Documente Academic
Documente Profesional
Documente Cultură
Sector
India
June 2015
Produced by:
-1-
Table of Contents
I. Renewable Energy Sector Overview
III.Solar Power
1. Sector Highlights
2. Main Indicators
3. Forecast
4. Economic Importance
5. Energy Production
6. Energy Consumption and Installed Capacity
7. Renewable Energy Consumption
8. Renewable Energy Capacity
9. Renewable Energy Capacity By Region
10. Prices and Costs
11. Bank Financing
12. Foreign Direct Investment
13. Manpower
14. Regulatory Framework
15. Government Policy
1.
2.
3.
4.
V. Main Players
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
Subsector Highlights
Government Policy
Consumption
Installed Capacity
Installed Capacity By Region
Forecast
Subsector Highlights
Consumption
Installed Capacity
Photovoltaic
-2-
M&A Deals
M&A Activity
TATA Power
TATA Power (contd)
Orient Green
Adani Power
NTPC
NTPC (contd)
NHPC
Indias fiscal year runs from Apr 1 to March 31. Thus, FY 2015 (also called fiscal 2015) means Apr 1, 2014 Mar 31, 2015. In Indian documents, FY (fiscal) 2015 is also labeled FY14-15.
The remaining nine months of calendar 2015, i.e. Apr-Dec, belong to fiscal year 2016.
In order to better align with calendar years and make international comparisons more meaningful, in this report, EMIS has chosen to label data by the year in which most of the result occurred.
Unless otherwise stated, in this report, 2014, for example, means the 12 months between Apr 1, 2014 - Mar 31, 2015, or what in India is referred to as FY 2015.
When sources have not provided details on their year labeling policy, year labels in graphs and tables featured in this report appear as provided by the source.
-3-
Sector Highlights
Sector dynamics
Indias renewable energy sector witnessed quick expansion in the last decade. Installed capacity almost tripled during the 11th five year plan (20072012), increasing from 7.7GW to more than 24 GW in 2014. The strongest expansion was registered in wind energy capacity addition (increase of
10.3GW), followed by small hydropower plants (up by 1.4GW). Solar power generation also shows good growth potential. Policy switches and
unresolved structural problems have recently deterred sectoral growth. For the 2012-2014 period, the achievement of targets for generation of
renewable energy was 76.7%, 84.2% and 108% for each of the three years. The underperformance in the first two periods was due to
discontinuation of some incentives under the wind power sector and delay in obtaining forest area clearances and court cases in some of the states
under small hydropower sector. With the restoration of the benefits in FY 2015 an overachievement of target was reached.
Challenges
Among the problems in the sector are also the lack of appropriate regulations for trade with renewable energy outside the state of generation and
the inadequate grid connectivity, which hinders fast and full evacuation of the produced power. Regulatory issues include the differences in the
transmission charges among states, difficulties in land acquisition and statutory clearances.
Providing financing at reasonable cost is also a challenge. With about 70% of the funding coming from debt, the average interest rate is above 13%.
Thus the high cost of renewable energy generation relative to other conventional sources turns into important limitation for the sector development.
Active government support programs and the recent inclusion of renewable energy in the priority sectors for credit, might provide decisive liquidity
support.
Ownership
As of April 2015, more than 70% of the aggregated installed power capacity in India is in the public sector (about 30% in the central sector and
about 41% in the state sector). The ownership structure is quite different when it comes to renewables, as almost 90% of the capacity is private
sector owned.
A quarter of the renewable power capacity is installed in Tamil Nadu, 17.8% - in Maharashtra; 14% - in Gujarat; 12.6% - in Karnataka.
-4-
Key Indicators
Main sector indicators
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2.0
2.1
2.1
2.3
2.5%
2.4%
2.3%
2.3%
1,208
1,712
730
560
1,093
33.8
40.9
48.4
55.2
61.5
18,455
24,504
27,542
31,692
35,777
21.7
26.4
31.2
34.8
38.4
13,065
16,179
18,420
20,150
22,465
69.9
189.5
236.2
480.6
731.0
11.8
14.0
15.9
17.5
18.7
2.3
3.9
4.2
5.0
6.4
CEIC; CEA; BP statistical review of energy, June 2015; 1-Indias Central Statistics Office has started publishing GDP data using FY2011-2012 as a
base year. So far only data for FY12-FY15 is available under the new methodology (NAS 2011-2012); 2- calendar years
Any redistribution of this information is strictly prohibited.
-5Copyright 2015 EMIS, all rights reserved.
Source:
Sector Forecast
1,258,221
1,348,399
1,443,326
1,544,936
1,653,700
1,770,120
1,894,736
The prospects for the sector development are very good, due to the
population dynamics and favourable macroeconomic fundamentals.
The conventional power is experiencing difficulties, due to regulatory
burdens and fuel shortage and renewables are getting more
attractive.
After coming into power in 2014, the current government
acknowledged renewables power as one of the priorities for future
promotion. The energy targets to be reached at the end of the 13th
programing period (i.e. March 2022) were pushed up. The good track
record of the winning party in solar power development resulted in
expectations for quick revival and expansion of the sector and first
signs for upward dynamics in the segment are visible.
