Documente Academic
Documente Profesional
Documente Cultură
Name Student
Ameer Abdul Adheem Hussein
P81466
Lecturer
PROF. DATO' IR. DR RIZA ATIQ ABDULLAH BIN
O.K. RAHMAT
Task 3 \\
(b) State preference survey has been conducted to study the effect of reduction in bus travel time
in influencing modal shift. The aggregated data of the survey is given in Table 1. Choose a
suitable model and calibrate all parameters in your model.
40
35
30
25
20
0.05
0.09
0.25
0.50
0.55
Solution \\
(a)
1.State preference survey:
It has been widely used in analyzing modal shift. It is used to
estimate relative importance to various characteristic given by the
users in terms of travel and waiting time, cost, headway mode of
Referendum format.
2.Car Dissuasion:
To make car use less popular, and promote the other modes of
transport by making them more attractive alternatives.
The traveller or users usually compares the strength and weakness
of each mode of transport. A shift can only occur when the user find it
less beneficial compared to the other mode. They compare in terms
of:
Cost.
Reliability .
Walking distance requires.
Users will only use and find it necessary where there will benefit
either in terms of fares; quality of service and the cost of competing
modes. The quality of public transport is defined by different factors
such as:
Frequency of services.
Provision of information.
Solution \\
(b)
Bus travel time
(Minutes)
40
35
Modal shift to
buses
0.05
0.09
Ln((1-P) / P)
2.944439
2.313635
Reduction in travel
time
5
10
30
25
20
0.25
0.50
0.55
1.098612
0
-0.200671
15
20
25
Summary Output
Regression
Statistics
Multiple R
R Square
Adjusted R
Square
Standard
Error
Observation
s
0.9811
0.96256
0.95008
0.30979
5
ANOVA
Significanc
eF
0.00311
df
SS
MS
1
3
4
7.40263
0.28791
7.69054
7.40263
0.09597
77.1351
Coefficients
Standard
Error
t Stat
P-value
Lower
95%
Intercept
-3.9311
0.6038
9
6.5096
0.0073
6
-5.853
X Variable 1
0.17208
0.01959
8.7826
6
0.00311
0.19072
Regression
Residual
Total
Upper
95%
2.009
3
0.234
43
Lower
95.0 %
-5.853
0.10972
Upper
95.0%
2.0092578
79
0.2344301
85
1
(Time)
1+D e
D = -3.93110946675208
= 0.172077085568756
model=
1
3.93110946675208+0.172077085568756travel time
1+e
P (model)
0.0496435
0.109917
0.225971
0.4083441
0.6200051
0.7
0.6
0.5
0.4
P
(
m
o
d
0.3
0.2
0.1
0
15
20
25
30
35
40
45