Documente Academic
Documente Profesional
Documente Cultură
10
275
INTRODUCTION
In Chapters 8 and 9, the focus of discussion related to how companies generate
and screen ideas for further development. At the next stage, which this chapter
examines, the screened ideas are developed into more fully specified concepts,
which are evaluated for their appeal to the potential market segments for whom
they are intended. Concept development and testing involves designing and presenting representations of the proposed new product to a sample of its intended
customers. However, as has been discussed previously, these stages are by no
means discrete, and much of what happens during concept development is conditioned by the nature of the idea generation and screening which has already
taken place. The objective of concept development and testing is to estimate market reaction to a product idea before committing substantial funds to its physical
development. In other words, this stage may be viewed as an extension of idea
generation and screening, in that those ideas screened to be of potential value are
developed and screened further in order to determine which idea specifications
have greatest appeal to potential customers, in the light of competitive offerings.
The more detailed the information gathered at this stage, the greater the chance
of reducing total development costs, as alternative concepts can be derived and
tested more cheaply than alternative, prototype, products. If a full commitment is
made to market research at this stage, the prototypes developed will, in theory,
more closely match customer needs and preferences, requiring fewer costly
amendments later on.
The dual tasks of concept development and testing are intimately related.
The first articulations of the new product concept will be derived from the activities carried out during idea generation and screening, but these articulations can
be reworked in the light of customer reaction, and retested, until an acceptable
concept is modelled, which can be progressed to physical development. This
in-stage iteration is shown in Figure 10.1.
The concept testing cycle highlighted is repeated until the company identifies
the concept which exhibits the acceptable level of appeal, both internally and
externally.
The number of iterative cycles at this stage depends on the way in which the
original ideas were generated and screened. For example, a very large number
of ideas screened may still not have been subjected to any formal evaluation
by the market, in which case there is greater scope for an initial concept formulation to be unsatisfactory as a number of versions for the target market may have
to be drawn up. These initial formulations will have to be modified and retested.
If, on the other hand, ideas are generated and screened on the basis of market
research techniques such as perceptual maps, the most appealing dimensions
might well be present in the first concept formulations and fewer iterations are
consequently required.
As was discussed in Chapter 9, there is a lack of consensus regarding the delineation of screening and concept testing in texts on NPD. In some cases, discussion
276
FIGURE 10.1
FIGURE 10.2
277
a concept attractive to the market, which can progress on to physical development and eventual market launch.
The remainder of this chapter is divided into three sections. The first looks at
the various purposes of concept testing, the second deals with the managerial
decisions to be made in developing concept tests, and the final section discusses
the specific types of tests that might be used.
278
FIGURE 10.3
279
280
Concept testing is not always appropriate in every situation. For example, concepts expressing new art and entertainments are difficult to test, as the success
or failure of the final result is difficult to determine, or indeed to re-create.
J.K. Rowlings hugely successful Harry Potter and the Philosophers Stone was
turned down by numerous publishers with her agent taking well over a year to
sign a deal with Bloomsbury. She was, of course, a first-time novelist, so the commercial impact of her writing would have been more difficult to assess. In the
film world, attempts to account for the uncertainties of what drive success
have mixed results. The Great Waldo Pepper had several tried and tested success
ingredients: proven director, Hollywood star in the form of Robert Redford, for
example. Commercially, it failed. A second category is where the concept is
based on a new technology which the market does not understand and for which
there are no reference points. Consumer acceptance of virtual-reality leisure
products may fall into this category. A third category of concepts that is difficult
to test reliably describes those expressing a new physical experience such as taste
or smell.
Despite these exceptions, concept testing is widely accepted to be an important
element in successful NPD. If concept testing is deemed worthwhile and procedures are aimed at all three sets of purposes, then the information collected,
centred as it is on needs, will inform later stages in the NPD process, such as test
marketing and launch. This is an important issue, as it shows how, relatively
early on, information regarding eventual segmentation and positioning is being
collected.