1,174,074
1,095,555
Comments
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
Solar
Power
Wind
Northern Region
31,120
8,600
2,450
4,149
Western Region
28,410
22,600
125
2,875
Southern Region
26,531
28,200
1,675
2,612
Eastern Region
12,237
135
244
North-Eastern Region
1,205
615
Total
99,533
60,000
5,000
10,000
Source: Working Group on Power for the 12th Plan; MNRE; 1-BMI e- estimation, f-forecast
Any redistribution of this information is strictly prohibited.
Copyright 2015 EMIS, all rights reserved.
-6-
58.6
14.1
45.2
4.4
4.6
4.9
5.1
5.3
9.9
5.5
8.1
5.6
13.3
Capacity (% of
total capacity)
13.5
12.0 12.7
9.7
7.9
Economic Importance
909,349
996,277
857,952
861,591
7.5%
6.6%
936,913
4.9%
2011
2012
GDP, INR bn
2013
Change, yoy
2014
2.13
2013
2.26
2012
Supply
2013
2014
Balance, %
The deficit has gradually declined and halved between 2012 and
2014 in both actual and relative terms. The balance improved to -4%
in the period Apr 2014-Mar 2015.
2014
share of GDP
2011
2.29%
INR bn
2010
2012
-8.7%
Comments
2.40%
2011
-8.4%
Demand
2.47%
2.07
-8.5%
1,030,785
98.65
2.02
-3.6%
1,068,923
91.78
959,829
86.10
1,002,217
82.06
-4.2%
-7-
Energy Production
Industrial Production Index (FY2005=100)
190
179
177
180
170
170
172
165
172
10th Plan
180
177
8th Plan
150
140
5th Plan
138
130
120
2010
2011
2012
2013
Overall Index
2014
844
14,226
5,440
10,202
4,579
3rd Plan
4,520
2,250
c
Electrisity
28,895
21,401
4th Plan
2nd Plan
Apr'15
21,230
1,643
6th Plan
149
19,930
19,015
7th Plan
155
23,736
21,180
9th Plan
165
160
54,964
2,297
4,685
2,490
1,250
200
Comments
The constantly increasing energy demand in India resulted in strong rise in electricity production. The countrys share in world electricity generation rose
from 3.6% at the beginning of the century to 5.1% in 2014. The increase could have been even stronger in case the government capacity addition targets
had been met.
Almost 60% of the installed capacity is in coal based power plants, which keeps coal as the key fuel for electricity generation. However, the official forecast
for coal demand in FY2017 shows requirement/availability gap of almost 200 mn tonnes, suggesting huge dependence on coal import, possible pressure
on power generation and rising importance of other energy source such as renewables.
Source: CEIC; BP statistical review of energy, June 2015;
Any redistribution of this information is strictly prohibited.
Copyright 2015 EMIS, all rights reserved.
-8-
Natural gas3,066
Coal- 360
Coal- 3,882
Natural gas46
Hydro- 879
Hydro electric30
Renewables14
Nuclear
energy- 8
Nuclear- 574
Renewables317
Oil- 181
Oil- 4,211
Diesel,
994MW 0.4%
Comments
Hydro,
41,632MW
15.3%
Renewables,
35,777MW
13.1%
Coal,
165,258MW
60.6%
Nuclear,
5,780MW
2.1%
-9-
USA
China
Germany
5.1%
4.9%
4.7%
4.4%
4.2%
3.7%
Spain
Brazil
Italy
India
UK
Japan
55.2
48.4
40.9
45.4%
33.8
8.6
17.4%
10.0
2004
2005
14.6
2006
17.7
20.8%
2007
21.1
19.5%
2008
27.9
32.4%
20.9%
2009
Consumption, MW/h
2010
2011
Source: BP statistical review of energy, June 2015; * - renewables excl. hydro power; data for calendar year
Any redistribution of this information is strictly prohibited.
Copyright 2015 EMIS, all rights reserved.
21.0%
- 10 -
18.5%
2012
13.9%
2013
11.5%
2014
Solar power
50
940
1,200
1,370
Bagasse cogeneration
Waste to energy
Biomass power
Small Hydro
80
46
500
626
1,400
1,419
9,000
Wind
Target
10,260
Actual
35,777.0
31,692.1
24,503.5
27,541.7
1,112.1
7,760.6
0.0
18.1
251.7
405.0
8.5
902.0 1,628.4
6th Plan 7th Plan 8th Plan 9th Plan10th Plan11th Plan 2012
2013
Solar
2014
- 11 -
Wind
Small hydro
Biomass
Waste to energy
Islands 11
Southern region
746.1
Western region
162.2
Rajastan
Gyjarat
287.4
85.0
Himachal Pradesh
678.0
Madhya Pradesh
Southern
15,117
North-Eastern
262
415.5
558.1
Maharashtra
Eastern 434
Karnataka
Tamil Nadu
524.9
Andhra Pradesh
Northern 7,157
Uttar Pradesh
Western
12,795
Northern region
Comments
The Southern and Western regions account for about 42% and 36% of total renewables capacity in India. The leading states are Tamil Nadu
(23.5%), Karnataka (12.6%), Andhra Pradesh (5.4%) and Maharashtra (17.3%), Gujarat (13.2%), and Madhya Pradesh (4.4%).
- 12 -
0
-5
2010
2011
Electricity total
2012
2013
Domestic
Commercial
2014
Agriculture
Apr'15
Industry
Comments
Regarding the cost competitiveness of the sector, a recent study by the U.S.-based Climate Policy Initiative and Indian School of Business
stated that compared to imported coal, the cost of wind power is already competitive, thus requiring no additional government support while
the cost of solar power is expected be competitive by 2019.
