Hidrologia Estadistica - Extender y Completar Datos

Alumno: Edison Auccapia Perez
Codigo: 06130124
ESTACIO
AO
ENE.
FEB
MAR.
ABR.
MAY.
1963
100.3
261.7
497.5
290.8
72.2
1961
1965
1966
1967
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
84.7
124.6
86.1
273.3
36.7
58
138.1
57.8
90.7
151.1
100.5
114
225.1
102.5
126.8
66.2
81.3
214.7
38
65.6
32.5
43.3
88.6
129.9
164.9
45.1
136.8
116.7
198.9
240.5
207.5
126.1
83.8
241.2
139.1
359.9
432.3
240.6
18.1
245.8
125.4
30.7
139
241.7
133
87.7
20.6
115.9
717.2
127.9
69.2
136
135.5
70.6
81
30.1
57.3
35.5
35.5
36.7
10.8
36
116
40.2
56
107.3
33.7
5.5
67.6
27.7
1978
27.3
86.5
121.8
57.4
25.3
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1981
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1991
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
42.3
19.7
79.4
9.5
85.6
87.5
132.4
61.1
222.1
85.9
276.8
37.2
35.4
183.9
61.6
99.2
142.5
66.4
25.3
416.3
124
82.1
35.3
216
19.5
74.2
419.3
133.4
100.8
359.5
81.8
444.4
46.4
149.9
78.2
170.4
120.9
142.9
158.6
244.5
627.5
295.8
198.7
89.2
78.9
28.4
191.2
307.3
208.8
143
177.7
128.6
480.9
96.9
324.1
318.3
385.9
261.7
113.5
166.2
129.6
783.9
124.6
35.6
25.1
12.5
114.6
219
365.2
100.2
286.3
635.3
361.3
355.8
78
349.1
174.4
215.1
139
32.7
82.4
119.8
423.5
221.4
2.5
1.5
0
24.5
112.1
309.1
51.4
26.8
33.1
207.6
69
5.2
265.3
246.7
0
96.1
25.1
32.9
21.1
112.3
100.3
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
MEDIA
D.EST.
65.9
131.8
13.6
98.3
30.6
68.3
138.4
61.8
145
104.9
77.5
216.3
99.1
226.4
98.1
109.7
131.9
312.3
51.1
351
158.6
124.8
268.6
403.4
383.8
89.3
119.4
231.8
371.3
230.6
345.7
228.1
146
185
207.2
186.2
84.5
100.7
77
58.2
116.4
208.7
174.4
148.1
83.5
31
21.4
55.9
52.2
5.6
14.9
54.4
41.2
62.4
68.8
ESTACIO
ANO
1963
1964
1965
1966
1967
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
ENE.
78.6
69.5
106
99.4
235.2
19.5
84.4
131.1
77.4
95.5
123.9
75.5
128.7
260.9
94.2
34.7
49
21.2
70.6
39.1
185.9
57.3
94.4
92.7
158.8
75
200.2
28
FEB
219.5
133.6
53.5
79.1
212.5
20.2
94.1
48.2
72.5
92.8
149.8
156.4
119.8
147.1
225.3
90.2
79
45.9
255.4
38.1
133.8
347.2
109.4
95.9
273.2
118.8
345.8
66
MAR.
388.1
172.6
202.9
148
134.1
95.9
256.9
165.4
413.3
512.9
261.6
35.5
266.2
110.8
159.4
221.7
246.9
111.1
126.4
56.7
319.3
300.8
182.3
161.5
149.4
77.6
350.7
131.3
ABR.
328.2
217
258.2
117.6
155.6
38.4
148.1
451.6
130.4
138.3
228
138.2
152.2
109.2
101.1
150.3
70.6
49.9
74.1
164.3
269.4
268
88.6
307.3
394.1
289.6
262.4
102.6
MAY.
97.7
49.8
47.6
18.9
50.8
12
77.7
143.6
79.7
72
113.1
67.1
133.9
63.7
32.4
51.9
46.1
20.3
23.9
51.5
91.1
226.2
53.5
44.2
21.7
152.1
54.4
20.1
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
MEDIA
D.EST.
25.8
144.2
75.6
124
129.4
83.8
38
341.8
137.5
86.8
145.9
15.7
98.6
41.9
68.7
137.9
56.8
150.9
102
65.1
137.4
61.1
178.9
141.2
148.8
179.5
222.7
444.2
352.7
381.9
91.8
244.2
107.8
115.3
139.2
281.3
49.6
364.5
162.3
103.9
228.5
277.7
367.2
260.2
144.8
202.5
103
641.4
119.8
205
422.8
269.7
76
117.8
256.7
377
267.3
373.5
227.6
124.9
256
181
253
188.9
81
135.5
160.8
413.4
267.7
254.9
220.8
227.7
93.1
136
74.1
72.3
186.7
260.6
188.4
96.9
192.8
165.6
52
119.3
53
52.2
23.2
105.4
129.9
142.1
42.6
26.2
68.5
56
8.8
36.5
64.3
66.1
72.2
49.3
ESTACIO
ANO
1963
1964
1965
1966
1967
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
ENE.
46.8
45.4
73.7
99.6
166.8
0
99.5
107.1
86.6
87.8
80.7
41
126.4
262.1
73.7
37.4
49.1
19.9
FEB
149.1
122.9
33.9
66.5
182.5
0
110
57.3
91.8
84.8
149.8
127.5
177.8
138.1
303
81.9
65.5
50.3
MAR.
229.1
124
139.2
69.7
124.5
95.4
238.7
169.7
411.8
525.3
248
48
251.6
81.9
265.6
291.3
262.1
118.2
ABR.
322.1
265.6
240.8
86.9
202.3
50.9
160.5
129.9
115.8
188.4
289
122.9
212.9
122.9
158
222.3
95.9
67.9
MAY.
110.2
35.9
53.4
0
58
11.7
108.8
152.1
108.2
78.4
101.1
91.3
243.4
51.5
32.8
71.4
83.1
36.3
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1991
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
MEDIA
D.EST.
52.7
63.2
260.7
19.9
44.5
108.8
75.5
51.4
98.3
15.2
12.9
86
79.6
132.2
99.5
90.1
45.6
223.5
132.8
95.9
137.7
15.7
86
47.5
60
119.2
44.5
137
85.7
57.4
260.9
51.5
175.1
230.5
71.4
78.4
152.1
139.8
203
76.6
107.1
36.3
163.8
142.7
135.1
176.7
172
204.8
362.7
495.5
72.5
229.8
103.3
105.8
128.2
213.9
41.7
330.1
144.7
93.9
156.8
77.2
401
255.1
132.2
158.5
101.8
17
176.1
148
104.1
201.2
300.7
224.6
156.8
211.8
63.2
416.5
99.5
115.4
386.6
121.7
52.9
100.9
247.7
333.3
268.5
352.1
197.3
114.2
125.2
191.9
284
136.9
65.5
287.8
101.1
180.8
135.7
113.5
130.5
163.8
257.4
213.5
118.2
170.2
180.2
349.2
278.5
290.5
205.3
238.9
89.4
153
61.7
76.8
231.7
277.6
177.5
76.9
44.5
71.4
58.5
114.7
45.6
55.6
7.6
77.2
32.8
32.2
95.9
63.8
96.5
126.5
73.7
64.4
22.2
84.8
142.2
181.4
48.4
27.5
72
52.4
10.8
53
65.8
82
72.5
46
PREC
ESTACION 3002
JUN.
JUL.
AGO.
SET.
OCT.
NOV.
21.6
25.8
34.4
62.5
69.3
51.2
22.8
19.1
7.2
11.3
2.4
34.7
29.8
36.2
29.5
29.3
68.9
27.3
56.4
15
26.5
31.4
7.5
33.8
34.6
0
10.9
28.2
0
14.9
8.1
0.3
2.5
4.5
78.8
25.6
3.4
37.9
21.1
49.6
67
71.5
12
28
14.9
48.7
15.2
0
71.3
74.1
75.2
38.8
49.1
13.7
50.4
101.6
21.4
82.1
58.8
116.2
7.1
39.8
90.3
60.7
84
59.7
65.1
30.8
87.7
73.9
37.8
17.8
24
134.6
25.5
52.5
58.1
60.4
22.2
1.5
27.5
72.5
26.8
52.6
12.6
11.9
16.8
34.8
13.8
19.3
8.4
19.4
4.9
111.8
23
17.4
0
0
27.9
2.7
0
214.4
25
16.9
15.3
23.9
175.1
174.4
8.2
217.5
0
46.9
6
19.3
22.9
26.4
60.6
3.3
6.3
20.9
12.5
0
97.7
31.3
28
22
0
0
44.5
0
0
21.8
0
45.3
0
0
15
43.5
19.6
11.8
7.1
0
18.3
83.1
52
74
22
81.1
21.8
0
0
0
3.7
0
0
32.7
0
10.5
25.2
43.9
27.7
31.8
19.5
97.1
74.6
38.4
42.3
60.9
57.7
140.6
29.1
13.1
48.4
60.4
26.6
44.9
24.2
31.7
101.3
82.5
19.6
192.7
90.5
90.6
53
91.7
56.8
64.5
146.5
190.4
281.9
116.3
64
40.3
332.7
19
56.5
88.3
55.8
146.9
22.3
12.4
34.3
16.9
43.1
25.7
71.7
35
89.8
92.7
209.3
61.1
220.8
236.3
10.9
102.5
36
26.2
0
145.4
38.7
9.6
54.1
30.5
19
30.2
8.1
21.6
45.3
16.4
32.7
38.3
51.4
7.4
23.9
1.3
20.3
23.5
1.5
21.6
6.6
25.5
16.8
18.2
21.1
0
0
6.4
0
12.6
9.9
24.4
36.8
23.6
24.7
82.8
145.7
15.5
19.7
34.3
8.5
38.8
23.5
29.8
53.7
34
12.3
34.1
53.6
19
70.4
54.6
1.2
97.6
85.9
78
65.3
39
44.1
61.1
37.7
14.1
36.7
54.7
79.2
68.8
53.3
53.2
AGO.
22.9
79.1
13.6
16.9
52.1
46.5
55.4
67.7
152.7
6.4
38.2
17.4
150
16.3
0
6.7
40.1
9.4
21.4
1.3
9.7
58.7
43.4
90.1
44.8
107.4
26.7
0
SET.
91.1
76.6
93.9
108
48.5
67.4
9.8
57.7
138.2
20.8
97.9
71.6
214.3
7.6
50.8
137.6
41
14.7
43.4
42.5
92.6
95.1
48.1
29.4
86.3
43
87.7
17.7
OCT.
89.8
128.7
125.3
104
116.6
96.4
40.4
99
118.7
43.4
29
43.6
130.9
28.7
47.5
12.2
17.4
183.2
106.1
90.4
68.5
139.5
57.9
74.7
91.8
148.6
255.2
105.7
NOV.
56.9
59.3
72
33.9
7.7
43.6
92.1
39.5
50.7
20.6
71.2
23.4
27.3
18.7
53.7
49
19.2
72.5
31.7
56.9
13.7
42.6
28.7
98.8
55
173.1
48.3
162.9
ESTACION 2002
JUN.
49.3
18.9
10.2
7.5
31.2
1.3
43
35.4
57.4
42.2
30.1
72.6
50.4
114.4
30.7
4.5
0
14.5
65.2
3.3
53.6
204.8
16.4
9
8.1
29.4
134.1
113.9
JUL.
20.6
30.5
16.7
10.5
35.6
37.6
3.2
32.9
55.2
0
23.7
32.6
23.5
1.3
8.7
19.1
4.9
8.4
24.4
12.3
0
111.8
24.2
17.7
19.9
17.3
0
25.9
6.2
120.1
20.8
41.6
3.8
21.9
23.5
32.6
91.5
60
43.6
20.3
66.9
5.4
23.7
48.2
11.2
34
41.9
41
2.5
3.2
21.4
1.3
54.1
0
0
11.8
59.1
3.9
28.2
1
15.1
33.9
2
25.1
10.3
31.8
20.1
20.4
3.2
2.5
14.9
2.8
15.8
32.5
0
17.2
26.9
22.9
0
0
3.9
0
9.8
7.9
27.5
64
31.5
36.2
7
50.3
83.8
42.2
40.3
20.8
30.7
78.8
91.5
87.6
148.5
11.5
19.3
43.7
10.4
56.2
13.4
45.1
61.2
42.9
66.2
50.4
245.2
43.8
99
114.7
43.9
105.9
70.5
10.7
29.3
63.3
16.6
103.8
72.3
6.3
101.8
131.6
86.3
54
156.3
34.5
74.4
47.5
71.3
2.5
182.9
26.9
10.8
41
52.8
66.8
50.3
24
48.3
80.8
97.2
95.1
58.4
41.6
AGO.
8.5
69
0
28
59.2
65.5
53.8
59.6
212.9
0
43.3
17.6
230.5
15.2
0
7.6
55
5.9
SET.
107.5
71.8
101.1
126.2
51.7
76.6
4.7
57.3
156.2
17.6
100.6
74.9
283.1
7
55
145.1
32.8
0
OCT.
98.3
149.8
172.7
110.1
157.6
114.7
44.5
97.1
147.4
43.3
36.3
57.3
110
28.1
36.3
0
12.9
149.8
NOV.
55
52.7
74.1
41
12.8
53.8
99.5
46.8
42.1
25.7
120.5
26.9
16.4
21.1
80.7
73.7
23.4
100.6
ESTACION 1002
JUN.
70.3
12.5
0
6.8
46.7
0
45.6
36.3
70.8
49.1
26.9
66.7
66.7
156.8
42.1
0
0
26.9
JUL.
12.6
30.4
0
12.1
32.8
35.7
5.9
50.3
74.5
0
29.3
52.7
43.3
0
11.7
16.4
5.9
9.4
93.6
3.5
99.5
168.5
5.9
0
0
31
76.1
39.2
3.5
8.2
38.6
31
1.2
21.6
21.1
34.5
110
57.9
50.8
19
94.4
2
22.7
44.7
4.6
30.9
40
39.6
24.6
10.5
0
111.2
14
5.3
15.2
32.2
0
4.1
4.7
5.9
18.1
2.3
55.6
0
0
7
66.7
0
28.8
0.6
8
39.7
2.2
25.3
12.6
33.9
20.7
23.3
32.8
2.3
0
26.9
29.3
91.2
61.4
119.3
28.1
0
5.9
4.7
24
5.3
29.3
28.1
0
21.6
25.2
21.6
0
0
0.8
0
5.6
4.9
27
82.5
35
48.7
49.1
59.7
76.1
103
51.5
12.9
100
22.8
24
4.1
0
45.6
95.9
52.1
30.4
14.6
25.7
46.2
88.3
80.8
131.9
6.1
16.4
47.3
10.9
66
1.6
54.4
60.6
52.7
107.6
78.4
74.9
168.5
51.5
75
25.7
87.8
195.4
81.3
59.7
53.8
126.6
62.6
128.1
125.8
26.3
51.5
108.8
7.7
20.7
64.6
12.1
123.2
80.3
10.5
92.7
159.6
83.2
50.6
42.1
63.2
0
8.2
18.7
94.8
10.5
114.7
29.3
84.2
56.7
53.2
36.9
52.7
106.5
4.7
196
11.7
10.5
37.6
54.4
63.6
56.2
30.7
53.5
96.1
102.1
108.6
55.7
38.9
PRECIPITACION EN LA CUENCA DEL RIO ZAA ENTRE
DIC.
TOTAL
43.2
1530.5
31.3
68.5
70
10.9
22
88.3
116.5
98.9
132.1
58.6
18.4
13.3
40.3
23.9
985.7
1048.1
813
932.6
411.7
806.3
1532
1092
982.3
1007.5
662.5
856.2
796.6
462.7
48.8
552.1
8.7
26.4
19.5
54.4
70.4
128.8
42.3
167.5
15.3
86.5
0
164.2
108.5
32.7
189.7
68.6
68.3
32.7
168
58.5
68.2
468.8
470
601.5
419.3
949.6
2250.3
909.9
1104.2
1802.3
1514.1
2307.3
1013
1553.8
1351.2
1543.5
913.9
703.8
703.7
964.1
2760.8
1178.1
Estaciones Pluviometrica
Mapa de ubicacion de las es
76.3
104.4
65.1
100.4
72
24.2
33.4
48.1
2.8
65
47
1112.3
1258.3
1046.9
659.8
635
674.4
1100
810.2
1373.9
1057.1
DIC.
34.3
43.7
54
87.8
14.4
18.1
103.7
105.5
100.5
121.3
56.4
44.5
13.4
70.6
42.9
50.6
6.5
39.9
33.1
93.8
91
96.9
55.3
177.3
15.4
53.9
0
104
TOTAL
1477
1079.3
1053.9
831.5
1094.4
497
1008.8
1377.4
1446.5
1166.2
1222.8
778.4
1410.7
949.3
846.6
828.3
620.5
590.9
875.7
650.3
1328.6
1949
802.3
1198.7
1318.4
1285.7
1765.4
878
80.4
25.6
137.1
88.1
92.4
30.6
164
75.6
72.2
94.7
98.3
83.6
119.1
89.9
37.9
45.8
47.2
2.8
67.7
41
1162.3
1116.2
1524.2
1100.9
933.6
876.6
992.8
2295
1430.1
1391.4
1324.6
1030.1
735.2
767.6
751.9
1175.3
933.4
1620.1
1119.4
DIC.
21.1
50.3
32.6
94
16
11.9
105.3
80.7
88.9
94.8
46.8
64.4
11.7
91.3
56.2
45.6
3.5
48
TOTAL
1230.6
1030.3
921.5
740.7
1110.9
516.2
1076.6
1044.1
1607.2
1195.2
1275.3
790.9
1773.7
975.8
1115
992.7
689.1
633
42.1
120.5
99.5
52.7
60.8
163.8
13.5
14.6
0
31
42.1
15.2
67.3
95.9
104.1
24.6
138.6
82.5
66.7
100.5
79.4
91
122
95.7
46.4
52.1
40.1
2.3
61.5
39
1031.9
793.3
1529.1
1395.8
590.9
1135
667.5
891.5
998.6
629.5
623
737.7
1305.4
1141.5
1038.4
932.5
891
1533.9
1491.8
1484.8
1216.6
878.4
713.3
798.1
730
1095.7
932.8
1651
1034.3
RIO ZAA ENTRE LOS AOS 1963 Y 2008
nes Pluviometricas
bicacion de las estaciones pluviometric
1. Evaluando las estaciones, siendo la estacion 1002 la estacion a completar

