there are currently 7). As well, there are insufficient workstations
with the current JAATS system to safely support the proposal; this will be rectified
when the EJAATS system becomes operational. The assertion that workload would be
decreased and safety increased is not supported by any FTS capacity analysis. Further,
a Safety Case has not yet been prepared for the proposed changes.
Figure 9 below provides an illustration of the Jakarta FIR air routes for both domestic
and for international flights.
Figure 9: Air Route Structure Jakarta FIR
Source: AP II
12
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CHAPTER 2: CONTEXT
Airport Location
Denpasar (DPS)
Bandara Juanda
Surabaya (SUB)
Bandara Hasanuddin
Makassar (MKS)
Bandara Sepinggan
Balikpapan
Biak
Manado (MDO)
Banjarmasin
Semarang (SMG)
Bandara Adisutjipto
Yogyakarta (JOG)
Bandara Adisumarmo
Surakarta
Bandara Selaparang
Mataram
Bandara Pattimura
Ambon
Bandara El Tari
Kupang
The Makassar Air Traffic Control is responsible for the airspace shown below. Air Traffic
Control services are provided from within five sectors.
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13
Source: AP I
Due to increases in traffic and the need to address conflict areas that are generating
ATC incidents, there is a proposal to resectorise the airspace, sub-dividing the busiest
sectors, and create two additional sectors. The status of this project was not
established during the scoping study. The proposed new sectorisation is shown in
Figure 11 below.
Figure 11: Proposed Sectorisation for Ujung Pandang FIR
Source: AP I
14
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CHAPTER 2: CONTEXT
2.4
The Jakarta Air ATC System (JAATS) consists of flight data and radar data processing,
voice communications, and aeronautical information systems. The systems are old and
are due for replacement; some of the ATC workstations are unserviceable. An
emergency system called EJAATS is under construction and should be commissioned
in November 2012 to ensure safe continuity of service whilst a more comprehensive
system replacement is acquired. This interim system will be more capable than the
present system; utilising flight and surveillance data to better advantage. For example,
the current system is not able to simultaneously process ADS-B data with the radar
data; this will be resolved with EJAATS.
The Makassar Air Traffic Control System (MAATS) is a Thales flight data and
surveillance data processing and display system. It is much newer that the JAATS and is
able to swap data with The Australian Advanced Air Traffic Control System (TAAATS);
however, it does not interface as well with the current JAATS system. This gap in
capability should be addressed when the new EJAATS system becomes operational.
This will alleviate some of the current coordination issues between Jakarta FIR and
Ujung Pandang FIR.
The route structure is based on ground based navigation; satellite based navigation is
only utilised (in the route structure) for some over-flights. PBN is only just being
introduced with some RNAV SIDs and STARs recently introduced at CGK, a few RNP
APCH approaches and some operator specific RNP-AR approaches at Manado and
Ambon.
There is electronic surveillance data servicing all IFR flight operations except those in
the Oceanic Airspace to the south and some areas over Papua (Figure 12 below
indicates the extent of ADSB Coverage for Indonesia; a radar coverage diagram was not
available for publication.) There are some issues with the use of this data; its quality is
questionable (availability and accuracy) and so for some of the busier routes
procedural separation standards are used despite the fact that radar coverage that is
available. The EJAATS commissioning should address some of these issues in the
Jakarta FIR, but may still be compromised subject to the extent of the availability and
accuracy of data).
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15
16
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2.5
AVIATION ACTIVITY
Source: IndII Open Sky Policy Stage 2 Final Report (Figure 86)
Currently some city pairs, and the surrounding ATC sectors, are overloaded for some
parts of the day.
As Jakarta acts as a hub for most domestic traffic, there are significant delays for
departures and arrivals with demand far exceeding both the airspace and ATC capacity.
Four of the top 21 busiest routes worldwide (in 2011) terminate at Jakarta2. These
routes are: Jakarta-Singapore (10th busiest); Jakarta-Denpasar (12th busiest); JakartaSurabaya (19th busiest) and Jakarta-Medan (21st busiest).
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CHAPTER 3: STAKEHOLDERS
CHAPTER 3: STAKEHOLDERS
3.1
INTRODUCTION
The description of methodology used in the scoping study (see 0) provides an outline
of the workshops conducted and presentations delivered. Additionally, individual and
group meetings were held with staff from DGCA, AP I and AP II and the airlines. The
attendees of all workshops, presentations and stakeholder meetings are recorded in
the stakeholder management spreadsheet. This contains the details of each
stakeholder involved in the study. The approach to stakeholders is discussed below.
3.2
Stakeholder management involves not only the planning of objectives, having a clear
engagement strategy and identifying stakeholders but also listening to all stakeholder
concerns and influencing key stakeholders to ensure success of the proposed project.
To fulfil the requirements of this scoping project and to begin the process of IndII
working with stakeholders for the proposed projects the objectives were as follows:
1. To identify key stakeholders within DGCA, service providers, and critical users of
airspace; as well as to use their knowledge to identify risks, issues, and
requirements in airspace management and airspace capacity;
2. To assess attitude or orientation of the key stakeholders towards the need for the
projects and to attempt to influence them towards a positive position; and
3. To obtain viewpoints from the prospective participants in the projects as to how
the implementation of the projects might be undertaken to ensure their success
and to obtain maximum, and continuing, benefit for Indonesian aviation.
The last objective is critical to the success of the projects. Some previous projects have
not delivered successful outcomes from the point of view of the stakeholders in DGCA
and the ANSPs. This point was made by all the managers in the Directorate of Air
Navigation. Some of the early reluctance on the part of some stakeholders to
participate in the scoping study could be attributed to what are seen as failed projects.
For the purposes of this scoping study, key stakeholders are those people who have
direct influence upon, or will be directly affected by, the changes in airspace and
capacity management and have an interest in the development of a CONOPS. The
following classes of stakeholders are considered to be key stakeholder groups.
1. Users of ATM services: key staff of the major airlines and representatives of airline
associations;
2. Air Navigation Service Providers (ANSPs): In this case key staff within AP I and AP II.
Consideration also needs to be given to the fact that at the present time DGCA
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19
provides some Air Navigation services and, although only an embryo at the
moment, the new single ANSP;
3. DGCA as the Regulator: The primary stakeholder is the Directorate of Air
Navigation of DGCA but others, such as Air Transport, Airports and Airworthiness,
have an interest (in particular, in the CONOPS project). Note that Air Transport
Division was notified of the scoping projects although it was not directly invited;
4. Staff Associations: Including the representatives of both Air Traffic Service Officers
and Pilots associations; and
5. External (Foreign) Agencies & Industry Bodies: This includes the ICAO, the
Regulatory and ANSP agencies of adjacent FIRs and international aviation
organisations such as IATA.
3.3
The key stakeholders are common to both projects (#289 and #290). The full details of
all stakeholders who participated in the scoping study are provided within Attachment
2. A summary of the key stakeholders and their attitudes to these projects is provided
below.
Table 6: Key Indonesian Stakeholders
Interest
20
Organisation
Orientation
Remarks
Regulator
DGCA
Positive
ANSP
AP II
Positive
AP I
Positive
New ANSP
Unknown
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CHAPTER 3: STAKEHOLDERS
Interest
Organisation
Orientation
Remarks
groups to set up organisation exist at the time of
writing. The new ANSP may not have sufficient
operational staff in the early stages of the Proposed
Projects to influence the projects.
Users
Staff
Representatives
3.4
Lion Air
Positive
Garuda
Positive
IATCA
Positive
INACA
FPI
Participant Organisation
Remarks
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Sponsoring Organisation
Participant Organisation
Airservices Australia
AMSA
Remarks
ITSAP provides technical and
training assistance to support
Indonesia in addressing its
aviation, maritime and road
transport safety challenges.
