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Credit rating is, essentially, the opinion of the rating agency on the relative
ability and willingness of the issuer of a debt instrument to meet the debt service
obligations as and when they arise.
The basic objective of credit rating is to provide an opinion on the relative
credit risk associated with the instrument being rated. The process, in a nutshell,
involves estimating the issuers capacity to generate cash from operations and
assessing the adequacy of this estimate vis--vis the issuers debt servicing
obligations over the tenure of the instrument. Additionally, the rating process
also involves assessing the cash flow support that may be available to
supplement the operational cash flows. Such support, also termed financial
flexibility, provides an indication of an issuers ability to refinance maturing
obligations and raise finances through means such as liquidating marketable
securities and drawing group support. All factors that have a bearing on the
issuers ability to generate cash flows are considered while assigning ratings.
Conceptually, these factors may be classified as business risk, financial risk
drivers, and management related factors. ICRAs rating process places
considerable emphasis on evaluating business risks, as it does on evaluating the
financial ratios. For credit risk evaluation, stable businesses (low industry risk)
even with lower level of cash generation are viewed more favourably as
compared with businesses with higher cash generation potential but relatively
high degree of volatility associated with such cash flows (higher industry risk).
This risk analysis is complemented by a cash flow analysis that seeks to capture
the adequacy of the issuers projected cash flows vis--vis its debt servicing
obligations.
steam as the early entrants became larger and new entrants appeared. Such
parallels
between the two periods of agency expansion suggest to a historian that similar
forces
may have been at work in them. What might those forces have been?
Two additional developments contributed. One was that firms in industries other
than the railroad sector, in particular public utility and the manufacturing firms,
sought
access to the bond markets. Second, rising average levels of income and wealth
in the
United States greatly expanded the potential and actual numbers of investors. In
earlier
times only the very wealthy, a tiny minority in both Europe and America, were
interested
in bond investments, and leading investment and merchant banking houses on
both sides
of the Atlantic were capable of serving as certifiers of bond quality for that
minority. But
the old-time investment banking houses, increasingly under attack in the United
States
(the Money Trust investigation of 1912-1913, for example), were not in a good
position
to meet the demands of an expanding class of investors for certifications of
bond quality.
That was John Moodys entrepreneurial insight in 1909.
A debt rating is not one time evaluation of credit risk, which can be
regarded as valid for the entire life of the security.
A credit rating does not create fiduciary relationship between the agency
and the users
The criteria document identifies and briefly addresses some of the specific
factors considered by Credit Rating Agencies. Credit rating criteria enable
analysts to analyze and interpret information on a consistent approach. Credit
Rating Agencies refine rating criteria and benchmarks proactively, taking into
account changes in the market environment. Robust criteria assist in accurate
assessment of credit risk for an entity. Ratings are subjective credit opinions
based on various qualitative and quantitative factors; the robustness of ratings is
preserved through consistent application of updated rating criteria.
A) Business Risk:
Each credit rating analysis begins with an assessment of the company's
environment. To determine the degree of operating risk facing a company in a
given business, Credit Rating Agencies analyses the dynamics of business.
Factors assessed include the prospects for growth, stability, or decline, and the
pattern of business cycles. It is critical to determine vulnerability to
technological change, labour unrest, or the impact of government intervention.
Industries that have long lead times in building production capacity or that
require fixed plant of a specialised nature face heightened risk. The
implications of increasing competition are obviously crucial.
B) Industry Risk:
The purpose of industry analysis is to understand the conditions in which a
business operates and the changes - cyclical, competitive, and technological that it is likely to experience. Most industries exhibit some degree of cyclical
volatility and some industries are exposed to seasonal variances, too. Such
volatility affects the operating performance and financial condition of a
company. Technological change and new competitors or substitute products
can also affect performance.
Industry risks can influence the credit rating of any company or entity in the
industry. Credit Rating Agencies assigns lower ratings to companies with
extensive participation in industries of above-average risk, regardless of how
conservative their financial postures. However, Credit Rating Agencies'
methodology emphasises the business position of the company being rated in
addition to a generic risk profile for the industry in which it operates.
