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G10,G20,G21,G34)
be found in the litigation between Dana Corporation and its lender UBS. In the
course of Dana's banking relationship, UBS was given "substantial amounts
of confidential information about Dana, its financial condition, its business
plan and prospects, its competitive posture, its trade secrets, and its potential
liabilities."2 Dana claimed that UBS passed this information to a potential
acquirer (Arvin Meritor Inc.) to facilitate a takeover attempt.
In this paper, we investigate whether the information transmission role of
banks has an important effect in the market for corporate control.3 Unlike most
of the recent corporate governance literature that views governance emanating
from equity holders such as institutional investors, we examine the corporate
governance role of private debt (in this case, bank debt). In particular, we examine the role of bank loans and their associated information production role
in impacting the takeover probability of firms.4 In using a sample of merger targets over the 1992-2005 period, we document several findings consistent with
a positive information-based corporate governance role of banks in impacting
the probability of corporate takeovers.
First, we find that greater bank lending intensity to a firm results in a higher
likelihood that it will receive a takeover bid. Second, we find that those (target)
firms having lending relationships with banks that have more clients in the same
industry are more likely to be subject to a takeover attempt.5 Third, we find that
the role of bank lending intensity in predicting takeover attempts is stronger
for those takeovers in which the target and acquirer have a relationship with the
same bank. These results are robust to the inclusion of several controls shown to
be important in predicting takeover targets (see, e.g., Palepu, 1986; Mikkelson
and Partch, 1989; and Ambrose and Megginson, 1992 among others). Fourth,
we conduct an experiment that is likely to be free of endogeneity problems;
specifically, we analyze the bidding behavior of potential acquirers that switch
relationship banks. Since switching is likely to be for reasons other than targeting a particular firm, it allows us to examine whether postswitching a potential
acquirer has a higher probability of bidding for a client (target) of its new
relationship bank. Evidence supporting this effect will be consistent with an
2 Dana
Corporationv. UBS SecuritiesLLC,SECfile 5-10058.
3 Easterbrookand Fischel
(1991) and Jensen (1993) argue that takeoversconstitute the critical mechanismin
the United States and the U.K. without which managerialdiscretioncannot be controlled.Gompers,Ishii, and
Metrick(2003) and Cremers,Nair, and John (2005) show a significantlink between firm value, equity returns,
and takeovervulnerability.The informationwe have in mind not only reflects the soft informationthat comes
from close bankingrelationships(e.g., Stein, 2002; and Kano et al., 2006) but also privateand early access to
informationthatwill eventuallybecome public(e.g., banksoften have access to firmcash-flowdataon an interim
period) (see Udell, 2004), as well as on business plans. Further,banks gain access to valuableinformationin
their ability to monitor the size and variabilityof a firm's transactionaccounts held at the bank (see Mester,
Nakumura,and Renault,2007).
4 In a recent
paper,Santos and Rumble (2006) look at the role banks play via trustdepartmentequity holdings
to gain access to corporateboardsof directors(after controllingfor the importanceof bank lending). The role
of banks in the collection and transferof informationin the context of small business is discussed in Berger,
Klapper,and Udell (2001) among others.
5 We focus on clients in the same
industrysince it is in these cases where relationshipsthat generatepotential
acquirersare most likely to be important.
42
informationalrole played by banks in the marketfor corporatecontrol. Importantly,we find thatfirmswith the characteristicsof potentialacquirerswho
switch to a new relationshipbank are more likely to enter a bid for the clients
of thatnew relationshipbank.
Overall, our evidence is consistent with a role for banks in facilitating
takeoversthroughinformationproductionvia bank lending and the transmission of generated informationto potential acquirers.6A question naturally
arises as to why banks would actively engage in the transmissionof informationregardingclient targetsto potentialacquirers.There are at least three
plausiblereasons.The firstis to generatetakeoveradvisoryfees. The second is
to generateadditionalloan andrelationship-basedrevenuesthrougha financing
role in the takeover.The thirdis to reduce the bank's exposureto defaultrisk
by transferringdebtfrom ex ante weak borrowersto ex ante strongborrowers.7
These alternativemotivationalfactors are analyzed in the final section of the
paper.While we do not find evidence supportingthe firsttwo motives, it does
appearthatbanksseek to transferdebt from ex ante weak borrowersto ex ante
strongborrowers.