On the one hand, the solar energy in India currently costs up to 50 % more than power from sources like coal, according to Reuters estimates.
- 13 -
Bank Financing
Bank credit stock in power infrastructure
Comments
5,576
50.9%
5,652
4,883
4,158
42.4%
40.0%
3,309
29.7%
30.9%
2,674
27.3%
25.7%
23.8%
21.9%
1,878
17.4%
14.2%
1,244
15.4%
951
430
601
733
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Apr'15
Credit, INR bn
- 14 -
6.21%
3.80%
72.6
3.21%
1,207.7
1,711.6
730.5
559.5
1,092.7
2.54%
0.93%
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
Jan-Feb'15
Telecommunic
ations 6.9%
Computer
software and
hardware 6.0%
Pharmaceutica
ls 5.3%
Automobile
industry 5.0%
Chemicals
4.2%
4.21%
Power 3.9%
2.26%
2.12%
1.57%
92.0
2.80%
475.5
432.0
637.3
928.1
610.4
1.18%
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
Services
sector 17.2%
Jan-Feb'15
- 15 -
Manpower
Man/MW ratio at the end of the various planning periods
1,300
1,100
Transmission
900
1,082
Nuclear
866
700
7.5
7.0
Hydro
500
300
9.4
17
37
75
19
81
100
169
203
-100
12th
13th
41
Thermal
5.4
5.6
4.7
4.4
4.0
3.7
Comments
3.3
3.0
2.2
2.0
1.4
1.8
10th
1.7
11th
1.9
1.6
1.6
1.4
0.9
0.7
12th
13th
Hydro
Nuclear
Overall
- 16 -
2.3
1.1
9th
4.2
Regulatory Framework
Energy Act
2003
and
Energy
Conservation
Act 2001
Integrated
Energy
Policy
Renewable
Regulatory
Fund
Mechanism
The Energy Act combined several existing pieces of legislation and its primary
goal was to accelerate growth of the power sector.
With the Energy Conservation Act 2001 was put focus on energy efficiency,
through introducing standards, labeling and energy conservation building
codes.
The objective of the RRF includes forecasting of wind and solar power
generation, promoting bilateral trading of renewable energy, supporting the
investment in renewable energy projects and encouraging wind and solar
producers to participate in scheduling, among others.
The implementation of the RRF mechanism is delayed.
- 17 -
RECs
RPOs
The Central Electricity Regulatory Commission (CERC) determines the tariffs for renewable energy based power
generation applicable to central government power stations and inter-state power transmission. Most of the producers are
however covered by the tariffs determined by the State Electricity Regulatory Commissions (SERC). SERC set the tariff
for all renewable energy projects across the states. The incumbent power Distribution Companies (DISCOM) provide grid
connectivity to the renewable energy project sites, which usually are situated in remote locations away from major load
centers.
The Renewable Energy Certificates (RECs) were introduced in 2010 and are used for inter-state trading of renewable
power. They are used as a proof of the generation of 1MW renewable energy. The certificates can be traded through a
power exchange platform within price range set by CERS and are differentiated into solar and non-solar renewable
sources. Those certificates are time-constrained, being effective only for 365 days, which makes them difficult to get
accepted by financial institutions. The supply of energy on the REC market has increased recently, but the effectiveness of
the market (in terms of sold REC) is still low, as the purchases by DISCOM is minimal.
DISCOMs and some large power consumers are obliged to purchase minimum ratio of their total power from renewable
sources. That percentage is called Renewable purchase obligation (RPO). The long-term objective for India is RPO to
reach 15% by FY2020, but SERC set the annual targets for solar and non-solar sources among different states and thus
determine the mid-term RPO trajectory. There are, however, substantial problems with the compliance as the entities in the
majority of the states continue to remain below the RPO trajectory. In some states there was even a reduction in the PRO
targets in order to accommodate the concerns of utilities. One of the reason for the lack of demand in renewable energy is
the financial difficulties (high debt) of the state-owned distribution companies.
The discussion of possible introduction of penalties on DISCOMs as a measure to tackle the non-compliance is another
evidence that renewable energy market is still not fully operational in India.
Source: India Wind Energy Outlook 2012; The Economic Times; India Power Sector.com
Any redistribution of this information is strictly prohibited.
Copyright 2015 EMIS, all rights reserved.
- 18 -
Indias fiscal year runs from Apr 1 to March 31. Thus, FY 2015 (also called fiscal 2015) means Apr 1, 2014 Mar 31, 2015. In Indian documents, FY (fiscal) 2015 is also labeled FY14-15.
The remaining nine months of calendar 2015, i.e. Apr-Dec, belong to fiscal year 2016.
In order to better align with calendar years and make international comparisons more meaningful, in this report, EMIS has chosen to label data by the year in which most of the result occurred.
Unless otherwise stated, in this report, 2014, for example, means the 12 months between Apr 1, 2014 - Mar 31, 2015, or what in India is referred to as FY 2015.
When sources have not provided details on their year labeling policy, year labels in graphs and tables featured in this report appear as provided by the source.
- 19 -
Sector
overview
India, along with China, is among the countries with the highest wind capacity addition growth on the global market
in the past five years. Installed capacity almost quadrupled since 2006 from 6.3 GW to 22.4 GW in 2014. After
overachievements during the 10th and 11th plans, the12th plan for 2012-2016 has a reference target of 15GW.