Estacion 3002
AO
1963
1961
1965
1966
1967
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1981
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1991
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
TOTAL
1530.5
985.7
1048.1
813
932.6
411.7
806.3
1532
1092
982.3
1007.5
662.5
856.2
796.6
462.7
552.1
468.8
470
601.5
419.3
949.6
2250.3
909.9
1104.2
1802.3
1514.1
2307.3
1013
1553.8
1351.2
1543.5
913.9
703.8
703.7
964.1
2760.8
1178.1
1112.3
Estacion 2002
ANO
1963
1964
1965
1966
1967
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
TOTAL
1477
1079.3
1053.9
831.5
1094.4
497
1008.8
1377.4
1446.5
1166.2
1222.8
778.4
1410.7
949.3
846.6
828.3
620.5
590.9
875.7
650.3
1328.6
1949
802.3
1198.7
1318.4
1285.7
1765.4
878
1162.3
1116.2
1524.2
1100.9
933.6
876.6
992.8
2295
1430.1
1391.4
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
1258.3
1046.9
659.8
635
674.4
1100
810.2
1373.9
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
1324.6
1030.1
735.2
767.6
751.9
1175.3
933.4
1620.1
2. Evaluando si las estacion es son independientes o dependientes med

Estacion 3002
AO
TOTAL
1963
1530.5
1961
985.7
1965
1048.1
1966
813
1967
n=
46
k=n/3=
XT
15
XT+1
XT+2
1530.5
985.7
1530.5
1048.1
985.7
1530.5
813
1048.1
985.7
932.6
932.6
813
1048.1
1968
411.7
411.7
932.6
813
1969
806.3
806.3
411.7
932.6
1970
1532
1532
806.3
411.7
1971
1092
1092
1532
806.3
1972
982.3
982.3
1092
1532
1973
1007.5
1007.5
982.3
1092
1974
662.5
662.5
1007.5
982.3
1975
856.2
856.2
662.5
1007.5
1976
796.6
796.6
856.2
662.5
1977
462.7
462.7
796.6
856.2
1978
552.1
552.1
462.7
796.6
1979
468.8
468.8
552.1
462.7
1980
470
470
468.8
552.1
1981
601.5
601.5
470
468.8
1982
419.3
419.3
601.5
470
1983
949.6
949.6
419.3
601.5
1981
2250.3
2250.3
949.6
419.3
1985
909.9
909.9
2250.3
949.6
1986
1104.2
1104.2
909.9
2250.3
1987
1802.3
1802.3
1104.2
909.9
1988
1514.1
1514.1
1802.3
1104.2
1989
2307.3
2307.3
1514.1
1802.3
1990
1013
1013
2307.3
1514.1
1991
1553.8
1553.8
1013
2307.3
1992
1351.2
1351.2
1553.8
1013
1993
1543.5
1543.5
1351.2
1553.8
1991
913.9
913.9
1543.5
1351.2
1995
703.8
703.8
913.9
1543.5
1996
703.7
703.7
703.8
913.9
1997
964.1
964.1
703.7
703.8
1998
2760.8
2760.8
964.1
703.7
1999
1178.1
1178.1
2760.8
964.1
2000
1112.3
1112.3
1178.1
2760.8
2001
1258.3
1258.3
1112.3
1178.1
2002
1046.9
1046.9
1258.3
1112.3
2003
659.8
659.8
1046.9
1258.3
2004
635
635
659.8
1046.9
2005
674.4
674.4
635
659.8
2006
1100
1100
674.4
635
2007
810.2
810.2
1100
674.4
2008
1373.9
1373.9
810.2
1100
r1
r2
0.2918881 0.18724673
k
Lim Inf.
Lim. Sup.
Graficando:
-0.31113709 0.2918881
0.26669265
-0.31483135 0.18724673 0.26937681
-0.31865702 0.14065584 0.27214539
0.4
-0.32262199 0.07137307 0.27500294
0.3
-0.32673484 0.09066717 0.27795435
-0.3310049 -0.11691467 0.2810049
-0.33544234 -0.11256179 0.28416029
-0.34005828 -0.07561828 0.2874267
0.2
0.1
0
-0.1
-0.2
-0.3
0.1
0
-0.34486486 0.08195048 0.29081081
-0.1
10
-0.34987545 -0.05359112 0.2943199
-0.2
11
-0.35510473 -0.0746466 0.29796188
-0.3
12
-0.36056891 -0.20262825 0.30174538
13
-0.36628589 -0.11873751 0.30567983
14
-0.37227557 0.18289907 0.30977557
15
-0.37856007 -0.17915218 0.31404394
-0.4
-0.5
Como mas del 90 % de r(k) estan dentro de los limites de confianza se concluye que los se
3. Mostrando las estaciones 2002, 3002, con la misma cantidad de dato

