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codigo_estacion

fuente
dga_web
nombre
altura
1820
latitud
-33.978056
longitud
-70.145556
drenaje
843
inicio_observaciones 3/1/1979
fin_observaciones 12/1/2012
cantidad_observaciones 372
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0
37.6451613
23.8866667
17.5612903
13.28
11.2496667
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0
18.9608696
25.2333333
52.4451613
86.483871
58.1294118
0
0
0

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0
0
0
0
26.1354839
47.4766667
101.880645
86.9625
0
0
0
0
0
14.032
13.9096774
15.4866667
20.626087
54.7095238
59.4354839
50.9354839
37.9321429
27.6516129
18.6633333
15.64375
14.4333333
14.4193548
11.4135484
22.1166667
21.3483871
44.0366667
103.86129
0
0
0
0
24.5090909
19.6666667
16.3096774
0
14.175
24.2354839
50.6733333
82.7870968
68.2612903
51.2517241

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33.4903226
22.5366667
17.4258065
14.7366667
13.7592593
12.1709677
14.0111111
26.616129
42.8866667
89.0032258
104.1
74.8882353
49.7645161
27.3766667
22.6714286
18.373913
15.4645161
13.1129032
12.7433333
16.7903226
46.64
66.8032258
51.1806452
39.9321429
26.5903226
17.74
14.6064516
25.6466667
18.3741935
15.8419355
15.2766667
27.3451613
43.51
83.3375
0
0
0
25.5233333
18.6967742
16.66
17.3354839
13.9025926
0
0
0

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12/1/1990
1/1/1991
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4/1/1991
5/1/1991
6/1/1991
7/1/1991
8/1/1991

0
110.712903
79.3206897
46.2322581
28.79
19.1677419
15.2066667
13.2290323
12.2548387
12.02
19.9548387
44.92
47.8967742
0
37.9421053
0
0
13.78
12.0766667
10.5232258
11.1777419
13.2766667
22.5483871
51.93
59.4806452
48.4935484
35.7428571
23.6903226
16.49
13.8612903
11.99
11.4322581
11.0358065
12.159
18.3193548
35.65
43.8193548
39.3935484
32.2357143
24.3096774
19.7466667
22.8967742
19.9266667
18.0419355
14.8645161

9/1/1991
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11/1/1994
12/1/1994
1/1/1995
2/1/1995
3/1/1995
4/1/1995
5/1/1995

20.9033333
29.1741935
64.59
60.7677419
80.4483871
65.2655172
43.9967742
25.42
21.3096774
17.4466667
13.6806452
12.5096774
16.3133333
29.5129032
54.6766667
92.9741935
83.5741935
51.6428571
33.5516129
25.2666667
34.9387097
26.3433333
22.0935484
17.3451613
21.45
29.4387097
59.14
84.7903226
76.2387097
39.4357143
39.516129
23.4344828
16.5354839
15.18
14.3580645
14.2193548
16.3266667
24.5483871
62.84
88.7225806
63.1258065
39.9464286
28.9677419
20.1733333
15.4967742

6/1/1995
7/1/1995
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1/1/1999
2/1/1999

13.7033333
11.8864516
11.4096774
13.8033333
18.5741935
49.78
72.2806452
49.9741935
37.6172414
30.2741935
19.3133333
15.4483871
12.3433333
11.3419355
10.6706452
10.9753333
11.7225806
15.5033333
18.8129032
22.416129
19.3071429
16.2419355
12.3233333
10.5925806
10.4393333
11.1548387
11.6290323
18.9545455
0
42.3333333
93.816129
111.26129
65.8
38.083871
25.7066667
18.0806452
14.8933333
12.3548387
11.1387097
10.1725
15.2696774
24.16
33.0935484
30.383871
27.4964286

3/1/1999
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7/1/2001
8/1/2001
9/1/2001
10/1/2001
11/1/2001
12/1/2001
1/1/2002
2/1/2002
3/1/2002
4/1/2002
5/1/2002
6/1/2002
7/1/2002
8/1/2002
9/1/2002
10/1/2002
11/1/2002

18.1290323
11.166
8.79677419
8.02766667
7.36064516
7.48806452
8.92166667
15.9064516
36.62
48.2419355
43.5451613
30.8310345
23.4322581
16.6866667
13.4096774
12.9733333
0
0
13.1666667
28.1483871
45.6
105.535484
84.4193548
61.875
33.5612903
16.72
12.4516129
10.2263333
9.39645161
10.4
12.0066667
21.5483871
41.1066667
107.335484
83.483871
55.6178571
34.8806452
23.1233333
20.6387097
19.0466667
17.3387097
23.3774194
23.52
34.1032258
66.9366667

12/1/2002
1/1/2003
2/1/2003
3/1/2003
4/1/2003
5/1/2003
6/1/2003
7/1/2003
8/1/2003
9/1/2003
10/1/2003
11/1/2003
12/1/2003
1/1/2004
2/1/2004
3/1/2004
4/1/2004
5/1/2004
6/1/2004
7/1/2004
8/1/2004
9/1/2004
10/1/2004
11/1/2004
12/1/2004
1/1/2005
2/1/2005
3/1/2005
4/1/2005
5/1/2005
6/1/2005
7/1/2005
8/1/2005
9/1/2005
10/1/2005
11/1/2005
12/1/2005
1/1/2006
2/1/2006
3/1/2006
4/1/2006
5/1/2006
6/1/2006
7/1/2006
8/1/2006

104.293548
116.493548
89.0428571
56.6193548
31.0966667
21.6064516
19.3066667
16.3419355
14.8193548
16.3433333
28.9258065
49.04
56.5032258
53.2
40.8689655
28.7290323
20.25
15.8709677
12.9666667
11.1774194
10.9870968
14.3533333
19.1354839
24.2033333
44.8193548
45.8774194
33.0571429
23.4322581
16.1066667
14.0009677
15.517
15.9677419
17.2
16.7733333
26.1677419
62.09
106.025806
145.967742
102.1
53.8096774
35.38
25.3354839
21.2733333
22.1096774
18.9548387

9/1/2006
10/1/2006
11/1/2006
12/1/2006
1/1/2007
2/1/2007
3/1/2007
4/1/2007
5/1/2007
6/1/2007
7/1/2007
8/1/2007
9/1/2007
10/1/2007
11/1/2007
12/1/2007
1/1/2008
2/1/2008
3/1/2008
4/1/2008
5/1/2008
6/1/2008
7/1/2008
8/1/2008
9/1/2008
10/1/2008
11/1/2008
12/1/2008
1/1/2009
2/1/2009
3/1/2009
4/1/2009
5/1/2009
6/1/2009
7/1/2009
8/1/2009
9/1/2009
10/1/2009
11/1/2009
12/1/2009
1/1/2010
2/1/2010
3/1/2010
4/1/2010
5/1/2010

20.8166667
32.3225806
62.8233333
92.5258065
87.7903226
45.5571429
31.3645161
20.11
15.2322581
12.7966667
11.9096774
10.8741935
12.72
19.0032258
34.7066667
37.9
34.8225806
38.5034483
30.0967742
25.2666667
36.6241379
0
0
1.6183871
2.33566667
3.86290323
39.2156667
58.883871
47.8903226
37.6392857
29.9935484
23.4766667
16.583871
11.7973333
10.7103226
10.6032258
11.46
13.8096774
17.91
55.9193548
75.4096774
60.15
52.1419355
40.4333333
33.8419355

6/1/2010
7/1/2010
8/1/2010
9/1/2010
10/1/2010
11/1/2010
12/1/2010
1/1/2011
2/1/2011
3/1/2011
4/1/2011
5/1/2011
6/1/2011
7/1/2011
8/1/2011
9/1/2011
10/1/2011
11/1/2011
12/1/2011
1/1/2012
2/1/2012
3/1/2012
4/1/2012
5/1/2012
6/1/2012
7/1/2012
8/1/2012
9/1/2012
10/1/2012
11/1/2012
12/1/2012
1/1/2013
2/1/2013
3/1/2013
4/1/2013
5/1/2013
6/1/2013
7/1/2013
8/1/2013
9/1/2013
10/1/2013
11/1/2013
12/1/2013

15.33
10.7474194
10.4109677
11.5123333
18.4354839
29.6133333
46.9387097
42.8870968
30.7964286
21.8548387
13.85
10.4109677
8.079
8.51483871
8.21870968
11.306
16.916129
41.9433333
67.9935484
49.7967742
31.6241379
22.6580645
14.7133333
20.2087097
72.9166667
18.5967742
10.8141935
14.7066667
10.5680645
11.6196667
19.9135484
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

AO

1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013

ENE

22.416129
30.383871
34.822581
39.393548
42.887097
43.545161
45.877419
47.890323
48.493548
49.796774
49.974194
50.935484
51.180645
53.2
63.125806
68.26129
75.409677
76.23871
80.448387
83.483871
83.574194
84.419355
86.483871
86.9625
87.790323
104.1
110.7129
111.26129
116.49355
145.96774

FEB

19.307143
27.496429
30.796429
30.831034
31.624138
32.235714
33.057143
35.742857
37.617241
37.639286
37.932143
37.942105
38.503448
39.435714
39.932143
39.946429
40.868966
45.557143
51.251724
51.642857
55.617857
58.129412
60.15
61.875
65.265517
65.8
74.888235
79.32069
89.042857
102.1

MAR

16.241935
18.129032
21.854839
22.658065
23.432258
23.432258
23.690323
24.309677
26.590323
27.651613
28.729032
28.967742
29.993548
30.096774
30.274194
31.364516
33.490323
33.551613
33.56129
34.880645
37.645161
38.083871
39.516129
43.996774
46.232258
49.764516
52.141935
53.809677
56.619355

ABR

MAY

JUN

11.166
12.323333
13.85
14.713333
16.106667
16.49
16.686667
16.72
17.74
18.663333
19.313333
19.746667
20.11
20.173333
20.25
22.536667
23.123333
23.434483
23.476667
23.886667
25.266667
25.266667
25.42
25.523333
25.706667
27.376667
28.79
31.096667
35.38
40.433333

8.7967742
10.410968
10.592581
12.451613
13.409677
13.78
13.86129
14.000968
14.606452
15.232258
15.448387
15.496774
15.64375
15.870968
16.535484
16.583871
17.425806
17.56129
18.080645
18.696774
19.167742
20.20871
20.63871
21.309677
21.606452
22.671429
22.896774
24.509091
25.335484
33.841935
34.93871
36.624138

8.0276667
8.079
10.226333
10.439333
11.797333
11.99
12.076667
12.343333
12.796667
12.966667
12.973333
13.28
13.703333
14.433333
14.736667
14.893333
15.18
15.206667
15.33
15.517
16.66
17.446667
18.373913
19.046667
19.306667
19.666667
19.926667
21.273333
25.646667
26.343333
72.916667

JUL

7.3606452
8.5148387
9.3964516
10.523226
10.710323
10.747419
11.154839
11.177419
11.249667
11.341935
11.432258
11.886452
11.909677
12.354839
13.229032
13.680645
13.759259
14.032
14.358065
14.419355
15.464516
15.967742
16.309677
16.341935
17.335484
17.33871
18.041935
18.374194
18.596774
22.093548
22.109677

AGO

1.6183871
7.4880645
8.2187097
10.4
10.410968
10.603226
10.670645
10.814194
10.874194
10.987097
11.035806
11.13871
11.177742
11.409677
11.413548
11.629032
12.170968
12.254839
12.509677
13.112903
13.902593
13.909677
14.219355
14.819355
14.864516
15.841935
17.2
17.345161
18.954839
23.377419

SEP

2.3356667
8.9216667
10.1725
10.975333
11.306
11.46
11.512333
12.006667
12.02
12.159
12.72
12.743333
13.166667
13.276667
13.803333
14.011111
14.175
14.353333
14.706667
15.276667
15.486667
16.313333
16.326667
16.343333
16.773333
18.954545
20.816667
20.903333
21.45
22.116667
23.52

OCT

3.8629032
10.568065
11.722581
13.809677
15.269677
15.906452
16.790323
16.916129
18.319355
18.435484
18.574194
18.96087
19.003226
19.135484
19.954839
20.626087
21.348387
21.548387
22.548387
24.235484
24.548387
26.135484
26.167742
26.616129
27.345161
28.148387
28.925806
29.174194
29.43871
29.512903
32.322581
34.103226

NOV

11.619667
15.503333
17.91
24.16
24.203333
25.233333
29.613333
34.706667
35.65
36.62
39.215667
41.106667
41.943333
42.333333
42.886667
43.51
44.036667
44.92
45.6
46.64
47.476667
49.04
49.78
50.673333
51.93
54.676667
54.709524
59.14
62.09
62.823333
62.84
64.59
66.936667

DIC

18.812903
19.913548
33.093548
37.9
43.819355
44.819355
46.93871
47.896774
48.241935
52.445161
55.919355
56.503226
58.883871
59.435484
59.480645
60.767742
66.803226
67.993548
72.280645
82.787097
83.3375
84.790323
88.722581
89.003226
92.525806
92.974194
93.816129
101.88065
103.86129
104.29355
105.53548
106.02581
107.33548

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35

Preparar aqu un informe que explique de manera secuencial lo realizado por usted. Este
informe debe adems proporcionar toda la informacin utilizada por usted en la toma de
decisiones para el desarrollo del problema.

regimen Nival:

Este regimen se distingue por los volmenes de deshielo dependen en gran medida de las cantidad
por efecto de las altas temperaturas de verano se deshacen, provacando grandes caudales.