The next section describes the relationship between needs and product concepts
that must be understood if the purposes of concept testing are to be achieved.
281
to concept tests, the internal picture is not complete without an indication of how
the new product concept performs at this level. Recently, however, Saren and
Tzokas (1994) have questioned the utility of this view of the product in a way
which is particularly relevant for our discussion of the link between user needs
and product concepts. The basic criticism is that conceptualization of the product
such as Kotlers will attempt to define the product in isolation from the
customersupplier context:
It regards the product as an autonomous unit which can be de-constructed and
understood in its basic elements. But this is fundamentally wrong since the mere
understanding of the existence of a product for consumption is realised, not by
its material nature (which sometimes need not be there at all), but by its symbolic
meaning that the society and individual consumers and producers have ascribed to it
by means of culture, use or experience and their interaction with each other. (Saren
and Tzokas, 1994, p. 904)
Instead, the authors propose that a product is the outcome of a continuous
tri-partite signification process between buyers, suppliers and the object. This
outcome the pluri-signified product is shown in Figure 10.4.
The significance of this alternative view is that it highlights the need for
product developers to focus not only on needs and expectations but also on their
underlying determination and on the relationship between the customer, the
FIGURE 10.4
282
object and the supplier. This, it is argued, is of benefit to those engaged in new
product development, as it introduces elements into concept testing which are
usually ignored (company reputation, whether or not consumers usually buy the
companys products) and over which the company has considerable control.
FIGURE 10.5
283
they exist. For example, potential buyers of industrial heating and ventilation systems cannot readily and reliably evaluate the promise of greater comfort control,
more cost savings without an idea of at least the attributes that will deliver the
promise, and more usually a sketch of the material properties of the system, their
functioning (manipulation) that will shape these attributes. In consumer
durables, the benefit of dry as well as clean dishes from a dishwasher can only be
evaluated, with some idea of the attributes which will accomplish the benefits.
In this case the nature of the attribute would need to be explained in terms of
materials, say a hot-air blower. Finally, a promise of benefits may be evaluated
if the attributes are amplified in terms of manipulation, rather than material
properties. For example, research has shown that in the UK meat pie sector,
women dislike jelly in cold pies (Grocer, 9 July 2005, p. 31). A process of production that reduced jelly content might be evaluated alongside the resultant
jelly-free meat pie. A final example of a new concept is the Guinness Surger, a
first innovation since the 1989 launch of widget cans. The Surger is intended to
deliver a perfect pint in the home. It comes with a plug-in unit that sends an
ultra sonic sound through the beer, to replicate the way in which the pint settles
when poured from draught in a bar. Although already launched (Marketing Week,
February 2006, p. 5), it remains to be seen whether the promise of the perfect
pint is in the minds of consumers, realized by the Surger unit and whether this
will help revitalize the declining sales of Guinness. What is of relevance here is
consideration of how the concept might have been tested before launch, to gauge
its potential for meeting its objectives.
These examples are driving towards the conclusion that a concept must be
presented in such a way that the benefit, and one of the components of the potential products attributes, must be apparent to the potential customer. Consider,
for example, trying to have customers evaluate a new concept four-hour train
journey from Edinburgh to the English side of the Channel Tunnel. While the
284
benefit is clear, it is an idea which cannot be tested because the market would
immediately ask questions about how this service might be accomplished. If their
reactions to the idea were positive, but we added that the journey included
a flight from London-City to the Tunnel, their reactions might change. In
sum, a new product concept is not complete until it is articulated in terms of
both attributes and benefits. Consumers can then evaluate whether they feel
the benefits fulfil the need and whether the attributes deliver the promised
benefits. This concept, however, is but a starting point. In order for concept
testing to begin, a number of decisions must be made. These are the subject of
the next section.