Estacion 3002
AO
1963
1965
1966
1967
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1975
1976
1977
1979
1980
1981
1983
1981
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1991
1992
1991
1995
1996
TOTAL
1530.5
1048.1
813
932.6
806.3
1532
1092
982.3
1007.5
856.2
796.6
462.7
468.8
470
601.5
949.6
2250.3
909.9
1104.2
1802.3
1514.1
2307.3
1553.8
1351.2
913.9
703.8
703.7
Estacion 2002
ANO
1963
1965
1966
1967
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1975
1976
1977
1979
1980
1981
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1991
1992
1994
1995
1996
TOTAL
1477
1053.9
831.5
1094.4
1008.8
1377.4
1446.5
1166.2
1222.8
1410.7
949.3
846.6
620.5
590.9
875.7
1328.6
1949
802.3
1198.7
1318.4
1285.7
1765.4
1162.3
1116.2
1100.9
933.6
876.6
1998
1999
2000
2002
2003
2004
2006
2007
2008
2760.8
1178.1
1112.3
1046.9
659.8
635
1100
810.2
1373.9
1998
1999
2000
2002
2003
2004
2006
2007
2008
2295
1430.1
1391.4
1030.1
735.2
767.6
1175.3
933.4
1620.1
4. Determinar la mejor relacion entre la estacion con informacion faltan
r1=
0.66957585
Coeficiente de correlacion entre los datos de la e
r2=
0.25423705
Coeficiente de correlacion entre los datos de la e
Como r1>r2. Se escoge la estacion 2002 como la estacion usada para completar la informacion faltan
5. Prueba de hipotesis para r=r1
r=
0.66957585
Evaluando r mediante prueba de hipotesis
Planteamiento de hipotesis
Ho:
=0
Ha:
0
sea el nivel de significacin = 0.05
Seleccin de la prueba estadstica -> Prueba T
Calculo del valor de la prueba (Tc)
Tc=
5.25654359
Hallando Tt
=
0.05
GL=
34
Tt=
2.03224451
Como |Tc| > Tt hay buena relacion entre las variables por lo tanto,
6. Calculando los coeficientes para la ecuacion de regresion
Estacion
2002
Estacion
1002
TOTAL
1477
1053.9
831.5
1094.4
1008.8
1377.4
TOTAL
1230.6
921.5
740.7
1110.9
1076.6
1044.1
Sea x: Datos de la estacion a ompletar

Sea y: Datos de la estacion usada para completar
Se tiene la ecuacion:
x xI r
Donde:
r=
S1(x) =
S1 ( x)
( y y I ) 1 r 2 S1 ( x) t
S I ( y)
0.66957585
320.398896
1446.5
1166.2
1222.8
1410.7
949.3
846.6
620.5
590.9
875.7
1328.6
1949
802.3
1198.7
1318.4
1285.7
1765.4
1162.3
1116.2
1100.9
933.6
876.6
2295
1430.1
1391.4
1030.1
735.2
767.6
1175.3
933.4
1620.1
1607.2
1195.2
1275.3
1773.7
975.8
1115
689.1
633
1031.9
1529.1
1395.8
590.9
1135
667.5
891.5
998.6
623
737.7
1141.5
1038.4
932.5
1533.9
1491.8
1484.8
878.4
713.3
798.1
1095.7
932.8
1651
S1(y)=
xI
yI
363.725739
1074.49722
1171.89167
0
tacion a completar
Estacion 1002
ANO
1963
1964
1965
1966
1967
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1991
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
TOTAL
1230.6
921.5
740.7
1110.9
1076.6
1044.1
1607.2
1195.2
1275.3
1773.7
975.8
1115
689.1
633
1031.9
1529.1
1395.8
590.9
1135
667.5
891.5
998.6
623
737.7
1141.5
1038.4
932.5
1533.9
1491.8
1484.8
Estacion 1002
ANO
1963
1964
1965
1966
1967
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1991
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
878.4
713.3
798.1
1095.7
932.8
1651
es o dependientes mediante la prueba de Anderson
XT+3
XT+4
XT+5
XT+6
XT+7
XT+8
1530.5
985.7
1530.5
1048.1
985.7
1530.5
813
1048.1
985.7
1530.5
932.6
813
1048.1
985.7
1530.5
411.7
932.6
813
1048.1
985.7
1530.5
806.3
411.7
932.6
813
1048.1
985.7
1532
806.3
411.7
932.6
813
1048.1
1092
1532
806.3
411.7
932.6
813
982.3
1092
1532
806.3
411.7
932.6
1007.5
982.3
1092
1532
806.3
411.7
662.5
1007.5
982.3
1092
1532
806.3
856.2
662.5
1007.5
982.3
1092
1532
796.6
856.2
662.5
1007.5
982.3
1092
462.7
796.6
856.2
662.5
1007.5
982.3
552.1
462.7
796.6
856.2
662.5
1007.5
468.8
552.1
462.7
796.6
856.2
662.5
470
468.8
552.1
462.7
796.6
856.2
601.5
470
468.8
552.1
462.7
796.6
419.3
601.5
470
468.8
552.1
462.7
949.6
419.3
601.5
470
468.8
552.1
2250.3
949.6
419.3
601.5
470
468.8
909.9
2250.3
949.6
419.3
601.5
470
1104.2
909.9
2250.3
949.6
419.3
601.5
1802.3
1104.2
909.9
2250.3
949.6
419.3
1514.1
1802.3
1104.2
909.9
2250.3
949.6
2307.3
1514.1
1802.3
1104.2
909.9
2250.3
1013
2307.3
1514.1
1802.3
1104.2
909.9
1553.8
1013
2307.3
1514.1
1802.3
1104.2
1351.2
1553.8
1013
2307.3
1514.1
1802.3
1543.5
1351.2
1553.8
1013
2307.3
1514.1
913.9
1543.5
1351.2
1553.8
1013
2307.3
703.8
913.9
1543.5
1351.2
1553.8
1013
703.7
703.8
913.9
1543.5
1351.2
1553.8
964.1
703.7
703.8
913.9
1543.5
1351.2
2760.8
964.1
703.7
703.8
913.9
1543.5
1178.1
2760.8
964.1
703.7
703.8
913.9
1112.3
1178.1
2760.8
964.1
703.7
703.8
1258.3
1112.3
1178.1
2760.8
964.1
703.7
1046.9
1258.3
1112.3
1178.1
2760.8
964.1
659.8
1046.9
1258.3
1112.3
1178.1
2760.8
635
659.8
1046.9
1258.3
1112.3
1178.1
674.4
635
659.8
1046.9
1258.3
1112.3
r3
r4
r5
r6
r7
r8
0.14065584 0.07137307 0.09066717 -0.11691467 -0.11256179 -0.07561828
Limites de confianza
10
11
12
13
14
15
Lim. Inf.
r(k)
10
Lim. Sup.
anza se concluye que los serie de datos es independiente
isma cantidad de datos que la estacion 1002

Estacion 1002
ANO
1963
1965
1966
1967
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1975
1976
1977
1979
1980
1981
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1991
1992
1991
1995
1996
TOTAL
1230.6
921.5
740.7
1110.9
1076.6
1044.1
1607.2
1195.2
1275.3
1773.7
975.8
1115
689.1
633
1031.9
1529.1
1395.8
590.9
1135
667.5
891.5
998.6
623
737.7
1141.5
1038.4
932.5
11
12
13
14
15
1998
1999
2000
2002
2003
2004
2006
2007
2008
1533.9
1491.8
1484.8
878.4
713.3
798.1
1095.7
932.8
1651
con informacion faltante y las demas estaciones
rrelacion entre los datos de la estacion 1002 y la estacion 2002

rrelacion entre los datos de la estacion 1002 y la estacion 3002
completar la informacion faltante en la estacion 1002
e las variables por lo tanto, se procede a completar los datos faltantes
regresion
ada para completar
) 1 r 2 S1 ( x ) t
Datos
completados
Estacion 2002
ANO
1963
1964
1965
1966
1967
1968
TOTAL
1477
1079.3
1053.9
831.5
1094.4
497
Estacion 1002
ANO
1963
1964
1965
1966
1967
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
1008.8
1377.4
1446.5
1166.2
1222.8
778.4
1410.7
949.3
846.6
828.3
620.5
590.9
875.7
650.3
1328.6
1949
802.3
1198.7
1318.4
1285.7
1765.4
878
1162.3
1116.2
1524.2
1100.9
933.6
876.6
992.8
2295
1430.1
1391.4
1324.6
1030.1
735.2
767.6
751.9
1175.3
933.4
1620.1
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1991
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
Var(I) =
Var(II) =
Como Var(I) > Var (II) el modelo
funciona bien
Estacion 1002
TOTAL
1230.6
1030.3
921.5
740.7
1110.9
516.2
1076.6
1044.1
1607.2
1195.2
1275.3
790.9
1773.7
975.8
1115
992.7
689.1
633
1031.9
793.3
1529.1
1395.8
590.9
1135
667.5
891.5
998.6
629.5
623
737.7
1305.4
1141.5
1038.4
932.5
891
1533.9
1491.8
1484.8
1216.6
878.4
713.3
798.1
730
1095.7
932.8
1651
XT+9
XT+10
XT+11
XT+12
XT+13
XT+14
1530.5
985.7
1530.5
1048.1
985.7
1530.5
813
1048.1
985.7
1530.5
932.6
813
1048.1
985.7
1530.5
411.7
932.6
813
1048.1
985.7
1530.5
806.3
411.7
932.6
813
1048.1
985.7
1532
806.3
411.7
932.6
813
1048.1
1092
1532
806.3
411.7
932.6
813
982.3
1092
1532
806.3
411.7
932.6
1007.5
982.3
1092
1532
806.3
411.7
662.5
1007.5
982.3
1092
1532
806.3
856.2
662.5
1007.5
982.3
1092
1532
796.6
856.2
662.5
1007.5
982.3
1092
462.7
796.6
856.2
662.5
1007.5
982.3
552.1
462.7
796.6
856.2
662.5
1007.5
468.8
552.1
462.7
796.6
856.2
662.5
470
468.8
552.1
462.7
796.6
856.2
601.5
470
468.8
552.1
462.7
796.6
419.3
601.5
470
468.8
552.1
462.7
949.6
419.3
601.5
470
468.8
552.1
2250.3
949.6
419.3
601.5
470
468.8
909.9
2250.3
949.6
419.3
601.5
470
1104.2
909.9
2250.3
949.6
419.3
601.5
1802.3
1104.2
909.9
2250.3
949.6
419.3
1514.1
1802.3
1104.2
909.9
2250.3
949.6
2307.3
1514.1
1802.3
1104.2
909.9
2250.3
1013
2307.3
1514.1
1802.3
1104.2
909.9
1553.8
1013
2307.3
1514.1
1802.3
1104.2
1351.2
1553.8
1013
2307.3
1514.1
1802.3
1543.5
1351.2
1553.8
1013
2307.3
1514.1
913.9
1543.5
1351.2
1553.8
1013
2307.3
703.8
913.9
1543.5
1351.2
1553.8
1013
703.7
703.8
913.9
1543.5
1351.2
1553.8
964.1
703.7
703.8
913.9
1543.5
1351.2
2760.8
964.1
703.7
703.8
913.9
1543.5
1178.1
2760.8
964.1
703.7
703.8
913.9
r9
r10
r11
r12
r13
r14
0.081950479 -0.0535911216 -0.0746466 -0.20262825 -0.11873751 0.18289907
12
13
14
15
16
12
13
14
15
16
Datos
completados
Estacion 1002
TOTAL
1230.6
1019.88515
921.5
740.7
1110.9
676.4351291