Curva de variacin e
180

160

140

120

100
Caudal (Mm)
80

60

40

20

Tiempo (men

40

20

Tiempo (men

o por usted. Este


ed en la toma de

en gran medida de las cantidades de nieve acumulada durante el invierno y que


ando grandes caudales.

va de variacin estacional

Tiempo (mensual)

10

11

12

Tiempo (mensual)

10

11

12

11

12

11

12

De acuerdo al analisis de las distribuciones, Gumbel, log normal, Pearson realiz


los datos entregados, se seleccionaron los que mejores se ajustan.

ocurrencia
exedencia

crecida
sequa

0.000

0.000

=S

0.000

0.000

Log normal

Pearson

ENE
155.960
117.287
70.715
27.690

FEB
98.617
77.965
49.742
21.710

P. Exedencia P. Ocurrencia
2%
98%
8%
92%
40%
60%
97%
3%

180

160

140

120

100
Caudal (Mm)
80

60

40

80

60

40

20

mbel, log normal, Pearson realizados a cada mes de


mejores se ajustan.

Parametros
0.000

0.000

0.000

0.000

0.000

0.000

0.000

0.000

0.000

0.000

0.000

0.000

Log normal

Pearson

gumbel

Pearson

MAR
60.853
49.440
34.192
17.264

ABR
38.100
31.883
22.834
12.044

JUL
23.440
19.377
14.181
8.659

AGO
44.907
42.105
37.421
29.690

Log normal Log normal


MAY
35.058
28.243
19.241
9.448

JUN
35.504
27.329
17.173
7.260

Curva de variacin estacional

Tiempo (mensual)

nal

0.000

0.000

0.000

0.000

0.000

0.000

0.000

0.000

gumbel

gumbel

gumbel

Log normal

SEP
25.840
21.013
14.842
8.283

OCT
39.174
31.665
22.063
11.858

NOV
80.794
64.745
44.226
22.418

DIC
161.019
120.123
71.400
27.230

10

11

12

CAUDAL
AO
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013

ENE

53.2
68.26129032
87.79032258
47.89032258
111.2612903
75.40967742
84.41935484
104.1
45.87741935
116.4935484
51.18064516
0
34.82258065
83.57419355
50.93548387
22.41612903
110.7129032
49.97419355
48.49354839
80.4483871
49.79677419
76.23870968
0
0
86.9625
30.38387097
42.88709677
63.12580645
83.48387097
86.48387097

FEB

MAR

19.30714286
27.49642857
30.79642857
30.83103448
31.62413793
32.23571429
33.05714286
35.74285714
37.61724138
37.63928571
37.93214286
37.94210526
38.50344828
39.43571429
39.93214286
39.94642857
40.86896552
45.55714286
51.25172414
51.64285714
55.61785714
58.12941176
60.15
61.875
65.26551724
65.8
74.88823529
79.32068966
89.04285714
102.1

16.24193548
18.12903226
21.85483871
22.65806452
23.43225806
23.43225806
23.69032258
24.30967742
26.59032258
27.6516129
28.72903226
28.96774194
29.99354839
30.09677419
30.27419355
31.36451613
33.49032258
33.5516129
33.56129032
34.88064516
37.64516129
38.08387097
39.51612903
43.99677419
46.23225806
49.76451613
52.14193548
53.80967742
56.61935484

n=
=

30
61.554

30
48.385

29
33.128

32.201

19.425

10.754

ocurrencia
exedencia

crecida
sequa

=S
P. Exedencia P. Ocurrencia
2%
98%
8%
92%
40%
60%
97%
3%

61.554

48.385

33.128

32.201
ENE
127.687
106.799
69.712
0.990

19.425
FEB
88.280
75.679
53.306
11.850

10.754
MAR
55.215
48.239
35.853
12.901

Curva de varia
140

120

100

80

Caudal (Mm)

60

40

20

-20

-20

CAUDALES MEDIOS MENSUALES (m3/s)


ABR

MAY

JUN

JUL

AGO

SEP

11.166
12.32333333
13.85
14.71333333
16.10666667
16.49
16.68666667
16.72
17.74
18.66333333
19.31333333
19.74666667
20.11
20.17333333
20.25
22.53666667
23.12333333
23.43448276
23.47666667
23.88666667
25.26666667
25.26666667
25.42
25.52333333
25.70666667
27.37666667
28.79
31.09666667
35.38
40.43333333

8.796774194
10.41096774
10.59258065
12.4516129
13.40967742
13.78
13.86129032
14.00096774
14.60645161
15.23225806
15.4483871
15.49677419
15.64375
15.87096774
16.53548387
16.58387097
17.42580645
17.56129032
18.08064516
18.69677419
19.16774194
20.20870968
20.63870968
21.30967742
21.60645161
22.67142857
22.89677419
24.50909091
25.33548387
33.84193548
34.93870968
36.62413793

8.027666667
8.079
10.22633333
10.43933333
11.79733333
11.99
12.07666667
12.34333333
12.79666667
12.96666667
12.97333333
13.28
13.70333333
14.43333333
14.73666667
14.89333333
15.18
15.20666667
15.33
15.517
16.66
17.44666667
18.37391304
19.04666667
19.30666667
19.66666667
19.92666667
21.27333333
25.64666667
26.34333333
72.91666667

7.360645161
8.51483871
9.396451613
10.52322581
10.71032258
10.74741935
11.15483871
11.17741935
11.24966667
11.34193548
11.43225806
11.88645161
11.90967742
12.35483871
13.22903226
13.68064516
13.75925926
14.032
14.35806452
14.41935484
15.46451613
15.96774194
16.30967742
16.34193548
17.33548387
17.33870968
18.04193548
18.37419355
18.59677419
22.09354839
22.10967742

1.618387097
7.488064516
8.218709677
10.4
10.41096774
10.60322581
10.67064516
10.81419355
10.87419355
10.98709677
11.03580645
11.13870968
11.17774194
11.40967742
11.41354839
11.62903226
12.17096774
12.25483871
12.50967742
13.11290323
13.90259259
13.90967742
14.21935484
14.81935484
14.86451613
15.84193548
17.2
17.34516129
18.95483871
23.37741935

2.335666667
8.921666667
10.1725
10.97533333
11.306
11.46
11.51233333
12.00666667
12.02
12.159
12.72
12.74333333
13.16666667
13.27666667
13.80333333
14.01111111
14.175
14.35333333
14.70666667
15.27666667
15.48666667
16.31333333
16.32666667
16.34333333
16.77333333
18.95454545
20.81666667
20.90333333
21.45
22.11666667
23.52

30
22.026

32
18.695

31
17.181

31
13.910

30
12.479

31
14.520

6.561

6.710

11.229

3.676

3.848

4.367

Distribubucin Normal
Parametros
22.026

18.695

17.181

13.910

12.479

14.520

6.561
ABR
35.500
31.244
23.688
9.686

6.710
MAY
32.475
28.122
20.395
6.075

11.229
JUN
40.243
32.959
20.026
-3.939

3.676
JUL
21.460
19.076
14.841
6.996

3.848
AGO
20.381
17.885
13.454
5.242

4.367
SEP
23.488
20.655
15.626
6.307

Curva de variacin estacional

Tiempo (mensual)

10

11

Tiempo (mensual)

OCT

NOV

DIC

3.862903226
10.56806452
11.72258065
13.80967742
15.26967742
15.90645161
16.79032258
16.91612903
18.31935484
18.43548387
18.57419355
18.96086957
19.00322581
19.13548387
19.95483871
20.62608696
21.3483871
21.5483871
22.5483871
24.23548387
24.5483871
26.13548387
26.16774194
26.61612903
27.34516129
28.1483871
28.92580645
29.17419355
29.43870968
29.51290323
32.32258065
34.10322581

11.61966667
15.50333333
17.91
24.16
24.20333333
25.23333333
29.61333333
34.70666667
35.65
36.62
39.21566667
41.10666667
41.94333333
42.33333333
42.88666667
43.51
44.03666667
44.92
45.6
46.64
47.47666667
49.04
49.78
50.67333333
51.93
54.67666667
54.70952381
59.14
62.09
62.82333333
62.84
64.59
66.93666667

18.81290323
19.91354839
33.09354839
37.9
43.81935484
44.81935484
46.93870968
47.89677419
48.24193548
52.44516129
55.91935484
56.50322581
58.88387097
59.43548387
59.48064516
60.76774194
66.80322581
67.99354839
72.28064516
82.78709677
83.3375
84.79032258
88.72258065
89.00322581
92.52580645
92.97419355
93.81612903
101.8806452
103.8612903
104.2935484
105.5354839
106.0258065
107.3354839

32
21.562

33
43.155

33
69.359

6.794

14.519

25.998

10

21.562

43.155

69.359

6.794
OCT
35.515
31.108
23.283
8.784

14.519
NOV
72.974
63.556
46.833
15.847

25.998
DIC
122.751
105.887
75.945
20.463

11

12

AO

ENE

FEB

MAR

1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013

3.1098
3.4139
3.5503
3.6736
3.7586
3.7738
3.8260
3.8689
3.8814
3.9080
3.9115
3.9306
3.9354
3.9741
4.1451
4.2233
4.3229
4.3339
4.3876
4.4247
4.4257
4.4358
4.4600
4.4655
4.4750
4.6454
4.7069
4.7119
4.7578
4.9834

2.9605
3.3141
3.4274
3.4285
3.4539
3.4731
3.4982
3.5764
3.6275
3.6280
3.6358
3.6361
3.6507
3.6747
3.6872
3.6875
3.7104
3.8190
3.9367
3.9444
4.0185
4.0627
4.0968
4.1251
4.1785
4.1866
4.3160
4.3735
4.4891
4.6260

2.7876
2.8975
3.0844
3.1205
3.1541
3.1541
3.1651
3.1909
3.2805
3.3197
3.3579
3.3662
3.4010
3.4044
3.4103
3.4457
3.5113
3.5131
3.5134
3.5519
3.6282
3.6398
3.6767
3.7841
3.8337
3.9073
3.9540
3.9855
4.0364

n=
=

30
4.147

30
3.808

29
3.451

0.439

0.379

0.320

ocurrencia
exedencia

crecida
sequa
P. Exedencia
2%
8%
40%
97%

4.147

3.808

3.451

=S

0.439

0.379

0.320

P. Ocurrencia
98%
92%
60%
3%

ENE
155.960
117.287
70.715
27.690

FEB
98.128
76.744
49.605
22.097

MAR
60.853
49.440
34.192
17.264

180

160

140

120

100
Caudal (Mm)
80

60

40

20

CAUDALES MEDIOS MENSUALES (m3/s)


ABR

MAY

JUN

JUL

AGO

SEP

2.4129
2.5115
2.6283
2.6888
2.7792
2.8028
2.8146
2.8166
2.8758
2.9266
2.9608
2.9830
3.0012
3.0044
3.0082
3.1151
3.1408
3.1542
3.1560
3.1733
3.2295
3.2295
3.2355
3.2396
3.2468
3.3097
3.3600
3.4371
3.5661
3.6997