Dening objectives
The overall purpose of a concept test is likely to vary from one concept to
another. Earlier, broad purposes of concept testing were introduced: to assess
likely purchase intentions, to make improvements to the new product concept,
285
and to profile the market. The relative importance of each purpose will influence
the type of concept test carried out. Each is examined briefly below.
It is usual to consider the top two boxes responses in deciding the concepts
potential. The percentage of respondents checking these can then be compared to
any existing category norms. Alternatively, the percentage may be subjected to
adjustments based on different levels of consumer awareness, distribution levels
and other levels of promotional support. In either case, marketing managers must
take a view on how likely the percentages are to be a realistic prediction of a real
product launch. Many use past experience to adjust the percentage up or down.
Research by Taylor, Houlahan and Gabriel (1975) suggests that a concept should
receive 8090% of the responses in the top two boxes to encourage further
development work. Further, studies by Morrison (1979) and Kalwari and Silk
(1982) suggest that purchase intention does correlate with actual purchases.
A vital consideration, particularly relevant in assessing market potential
for fast-moving consumer goods, is to take account of repeat buying. Clearly,
high trial will not always be followed by levels of repeat buying which would
realize potential.
286
Market proling
The third major purpose (objective) of concept testing is to assess the characteristics of likely buyers and non-buyers. At the most basic level, this will involve the
collection of demographic information, but may extend to include information
such as typical buying criteria, psychographic profiles, product usage patterns,
and buying processes used. This kind of information helps to interpret analyses
of the intention-to-purchase date, thereby leading to refinement of the concept
under development and preliminary information for targeting, positioning, promoting and launching the product.
It is important that the balance of these three possible objectives of concept
testing is specified at the outset. Depending on these objectives what the tests
are to achieve their nature will change. Diagnostic objectives may require both
qualitative and quantitative tests to be carried out. The actual types of questions,
whether focused on one concept or on more than one, whether the concept
statements given to consumers include a positioning signal, essentially flow
from the objectives.
Initial choices
In addition to defining these broad objectives for the concept tests, the remit must
be specified in relation to two important initial choices: points of comparison and
target markets.
Points of comparison
Faced with a new product concept, a potential customer has to decide how to
assess whether the attributes deliver the promised benefits. Those benefits must
287
be set in the context intended by the developer. If, for example, we wish to test
the concept of cheese-flavoured potato bites, customers must understand against
what they are evaluating. A number of possibilities arise. First, it could be that no
points of comparison are sought, that it is the intrinsic notion (core idea) of cheese
plus potato in a bite size which needs to be evaluated. The danger with such an
approach is that different customers do use competitive perspectives to make
their evaluation. Some may have cheese-flavoured crisps in mind, others have
take-away finger foods such as chips or nachos, while still others may compare
the concept with the huge variety of frozen potato variations available as a convenience meal complement. If the developer defines the cheese-flavoured potato bite
as a new snack concept, then the points of comparison must encompass other
snack opportunities. Failure to specify these points of comparison means that
developers cannot understand what the concept is accepted (or rejected) as. This
has implications, not only for the decision to continue or kill the development,
but also for how the product is eventually positioned. Moreover, there is the
increased influence, in the UK, of the Food Standards Agency and its concern for
food promoted to children to bear in mind when considering positioning and
testing of the concept.
Target markets
The envisaged target market affects the marketing context into which the
new product is placed. For example, cheese-flavoured potato bites may have
several target audiences: children, food providers for children itself a huge
category which might be subdivided further, to include parents (working and
non-working), nursery and infant schools, crches and snack-eating adults, who
again might be subdivided into health-conscious and convenience-conscious.
Each of these targets would require a slightly altered type of test, in search of
what is rated and the points of comparison. Another issue relating to the target
markets introduces the concept of expert consumers. Faced with the criticism
that confronted with a radically new technology, customers do not understand
what needs the technology could satisfy (Tauber, 1974, p. 22), some advocate the
use of innovators as the target market for concept tests (Ortt and Schoormans,
1993) or expert consumers (Schoormans, Ortt and de Bont, 1995). This is paralleled in the industrial market by the work of von Hippel (1988) and Foxall (1988)
who advocate the involvement of lead-users (experts) in new product development. The selection of the target segment does not happen once only throughout
the NPD process. As we have seen in Chapter 7, the strategic context for NPD
sets some broad parameters in which to consider target markets, whilst both idea
generation and screening often involve research with a specific target market.