x xI r
Donde:
r=
S1(x) =
S1 ( x)
( y y I ) 1 r 2 S1 ( x) t
S I ( y)
0.66957585
320.398896
1076.6
1044.1
1607.2
1195.2
1275.3
842.4094307
1773.7
975.8
1115
871.8412631
689.1
633
1031.9
766.8539651
1529.1
1395.8
590.9
1135
667.5
891.5
998.6
901.1551323
623
737.7
1282.294413
1141.5
1038.4
932.5
968.8660414
1533.9
1491.8
1484.8
1164.567084
878.4
713.3
798.1
826.7792992
1095.7
932.8
1651
102655.4528
S1(y)=
xI
yI
=
N1=
N2=
=
II
363.725739
1074.49722
1171.89167
1
36
10
1.24777184
90083.15943
Var(I) > Var (II) el modelo
funciona bien
Estacion 2002
XT+15
n=
k=n/3=
XT
ANO
TOTAL
1963
1477
1964
1079.3
1079.3
1965
1053.9
1053.9
1966
831.5
1967
1094.4
1968
497
1969
1008.8
1008.8
1970
1377.4
1377.4
1971
1446.5
1446.5
1972
1166.2
1166.2
1973
1222.8
1222.8
1974
778.4
1975
1410.7
1976
949.3
949.3
1977
846.6
846.6
1530.5
1978
828.3
828.3
985.7
1979
620.5
620.5
1048.1
1980
590.9
590.9
813
1981
875.7
875.7
932.6
1982
650.3
650.3
411.7
1983
1328.6
806.3
1984
1949
1949
1532
1985
802.3
802.3
1477
831.5
1094.4
497
778.4
1410.7
1328.6
1092
1986
1198.7
1198.7
982.3
1987
1318.4
1318.4
1007.5
1988
1285.7
1285.7
662.5
1989
1765.4
1765.4
856.2
1990
878
796.6
1991
1162.3
1162.3
462.7
1992
1116.2
1116.2
552.1
1993
1524.2
1524.2
468.8
1994
1100.9
1100.9
470
1995
933.6
933.6
601.5
1996
876.6
876.6
419.3
1997
992.8
992.8
949.6
1998
2295
2295
2250.3
1999
1430.1
1430.1
909.9
2000
1391.4
1391.4
1104.2
2001
1324.6
1324.6
1802.3
2002
1030.1
1030.1
1514.1
2003
735.2
735.2
2307.3
2004
767.6
767.6
1013
2005
751.9
751.9
1553.8
2006
1175.3
1351.2
2007
933.4
1543.5
2008
1620.1
Lim Inf.
878
1175.3
933.4
1620.1
r15
-0.17915218
r
Lim. Sup.
-0.31113709 0.19530009 0.26669265
-0.31483135 0.09080789 0.26937681
-0.31865702 -0.07188235 0.27214539
-0.32262199 -0.15796723 0.27500294
-0.32673484 -0.05729812 0.27795435
-0.3310049 -0.14220166 0.2810049
-0.33544234 -0.24146065 0.28416029
-0.34005828 -0.03280955 0.2874267
-0.34486486 0.10889894 0.29081081
10
-0.34987545 0.06928645
0.2943199
11
-0.35510473 0.03241932 0.29796188
12
-0.36056891 0.05525048 0.30174538
13
-0.36628589 -0.00174148 0.30567983
14
-0.37227557 0.30599119 0.30977557
15
-0.37856007 0.00519207 0.31404394
Como mas del 90 % de r(k) estan dentro de los limites de confianza
Datos
completados
Estacion 2002
r 2 S1 ( x) t
ANO
1963
1964
1965
1966
1967
1968
TOTAL
1477
1079.3
1053.9
831.5
1094.4
497
Estacion 1002
ANO
1963
1964
1965
1966
1967
1968
TOTAL
1230.6
1343.22434
921.5
740.7
1110.9
1335.85913
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
1008.8
1377.4
1446.5
1166.2
1222.8
778.4
1410.7
949.3
846.6
828.3
620.5
590.9
875.7
650.3
1328.6
1949
802.3
1198.7
1318.4
1285.7
1765.4
878
1162.3
1116.2
1524.2
1100.9
933.6
876.6
992.8
2295
1430.1
1391.4
1324.6
1030.1
735.2
767.6
751.9
1175.3
933.4
1620.1
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1991
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
Var(I) =
1076.6
1044.1
1607.2
1195.2
1275.3
829.628017
1773.7
975.8
1115
901.682566
689.1
633
1031.9
976.205233
1529.1
1395.8
590.9
1135
667.5
891.5
998.6
784.15466
623
737.7
882.491572
1141.5
1038.4
932.5
627.949121
1533.9
1491.8
1484.8
1090.75005
878.4
713.3
798.1
744.142675
1095.7
932.8
1338.85779
102655.453
Var(II) =
87751.7003
Como Var(I) >Var (II) el modelo

funciona bien
46
15
XT+1
XT+2
XT+3
XT+4
XT+5
XT+6
1477
1079.3
1477
1053.9
1079.3
1477
831.5
1053.9
1079.3
1477
1094.4
831.5
1053.9
1079.3
1477
497
1094.4
831.5
1053.9
1079.3
1477
1008.8
497
1094.4
831.5
1053.9
1079.3
1377.4
1008.8
497
1094.4
831.5
1053.9
1446.5
1377.4
1008.8
497
1094.4
831.5
1166.2
1446.5
1377.4
1008.8
497
1094.4
1222.8
1166.2
1446.5
1377.4
1008.8
497
778.4
1222.8
1166.2
1446.5
1377.4
1008.8
1410.7
778.4
1222.8
1166.2
1446.5
1377.4
949.3
1410.7
778.4
1222.8
1166.2
1446.5
846.6
949.3
1410.7
778.4
1222.8
1166.2
828.3
846.6
949.3
1410.7
778.4
1222.8
620.5
828.3
846.6
949.3
1410.7
778.4
590.9
620.5
828.3
846.6
949.3
1410.7
875.7
590.9
620.5
828.3
846.6
949.3
650.3
875.7
590.9
620.5
828.3
846.6
1328.6
650.3
875.7
590.9
620.5
828.3
1949
1328.6
650.3
875.7
590.9
620.5
802.3
1949
1328.6
650.3
875.7
590.9
1198.7
802.3
1949
1328.6
650.3
875.7
1318.4
1198.7
802.3
1949
1328.6
650.3
1285.7
1318.4
1198.7
802.3
1949
1328.6
1765.4
1285.7
1318.4
1198.7
802.3
1949
878
1765.4
1285.7
1318.4
1198.7
802.3
1162.3
878
1765.4
1285.7
1318.4
1198.7
1116.2
1162.3
878
1765.4
1285.7
1318.4
1524.2
1116.2
1162.3
878
1765.4
1285.7
1100.9
1524.2
1116.2
1162.3
878
1765.4
933.6
1100.9
1524.2
1116.2
1162.3
878
876.6
933.6
1100.9
1524.2
1116.2
1162.3
992.8
876.6
933.6
1100.9
1524.2
1116.2
2295
992.8
876.6
933.6
1100.9
1524.2
1430.1
2295
992.8
876.6
933.6
1100.9
1391.4
1430.1
2295
992.8
876.6
933.6
1324.6
1391.4
1430.1
2295
992.8
876.6
1030.1
1324.6
1391.4
1430.1
2295
992.8
735.2
1030.1
1324.6
1391.4
1430.1
2295
767.6
735.2
1030.1
1324.6
1391.4
1430.1
751.9
767.6
735.2
1030.1
1324.6
1391.4
1175.3
751.9
767.6
735.2
1030.1
1324.6
933.4
1175.3
751.9
767.6
735.2
1030.1
r1
r2
r3
r4
r5
r6
0.19530009 0.09080789 -0.07188235 -0.15796723 -0.05729812 -0.14220166
Graficando:
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
0
-0.1
-0.2
-0.3
10
11
12
13
0.2
0.1
0
10
-0.1
-0.2
-0.3
-0.4
-0.5
Lim. Inf.
r(k)
Lim. Sup.
o de los limites de confianza se concluye que los serie de datos es independiente
11
12
13
1.088913
2.22074959
TOTAL
1230.6
1030.3
921.5
740.7
1110.9
516.2
-0.04304411
0.10049689
0.70503461
II
-0.3940238
-1.3464205
-1.14810973
-0.24859446
-0.27829628
1076.6
1044.1
1607.2
1195.2
1275.3
790.9
1773.7
975.8
1115
992.7
689.1
633
1031.9
793.3
1529.1
1395.8
590.9
1135
667.5
891.5
998.6
629.5
623
737.7
1305.4
1141.5
1038.4
932.5
891
1533.9
1491.8
1484.8
1216.6
878.4
713.3
798.1
730
1095.7
932.8
1651
XT+7
XT+8
XT+9
XT+10
XT+11
XT+12
1477
1079.3
1477
1053.9
1079.3
1477
831.5
1053.9
1079.3
1477
1094.4
831.5
1053.9
1079.3
1477
497
1094.4
831.5
1053.9
1079.3
1477
1008.8
497
1094.4
831.5
1053.9
1079.3
1377.4
1008.8
497
1094.4
831.5
1053.9
1446.5
1377.4
1008.8
497
1094.4
831.5
1166.2
1446.5
1377.4
1008.8
497
1094.4
1222.8
1166.2
1446.5
1377.4
1008.8
497
778.4
1222.8
1166.2
1446.5
1377.4
1008.8
1410.7
778.4
1222.8
1166.2
1446.5
1377.4
949.3
1410.7
778.4
1222.8
1166.2
1446.5
846.6
949.3
1410.7
778.4
1222.8
1166.2
828.3
846.6
949.3
1410.7
778.4
1222.8
620.5
828.3
846.6
949.3
1410.7
778.4
590.9
620.5
828.3
846.6
949.3
1410.7
875.7
590.9
620.5
828.3
846.6
949.3
650.3
875.7
590.9
620.5
828.3
846.6
1328.6
650.3
875.7
590.9
620.5
828.3
1949
1328.6
650.3
875.7
590.9
620.5
802.3
1949
1328.6
650.3
875.7
590.9
1198.7
802.3
1949
1328.6
650.3
875.7
1318.4
1198.7
802.3
1949
1328.6
650.3
1285.7
1318.4
1198.7
802.3
1949
1328.6
1765.4
1285.7
1318.4
1198.7
802.3
1949
878
1765.4
1285.7
1318.4
1198.7
802.3
1162.3
878
1765.4
1285.7
1318.4
1198.7
1116.2
1162.3
878
1765.4
1285.7
1318.4
1524.2
1116.2
1162.3
878
1765.4
1285.7
1100.9
1524.2
1116.2
1162.3
878
1765.4
933.6
1100.9
1524.2
1116.2
1162.3
878
876.6
933.6
1100.9
1524.2
1116.2
1162.3
992.8
876.6
933.6
1100.9
1524.2
1116.2
2295
992.8
876.6
933.6
1100.9
1524.2
1430.1
2295
992.8
876.6
933.6
1100.9
1391.4
1430.1
2295
992.8
876.6
933.6
1324.6
1391.4
1430.1
2295
992.8
876.6
r7
r8
r9
r10
r11
r12
-0.24146065 -0.03280955 0.10889894 0.06928645 0.03241932 0.05525048
fianza
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
10
Lim. Sup.
pendiente
11
12
13
14
15
16
Estacion 1002
XT+13
XT+14
XT+15
1477
ANO
TOTAL
1963
1230.6
1965
921.5
1966
740.7
1967
1110.9
1969
1076.6
1970
1044.1
1971
1607.2
1972
1195.2
1973
1275.3
1975
1773.7
1976
975.8
1977
1115
1979
689.1
1980
633
1981
1031.9
1079.3
1477
1053.9
1079.3
1477
1983
1529.1
831.5
1053.9
1079.3
1984
1395.8
1094.4
831.5
1053.9
1985
590.9
497
1094.4
831.5
1986
1135
1008.8
497
1094.4
1987
667.5
1377.4
1008.8
497
1988
891.5
1446.5
1377.4
1008.8
1989
998.6
1166.2
1446.5
1377.4
1991
623
1222.8
1166.2
1446.5
1992
737.7
778.4
1222.8
1166.2
1991
1141.5
1410.7
778.4
1222.8
1995
1038.4
949.3
1410.7
778.4
1996
932.5
846.6
949.3
1410.7
1998
1533.9
828.3
846.6
949.3
1999
1491.8
620.5
828.3
846.6
2000
1484.8
590.9
620.5
828.3
2002
878.4
875.7
590.9
620.5
2003
713.3
650.3
875.7
590.9
2004
798.1
1328.6
650.3
875.7
2006
1095.7
1949
1328.6
650.3
2007
932.8
802.3
1949
1328.6
2008
1651
1198.7
802.3
1949
1318.4
1198.7
802.3
1285.7
1318.4
1198.7
1765.4
1285.7
1318.4
878
1765.4
1285.7
Lim Inf.
1162.3
878
1765.4
-0.35510473
1116.2
1162.3
878
-0.36056891
1524.2
1116.2
1162.3
-0.36628589
1100.9
1524.2
1116.2
-0.37227557
933.6
1100.9
1524.2
-0.37856007
-0.3851641
-0.39211535
-0.39944496
-0.40718808
10
-0.41538462
11
-0.42407999
12
-0.43332624
r13
r14
r15
-0.00174148 0.30599119 0.00519207
Como mas del 90 % de r(k) estan dentro de
n=
36
k=n/3=
XT
12
XT+1
XT+2
XT+3
XT+4
1230.6
921.5
1230.6
740.7
921.5
1230.6
1110.9
740.7
921.5
1230.6
1076.6
1110.9
740.7
921.5
1230.6
1044.1
1076.6
1110.9
740.7
921.5
1607.2
1044.1
1076.6
1110.9
740.7
1195.2
1607.2
1044.1
1076.6
1110.9
1275.3
1195.2
1607.2
1044.1
1076.6
1773.7
1275.3
1195.2
1607.2
1044.1
975.8
1773.7
1275.3
1195.2
1607.2
1115
975.8
1773.7
1275.3
1195.2
689.1
1115
975.8
1773.7
1275.3
633
689.1
1115
975.8
1773.7
1031.9
633
689.1
1115
975.8
1529.1
1031.9
633
689.1
1115
1395.8
1529.1
1031.9
633
689.1
590.9
1395.8
1529.1
1031.9
633
1135
590.9
1395.8
1529.1
1031.9
667.5
1135
590.9
1395.8
1529.1
891.5
667.5
1135
590.9
1395.8
998.6
891.5
667.5
1135
590.9
623
998.6
891.5
667.5
1135
737.7
623
998.6
891.5
667.5
1141.5
737.7
623
998.6
891.5
1038.4
1141.5
737.7
623
998.6
932.5
1038.4
1141.5
737.7
623
1533.9
932.5
1038.4
1141.5
737.7
1491.8
1533.9
932.5
1038.4
1141.5
1484.8
1491.8
1533.9
932.5
1038.4
878.4
1484.8
1491.8
1533.9
932.5
713.3
878.4
1484.8
1491.8
1533.9
798.1
713.3
878.4
1484.8
1491.8
1095.7
798.1
713.3
878.4
1484.8
932.8
1095.7
798.1
713.3
878.4
1651
932.8
1095.7
798.1
713.3
r1
r2
r3
r4
0.23348007 0.01102545 -0.10382144 -0.34042936