Another scenario envisages that the capacity could reach 20GW , while 25GW is set as an aspirational target.
In India, as well as in many other countries with developing renewable energy markets, due to the unreliability of
wind power, its growing share target in the electricity mix presents operational challenges to grid operators. The
underdeveloped transmission system in the country could be a big spur for the segment development.
Market
segmentation
Indias wind industry was highly fragmented. When the market started developing, as a result of the tax incentives
and other financial benefits offered by the government, many companies entered the segment. For good part of
them the wind power generation was not a core activity and most of the producers did not have much experience in
the field, but were attracted by the possibility of tax depreciation benefits.
In the last years, there is a clear trend towards selling wind assets to generate cash and exit the non-core activities.
There is a surge of acquisitions of small wind power plants and a concentration of the market is underway.
According to a Bloomberg report, wind utilities, such as Goldman Sachs-backed ReNew Wind Power Pvt., Morgan
Stanley-backed Continuum Wind Energy Pte and IDFC Ltd.s Green Infra Ltd. unit are seeking to amass GW-scale
portfolios to reduce generation costs, in some cases to lower than those for new coal-based power projects.
- 20 -
Government Policy
NWEM
Wind power accounts for most of the renewables energy generation in India with a share of about 70%.
In early June 2014, the government announced it will support the development of the segment by launching National Wind
Energy Mission (NWEM). The NWEM was supposed to start operating in mid-2014. It is, however, still awaiting the formal
consent from the Prime Minister. NWEM will offer investment incentives, identify high wind power potential zones, ease
land clearances and regulate tariffs. It will also aim at strengthening the grid infrastructure.
Incentive
For many years, wind power government incentives have played a major role in the wind power growth. The industry could avail of
both accelerated depreciation (AD) and generation-based incentives (GBI). AD was a capital incentive, which offered faster
depreciation of 80% in the first year of the power machinery operation. GBI is an example of performance incentive. The scheme
offers support of INR 10mn for every MW of generated wind energy between the fourth and tenth year of the projects operation.
Both schemes were withdrawn in 2012 and only GBI was re-included in the budget in 2013 and extended till Mar 2017 (end of the 12th
planning period). According to market sources, the removal of subsidies, along with inadequate grid infrastructure for power
evacuation and delays in payments by DISCOM have affected negatively the capacity addition in the past two years.
IREDA
Indian Renewable Energy Development Agency (IREDA) was established by the government as an independent
specialised Public Sector undertaking under the renewable energy ministry. It is a public limited company, whose main goal
is to translate the policies of government of India into action through promoting, developing and financing new and
renewable sources of energy (NRSE) technologies.
As of March 2014, IREDA held about 8% of total wind power capacity in India.
Source: Indian Wind Tribune Manufacturers Association; Global Wind Energy Outlook;
Any redistribution of this information is strictly prohibited.
Copyright 2015 EMIS, all rights reserved.
- 21 -
Budget for
FY 2015-2016
The renewable energy ministry has revised the target for renewable energy to 175,000 MW by 2022, which includes
60,000 MW of wind power.
The following changes came into effect as of 1st March 2015.
Tariff rate of BCD on iron and steel and articles of iron or steel has been increased from 10% to 15%. The effective rate
remains the same.
For claiming BCD and CVD exemption on import of goods for mega power projects, bank guarantee will now be
required to be submitted for an extended period of 66 months instead of earlier 36 months.
Effective median excise duty rate increased from 12.36 % to 12.50 %.
Excise Duty exemption granted on pig iron SG grade and ferro-silicon-magnesium for manufacture of cast components
of wind operated electricity generators, subject to approval by the renewable energy ministry.
Basic customs duty on active energy controller (AEC) for use in the manufacture of renewable power systems (RPS)
inverters is being reduced to 5 % subject to certification by the renewable energy ministry.
The following changes came into effect with the enactment of finance bill.
Increase in clean energy cess from INR100 to INR200 per ton on coal, lignite and peat.
Effective service tax is proposed to be increased from 12.36% to 14%.
An enabling provision proposed to be incorporated in finance act for levying a 2 % Swachh Bharat cess on the value of
service on specific services.
- 22 -
Comments
183.6
158.4
56.0
USA
China
52.3
Germany
Spain
38.4
31.6
India
UK
21.3%
18.3%
31.2
38.4
34.8
26.4
21.7
2010
11.7%
2011
Consumption, TW/h
2012
2013
10.3%
2014
Source: BP statistical review of energy, June 2015; India Wind Energy Outlook 2012; * - Data for calendar year
Any redistribution of this information is strictly prohibited.
Copyright 2015 EMIS, all rights reserved.
- 23 -
China
USA
Germany
22,465
Spain
India
12,809
9,684
9,143
8,556
UK
Canada
France
Italy
1,840
1,430
875
3,000
4,430
2004
2005
6,270
2006
1,810
9,655
1,575
7,845
2007
2,139
13,065
16,179
2,315
2,241
10,926
1,730
1,271
2008
2009
Capacity
2010
Capacity addition
Source: BP statistical review of energy, June 2015; * - Data for calendar year
Any redistribution of this information is strictly prohibited.
Copyright 2015 EMIS, all rights reserved.