This documented"informationintermediary"role of banks is not without
controversy.Indeed, as noted above in the Dana example, there have been
recentlawsuitsin which targetfirms(or potentialtargetfirms)have sued their
own bank over the transferof "private"informationregardingthe firm to an
outside acquirer.Since regulationdoes not prohibitcommercial banks from
providingM&A advisoryservices, nor is therea law againsta bank"switching
sides" and acting againstits client in the role of advisorto a bidder,the courts
have tended to look at case law to assess the merits of such complaints.The
case filed by securitysystems companyADT Ltd againstits long-time lender
Chase ManhattanCorp in February1997 received particularattention.ADT
claimed Chase's managingdirectorsrepeatedlypromisednot to assist in any
attemptto takeoverthe company.In that sense, this legal case was expected
to set a precedent on lenders "duty of loyalty" to their borrowers.8At the
time of the filing of the complaint,ADT had $1.1 billion in debt outstanding
that it would have been forced to repay immediatelyif it lost the case. This
includeda repaymentof its loans to Chase. Four months after the case filing,
the court dismissed most of ADT's claims ruling that "a bank has no per se
6 Our
findingsaddto the literatureon predictingtakeovertargetsfollowing Palepu(1986); Stulz (1988); Mikkelson
and Partch(1989); and Ambrose and Meggison (1992). We find that in addition to factors such as leverage,
industry,asset structure,and firm value, banklending intensityas well as the presenceof externalblockholders
is importantin predictingtakeovertargets.
7 Note thatthe motiveis to transferdebt from a baddebtorto a good debtorand not simply to transferbad debt. In
the formercase, debt improvesin quality simply because of the transfer(e.g., due to bettermanagement)while
the latterview considersdebt quality fixed. If the qualityof debt cannotbe changed,then it is not clear why an
acquirerwould be willing to purchasea firmwith troubleddebt.
8 The WallStreetJournal,
February11, 1997, "ADTsues Chase for aiding bidderseeking takeover";Bank Loan
Report,February24, 1997, "ADTsues Chase over WesternResourcesFinancing."
43
obligation to refrain from such participation, and that plaintiff has not pleaded
the existence of a fiduciary relationship which might give rise to such an
obligation."9
Even though the ADT ruling has reduced the number of similar pleadings,
there are other cases relating to similar issues involving banks both in the
United States and abroad. Most of this centers on the supposed disclosure of
confidential loan information. For example, in 1999, Mannesmann, the German
telecommunications company, which was the target of an unsolicited takeover
bid by Vodafone, sued Vodafone's adviser Goldman Sachs arguing that Goldman used private information generated through a prior lending relationship
without Mannesmann's consent. A British court later dismissed the case calling
it "hopeless." For similar reasons, in 2000, Dime Bancorp sued Salomon Smith
Barney on the grounds that it acted as an adviser to North Fork Bancorp in its
unsolicited takeover attempt; this case was also dismissed. More recently, in
August 2003, auto-parts maker Dana Corporation argued that UBS, which had
a prior lending relationship with the company, used confidential information
to help its rival Arvin Meritor Inc. to launch a $2.2 billion unsolicited bid.10
This last case is still undetermined. The question thus arises as to whether
these complaints are founded or are they just part of a target's effort to thwart
a takeover? Overall, it appears that the courts are seeking to make a legal distinction between the use of information generated in the course of a banking
relationship and the use of information disclosed under a confidentiality agreement, the breach of which, if proven in Court, would be considered a breach of
fiduciary duty. Clearly, where the line is drawn is fuzzy and the courts have so
far appeared to side with the first view.11
We proceed by outlining a simple framework to specify our hypotheses in
Section 1. In Section 2, we discuss the data sources for our study, in particular the source of our takeover and loan data and the measurement of key
variables. Using a sample of Compustat companies, Section 3 examines the
impact of bank lending intensity and bank client networks on the probability of a takeover attempt occurring, using control variables from the existing
literature on takeover activity in general. In that section, we also present a
variety of robustness checks including controlling for equity-side corporate
governance mechanisms and an experiment that looks at how the effect of a
potential acquirer switching its relationship bank affects the probability of targeting a client of its new relationship bank. Section 4 looks at the motives for
banks playing an informational role in the takeover market. Finally, Section
5 concludes.
9 ADT
Operations,Inc. v. Chase ManhattanBank,N.A. 662 N.Y.S. 2d 190 (1997).
10 TheNew YorkTimes,
August 5, 2003, "Autopartmanufacturersues bankerof an unwantedsuitor."
1' We thankWilliam Allen, formerChancellorof the Delaware
Court,for discussions and insights relatingto the
legal issues involved.
44
Figure 1
Banks as information intermediaries
45
46
Figure 2
Causality test: switch of the relationship bank for acquirer
47
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commonly take a portfolio view (based on the law of large numbers)for small and medium
enterpriseloans. To ensure that our results are not drivenby any omitted loan information,we use a narrower
controlfor the targetsample in Section 3 thatis matchedby propensityscores.
using variousmaturitylimits.