ATSB
Other Australian Consultants
and companies employed
through the above agencies.
Airservices Australia
Airservices Australia
The extent of the involvement of non-Australian foreign agencies has been difficult to
determine because of the lack of cooperation from some agencies. There is a strong
chance of overlap and duplication of projects with the non-Australian foreign agencies.
The proposed Concept of Operations, once completed and approved by the DGCA,
would be one effective mitigation against the risk projects from competing aid
agencies providing conflicting outcomes.
The following table provides an assessment of the known involvement of external
agencies. The ICAO involvement is well understood as current ICAO projects running on
site are well understood and integrated into the activities of both IndII and ITSAP.
Table 8: External Agencies (other than Australia)
Entity
Government of Japan
Organisation
JICA
Orientation
Neutral
FAA
Positive
TSA
NTSB
Boeing
Jeppesen
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CHAPTER 3: STAKEHOLDERS
Entity
France (Government &
Commercial)
Organisation
Orientation
DGAC
Neutral
Thales
Neutral
LVNL
Unknown
NLR
Regional Office
Positive
COSCAP
Local
representative
Positive
Australia
Singapore
Airbus
Peoples Republic of China
Government of Sweden
ICAO
LFV
TCB (onsite
project)
IATA
Malaysia
Papua New Guinea
Philippines
United States
India
Sri Lanka
3.5
STAKEHOLDER ASSESSMENT
The stakeholder assessment, given in the following diagram (Figure 15), takes into
account the strength of support or otherwise (orientation) towards the proposed
projects and the levels of influence they have on the success (Criticality to Success) of
the proposed projects. For the purposes of this report, the organisations and / or staff
identified in paragraph 3.3 (Key Indonesian Stakeholder Groups) and the Australian
Government sponsored organisations identified in paragraph 3.4 (External ATM and
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23
Foreign Agencies Table 8) are considered to be key stakeholders and able to impact
the success of the prospective projects. The rationale for including the Australian
stakeholders can be found in the level of risk exposure the Australian Government may
be exposed to given any adverse safety outcomes within Indonesian airspace.
Figure 15: Stakeholder Assessment Grid
Resistant
Other
Foreign
Neutral
IATA/
ICAO
Regulator
US/FAA
Staff
Low
Medium
ANSP
Airlines
SUPPORTIVE
IndII/ITSAP
HIGH
Criticality to Success
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INTRODUCTION
This chapter summarises the key findings of the project team. The summary is
presented in a number of tables that outline the characteristics of several dimensions
of the environment within which the Proposed Projects will be undertaken. The
assessment is simply the potential effect on the projects of each particular
characteristic. Comments are also made about particular aspects of the characteristic:
some are positive and some negative. Generally these comments are subjective
opinions formed during workshops or discussions with various stakeholders.
The dimensions explored in the following sections are:
The general context of ATM in Indonesia at the present time. This mostly
demonstrates the need for the proposed projects but also covers the possible
complexity involved because of the many changes taking place in the aviation
sector at present;
The capabilities of the Indonesian agencies. To affect the changes that are
necessary to complete the requirements of the Proposed Projects; and
The context of undertaking these projects as aid funded projects. This partly
discusses some impressions of difficulties encountered during the Scoping Project
where it is considered these may affect the conduct of the Proposed Projects.
4.2
There is a lot of activity in ATM in Indonesia at the present time. The most important
single factor that will affect the proposed Projects is the formation of the single ANSP
to take over all ATM functions in Indonesia. There is the opportunity to provide
substantial assistance to Indonesian aviation through the CONOPS project as an
operational concept is urgently needed to assist in the orderly formation of the new
organisation. Discussions with advisors to the implementation of the ANSP have
confirmed the absence of a CONOPS and the urgent requirement for one in this
context.
Also of significance for the immediate future is the concern of inadequate safety levels
in some Indonesian airspace as traffic levels are exceeding the safe capacity of the
existing ATM arrangements in some locations. There are a variety of factors
contributing to this but some that can be improved include the airspace and route
structure as they are configured at the present time. This safety aspect and the
associated efficiency improvements is the subject of two of the Proposed Projects.
Other projects being undertaken locally may have some effect on the Proposed
Projects.
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Effect
Major opportunity but
considerable
uncertainty
Remarks
Opportunity to provide substantial benefit to
Indonesian aviation;
New ANSP is major (silent at present)
stakeholder with no operational functions for
some time;
Possibly some competition between sections of
AP I, AP II and DGCA.
Current congestion
problems will get
worse further
diminishing safety and
efficiency
Major technology
changes pending
CONOPS needed to
ensure suitability and
uniformity; capability
could affect Resectorisation
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Characteristic
Effect
Remarks
Limited experience in
some areas for vital
functions to implement
changes
Need to develop
capability including
procedures for
development, approval
and implementation of
changes
Disparate functions
and roles across all
three primary aviation
agencies
4.3
Possible difficulty
getting agreement
form stakeholders
The Indonesian aviation agencies have some appropriate resources to attend to the
proposed changes, however, they are generally only available for such projects if they
work extra overtime. In some areas, however, they lack the expertise, experience and
tools needed to undertake the Proposed Projects. As well, with so much change taking
place at the present time resources are be stretched.
The factors outlined in the following table could or will have some effect upon the
Proposed Projects.
Table 10: Indonesian Aviation Capabilities
Characteristic
Significant
technical
competence within
agencies
Effect
Positive benefit if it
can be harnessed
and utilised in the
Proposed Projects
Remarks
Experience and expertise in ATM can be utilised by
proposed projects. It is envisaged that embedding
staff in the project team will provide project
resources, foster ownership by local agencies and
allow the projects to continue beyond the timeframe
(and funding) of the Proposed Projects.
Some of the Proposed Projects offer the potential for
staff to extend expertise and experience into valuable
new areas and enhance their CVs. This is a very
positive selling point for the Capacity Analysis project
and, to a slightly lesser extent, the Re-sectorisation
project.
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Characteristic
Significant
understanding of
the need for
airspace change
Effect
Driver for Proposed
Projects
Remarks
There is an appreciation of the urgent need to attend
to re-sectorisation for safety reasons particularly
from pilots (they feel their own and their passengers
lives are at risk) and ATC (their clients are at risk as
well as their careers). Efficiency is also a lesser and
mostly corporate consideration.
Existing projects for re-sectorisation are evidence of
this understanding. There is also an understanding
that the route structure needs updating including
introducing PBN.
These projects have been undertaken by operational
staff in their spare/extra time which probably
means they are more protective of these projects.
After enthusiastically presenting their proposed resectorisation, AP II were reluctant to have further
discussions.
It is generally recognised that capacity modelling is
needed to provide a scientific basis for both route
changes and re-sectorisation.
Potential impediment
to CONOPS
Lack of
understanding of
and experience
with risk and safety
management as
well as change
management
Potential impediment
to Re-sectorisation
project
Understanding of
and experience
with regulatory
approval
processes
Potential impediment
to Re-sectorisation
project
4.4
During the course of the Scoping Project there was some surrounding debate about the
reluctance of Indonesian agencies to work with aid agencies and about agencies not
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cooperating with each other. Some attitudes to aid projects are briefly outlined below.
These are generally restricted to attitudes that may affect the Proposed Projects.
Table 11: Potential Foreign Aid Characteristics & Effect on Projects
Characteristic
General attitude to
foreign aid projects
Effect
Unlikely to be a
problem for the
Proposed Projects as
most agencies
enthusiastic
Remarks
There was also some discussion about the
reluctance of some Indonesian agencies to
cooperate with aid projects. This could be for
the reasons outlined below.
There were some difficulties getting the
attention / support of some agencies /
managers during the Scoping Study.
Cultural differences and sensitivities may affect
the outcome of projects
NB: Australians appear to be well received by
most.
