Siena College Research Institute

April 6 - 11, 2016

469 New York State Likely Republican Primary Voters
MOE +/- 5.0%
Q1. Is the United States on the right track, or is it headed in the wrong direction?
Gender
Union HH

Right track
Wrong direction
Don't know/No opinion

Total
14%
81%
5%

M
11%
83%
6%

F
17%
78%
4%

Yes
11%
86%
3%

Region

No
15%
79%
6%

NYC
24%
72%
4%

Subs
12%
83%
5%

Age
Upst
12%
82%
6%

Under 55
11%
84%
5%

Religion
55+
16%
79%
6%

Cath
13%
82%
5%

Prot
14%
82%
4%

Other
19%
73%
8%

<$50K
25%
67%
9%

Income
$50K$100K
11%
85%
4%

$100K+
13%
82%
5%

I'm going to read a series of names of people and institutions in public life and I'd like you to tell me whether you have a favorable opinion or an unfavorable opinion of each person or institution I nam
Q2. Barack Obama
Gender
Union HH
Region
Age
Religion
Income
$50KTotal
M
F
Yes
No
NYC
Subs
Upst Under 55
55+
Cath
Prot
Other
<$50K
$100K $100K+
Favorable
17%
13% 21% 18% 17% 24%
14%
17%
17%
16%
13%
21%
22%
25%
14%
17%
Unfavorable
82%
86% 77% 81% 81% 74%
85%
81%
81%
82%
85%
77%
77%
72%
83%
83%
Don't know/No opinion
2%
1%
2%
1%
2%
2%
1%
2%
2%
1%
2%
2%
1%
2%
3%
1%
[Q3-Q7 ROTATED] Q3. Hillary Clinton
Gender

Favorable
Unfavorable
Don't know/No opinion

Total
12%
87%
1%

M
8%
91%
1%

F
17%
83%
0%

Union HH
Yes
15%
84%
0%

Region

No
11%
89%
1%

NYC
20%
80%
0%

Subs
10%
90%
0%

Age
Upst
11%
88%
1%

Under 55
10%
90%
0%

Religion
55+
13%
86%
1%

Cath
9%
90%
1%

Prot
14%
86%
0%

Other
18%
81%
1%

<$50K
20%
79%
1%

Income
$50K$100K
11%
89%
0%

$100K+
9%
91%
1%

<$50K
27%
62%
11%

Income
$50K$100K
26%
68%
5%

$100K+
28%
67%
5%

<$50K
42%
51%
7%

Income
$50K$100K
46%
51%
4%

$100K+
30%
66%
5%

Q4. Bernie Sanders

Gender

Favorable
Unfavorable
Don't know/No opinion

Total
28%
66%
6%

M
26%
69%
5%

F
31%
61%
8%

Union HH
Yes
27%
67%
6%

Region

No
29%
65%
7%

NYC
27%
70%
3%

Subs
23%
73%
4%

Age
Upst
31%
60%
8%

Under 55
29%
66%
5%

Religion
55+
27%
66%
7%

Cath
24%
70%
6%

Prot
30%
61%
9%

Other
38%
59%
3%

Q5. Ted Cruz

Gender

Favorable
Unfavorable
Don't know/No opinion

Total
40%
55%
5%

M
40%
57%
3%

F
40%
53%
7%

Union HH
Yes
33%
60%
7%

Region

No
42%
54%
5%

NYC
37%
63%
0%

Subs
34%
62%
4%

Age
Upst
43%
50%
7%

SNY0416R Crosstabs.xlsx

Under 55
36%
60%
4%

Religion
55+
42%
52%
6%

Cath
38%
57%
5%

Prot
43%
52%
6%

Other
35%
61%
4%

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Siena College Research Institute

April 6 - 11, 2016
469 New York State Likely Republican Primary Voters
MOE +/- 5.0%
Q6. John Kasich
Gender