19 The LPC databasestartsfrom 1987. We choose to focus on
targetsfrom 1992 to avoid the potentialimpactof
Drexel Burnhamon the takeovermarket.
52
53
based on the commonalityof their two-digit SIC Code and asset size to the
target,over a three-yearwindow priorto a takeoverattempt.
While this variablemeasuresboth the extensive natureof the relationship
bank'snetworkof potentialacquirers(andthusthe takeoverthreatto the target),
it is possible that the target's managers might seek to avoid a takeoverby
switching from a high "net" relationshipbank to a low "net" relationship
bank. If such switching is complete and includes both new loans and the
refinancingof all old loans, then the value of the Bank net variable could
fall. However,if switching is incomplete,e.g., some older loans remainwith
the original relationshipbank, then both the old and new relationshipbanks
will have incentivesto disseminateinformationand Bank net would increase.
Importantly,the Banknet variableis inclusive of old and new banks.21
2.3 Other loan-related control variables
In additionto ourlendingintensityandrelationshipvariables,we also introduce
Short maturity,dummy equal to 1 if the borrowingfirm receives loans of a
shortermaturitythanthe industrymedianand0 otherwise.This controlsfor the
fact the frequencyof loan issues (AOis also likely to be relatedto the choice of
maturity.In addition,a positive coefficienton this variablewould be consistent
with riskier borrowersbeing more likely to be the subject of a takeoverbid
since bankstendto lend shortertermto riskierborrowers.Secondly,we control
for relationshipbankdependence{Bankdependence)with a dummyequal to 1
if the borrowerhad only one relationshipbank over the three years priorto a
takeoverattemptand 0 otherwise.The relationshipbank dependencedummy
is 1, if no otherbank had an exposure(dollaramount)to the borrowerwithin
80% of the dollar exposure of the main relationshipbank.22If other banks
are above the 80% threshold,the borrowingfirm is viewed as having multiple
relationshipbanks (dummy is 0). An alternativemeasure of exclusivity or
dependencewould be one where the targethad an exclusive relationshipwith
its lead syndicate bank, i.e., lead bank exclusivity, as will be discussed later,
the majorresultsof the paperare unchangedwhetherwe use relationshipbank
exclusivity or lead bankexclusivity to measurebankdependence.
2.4 Shareholder control
While our focus is on governanceeffects emanatingfrom bank lending activity, we also collected data on shareholder(equity) control. It has been argued that takeoversare more likely to occur as shareholdercontrol increases
(Shleifer and Vishny, 1986). Cremers,Nair, and John (2005) also document
supportingevidence that firms with a large external blockholder are more
21 As we show laterin the
54
likely to be takeovertargets.Thus, we control for a large shareholdercorporate governanceeffect by using a dummy for the existence of an institutional
blockholder,denotedby Institutionalblockholder= 1, if such an institutional
blockholderis present and 0 otherwise. We define blockholdersto be those
institutionalshareholdersthat have more than a 5% ownership stake in the
firm's outstandingshares. To constructthis measure,we use data on institutionalshareholdingsfromThompson/CDASpectrum,which collects quarterly
informationfromSEC 13f filings.23By using institutionalblockholdingsrather
than simply institutionalownership,we mitigatethe problemthat institutions
with small equity stakes have little incentive to be involved in firm-specific
decisions. Furthermore,Shleifer and Vishny (1986) argue that blockholders
often have substantialvoting control, thereby enabling them to pressure a
firm'smanagement.Such controlrights can be especially valuablein a proxy
fight.
2.5 Other control variables
In additionto the bank-sideinformationproductionand equity-sidecorporate
governancevariables,we utilize a numberof othercontrol variablesthat have
been used in the priorliteratureseeking to explainthe probabilityof takeovers
in general;these variablesmight thus also be expected to impact the probability of a takeoverbid occurring(see, for example, Hasbrouck,1985; Palepu,
1986;MikkelsonandPartch,1989;andAmbroseandMegginson, 1992, among
others).The additionalvariablesintroduced,based on the existing takeoverliterature,are a takeover intensity dummy that measures whether a takeover
attemptoccurredin the same four-digitSIC industryin the year prior to the
takeoverevent,the returnon assets (ROA)of the firm(adjustedfor the industry
median), annual sales growth (adjustedfor the industrymedian), firm leverage (measuredby the book debt-to-assetsratio),cash (the cash and short-term
investments-to-assetsratio),firmsize (measuredby the log of assets), the ratio
asset structure
of market-to-bookvalue of assets (industry-median-adjusted),
and
the
(measuredby
equipment-to-assetsratio), and sales
property,plant,
Finally,we introducea numberof controls
growth(industry-median-adjusted).