r
Lim. Sup.
Graficando:
0.23348007 0.29796188
Limites de confi
0.01102545 0.30174538
-0.10382144 0.30567983
0.4
-0.34042936 0.30977557
0.3
-0.18160178 0.31404394
0.2
0.02313275 0.31849743
0.1
-0.07967428 0.32314983
-0.04027372 0.32801638
-0.1
0.23740232 0.33311401
-0.2
-0.02402524 0.33846154
-0.3
-0.02029021 0.34407999
-0.4
0.05417977 0.34999291
-0.5
Lim. Inf.
r(k)
90 % de r(k) estan dentro de los limites de confianza se concluye que los serie de datos es independ
XT+5
XT+6
XT+7
XT+8
XT+9
XT+10
1230.6
921.5
1230.6
740.7
921.5
1230.6
1110.9
740.7
921.5
1230.6
1076.6
1110.9
740.7
921.5
1230.6
1044.1
1076.6
1110.9
740.7
921.5
1230.6
1607.2
1044.1
1076.6
1110.9
740.7
921.5
1195.2
1607.2
1044.1
1076.6
1110.9
740.7
1275.3
1195.2
1607.2
1044.1
1076.6
1110.9
1773.7
1275.3
1195.2
1607.2
1044.1
1076.6
975.8
1773.7
1275.3
1195.2
1607.2
1044.1
1115
975.8
1773.7
1275.3
1195.2
1607.2
689.1
1115
975.8
1773.7
1275.3
1195.2
633
689.1
1115
975.8
1773.7
1275.3
1031.9
633
689.1
1115
975.8
1773.7
1529.1
1031.9
633
689.1
1115
975.8
1395.8
1529.1
1031.9
633
689.1
1115
590.9
1395.8
1529.1
1031.9
633
689.1
1135
590.9
1395.8
1529.1
1031.9
633
667.5
1135
590.9
1395.8
1529.1
1031.9
891.5
667.5
1135
590.9
1395.8
1529.1
998.6
891.5
667.5
1135
590.9
1395.8
623
998.6
891.5
667.5
1135
590.9
737.7
623
998.6
891.5
667.5
1135
1141.5
737.7
623
998.6
891.5
667.5
1038.4
1141.5
737.7
623
998.6
891.5
932.5
1038.4
1141.5
737.7
623
998.6
1533.9
932.5
1038.4
1141.5
737.7
623
1491.8
1533.9
932.5
1038.4
1141.5
737.7
1484.8
1491.8
1533.9
932.5
1038.4
1141.5
878.4
1484.8
1491.8
1533.9
932.5
1038.4
r5
r6
r7
r8
r9
r10
-0.18160178 0.02313275 -0.07967428 -0.04027372 0.23740232 -0.02402524
Lim. Inf.
r(k)
Lim. Sup.
s serie de datos es independiente
10
12
14
XT+11
XT+12
1230.6
921.5
1230.6
740.7
921.5
1110.9
740.7
1076.6
1110.9
1044.1
1076.6
1607.2
1044.1
1195.2
1607.2
1275.3
1195.2
1773.7
1275.3
975.8
1773.7
1115
975.8
689.1
1115
633
689.1
1031.9
633
1529.1
1031.9
1395.8
1529.1
590.9
1395.8
1135
590.9
667.5
1135
891.5
667.5
998.6
891.5
623
998.6
737.7
623
1141.5
737.7
r11
r12
-0.02029021 0.05417977
1. Evaluando las estaciones, siendo la estacion 1002 la estacion a completar

Estacion 3002
AO
1963
1961
1965
1966
1967
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1981
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1991
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
TOTAL
1530.5
985.7
1048.1
813
932.6
411.7
806.3
1532
1092
982.3
1007.5
662.5
856.2
796.6
462.7
552.1
468.8
470
601.5
419.3
949.6
2250.3
909.9
1104.2
1802.3
1514.1
2307.3
1013
1553.8
1351.2
1543.5
913.9
703.8
703.7
964.1
2760.8
1178.1
1112.3
Estacion 2002
ANO
1963
1964
1965
1966
1967
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
TOTAL
1477
1079.3
1053.9
831.5
1094.4
497
1008.8
1377.4
1446.5
1166.2
1222.8
778.4
1410.7
949.3
846.6
828.3
620.5
590.9
875.7
650.3
1328.6
1949
802.3
1198.7
1318.4
1285.7
1765.4
878
1162.3
1116.2
1524.2
1100.9
933.6
876.6
992.8
2295
1430.1
1391.4
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
1258.3
1046.9
659.8
635
674.4
1100
810.2
1373.9
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
1324.6
1030.1
735.2
767.6
751.9
1175.3
933.4
1620.1
2. Evaluando si las estacion es son independientes o dependientes med

Estacion 3002
AO
TOTAL
1963
1530.5
1961
985.7
1965
1048.1
1966
813
1967
n=
46
k=n/3=
XT
15
XT+1
XT+2
1530.5
985.7
1530.5
1048.1
985.7
1530.5
813
1048.1
985.7
932.6
932.6
813
1048.1
1968
411.7
411.7
932.6
813
1969
806.3
806.3
411.7
932.6
1970
1532
1532
806.3
411.7
1971
1092
1092
1532
806.3
1972
982.3
982.3
1092
1532
1973
1007.5
1007.5
982.3
1092
1974
662.5
662.5
1007.5
982.3
1975
856.2
856.2
662.5
1007.5
1976
796.6
796.6
856.2
662.5
1977
462.7
462.7
796.6
856.2
1978
552.1
552.1
462.7
796.6
1979
468.8
468.8
552.1
462.7
1980
470
470
468.8
552.1
1981
601.5
601.5
470
468.8
1982
419.3
419.3
601.5
470
1983
949.6
949.6
419.3
601.5
1981
2250.3
2250.3
949.6
419.3
1985
909.9
909.9
2250.3
949.6
1986
1104.2
1104.2
909.9
2250.3
1987
1802.3
1802.3
1104.2
909.9
1988
1514.1
1514.1
1802.3
1104.2
1989
2307.3
2307.3
1514.1
1802.3
1990
1013
1013
2307.3
1514.1
1991
1553.8
1553.8
1013
2307.3
1992
1351.2
1351.2
1553.8
1013
1993
1543.5
1543.5
1351.2
1553.8
1991
913.9
913.9
1543.5
1351.2
1995
703.8
703.8
913.9
1543.5
1996
703.7
703.7
703.8
913.9
1997
964.1
964.1
703.7
703.8
1998
2760.8
2760.8
964.1
703.7
1999
1178.1
1178.1
2760.8
964.1
2000
1112.3
1112.3
1178.1
2760.8
2001
1258.3
1258.3
1112.3
1178.1
2002
1046.9
1046.9
1258.3
1112.3
2003
659.8
659.8
1046.9
1258.3
2004
635
635
659.8
1046.9
2005
674.4
674.4
635
659.8
2006
1100
1100
674.4
635
2007
810.2
810.2
1100
674.4
2008
1373.9
1373.9
810.2
1100
r1
r2
0.291888096 0.18724673
k
Lim Inf.
Lim. Sup.
-0.311137093 0.291888096 0.266692648
-0.314831352 0.187246731 0.269376807
-0.318657018 0.14065584
-0.322621988 0.071373066 0.275002941
-0.32673484
0.27214539
0.09066717 0.277954352
-0.331004902 -0.116914667 0.281004902
-0.335442345 -0.112561786 0.284160293
-0.340058278 -0.075618279 0.287426699
Grafincando:
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
0
-0.1
-0.2
-0.3
0.1
0
-0.344864865 0.081950479 0.290810811
-0.1
10
-0.349875455 -0.053591122 0.294319899
-0.2
11
-0.355104735 -0.074646599 0.297961878
-0.3
12
-0.360568906 -0.202628247 0.301745376
13
-0.366285889 -0.118737508 0.305679828
14
-0.372275567 0.182899069 0.309775567
15
-0.378560069 -0.17915218
-0.4
-0.5
0.31404394
Como mas del 90 % de r(k) estan dentro de los limites de confianza se concluye que los se
3. Mostrando las estaciones 1002,2002 y 3002 con igual nuemro de dat