2.1744
2.3429
2.3602
2.5219
2.5960
2.6232
2.6291
2.6391
2.6815
2.7234
2.7375
2.7406
2.7501
2.7645
2.8055
2.8084
2.8580
2.8657
2.8948
2.9284
2.9532
3.0061
3.0272
3.0592
3.0730
3.1211
3.1310
3.1990
3.2322
3.5217
3.5536
3.6007

2.0829
2.0893
2.3250
2.3456
2.4679
2.4841
2.4913
2.5131
2.5492
2.5624
2.5629
2.5863
2.6176
2.6695
2.6903
2.7009
2.7200
2.7217
2.7298
2.7419
2.8130
2.8591
2.9109
2.9469
2.9605
2.9789
2.9921
3.0575
3.2444
3.2712
4.2893

1.9961
2.1418
2.2403
2.3536
2.3712
2.3747
2.4119
2.4139
2.4203
2.4285
2.4364
2.4754
2.4774
2.5140
2.5824
2.6160
2.6217
2.6413
2.6643
2.6686
2.7385
2.7706
2.7918
2.7937
2.8528
2.8529
2.8927
2.9109
2.9230
3.0953
3.0960

0.4814
2.0133
2.1064
2.3418
2.3429
2.3612
2.3675
2.3809
2.3864
2.3967
2.4011
2.4104
2.4139
2.4345
2.4348
2.4535
2.4991
2.5059
2.5265
2.5736
2.6321
2.6326
2.6546
2.6959
2.6990
2.7627
2.8449
2.8533
2.9421
3.1518

0.8483
2.1885
2.3197
2.3957
2.4253
2.4389
2.4434
2.4855
2.4866
2.4981
2.5432
2.5450
2.5777
2.5860
2.6249
2.6399
2.6515
2.6640
2.6883
2.7263
2.7400
2.7920
2.7928
2.7938
2.8198
2.9420
3.0358
3.0399
3.0657
3.0963
3.1579

30
3.050

32
2.873

31
2.741

31
2.599

30
2.457

31
2.615

0.296

0.333

0.403

0.265

0.441

0.407

Distribubucin Log-Normal

Parametros
3.050

2.873

2.741

2.599

2.457

2.615

0.296

0.333

0.403

0.265

0.441

0.407

ABR
38.777
32.006
22.764
12.108

MAY
35.058
28.243
19.241
9.448

JUN
35.504
27.329
17.173
7.260

JUL
23.171
19.513
14.383
8.173

AGO
28.873
21.686
13.046
5.087

SEP
31.498
24.193
15.145
6.357

Curva de variacin estacional

Tiempo (mensual)

Tiempo (mensual)

OCT

NOV

DIC

1.3514
2.3578
2.4615
2.6254
2.7259
2.7667
2.8208
2.8283
2.9080
2.9143
2.9218
2.9424
2.9446
2.9515
2.9935
3.0266
3.0610
3.0703
3.1157
3.1878
3.2006
3.2633
3.2645
3.2815
3.3085
3.3375
3.3647
3.3733
3.3823
3.3848
3.4758
3.5294

2.4527
2.7411
2.8854
3.1847
3.1865
3.2282
3.3882
3.5469
3.5737
3.6006
3.6691
3.7162
3.7363
3.7456
3.7586
3.7730
3.7850
3.8049
3.8199
3.8425
3.8602
3.8926
3.9076
3.9254
3.9499
4.0014
4.0020
4.0799
4.1286
4.1403
4.1406
4.1681
4.2037

2.9345
2.9914
3.4993
3.6350
3.7801
3.8026
3.8488
3.8690
3.8762
3.9598
4.0239
4.0343
4.0756
4.0849
4.0857
4.1071
4.2018
4.2194
4.2806
4.4163
4.4229
4.4402
4.4855
4.4887
4.5275
4.5323
4.5413
4.6238
4.6431
4.6472
4.6590
4.6637
4.6760

32
3.004

33
3.692

33
4.154

0.417

0.422

0.452

0.1283
0.1934
0.2074
1.2217
0.2925
0.2611
0.1705
0.4030
0.1232
0.1816
0.2372
0.1779
0.2366
0.2005
0.2395
0.2861
0.3187
0.2797
0.0791
0.1540
0.1801
0.0931
0.0926
0.5200
0.0653
0.3544
0.1616
0.2245
0.3969
0.2104
0.1111
0.0921
0.2772
0.2488
0.1597
0.2451
0.1974819979

3.004

3.692

4.154

0.417

0.422

0.452

OCT
47.469
36.227
22.420
9.215

NOV
95.416
72.579
44.654
18.154

DIC
161.019
120.123
71.400
27.230

10

11

12

10

11

12

CAUDALES MEDIOS
AO

ENE

FEB

1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013

MAR

ABR

22.4161
30.3839
34.8226
39.3935
42.8871
43.5452
45.8774
47.8903
48.4935
49.7968
49.9742
50.9355
51.1806
53.2000
63.1258
68.2613
75.4097
76.2387
80.4484
83.4839
83.5742
84.4194
86.4839
86.9625
87.7903
104.1000
110.7129
111.2613
116.4935
145.9677

19.3071
27.4964
30.7964
30.8310
31.6241
32.2357
33.0571
35.7429
37.6172
37.6393
37.9321
37.9421
38.5034
39.4357
39.9321
39.9464
40.8690
45.5571
51.2517
51.6429
55.6179
58.1294
60.1500
61.8750
65.2655
65.8000
74.8882
79.3207
89.0429
102.1000

16.2419
18.1290
21.8548
22.6581
23.4323
23.4323
23.6903
24.3097
26.5903
27.6516
28.7290
28.9677
29.9935
30.0968
30.2742
31.3645
33.4903
33.5516
33.5613
34.8806
37.6452
38.0839
39.5161
43.9968
46.2323
49.7645
52.1419
53.8097
56.6194

11.1660
12.3233
13.8500
14.7133
16.1067
16.4900
16.6867
16.7200
17.7400
18.6633
19.3133
19.7467
20.1100
20.1733
20.2500
22.5367
23.1233
23.4345
23.4767
23.8867
25.2667
25.2667
25.4200
25.5233
25.7067
27.3767
28.7900
31.0967
35.3800
40.4333

n=
=

30
69.184

30
48.385

29
33.128

30
22.026

29.301

19.425

10.754

6.561

22.846

15.146

8.385

55.999

39.644

28.288

ENE
145.143
112.756
71.345
27.335

FEB
98.742
77.271
49.817
20.641

MAR
61.007
49.120
33.921
17.768

P. Exedencia P. Ocurrencia
98%
2%
92%
8%
60%
40%
3%
97%

160

140

120

100

Caudal (Mm)

80

60

40

20

20

CAUDALES MEDIOS MENSUALES (m3/s)


MAY

JUN

JUL

8.7968
10.4110
10.5926
12.4516
13.4097
13.7800
13.8613
14.0010
14.6065
15.2323
15.4484
15.4968
15.6438
15.8710
16.5355
16.5839
17.4258
17.5613
18.0806
18.6968
19.1677
20.2087
20.6387
21.3097
21.6065
22.6714
22.8968
24.5091
25.3355
33.8419
34.9387
36.6241

8.0277
8.0790
10.2263
10.4393
11.7973
11.9900
12.0767
12.3433
12.7967
12.9667
12.9733
13.2800
13.7033
14.4333
14.7367
14.8933
15.1800
15.2067
15.3300
15.5170
16.6600
17.4467
18.3739
19.0467
19.3067
19.6667
19.9267
21.2733
25.6467
26.3433
72.9167

7.3606
8.5148
9.3965
10.5232
10.7103
10.7474
11.1548
11.1774
11.2497
11.3419
11.4323
11.8865
11.9097
12.3548
13.2290
13.6806
13.7593
14.0320
14.3581
14.4194
15.4645
15.9677
16.3097
16.3419
17.3355
17.3387
18.0419
18.3742
18.5968
22.0935
22.1097

32
18.695

31
17.181

6.710

11.229

AGO

SEP

OCT

1.6184
7.4881
8.2187
10.4000
10.4110
10.6032
10.6706
10.8142
10.8742
10.9871
11.0358
11.1387
11.1777
11.4097
11.4135
11.6290
12.1710
12.2548
12.5097
13.1129
13.9026
13.9097
14.2194
14.8194
14.8645
15.8419
17.2000
17.3452
18.9548
23.3774

2.3357
8.9217
10.1725
10.9753
11.3060
11.4600
11.5123
12.0067
12.0200
12.1590
12.7200
12.7433
13.1667
13.2767
13.8033
14.0111
14.1750
14.3533
14.7067
15.2767
15.4867
16.3133
16.3267
16.3433
16.7733
18.9545
20.8167
20.9033
21.4500
22.1167
23.5200

3.8629
10.5681
11.7226
13.8097
15.2697
15.9065
16.7903
16.9161
18.3194
18.4355
18.5742
18.9609
19.0032
19.1355
19.9548
20.6261
21.3484
21.5484
22.5484
24.2355
24.5484
26.1355
26.1677
26.6161
27.3452
28.1484
28.9258
29.1742
29.4387
29.5129
32.3226
34.1032

31
13.910

30
12.479

31
14.520

32
21.562

3.676

3.848

4.367

6.794

Distribubucin Gumbel

Parametros
5.116

5.231

8.756

2.866

3.000

3.405

19.073

15.676

12.128

12.256

10.748

12.555

ABR
39.034
31.782
22.510
12.655

MAY
36.088
28.672
19.190
9.112

JUN
46.291
33.879
18.009
1.143

JUL
23.440
19.377
14.181
8.659

AGO
22.454
18.201
12.763
6.984

SEP
25.840
21.013
14.842
8.283

Curva de variacin estacional

Tiempo (mensual)

NOV

DIC

11.6197
15.5033
17.9100
24.1600
24.2033
25.2333
29.6133
34.7067
35.6500
36.6200
39.2157
41.1067
41.9433
42.3333
42.8867
43.5100
44.0367
44.9200
45.6000
46.6400
47.4767
49.0400
49.7800
50.6733
51.9300
54.6767
54.7095
59.1400
62.0900
62.8233
62.8400
64.5900
66.9367

18.8129
19.9135
33.0935
37.9000
43.8194
44.8194
46.9387
47.8968
48.2419
52.4452
55.9194
56.5032
58.8839
59.4355
59.4806
60.7677
66.8032
67.9935
72.2806
82.7871
83.3375
84.7903
88.7226
89.0032
92.5258
92.9742
93.8161
101.8806
103.8613
104.2935
105.5355
106.0258
107.3355

33
43.155

33
69.359

14.519

25.998

5.297

11.321

20.270

18.504

36.621

57.660

OCT
39.174
31.665
22.063
11.858

NOV
80.794
64.745
44.226
22.418

DIC
136.753
108.018
71.276
32.228

nal

10

11

12

10

11

12

CAUD
AO

ENE

FEB

MAR

1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013

22.4161
30.3839
34.8226
39.3935
42.8871
43.5452
45.8774
47.8903
48.4935
49.7968
49.9742
50.9355
51.1806
53.2000
63.1258
68.2613
75.4097
76.2387
80.4484
83.4839
83.5742
84.4194
86.4839
86.9625
87.7903
104.1000
110.7129
111.2613
116.4935
145.9677

19.3071
27.4964
30.7964
30.8310
31.6241
32.2357
33.0571
35.7429
37.6172
37.6393
37.9321
37.9421
38.5034
39.4357
39.9321
39.9464
40.8690
45.5571
51.2517
51.6429
55.6179
58.1294
60.1500
61.8750
65.2655
65.8000
74.8882
79.3207
89.0429
102.1000

0.0000
16.2419
18.1290
21.8548
22.6581
23.4323
23.4323
23.6903
24.3097
26.5903
27.6516
28.7290
28.9677
29.9935
30.0968
30.2742
31.3645
33.4903
33.5516
33.5613
34.8806
37.6452
38.0839
39.5161
43.9968
46.2323
49.7645
52.1419
53.8097
56.6194

n=
=

30
69.184

30
48.385

30
32.024

29.301

19.425

12.176

ocurrencia
exedencia

crecida

sequa

P. Exedencia P. Ocurrencia
2%
8%
40%
97%

98%
98%
98%
98%

5.575

6.204

6.917

12.410

7.799

4.629

ENE
22.914
33.041
58.194
133.732

FEB
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?