for the credit qualityof the borrowerincludinga dummyof 1 if its rated,and
a credit-quality-relatedvariablebased on the Altman (1968) z-score model,
which is Bad z-score, a dummy of 1, if the z-score falls below the Altman
thresholdvalue of z = 1.81, denoting that the firm is in the bad creditworthiness (high defaultprobability)region. We also introducea high-yield dummy
that is 1 if the targetis ratedbelow investmentgrade. Table 1A provides the
mean, median, and standarderrorof the Compustatsample variablesused in
our tests, as well as the correlationsamong these variables(Table IB).
23 The 1978 amendmentto the
Security and Exchange Act of 1934 requiresall institutionalinvestorswith more
than$100 million undermanagementto reporttheirshareholdingsto the SEC.
55
Targetsfor which we are unableto findat least one matchingcontrolcompanywith valid accountinginformation
are dropped.
25
26 We used the
four-digitSIC match to constructa control sample. This is because we want the control sample
(companiesthatdon't become targets)to be very similarto the cases wherethey are targets.
56
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59
run the logit model based on ROA {adj.), Sales growth {adj.), Market/Book
assets {adj.), Ln{Assets), Asset structure {PPE), Cash, Leverage, and with
and without Bad z-score. Second, in order to implement propensity matching,
we calculate each firm's propensity score. This is computed based on the
probability {p) that a firm with given characteristics is a target of an attempted
takeover computed using the firm's financial characteristics denoted above. The
propensity score is computed as In {{\-p)lp). Firms are then matched again
using Leuven and Sianesi's (2003) propensity-score-matching procedure (at the
nearest neighborhood caliper of 0.1), again restricting by year and two-digit
SIC Code.30 Then, we compare the average difference between the sample
target firms and their matches for the variables that we did not use in the
computation of the propensity score itself (i.e., the loan intensity variables).
We report the result in Table 3, where we present a paired mean comparison
between the sample of takeovers and their propensity score matches with respect
to bank lending intensity. Panel 1 of Table 3 shows the matched results for
unsolicited takeovers, while panel 2 shows results for all takeovers. As can be
seen, there is a significant difference between the loan intensity variables for
the target firms compared to the propensity-score-matched sample of nontarget
firms. Specifically, for both the unsolicited and all takeover samples, both Loan
intensity {N) and Relationship intensity {N) are significantly larger for target
firms than for matched firms, consistent with our results in Table 2.
A second concern relates to possible missing governance-related control
variables in Tables 2 and 3. While we have used an equity-related blockholder
dummy, one equity-related governance variable possibly missing from our logit
model is that of managerial ownership. We now include variables relating to
managerial ownership but note that theoretically, the impact of managerial
ownership on takeover probability is ambiguous. On the one hand, a higher
ownership stake allows a manager to gain from a takeover since the individual
now receives an equity-related payoff share of any takeover premium. On the
other hand, since takeovers might be accompanied by the loss of private benefits
for the manager, the individual may use voting power to thwart any takeover
attempt.
Using the Compustat Executive Compensation (Execucomp) dataset, we
measured managerial ownership in two ways: percentage of shares owned by
top management (results reported in column 2 of Table 4) and percentage of
shares owned by the CEO (results reported in column 3 of Table 4). Column 1
shows the results without the management ownership variables. While the
signs on both of these managerial ownership variables are negative, they are
statistically insignificant. Moreover, including these variables radically lowers
the sample size (to only 5,314) since we are now constrained by the Execucomp dataset, which is limited to firms in S&P's large-cap, mid-cap, and
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small-capindices. Despite the significantreductionin sample size, the Relationshipintensity(N) variableremainspositive and significantat the 10%level
whetherthese managementvariablesare includedor excluded (see column 1,
Table4). We also reranthese results for the unsolicited takeoversubsample.
Column4 of Table4 shows the resultswithoutthe managerialownershipvariables, while columns 5 and 6 include them. As can be seen, the resultsfor the
managerialownershipvariablearequalitativelysimilarto all takeoversamples
(i.e., they are statisticallysignificant).Althoughthe Relationshipintensity(N)
variablehas the expected positive sign, it loses statisticalsignificance due to
the small sample size (103 observations).