C) Management Risk:
The importance of a management - competency and integrity - can not be
overstated. The ability of the commercial entitys managers to guide it, exploit
opportunities, develop and execute plans, and react to market changes is
extremely important to its financial well being. The unexpected loss of one or
two key employees can be detrimental to a company, particularly a small or
mid-size firm. Even the most experienced management teams can be
challenged by high growth, which is one of the most common reasons for
business failure. They consider the risk appetite of the company and as well
evaluate its corporate governance principles.
D) Financial Risk:
There is no substitute for rigorous analysis of financial statements. The balance
sheet, income statement, sources and uses of funds statement, and financial
projections provide essential information about the companys initial and
ongoing repayment capacity. Quantitative analysis of revenues, profit margins,
income and cash flow, leverage, liquidity, and capitalization should be
sufficiently detailed to identify trends and anomalies that may affect borrower
performance. Financial risk is portrayed largely through quantitative means,
particularly by using financial ratios. Benchmarks vary greatly by industry, and
several analytical adjustments typically are required to calculate ratios for an
individual company.
Analysis of the audited financials begins with a review of accounting quality.
The purpose is to determine whether ratios and statistics derived from financial
SEBI REGULATIONS
A credit rating agency shall make all efforts to protect the interest of
investors.
A credit rating in the conduct of its business , shall observed high degree
of integrity, dignity & fairness in the conduct of its business.
A credit rating agency shall fulfill its obligation in a prompt, ethical &
professional manner.
A credit rating agency shall at all times exercise due diligence ensure
proper care & exercise independent professional judgment in order to
achieve & maintain objectivity.
A credit rating agency shall have a reasonable & adequate basis for
performing rating evaluations, with the support of appropriate & in depth
rating researches.
A credit rating agency shall have in place a rating process that reflects
consistent & international rating standards.
A credit rating agency shall not indulge in any unfair competition nor
shall it wean away the clients of any other rating agency on assurance of
high rating.
A credit rating agency shall disclose its rating methodology to clients,
users & the public.
A credit rating agency shall, wherever necessary, disclose to the clients,
possible sources of conflict of duties & interest, which could impair its
ability to make fair, objectives & unbiased ratings.
A credit rating agency shall not make any exaggerated statement, whether
oral or written, to the client either about its qualification or its capability
to render certain services or its achievement with regard to the services
rendered to other clients.
A credit rating agency shall not make any untrue statement, suppress any
material fact or make any misrepresentations in any documents, reports,
papers or information furnished to the board, stock exchange or public at
large.
A credit rating agency shall ensure that the board is promptly informed
about any action, legal proceeding etc.initiated against it alleging any
material breach or noncompliance by it, of any law, rules, regulations &
directions of the board or of any other regulatory body.
A credit rating agency shall ensure that there is no misuse of any
privileged information including prior knowledge of rating decision or
changes.
(a) a credit rating agency or any of his employees shall not render,
directly or indirectly any investment advice about any security in the
publicly accessible media.
(b) a credit rating agency shall not offer fee-based services to the rated
entities, beyond
credit ratings & research
CRISIL is the largest credit rating agency in India. CRISIL pioneered ratings in
India more than 20 years ago, and is today the undisputed business leader, with
the largest number of rated entities and rating products: CRISIL's rating
experience covers more than 23,500 entities, including 14,000 small and
medium enterprises (SMEs). As on June 30, 2010, we had more than 10,000
ratings (including 5200 SMEs) outstanding.
CRISIL's Global Analytical Centre (GAC) supports the Global Resource
Management initiative of Standard & Poor's (S&P). Under this initiative, GAC
provides resources to S&P to improve workflow efficiencies, handle end-to-end
analytical jobs, process information, and execute complex modelling
assignments.
CRISIL Ratings is trusted by issuers, investors, and intermediaries, and has
played a pivotal role in shaping India's credit market by regularly introducing
new products and services.
Rating Process
CRISIL's ratings process is designed to ensure that all ratings are based
on the highest standards of independence and analytical rigour.
From the initial meeting with the management to the assignment of the
rating, the rating process normally takes three to four weeks. However,
CRISIL has sometimes arrived at rating decisions in shorter timeframes,
to meet urgent requirements. The process of rating starts with a rating
request from the issuer, and the signing of a rating agreement. CRISIL
employs a multi-layered, decision-making process in assigning a rating.