Favorable
Unfavorable
Don't know/No opinion

Total
57%
31%
13%

M
60%
27%
13%

F
53%
35%
12%

Union HH
Yes
58%
29%
12%

Region

No
56%
31%
13%

NYC
57%
23%
19%

Subs
64%
27%
8%

Age
Upst
52%
34%
13%

Under 55
58%
29%
13%

Religion
55+
55%
33%
12%

Cath
61%
27%
12%

Prot
50%
39%
11%

Other
54%
29%
17%

<$50K
37%
49%
14%

Income
$50K$100K
55%
33%
12%

$100K+
66%
25%
10%

<$50K
68%
30%
2%

Income
$50K$100K
59%
36%
5%

$100K+
56%
41%
3%

<$50K
17%
15%
64%
3%

Income
$50K$100K
22%
23%
51%
4%

$100K+
11%
38%
45%
6%

<$50K
42%
30%
25%
3%

Income
$50K$100K
34%
33%
31%
3%

$100K+
47%
18%
32%
3%

Q7. Donald Trump

Gender

Favorable
Unfavorable
Don't know/No opinion

Total
58%
38%
4%

M
64%
32%
3%

F
51%
44%
5%

Union HH
Yes
59%
37%
4%

Region

No
58%
38%
4%

NYC
59%
36%
5%

Subs
60%
37%
3%

Age
Upst
57%
39%
4%

Under 55
54%
40%
6%

Religion
55+
61%
36%
3%

Cath
67%
31%
2%

Q9. If the Republican primary for President were held today in New York, who would you vote for if the candidates were:
Gender
Union HH
Region
Age

Ted Cruz
John Kasich
Donald Trump
Don't know/No opinion

Total
17%
27%
50%
6%

M
14%
27%
54%
4%

F
21%
26%
45%
8%

Yes
16%
26%
55%
3%

No
18%
27%
48%
7%

NYC
19%
22%
56%
3%

Subs
10%
32%
52%
6%

Upst
21%
25%
48%
6%

Under 55
20%
31%
45%
4%

Q10. Of those candidates, which would you LEAST like to see be the Republican nominee for President this year?
Gender
Union HH
Region

Ted Cruz
John Kasich
Donald Trump
Don't know/No opinion

Total
40%
25%
31%
4%

M
44%
28%
26%
1%

F
34%
23%
36%
7%

Yes
46%
22%
31%
1%

No
37%
26%
31%
5%

NYC
36%
32%
29%
3%

Subs
48%
19%
29%
3%

Upst
35%
28%
32%
5%

SNY0416R Crosstabs.xlsx

Other
55%
39%
6%

Religion
55+
16%
23%
54%
7%

Cath
13%
24%
58%
5%

Age

Under 55
40%
28%
30%
2%

Prot
46%
48%
6%

Prot
26%
25%
41%
9%

Other
17%
39%
43%
1%

Religion
55+
39%
24%
31%
5%

Cath
46%
25%
26%
2%

Prot
34%
23%
36%
7%

Other
32%
32%
35%
1%

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Siena College Research Institute

April 6 - 11, 2016
469 New York State Likely Republican Primary Voters
MOE +/- 5.0%
Q11. Regardless of who you support for president, who do you think is most likely to be the next President of the United States:
Gender
Union HH
Region
Age

Hillary Clinton
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
Bernie Sanders
Donald Trump
Someone else
Don't know/No opinion

Total
33%
8%
1%
2%
40%
1%
16%

M
35%
9%
1%
1%
41%
1%
11%

F
30%
6%
0%
3%
38%
1%
22%

Yes
35%
10%
1%
4%
40%
0%
12%

No
32%
7%
1%
1%
40%
1%
18%

NYC
31%
4%
2%
3%
50%
0%
10%

Subs
38%
7%
0%
0%
40%
2%
14%

Upst
30%
9%
1%
3%
37%
1%
19%

Under 55
42%
7%
0%
2%
38%
0%
11%

55+
26%
9%
2%
2%
41%
1%
20%

Religion
Cath
28%
7%
1%
1%
45%
1%
15%

Prot
33%
9%
1%
4%
35%
1%
18%

Other
46%
7%
0%
1%
32%
0%
14%

<$50K
26%
3%
2%
1%
47%
2%
19%

Income
$50K$100K
31%
10%
0%
3%
40%
0%
15%

$100K+
44%
7%
1%
1%
35%
1%
12%

Nature of the Sample

New York State Likely Republican Primary Voters
Region
NYC
Suburbs
Upstate
Union Household
Yes
No
Religion
Catholic
Protestant
Other
Age
Under 55
55 and older
Gender
Male
Female
Political View
Moderate
Conservative
Income
Less than $50,000
$50,000 to $100,000
$100,000 or more

13%
31%
55%
29%
70%
50%
32%
15%
39%
59%
54%
46%
38%
57%
18%
35%
36%
SNY0416R Crosstabs.xlsx

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