MAR
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?

Curva
160

140

120

100

Caudal (Mm)

80

60

40

20

20

CAUDALES MEDIOS MENSUALES (m3/s)


ABR

MAY

JUN

JUL

AGO

SEP

11.1660
12.3233
13.8500
14.7133
16.1067
16.4900
16.6867
16.7200
17.7400
18.6633
19.3133
19.7467
20.1100
20.1733
20.2500
22.5367
23.1233
23.4345
23.4767
23.8867
25.2667
25.2667
25.4200
25.5233
25.7067
27.3767
28.7900
31.0967
35.3800
40.4333

8.7968
10.4110
10.5926
12.4516
13.4097
13.7800
13.8613
14.0010
14.6065
15.2323
15.4484
15.4968
15.6438
15.8710
16.5355
16.5839
17.4258
17.5613
18.0806
18.6968
19.1677
20.2087
20.6387
21.3097
21.6065
22.6714
22.8968
24.5091
25.3355
33.8419
34.9387
36.6241

8.0277
8.0790
10.2263
10.4393
11.7973
11.9900
12.0767
12.3433
12.7967
12.9667
12.9733
13.2800
13.7033
14.4333
14.7367
14.8933
15.1800
15.2067
15.3300
15.5170
16.6600
17.4467
18.3739
19.0467
19.3067
19.6667
19.9267
21.2733
25.6467
26.3433
72.9167

7.3606
8.5148
9.3965
10.5232
10.7103
10.7474
11.1548
11.1774
11.2497
11.3419
11.4323
11.8865
11.9097
12.3548
13.2290
13.6806
13.7593
14.0320
14.3581
14.4194
15.4645
15.9677
16.3097
16.3419
17.3355
17.3387
18.0419
18.3742
18.5968
22.0935
22.1097

0.0000
1.6184
7.4881
8.2187
10.4000
10.4110
10.6032
10.6706
10.8142
10.8742
10.9871
11.0358
11.1387
11.1777
11.4097
11.4135
11.6290
12.1710
12.2548
12.5097
13.1129
13.9026
13.9097
14.2194
14.8194
14.8645
15.8419
17.2000
17.3452
18.9548
23.3774

2.3357
8.9217
10.1725
10.9753
11.3060
11.4600
11.5123
12.0067
12.0200
12.1590
12.7200
12.7433
13.1667
13.2767
13.8033
14.0111
14.1750
14.3533
14.7067
15.2767
15.4867
16.3133
16.3267
16.3433
16.7733
18.9545
20.8167
20.9033
21.4500
22.1167
23.5200

30
22.026

32
18.695

31
17.181

31
13.910

31
12.077

31
14.520

6.561

6.710

11.229

3.676

4.397

4.367

Distribubucin Gamma

Parametros
11.270

7.763

2.341

14.316

7.543

11.056

1.954

2.408

7.340

0.972

1.601

1.313

ABR
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?

MAY
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?

JUN
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?

JUL
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?

AGO
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?

SEP
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?

Curva de variacin estacional

Tiempo (mensual)

10

Tiempo (mensual)

10

OCT

NOV

DIC

3.8629
10.5681
11.7226
13.8097
15.2697
15.9065
16.7903
16.9161
18.3194
18.4355
18.5742
18.9609
19.0032
19.1355
19.9548
20.6261
21.3484
21.5484
22.5484
24.2355
24.5484
26.1355
26.1677
26.6161
27.3452
28.1484
28.9258
29.1742
29.4387
29.5129
32.3226
34.1032

11.6197
15.5033
17.9100
24.1600
24.2033
25.2333
29.6133
34.7067
35.6500
36.6200
39.2157
41.1067
41.9433
42.3333
42.8867
43.5100
44.0367
44.9200
45.6000
46.6400
47.4767
49.0400
49.7800
50.6733
51.9300
54.6767
54.7095
59.1400
62.0900
62.8233
62.8400
64.5900
66.9367

18.8129
19.9135
33.0935
37.9000
43.8194
44.8194
46.9387
47.8968
48.2419
52.4452
55.9194
56.5032
58.8839
59.4355
59.4806
60.7677
66.8032
67.9935
72.2806
82.7871
83.3375
84.7903
88.7226
89.0032
92.5258
92.9742
93.8161
101.8806
103.8613
104.2935
105.5355
106.0258
107.3355

32
21.562

33
43.155

33
69.359

6.794

14.519

25.998

10.072

8.834

7.118

2.141

4.885

9.745

OCT
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?

NOV
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?

DIC
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?

10

11

12

10

11

12

CAUDAL
AO

ENE

FEB

MAR

1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013

22.4161
30.3839
34.8226
39.3935
42.8871
43.5452
45.8774
47.8903
48.4935
49.7968
49.9742
50.9355
51.1806
53.2000
63.1258
68.2613
75.4097
76.2387
80.4484
83.4839
83.5742
84.4194
86.4839
86.9625
87.7903
104.1000
110.7129
111.2613
116.4935
145.9677

19.3071
27.4964
30.7964
30.8310
31.6241
32.2357
33.0571
35.7429
37.6172
37.6393
37.9321
37.9421
38.5034
39.4357
39.9321
39.9464
40.8690
45.5571
51.2517
51.6429
55.6179
58.1294
60.1500
61.8750
65.2655
65.8000
74.8882
79.3207
89.0429
102.1000

0.0000
16.2419
18.1290
21.8548
22.6581
23.4323
23.4323
23.6903
24.3097
26.5903
27.6516
28.7290
28.9677
29.9935
30.0968
30.2742
31.3645
33.4903
33.5516
33.5613
34.8806
37.6452
38.0839
39.5161
43.9968
46.2323
49.7645
52.1419
53.8097
56.6194

n=
=

30
69.184

30
48.385

30
32.024

29.301

19.425

12.176

ocurrencia
exedencia

crecida

sequa

P. ExedenciaP. Ocurrencia
2%
8%
40%
97%

98%
98%
98%
98%

5.575

6.204

6.917

12.410

7.799

4.629

ENE
22.914
33.041
58.194
133.732

FEB
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?

MAR
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?

CAUDALES MEDIOS MENSUALES (m3/s)


ABR

MAY

JUN

JUL

AGO

SEP

11.1660
12.3233
13.8500
14.7133
16.1067
16.4900
16.6867
16.7200
17.7400
18.6633
19.3133
19.7467
20.1100
20.1733
20.2500
22.5367
23.1233
23.4345
23.4767
23.8867
25.2667
25.2667
25.4200
25.5233
25.7067
27.3767
28.7900
31.0967
35.3800
40.4333

8.7968
10.4110
10.5926
12.4516
13.4097
13.7800
13.8613
14.0010
14.6065
15.2323
15.4484
15.4968
15.6438
15.8710
16.5355
16.5839
17.4258
17.5613
18.0806
18.6968
19.1677
20.2087
20.6387
21.3097
21.6065
22.6714
22.8968
24.5091
25.3355
33.8419
34.9387
36.6241

8.0277
8.0790
10.2263
10.4393
11.7973
11.9900
12.0767
12.3433
12.7967
12.9667
12.9733
13.2800
13.7033
14.4333
14.7367
14.8933
15.1800
15.2067
15.3300
15.5170
16.6600
17.4467
18.3739
19.0467
19.3067
19.6667
19.9267
21.2733
25.6467
26.3433
72.9167

7.3606
8.5148
9.3965
10.5232
10.7103
10.7474
11.1548
11.1774
11.2497
11.3419
11.4323
11.8865
11.9097
12.3548
13.2290
13.6806
13.7593
14.0320
14.3581
14.4194
15.4645
15.9677
16.3097
16.3419
17.3355
17.3387
18.0419
18.3742
18.5968
22.0935
22.1097

0.0000
1.6184
7.4881
8.2187
10.4000
10.4110
10.6032
10.6706
10.8142
10.8742
10.9871
11.0358
11.1387
11.1777
11.4097
11.4135
11.6290
12.1710
12.2548
12.5097
13.1129
13.9026
13.9097
14.2194
14.8194
14.8645
15.8419
17.2000
17.3452
18.9548
23.3774

2.3357
8.9217
10.1725
10.9753
11.3060
11.4600
11.5123
12.0067
12.0200
12.1590
12.7200
12.7433
13.1667
13.2767
13.8033
14.0111
14.1750
14.3533
14.7067
15.2767
15.4867
16.3133
16.3267
16.3433
16.7733
18.9545
20.8167
20.9033
21.4500
22.1167
23.5200

30
22.026

32
18.695

31
17.181

31
13.910

31
12.077

31
14.520

6.561

6.710

11.229

3.676

4.397

4.367

Distribubucin Gamma

Parametros
11.270

7.763

2.341

14.316

7.543

11.056

1.954

2.408

7.340

0.972

1.601

1.313

ABR
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?

MAY
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?

JUN
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?

JUL
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?

AGO
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?

SEP
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?

OCT

NOV

DIC

3.8629
10.5681
11.7226
13.8097
15.2697
15.9065
16.7903
16.9161
18.3194
18.4355
18.5742
18.9609
19.0032
19.1355
19.9548
20.6261
21.3484
21.5484
22.5484
24.2355
24.5484
26.1355
26.1677
26.6161
27.3452
28.1484
28.9258
29.1742
29.4387
29.5129
32.3226
34.1032

11.6197
15.5033
17.9100
24.1600
24.2033
25.2333
29.6133
34.7067
35.6500
36.6200
39.2157
41.1067
41.9433
42.3333
42.8867
43.5100
44.0367
44.9200
45.6000
46.6400
47.4767
49.0400
49.7800
50.6733
51.9300
54.6767
54.7095
59.1400
62.0900
62.8233
62.8400
64.5900
66.9367

18.8129
19.9135
33.0935
37.9000
43.8194
44.8194
46.9387
47.8968
48.2419
52.4452
55.9194
56.5032
58.8839
59.4355
59.4806
60.7677
66.8032
67.9935
72.2806
82.7871
83.3375
84.7903
88.7226
89.0032
92.5258
92.9742
93.8161
101.8806
103.8613
104.2935
105.5355
106.0258
107.3355

32
21.562

33
43.155

33
69.359

6.794

14.519

25.998

10.072

8.834

7.118

2.141

4.885

9.745

OCT
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?

NOV
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?

DIC
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?

Datos
Ordenados
de menor a
mayor
ao
1979

Log de los
datos

N de orden

enero

ENERO

ENERO

22.416129
30.383871
34.8225807
39.3935484
42.8870968
43.5451613
45.8774194
47.8903226
48.4935484
49.7967742
49.9741936
50.9354839
51.1806452
53.2
63.1258065
68.2612903
75.4096774
76.2387097
80.4483871
83.483871
83.5741936
84.4193548
86.483871
86.9625
87.7903226
104.1
110.712903
111.26129
116.493548

22.4161
30.3839
34.8226
39.3935
42.8871
43.5452
45.8774
47.8903
48.4935
49.7968
49.9742
50.9355
51.1806
53.2000
63.1258
68.2613
75.4097
76.2387
80.4484
83.4839
83.5742
84.4194
86.4839
86.9625
87.7903
104.1000
110.7129
111.2613
116.4935

1.35

1.48

1.54

1.60

1.63

1.64

1.66

1.68

1.69

1.70

10

1.70

11

1.71

12

1.71

13

1.73

14

1.80

15

1.83

16

1.88

17

1.88

18

1.91

19

1.92

20

1.92

21

1.93

22

1.94

23

1.94

24

1.94

25

2.02

26

2.04

27

2.05

28

2.07

29

1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012

2013

145.967742

145.9677

Estadisticos Descriptivos
ENERO
N
30
Media ()
69.184
Desviacin estndar (S)
29.301
Mnimo
22.416
Mximo
145.968
Rango
123.552
NC =
5.52
x =
24.71
Suma
2075.530

2.16

30

Aprox

Mue
Caudales
N

1
2
3
4
5
6

Lim. Inf.