Indeed, gaps in the market necessarily define target (and non-target) segments.
Further on in the NPD process, the stages of product testing and test marketing
require further specification of target markets.
Once these broad issues have been delineated, the more specific but equally
important issues of deciding on how to present the concept and collect the data
are broached. The next section deals with the first of these.
288
verbal presentation
monochrome line drawing
colour line drawing
photograph
storyboard
mock-up
computer simulation.
A verbal presentation is the most basic type of representation. Verbal presentation generally gives an incomplete picture of the product concept (which may
result in unreliable findings). Consider the following statement describing a
smart radiator valve control:
The new radiator valve control consists of a small (4 cm 4 cm 5 cm) cuboid,
which is easily fitted to the existing valve by a simple screwing action. It has an
attractive push button surface which controls the amount of heat generated by
the radiator. The control is programmable by temperature, hour and day of the
week, and can shut itself off when draughts (for example from open windows)
are detected.
A monochrome line drawing can be used on its own (see Figure 10.6) or with
accompanying text.
A colour line drawing can be used to portray more of the feel of the product (see
Figure 10.7).
A photograph of a mock-up is normally used at the concept development phase.
Also, where a new product is introduced from a foreign market, photographs
(or even product packs) may be available to evaluate the concept.
A storyboard is frequently used to evaluate advertising concepts. It allows a
presentation of the product in the context for which it is designed.
A mock-up of the pack, shape or general form can be used but at the concept
stage this is not a working mock-up. This type of representation gives a customer a better feel for the product he or she is being asked to evaluate.
A computer simulation or graphic is used to represent the product. This has
the advantage of being able to be rotated, enlarged, with the overall designs and
features highlighted as the evaluator wishes.
FIGURE 10.6
FIGURE 10.7
289
so there is an effect on the answers produced. Dolan (1993) contends that a more
embellished format of presentation will elicit more realistic evaluation. Where
there is more information needed to convey the concept of the new product to
prospective consumers, the greater the value of using pictorial or mock-up representation, since more information can be understood visually than verbally. In
290
addition, where a product is likely to be viewed from one angle only, a pictorial
(or verbal) description will suffice. For example, a hob designed to be built-in is
generally viewed and used from one position only (above) and might be readily
represented by a picture. On the other hand, a free-standing cooker has several
points from which it is viewed and used the hob, the grill, the oven, and so on, and
therefore it may be more comprehensively represented by a mock-up. A number
of issues affect the choice of method of representation. These are dealt with below.
Presentation
Consumer evaluation of
Format
Size
Use
Target market
1. Verbal
No clear indication
Mid-day refreshment
1835 female
Evening drink
45+ female
Highball glass
Evening drink
Mid-day refreshment
(summer)
2535 female
3550 male/female
4. Colour photograph
Pint glass
Beer substitute
Small bottle
Picnic accompaniment
291
received after the first or second product concept tests, the resultant sales might
be very different from those achieved if the company carried on to the fourth
product concept test. This example underlines the fact that concept tests are
evaluating perception, and the potential role of the test itself in determining the
reliability and/or validity of the data. It follows also that the actual product must,
once developed, be in accordance with the concept presentation or a different
market reaction might be obtained at a later stage in the NPD process. In most
cases, however, only one or two presentation formats will be chosen owing to
cost constraints, so great care must be taken with the eventual choice.
292
293
more attractive features. For example, the concept test for a jug kettle must
describe not only its capacity and overall shape and dimensions, but all features,
including whether or not there is a water-level indicator, an automatic switch-off
mechanism, whether it is cordless and the location of the onoff button as any
one of these might cause the reaction to the product to be negative.