Uncoordinated
projects from different
aid agencies
Some previous
projects seen as
failures (failure may
occur for a variety of
reasons ranging from
under-funding of
projects to lack of
cultural sensitivity)
Possible impediment
mostly for the
CONOPS project
because of its
relationship to the
ATM Masterplan
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Characteristic
Effect
Some project
outcomes perceived to
be of little or no
benefit; therefore not
translated into
implementation
Potential impediment
mostly for the
CONOPS project;
Capacity and Resectorisation have
more tangible outputs
and develop capability
Remarks
Lack of benefit possibly because results not
suited to organisational culture or relevant to
current circumstances.
Projects that appear to provide advice only are
less likely to be effective: there appears to be
an appetite for projects that produce tangible
results rather than just provide advice.
Stakeholders exhibited the least interest in the
CONOPS project, possibly because it is the
most abstract and has longer term benefit (ie,
less tangible now in relation to pressing
concerns). The inception of the new single
ANSP has changed this because it is
recognised that it will help in the definition and
organisation of the core business of the new
ANSP.
Desire to undertake
and complete tasks
without aid
4.5
Potential impediment
possibly for the for
the CONOPS project
because an internal
ATM Masterplan is
being developed;
there may be some
sensitivities with
respect to the
sectorisation project
because of project
already initiated.
RISK PROFILES
there is either no effective method of assessing and stating the risk of any change
(either forced or prospective) or else, there is an existing method but, it is not
generally well known or understood; and
there is no birds eye view of the consolidated strategic risk profile versus the risk
appetite of organisations.
Both of these factors need to be in place to manage not only risk at an organisational
level but also to manage change; these two factors are very much interrelated.
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The development of a safety case should be a necessary part of both change and risk
management. Any future changes, such as airspace changes, should not occur unless
under the control of a recognised change management methodology, such as Project
Management, and subject to rigorous hazard analysis as part of a safety case.
Situation - Anecdotal
Hazard Level
Unacceptable
ALARP
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Controls
Low
Given all the other circumstances
outlined in this document, the
organisational controls that are
available to manage this risk are
inadequate.
Medium
Given management endorsement, a
simple SOP, and safety training this
could occur quite rapidly.
31
No
Situation - Anecdotal
Hazard Level
ALARP
ALARP
Controls
Medium
A conservative approach and
theoretic calculations might assist.
Low
Unless this occurs it will lead to a
continuation of the adhoc
development of ATM; however, it
wont directly affect safety except
that disparate and incompatible
systems limit the capability to safely
handle unusual circumstances.
Each of the risk categories defined in the table above are also depicted graphically in
Figure 16 and Figure 17 below.
Figure 16: Risk Assessment
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4.6
The results of the synthesis of workshop and interview outcomes, review of Indonesian
regulatory and Indonesian and international standards, guidance and other relevant
material, as well as review of the key findings were all considered when developing the
Scope of Work (SOW) for each of the required projects: Development of a CONOPS,
Capacity Analysis, and Resectorisation.
The three (3) SOWs are self-contained documents and each has been treated as a
separate deliverable. Note that each SOW also includes project objectives and key
performance indicators in relation to the projects.
The SOWs are discussed further within the context of Project Implementation in the
following chapter regarding project implementation.
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INTRODUCTION
The lifetime of the Re-sectorisation project will be shorter than the time-span required
for implementation of the changes recommended by the project. There are several
reasons for this:
The effort required for full implementation would be greater than the available
using only the available resources of the agencies concerned.
The introduction of new technology (ATM the new eJAATS and JAATS systems;
navigation Performance Based Navigation; and surveillance ADS-B) may mean
that further airspace and route changes are beneficial / required following initial
changes;
Change may be required (for example, to procedures) following the new ANSP
starting operations.
Therefore, ongoing FTS will be required beyond the life of the Capacity Analysis
project: for the Re-sectorisation project; and for other airspace and /or airport studies.
Ongoing route changes will also be required as demand changes in the medium and
longer terms.
The Concept of Operations should, under normal circumstances, remain unchanged for
some time; however, with the abnormal circumstance of the formation of a new ANSP
this may not be the case. The new ANSP may wish to modify the CONOPS in some
fashion after it becomes operational.
The implementation of these projects has to take these factors into consideration.
5.2
5.2.1 Objectives
The objectives of each of the projects are:
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To develop the skills, expertise and experience through education and mentoring
of local staff in the subject areas of the particular project.
To develop the skills, expertise and experience in the Change and Risk
Management and the preparation of Safety Cases.
To develop SOPS, that suit local requirements, as needed for undertaking project
tasks and obtaining approval for implementation of the outcomes. This should
include the development of metrics that validate the benefits of the changes.
5.2.2 Approach
From the above it can be seen that the potential for changes after the Proposed
Projects are completed is considerable. In fact, these projects are largely about
introducing expertise and change management. Therefore, rather than merely
producing: a CONOPS; some data and reports from a Capacity Analysis study; and a
revised route structure and revised airspace sectorisation, it is better to focus upon the
development of local capability for ongoing local (non-aid funded) projects - to
continue where the IndII-sponsored projects leave-off.
Development of capability is also desirable from the point of view of the local
stakeholders, both on a personal and organizational level. Because of this the local
agencies should more readily and easily take ownership of the project products. It is
also desirable from the funding agencies point of view in that it limits the funding
required for each project but gives greater ongoing benefit.
The SOWs for these projects have been developed around this approach. With the
orientation of the projects directed towards the development of capability, there are a
number of additional phases in each of the projects (except the CONOPS project):
inducting and, possibly initially educating, some of the local staff; developing Standard
Operating Procedures for various phases of the project; education or mentoring
concerning change and risk management, development of safety cases and, possibly,
regulatory approval processes; implementation planning (although this might be
included anyway); and project hand over.
Some of the necessary labour resources for the more labour intensive parts of the
project, which do exist in both the Capacity Analysis and the Re-sectorisation projects,
should come from local staff. This should offset some of the work in the additional
phases. It is in the consultants interest to make sure that this happens.
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35
provides management within the local agencies with a better understanding of the
projects and should allow them to better manage their resourcing for the projects.
It is expected that consultants tendering for the project might suggest alternate
phasing and deliverables but such alternatives should provide similar outcomes.
5.3
The interdependencies, requisite ordering and the urgency of the Proposed Projects
are outlined in the table below.
Table 13: Project Prioritisation
Project
Concept of Operations
Estimated Effort
Required &
Timeframe
Effort required is
estimated to be 9
person months plus
some time for a local
consultant and
project
management.
The elapsed time for
the project would be
4-6 months.
Capacity Analysis
Effort required is
estimated to be 11
person months plus
some time for a local
consultant and
project
management.
The elapsed time for
the project is
estimated to be no
less than 6 months.
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Project
Re-sectorisation
Estimated Effort
Required &
Timeframe
Effort required is
estimated to be 18
person months plus
some time for a local
consultant and
project
management.
5.4
A summary of estimated resources and costs is shown in the following table. The costs
are based upon IndII standard rates for consultants; travel (assumed to be travel
to/from Australia); accommodation; and per diem allowances. Included are allowances
for: a part-time Indonesian aviation consultant who has appropriate local knowledge; a
full-time Indonesian administrative assistant; project management part-time project
management; and an allowance for management overhead.