10.061
34.771
59.482
84.192
108.902
133.613

Lim. Sup.

34.771
59.482
84.192
108.902
133.613
158.323

Marca de
clase

22.416
47.126
71.837
96.547
121.257
145.968
=

Caudales
N

1
2
3
4
5
6

Lim. Inf.

1.269
1.432
1.595
1.757
1.920
2.083

Lim. Sup.

1.432
1.595
1.757
1.920
2.083
2.246

Marca de
clase

1.351
1.513
1.676
1.839
2.002
2.164

Frec.
Observada
F.obs

2
12
7
5
0
0
26

Frec.
Observada
Fo

1
2
11
5
7
0

26

Prob. Empirica

Prob. Teorica

Prob. Teorica

Prob. Teorica

Normal

Log-Normal

Gama

F(x)

F(x)

F(x)

Parametros

Parametros

Parametros

P(x)
Weibull (m/(N+1)

=S

=S

69.184

29.301

1.801

0.191

5.575

0.032258

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.018280

0.064516

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.096774

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.129032

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.161290

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.193548

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.225806

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.258065

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.290323

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.322581

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.354839

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.387097

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.419355

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.451613

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.483871

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.516129

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.548387

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.580645

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.612903

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.645161

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.677419

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.709677

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.741935

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.774194

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.806452

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.838710

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.870968

0.921802

#NAME?

0.909910

0.903226

0.924500

#NAME?

0.912112

0.935484

0.946799

#NAME?

0.930859

0.967742

0.995610

#NAME?

Estadisticos Descriptivos Log de los datos


ENERO
N
30
Media ()
1.801
Desviacin estndar (S)
0.191
Mnimo
1.351
Mximo
2.164
Rango
0.814
NC =
5.52
x =
0.16
Suma
54.035

Aprox

0.983997

Muestra
Frec. Observada
Acomulada

Frec.
Observada
Relativa

Frec. Observada
Relativa
Acomulada

Distribucin Normal

Fo acum

F.obs r

For acum

2
14
21
26
26
26
=

0.077
0.462
0.269
0.192
0.000
0.000
1

0.077
0.538
0.808
1.000
1.000
1

Fer acum
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?

Frec. Observada
Acomulada

Frec.
Observada
Relativa

Frec. Observada
Relativa
Acomulada

Distribucin Log-Normal

Fo acum

For

For acum

1
3
14
19
26
26

0.038
0.077
0.423
0.192
0.269
0.000

0.038
0.115
0.538
0.731
1.000
1

Fer acum
2.03570761380516E-014
0.8507084247
0.5745558502
0.3820885778
0.5908672229
1.5674576824922E-090

Frecuencia Esperada
Relativa Acomulada

Abs (For acum - Fer acum)


#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?

Frecuencia Esperada
Relativa Acomulada

Abs (For acum - Fer acum)


0.038
0.735
0.036
0.349
0.409
1.000

Prob. Teorica

Prob. Teorica

Prob. Teorica

Gama

Gumbel

Log-Gumbel

F(x)

F(x)

F(x)

Parametros

Parametros

Parametros

12.410

22.846

55.999

0.149

1.715

0.018280

0.012919

0.000009

-46.768212

#NAME?

0.046490

0.008411

-38.800470

#NAME?

0.079924

0.040393

-34.361761

#NAME?

0.126374

0.106591

-29.790793

#NAME?

0.169450

0.174307

-26.297245

#NAME?

0.178209

0.188064

-25.639180

#NAME?

0.210681

0.238142

-23.306922

#NAME?

0.240253

0.282005

-21.294019

#NAME?

0.249349

0.295110

-20.690793

#NAME?

0.269311

0.323199

-19.387567

#NAME?

0.272058

0.326992

-19.210148

#NAME?

0.287048

0.347379

-18.248858

#NAME?

0.290898

0.352529

-18.003696

#NAME?

0.322928

0.394063

-15.984341

#NAME?

0.480940

0.568274

-6.058535

#NAME?

0.557302

0.637769

-0.923051

#NAME?

0.652092

0.714408

6.225336

#NAME?

0.662104

0.721996

7.054368

#NAME?

0.709678

0.756969

11.264046

#NAME?

0.740614

0.778881

14.299530

#NAME?

0.741492

0.779495

14.389852

#NAME?

0.749590

0.785136

15.235013

#NAME?

0.768492

0.798178

17.299530

#NAME?

0.772699

0.801059

17.778159

#NAME?

0.779823

0.805921

18.605981

#NAME?

0.885333

0.877040

34.915659

0.909910

0.912852

0.896183

41.528562

0.912112

0.914828

0.897591

42.076949

0.930859

0.931650

0.909849

47.309207

0.983997

0.980702

0.952272

m3
sesgo
x0

Estadistico K-S
Funcin de Probabilidad

Normal
Log-Normal
Gama
Gumbel

0.158914
0.106915
0.125149
0.128685

Pearson

(For acum - Fer acum)


#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?

(For acum - Fer acum)


0.038
0.735
0.036
0.349
0.409
1.000

0.132385

76.783401
15047.629243

0.6629722039
-19.20931306

person
F(x)
Parametros
Q-xo

Xo

9.101

9.713

-19.209

-102294.506191

41.625442

0.028549

-58413.196619

49.593184

0.070089

-40571.982435

54.031894

0.104261

-26439.071040

58.602861

0.147714

-18185.730004

62.096410

0.186114

-16854.365176

62.754474

0.193800

-12660.614078

65.086732

0.222085

-9655.458475

67.099636

0.247674

-8857.912948

67.702861

0.255532

-7287.355375

69.006087

0.272773

-7089.116638

69.183507

0.275146

-6077.249150

70.144797

0.288107

-5835.593479

70.389958

0.291439

-4083.985957

72.409313

0.319228

-222.383649

82.335120

0.460061

-0.786461

87.470603

0.531585

241.261706

94.618990

0.624686

351.054373

95.448023

0.634838

1429.167764

99.657700

0.683983

2923.918417

102.693184

0.716781

2979.675676

102.783507

0.717722

3536.132464

103.628668

0.726426

5177.294630

105.693184

0.746928

5619.016780

106.171813

0.751526

6441.065748

106.999636

0.759342

42565.791685

123.309313

0.879151

71621.048290

129.922216

0.911248

74495.960120

130.470603

0.913551

105885.625246

135.702861

0.933077

452691.172053
451428.877278

165.177055

0.986425
0.000000

Prueba de Bondad de ajuste kolmogorov-Smirnov


ENERO

Normal

Log- Normal

Gama

Gumbel

= ( F(x) - P(x))

= ( F(x) - P(x))

= ( F(x) - P(x))

= ( F(x) - P(x))

#NAME?

0.023164

0.013978

0.019339

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.018026

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.016850

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.002659

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.008159

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.015339

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.015125

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.017811

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.040973

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.053270

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.082781

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.100048

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.128457

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.128685

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.002931

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.041173

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.103705

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.081459

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.096775

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.095453

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.064073

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.039913

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.026557

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.001494

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.026629

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.046623

0.050834

#NAME?

0.038942

0.041884

0.021275

#NAME?

0.008886

0.011602

0.011315

#NAME?

0.004625

0.003834

0.027868

#NAME?

0.016255

0.012960

juste kolmogorov-Smirnov (K-S)


ENERO
Nivel de significancia

Grado de libertad

0.005
0.005
0.005
0.005

30
30
30
30

1.005

30

Log-Gumbel

pearson

= ( F(x) - P(x))

= ( F(x) - P(x))

0.032249
0.056105
0.056381
0.022442
0.013017
0.005485
0.012335
0.023941
0.004787
0.000618
0.027847
0.039718
0.066826
0.057550
0.084403
0.121640
0.166021
0.141351
0.144066
0.133720
0.102075
0.075459
0.056243
0.026866
0.000530
0.038331
0.025215
0.005635
0.025635

0.0037087374
0.0055726576
0.0074864266
0.0186817878
0.0248232236
0.0002520283
0.0037218492
0.0103901693
0.0347908157
0.049807675
0.0796922366
0.0989894865
0.1279162586
0.132385139
0.0238102086
0.015456059
0.0762993505
0.0541928995
0.071079376
0.0716197557
0.0403025266
0.0167485078
0.0049921875
0.0226674725
0.0471098852
0.0404417741
0.0402798093
0.0103250978
0.0024068151

0.0186830981

0.015470

Est. obt. por tabla

La hipotesis

lim

< lim

0.248301
0.248301
0.248301
0.248301

Se
Se
Se
Se

acepta
acepta
acepta
acepta

0.248301

Se acepta

AO
1979

FEB

FEBRERO

Log de los
datos

N de orden

FEBRERO

2.96

3.31

3.43

3.43

3.45

3.47

3.50

3.58

3.63

3.63

10

3.64

11

3.64

12

3.65

13

3.67

14

3.69

15

3.69

16

3.71

17

3.82

18

3.94

19

3.94

20

4.02

21

4.06

22

4.10

23

4.13

24

4.18

25

4.19

26

4.32

27

4.37

28

4.49

29

1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012

19.3071
27.4964
30.7964
30.8310
31.6241
32.2357
33.0571
35.7429
37.6172
37.6393
37.9321
37.9421
38.5034
39.4357
39.9321
39.9464
40.8690
45.5571
51.2517
51.6429
55.6179
58.1294
60.1500
61.8750
65.2655
65.8000
74.8882
79.3207
89.0429

2013

102.1000

4.63

30

Aprox

Estadisticos Descriptivos
FEBRERO
N
Media ()
Desviacin estndar (S)
Mnimo
Mximo
Rango
NC =
x =
Suma

30
48.385
19.425
19.307
102.100
82.793
5.52
16.56
1451.550

Prob. Empirica

P(x)
Weibull (m/(N+1)

Prob. Teorica

Prob. Teorica

Prob. Teorica

Normal

Log-Normal

Gama

F(x)

F(x)

F(x)

Parametros

Parametros

Parametros

=S

=S

48.385

19.425

3.808

0.379

6.204

0.032258

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.064516

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.096774

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.129032

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.161290

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.193548

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.225806

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.258065

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.290323

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.322581

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.354839

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.387097

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.419355

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.451613

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.483871

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.516129

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.548387

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.580645

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.612903

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.645161

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.677419

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.709677

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.741935

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.774194

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.806452

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.838710

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.870968

0.006373

#NAME?

0.000000

0.903226

0.006373

#NAME?

0.000000

0.935484

0.006373

#NAME?

0.000000

0.967742

0.006373

#NAME?

0.000000

Estadisticos Descriptivos LN de los datos


FEBRERO
N
Media ()
Desviacin estndar (S)
Mnimo
Mximo
Rango
NC =
x =
Suma

30
3.808
0.379
2.960
4.626
1.665
5.52
0.33
114.243

P. ExedenciaP. Ocurrencia
2%
8%
40%
97%

98%
92%
60%
3%

98.617
77.965
49.742
21.710

Aprox

Prob. Teorica

Prob. Teorica

Prob. Teorica

Gama

Gumbel

Log-Gumbel

F(x)

F(x)

F(x)

Parametros

Parametros

Parametros

7.799

15.146

39.644

0.295

3.638

#NAME?

0.000001

0.000050

-29.077846

#NAME?

0.000001

0.050312

-20.888560

#NAME?

0.000001

0.130425

-17.588560

#NAME?

0.000001

0.131437

-17.553954

#NAME?

0.000001

0.155352

-16.760851

#NAME?

0.000001

0.174617

-16.149274

#NAME?

0.000001

0.201357

-15.327846

#NAME?

0.000001

0.292200

-12.642131

#NAME?

0.000001

0.355277

-10.767747

#NAME?

0.000001

0.356006

-10.745703

#NAME?

0.000001

0.365655

-10.452846

#NAME?

0.000001

0.365982

-10.442883

#NAME?

0.000001

0.384265

-9.881540

#NAME?

0.000001

0.413944

-8.949274

#NAME?

0.000001

0.429361

-8.452846

#NAME?

0.000001

0.429801

-8.438560

#NAME?

0.000001

0.457659

-7.516023

#NAME?