Estacion 3002
AO
1963
1961
1965
1966
1967
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1981
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
TOTAL
1530.5
985.7
1048.1
813
932.6
411.7
806.3
1532
1092
982.3
1007.5
662.5
856.2
796.6
462.7
552.1
468.8
470
601.5
419.3
949.6
2250.3
909.9
1104.2
1802.3
1514.1
2307.3
1013
Estacion 2002
ANO
1963
1964
1965
1966
1967
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
TOTAL
1477
1079.3
1053.9
831.5
1094.4
497
1008.8
1377.4
1446.5
1166.2
1222.8
778.4
1410.7
949.3
846.6
828.3
620.5
590.9
875.7
650.3
1328.6
1949
802.3
1198.7
1318.4
1285.7
1765.4
878
1991
1992
1993
1991
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
1553.8
1351.2
1543.5
913.9
703.8
703.7
964.1
2760.8
1178.1
1112.3
1258.3
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
1162.3
1116.2
1524.2
1100.9
933.6
876.6
992.8
2295
1430.1
1391.4
1324.6
4. Determinar la mejor relacion entre la estacion con informacion faltan
r1=
0.686408307
Coeficiente de correlacion entre los datos de
r2=
0.302542985
Coeficiente de correlacion entre los datos de
Como r1>r2. Se escoge la estacion 2002 como la estacion usada para complet
5. Prueba de hipotesis para r=r1
r=
0.686408307
Evaluando r mediante prueba de hipotesis
Planteamiento de hipotesis
Ho:
=0
Ha:
0
sea el nivel de significacin = 0.05
Seleccin de la prueba estadstica -> Prueba T
Calculo del valor de la prueba (Tc)
Tc=
5.741425729
Hallando Tt
=
0.05
GL=
37
Tt=
2.026192463
Como |Tc| > Tt hay buena relacion entre las variables por lo tant
6. Calculando los coeficientes para la ecuacion de regresion
Estacion
2002
Estacion
1002
TOTAL
1477
1079.3
1053.9
831.5
1094.4
TOTAL
1230.6
1030.3
921.5
740.7
1110.9

x xI r
Donde:
S1 ( x)
( y y I ) 1 r 2 S1 (
S I ( y)
497
1008.8
1377.4
1446.5
1166.2
1222.8
778.4
1410.7
949.3
846.6
828.3
620.5
590.9
875.7
650.3
1328.6
1949
802.3
1198.7
1318.4
1285.7
1765.4
878
1162.3
1116.2
1524.2
1100.9
933.6
876.6
992.8
2295
1430.1
1391.4
1324.6
516.2
1076.6
1044.1
1607.2
1195.2
1275.3
790.9
1773.7
975.8
1115
992.7
689.1
633
1031.9
793.3
1529.1
1395.8
590.9
1135
667.5
891.5
998.6
629.5
623
737.7
1305.4
1141.5
1038.4
932.5
891
1533.9
1491.8
1484.8
1216.6
r=
S1(x) =
S1(y)=
xI
yI
0.686408307
314.024215
371.1568309
1045.602564
1140.494872
0
on a completar
Estacion 1002
ANO
1963
1964
1965
1966
1967
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1991
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
TOTAL
1230.6
1030.3
921.5
740.7
1110.9
516.2
1076.6
1044.1
1607.2
1195.2
1275.3
790.9
1773.7
975.8
1115
992.7
689.1
633
1031.9
793.3
1529.1
1395.8
590.9
1135
667.5
891.5
998.6
629.5
623
737.7
1305.4
1141.5
1038.4
932.5
891
1533.9
1491.8
1484.8
Estacion 1002
ANO
1963
1964
1965
1966
1967
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1991
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
1216.6
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
dependientes mediante la prueba de Anderson
XT+3
XT+4
XT+5
XT+6
XT+7
XT+8
1530.5
985.7
1530.5
1048.1
985.7
1530.5
813
1048.1
985.7
1530.5
932.6
813
1048.1
985.7
1530.5
411.7
932.6
813
1048.1
985.7
1530.5
806.3
411.7
932.6
813
1048.1
985.7
1532
806.3
411.7
932.6
813
1048.1
1092
1532
806.3
411.7
932.6
813
982.3
1092
1532
806.3
411.7
932.6
1007.5
982.3
1092
1532
806.3
411.7
662.5
1007.5
982.3
1092
1532
806.3
856.2
662.5
1007.5
982.3
1092
1532
796.6
856.2
662.5
1007.5
982.3
1092
462.7
796.6
856.2
662.5
1007.5
982.3
552.1
462.7
796.6
856.2
662.5
1007.5
468.8
552.1
462.7
796.6
856.2
662.5
470
468.8
552.1
462.7
796.6
856.2
601.5
470
468.8
552.1
462.7
796.6
419.3
601.5
470
468.8
552.1
462.7
949.6
419.3
601.5
470
468.8
552.1
2250.3
949.6
419.3
601.5
470
468.8
909.9
2250.3
949.6
419.3
601.5
470
1104.2
909.9
2250.3
949.6
419.3
601.5
1802.3
1104.2
909.9
2250.3
949.6
419.3
1514.1
1802.3
1104.2
909.9
2250.3
949.6
2307.3
1514.1
1802.3
1104.2
909.9
2250.3
1013
2307.3
1514.1
1802.3
1104.2
909.9
1553.8
1013
2307.3
1514.1
1802.3
1104.2
1351.2
1553.8
1013
2307.3
1514.1
1802.3
1543.5
1351.2
1553.8
1013
2307.3
1514.1
913.9
1543.5
1351.2
1553.8
1013
2307.3
703.8
913.9
1543.5
1351.2
1553.8
1013
703.7
703.8
913.9
1543.5
1351.2
1553.8
964.1
703.7
703.8
913.9
1543.5
1351.2
2760.8
964.1
703.7
703.8
913.9
1543.5
1178.1
2760.8
964.1
703.7
703.8
913.9
1112.3
1178.1
2760.8
964.1
703.7
703.8
1258.3
1112.3
1178.1
2760.8
964.1
703.7
1046.9
1258.3
1112.3
1178.1
2760.8
964.1
659.8
1046.9
1258.3
1112.3
1178.1
2760.8
635
659.8
1046.9
1258.3
1112.3
1178.1
674.4
635
659.8
1046.9
1258.3
1112.3
r3
r4
r5
r6
r7
r8
0.14065584 0.07137307 0.09066717 -0.11691467 -0.11256179 -0.07561828
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
Column B
Column C
se concluye que los serie de datos es independiente
ual nuemro de datos.

Estacion 1002
ANO
1963
1964
1965
1966
1967
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
TOTAL
1230.6
1030.3
921.5
740.7
1110.9
516.2
1076.6
1044.1
1607.2
1195.2
1275.3
790.9
1773.7
975.8
1115
992.7
689.1
633
1031.9
793.3
1529.1
1395.8
590.9
1135
667.5
891.5
998.6
629.5
10
Column D
11
12
13
14
15
16
1991
1992
1993
1991
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
623
737.7
1305.4
1141.5
1038.4
932.5
891
1533.9
1491.8
1484.8
1216.6
informacion faltante y las demas estaciones
relacion entre los datos de la estacion 1002 y la estacion 2002

relacion entre los datos de la estacion 1002 y la estacion 3002
ion usada para completar la informacion faltante en la estacion 1002
as variables por lo tanto, se procede a completar los datos faltantes
gresion
da para completar
) 1 r 2 S1 ( x) t
Datos
completados
Estacion 2002
ANO
1963
1964
1965
1966
1967
TOTAL
1477
1079.3
1053.9
831.5
1094.4
Estacion 1002
ANO
1963
1964
1965
1966
1967
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
497
1008.8
1377.4
1446.5
1166.2
1222.8
778.4
1410.7
949.3
846.6
828.3
620.5
590.9
875.7
650.3
1328.6
1949
802.3
1198.7
1318.4
1285.7
1765.4
878
1162.3
1116.2
1524.2
1100.9
933.6
876.6
992.8
2295
1430.1
1391.4
1324.6
1030.1
735.2
767.6
751.9
1175.3
933.4
1620.1
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1991
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
Var(I) =
Var(II) =
funciona bien
acion 1002
TOTAL
1230.6
1030.3
921.5
740.7
1110.9
516.2
1076.6
1044.1
1607.2
1195.2
1275.3
790.9
1773.7
975.8
1115
992.7
689.1
633
1031.9
793.3
1529.1
1395.8
590.9
1135
667.5
891.5
998.6
629.5
623
737.7
1305.4
1141.5
1038.4
932.5
891
1533.9
1491.8
1484.8
1216.6
878.4
713.3
798.1
730
1095.7
932.8
1651
XT+9
XT+10
XT+11
XT+12
XT+13
XT+14
1530.5
985.7
1530.5
1048.1
985.7
1530.5
813
1048.1
985.7
1530.5
932.6
813
1048.1
985.7
1530.5
411.7
932.6
813
1048.1
985.7
1530.5
806.3
411.7
932.6
813
1048.1
985.7
1532
806.3
411.7
932.6
813
1048.1
1092
1532
806.3
411.7
932.6
813
982.3
1092
1532
806.3
411.7
932.6
1007.5
982.3
1092
1532
806.3
411.7
662.5
1007.5
982.3
1092
1532
806.3
856.2
662.5
1007.5
982.3
1092
1532
796.6
856.2
662.5
1007.5
982.3
1092
462.7
796.6
856.2
662.5
1007.5
982.3
552.1
462.7
796.6
856.2
662.5
1007.5
468.8
552.1
462.7
796.6
856.2
662.5
470
468.8
552.1
462.7
796.6
856.2
601.5
470
468.8
552.1
462.7
796.6
419.3
601.5
470
468.8
552.1
462.7
949.6
419.3
601.5
470
468.8
552.1
2250.3
949.6
419.3
601.5
470
468.8
909.9
2250.3
949.6
419.3
601.5
470
1104.2
909.9
2250.3
949.6
419.3
601.5
1802.3
1104.2
909.9
2250.3
949.6
419.3
1514.1
1802.3
1104.2
909.9
2250.3
949.6
2307.3
1514.1
1802.3
1104.2
909.9
2250.3
1013
2307.3
1514.1
1802.3
1104.2
909.9
1553.8
1013
2307.3
1514.1
1802.3
1104.2
1351.2
1553.8
1013
2307.3
1514.1
1802.3
1543.5
1351.2
1553.8
1013
2307.3
1514.1
913.9
1543.5
1351.2
1553.8
1013
2307.3
703.8
913.9
1543.5
1351.2
1553.8
1013
703.7
703.8
913.9
1543.5
1351.2
1553.8
964.1
703.7
703.8
913.9
1543.5
1351.2
2760.8
964.1
703.7
703.8
913.9
1543.5
1178.1
2760.8
964.1
703.7
703.8
913.9
r9
r10
r11
r12
r13
r14
0.08195048 -0.05359112 -0.0746466 -0.20262825 -0.11873751 0.18289907
12
13
14
15
16
12
13
14
15
16
Datos
completados
Estacion 1002
TOTAL
1230.6
1030.3
921.5
740.7
1110.9