18,420
20,150
- 24 -
2011
2012
2013
2014
501 to 1000 kW
1001 to 1500 kW
1501 to 2000kW
>2000 kW
Total
Andhra Pradesh
88,240
267,400
54,000
144,400
184,800
738,840
Gujarat
199,705
1,295,250
1,179,750
317,200
413,700
3,405,605
Karnataka
62,745
1,099,250
778,950
295,850
94,500
2,331,295
225
33,600
33,825
Maharashtra
297,345
922,960
1,775,500
748,650
280,200
4,024,655
Madhya Pradesh
26,700
200,200
103,750
25,200
355,850
Rajasthan
52,725
1,049,050
929,000
264,000
514,650
2,809,425
Tamil Nadu
1,731,155
2,310,950
2,204,600
775,650
232,250
7,254,605
Total Capacity
2,458,840
7,178,660
7,025,550
2,545,750
1,745,300
20,954,100
Kerala
Comments
Gujarat 16.1%
Tamil Nadu
33.4%
- 25 -
Rajasthan
13.3%
Karnataka
11.5%
Andhra
Pradesh 4.1%
Madhya
Pradesh 2.4%
Kerala 0.2%
Others 0.01%
22,465
2014
25,121
2015
Forecast
2020
Historical data
2030
22,465
2014
49,111
25,121
2015
2020
Foracast
2030
Historical data
22,465
2014
55,872
25,445
2015
Forecast
2020
2030
Historical data
- 26 -
Indias fiscal year runs from Apr 1 to March 31. Thus, FY 2015 (also called fiscal 2015) means Apr 1, 2014 Mar 31, 2015. In Indian documents, FY (fiscal) 2015 is also labeled FY14-15.
The remaining nine months of calendar 2015, i.e. Apr-Dec, belong to fiscal year 2016.
In order to better align with calendar years and make international comparisons more meaningful, in this report, EMIS has chosen to label data by the year in which most of the result occurred.
Unless otherwise stated, in this report, 2014, for example, means the 12 months between Apr 1, 2014 - Mar 31, 2015, or what in India is referred to as FY 2015.
When sources have not provided details on their year labeling policy, year labels in graphs and tables featured in this report appear as provided by the source.
- 27 -
Subsector Highlights
Overview
National
Solar
Mission until
2013
National
Solar
Mission
Post 2013
Due to its geographic location, India has about 300 days of sunshine per annum, average daily solar radiation of 4-6
kWh per sq meter and average annual temperatures between 25C and 27C. These provide for Indias very good
solar power potential. The sunniest territories are on the southeastern coast (Calcutta Madras).
Solar energy in the country includes photovoltaic energy (PV) and concentrated solar power (CSP or solar thermal
power). Currently, the solar power generation in India is predominantly through PV, since the CSP projects require
longer preparation period and the production process is more water-consuming.
The market is highly dependent on cheap imported solar PV modules.
The development of the solar energy generation is set in the Jawaharlal Nehru National Solar Mission (NSM).
Under the Mission in three phases up to 2022 the grid-connected solar power should expand to 20,000 MW, while
the off-grid installation has to reach 2,000 MW.
The first phase (2010 to 2013) aims at setting up a favourable environment to enable solar technology penetration at
a centralised and decentralised level. It targets grid connection of 1GW - 2GW and off-grid solar applications of
200MW.
The second phase (2013 to 2017) aims at providing fast competitive solar energy penetration with enforcement of a
mandatory renewable purchase obligation for utilities, backed by a preferential tariff. The grid-connected capacity
should be 4,000MW-10,000MW with another 1,000MW off-grid and 15 mn sq meters solar hot water collectors. After
a relatively successful first phase however, there was substantial delay in the second one.
By the end of the last phase (2017 to 2022), grid-connected capacity should reach 100,000 MW (increased in Jun
2015 from initial 20,000MW). The target should comprise of 40 gw rooftop and 60 gw through large and medium
scale grid connected solar power projects.
The total investment in setting up those 100 GW will be around INR 6,000 bn.
- 28 -
Solar plants
in Uttar
Pradesh
Half a dozen companies have reached agreement with the government of Uttar Pradesh for the construction of solar
power plants, newspaper Pioneer reported in June 2015. The total capacity of the plants, whose capacity ranges
from 5MW to 10MW, will be 225MW. The firms will sell power to the state grid for 25 years. The price is yet to be
determined. The companies are Adani Group, Zee Group and Sukheever Agro Energy Ltd among others.
PV solar
panels
production
In January 2015, Indias Adani Power and US firm SunEdison announced plans to invest up to USD 4bn in what
would be Indias largest solar panel manufacturer, Reuters reported. The plant will be constructed in the state of
Gujarat and is expected to be built in 3 years and create 20,000 work places. The project would provide low-cost
photovoltaic solar panels, thus boosting solar energy generation in the country. Further details are yet to be
announced.
Development
of solar cities
The program is designed to spur the adoption of renewable energy technologies and energy efficiency measures by local
governments. Under the scheme, the government provides INR 5mn per city (INR 1mn for preparation of a Master plan, INR
1mn for setting up of solar cell and its functioning for a period of three years; INR 1mn for oversight of implementation during
three years and INR 2mn for capacity building). The Solar City should reach a minimum 10% reduction in projected demand of
conventional energy at the end of the five-year period as all types of renewable energy based projects like solar, wind,
biomass, small hydropower, waste to energy etc. may be installed along with possible energy efficiency measures depending
on the need and resource availability in the city. Cities with population between 50,000 and 5,000,000 people can apply. At
least one and a maximum five cities per state can be supported by the program to a total of 60 cities. As on January 15, 2015
sanctions at a total cost of INR 227.3mn for 48cities have been issued for Master plan, solar cells and promotional activities.