294
FIGURE 10.8
Concept test results for the spin fryer (source: Page and Rosenbaum, 1992)
The Internet now offers much greater scope for visual depiction, text, 3-D view
and indeed animation in concept testing. Moreover, as we shall discuss later in
the chapter, the costs of carrying out concept testing in this way can be dramatically reduced. Research by Dahan and Srinivasan (2000) used the example of
bicycle pumps and tested the preference of consumers using several different
visual depictions of the products and differing amount of animation. Their
results showed that this type of representation can provide a close match to the
type of results which might be expected from physical product testing.
The next section focuses on the choice of data collection techniques.
295
time and freedom to express likes, needs, preferences and opinions, without forcing a reply, as in quantitative methods. This, in turn, yields high levels of validity
and delivers greater understanding to the developers in the dimensions along
which eventual customers will judge their product. This is particularly relevant,
since concepts are likely to be multi-attribute. The depth approach afforded by
qualitative methods allows a fuller understanding of the relative appeal of these
attributes as well as their collective contribution to the whole concept. However,
qualitative techniques require skilled fieldworkers and researchers (as do quantitative techniques, as discussed below) to avoid the pitfalls of leading consumers
or misinterpreting their meaning. In addition, their intensiveness usually eclipses
the possibility of carrying out research with large samples, which is problematic
where the purpose of the tests is to generate representative estimations of market
preferences and possible market shares.
Quantitative techniques, on the other hand, which cover survey techniques
such as structured personal interviewing, mail and telephone surveys, are less
intensive and can therefore be conducted on a much larger, random scale, with
the resultant data being more easily generalizable. In reality, however, because
concept testing is about assessing attitudes, perceptions, intentions and so forth,
it is valuable for researchers to be able to explain issues and probe customers, so
personal, structured interviewing is the most commonly used data collection
method. Mail surveys in particular have a number of drawbacks: it is difficult to
obtain full answers to any open-ended question regarding product dimensions;
response rates to mail surveys are generally low, casting doubt on the representativeness of the responses obtained; respondents usually have no opportunity
to ask questions about the concept; and, finally, the problem of the effects of
question wording and question order on the responses given cannot be easily
avoided. Telephone interviews suffer from limited opportunities to use any
graphic representation, unless combined with mail contact, and the interview
usually has to be kept rather short.
Research, however, by Jamieson and Bass (1989) showed that with multiplewave telephoning, despite a reduction in numbers of respondents on each wave,
the profile of respondents remained constant and the market share prediction
levels were satisfactory. There is still, however, little evidence that concept testing
is carried out via telephone interviews elsewhere.
Location of tests
Given that the most common data collection method for concept testing tends to
be the personal, structured interview, decisions regarding the location of such
tests have to be made. The choice is usually made between carrying out the interviews at the respondents home, or in a neutral location such as a shopping mall,
a public thoroughfare, or a hotel seminar room.
Industrial companies may also execute concept tests at trade fairs or exhibitions,
despite the drawback that competitors are present. Public places, such as the
296
street, shopping malls or hotel seminar rooms (where people from the street may be
invited), are usually varied to cover different times of the day as well as different
days of the week, in order to generate samples that are as representative as possible.
Question format
In addition to decisions regarding the type of data collection strategy to be used,
the types of question asked must be decided upon, in terms of their content and
form. As discussed above, their precise content is in large measure dependent
upon the objective of the concept test. Therefore, where the tests aim to identify
the proportion of likely users, the questions will be different from where tests
are focusing on diagnostic issues. The types of question that relate to different
purposes will be returned to shortly. There is, however, an overriding choice
governing the type of question. Specifically, developers must choose between
monadic and comparison questions.
