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The strength of this forum is its civilization focus; let us use it for analysis and
remedies. Major forms of disorder use violence; war is state organized violence. The
most belligerent states are the United States of America and Israel, both with
civilization roots.
National Evangelism, the US Protestant Christian civilization-- more national than
evangelical--justifies US warfare as exceptionalism of a people chosen by God, with a
manifest destiny to run the world. Orthodox Judaism justifies Israeli warfare to
conquer and expand from Nile to Euphrates as a religious right and duty to the Eternal
One.
The third most belligerent country, the UK, no longer believes it is God-chosen but
chosen by the USA; not quite the same but something.
But the root cause of global disorder lies in the Occident--with Islam--seeing itself as
the single, universal civilization valid for all at all times, all others being mistakes.
Missionary activity, slavery, colonialism, exploitative trade, robbery capitalism, follow.
The USA got from Judaism the idea of Chosen People-Promised Land. Yet Israel is
actually the opposite of the USA: a land for Jews only, for 0.2% of humanity; not a
world for everybody run by US hegemony.
These anomalies must come to an end. They spell disaster for whoever stands in the
way of the Chosen Ones, with USA killing in 100+ countries and Israel into a Third
Intifada after cruel attacks on Gaza. Both with nuclear bombs, at God's level of
destruction, on the ready.
The ways out pass through softer Christianities and Judaisms, through no military aid
for the USA or Israel, through boycott and other forms of resistance; but above all
through alternative policies. For the USA to retreat to a Northamerican Mex-Us-Can,
for Israel to a UN-guaranteed enclave in the WANA, West Asia-North Africa region, in
the old millet autonomy tradition of the Ottoman Empire-caliphate.
Like people informed of impending death they both deny any crisis in their world and
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regional empires. But reality strikes back, denying the denial. More adequate steps
will be taken, maybe before 2020.
This perspective locates solutions in regions, not in inter-state relations; more
particularly WANA and North America. With mechanisms for trauma conciliation,
conflict solution, cooperation for mutual and equal benefit, harmony, sharing up and
downs--four tasks!--veto-free regions can do very well. Their relation could be handled
by a United Regions parallel to United Nations; but with no region above others.
Look at the map: three more regions missing. Two in Asia: a Central Asian region
centered on Afghanistan-Pakistan with the Durand 1893 line gaping wound removed
by open borders; and a Northeast Asian Community, NEAC, for cooperation between
Japan and Russia Far East, two Chinas and two Koreas, sharing disputed islands and
sovereignties.
In Europe a European House for the European Union and the large Russia+, for the
four tasks. In that House U-kraina--at the 1600 years old Catholic-Orthodox
border--could be a federation with rotating presidents, neutral, gas-oil flowing from
East to West, EU trade from West to East, and Crimea 2014 understood as a
correction of 1954.
This leads to an important point for mediation: identify major trends and build
solutions on them. A swimmer who wants to swim a long way fast should swim with,
not against, the rivers current. In a world with states withering away into
regions--except for the five, six biggest--solve conflicts in regions; like in the four
proposed here.
The Islamic State is a region; trendy. Russia makes a mistake killing them: kill one, get
10 more, also from inside Russia. Like the attack on Afghanistan 1978-79: "There they
go again", Muslims say.
But the states also yield to local communities and civil society. Build on that, more of
the economies in local hands, fight inequality by lifting up the most miserable in the
most miserable communities.
Then the civilizations, but not as clashes; the word Huntington's publisher took from
Bernard Lewis for a book about regions. Let us focus on their positive aspects, for
cooperation, not for clashes:
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The role of the EU? Host millions even if only to compensate for low European fertility;
otherwise stay off, apologize, compensate. The West has done enough damage in the
world; better, reinvent itself.
_______________________________
Johan Galtung, a professor of peace studies, dr hc mult, is founder of the TRANSCEND
Network for Peace, Development and Environment and rector of the TRANSCEND
Peace University-TPU. He has published 164 books on peace and related issues, of
which 41 have been translated into 35 languages, for a total of 135 book translations,
including 50 Years-100 Peace and Conflict Perspectives, published by the
TRANSCEND University Press-TUP.
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