Project
Concept of
Operations
Projected Costs
Estimated costs are
AU$365,000
Costs are calculated
based on:
1 part time project
manager;
2 consultants (average);
1 part time local
consultant;
1 admin assistant;
per diems + travel +
management overhead
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Experience of Resources
Project Manager experience with aviation
agencies and project management
experience
Two or more consultants with experience
developing CONOPS for ATM systems
more than two experts may be required
depending on subject matter areas of
consultants
One local consultant with experience with
and knowledge of the local agencies, ATM
systems, airlines, etc
37
Project
Capacity Analysis
Projected Costs
Estimated costs are
AU$445,000
Software Cost estimated
at AU$250,000 +
AU$30,000 for software
training no travel is
included with the training
Costs are calculated
based on:
1 part time project
manager; 1 consultants;
1 junior consultant (for a
data gathering and
input);
1 part time local
consultant;
1 admin assistant;
per diems + travel +
management overhead
Re-sectorisation
38
Experience of Resources
Project Manager experience with aviation
agencies and project management
experience
One senior consultants (with back up by one
junior consultant) with experience in
airspace and aerodrome FTS
One local consultant with experience with
and knowledge of the local agencies, ATM
systems, airlines, etc for part-time
involvement during various phases of the
project
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INTRODUCTION
Metrics to be used as design constraints as part of any resectorisation works are most
likely to be agreed following completion of capacity analysis, whilst also taking into
account the constraints and opportunities associated with ATC facilities and resources.
With regard to analysis of total Air Traffic Management (ATM) system capacity, there
are three generic methods of assessing airspace and facility capacity:
This section discusses the measurement of ATM system performance using methods
other than Fast Time Simulation (FTS)3 because FTS is proposed as the method to be
used for the Capacity Analysis project itself. The rationale for providing an overview of
more simple, alternate methods to provide information to the DGCA and the ANSP
organisations on methods that may be used by them in the intervening period (prior to
commencement and completion of the proposed Resectorisation project).
The discussion focuses upon two different approaches, used for different purposes, for
measuring the performance of an ATM system. These are:
A set of Key Performance Indicators that can be used to monitor the performance
of the ATM arrangements (routes, sectors and ATC procedures) in terms of
common performance characteristics.
The first of these approaches is appropriate as a tool for technical analysis to be used
in airspace or air route studies. This focuses on simple measurement of ATC procedures
and the physical properties of the airspace and it ignores many other factors. The
subject of the second approach is a set of measures of aspects of system performance
that taken together, and used over time, can be used as a management tool. These
Tools that might be used for Fast Time Simulation (FTS) are not considered in any detail in this
report. This topic is covered in some detail in a separate report (Briefing Paper: Airspace
Capacity Assessment Methods and Tools) produced as part of Project #290.
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6.2
BACKGROUND
6.3
There are various means of calculating theoretical capacity from ATC workload. Some
examples are described below.
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ICAO Sector Capacity measurement can be based on the DORA TASK or the
MBB methods. These are referred to in the Air Traffic Services Planning Manual
(Doc 9426), Appendix C. DORA TASK relies on FTS whilst MBB requires many inputs
and complex mathematical computations.
FAA - Sector capacity is defined as the optimum number of flights in a given sector,
over a specified period of time, which can be managed safely and efficiently. This
method uses the following algorithm:
o For each 15 minute period, determine the average sector flight time, in minutes
by observing the number of flights in a sector in a 15 minute period.
o Add the number of minutes each flight spends in the sector and divide that by
the number of flights during this period
o Multiply the average sector flight time in minutes by 60 seconds to get the
average sector flight time in seconds
o Divide the average sector flight time in seconds by 36 seconds. This 36 seconds
is a value established for use in the United States by human factor experts and
represents the average time a controller interacts with a flight while in a sector
6.4
N = ( m m)-1
The variables in this equation are as follows:
Methodology to estimate airport and ATC Sector capacity ICAO SAM refer
http://www.lima.icao.int/eDocuments/ATM/ATFM/4ATFM%20Calculation%20Guide%20Airpo
rt%20and%20ATC%20Sector%20Capacity%20Eng.pdf
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m:
m:
If and m are replaced with the average flight time of the aircraft in the
sector (T), this formula can be replaced with a simpler version:
N = T ( m)-1
The values of factors , T, and m can be obtained empirically.
For example, we can consider T= 12 minutes, m = 9 seconds, = 60%, =
6, which gives a number of aircraft N = 8 simultaneously controlled by the
controller in the given sector. In other words, in this sector and under
these conditions, a controller would be expected to simultaneously
control a maximum of 8 aircraft.
This methodology might be used as a starting point for any simulation exercise for the
following reasons:
However, care should be taken in using it as it can give inconsistent results. In the
above example:
o If one considers a 12 minute period in which the demand is at maximum
capacity for the whole of the period (that is, as one aircraft leaves the airspace
as another enters unlikely but it avoids complications in the calculations)
o Each aircraft requires 54 seconds of communication (m = 9 seconds x = 6) so
7.2 minutes are required for communication; hence
o Sixty percent of the 12 minute period is required for communication so there
cant have been 6 0 percent available for planning
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Note also an apparent discrepancy: simply rearranging the formula gives the following:
N ( m) T-1 =
The left hand side is the percentage of total time communicating with all aircraft.
However, the ICAO study team defined to be the percentage of time available for
planning.
6.5
This demonstrates the application of the above methodology to busy Indonesian ATC
sector with some sample data taken from AP II. This is an example only and a full
analysis would need to be conducted complete with some form of sensitivity analysis;
however it does serve to show the order of magnitude of the issue.
To simplify the calculation it will refer to Upper Semarang Class A airspace within
Jakarta FIR along the routes of W16 and W45 (refer to Figure 18 below Profile of
Upper Semarang (US) sector) which is considered one of the busiest route in Asia.
(Other considerations are: there is generally good surveillance and VHF coverage;
appropriate ATC automation within JAATS; and high reliability of ground-to-ground
coordination communication between Jakarta and Ujung Pandang Centres.)
The same formula to calculate sector capacity will be:
N = T ( m)-1
Figure 18: Profile of Upper Semarang (US) Sector
Source: AP II
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6.6
ADDITIONAL METRICS
Whilst the metric above is an example of how we can capture an important but single
metric for baselining and the on-going measurement of performance of sectorisation,
it is not the only metric that could be used. It is necessary to have a range of indicators
to order to obtain a cross section of performance against a number of result areas,
each of which are important in having a holistic view of the sectorisation.
It is recommended that the following three result areas be adopted in that they are
broadly recognised within air navigation service providers (ANSP). Examples of Key
Result Areas (KRA) can be found within the Civil Aviation Navigation Service (provider)
Organisation (CANSO) reports.
Safety
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Another is the set of indicators are those that show efficiency and effectiveness. These
areas refer to operational performance; however, they are two different aspects to the
same operational situation, they can have multiple metrics, and they are sometimes
confused. A dictionary definition of these terms is listed below:
Effective (adj.) Adequate to accomplish a purpose; producing the
intended or expected result.
Efficient (adj.) Performing or functioning in the best possible manner,
with the least waste of time and effort.
In an operational sense, a metric for efficiency (of an ATC sector in terms of ATC
workload) would be the metric covered above (the Brazilian method); maximum sector
occupancy. However, this is also a safety indicator, and so the value used for the metric
should contain a buffer. An accepted practice in systems is to pitch system load at 70%
of theoretical total capacity and so the maximum sector occupancy should be modified
accordingly.
Effectiveness has a different context in that it also looks at the maximum sector
occupancy with a view to the least possible delay to the overall ATM system.
According, the metrics here can refer to holding time or additional time in sector due
to (self induced) delays.
Safety metrics can also be based, in part on sector occupancy. Exceeding theoretical
sector occupancy is a significant indicator that would require management to research
underpinning reasons for this. It may be a resectorisation is required, or it may even
mean the metric is wrong.
6.7
46
Planned Outcome
To meet industry
standards for the cost of
delivering Air Traffic
Services for the Asia
Pacific area.
Scope
All operational Air Traffic
Control staff within the
ACC including direct
supervision.
Metrics
1400 IFR flight hours of
aircraft in the FIR, per
operational ATC Officer
per annum.