FIGURE 10.9
FIGURE 10.10
297
terms of overall likes and dislikes, and in terms of likes and dislikes of specific
attributes. These questions would satisfy the diagnostic aims. For the purchase
intention aims, each sample would be asked how likely they would be to purchase the product. The results from each group are then compared and inferences
are drawn regarding which product concept has achieved highest acceptance.
The argument in favour of monadic testing posits that the test captures the
reality of the purchase situation, since, faced with a choice of products, consumers compare products in their own minds. However, the disadvantage is
that it is difficult to assess whether differences in scores for products are due to
the fact that different people are testing them, rather than due to a consensus
view that one product concept is better or worse than another. Using the same
people to test different product concepts resolves this problem, and is called
comparison or comparative testing.
In comparison testing, the same group of respondents is asked about two or
more concepts. Several groups of respondents may be used in order to check the
reliability of the results. Figure 10.10 depicts this approach.
One advantage of comparative testing is that since the same group of respondents is being used to test different new product concepts, the differences in average scores for each can be more reliably allocated to real perceived differences,
rather than differences among the groups of assessors. In addition, some people
favour comparative concept testing as they believe it reflects more accurately the
purchase situation where a potential buyer assesses a new concept in relation to
ones he or she already knows.
Question wording
Both the diagnostic and PI objectives can be pursued by both monadic and
comparison questions. For purchase intention to be assessed monadically, the
question wording might take the form of a checklist, as set out earlier under
298
____________
____________
____________
Concept A
Concept B
Brand C
Brand D
Highly
relevant
Not at all
relevant
Believability
How believable is the claim that the Memo-flash-drive can record 1 minute of spoken
notes which can be transferred to your hand-held, laptop or desktop or phone?
Completely
believable
Not at all
believable
299
Uniqueness
Check the box that most closely fits the description you just read:
An ordinary
flash-drive
A unique
flash-drive
Inherent interest
Please write, in the space provided, how interested you are in the concept of a
flash-drive which will record spoken memoranda.
________________________________________________________________________
________________________________________________________________________
________________________________________________________________________
Or: please check the box that best describes how interested you are in the flashdrive described above:
Extremely
interested
it is a good
idea
Not at all
interested
it is a poor
idea
Good value
for money
Poor value
for money
300
Highly
relevant
Not at all
relevant
Conjoint analysis
The key purpose of conjoint analysis is to evaluate how potential customers
judge products in term of their attributes and to examine the extent to which
301
they might trade one attribute for another. The term covers a number of data
collection and analytical techniques, which allow researchers to optimize the
combination of product attributes in terms of the overall evaluations that potential customers make.
In order to explain how it works, we will use a much simplified example of
a small manufacturer of decorative containers for food and beverages. One of
their ranges uses wood veneers, which are fashioned into lightweight drums of
a variety of sizes. Recently, the company wished to enter the market for speciality
cheeses, a product category where packaging is an important indicator of quality.
In order to design their product for this market, the company had two fundamental design decisions to make. The first related to the nature of the identification of the contents: labels or screen-printing. Screen-printing is more expensive.
The second design decision related to the nature of the finish given to the
wood, where three possibilities exist: natural, stained or lacquered. Thus, there
are 3 2 = 6 combinations. In order to illustrate how conjoint analysis might
provide insights into how these attributes might be combined, we can take the
hypothetical individual rankings on each of the six combinations:
Product identication
Container nish
Natural
Stained
Lacquered
Labelled
Screen-printed
3
5
6
2
1
4
The preferred combination, therefore, from this individual is the screenprinted, stained container, while the least favoured combination is the lacquered,
labelled container. These rankings are then assigned a utility value which, it is
assumed, describes the perceived utility of the specific combinations, and from
which the perceived utilities of each attribute can be deduced. Thus, the rankings of the overall product variations (in this case, six) allow the researchers to
disaggregate the scores to derive the perceived utility of each attribute. (These
utilities are also known as part worths.)