A thirdconcernis thattheremayin partbe an investmentbankingexplanation
here, along with a commercial banking explanation.That is, there may be
a difference in the type of informationflows provided by larger universal
banks throughtheir M&A activity and/or underwritingactivity comparedto
the informationflows producedby commercialbanksthroughtheirloan activity
alone.
To examine this concern,we reranour tests of Table2 in Table5 excluding
target deals linked to the top ten M&A banks in each year as defined by
Mergers and Acquisitions magazine (column 1) and excluding the top ten
securities underwritersin each year as measuredby the amount of debt and
equity underwrittenby these banks in the SDC database (column 2). The
Relation intensity (AT)variable remains positive and statistically significant.
We also reransimilar tests focusing on the subsampleof unsolicited targets
(columns 3 and 4) and found the Relation intensity(N) variableresult to be
robust.31
A fourthconcern relates to the possibility that some of these loans may be
to back up commercialpaper issues that never get drawndown. To examine
whetherthese type of loans affect our results, in Table6 we exclude all commercialpaperbackuploans identifiedin DealScan,as well as look at the impact
of a variablethatmeasuresthe interactionbetweenloan intensityand a dummy
variableas to whethera targethas a commercialpaperratingor not.
As can be seen, the strongresults found for the Relation intensity(N) variable in the sample that included CP-relatedloans hold up in column 1 of
Table 6 when these loans are excluded. In addition, we find that interacting
our relationintensity measureswith a dummy that is 1 if there is a CP rating
and 0 otherwiseis statisticallyinsignificant.32Conductingsimilartests for the
unsolicited hostile subsampleproducedqualitativelysimilar results. Overall,
our results are consistent with Hypothesis 1, i.e., greaterlending intensityby
31 The
hypothesesdiscussed below are also robustto the exclusion of the top ten M&A and investmentbanks.We
do not includethese resultsfor reasonsof space, but they are availablefrom the authorson request.
32 We also
experimentedwith splitting the sample into different firm-size-basedgroups. We did not find any
qualitativedifference of the impact of the loan intensity variableson takeoverprobabilityaccordingto these
size splits. This may be because the smallest firms that utilize syndicatedloans and are on DealScan are large
comparedto the type of small business loans analyzedin the small business financeliterature.
63
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TheReviewof FinancialStudies/v22n
1 2009
potentialacquirerto be in the same two-digit SIC Code as the target.This criterionis based on
observabledata. According to SDC, close to 60% of hostile takeoverand M&A activity in general happens
between a targetand an acquirerwith the same two-digit SIC Code and only 30% correspondsto targetsand
acquirerswith the same four-digitSIC Code.
insignificant.
66
Table 7
Bank client network and takeover probability
1
Variable
IndustryM&Aintensity
ROA(adj.)
Sales growth(adj.)
Market/Bookassets (adj.)
Ln (Assets)
Asset structure(PPE)
Cash
Leverage
Institutionalblockholder
Rated
High yield
Badz-score
Bankdependence
Shortmaturity
Relationintensity(Exposure)
Relationintensity(N)
Banknet
Banksize
Observations
Targets
Pseudo/?2
Max.-rescaledR2
Coefficient
Wald
Coefficient
Wald
Coefficient
Wald
0.02
0.20
0.00
-0.06
0.01
-0.12
0.51
-0.13
0.76
-1.04
0.58
0.07
0.01
0.13
-0.06
0.15
0.05
0.0
3.9**
0.0
12.4***
0.4
0.3
9.6***
1.4
141.5***
41.8***
9.7***
0.8
0.0
1.9
1.0
8.4***
4.9**
0.02
0.19
0.00
-0.06
0.02
-0.13
0.50
-0.14
0.76
-1.02
0.57
0.07
-0.01
0.12
-0.07
0.16
0.08
-1.75
0.0
3.7**
0.0
12.2***
0.8
0.4
9.1***
1.5
141.2***
40.3***
9.2***
0.8
0.0
1.7
1.1
8.8***
9.5***
5.0**
-0.57
0.32
-0.11
-0.23
-0.01
-0.04
-0.50
0.21
0.69
-0.51
0.49
-0.15
-0.23
0.11
-0.14
0.21
0.09
0.34
6.6***
1.5
1.1
15.2***
0.1
0.0
1.7
0.9
27.9***
3.8**
2.7*
0.9
1.5
0.4
0.3
4.9**
3.5*
0.1
28,234
1,454
0.64
0.85
28,234
1,454
0.64
0.85
11,355
330
0.68
0.91
The focus of this table is the Bank net variable.Bank net is computedseparatelyfor each observationin the
sample and is the logarithmof the numberof potentialacquirersthat sharethe same relationshipbankwith the
potentialtarget.Potentialacquirersare selected based on the two-digit SIC Code and asset size. Bank net is
measuredover a three-yearwindow.Banksize is the relationshipbank'smarketsharebased on numberof deals
in the year of the takeoverevent. All other variablesare the same as in Table 2. Columns 1 and 2 look at the
sample of all takeovers.Column 3 looks at the subsampleof hostile takeovers.The point estimates and Wald
chi-squarestatisticsfor the industryeffects are not reported,althoughthey are includedin the logit tests and they
arejointly significantat the 1%level. Yeareffects arejointly insignificantand not includedin the logit tests. ***,