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Key
Performance
Area
Planned Outcome
Scope
Metrics
Efficiency
Effectiveness
Average planned
time=Average actual time
in sector.
Traditional Approach:
No incidents when
operating at more than
70% of maximum
theoretical or FTS derived
Capacity for that sector.
Safety
Traditional Metric:
Measured average over 3
busiest hours.
SMM Ed 3 Metrics:
Scope by Individual
Sectors, which also
permits aggregate results
for FIRs.
Refer to latest ICAO
SMM for guidance
material.
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CHAPTER 7: CONCLUSION
This chapter contains a brief summary of conclusions.
7.1
There is an increasing need for each of the three proposed IndII Projects. The particular
needs and urgency for each project are:
CONOPS: the new single ANSP will need a CONOPS to assist in organising the
operational components of its business. This is very urgent as the formation new
organisation is starting to take place. There is also some urgency derived from it
being a pre-requisite for the Re-sectorisation project;
Re-sectorisation and Revised Route Structure: There are two imperatives for this
project: safety and efficiency. Both these attributes of aviation in Indonesian, which
also affect international and over-flight operations, will deteriorate as the volume
of air traffic continues to increase. So urgency derives from the need to prevent
any catastrophic accidents; and
Capacity Analysis: This is required to support the revision of the route structure
and re-sectorisation.
The underlying requirements for these projects will not be fully satisfied within a
realistic project timeframes. So capability needs to be developed within the Indonesian
agencies to allow (potential) ongoing development of the CONOPS and development of
it into concrete plans, ongoing capacity analysis to support ongoing revision of the
route structure and sectorisation as traffic requirements and technology
implementation change over time. Developing this capability requires the involvement
of local agency staff in each of the projects.
Additional developed capability in the areas of risk assessment, safety case
development and change management would be highly desirable side products of
these projects as it appears (from anecdotal evidence concerning existing local
projects) skills in these areas are lacking. Also, because of the working arrangements of
local staff outside resources are necessary to bootstrap capability in these areas.
7.2
POTENTIAL DIFFICULTIES
Many of potential difficulties are briefly mentioned in the chapter Key Findings. Briefly
they are:
48
Local staff involvement: Local staff have the commitments of their normal
operational responsibilities. This may not allow sufficient involvement in the
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Changing organisational environment: The introduction of the new singe ANSP will
mean that the existing ANSPs and some staff within DGCA will be distracted by
work on formation and other taskforces. There will also be some distraction caused
by competition between the two existing organisations for positions and power.
Suspicion about foreign aid projects: There is a natural suspicion about some aid
projects following earlier failures, some duplication, and possibly too many aid
projects aimed at giving advice and/or recommendations only.
7.3
While there are difficulties as outlines above, there are also factors that will contribute
to the success of the projects. These are:
Enthusiasm for the Projects: There is considerable enthusiasm for the projects
amongst senior management within most of the agencies. This is partly because of
the nature of the projects (they are seen as being very necessary) and because they
offer the promise of developing local capability.
Use of local resources: This has the potential to lessen workload on the consultants
undertaking the projects, allowing them to focus more on a mentoring role. Not
only is it a good method for knowledge transfer, through the commitment of local
resources by stakeholder agencies it will also foster buy-in; essentially converting
their enthusiasm to tangible buy-in and better ongoing commitment.
Tangible nature of the results: Unlike many other aid projects they are not just
undertaking investigations with the output being reports with recommendations.
While, undoubtedly, reports and recommendations will result from these projects
there will also be software, trained staff, data, risk assessments and safety cases,
implementation plans, some changes to route structure and airspace, possibly new
regulations and Standard Operating Procedures. Many of these are much more
tangible than the advice given from some previous projects and therefore provide a
more substantial value proposition to all parties concerned.
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ANNEXES
ANNEXE 1: STRENGTHS, WEAKNESSES & THREATS
Contextual Analysis
There are currently large levels of change within the Aviation Industry. The reasons for
these changes are both push and pull. The ATM system is stressed because of
excessive traffic and complexity. The range of newer aircraft in the Indonesian fleet
and the inevitable wish to use the advanced navigation capabilities to maximum
commercial advantage means that there is an increasing need to move towards PBN
concepts in ATM and airspace management. The demand for domestic and
international air travel is growing at a rate that is unsupportable in the long term
without major multi modal transport policy changes. In the short term the number of
new regional jets anticipated to join the fleet starting in 2013 will increase the load,
whilst overloaded routes cannot be serviced by larger aircraft because of limitations of
ground facilities outside of Jakarta.
In this environment of increasing demand, limited only by a departure slot allocation
framework at Soekarno Hatta, AP II is in the process of moving to an interim RDP/FDP
system whilst a more permanent replacement for the aging Jakarta Air Traffic Control
System can be found. There is a belief within the DGCA and ANSPs that new systems
will generate capacity where there is none today. This might be so in the longer term
but international experience indicates there is likely to be less capacity unless there is a
significant airspace reorganisation to facilitate the increasing traffic loads. In short, a
trust that technology will solve capacity problems is ill conceived without looking at the
other components of the ATM system, the people, the processes, and the airspace
architecture.
In the face of the challenges of the future, the DGCA and ANSPs have been assisted in
the past by a range of external agencies. The known range of these agencies has been
identified within this document. They range from the altruistic endeavours of friendly
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nations such as Australia and the United States to the purely commercially motivated
Governments seeking to support the commercial interests of client companies.
Whatever the motivation, the result has been a set of reports, plans, and
recommendations undertaken on behalf of and or requested by the Indonesian
authorities. These plans have been uncoordinated and together are discordant as they
represent the attitudes and positions of other ATM frameworks and cultures, and not
that of Indonesia. Apart from the examples where Indonesian ANSPs have engaged
directly with foreign ANSPs to work directly together on a problem, the result is largely
that of forgotten manuscripts gathering dust on shelves within DGCA.
The IndII ATM master plan was an excellent attempt to bring together all the disparate
requirements of ATM in document and yet it still lacks a level of policy and strategy
that will be required in the future.
This analysis supports the need for a concept document for Indonesia and
recommends a support a project to provide this document.
Technical Analysis
There is a level or urgency to address airspace and ATC capacity because the limits are
now being tested with growing demand from a high growth industry, and new airborne
technology. Anecdotal evidence shows that this is approaching the edge of safety in
some areas. In designing appropriate metrics for demand and capacity of sectors, a
Brazilian methodology was used to validate one sector. This sector is arguably the most
complex sector within both the Jakarta and Makassar FIR in that it contains high traffic
levels, converging air routes with no lateral separation, climbing and descending traffic
and a hand off to another system. The calculations for this sector indicated that no
more than 17 aircraft at any one time should be in the sector. The scoping team have
been shown radar images with up to 35 aircraft at any one time. Given that any
theoretic calculation will have to be tested empirically, it is understood that this figure
is an order of magnitude only. However, with ATC experts very uncomfortable about
the situation combined by such a large divergence between calculated and actual
traffic figures constitute a real risk and a warning that some action is required.
There are local initiatives that are before the Regulator for approval to resectorise the
current ATC high-level airspace in both Jakarta and Makassar FIRs. These
resectorisation proposals have merit and are relatively low risk in that they divide
some of the current sectors into two sectors based on relatively independent air
routes. There are no tools to simulate traffic flows and review demand and capacity so
this proposal is based on expert advice and knowledge only.
There is an initiative to implement a (dynamic) Flow Management Unit with locally
produced software; however, it is proving problematic as there are no tools to
measure capacity against demand and no SOP for the theoretical calculation of
capacity limits. There are also issues of training and rating flow control personnel.
There is an initiative to increase the capacity of the runways at Soekarno-Hatta
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aerodrome by using dedicated runways for approaches and departures and (assumed)
different control towers.