Credit Ratings
A CRISIL rating reflects CRISIL's current opinion on the relative likelihood of
timely payment of interest and principal on the rated obligation. It is an
unbiased, objective, and independent opinion as to the issuer's capacity to meet
its financial obligations.
So far, CRISIL has rated 30,000 debt instruments, covering the entire debt
market.
The debt obligations rated by CRISIL include:
Non-convertible debentures/bonds/preference shares
Industrial companies
Banks
Non-banking financial companies (NBFCs)
Infrastructure entities
Microfinance institutions
Insurance companies
Mutual funds
State governments
Urban local bodies
A detailed flow chart of CRISIL's rating process is as below:
Since then, Duff & Phelps has continued to expand and develop its core
services. In 2006, it acquired specialty investment bank Chanin Capital
Partners, LLC. The following year, it formed a strategic alliance with Tokyobased Shinsei Bank, Ltd. and added property tax management services through
the acquisition of Rash and Associates, LP to complement its tax business. In
2008, it grew its dispute and legal management consulting services with the
acquisitions of Dubinsky & Company, P.C. and Lumin Expert Group. It also
enhanced its valuation offerings by acquiring Kane Reece Associates, Inc., a
valuation consulting firm that specializes in the communications, entertainment
and media industries.
ICRA
ICRA information products, Ratings, and solutions reflect independent,
professional and impartial opinions, which assist businesses enhance the
quality of their decisions and help issuers access a broader investor base and
even lesser known companies approach the money and capital markets. ICRA
Ratings Code of Conduct is aligned with the Code of Conduct Fundamentals for
Credit Rating Agencies issued by the Technical Committee of the International
Organization of Securities Commissions to the extent it is within the applicable
Statutes in India. The ICRA Ltd. has been promoted by IFCI at New Delhi. It is
an independent company Ltd by shares with an authorised share capital of Rs.10
crore against 5 crore is paid up. IFCI holds 26%of the share capital &74% is
contributed by UTI, LIC,GIC,PNB,CBI, Bank of Baroda,UCO Bank & HDFC
Ltd.
Objectives Of ICRA
To provide information & guidance to institutional & individual investor.
To enhance the ability of the borrower/issuers to access the money market
& the capital market for large volume of resources from investing public
To assist the regulators in promoting the transparency in the financial
market.
Corporate Review
Money & Finance
Investment Information Publications
Corporate Reports
through
ICRAs
rating
releases,
publications
and/or
website
(www.icraratings.com,
www.icra.in).
For assigning ratings, ICRA relies on all relevant information (such as audited
statements) made available to it by the issuer company, as well as on other
sources of
information (opinions of legal and other experts, for instance) that ICRA
considers
reliable. While ICRA takes reasonable care to ensure that all such information is
reliable,
it makes no representation or warranty, express or implied, as to the accuracy,
authenticity, timeliness or completeness of any such information. Further, ICRA
ratings
are not to be construed as recommendation to buy, sell, or deal in the rated
instruments.
Credit Analysis & Research Ltd. (CARE Ratings)
Overview
Credit Analysis & Research Ltd.
(CARE Ratings) is a full service rating
company that offers a wide range of
rating and grading services across
sectors. CARE has an unparallel depth
of expertise. CARE Ratings
methodologies are in line with the best
international practices.
CARE Ratings has completed over
7654 rating assignments having
aggregate value of about Rs.23121
billion (as at March 2010), since its
inception in April 1993. CARE is
recognised by Securities and Exchange
Board of India (Sebi), Government of
India (GoI) and Reserve Bank of India
(RBI) etc.
IPO grading
Mutual Fund Credit quality Ratings
Insurance Claims Paying Ability Ratings
Issuer Ratings
Grading of Construction entities
Grading of Maritime training institutes
LPG/SKO Ratings
CARE Ratings is well equipped to rate all types of debt instruments like
Commercial Paper, Fixed Deposit, Bonds, Debentures, Hybrid instruments,
Structured Obligations, Preference Shares, Loans, Asset Backed
Securities(ABS), Residential Mortgage Backed securities(RMBS) etc.