*
**, and indicatep- values of 1%,5%, and 10%,respectively.
a smaller bank (in a takeover market share sense) with a relatively large client
network are more likely to be acquired.
Looking at economic significance, we find that the impact of a bank's network
is economically important in explaining the probability of a takeover bid in
general. Conditional on Loan intensity being equal to 1 (number of loans
(AOreceived in the past three years is equal to 1), a company is exposed to
approximately three potential acquirers through its relationship bank. For this
average relationship bank client network, a firm faces a 4.8% annual average
probability of becoming a target. If the firm were to deal with an additional
relationship bank with a similar number of clients in its network, the probability
of facing a takeover increases by 1.0% per annum.
Given these results, and their support for Hypothesis 2, comparing the economic impact in Table 7 with the economic impact when we consider acquisitions where both the acquirer and the target deal with the same bank (i.e.,
have a shared lending relationship) will provide more concrete evidence of the
importance of the bank information channel in effecting takeover bids.
67
averagelevels.
68
Table 8
The probability of a takeover when the acquirer and target share the same relationship bank
1
Variable
IndustryM&Aintensity
ROA{adj.)
Sales growth{adj.)
Market/Bookassets {adj.)
Ln {Assets)
Asset structure{PPE)
Cash
Leverage
Institutionalblockholder
Rated
High yield
Badz-score
Bankdependence
Shortmaturity
Relationintensity{Exposure)
Relationintensity{M)
Banknet
Banksize
Observations
Targets
Pseudo/?2
Max.-rescaledR2
Coefficient
Wald
Coefficient
Wald
Coefficient
Wald
-0.59
0.88
-0.21
-0.14
0.18
0.60
-2.70
-0.41
0.66
-1.37
1.42
0.40
0.50
0.45
-0.01
0.78
3.0*
1.2
0.6
1.4
5.6**
0.6
6.7***
0.6
6.6***
12.1***
10.2***
1.8
2.7*
2.9*
0.1
42.8***
0.37
2.75
-0.10
0.04
0.36
0.26
-2.05
0.18
0.91
-3.03
2.73
0.57
0.33
0.09
-1.14
0.98
0.1
0.9
0.0
0.0
3.8**
0.0
0.7
0.0
2.1
7.1***
4.8**
0.8
0.3
0.0
0.5
9.1***
-0.57
0.81
-0.19
-0.13
0.27
0.64
-2.17
-0.52
0.48
-1.17
1.14
0.39
0.28
0.24
-0.01
0.44
0.44
-2.99
2.7*
0.8
0.4
1.1
9.8***
0.6
4.1**
0.9
3.4*
8.9***
6.5***
1.6
0.8
0.8
0.0
10.2***
26.2***
2.7*
3,806
107
0.70
0.93
769
26
0.69
0.92
3,806
107
0.70
0.93
This tablepresentsresultsof the maximumlikelihoodestimatesof the logit model for the 1992-2005 subsample,
where the acquirerand targetshare the same relationshipbank, excluding financialfirms identifiedwith twodigit SIC Codes 60 through65. The subsampleincludes 107 takeoversin which the targetfirm had a lending
relationshipwith a bankthatalso had a lendingrelationshipwith the acquirer.Firmswere matchedto these 107
cases basedon event year and industryand size to get 3,699 controlfirmsthatdid not face any takeoverattempt.
The dependentvariableis Bank link, which has a value of 1 if the targetand acquirerhave a common banking
relationshipand 0 otherwise.Column 1 looks at the sample of all takeovers.Column 2 looks at the subsample
of hostile takeovers.This point estimatesand Waldchi-squarestatisticsfor the industryeffects are not reported,
jointly
althoughthey are included in the logit tests and are jointly significantat the 1%level. Yeareffects are
*
insignificantand not included in the logit tests. Model 2 looks at hostile takeoversonly. ***,**, and indicate
/rvalues of 1%,5%, and 10%,respectively.