Notwithstanding the attempts to resectorise and other initiatives, they will be largely
ineffectual unless the underlying high level and Jakarta terminal air routes are
reviewed and simplified. In addition major conflict points and coordination points
should be reviewed and simplified. This could form the first step in the implementation
of PBN, but in any case it would provide a high value of return on investment rather
than a large green fields review of all airspace management. It is recognised that the
major issues in terms of demand and capacity and ATC loading occur within 200nm of
Jakarta and within an airspace corridor that goes from the Malay Peninsula and
Singapore, over Java and outwards towards Denpasar and Australia. This constitutes
some of the busiest air routes in the world. Outside these areas, traffic is currently at
relatively lower levels and well within the limits of (assumed) capacity. It therefore
makes sense to target any work around these areas and utilise the Pareto principle to
gain the best value for the investment dollar. The SOW for sectorisation refers to an
incremental approach and targets simplification of air routes and major conflict points,
as well as simplification of terminal airspace arrangements and procedures. This,
together with simulation technology will allow the Indonesian authorities to gain the
maximum capacity from the airspace at the lowest cost. It is recommended that
Airspace Reorganisation Project is progressed as soon as possible as well as a project to
facilitate the needs of understanding demand and capacity.
It is worth noting that none of the change proposals this project observed have
provided the regulator with a risk management plan or a solid form of substantiation
for the change, even though any casual technically competent observer would note
that immediate change is required. The issue here is one of approval processes and
what level of substantiation is required for changing airspace architecture.
Organisational Analysis
Currently there are several organisations providing services (ANSPs) within Jakarta and
Makassar FIRs:
DGCA
Private
The number and level of private ANSPs is not clear but understood to consist of private
traffic as well as weather advisory services for mining and similar operations. These
will, and should, continue into the future. However the situation between AP I, AP II,
and DGCA will change substantially in the future with the Law (22 of 2012) establishing
one primary ANSP. The impact on current organisations is unknown; however, the
remit and scope of the single ANSP and the timing of the changes are detailed in the
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Law. In the meantime, any changes to airspace architecture will need to be negotiated
across three organisations, noting that the current remit of DGCA is both as a
Regulator and a service provider. The current organisational structures lack of clear
SOPs, and a silo culture means that any change is difficult to achieve. This is especially
so as there are no dedicated staff for change or initiatives. Staff within the DGCA and
the Service Providers give extra time on top of their day to day duties to undertaken
initiative such as redesigning ATC sectors. The lack of resources, the current structures,
and the lack of knowledge of project and change management make it difficult and
time consuming to undertake and gain approval for any large changes.
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These are worthy objectives; however the basic building blocks of good Airspace and or
Air Traffic Management need to be put in place before this can occur successfully.
Large green field approaches carry with them a high cost and high risk.
It is recommended that any future enabling project in the short term undertake work
along the Pareto principle (commonly known as the 80%/20% principle), and
acknowledges the heuristic that 80% of most endeavours are obtained with only 20%
of the required effort or resources. That is, we should seek best return on investment
in the basic building blocks of ATM, rather than large, technically sophisticated Eurocentric, FAA NextGen or ICAO cutting edge ATM paradigms.
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ANNEXE 2: METHODOLOGY
The general approach taken in considering how the proposed three projects might be
undertaken was to consider not only the technical requirements but also the
organisational and cultural requirements and impacts. The three proposed projects are
related and the requirements and impacts for all three were investigated
simultaneously.
It was originally envisaged that the team would consist of the nominated consultants
with the assistance of identified stakeholders who could act as counterparts
representing the interests of the various aviation agencies. This approach was proved
not possible because:
The diverse and bureaucratic nature of the three key organisations made the
identification of representative counterparts difficult;
The short timeframe was insufficient for this identification process; and
The short timeframe allowed for each project individually (and even both projects
together) was insufficient for organising and conducting workshops and individual
interviews with the appropriate stakeholders (excluding time for follow-up
interviews, analysis and full documentation of the project, including development
of the Scopes of Work). Some of the reasons are the number of agencies that
necessarily had to be involved, the Indonesian meeting culture, and the
complexity and importance of the subject matter.
Past experience indicates this approach has merit and it is worth pursuing in the
future. This requirement for a counterpart team approach has been included in the
Scopes for Work for all three projects which are anticipated to result from these
projects (IndII Activities #289 and #290).
Whilst there was no impact on the outcome and deliverables of Project #289, the
parallel and interrelated Project #290 was delayed by ill health of the nominated
consultant and this changed the original scheduled dates for some activities and
contributed to delay in completion of both projects.
Work Plan
An overview of the work plan for the original six-week project period is provided below
in Figure 20.
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Figure 20: Original Work Plan and Schedule for Project 289 (Project 290 was similar)
Activity
Responsibility
Project Plan
Off Site
(PA&JMc)
Prepare Stakeholder
Meetings
On Site (NM)
Mobilise
PA
Analysis
Team
Team
Team
Deliver Report
Team
Week
1
Week
2
Week
3
Week
4
Week
5
Week
6
Work originally planned to be done off-site was actually conducted onsite in Jakarta.
The on-site work was started early with the intention of avoiding an overlap with
Ramadan. The detailed project planning, in accordance with the project management
methodology, was undertaken on site. This original planning indicated that the work
could be undertaken within a six week period; however, subsequent project activities
were modified because of the need to accommodate activities within the timeframe
for project 290. The detailed project schedule for Project 289 (see Figure 21) shows the
planned activities and milestones and the actual outcomes.
Figure 21: Project Schedule - Actual vs Baseline
The project outcomes have been successful in that all project deliverables have been
provided in accordance within cost constraints, with an appropriate quality and with
only a slight delay.
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Stakeholder Engagement
Preparation for, and obtaining acceptance of the SOWs, required significant
consultation with various stakeholders. Interaction was undertaken utilising several
methods as follows:
1. Workshops
2. Personal Interviews
3. Visit to ATS facilities
4. Structured Questionnaire
A detailed stakeholder engagement plan was utilised to plan and monitor these
activities. This plan is provided within 0. An assessment of stakeholders and their
reactions during this project is provided in the main body of the report.
Workshops
An initial workshop to identify and inform stakeholders at both the Business and
Operational levels of the relevant organisations was planned. When onsite, the
consultants used a more direct approach of conducting interviews with some of the
relevant management. A record of these interviews is provided in ANNEXE 5:.
An executive level workshop that focused the organisational responses required,
meeting both external stakeholder and customer expectations into the future was
planned and delivered on the 5th of July. This provided insight into the specific
requirements for the development of a Concept of Operations and issues relating to
Capacity and Airspace Management. The minutes and outcomes of this workshop are
contained at ANNEXE 5: Minutes of Workshops, and Formal Meetings
and Presentations.
An Air Traffic Management workshop that focused on the operational, technical and
organisational requirements for Re-sectorisation and Capacity Analysis was delivered
on the 12th of July. This provided insight into the specific technical requirements for a
future resectorisation review in accordance with the Concept of Operation and utilising
the results from the Capacity Analysis. This workshop attempted to have a
comprehensive cross section of industry in attendance including airlines users, ATM
providers, the regulator, and professional organisations. The workshop was only
partially successful in that it did not attract the attention of as many stakeholders as
hoped, but it did lead to meaningful discussion and dialogue with some parties.
A workshop was envisaged as an exit exercise. It was decided that the aims of this
exercise could be more effectively achieved using a presentation on the proposed
Scopes of Work to individual key stakeholders. A presentation was made to the
Director Air Navigation, the sub directors of Air Navigation. Several discussions were
also held with the Secretary General.
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Once draft versions of the Scopes of Works were available these were presented to
various stakeholders for review. Received comments were incorporated in the final
versions.
Records and minutes of workshops were used in the analysis that led to the Scopes of
Work and are provided at ANNEXE 5:.