CARE Ratings has been recognized by statutory authorities and other agencies
in India for rating services. The authorities/agencies include: Securities and
Exchange Board of India (Sebi), Reserve Bank of India (RBI), Director
General, Shipping and Ministry of Petroleum and Natural Gas (MoPNG),
Government of India (GoI), National Housing Bank (NHB), National Bank for
Agriculture and Rural development (NABARD), National Small Scale
Industries Commission (NSIC). CARE Ratings has also been recognized by
RBI as an Eligible Credit Rating Agency (ECRA) for Basel II implementation
in
India.
CARE Ratings has significant presence in all sectors including Banks / FIs,
Corporate, Public finance. Coverage of CARE Ratings has extended to more
than 2811 entities over the past decade and is widely accepted by investors,
issuers and other market participants. CARE Ratings have evolved into a
valuable tool for credit risk assessment for institutional and other investors, and
over the years CARE has increasingly become a preferred rating agency.
CAREs Credit Rating is an opinion on the relative ability and willingness of an
issuer to make timely payments on specific debt or related obligations over the
life of the instrument. CARE rates rupee denominated debt of Indian companies
investors have different views regarding the level of risk to be taken and rating
agencies can only express their views on the relative credit risk.
What kind of responsibility or accountability will attach to a rating agency
if an investor, who makes his investment decision on the basis of its rating,
incurs a loss on the investment?
A credit rating is a professional opinion given after studying all available
information at a particular point of time. Nevertheless, such opinions may prove
wrong in the context of subsequent events. Further, there is no privity of
contract between an investor and a rating agency and the investor is free to
accept or reject the opinion of the agency. Nevertheless, rating is essentially an
investor service and a rating agency is expected to maintain the highest possible
level of analytical competence and integrity. In the long run, the credibility of a
rating agency has to be built, brick by brick, on the quality of its services.
Do rating companies undertake unsolicited ratings?
Not in India, at least not yet. There is however, a good case for undertaking
unsolicited ratings. It will be relevant to mention here that any rating based
entirely on published information has serious limitations and the success of a
rating agency will depend, to a great extent, on its ability to access privileged
information. Co-operation from the issuers as well as their willingness to share
even confidential information are important pre-requisites. On its part, the
rating agency has a great responsibility to ensure confidentiality of the sensitive
information that comes into its possession during the rating process.
How reliable and consistent is the rating process? How do rating agencies
eliminate the subjective element in rating?
To answer the second question first, it is neither possible nor even desirable, to
totally eliminate the subjective element. Rating does not come out of a predetermined mathematical formula, which fixes the relevant variables as well as
the weights attached to each one of them. Rating agencies do a great amount of
number crunching, but the final outcome also takes into account factors like
quality of management, corporate strategy, economic outlook and international
environment. To ensure consistency and reliability, a number of qualified
professionals are involved in the rating process. The Rating Committee, which
assigns the final rating, consists of professionals with impeccable credentials.
Rating agencies also ensure that the rating process is insulated from any
possible conflicts of interest.
Is it customary to have the same issue rated by more than one rating
agency? Do the ratings for the same instrument vary from agency to
agency?
The answer to both the questions is yes. In the well-developed capital markets,
debt issues are, more often than not, rated by more than one agency. And, it is
only natural that the opinions given by two or more agencies will vary, in some
cases. But it will be very unusual if such differences are very wide. For
example, a debt issue may be rated DOUBLE A PLUS by one agency and
DOUBLE A or DOUBLE A MINUS by another. It will indeed be unusual if one
agency assigns a rating of DOUBLE A while another gives a TRIPLE B.
Why do rating agencies monitor the issues already rated?
A rating is an opinion given on the basis of information available at a particular
point of time. As time goes by, many things change, affecting the debt servicing
capabilities of the issuer, one way or the other. It is, therefore, essential that as a
part of their investor service, rating agencies monitor all outstanding debt issues
rated by them. In the context of emerging developments, the rating agencies
often put issues under credit watch and upgrade or downgrade the ratings as and
when necessary. Normally, such action is taken after intensive interaction with
the issuers.
Do issuers have a right of appeal against a rating assigned?
Yes. In a situation where an issuer is unhappy with the rating assigned, he may
request for a review, furnishing additional information, if any, considered
relevant. The rating agency will, then, undertake a review and thereafter
indicate its final decision. Unless the rating agency had overlooked critical
information at the first stage, (which is unlikely), chances of the rating being
changed on appeal are rare.