69
Table 9
The effect of an acquirer switching relationship banks on the probability of a takeover
2
1
Variable
IndustryM&Aintensity
Afterswitch
Observations
Cases
PseudoR2
Max.-rescaledR2
Coefficient
Wald
Coefficient
Wald
-1.96
1.82
114.0***
43.9***
-12.57
0.89
0.0
3.9**
649
39
0.56
0.74
54
7
0.34
0.45
This table tests how a potentialacquirerswitchingto a new relationshipbankaffects the probabilityof it bidding
for a client targetof the new relationshipbank. The dependentvariableequals 1 if the bidderis the switching
firm and 0 otherwise. Of particularinterest is the dummy variableAfter switch, which identifies the period
after the switch has occurred.This variabletakes the value 1 if the takeoveroccurs in the three years after the
switching event and 0 otherwise. We identify all takeoversin a three-yearwindow before and aftercompanies
switch relationshipbanks.Each observationin the sample is a takeoverof a client of the new/switchedto bank.
We ensure that the switcher is a potentialacquirerfor a specific firm by matchingby industry(the two-digit
SIC Code) and size to the target.Column 1 correspondsto all takeoversand column 2 correspondsto hostile
takeovers.The table presentsresultsof the maximumlikelihoodestimatesof the logit model for the 1992-2005
sample, excluding financialfirms identifiedwith two-digit SIC Codes 60 through64. Each observationin the
*
sample is the takeoverof a client of the switched-tobank. ***,**, and indicatep-values of 1%,5%, and 10%,
respectively.
70
CoefT.
f-stat
New/switchedload (dummy)
Ln (Loan amount)
Maturity
Leverage
11.28
-35.11
0.52
1.37
0.9
-9.8
2.5
2.2
***
**
71
Table 10
Bank's motives for informational transfer: multivariate analysis
2
1
Variable
IndustryM&Aintensity
ROA(adj.)
Sales growth{adj.)
Market/Bookassets {adj.)
Ln (Assets)
Asset structure(PPE)
Cash
Leverage
Institutionalblockholder
Rated
High yield
Badz-score
Shortmaturity
Bankdependence
Relation intensity(Exposure)
Relation intensity(N)
Relation intensity(N)* Bad z-score
Observations
Targets
Pseudo/?2
Max.-rescaledR2
Coefficient
Wald
Coefficient
Wald
0.02
0.17
0.00
-0.06
0.02
-0.12
0.46
-0.11
0.77
-1.04
0.57
-0.05
0.07
0.17
-0.06
0.15
0.18
0.0
3.1*
0.0
12.9***
0.6
0.3
7.9***
1.1
145.0***
42.3***
9.4***
0.2
0.5
3.3*
1.0
7.7***
6.3**
-0.57
0.30
-0.12
-0.23
-0.01
-0.03
-0.62
0.25
0.72
-0.52
0.48
-0.33
-0.13
0.19
-0.11
0.24
0.23
6.6***
1.3
1.2
15.1***
0.0
0.0
2.6*
1.3
30.6***
3.9**
2.6*
3.0*
0.5
1.1
0.3
5.9**
2.8*
28,234
1,454
0.64
0.85
11,355
330
0.68
0.91
72
Table 11
Bank's motives for informational transfer: comparison of acquirer and target
Target
Mean
Acquirer
/-ratio
Mean
/-ratio
Difference
/-ratio
z-score
S&P seniordebt rating
2.95
11.18
PanelA: Creditquality
13.4***
3.69
20.0***
9.54
13.2***
13.3***
-0.75
1.64
-2.1**
1.8*
ROA(adj.)
ROE(adj.)
Net profitmargin(adj.)
MarkeMook(adj.)
0.025
-0.011
-0.043
-0.058
Panel B: Performance
0.044
2.8***
-0.7
0.042
0.066
-0.9
0.281
-0.8
4.4***
3.6***
1.8*
2.9***
-0.020
-0.053
-0.110
-0.339
-1.5
-2.6***
-1.8*
-2.7***
Difference
/-ratio
107
Advisor = 1
Mean
Observations
ROA(adj.)
ROE(adj.)
Net profitmargin(adj.)
Market/Book(adj.)