x xI r
Donde:
S1 ( x)
( y y I ) 1 r 2 S1 ( x) t
S I ( y)
516.2
1076.6
1044.1
1607.2
1195.2
1275.3
790.9
1773.7
975.8
1115
992.7
689.1
633
1031.9
793.3
1529.1
1395.8
590.9
1135
667.5
891.5
998.6
629.5
623
737.7
1305.4
1141.5
1038.4
932.5
891
1533.9
1491.8
1484.8
1216.6
981.490891
810.228113
829.044369
819.926616
1065.8156
925.332496
1324.1326
r=
S1(x) =
S1(y)=
xI
yI
=
N1=
N2=
=
II
0.68640831
314.024215
371.156831
1045.60256
1140.49487
1
39
7
1.3978979
98611.2076
88669.337
ar(I) > Var (II) el modelo

funciona bien
Estacion 2002
XT+15
n=
k=n/3=
XT
ANO
TOTAL
1963
1477
1964
1079.3
1079.3
1965
1053.9
1053.9
1966
831.5
1967
1094.4
1968
497
1969
1008.8
1008.8
1970
1377.4
1377.4
1971
1446.5
1446.5
1972
1166.2
1166.2
1973
1222.8
1222.8
1974
778.4
1975
1410.7
1976
949.3
949.3
1977
846.6
846.6
1530.5
1978
828.3
828.3
985.7
1979
620.5
620.5
1048.1
1980
590.9
590.9
813
1981
875.7
875.7
932.6
1982
650.3
650.3
411.7
1983
1328.6
806.3
1984
1949
1949
1532
1985
802.3
802.3
1477
831.5
1094.4
497
778.4
1410.7
1328.6
1092
1986
1198.7
1198.7
982.3
1987
1318.4
1318.4
1007.5
1988
1285.7
1285.7
662.5
1989
1765.4
1765.4
856.2
1990
878
796.6
1991
1162.3
1162.3
462.7
1992
1116.2
1116.2
552.1
1993
1524.2
1524.2
468.8
1994
1100.9
1100.9
470
1995
933.6
933.6
601.5
1996
876.6
876.6
419.3
1997
992.8
992.8
949.6
1998
2295
2295
2250.3
1999
1430.1
1430.1
909.9
2000
1391.4
1391.4
1104.2
2001
1324.6
1324.6
1802.3
2002
1030.1
1030.1
1514.1
2003
735.2
735.2
2307.3
2004
767.6
767.6
1013
2005
751.9
751.9
1553.8
2006
1175.3
1351.2
2007
933.4
1543.5
2008
1620.1
Lim Inf.
878
1175.3
933.4
1620.1
r15
-0.17915218
r
Lim. Sup.
-0.31113709 0.19530009 0.26669265
-0.31483135 0.09080789 0.26937681
-0.31865702 -0.07188235 0.27214539
-0.32262199 -0.15796723 0.27500294
-0.32673484 -0.05729812 0.27795435
-0.3310049 -0.14220166 0.2810049
-0.33544234 -0.24146065 0.28416029
-0.34005828 -0.03280955 0.2874267
-0.34486486 0.10889894 0.29081081
10
-0.34987545 0.06928645
0.2943199
11
-0.35510473 0.03241932 0.29796188
12
-0.36056891 0.05525048 0.30174538
13
-0.36628589 -0.00174148 0.30567983
14
-0.37227557 0.30599119 0.30977557
15
-0.37856007 0.00519207 0.31404394
Como mas del 90 % de r(k) estan dentro de los limites de confianza
1 r 2 S1 ( x) t
Datos
completados
Estacion 2002
ANO
1963
1964
1965
1966
1967
TOTAL
1477
1079.3
1053.9
831.5
1094.4
Estacion 1002
ANO
1963
1964
1965
1966
1967
TOTAL
1230.6
1030.3
921.5
740.7
1110.9
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
497
1008.8
1377.4
1446.5
1166.2
1222.8
778.4
1410.7
949.3
846.6
828.3
620.5
590.9
875.7
650.3
1328.6
1949
802.3
1198.7
1318.4
1285.7
1765.4
878
1162.3
1116.2
1524.2
1100.9
933.6
876.6
992.8
2295
1430.1
1391.4
1324.6
1030.1
735.2
767.6
751.9
1175.3
933.4
1620.1
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1991
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
Var(I) =
516.2
1076.6
1044.1
1607.2
1195.2
1275.3
790.9
1773.7
975.8
1115
992.7
689.1
633
1031.9
793.3
1529.1
1395.8
590.9
1135
667.5
891.5
998.6
629.5
623
737.7
1305.4
1141.5
1038.4
932.5
891
1533.9
1491.8
1484.8
1216.6
917.037163
1211.12836
960.761925
1142.33861
807.161608
1214.51469
678.768579
98611.2076
Var(II) =
89431.0606

funciona bien
46
15
XT+1
XT+2
XT+3
XT+4
XT+5
XT+6
1477
1079.3
1477
1053.9
1079.3
1477
831.5
1053.9
1079.3
1477
1094.4
831.5
1053.9
1079.3
1477
497
1094.4
831.5
1053.9
1079.3
1477
1008.8
497
1094.4
831.5
1053.9
1079.3
1377.4
1008.8
497
1094.4
831.5
1053.9
1446.5
1377.4
1008.8
497
1094.4
831.5
1166.2
1446.5
1377.4
1008.8
497
1094.4
1222.8
1166.2
1446.5
1377.4
1008.8
497
778.4
1222.8
1166.2
1446.5
1377.4
1008.8
1410.7
778.4
1222.8
1166.2
1446.5
1377.4
949.3
1410.7
778.4
1222.8
1166.2
1446.5
846.6
949.3
1410.7
778.4
1222.8
1166.2
828.3
846.6
949.3
1410.7
778.4
1222.8
620.5
828.3
846.6
949.3
1410.7
778.4
590.9
620.5
828.3
846.6
949.3
1410.7
875.7
590.9
620.5
828.3
846.6
949.3
650.3
875.7
590.9
620.5
828.3
846.6
1328.6
650.3
875.7
590.9
620.5
828.3
1949
1328.6
650.3
875.7
590.9
620.5
802.3
1949
1328.6
650.3
875.7
590.9
1198.7
802.3
1949
1328.6
650.3
875.7
1318.4
1198.7
802.3
1949
1328.6
650.3
1285.7
1318.4
1198.7
802.3
1949
1328.6
1765.4
1285.7
1318.4
1198.7
802.3
1949
878
1765.4
1285.7
1318.4
1198.7
802.3
1162.3
878
1765.4
1285.7
1318.4
1198.7
1116.2
1162.3
878
1765.4
1285.7
1318.4
1524.2
1116.2
1162.3
878
1765.4
1285.7
1100.9
1524.2
1116.2
1162.3
878
1765.4
933.6
1100.9
1524.2
1116.2
1162.3
878
876.6
933.6
1100.9
1524.2
1116.2
1162.3
992.8
876.6
933.6
1100.9
1524.2
1116.2
2295
992.8
876.6
933.6
1100.9
1524.2
1430.1
2295
992.8
876.6
933.6
1100.9
1391.4
1430.1
2295
992.8
876.6
933.6
1324.6
1391.4
1430.1
2295
992.8
876.6
1030.1
1324.6
1391.4
1430.1
2295
992.8
735.2
1030.1
1324.6
1391.4
1430.1
2295
767.6
735.2
1030.1
1324.6
1391.4
1430.1
751.9
767.6
735.2
1030.1
1324.6
1391.4
1175.3
751.9
767.6
735.2
1030.1
1324.6
933.4
1175.3
751.9
767.6
735.2
1030.1
r1
r2
r3
r4
r5
r6
0.19530009 0.09080789 -0.07188235 -0.15796723 -0.05729812 -0.14220166
Grafincando:
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
0
-0.1
-0.2
-0.3
10
11
12
13
0.2
0.1
0
10
11
-0.1
-0.2
-0.3
-0.4
-0.5
Column V
Column W
Column X
o de los limites de confianza se concluye que los serie de datos es independiente
12
13
Estacion 1002
ANO
1963
1964
1965
1966
1967
TOTAL
1230.6
1030.3
921.5
740.7
1110.9
II
-0.20190441
1.25583938
0.4126116
1.00997113
-0.81024609
0.90587719
-2.02163392
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1991
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
516.2
1076.6
1044.1
1607.2
1195.2
1275.3
790.9
1773.7
975.8
1115
992.7
689.1
633
1031.9
793.3
1529.1
1395.8
590.9
1135
667.5
891.5
998.6
629.5
623
737.7
1305.4
1141.5
1038.4
932.5
891
1533.9
1491.8
1484.8
1216.6
878.4
713.3
798.1
730
1095.7
932.8
1651
II) el modelo
ien
XT+7
XT+8
XT+9
XT+10
XT+11
XT+12
1477
1079.3
1477
1053.9
1079.3
1477
831.5
1053.9
1079.3
1477
1094.4
831.5
1053.9
1079.3
1477
497
1094.4
831.5
1053.9
1079.3
1477
1008.8
497
1094.4
831.5
1053.9
1079.3
1377.4
1008.8
497
1094.4
831.5
1053.9
1446.5
1377.4
1008.8
497
1094.4
831.5
1166.2
1446.5
1377.4
1008.8
497
1094.4
1222.8
1166.2
1446.5
1377.4
1008.8
497
778.4
1222.8
1166.2
1446.5
1377.4
1008.8
1410.7
778.4
1222.8
1166.2
1446.5
1377.4
949.3
1410.7
778.4
1222.8
1166.2
1446.5
846.6
949.3
1410.7
778.4
1222.8
1166.2
828.3
846.6
949.3
1410.7
778.4
1222.8
620.5
828.3
846.6
949.3
1410.7
778.4
590.9
620.5
828.3
846.6
949.3
1410.7
875.7
590.9
620.5
828.3
846.6
949.3
650.3
875.7
590.9
620.5
828.3
846.6
1328.6
650.3
875.7
590.9
620.5
828.3
1949
1328.6
650.3
875.7
590.9
620.5
802.3
1949
1328.6
650.3
875.7
590.9
1198.7
802.3
1949
1328.6
650.3
875.7
1318.4
1198.7
802.3
1949
1328.6
650.3
1285.7
1318.4
1198.7
802.3
1949
1328.6
1765.4
1285.7
1318.4
1198.7
802.3
1949
878
1765.4
1285.7
1318.4
1198.7
802.3
1162.3
878
1765.4
1285.7
1318.4
1198.7
1116.2
1162.3
878
1765.4
1285.7
1318.4
1524.2
1116.2
1162.3
878
1765.4
1285.7
1100.9
1524.2
1116.2
1162.3
878
1765.4
933.6
1100.9
1524.2
1116.2
1162.3
878
876.6
933.6
1100.9
1524.2
1116.2
1162.3
992.8
876.6
933.6
1100.9
1524.2
1116.2
2295
992.8
876.6
933.6
1100.9
1524.2
1430.1
2295
992.8
876.6
933.6
1100.9
1391.4
1430.1
2295
992.8
876.6
933.6
1324.6
1391.4
1430.1
2295
992.8
876.6
r7
r8
r9
r10
r11
r12
-0.24146065 -0.03280955 0.10889894 0.06928645 0.03241932 0.05525048
nfianza
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
10
11
Column X
pendiente
12
13
14
15
16
Estacion 1002
XT+13
XT+14
XT+15
1477
ANO
TOTAL
1963
1230.6
1964
1030.3
1965
921.5
1966
740.7
1967
1110.9
1968
516.2
1969
1076.6
1970
1044.1
1971
1607.2
1972
1195.2
1973
1275.3
1974
790.9
1975
1773.7
1976
975.8
1977
1115
1079.3
1477
1053.9
1079.3
1477
1978
992.7
831.5
1053.9
1079.3
1979
689.1
1094.4
831.5
1053.9
1980
633
497
1094.4
831.5
1981
1031.9
1008.8
497
1094.4
1982
793.3
1377.4
1008.8
497
1983
1529.1
1446.5
1377.4
1008.8
1984
1395.8
1166.2
1446.5
1377.4
1985
590.9
1222.8
1166.2
1446.5
1986
1135
778.4
1222.8
1166.2
1987
667.5
1410.7
778.4
1222.8
1988
891.5
949.3
1410.7
778.4
1989
998.6
846.6
949.3
1410.7
1990
629.5
828.3
846.6
949.3
1991
623
620.5
828.3
846.6
1992
737.7
590.9
620.5
828.3
1993
1305.4
875.7
590.9
620.5
1991
1141.5
650.3
875.7
590.9
1995
1038.4
1328.6
650.3
875.7
1996
932.5
1949
1328.6
650.3
1997
891
802.3
1949
1328.6
1998
1533.9
1198.7
802.3
1949
1999
1491.8
1318.4
1198.7
802.3
2000
1484.8
1285.7
1318.4
1198.7
2001
1216.6
1765.4
1285.7
1318.4
878
1765.4
1285.7
1162.3
878
1765.4
1116.2
1162.3
878
1524.2
1116.2
1162.3
Lim Inf.
1100.9
1524.2
1116.2
-0.34005828
933.6
1100.9
1524.2
-0.34486486
-0.34987545
-0.35510473
-0.36056891
-0.36628589
-0.37227557
-0.37856007
-0.3851641
10
-0.39211535
11
-0.39944496
12
-0.40718808
13
-0.41538462
r13
r14
r15
-0.00174148 0.30599119 0.00519207
Como mas del 90 % de r(k) estan dentro de
n=
39
k=n/3=
XT
13
XT+1
XT+2
XT+3
XT+4
1230.6
1030.3
1230.6
921.5
1030.3
1230.6
740.7
921.5
1030.3
1230.6
1110.9
740.7
921.5
1030.3
1230.6
516.2
1110.9
740.7
921.5
1030.3
1076.6
516.2
1110.9
740.7
921.5
1044.1
1076.6
516.2
1110.9
740.7
1607.2
1044.1
1076.6
516.2
1110.9
1195.2
1607.2
1044.1
1076.6
516.2
1275.3
1195.2
1607.2
1044.1
1076.6
790.9
1275.3
1195.2
1607.2
1044.1
1773.7
790.9
1275.3
1195.2
1607.2
975.8
1773.7
790.9
1275.3
1195.2
1115
975.8
1773.7
790.9
1275.3
992.7
1115
975.8
1773.7
790.9
689.1
992.7
1115
975.8
1773.7
633
689.1
992.7
1115
975.8
1031.9
633
689.1
992.7
1115
793.3
1031.9
633
689.1
992.7
1529.1
793.3
1031.9
633
689.1
1395.8
1529.1
793.3
1031.9
633
590.9
1395.8
1529.1
793.3
1031.9
1135
590.9
1395.8
1529.1
793.3
667.5
1135
590.9
1395.8
1529.1
891.5
667.5
1135
590.9
1395.8
998.6
891.5
667.5
1135
590.9
629.5
998.6
891.5
667.5
1135
623
629.5
998.6
891.5
667.5
737.7
623
629.5
998.6
891.5
1305.4
737.7
623
629.5
998.6
1141.5
1305.4
737.7
623
629.5
1038.4
1141.5
1305.4
737.7
623
932.5
1038.4
1141.5
1305.4
737.7
891
932.5
1038.4
1141.5
1305.4
1533.9
891
932.5
1038.4
1141.5
1491.8
1533.9
891
932.5
1038.4
1484.8
1491.8
1533.9
891
932.5
1216.6
1484.8
1491.8
1533.9
891
r1
r2
r3
r4
0.14405419 0.19615957 -0.12033224 -0.07966807