About INR 49.6mn have been extended.
- 29 -
18.8%
35
31
15.7%
29
26
24
22
19
12.7%
10.4%
20
10.0%
11
Italy
Japan
US
Spain
2.4%
Germany
India
China
14
1213
11
China
19
16
7.3%
Germany
19
Italy
2011
Japan
2012
US
2013
1 1
Spain
2014
India
Comments
Despite the favourable climate, solar energy production is still underdeveloped in India. In 2014, the country accounted for 2.4% of the global
solar energy consumption, compared with 2.1% in 2013 and 0.8% in 2010.
Source: BP statistical review of energy, June 2015; *-Data is for calendar years
Any redistribution of this information is strictly prohibited.
Copyright 2015 EMIS, all rights reserved.
- 30 -
18,280
5,660
Germany
China
Japan
Italy
USA
5,358
France
5,228
4,136
3,074
UK
Australia
Belgium
Spain
731
India
250
481
46
22
1
1
1
0
1
0
2
1
2004
2005
2006
2007
3
1
24
2008
2009
Cumulated capacity
Source: BP statistical review of energy, June 2015; * - Data for calendar years
Any redistribution of this information is strictly prohibited.
Copyright 2015 EMIS, all rights reserved.
- 31 -
120
190
70
2010
2011
Capacity addition
236
47
2012
2013
2014
Comments
One of the requirements for a project to be elligible
for the Mission was the so-called domestic content
requirement (DCR). It was included in the guidelines
to promote the creation of domestic solar
manufacturing industry and is extended over the
production of crystalline silicon modules. Thin film
technologies are exempted from the DCR, and could
be imported, thus resulting in lower costs of the
modules and creating uneven advantage for
introducing thin film PV against silicon PV.
The interim report on NSM (April 2012) has
concluded that the domestic content requirement has
shifted the market towards thin film PV, as they are
used in more than 50% of the projects, a larger
proportion than the global average. They are
however less efficient, thus requiring more land.
As at June 4, 2014, the tentative manufacturing
capacity of cells and modules in India was as follows,
suggesting very low capacity utilisation:
Cells: Installed capacity 1,368MW;
Capacity under operation: 297MW;
Solar modules: installed capacity 2,756MW;
Capacity under operation 1,304 MW;
Silicon 86.0%
Silicon 45.0%
- 32 -
Indias fiscal year runs from Apr 1 to March 31. Thus, FY 2015 (also called fiscal 2015) means Apr 1, 2014 Mar 31, 2015. In Indian documents, FY (fiscal) 2015 is also labeled FY14-15
The remaining nine months of calendar 2015, i.e. Apr-Dec, belong to fiscal year 2016.
In order to better align with calendar years and make international comparisons more meaningful, in the Major Players section of this report, EMIS Insight has chosen to label data by the year in
which most of the result occurred. Unless otherwise stated, in the Major Players section of this report, 2014, for example, means the 12 months between Apr 1, 2014 - Mar 31, 2015, or what in
India is referred to as FY 2015. This applies to Indian companies only and may not apply to companies with global operations, which may be presented in this report.
When sources have not provided details on their year labeling policy, year labels in graphs and tables featured in this report appear as provided by the source.
- 33 -
Subsector Highlights
Small Hydro
Projects
India has hydropower potential of 150GW, of which about 84 GW are economically exploitable. As a number of structural
issues hinder the development of large capital-intensive projects, the focus shifts towards smaller scale hydro projects with
output of up to 25MW. According to the renewable energy ministry estimates, the potential for small hydro power projects is 15
GW at almost 5,500 sites. Most of the potential is in the Himalayan states (river-based projects) and in other states that offer
irrigation.
As at March 2015, the small hydro projects in India had total capacity of 4,055MW. In FY2014-2015, the target for new
capacities of 250MW was overachieved by 1.6MW. There is potential for projects with a combined capacity of about 19GW.
The private investment in the segment is low, as interest rates are high and make the debt financing expensive. Despite having
high growth potential, the market niche is still undeveloped and riskier compared to other energy projects.
The renewable energy ministry reported that as of end January 2015 there were 27 manufacturers of small hydro power
turbines who fabricate almost the entire range and type of SHP equipment listed in the renewable energy ministry.
Manufacturers capacity is estimated at about 400 MW per year.
Biomass
Cogeneration
According to Energy Alternatives India, the country produces about 450mn-500mn tonnes of biomass annually. In different
studies the countrys energy potential is estimated at between 18,000MW and 50,000MW.
The leading states for biomass power projects are Andhra Pradesh, Chattisgarh, Maharashtra, Madhya Pradesh, Gujarat and
Tamil Nadu. The installed capacity reached about 1,400MW as at end FY2014-2015, but the addition in the last fiscal was
substantially below the 100 MW target at 45MW.
Bagasse cogeneration is predominantly developed in Andhra Pradesh, Tamil Nadu, Karnataka, Maharashtra and Uttar
Pradesh. The installed capacity as at March 2015 reached 3,008MW. The target of 300MW I new capacity addition in FY 20142015 was overachieved by 60MW.