In assigning utilities, we can code the rankings so that the least attractive combination gets 0, and the most highly ranked gets 5:
Product identication
Container nish
Natural
Stained
Lacquered
Labelled
Screen-printed
3
1
0
Average = 1.3
4
5
2
Average = 3.7
Average = 3.5
Average = 3
Average = 1
302
Since both product identification attributes are rated with each of the finish
attributes, it is possible to use the average score of each attribute across the
ratings as an indication of its utility or part worth. In this case, the individuals
utility value for each attribute is as follows:
Identification: Label 1.3, Screen-printing 3.7
Container finish: Natural = 3.5, Stained = 3, Lacquered = 1
From this we can see that lacquer is the least favoured finish and that the preferred product identification method is screen-printing. However, were this individual typical of a market or market segment, the company might wish to know
to what extent a lacquered finish might be acceptable along with a screen-printed
product identification. Using the average utility scores we can estimate this.
The decrease in utility value from having a lacquered finish is at least 3 1 = 2.
The increase in utility value from having screen-printed product identification is
3.7 1.3 = 2.4, which is larger than the decrease in utility value perceived by the
lacquered finish. Therefore, a trade-off might be possible.
The simplicity of this exercise is misleading. In reality, trade-off or conjoint
analysis programmes are capable of handling far more levels of far more
attributes of concepts. This can be done in one of two ways. The full-profile
method may be used, where potential customers respond to complete descriptions (or full profiles) of the product. However, the term full-profile is rather
misleading, since it is rarely possible to ask potential customers to rate all the
possible combinations of attributes. Even if only four attributes were being
addressed, where one attribute consists of two levels and the other three consist
of three levels each, the number of combinations would be 2 3 3 3 = 54. If it
were even possible to have respondents evaluate all 54, it would be tedious in the
extreme for them. It is more usual, therefore to use a subset of these concepts.
This is called a fractional factorial design. It is still a full-profile method, because
it is possible to contain all of the attributes in the study within the description.
The second method is called the paired comparison method, where respondents choose between two concepts, giving the one they prefer. Again, fractional
factorial designs can be used, to avoid having to ask respondents to judge every
possible combination of pairs. Whilst a detailed discussion of analytical methods
for these techniques is beyond the scope of this book, a brief rsum of the decision steps in conjoint analysis is appropriate. Dolan (1993) presents a useful table
of the decision stages in conjoint analysis, shown in Table 10.2.
For stages 1 and 2, the factors influencing the decision have already been
discussed for concept testing in general. With respect to conjoint analysis in
particular, it is important that all the salient attributes those that might have an
impact on the eventual decision to buy the product are included. For stage 3,
consideration must be given to the extent to which respondents can provide more
reliable judgements by ranking preferences on attributes of alternative concepts,
or by rating the alternatives independently in respect of the attributes. This
relates back to the discussion regarding monadic and comparative tests and the
degree to which a rating, on, say, liking of an attribute can be made accurately
TABLE 10.2
303
Stage 1:
Stage 2:
Stage 3:
Stage 4:
Stage 5:
Source: Dolan, Robert, Managing New Product Development Process, 1st Edition, 1993 p. 116.
Reprinted by permission of Pearson Education, Inc., Upper Saddle River, NJ.
without specific reference points being set by the researcher. Stage 4, deciding on
the criterion, is related to the overall purpose of the study, as discussed above,
but carries the additional decision as to whether the criterion to be measured is
preference or purchase intention (PI). The distinction is not a trivial one; while
a respondent may prefer the aesthetic appeal of a Bang and Olufsen television, he
may at the same time have no intention to buy one because of its price. Stage 5, choice
of analytical method, is related to the chosen input data, as described above, and
the purpose for which the data are intended. At the stage of concept evaluation, four
purposes are implied for conjoint analysis: analysis of attributes, competitive
analysis, market share prediction and market segmentation. It is not the intention
of this section to describe in detail the analytical methods, which are discussed
further in Dolan (1993), Urban and Hauser (1993) and Moore and Pessemier (1993).