How much time does rating take?
The rating process is a fairly detailed exercise. It involves, among other things,
analysis of published financial information, visits to the issuers office and
works, intensive discussion with the senior executives of issuer, discussions
with auditors, bankers, etc. It also involves an in-depth study of the industry
itself and a degree of environment scanning. All this takes time and a rating
agency may take three to four weeks or more to arrive at a decision, subject to
availability of all the solicited information. It is of paramount importance to
rating companies to ensure that they do not, in any way, compromise on the
quality of their analysis, under pressure from issuers for quick results. Issuers
would also be well advised to approach the rating agencies sufficiently in
advance so that issue schedules can be adhered to.
Is it possible that not satisfied with the rating assigned by one rating
agency, an issuer approaches another, in the hope of getting a better result?
It is possible, but rating companies do not and should not indulge in competitive
generosity. Any attempt by issuers to play one agency against another will have
to be discouraged by all the rating companies. It may, however, be pointed out
here that two rating companies may, and often do, arrive at different
conclusions on the same issue. This is only natural, as perceptions differ.
Who rates the rating companies?
Informed public opinion will be the touchstone on which the rating companies
have to be assessed and the success of a rating agency should be measured by
the quality of the services offered, consistency and integrity.
Is the rating assigned for an instrument or for the Issuer Company?
Both. Rating of instruments would consider instruments specific characteristics
like maturity, credit reinforcements specific to the issue etc. Issuer ratings
consider the overall debt management capability of an issuer on a medium term
perspective, typically three to five years. While issuer ratings are more often
than not, one time assessments of credit quality, instrument ratings are
monitored over the life of the instrument.
Why are equity shares not rated?
By definition, credit rating is an opinion on the issuers capacity to service debt.
In the case of equity, there is no pre-determined servicing obligation, as equity
is in the nature of venture capital. So, credit rating in the conventional sense
does not apply to equity shares. However, of late, credit rating agencies offer
grading of IPOs which take into account the fundamentals of the issuer.
If a rating is downgraded, how would it "benefit" (or compensate ) the
investor?
A credit rating is a professional opinion on the ability and willingness of an
issuer to meet debt-servicing obligations. It is an opinion on future debt
servicing capabilities given on the basis, inter-alia, of past performance and all
available information (from audited financial statements, interaction with
company management, banks and financial institutions, statutory auditors, etc.)
at a particular time. While rating agencies make all possible efforts to project
corporate business prospects, industry trends and management capabilities,
many events are unpredictable. Hence, such opinions may prove wrong in the
context of subsequent events. On the occurrence of such an event, a rating
agency can only review and make appropriate changes in the rating. Moreover,
when there are recessionary trends in certain segments of the economy,
companies in such segments or with large exposures to such segments are
adversely affected and their credit ratings get downgraded. Such
downgradations are a natural consequence of the recessionary trends. In other
words, credit quality (and credit rating) is dynamic, not static and all rating
agencies review their ratings periodically and make changes, wherever
considered appropriate. Such changes are reported widely through the media. It
is the experience of all rating agencies that some instruments initially rated as
investment grade fall below investment grade or go into default, over a period
of time.
Further, it must be noted that there is no privity of contract between an investor
or a lender and a rating agency and the investor is free to accept or reject the
opinion of the agency. A credit rating is not an advice to buy, sell or hold
securities or investments and investors are expected to take their investment
decisions after considering all relevant factors and their own policies and
priorities. A credit rating is not a guarantee against future losses. Please also
note that credit ratings do not take into account many aspects which influence
investment decisions. They do not, for example, evaluate the reasonableness of
the issue price, possibilities for capital gains or take into account the liquidity in
the secondary market. Ratings also do not take into account the risk of
prepayment by issuer, or interest or exchange risks. Although these are often
related to the credit risk, the rating essentially is an opinion on the relative
quality of the credit risk, based on the information available at a given point of
time.
BIBLIOGRAPHY
Books referred
1. Indian Financial System by Bharati Pathak
2. Capital Markets in India by Rajesh Chakrabarti and Sankar De
Websites referred
www.icra.in
www.crisil.com
www.duffandphelps.com
www.careratings.com
www.investopedia.com