Observations
0.021
-0.050
-0.043
-0.274
14
/-ratio
98
Advisor = 0
Mean
/-ratio
-0.000
-0.064
-0.032
-0.339
-0.0
-1.2
-0.4
-1.8*
69
This table uses a /-ratiodifferencein means tests to comparethe creditqualityof targetsand acquirersfor those
cases wherethe targetandpotentialacquirersharethe same relationshipbank(panelsA and B). PanelC analyzes
the credit quality of targetswhen the relationshipbank is the mergeradvisor to the acquirer(bidder) versus
whereit is not. Thereare 98 acquirerswith valid accountinginformationcorrespondingto the 107 targets.Only
83 cases (out of 107) had financialadvisor information.***,**, and * indicatep-values of 1%,5%, and 10%,
respectively.
for unsolicited takeoversin column 2 of Table 10. Finally, excluding the top
ten M&A banks describedearlierdid not impact the positive and significant
relationshipof the relationshipintensity-z-scoreinteractionvariable.38
This raises an interestingquestion:Why do acquirerstakeoverpoorly performingtargetsas Table 10 suggests? While we cannot addressthis question
directly,we find evidence thatacquiringfirmsmay have an incentiveto participate in this bad "debttransfer"if based on their performance(Table 11) they
ex ante believe that they can improve the performanceof the target (and by
implicationthe creditqualityof the bank'sdebt).
Table 11 comparesthe relativeperformanceof targetand acquiringfirmsin
the subsamplewhere the acquirerand targethave the same relationshipbank
(i.e., they are"linked")using a varietyof metrics.FromTable11, it can be seen,
consistent with the notion that acquirerstend to be better "performers"than
targets,that acquirershave a higher ROA, returnon equity (ROE), net profit
margins,andmarket-to-bookratiosthantargets(Table11, panel B). In addition
acquirershave higher (better) Altman z-scores and S&P senior debt ratings
(see Table 11, panel A). This suggests thatbankdebt does get transferredfrom
ex ante weakerclients of the bankto ex ante strongerclients.
38 Results not shown for reasonsof
73
TheReviewof FinancialStudies/v22n
1 2009
5. Conclusions
This paperis the first to establish the role of a privatedebt, or a bank lending
channel, in the marketfor corporatecontrol. We show that (1) bank lending
intensityhas a significantandpositiveeffect on the probabilityof a firmbecoming a target,(2) the numberof same-industryclient firmsthata bankdeals with
is positively and significantlyrelatedto the takeoverprobabilityof a borrowing
firm, (3) the importanceof bank lending intensity in predictinga takeoveris
higher for those takeoverswhere the acquirerand the target share a lending
relationshipwith the same bank, and (4) firms that switch relationshipbanks
are more likely to acquirea client of its new bankas a target.
74
Source
Description
Relationshipbank
LPC:DealScan
Bankdependence
LPC:DealScan
Banklink
LPC:DealScan
Shortmaturity
LPC:DealScan
LPC:DealScan
Loan intensity{N)
LPC:DealScan
Relationintensity{N)
LPC:DealScan
Banknet
LPC:DealScan
Banksize
LPC:DealScan
Afterswitch
LPC:DealScan
IndustryM&Aintensity
SDC
ROA
Compustat
75
continued
Ln (Assets)
Sales growth
Leverage
ROA
Ln (Assets)
Sales growth
Leverage
Cash
Ln (Equity)
Market/bookassets
Compustat
Compustat
Compustat
Compustat
Compustat
Compustat
Compustat
Compustat
Compustat
Compustat
Asset structure(PPE)
Badz-score
z-score
Compustat
Compustat
Compustat
Ln(Totalassets): Ln(Data6)
A Sales/Sales: AData 12/Data 12
Book debt/Totalassets: (Data6 - (Data 60 -I-Data 74))/Data6
EBITD/Totalassets: Data 18/Data6
Ln(Totalassets): Ln(Data6)
ASales/Sales: AData 12/Data 12
Book debt/Totalassets: (Data 6 - (Data 60 + Data 74))/Data6
Cash and Short-terminvestments/Totalassets: Data I/Data6
Ln(Marketequity):Ln(Data25*Data 199)
Marketassets/Bookassets: (Data 6 - (Data 60 + Data 74) +
Data 25*Data 199)/Data6
Property,plant,and equipment/Totalassets: Data 7/Data6
Dummyequal to 1 if z < 1.81 and 0 otherwise.
Following the Altman( 1968) model, z = 12 (Working
capital/Totalassets) + 1.4 (Retainedearnings/Totalassets) +
3.3 (EBIT/Totalassets) + 0.6 (Marketvalue of equity/Book
value of total liabilities) + 1.0 (Sales/Totalassets)
Dummyequal to 1 if thereis an institutionholding over 5% of
the company'sshares
Institutionalblockholder Spectrum
institutional
(13f) holdings
Rated
Standard&
Dummyequals 1 if the targethas a bond ratingand 0 otherwise
Poor's
Standard&
High yield
Dummyequals 1 if the targethas issued bonds with a below
Poor's
investmentgraderating
References
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