The extent of usage of conjoint analysis has not been subject to investigation in
Europe. However, Wittink and Cattin (1991) surveyed the use of the technique in
over 1,000 projects during a five-year period from 1981 to 1985. Their findings
showed that a majority of users were in consumer goods manufacturing. The
most common purposes for which the technique was used included concept
identification, competitive analysis, pricing, market segmentation and repositioning, and multiple purposes were used for studies.
The most common form of data collection was the personal interview, and the
most common form of construction was full profile. Both rating and ranking
response scales were most typically used.
The decisions involved in conjoint studies affect the accuracy of results. One
of the common criticisms of conjoint analysis in concept testing is that data might
be somewhat artificial as they are typically gathered in isolation from existing
products. This limits its use in market planning because it is unrelated to market
structure (Acito and Hustad, 1981). On the other hand, an article by Katz (2004),
drawing on industry experience has suggested that once a concept has been
304
defined, with all the features that are believed to address a customers need,
it is useful to assess how they will be traded off against competing features by
the target market, and at what price. Katz further suggests that it can be used
effectively as a forecasting tool in this regard.
In addition to the traditional type of conjoint analysis, there are several proponents of a modified procedure called hybrid methods that have appeared
(Green, 1984; Acito and Hustad, 1981). This is briefly described below.
305
standard products selling at 3,000. Second, there is Atlas new product which
exhibits the same power levels as the standard products, at a reduced level of
noise. Its price is 3,500. The new concepts proposed by Gaia have either (1)
increased power and reduced noise levels, costing 4,000, or (2) standard power
and reduced noise levels, costing 3,500. Then respondents would be asked to
rate their purchase intentions among existing products, as well as their preference based on different combinations of attributes of the concept. This allows the
calculation of preference or PI weighting for attributes, which can be used to calculate potential market shares. These can then be compared with the PI on existing procedures to examine the effect of the new concept on Gaias aim, and
competing existing products.
This procedure entails different results than a conventional conjoint analysis.
Specifically, its focus is not exclusively the trade-offs consumers or buyers will
make between one attribute and another. It extends to consideration of the
impact of the new product on other sales in the market. In addition, the results
are not centred on an individuals value system, but on an aggregate intention
to buy or preference indicators, which may be measured on a number of different scales, including ranking, rating and constant sum techniques.
As with standard, conjoint analysis, there is a limitation in respect of the number
of features that may be tested. In addition, the customer assesses the product
given the representations developed by the company. It follows, therefore, that
highly abstract representations may lead to results which should be interpreted
with caution.
306
SUMMARY
This chapter has introduced a number of issues concerned with the development
and testing of new product concepts. It began with an explanation of where the stage
fits in the NPD process, and where overlaps and reiterations exist in relation to
previous stages. Next, the various purposes of concept testing were explained,
with emphasis on the centrality of customer needs and preferences to these
purposes. The nature of a new product concept was defined and the process and
decisions in designing a concept test were described. Finally, three more specific
techniques associated with concept development and testing were introduced.
After the information is collected and analysed, a major decision whether to
continue with the development must be made, before making a commitment
to full physical development of the product. The physical development of the
product is a costly business, and, as mentioned previously in this book, the more
up-front homework that can be done the more efficient and effective the entire
development will be.
The next chapter, therefore, details the kinds of financial decisions that must
be made.
307
QUESTIONS
1. Describe the differences between testing concepts and screening ideas.
2. Examine the differences between product characteristics and customer needs.
3. Explain how the components of a product might or might not satisfy
customer needs.
4. Why are needs important in concept testing?
5. What are the different objectives that concept testing might meet?
6. Describe the factors that affect the choice of product presentation in a
concept test.
7. Compare the data collection methods for concept testing.
8. What are the advantages and disadvantages of monadic and comparative
testing?
9. Describe the concept of part-worths in conjoint analysis.
10. Do you consider QFD to be an improvement on other concept testing
methods? Why or why not?