Questionnaire
A questionnaire was distributed to all staff invited to attend the formal workshops to
elicit opinions concerning the issues and risks associated with airspace management,
capacity and demand. Only one response was received despite repeated attempts to
have them returned. This is discussed further in ANNEXE 4:.
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for #290 whilst located in Australia. This was only possible because the subject areas of
both projects are closely interrelated.
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STAKEHOLDER MANAGEMENT
INTRODUCTION
Goal
To facilitate and effectively manage stakeholders and changes associated with the IndII
project 289, a scoping study for resectorisation and other airspace management
activities, and the development of a comprehensive Concept of Operations for
Indonesia.
Objectives
The objectives of the stakeholder engagement plan are as follows:
1. Recognise and define the key stakeholders, and guarantee timely involvement and
buy-in from them. This includes relevant unions, other business units and external
parties.
2. Develop and implement an appropriate project communication plan aimed at
ensuring suitable and effective communication between project members, key
stakeholders and all employees within DGCA, AP I andAP II.
3. Work closely with the DGCA, AP I and AP II staff and provide advice and support as
necessary on Air Traffic Management and Change Management.
4. Identify and manage the barriers and issues that may provide opposition to the
successful and complete implementation of the project(s) being scoped.
5. Recognise, and act upon, opportunities to enhance the open exchange of ideas and
information between members of the project team and stakeholders.
Engagement Strategy
Project #289 and #290 were conducted concurrently and are interrelated. They
therefore have almost the same set of stakeholders. Therefore all public activities were
conducted together to bring about efficiencies in time management within both
projects and to avoid over exposure to stakeholders.
The team planned to engage stakeholders as follows. The activities are not necessarily
in chronological order.
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Activity
Strategy
Stakeholder communication
management plan
Management Workshop
Technical Workshop
Circulate a Questionnaire
Visit the Jakarta ATC Centre to interview both staff and engage
them.
Name
Job Title
Organisation
Role
Pak Ischwai
Director of Air
Navigation
DGCA
Director
Secretary to the
Director General
DGCA
Planning
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Name
Job Title
Organisation
Role
Deputy Director
DGCA
Standardisation &
Certification of Air
Navigation,
plus Systems & Procedures
Deputy Director
DGCA
Pak Djokom
DGCA
Director
Director of Airports
DGCA
Director
Pak Haryoso
Director of Operations
AP I
Director of Operations
AP II
President
Indonesian Air
Carriers
Association
Airline Association
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th
Please return this to IndII project office no later than 19 July 2012:
Fax:
62 21 72780517; or
e-mail:
soraya@indii.co.id
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
What are the main issues, problems and risk with the current enroute air route structure
within the Indonesian FIRs?
What do you see as the main issues, risks and problems concerning airspace management
including ATC sectorisation, airspace categories and rules of the air?
What do you think are the main issues and constraints that limit the capacity of any
particular air route or airport?
What do you think are the main issues and constraints of the current Communications,
Navigation and Surveillance (CNS) Systems relating to efficient and safe ATM, sectorisation,
airspace usage and aircraft operations?
What do you think are the main issues and constraints of the current ATC staffing and
training relating to efficient and safe ATM, sectorisation, airspace usage and aircraft
operations?
Are there any proposals or planning for new air routes, CNS, sectorisation and ATC staffing
and training?
Which organisations provide forecasts of airport and airspace movements?
Which organisations provide computer simulation and modeling of current and forecast
airport and airspace movements? What are the simulation and modeling tools used?
Given your comments to the questions above, do you have any suggested actions or
changes to systems or processes to address your concerns.
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ANNEXE 5: MINUTES
OF
WORKSHOPS,
AND PRESENTATIONS
AND
FORMAL
MEETINGS
Peter Atkins
Novaro Martodihardjo
John McCarthy
Maria Renny, Riffa Hadiya Santi, Revy Petragradia, Annety Ngabito, Soraya (IndII)
Overview of Workshop
This was the executive level workshop to allow the consultants to develop project
scope and tender specifications for future projects. These future activities will provide
the RI with an ATM Concept of Operation, a revised airspace configuration including
sectorisation and air route structures, and the tools and methodologies to measure
and manage capacity, as required by the ATM Master Plan.
Briefing Points:
Mr. Peter Atkins explained that the ATM Master Plan is an excellent a start but lacked a
strategic policy level concept of operations. The approved ATM Master Plan
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What is the status of air routes and the associated airspace management including
ATC sectorisation
What plans do you have in place to address any issues, forecast increase in
movements, risks or changes to procedures and technology?
Who is responsible for any of those plans and what is the expected timeframe for
them?
Apart from the ATM Master plan, what other plans are being used for strategic
guidance for example the blueprint plans.
Who is responsible for any of those plans and what is the timeframe?
Table 16: Key Comments by Stakeholders
Person /
Representative
1.
HASAN BUSHORI:
DAN (ATS routes and
SID/Starr Section)
Summary of Comments
Indicated that ATS route network within Indonesia needs to be
reviewed considering domestic traffic has increase substantially over
the last 5 to 10 years. In addition the traffic patterns no longer
represent the city pairs on the air routes.
Performance Based Navigation has a plan but there has been no
implementation to date.
2.
ERVITA:
DAN (Airspace
Management)
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#
3.
Person /
Representative
AULIA:
DAN (ATS
requirement and
certification)
4.
DAMA, ANGGA,
HARI, BUDI, DAN
(CNS Infrastructure)
Summary of Comments
He mentioned that some domestic routes are already saturated and
need to be reviewed. This could done by implemented new routes or
exploiting new technology to reduce separation and thereby increase
route/airspace capacity.
According to him, there is a need to develop new requirement on
minimum ground systems on specific route to support reability of
communication and surveillance. There is no such identified plan or
programme.
In preparation to ATN implementation DGCA is conducting technical
testing on ATN with Singapore. No specific test report.
There is a need to improve surveillance capabilities in order to
support increasing of traffic density on airspace without radar
coverage. A question about any policy to implement ADS-B in the
near future. Indonesia will mandated ADS-B out for 2016 and an AIC
on the requirements is expected to be published sometime in 2013
(no specific date identified).
Ervita added that DAO is involved on ADS-B implementation.
5.
6.
7.
BAMBANG P SIGIT /
SRI MARDI ISMOYO,
(Angkasa Pura II
HO)
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Person /
Representative
Summary of Comments
having trouble with assimilating flight plan data into the tool as there
are so many errors in flight plans received.
Even though it is planned to commission the tool in 2013, there is no
concept on its use, training on flow control or standards.
DGCA and AP I/AP II had already started to calculate airspace capacity however
they still need further guidance and some example.
DGCA/AP II has reviewed the existing ATS route structure, however there has been
no interaction with AP I.
Sectorisation has been reviewed within Jakarta FIR (for Upper Sector) however no
indication when it will put into operation as they are awaiting approval from DGCA.
Peter Atkins
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Name
Position
Organisation
Ulul Azmi
DNP
DGCA
Captain
Cpt. Hasfrinsyah
Captain
Aji Mulyono
Inspector
M. Imam Maski
Head
DPC IATCA-Jakarta
Gatot Prianggodo
General Secretary
DPC IATCA-Jakarta
Moeji S.
Executive Secretary
IATCA-Jakarta
Robert Triaswanto
Supervisor ACC
AP II
Rusmanto
AP II
Didi Purwadi
Manager ATS
AP II
Mursit B.U
ATC
AP II
Djoko Roempoko
MLLP
AP I
Overview of Workshop
This was the working level workshop following on from an Executive level discussion
on the 5th of July to discuss airspace management at a technical level with staff from
DGCA, AP I, AP II and other stakeholders including airlines and industrial organisations.