0.000001

0.582047

-2.827846

#NAME?

0.000001

0.695406

2.866736

#NAME?

0.000001

0.701853

3.257869

#NAME?

0.000001

0.759234

7.232869

#NAME?

0.000001

0.788837

9.744423

#NAME?

0.000001

0.809540

11.765012

#NAME?

0.000001

0.825303

13.490012

#NAME?

0.000001

0.851902

16.880529

#NAME?

0.000001

0.855629

17.415012

0.000000

0.000001

0.904271

26.503247

0.000000

0.000001

0.920509

30.935701

0.000000

0.000001

0.945536

40.657869

0.000000

0.000001

0.965372

m3
sesgo
x0

53.715012
7291.904470

1.10260617
13.1496387

Pru
Estadistico K-S
Funcin de Probabilidad

Normal
Log-Normal
Gama
Gumbel

0.961369
0.150147
0.967742
0.967741

Pearson

0.139415

person
F(x)
Parametros
Q-xo

Xo

Normal

3.290

10.709

13.150

= ( F(x) - P(x))

-24585.932135

6.157504

0.011986

#NAME?

-9114.345741

14.346790

0.110743

#NAME?

-5441.151843

17.646790

0.175845

#NAME?

-5409.098205

17.681396

0.176580

#NAME?

-4708.560548

18.474499

0.193675

#NAME?

-4211.715462

19.086076

0.207147

#NAME?

-3601.167741

19.907504

0.225585

#NAME?

-2020.509477

22.593218

0.287842

#NAME?

-1248.459729

24.467603

0.332230

#NAME?

-1240.807668

24.489647

0.332753

#NAME?

-1142.098619

24.782504

0.339706

#NAME?

-1138.836195

24.792467

0.339942

#NAME?

-964.881374

25.353810

0.353261

#NAME?

-716.742967

26.286076

0.375324

#NAME?

-603.960879

26.782504

0.387024

#NAME?

-600.903884

26.796790

0.387360

#NAME?

-424.584652

27.719327

0.408972

#NAME?

-22.613463

32.407504

0.514542

#NAME?

23.559331

38.102085

0.628353

#NAME?

34.578068

38.493218

0.635475

#NAME?

378.383108

42.468218

0.702495

#NAME?

925.269879

44.979773

0.739822

#NAME?

1628.459914

47.000361

0.767106

#NAME?

2454.917849

48.725361

0.788534

#NAME?

4810.144689

52.115879

0.825922

#NAME?

5281.670448

52.650361

0.831274

#NAME?

18616.466097

61.738597

0.902809

0.864595

29606.010787

66.171051

0.926657

0.896853

67209.989328

75.893218

0.961375

0.929111

154984.055190

88.950361

0.984346

0.961369

218757.134107

Prueba de Bondad de ajuste kolmogorov-Sm


FEBRERO
Nivel de significancia

0.005
0.005
0.005
0.005
1.005

Log- Normal

Gama

Gumbel

Log-Gumbel

pearson

= ( F(x) - P(x))

= ( F(x) - P(x))

= ( F(x) - P(x))

= ( F(x) - P(x))

= ( F(x) - P(x))

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.032257

0.032208

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.064515

0.014204

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.096773

0.033651

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.129031

0.002405

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.161289

0.005938

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.193547

0.018932

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.225805

0.024450

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.258063

0.034135

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.290321

0.064954

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.322580

0.033425

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.354838

0.010816

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.387096

0.021115

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.419354

0.035090

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.451612

0.037669

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.483870

0.054510

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.516128

0.086328

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.548386

0.090728

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.580644

0.001402

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.612902

0.082502

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.645160

0.056692

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.677418

0.081815

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.709676

0.079159

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.741934

0.067605

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.774192

0.051110

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.806450

0.045451

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.838709

0.016919

#NAME?

0.870968

0.870967

0.033303

#NAME?

0.903226

0.903225

0.017283

#NAME?

0.935484

0.935483

0.010052

0.0202716132
0.0462270503
0.0790708121
0.0475481078
0.032384828
0.013599029
0.0002209633
0.0297773755
0.0419070566
0.0101723563
0.0151330805
0.0471546528
0.0660936823
0.0762890822
0.0968470661
0.1287690692
0.1394149219
0.0661034039
0.0154494589
0.0096866196
0.025076136
0.0301443197
0.0251706614
0.0143402621
0.0194707807
0.0074352668
0.031841616
0.0234311633
0.025890739

#NAME?

0.967742

0.967741

0.0166044848

0.002370

mogorov-Smirnov (K-S)

FEBRERO

Nivel de significancia

Grado de libertad

Est. obt. por tabla


lim

0.005
0.005
0.005
0.005

30
30
30
30

0.248301
0.248301
0.248301
0.248301

1.005

30

0.248301

La hipotesis
< lim
Se rechaza
Se acepta
Se rechaza
Se rechaza
Se acepta

AO
1979

MAR

MARZO

Log de los
datos

N de orden

MARZO

2.79

2.90

3.08

3.12

3.15

3.15

3.17

3.19

3.28

3.32

10

3.36

11

3.37

12

3.40

13

3.40

14

3.41

15

3.45

16

3.51

17

3.51

18

3.51

19

3.55

20

3.63

21

3.64

22

3.68

23

3.78

24

3.83

25

3.91

26

3.95

27

3.99

28

1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012

16.2419
18.1290
21.8548
22.6581
23.4323
23.4323
23.6903
24.3097
26.5903
27.6516
28.7290
28.9677
29.9935
30.0968
30.2742
31.3645
33.4903
33.5516
33.5613
34.8806
37.6452
38.0839
39.5161
43.9968
46.2323
49.7645
52.1419
53.8097

2013

56.6194

Estadisticos Descriptivos
MARZO
N
29
Media ()
33.128
Desviacin estndar (S)
10.754
Mnimo
16.242
Mximo
56.619
Rango
40.377
NC =
5.48
x =
10.09
Suma
960.710

4.04

29

Aprox

Prob. Empirica

P(x)
Weibull (m/(N+1)

Prob. Teorica

Prob. Teorica

Prob. Teorica

Normal

Log-Normal

Gama

F(x)

F(x)

F(x)

Parametros

Parametros

Parametros

=S

=S

33.128

10.754

3.451

0.320

9.489

0.033333

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.032220

0.066667

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.100000

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.133333

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.166667

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.200000

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.233333

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.266667

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.300000

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.333333

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.366667

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.400000

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.433333

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.466667

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.500000

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.533333

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.566667

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.600000

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.633333

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.666667

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.700000

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.733333

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.766667

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.800000

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.833333

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.866667

0.001034

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.900000

0.001034

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.933333

0.001034

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.966667

0.001034

#NAME?

Estadisticos Descriptivos LN de los datos


MARZO
N
29
Media ()
3.451
Desviacin estndar (S)
0.320
Mnimo
2.788
Mximo
4.036
Rango
1.249
NC =
5.48
x =
0.31
Suma
100.075

Aprox

#NAME?

Prob. Teorica

Prob. Teorica

Prob. Teorica

Gama

Gumbel

Log-Gumbel

F(x)

F(x)

F(x)

Parametros

Parametros

Parametros

3.491

8.385

28.288

0.250

3.307

0.032220

0.014897

0.000335

-16.885984

#NAME?

0.034776

0.005790

-14.998888

#NAME?

0.116036

0.087447

-11.273081

#NAME?

0.141266

0.121393

-10.469855

#NAME?

0.167880

0.158309

-9.695662

#NAME?

0.167880

0.158309

-9.695662

#NAME?

0.177210

0.171343

-9.437597

#NAME?

0.200446

0.203756

-8.818242

#NAME?

0.293911

0.329299

-6.537597

#NAME?

0.339967

0.386887

-5.476307

#NAME?

0.387200

0.442723

-4.398888

#NAME?

0.397650

0.454641

-4.160178

#NAME?

0.442199

0.503744

-3.134372

#NAME?

0.446636

0.508487

-3.031146

#NAME?

0.454237

0.516552

-2.853726

#NAME?

0.500116

0.563667

-1.763404

#NAME?

0.584063

0.643486

0.362403

#NAME?

0.586354

0.645560

0.423693

#NAME?

0.586716

0.645886

0.433370

#NAME?

0.634077

0.687583

1.752725

#NAME?

0.720629

0.758839

4.517241

#NAME?

0.732765

0.768395

4.955951

#NAME?

0.769427

0.796732

6.388209

#NAME?

0.857608

0.862615

10.868854

#NAME?

0.888997

0.885878

13.104338

#NAME?

0.925694

0.913723

16.636596

#NAME?

0.943508

0.927888

19.014016

#NAME?

0.953456

0.936152

20.681758

#NAME?

0.966483

0.947613

m3
sesgo
x0

23.491435
775.744332

0.69380235
2.12661952

Prueba
Estadistico K-S
Funcin de Probabilidad

Normal
Log-Normal
Gama

0.965633
0.058265
0.074316

Gumbel

0.066221

Log-Gumbel

0.076820

Pearson

0.071378

person
F(x)
Parametros
Q-xo

Xo

Normal

8.310

3.731

2.127

= ( F(x) - P(x))

-4814.809996

14.115316

0.029814

#NAME?

-3374.249220

16.002413

0.055244

#NAME?

-1432.609761

19.728219

0.137447

#NAME?

-1147.683267

20.531445

0.160588

#NAME?

-911.449018

21.305639

0.184499

#NAME?

-911.449018

21.305639

0.184499

#NAME?

-840.590216

21.563703

0.192795

#NAME?

-685.718887

22.183058

0.213318

#NAME?

-279.418079

24.463703

0.295042

#NAME?

-164.234110

25.524993

0.335417

#NAME?

-85.119411

26.602413

0.377217

#NAME?

-72.000536

26.841122

0.386538

#NAME?

-30.792959

27.866929

0.426632

#NAME?

-27.849695

27.970155

0.430660

#NAME?

-23.240046

28.147574

0.437577

#NAME?

-5.483468

29.237897

0.479787

#NAME?

0.047596

31.363703

0.559383

#NAME?

0.076060

31.424993

0.561605

#NAME?

0.081391

31.434671

0.561955

#NAME?

5.384452

32.754026

0.608505

#NAME?

92.176432

35.518542

0.697015

#NAME?

121.725349

35.957251

0.709812

#NAME?

260.697804

37.389510

0.749084

#NAME?

1283.959422

41.870155

0.847308

#NAME?

2250.325149

44.105639

0.883384

#NAME?

4604.616108

47.637897

0.925816

0.865633

6874.190062

50.015316

0.946195

0.898966

8846.313486

51.683058

0.957366

0.932300

12963.689991

54.492735

0.971565

0.965633

22496.585616

Prueba de Bondad de ajuste kolmogorov-Smirno


MARZO

Nivel de significancia

0.005
0.005
0.005
0.005
0.005
1.005

Log- Normal

Gama

Gumbel

Log-Gumbel

pearson

= ( F(x) - P(x))
= ( F(x) - P(x))
= ( F(x) - P(x))
= ( F(x) - P(x)) = ( F(x) - P(x))

#NAME?