Removal of Barriers to Biomass Power Generation in India (2006-2014) is a project between the United Nations and MNRE,
which supports green- and brownfield biomass projects in the country. The funding support is more than USD 5.6 mn.
Recent market reports suggest not so favourabe development of the segment, with claims that more than half of the countrys
grid-connected power plants that run on biomass have either shut down or are on the verge of shutting down, due to
competition within the biomass power industry and from other industries like cement and brick kilns.
- 34 -
16.8%
21.1%
18.5%
11.1%
9.7%
13.7%
9.3%
10.5%
5.3%
USA
Japan
5.3%
Italy
6.6%
4.5%
3.7%
UK
11.8
14.0
15.9
17.5
18.7
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
Consumption, TW/h
India
Comments
6.4
70.2%
5.0
60.2%
4.2
3.9
2.3
29.1%
19.5%
8.3%
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
Source: BP statistical review of energy, June 2015; MNRE; * - Data for calendar year
Any redistribution of this information is strictly prohibited.
Copyright 2015 EMIS, all rights reserved.
- 35 -
Biomass Capacity
State-wise biomass capacity as on 31 Mar 2015
Comments
State
Capacity (MW)
Andhra Pradesh
288
Chhattisgarh
250
Gujarat
31
Haryana
14
Karnataka
108
Madhya Pradesh
26
Maharashtra
198
Orissa
20
Punjab
69
10
Rajasthan
101
11
Tamil Nadu
212
12
Uttar Pradesh
54
13
West Bengal
26
Total
1,395
- 36 -
V. Main Players
Indias fiscal year runs from Apr 1 to March 31. Thus, FY 2015 (also called fiscal 2015) means Apr 1, 2014 Mar 31, 2015. In Indian documents, FY (fiscal) 2015 is also labeled FY14-15.
The remaining nine months of calendar 2015, i.e. Apr-Dec, belong to fiscal year 2016.
In order to better align with calendar years and make international comparisons more meaningful, in this report, EMIS has chosen to label data by the year in which most of the result occurred.
Unless otherwise stated, in this report, 2014, for example, means the 12 months between Apr 1, 2014 - Mar 31, 2015, or what in India is referred to as FY 20145 This applies to Indian companies
only and may not apply to companies with global operations, which may be presented in this report.
When sources have not provided details on their year labeling policy, year labels in graphs and tables featured in this report appear as provided by the source.
- 37 -
Deals
Top M&A in Jul2013- Jun2015
Date
8.6.2015
Target Company
Applied Solar Technologies India Pvt Ltd
3.7.2014
23.6.2014 CaptureSolar
20.6.2014 Welspun Renewables Energy Pvt Ltd
10.6.2014
25.4.2014
20.1.2014
8.12.2013
15.11.2013
22.10.2013
9.10.2013
26.8.2013
16.8.2013
5.7.2013
Buyer
Country of Buyer
MSP
40
47
33
100
United States
33
100
168
14
Sundaram Asset Management Co Ltd; IDFC Asset Management Co Ltd; SBI Funds
Management Pvt Ltd; Grandeur Peak Funds; BlackRock Inc; Reliance Capital Ltd
(RCL); Morgan Stanley Investment Management Inc; Tata AIA Life Insurance Co Ltd;
India; United States;
IPO
Birla Sun Life Asset Management Co Ltd; Kotak Mahindra Bank Ltd (KMB); The
United Kingdom; Bermuda
Goldman Sachs Group Inc; Swiss Finance Corporation (Mauritius) Ltd; Indus India
Fund (Mauritius) Ltd; Fidelity Worldwide Investment; Buyer(s) unknown in this case
Acquisition Sembcorp Industries Ltd
Singapore
MSP
Acquisition
Acquisition
MSP
MSP
170
60
India; International
33
India
United Kingdom
United States
Singapore
9
200
40
100
-
MSP
The Goldman Sachs Group Inc; Asian Development Bank; Global Environment Fund United States; Philippines
140
MSP
Cyprus
125
MSP
Philippines; Germany
88
United States
France
United Kingdom
India
Singapore
India
India
68
24
9
25
24
53
10
2
50
100
100
90
100
SPO
MSP
MSP
Acquisition
MSP
MSP
Acquisition
Acquisition
Acquisition
Acquisition
Source: DealWatch
Any redistribution of this information is strictly prohibited.
Copyright 2015 EMIS, all rights reserved.
Deal Type
- 38 -
5
4
106.7
2
337.9
3
32.5
304.8
8.5
53.4
49.4
389.1
IPO 4.3%
Minority stake
purchase
47.8%
2014
Total value of deals (USD mn)
2015
Number of Deals
SPO 4.3%
Asia 13.0%
Others 21.7%
Undisclosed
21.7%
50.1-100mn
13.0%
North America
13.0%
Unknown
17.4%
0-50mn 43.5%
Europe 17.4%
India 17.4%
Source: DealWatch, EMIS calculations; *Others include investors from more that one region
Any redistribution of this information is strictly prohibited.
Copyright 2015 EMIS, all rights reserved.