r
Lim. Sup.
0.14405419
0.2874267
Graficando:
Ch
0.19615957 0.29081081
-0.12033224 0.2943199
0.4
-0.07966807 0.29796188
0.3
-0.04263573 0.30174538
0.2
0.10781955 0.30567983
0.1
-0.33169735 0.30977557
-0.06828523 0.31404394
-0.1
-0.20352814 0.31849743
-0.2
-0.08583111 0.32314983
-0.3
0.10788347 0.32801638
-0.4
0.13620753 0.33311401
-0.5
-0.11980599 0.33846154
Column AP
90 % de r(k) estan dentro de los limites de confianza se concluye que los serie de datos es independ
XT+5
XT+6
XT+7
XT+8
XT+9
XT+10
1230.6
1030.3
1230.6
921.5
1030.3
1230.6
740.7
921.5
1030.3
1230.6
1110.9
740.7
921.5
1030.3
1230.6
516.2
1110.9
740.7
921.5
1030.3
1230.6
1076.6
516.2
1110.9
740.7
921.5
1030.3
1044.1
1076.6
516.2
1110.9
740.7
921.5
1607.2
1044.1
1076.6
516.2
1110.9
740.7
1195.2
1607.2
1044.1
1076.6
516.2
1110.9
1275.3
1195.2
1607.2
1044.1
1076.6
516.2
790.9
1275.3
1195.2
1607.2
1044.1
1076.6
1773.7
790.9
1275.3
1195.2
1607.2
1044.1
975.8
1773.7
790.9
1275.3
1195.2
1607.2
1115
975.8
1773.7
790.9
1275.3
1195.2
992.7
1115
975.8
1773.7
790.9
1275.3
689.1
992.7
1115
975.8
1773.7
790.9
633
689.1
992.7
1115
975.8
1773.7
1031.9
633
689.1
992.7
1115
975.8
793.3
1031.9
633
689.1
992.7
1115
1529.1
793.3
1031.9
633
689.1
992.7
1395.8
1529.1
793.3
1031.9
633
689.1
590.9
1395.8
1529.1
793.3
1031.9
633
1135
590.9
1395.8
1529.1
793.3
1031.9
667.5
1135
590.9
1395.8
1529.1
793.3
891.5
667.5
1135
590.9
1395.8
1529.1
998.6
891.5
667.5
1135
590.9
1395.8
629.5
998.6
891.5
667.5
1135
590.9
623
629.5
998.6
891.5
667.5
1135
737.7
623
629.5
998.6
891.5
667.5
1305.4
737.7
623
629.5
998.6
891.5
1141.5
1305.4
737.7
623
629.5
998.6
1038.4
1141.5
1305.4
737.7
623
629.5
932.5
1038.4
1141.5
1305.4
737.7
623
r5
r6
r7
r8
r9
r10
-0.04263573 0.10781955 -0.33169735 -0.06828523 -0.20352814 -0.08583111
Chart Title
Column AP
Column AQ
10
Column AR
12
14
s serie de datos es independiente
XT+11
XT+12
XT+13
1230.6
1030.3
1230.6
921.5
1030.3
1230.6
740.7
921.5
1030.3
1110.9
740.7
921.5
516.2
1110.9
740.7
1076.6
516.2
1110.9
1044.1
1076.6
516.2
1607.2
1044.1
1076.6
1195.2
1607.2
1044.1
1275.3
1195.2
1607.2
790.9
1275.3
1195.2
1773.7
790.9
1275.3
975.8
1773.7
790.9
1115
975.8
1773.7
992.7
1115
975.8
689.1
992.7
1115
633
689.1
992.7
1031.9
633
689.1
793.3
1031.9
633
1529.1
793.3
1031.9
1395.8
1529.1
793.3
590.9
1395.8
1529.1
1135
590.9
1395.8
667.5
1135
590.9
891.5
667.5
1135
998.6
891.5
667.5
629.5
998.6
891.5
r11
r12
r13
0.10788347 0.13620753 -0.11980599
12
14

Hidrologia Estadistica - Extender y Completar Datos

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Alumno: Edison Auccapia Perez

PRECIPITACION EN LA CUENCA DEL RIO ZAA ENTRE

Mapa de ubicacion de las es

RIO ZAA ENTRE LOS AOS 1963 Y 2008

bicacion de las estaciones pluviometric

1. Evaluando las estaciones, siendo la estacion 1002 la estacion a completar

2. Evaluando si las estacion es son independientes o dependientes med

-0.31483135 0.18724673 0.26937681

-0.31865702 0.14065584 0.27214539

-0.32262199 0.07137307 0.27500294

-0.32673484 0.09066717 0.27795435

-0.3310049 -0.11691467 0.2810049

-0.33544234 -0.11256179 0.28416029

-0.34005828 -0.07561828 0.2874267

-0.34486486 0.08195048 0.29081081

-0.34987545 -0.05359112 0.2943199

-0.35510473 -0.0746466 0.29796188

-0.36056891 -0.20262825 0.30174538

-0.36628589 -0.11873751 0.30567983

-0.37227557 0.18289907 0.30977557

-0.37856007 -0.17915218 0.31404394

3. Mostrando las estaciones 2002, 3002, con la misma cantidad de dato

4. Determinar la mejor relacion entre la estacion con informacion faltan

5. Prueba de hipotesis para r=r1

6. Calculando los coeficientes para la ecuacion de regresion

Sea x: Datos de la estacion a ompletar

es o dependientes mediante la prueba de Anderson

0.14065584 0.07137307 0.09066717 -0.11691467 -0.11256179 -0.07561828

anza se concluye que los serie de datos es independiente

isma cantidad de datos que la estacion 1002

con informacion faltante y las demas estaciones

rrelacion entre los datos de la estacion 1002 y la estacion 2002

e las variables por lo tanto, se procede a completar los datos faltantes

ada para completar

0.081950479 -0.0535911216 -0.0746466 -0.20262825 -0.11873751 0.18289907

Sea x: Datos de la estacion a ompletar

-0.31113709 0.19530009 0.26669265

-0.31483135 0.09080789 0.26937681

-0.31865702 -0.07188235 0.27214539

-0.32262199 -0.15796723 0.27500294

-0.32673484 -0.05729812 0.27795435

-0.3310049 -0.14220166 0.2810049

-0.33544234 -0.24146065 0.28416029

-0.34005828 -0.03280955 0.2874267

-0.34486486 0.10889894 0.29081081

-0.35510473 0.03241932 0.29796188

-0.36056891 0.05525048 0.30174538

-0.36628589 -0.00174148 0.30567983

-0.37227557 0.30599119 0.30977557

-0.37856007 0.00519207 0.31404394

Como mas del 90 % de r(k) estan dentro de los limites de confianza

Como Var(I) >Var (II) el modelo

0.19530009 0.09080789 -0.07188235 -0.15796723 -0.05729812 -0.14220166

o de los limites de confianza se concluye que los serie de datos es independiente

-0.24146065 -0.03280955 0.10889894 0.06928645 0.03241932 0.05525048

-0.00174148 0.30599119 0.00519207

Como mas del 90 % de r(k) estan dentro de

0.23348007 0.01102545 -0.10382144 -0.34042936

-0.18160178 0.02313275 -0.07967428 -0.04027372 0.23740232 -0.02402524

s serie de datos es independiente

1. Evaluando las estaciones, siendo la estacion 1002 la estacion a completar

2. Evaluando si las estacion es son independientes o dependientes med

-0.311137093 0.291888096 0.266692648

-0.314831352 0.187246731 0.269376807