0.001114

0.018436

0.032998

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.031891

0.060877

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.016036

0.012553

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.007933

0.011940

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.001214

0.008357

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.032120

0.041691

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.056123

0.061990

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.066221

0.062911

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.006089

0.029299

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.006634

0.053554

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.020534

0.076056

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.002350

0.054641

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.008866

0.070411

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.020030

0.041820

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.045763

0.016552

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.033218

0.030334

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.017396

0.076820

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.013646

0.045560

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.046618

0.012553

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.032589

0.020916

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.020629

0.058839

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.000569

0.035062

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.002760

0.030066

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.057608

0.062615

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.055664

0.052544

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.059027

0.047056

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.043508

0.027888

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.020123

0.002819

0.0035197805
0.0114229864
0.0374468014
0.0272548033
0.01783209
0.0155012433
0.0405387434
0.0533483104
0.0049576489
0.002083928
0.0105506945
0.0134624026
0.0067013414
0.0360063603
0.0624227603
0.0535461705
0.007283207
0.0383952594
0.0713783033
0.0581616114
0.0029851777
0.0235210734
0.0175830527
0.0473079355
0.0500510531
0.0591489413
0.046194572
0.0240331094

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.000184

0.019053

0.0048981151

rov-Smirnov (K-S)

ivel de significancia

Grado de libertad

Est. obt. por tabla

La hipotesis

lim

< lim

0.005
0.005
0.005

29
29
29

0.252546
0.252546
0.252546

Se rechaza
Se acepta
Se acepta

0.005

29

0.252546

Se acepta

0.005

29

0.252546

Se acepta

1.005

29

0.252546

Se acepta

La hipotesis
< lim
Se rechaza
Se acepta
Se acepta
Se acepta
Se acepta
Se acepta

AO
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013

ABRIL

11.1660
12.3233
13.8500
14.7133
16.1067
16.4900
16.6867
16.7200
17.7400
18.6633
19.3133
19.7467
20.1100
20.1733
20.2500
22.5367
23.1233
23.4345
23.4767
23.8867
25.2667
25.2667
25.4200
25.5233
25.7067
27.3767
28.7900
31.0967
35.3800
40.4333

ABRIL

Log de los
datos

N de orden

ABRIL

2.41
2.51
2.63

1
2
3

2.69
2.78
2.80
2.81
2.82
2.88
2.93
2.96
2.98
3.00
3.00
3.01
3.12
3.14
3.15
3.16
3.17
3.23
3.23
3.24
3.24
3.25
3.31
3.36
3.44
3.57

4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29

3.70

30

Estadisticos Descriptivos
ABRIL
N

30

Media ()

22.026

Desviacin estndar (S)


Mnimo
Mximo
Rango

6.561
11.166
40.433
29.267

NC =

5.52

x =

5.85

Suma

660.770

Aprox

P. ExedenciaP. Ocurrencia
2%
8%
40%
97%

98%
92%
60%
3%

Prob. Empirica
P(x)
Weibull (m/(N+1)

Prob. Teorica

Prob. Teorica

Prob. Teorica

Normal

Log-Normal

Gama

F(x)

F(x)

F(x)

Parametros

Parametros

Parametros

=S

=S

22.026

6.561

3.050

0.296

11.270

0.032258
0.064516
0.096774

#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?

#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?

0.025901
#NAME?
#NAME?

0.129032
0.161290
0.193548
0.225806
0.258065
0.290323
0.322581
0.354839
0.387097
0.419355
0.451613
0.483871
0.516129
0.548387
0.580645
0.612903
0.645161
0.677419
0.709677
0.741935
0.774194
0.806452
0.838710
0.870968
0.903226
0.935484

#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
0.000394
0.000394
0.000394

#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?

#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?

0.967742

0.000394

#NAME?

#NAME?

Estadisticos Descriptivos LN de los datos


ABRIL

currencia
38.100
31.883
22.834
12.044

30

Media ()

3.050

Desviacin estndar (S)


Mnimo
Mximo
Rango

0.296
2.413
3.700
1.287

NC =

5.52

x =

0.26

Suma

91.508

Aprox

Prob. Teorica

Prob. Teorica

Prob. Teorica

Gama

Gumbel

Log-Gumbel

F(x)

F(x)

F(x)

Parametros

Parametros

Parametros

1.954

5.116

19.073

0.231

2.917

0.025901
#NAME?
#NAME?

0.009175
0.023721
0.062284

0.000136
0.003015
0.030253

-10.859683
-9.702349
-8.175683

#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?

0.095852
0.167654
0.190724
0.203023
0.205136
0.273152
0.338436
0.385141
0.416175
0.441955
0.446418
0.451806
0.601625
0.635676
0.652900
0.655190
0.676878
0.742308
0.742308
0.748869
0.753212
0.760764
0.820964
0.861006
0.909066
0.959571

0.067783
0.162327
0.193615
0.210216
0.213059
0.302371
0.382924
0.437134
0.471603
0.499327
0.504044
0.509708
0.654553
0.684463
0.699230
0.701175
0.719408
0.772477
0.772477
0.777657
0.781074
0.786993
0.833324
0.863653
0.900372
0.941784

-7.312349
-5.919016
-5.535683
-5.339016
-5.305683
-4.285683
-3.362349
-2.712349
-2.279016
-1.915683
-1.852349
-1.775683
0.510984
1.097651
1.408800
1.450984
1.860984
3.240984
3.240984
3.394317
3.497651
3.680984
5.350984
6.764317
9.070984
13.354317

#NAME?

0.984749

0.966937

18.407651

m3
sesgo

202.133347

0.79323889

x0

Estadistico K-S
Funcin de Probabilidad

Normal
Log-Normal
Gama
Gumbel

0.967348
0.967348
0.071897
0.070567

Log-Gumbel

0.087288

PEARSON

0.067883

5.48324603

person
F(x)
Parametros
Q-xo

Xo

Normal

6.357

2.602

5.483

= ( F(x) - P(x))

-1280.711813
-913.336334
-546.477258

5.682754
6.840087
8.366754

0.015898
0.035820
0.080058

#NAME?
#NAME?

-390.994645
-207.371258
-169.634265
-152.189149
-149.356400
-78.715464
-38.012684
-19.954319
-11.837014
-7.030250
-6.355778
-5.598815
0.133420
1.322490
2.796070
3.054835
6.445073
34.043220
34.043220
39.107251
42.788716
49.876016
153.214877
309.508017
746.385493
2381.579410

9.230087
10.623421
11.006754
11.203421
11.236754
12.256754
13.180087
13.830087
14.263421
14.626754
14.690087
14.766754
17.053421
17.640087
17.951237
17.993421
18.403421
19.783421
19.783421
19.936754
20.040087
20.223421
21.893421
23.306754
25.613421
29.896754

0.114551
0.183292
0.204615
0.215893
0.217825
0.279498
0.338345
0.380601
0.408851
0.432462
0.436564
0.441523
0.582944
0.616270
0.633329
0.635607
0.657314
0.724288
0.724288
0.731134
0.735680
0.743611
0.808039
0.852079
0.905971
0.962512

#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
0.870574
0.902832
0.935090

6237.277763

34.950087

0.988604

0.967348

6064.000424

Prueba de Bondad de ajuste kolmogorov-Smirnov (K-S)


ABRIL
Nivel de significancia

0.005
0.005
0.005
0.005
0.005
1.005

Log- Normal

Gama

Gumbel

Log-Gumbel

= ( F(x) - P(x))

= ( F(x) - P(x))

#NAME?
#NAME?

#NAME?
#NAME?

0.040795
0.034490

0.061501
0.066521

#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?

#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?

0.033181
0.006363
0.002824
0.022783
0.052928
0.017171
0.015856
0.030302
0.029078
0.022600
0.005195
0.032065
0.085495
0.087288
0.072255
0.042287
0.031717
0.064889
0.032631
0.006933
0.020982
0.045687
0.017745
0.009962
0.005841
0.024087

0.061249
0.001037
0.000067
0.015591
0.045006
0.012049
0.060343
0.082296
0.084506
0.079972
0.052431
0.025837
0.138424
0.136076
0.118584
0.088272
0.074247
0.095058
0.062800
0.035722
0.006881
0.019459
0.005385
0.007315
0.002854
0.006300

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.017007

0.000805

pearson

= ( F(x) - P(x)) = ( F(x) - P(x)) = ( F(x) - P(x))

0.0286958697
0.0167160089
0.0144810097
0.0220013145
0.0110663042
0.0099137519
0.0402390504
0.0108246491
0.0157647842
0.0257625218
0.0217543
0.0131068921
0.0150491448
0.0423484481
0.0668152873
0.0678832914
0.052683737
0.0227040957
0.0121529923
0.0468690622
0.0146109977
0.0108010046
0.0385132482
0.062840531
0.0306706059
0.0188884353
0.0027456603
0.0270284608
0.0208623909

(K-S)

Grado de libertad

Est. obt. por tabla

La hipotesis

lim

< lim

30
30
30
30

0.248301
0.248301
0.248301
0.248301

Se rechaza
Se rechaza
Se acepta
Se acepta

30

0.248301

Se acepta

30

0.248301

Se acepta

La hipotesis
< lim
Se rechaza
Se rechaza
Se acepta
Se acepta
Se acepta
Se acepta

AO
1979

MAY

Mayo

Log de los
datos

N de orden

Mayo

2.17

2.34

2.36

2.52

2.60

2.62

2.63

2.64

2.68

2.72

10

2.74

11

2.74

12

2.75

13

2.76

14

2.81

15

2.81

16

2.86

17

2.87

18

2.89

19

2.93

20

2.95

21

3.01

22

3.03

23

3.06

24

3.07

25

3.12

26

3.13

27

3.20

28

3.23

29

3.52

30

3.55

31

1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012

8.7968
10.4110
10.5926
12.4516
13.4097
13.7800
13.8613
14.0010
14.6065
15.2323
15.4484
15.4968
15.6438
15.8710
16.5355
16.5839
17.4258
17.5613
18.0806
18.6968
19.1677
20.2087
20.6387
21.3097
21.6065
22.6714
22.8968
24.5091
25.3355
33.8419
34.9387

2013

36.6241

3.60

32

Aprox

Estadisticos Descriptivos
Mayo
N
Media ()
Desviacin estndar (S)
Mnimo
Mximo
Rango
NC =
x =
Suma

32
18.695
6.710
8.797
36.624
27.827
5.61
5.57
598.235

Prob. Empirica

P(x)
Weibull (m/
(N+1)

Prob. Teorica

Prob. Teorica

Prob. Teorica

Normal

Log-Normal

Gama

F(x)

F(x)

F(x)

Parametros

Parametros

Parametros

=S

=S

18.695

6.710

2.873

0.333

7.763

0.030303

0.070079

#NAME?

0.040900

0.060606

0.108485

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.090909

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.121212

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.151515

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.181818

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.212121

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.242424

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.272727

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.303030

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.333333

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.363636

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.393939

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.424242

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.454545

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.484848

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.515152

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.545455

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.575758

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.606061

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.636364

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.666667

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.696970

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.727273

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.757576

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.787879

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.818182

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.848485

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.878788

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.909091

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.939394

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.969697

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?
#NAME?

Estadisticos Descriptivos LN de los datos


Mayo
N
Media ()
Desviacin estndar (S)
Mnimo
Mximo
Rango
NC =
x =
Suma

32
2.873
0.333
2.174
3.601
1.426
5.61
0.29
91.923

Aprox

Prob. Teorica

Prob. Teorica

Prob. Teorica

Gama

Gumbel

Log-Gumbel

F(x)

F(x)

F(x)

Parametros

Parametros

Parametros

2.408

5.231

15.676

0.260

2.723

0.040900

0.024130

0.000262

-9.898075

#NAME?

0.064860

0.013395

-8.283882

#NAME?

0.071205

0.017683

-8.102269

#NAME?

0.156927

0.114672

-6.243237

#NAME?

0.213940

0.196290

-5.285172

#NAME?

0.237717

0.230823

-4.914849

#NAME?

0.243042

0.238523

-4.833559

#NAME?

0.252270

0.251822

-4.693882

#NAME?

0.293249

0.309844

-4.088398

#NAME?

0.336747

0.368988

-3.462591

#NAME?

0.351912

0.388924

-3.246462

#NAME?

0.355312

0.393343

-3.198075

#NAME?

0.365645

0.406658

-3.051099

#NAME?

0.381620

0.426899

-2.823882

#NAME?

0.428092

0.483402

-2.159366

#NAME?

0.431449

0.487347

-2.110978

#NAME?

0.488876

0.552087

-1.269043

#NAME?

0.497903

0.561803

-1.133559

#NAME?

0.531822

0.597248

-0.614204

#NAME?

0.570472

0.635680

0.001925

#NAME?

0.598716

0.662527

0.472893

#NAME?

0.656777

0.714710

1.513860

#NAME?

0.678930

0.733642

1.943860

#NAME?

0.711326

0.760445

2.614828

#NAME?

0.724815

0.771317

2.911602

#NAME?

0.769080

0.805925

3.976579

#NAME?

0.777641

0.812446

4.201925

#NAME?

0.831280

0.852272

5.814241

#NAME?

0.854032

0.868753

6.640634

#NAME?

0.969438

0.954874

15.147086

#NAME?

0.975146

0.959981

16.243860

#NAME?