- 39 -
100.1-500mn
21.7%
TATA Power
357.0
-0.3
1.0
-10.9
2009
Highlights
356.5
333.9
330.3
20.6
262.7
260.2
198.6
194.6
195.7
21.4
189.9
2010
2011
Operating Revenue
2012
2013
Total Revenue
Net Profit
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
EPS
8.79
-4.98
-1.23
-1.61
0.17
Total Assets
503.4
616.1
672.8
714.0
754.43
Shareholders
Equity
2.4
2.4
2.4
2.4
2.7
213.9
282.3
331.6
336.2
357.0
Net Debt
- 40 -
TATA Power
TPREL financial results (INR mn)
Highlights
2012
2013
2014
Revenue
142.6
651.4
896.5
Net profit
9.5
11.1
44.1
- 41 -
Orient Green
2011
Operating Revenue
2012
Total Revenue
2013
-2.4
-0.8
-2.1
2010
5.0
4.9
4.2
4.1
4.5
4.2
Highlights
2.5
-0.8
2.2
2.1
0.1
1.8
2014
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
EPS
0.29
-1.48
-1.49
-3.31
-4.10
Equity Share
4.7
4.7
4.7
5.7
5.7
Assets
24.6
35.6
35.4
35.1
32.6
Net debt
5.1
10.9
16.2
19.0
19.1
- 42 -
Adani Power
2011
2012
Operating Revenue
195.4
195.2
159.5
2013
-8.2
-2.9
-23.0
-2.9
2010
Highlights
69.7
67.8
42.4
40.9
5.1
21.4
21.5
157.7
2014
Total Revenue
Net Profit
Other indicators
Product
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
EPS
2.36
-1.32
-9.59
-1.04
-2.84
Equity Share
(INR bn)
21.8
21.8
23.9
28.7
28.7
Assets
INR bn)
349.9
513.8
549.6
546.9
- 43 -
NTPC
Financial Performance, INR bn
2011
Net sales of energy
2013
99.9
799.4
104.6
114.0
784.5
2012
144.9
125.9
706.1
98.1
166.1
649.6
131.4
93.5
574.2
123.9
2010
Highlights
2014
Net Profit
Other indicators
Product
EPS
2010
11.34
2011
11.90
2012
15.27
2013
13.83
2014
12.11
82.45
82.45
82.45
82.45
82.45
2,195.8
505.1
624.0
742.7
870.4
1,007.66
654.8
708.6
764.9
779.18
133.4
173.3
162.8
133.66
- 44 -
NTPC
2012
260.5
2014
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
Number of plants
Capacity (MW)
Coal
17
33,675
Gas/Liquid fuel
4,017
Hydro
600
Renewable energy
110
Total
33
38,402
6,196
Total
40
44,798
Coal
NTPC owned
Owned by JVs
250.6
2011
249.6
2010
240.3
2013
236.7
44,398
43,108
41,273
37,103
34,283
- 45 -
Gas/Liquid Renewable
Total
Renewable
9,015
2,344
35
11,394
Western
10,840
1,313
50
12,203
Southern
4,600
360
10
4,970
Eastern
9,220
10
9,230
Islands
Hydro
800
JVs
429
1,967
6,196
Total
37,904
5,984
110
44,789
NHPC
2010
2011
Net sales
Highlights
2013
28.0
37.2
16.3
25.3
28.7
2012
81.0
71.2
61.3
38.9
34.0
24.6
32.6
43.5
49.6
67.8
2014
Net Profit
Other indicators
Product
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
EPS
1.88
2.51
2.13
1.02
2.25
Equity Share
(INR bn)
123.00
123.00
123.00
110.71
110.71
Assets
(INR bn)
541.7
602.9
623.4
614.0
632.7
Debt equity
ratio
0.63
0.68
0.67
0.68
0.61
- 46 -
Contact:
Corporate Headquarters
6-8 Bouverie Street
London EC4Y 8DD
UK
Voice: +44 20 7779 8100
Fax: +44 20 7779 8224
Americas Headquarters
225 Park Avenue South
New York, New York 10003
US
Voice: +1 212 610 2900
Fax: +1 212 610 2950
Asia Headquarters
Eucharistic Congress Bldg. No.
III
4th Floor, 5 Convent Street
Mumbai 400 001
India
Voice: +91 22 22881123
Fax: +91 22 22881137
Disclaimer:
The material is based on sources which we believe are reliable, but no warranty, either expressed or implied, is provided in relation to the accuracy or completeness
of the information. The views expressed are our best judgment as of the date of issue and are subject to change without notice. EMIS and Euromoney Institutional
Investor PLC take no responsibility for decisions made on the basis of these opinions.
Any redistribution of this information is strictly prohibited. Copyright 2015 EMIS, all rights reserved. A Euromoney Institutional Investor company.
About EMIS Insight
EMIS Insight is a unit of EMIS that produces proprietary strategic research and analysis. The service features market overviews, industry trend analysis, legislation
and profiles of the leading sector companies provided by locally-based analysts.
About EMIS
Founded in 1994, EMIS (formerly known as ISI Emerging Markets) was acquired by Euromoney Institutional Investor PLC in 1999. EMIS works from over 15 offices
around the world to deliver electronic information products, by subscription, to institutional customers globally. EMIS provides hard-to-get information covering more
than 100 emerging markets. Its flagship products are EMIS Intelligence and EMIS Professional.
EMIS clients include top investment banks, corporations, law firms, consultants, investment and insurance companies, universities and libraries, multilateral
organisations, and others.
- 47 -