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ON
REGRESSION
ANALYSIS
[IMBA]
PRESENTED
BY
NAME: - D.SRIKANTH
Questionnaire Development
Collection of Data
The above mentioned questionnaire
was used to collect the primary data. For secondary data,
research papers, journals and magazines were referred.
Regression analysis
In statistics, regression analysis is a collective name
for techniques for the modeling and analysis of numerical data
consisting of values of a dependent variable (also called response
variable or measurement) and of one or more independent variables
(also known as explanatory variables or predictors). The dependent
variable in the regression equation is modeled as a function of the
independent variables, corresponding parameters ("constants"), and an
error term.
Y=α+βX
Where,
X is independent
β is slope of coefficient
α= Yi-Xiβ
β = (Yi-Yj)/ (Xi-XJ)
Least squares can be interpreted as a method of fitting data. The best fit
in the least-squares sense is that instance of the model for which the
sum of squared residuals has its least value, a residual being the
difference between an observed value and the value given by the
model. The method was first described by Carl Friedrich Gauss around
1794.[1] Least squares correspond to the maximum likelihood criterion
if the experimental errors have a normal distribution and can also be
derived as a method of moments estimator. Regression analysis is
available in most statistical software packages.
The equation for regression line assume by least square is shown below
Y=a+bX+ci
Where,
Y is dependent variable
X is independent variable
a is a Y intersect
b is a slope of line
SPENT VISITED
(IN CRORES)[X]
JAN 3.6 9.3
FEB 4.8 10.2
MAR 2.4 9.7
APR 7.2 11.5
MAY 6.9 12
JUN 8.4 14.2
JUL 10.7 18.6
AUG 11.2 28.4
SEP 6.1 13.2
OCT 7.9 10.8
NOV 9.5 22.7
DEC 5.4 12.3
X is dependent variable
Y is independent variable
a = Ῡ-b
Where,
Where
ei = Yi Ŷ i
AMOUNT N.O OF
2
SPENT CUSTOMERS XY X
ON VISITED
(IN CRORES)[X]
b = 12(1355.61)-
(84.1)(172.9)/12(670.73)-(84.1)2
= 1.768
The step is to calculate “a”
To calculate the value of small “a” we need to first determine the mean
of value of variable X&Y
= 84.1/12
=7.0
Ῡ = 172.9/12
=14.40
a = 14.40-(1.768)(7)
= 14.40-12.39
= 2.01
Ŷ = 2.01+1.768X
Therefore
R2= total variance – unexplained variance/total variance
R2 = 1-Σ(Yi – Ŷ) 2 / Σ(Yi - Ῡ) 2
Therefore
R2 = 1- (Yi – Ŷ) 2 / Σ(Yi - Ῡ) 2
= 1- 126.885/381.29
= 1- 0.33
= 0.67
= 67%
Conclusion
This implies that of the total variation of Y, nearly 67% is
explain by the variation in X.