It was to allow the consultants to develop project scope and tender specifications for
future projects. These future activities will provide the RI with an ATM Concept of
Operation, a revised airspace configuration including sectorisation and air route
structures, and the tools and methodologies to measure and manage capacity, as
required by the ATM Master Plan.
This workshop was undertaken using the following format.
The facilitator led a structured discussion and attempted to involve all participates
so both the facilitator and the other participants understood the issues and
problems regarding Air Space and Capacity Management.
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Discussion Points:
1. Airspace Management:
The integrated nature of air routes, sectorisation and capacity issues were explored
and discussed. Participants had the opportunity to explain technical and non technical
issues relating to Air Traffic Management and Capacity.
2. Concept Of Operation:
The facilitator led a discussion on the nature of the current ATM Master Plan and the
relationship between it and other documents as well as some perceived gaps at a
policy level.
The following are some brief points extracted from the discussion:
1. Air Routes and Sectorisation
Robert- AP II:
In relation to ATS Capacity, there are many issues that are a problem and lead to a lack
of capacity. These range from a lack of systems for flow management, no tools or
methodology to measure capacity and demand, and a lack of training. There are long
term plans but what is needed is a short term solution to some of the problems. One
solution which they are keep to progress quickly is the simple resectorisation of upper
airspace to solve a sector overlod situation. This plan needs to be approved by DGCA.
Communication and surveillance systems
Waya Fadini-DGCA
Waya questioned how to develop metrics for effective communication and the
standards against communications. Also, which is the best infrastructure for
communication and surveillance for any given airspace volume.
Andri-DGCA
Andri stated that a problem was the technology within modern aircraft is more
sophisticated than the technologies within the ground based system
Training
Hasfrinsyah- Indonesia Pilot Federation/FPI
Inadequate facilities for airspace management whilst input from aviation is all about
technology. For the application of these technologies training is required and he
thought that was a point there better training and procedures could greatly assist in
better capacity. How this was to be achieved seems to be a big issue. For example, he
believes that control tower staff would benefit from more training to assist in their
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ability to manage the traffic effectively. Training, procedures, and technology should
be walking together.
2. Flexible Air Space
There is some good co-ordination with the Military on some routes. However it would
be much better if air routes could cross military airspace as it would be much more
efficient
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Peter Atkins
John McCarthy
Novaro Martodihardjo
Annetly Ngabito
Soraya
The meeting was well attended by ATC and other staff from AP II.
Name
Position
Bapak Saryono
Azmi Jamalullail
Rusmanto
Arief Widyantoro
Didi Purwadi
Manager ATS
Isyar
Yuda
ACC Jakarta
Ali Sodikin
ATC
Muhamad Sobirin
Rahman
Robert Triaswanto
ACC Supervisor.
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Overview of Workshop
This meeting started with introduction from IndII regarding the purpose of the meeting
then continued with presentation from ATC, led by Bapak Saryono (General Manager
ATC) regarding the current state of staff and equipment at AP II and regarding issues
and current plans for improvement of ATM within the Jakarta FIR. Key points of the
PowerPoint presentation are listed below:
Working hours
ATS Services Area have two runway: two flight right and two flight left (25 and 07).
The runway is about 3 km with runway capacity/hour is 52 until 74 (in peak
season).
Presented traffic movement graphics (2-8 July 2012), 1118 landing excluding Halim
Perdana Kusuma Airport, Halim itself has 150 landing.
Presented ARR & Dep. Traffic Movement graphics, there are more than 1900 traffic
hour/day flying over 245 height including Aceh and Pekan Baru. Each data available
in each area.
Facility, include:
1. Communication, VHF/HF Ground to Air, AFTN, Ground to ground (Airband),
VCCS (VSAp), Telecommunication.
2. Data movement of aircraft 2000-2001
3. Example traffic movement/ day, 52/hour
4. Forecast traffic movement (data 2003-2010), 2010-2030 only 3% and 20102012: 11%
5. Comparison of flight schedules, July 2011-July 2012 average increase of 7%. On
July 8, drop on the chart occur due to the school holiday.
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A-SMGCS
c. ACC-En Route
New Flight Plan Format, new format capable to 130 hours in advance
but Indonesia will using 150 hours, the operator behavior is not stable
yet.
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ATC is currently anticipating the addition of a flight with a project designed to 2013.
Azmi, ATS operation coordinator
There are many more flights handled by ATC than are theoretically possible. The
runway theoretic capacity is 49/52 and in fact there were 72 flight movements per
hour at peak times. This will become a greater problem between 16 August and 3 Sep
this year as there 200 extra flight planned by 3 airlines.
2. Arief, ACC Controller:
Commented that the capacity issue can, in part, be blamed on airlines as they do
accept slot times they have no intention of abiding by. They accept an early slot and
delay their flight plan causing overload at peak times. Azmi, ATS operation coordinator
He requested aid by way of tools and assistance to guide the resectorisation process.
3. Arief, ACC Controller:
What is the next step will IndII do after this meeting is completed.
Asked for assistance with tools for capacity and sectorisation and training in those
tools.
How to make the airlines adhere to the schedule they made, what steps can IndII take
to help cope with the planned delay that resulted in traffic?
Pak Novaro provided an answer that one way to overcome this is to reject any delay
that comes with a regulation based on the CISR because AP I has the right to reject for
the sake of discipline and based on existing legislation (CISR), strict to the regulation.
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not yet been approved by DGCA, as there is insufficient justification or a safety case to
support it as yet. (Note our previous commitment to DGCA to provide advice on safety
case processes, which should assist this.)
Note the above point and a common them for tools and training on capacity and
sectorisation. The team undertook to provide some advice as soon as possible
regarding the sectorisation and other capacity/demand tools and training, as well as
ensuring it will be scoped within the (new) project.
The team provided a list of data they would be interested in gathering to support the
scoping study. AP II undertook to discuss this with the team on a convenient day in
week beginning 30 July and provide whatever information they could to support the
scoping study.
An observation was the keen discussion and participation from AP II staff and our
thanks to them for their active participation.
Organisation
Response
DGCA Secretariat
None
Sub-Directorate of Air
Navigation
Sub-Directorate of Air
Navigation
Comments provided
AP II
Comments provided
AP II
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REFERENCES
The following documents have been referenced as they were useful resources to guide
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CANSO. (2012). Air Navigation Service Provider Performance Results 2006-2010. Canso
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CANSO. (2012). Accelerating Air Traffic Management Efficiency: A Call to Industry. Feb
2012. CANSO & Boeing.
Daily Aircraft Movement 00.00 12.59 And 13.00-23.59 April 2012.
De Nijs LLJ, Thijssen BA, Ruigrok RCJ, The Use of Aircraft Intent Information in the
Ground ATM System: Initial Results of Real-Time Human-In-The-Loop
Simulation Experiments. FAA-Eurocontrol Workshop on The Impact of
ATM/CNS Evolution on Avionics and Ground Systems Architectures, June
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Toulouse
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June
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ICAO Doc 9689. (1984). Air Traffic Services Planning Manual, Part IV (ATS Organization,
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ICAO Doc 9854. (2005). Global Air Traffic Management Operational Concept.
International Civil Aviation Organization (ICAO).
ICAO Doc 9859. (2009). Safety Management Manual (SMM). 2nd Ed. International Civil
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ICAO Doc 9859. (2012). Safety Management Manual (SMM). 3rd Ed (advanced edition).
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ICAO. (2010). Annex 6, Part 1 - Operation of Aircraft, International Commercial Air
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Jgare, P. (2011). Airspace Sectorisation Using Constraint Programming. Department of
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MATSC, AP. UPG Upper Sector: Review and Proposed Airspace Restructurisation,
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MATSC, AP. UPG Upper Sector: Review and Proposed Airspace Restructurisation,
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Wahlgren, B. A., Adolfsson, L.G., Albr, P., Holkenberg, H., berg, M., Rolln, J. & Karyd,
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