0.981929

0.966505

17.929289

#NAME?

m3
sesgo
x0

348.683097

1.27102498
8.13703932

Prueba de B
Estadistico K-S
Funcin de Probabilidad

Normal

0.112535

Log-Normal
Gama
Gumbel

0.065190
0.073844
0.073844

Log-Gumbel

0.062425

PEARSON

0.073282

person
F(x)
Parametros
Q-xo

Xo

Normal

2.476

4.264

8.137

= ( F(x) - P(x))

-969.733170

0.659735

0.002726

0.039775

-568.462293

2.273928

0.044848

0.047879

-531.887688

2.455541

0.052685

#NAME?

-243.348888

4.314574

0.158570

#NAME?

-147.630937

5.272638

0.224797

#NAME?

-118.721849

5.642961

0.251380

#NAME?

-112.927861

5.724251

0.257257

#NAME?

-103.418067

5.863928

0.267381

#NAME?

-68.337556

6.469412

0.311444

#NAME?

-41.514874

7.095219

0.356811

#NAME?

-34.216147

7.311348

0.372333

#NAME?

-32.708907

7.359735

0.375793

#NAME?

-28.403318

7.506711

0.386270

#NAME?

-22.518502

7.733928

0.402349

#NAME?

-10.068818

8.398445

0.448400

#NAME?

-9.407006

8.446832

0.451689

#NAME?

-2.043756

9.288767

0.507289

#NAME?

-1.456574

9.424251

0.515928

#NAME?

-0.231707

9.943606

0.548192

#NAME?

0.000000

10.559735

0.584636

#NAME?

0.105752

11.030703

0.611104

#NAME?

3.469424

12.071670

0.665252

#NAME?

7.345056

12.501670

0.685871

#NAME?

17.878430

13.172638

0.716041

#NAME?

24.682896

13.469412

0.728621

#NAME?

62.882369

14.534389

0.770059

#NAME?

74.189905

14.759735

0.778111

#NAME?

196.552783

16.372052

0.828989

#NAME?

292.838869

17.198445

0.850866

#NAME?

3475.259813

25.704896

0.967002

#NAME?

4286.153634

26.801670

0.973108

#NAME?

5763.538080

28.487099

0.980432

#NAME?

11157.859095

Prueba de Bondad de ajuste kolmogorov-Smirnov (KMayo


Nivel de significancia

0.005
0.005
0.005
0.005
0.005
1.005

Log- Normal

Gama

Gumbel

Log-Gumbel

pearson

= ( F(x) - P(x)) = ( F(x) - P(x)) = ( F(x) - P(x))


= ( F(x) - P(x)) = ( F(x) - P(x))

#NAME?

0.010597

0.006173

0.030041

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.004254

0.047211

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.019704

0.073226

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.035715

0.006540

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.062425

0.044775

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.055899

0.049005

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.030921

0.026402

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.009846

0.009397

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.020522

0.037116

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.033717

0.065957

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.018579

0.055591

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.008324

0.029707

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.028294

0.012718

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.042622

0.002656

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.026453

0.028856

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.053400

0.002499

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.026276

0.036935

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.047552

0.016348

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.043936

0.021490

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.035589

0.029619

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.037648

0.026163

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.009890

0.048044

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.018040

0.036672

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.015947

0.033172

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.032761

0.013741

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.018799

0.018046

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.040541

0.005736

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.017205

0.003787

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.024756

0.010035

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.060347

0.045783

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.035752

0.020587

0.027576766
0.015757574
0.0382241073
0.037357793
0.0732816254
0.0695619944
0.045136188
0.0249568301
0.0387167751
0.0537806238
0.0389993107
0.0121570344
0.0076696695
0.0218932088
0.0061455616
0.0331598177
0.0078624987
0.0295262598
0.0275656244
0.0214250627
0.0252598722
0.0014150422
0.0110986533
0.0112320438
0.0289545783
0.0178199582
0.0400711889
0.019496
0.0279218093
0.0579111446
0.0337142708

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.012232

0.003192

0.010734663

ov-Smirnov (K-S)
Est. obt. por tabla

La hipotesis

lim

< lim

32

0.240416

Se acepta

32
32
32

0.240416
0.240416
0.240416

Se acepta
Se acepta
Se acepta

32

0.240416

Se acepta

32

0.240416

Se acepta

Grado de libertad

AO
1979

Log de los
datos

N de orden

JUN

JUNIO

JUNIO

8.0277
8.0790
10.2263
10.4393
11.7973
11.9900
12.0767
12.3433
12.7967
12.9667
12.9733
13.2800
13.7033
14.4333
14.7367
14.8933
15.1800
15.2067
15.3300
15.5170
16.6600
17.4467
18.3739
19.0467
19.3067
19.6667
19.9267
21.2733
25.6467
26.3433

8.0277
8.0790
10.2263
10.4393
11.7973
11.9900
12.0767
12.3433
12.7967
12.9667
12.9733
13.2800
13.7033
14.4333
14.7367
14.8933
15.1800
15.2067
15.3300
15.5170
16.6600
17.4467
18.3739
19.0467
19.3067
19.6667
19.9267
21.2733
25.6467
26.3433

2.08

2.09

2.32

2.35

2.47

2.48

2.49

2.51

2.55

2.56

10

2.56

11

2.59

12

2.62

13

2.67

14

2.69

15

2.70

16

2.72

17

2.72

18

2.73

19

2.74

20

2.81

21

2.86

22

2.91

23

2.95

24

2.96

25

2.98

26

2.99

27

3.06

28

3.24

29

3.27

30

1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012

2013

72.9167

72.9167

Estadisticos Descriptivos
JUNIO
N
31
Media ()
17.181
Desviacin estndar (S)
11.229
Mnimo
8.028
Mximo
72.917
Rango
64.889
NC =
5.57
x =
12.98
Suma
532.604

4.29

31

Aprox

Prob. Empirica

P(x)
Weibull (m/(N+1)

Prob. Teorica

Prob. Teorica

Prob. Teorica

Normal

Log-Normal

Gama

F(x)

F(x)

F(x)

Parametros

Parametros

Parametros

=S

=S

17.181

11.229

2.741

0.403

2.341

0.031250

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.062500

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.093750

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.125000

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.156250

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.187500

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.218750

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.250000

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.281250

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.312500

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.343750

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.375000

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.406250

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.437500

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.468750

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.500000

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.531250

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.562500

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.593750

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.625000

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.656250

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.687500

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.718750

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.750000

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.781250

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.812500

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.843750

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.875000

0.642239

#NAME?

0.710473

0.906250

0.774546

#NAME?

0.807557

0.937500

0.792733

#NAME?

0.820084

0.968750

1.000000

#NAME?

Estadisticos Descriptivos LN de los datos


JUNIO
N
31
Media ()
2.741
Desviacin estndar (S)
0.403
Mnimo
2.083
Mximo
4.289
Rango
2.206
NC =
5.57
x =
0.44
Suma
84.975

Aprox

0.998997

Prob. Teorica

Prob. Teorica

Prob. Teorica

Gama

Gumbel

Log-Gumbel

F(x)

F(x)

F(x)

Parametros

Parametros

Parametros

7.340

8.756

12.128

0.315

2.560

#NAME?

0.202460

0.010544

-9.153105

#NAME?

0.204360

0.011552

-9.101771

#NAME?

0.288656

0.121415

-6.954438

#NAME?

0.297406

0.138792

-6.741438

#NAME?

0.354009

0.262202

-5.383438

#NAME?

0.362101

0.280427

-5.190771

#NAME?

0.365742

0.288615

-5.104105

#NAME?

0.376946

0.313706

-4.837438

#NAME?

0.395968

0.355689

-4.384105

#NAME?

0.403085

0.371122

-4.214105

#NAME?

0.403363

0.371723

-4.207438

#NAME?

0.416167

0.399012

-3.900771

#NAME?

0.433749

0.435384

-3.477438

#NAME?

0.463722

0.494088

-2.747438

#NAME?

0.476016

0.516888

-2.444105

#NAME?

0.482324

0.528289

-2.287438

#NAME?

0.493786

0.548492

-2.000771

#NAME?

0.494847

0.550328

-1.974105

#NAME?

0.499741

0.558725

-1.850771

#NAME?

0.507120

0.571160

-1.663771

#NAME?

0.551062

0.639668

-0.520771

#NAME?

0.580015

0.679875

0.265895

#NAME?

0.612647

0.720884

1.193142

#NAME?

0.635256

0.746828

1.865895

#NAME?

0.643745

0.756083

2.125895

#NAME?

0.655269

0.768239

2.485895

#NAME?

0.663424

0.776567

2.745895

0.710473

0.703391

0.814319

4.092562

0.807557

0.807743

0.892828

8.465895

0.820084

0.821042

0.901133

9.162562

0.998997

0.999035

0.995918

m3
sesgo
x0

55.735895

5533.119551

4.3162027852
11.9773906567

Prueba d
Estadistico K-S
Funcin de Probabilidad

Normal
Log-Normal
Gama
Gumbel

0.247161
0.124217
0.219866
0.197759

Log-Gumbel

0.105952

PEARSON

0.244095

person
F(x)
Parametros
Q-xo

Xo

Normal

0.215

24.234

4.316

= ( F(x) - P(x))

-766.840945

-3.949724

0.000000

#NAME?

-754.011152

-3.898391

-336.345894

-1.751057

0.000000

#NAME?

-306.378048

-1.538057

0.000000

#NAME?

-156.019600

-0.180057

0.000000

#NAME?

-139.860703

0.012609

0.215659

#NAME?

-132.971549

0.099276

0.335666

#NAME?

-113.199954

0.365943

0.443318

#NAME?

-84.264133

0.819276

0.525345

#NAME?

-74.836931

0.989276

0.546382

#NAME?

-74.482320

0.995943

0.547144

#NAME?

-59.354205

1.302609

0.578333

#NAME?

-42.051182

1.725943

0.612503

#NAME?

-20.738805

2.455943

0.657296

#NAME?

-14.600221

2.759276

0.672508

#NAME?

-11.968729

2.915943

0.679785

#NAME?

-8.009260

3.202609

0.692228

#NAME?

-7.693263

3.229276

0.693333

#NAME?

-6.339549

3.352609

0.698338

#NAME?

-4.605544

3.539609

0.705610

#NAME?

-0.141235

4.682609

0.743463

#NAME?

0.018799

5.469276

0.764600

#NAME?

1.698541

6.396522

0.785877

#NAME?

6.496236

7.069276

0.799387

#NAME?

9.607837

7.329276

0.804242

#NAME?

15.362026

7.689276

0.810664

#NAME?

20.703888

7.949276

0.815100

#NAME?

68.546579

9.295943

0.835725

0.232761

606.762422

13.669276

0.883849

0.131704

769.220360

14.365943

0.889669

0.144767

#NAME?

173143.002604

60.939276

0.992611

0.031250

171526.706070

Prueba de Bondad de ajuste kolmogorov-Smirnov (K


JUNIO
Nivel de significancia

0.005
0.005
0.005
0.005
0.005
1.005

Log- Normal

Gama

Gumbel

Log-Gumbel

pearson

= ( F(x) - P(x))
= ( F(x) - P(x))
= ( F(x) - P(x))
= ( F(x) - P(x))
= ( F(x) - P(x))

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.171210

0.020706

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.141860

0.050948

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.194906

0.027665

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.172406

0.013792

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.197759

0.105952

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.174601

0.092927

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.146992

0.069865

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.126946

0.063706

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.114718

0.074439

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.090585

0.058622

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.059613

0.027973

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.041167

0.024012

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.027499

0.029134

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.026222

0.056588

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.007266

0.048138

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.017676

0.028289

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.037464

0.017242

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.067653

0.012172

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.094009

0.035025

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.117880

0.053840

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.105188

0.016582

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.107485

0.007625

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.106103

0.002134

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.114744

0.003172

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.137505

0.025167

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.157231

0.044261

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.180326

0.067183

#NAME?

0.164527

0.171609

0.060681

#NAME?

0.098693

0.098507

0.013422

#NAME?

0.117416

0.116458

0.036367

0.0625
0.09375
0.125
0.15625
0.02815891
0.11691625
0.1933177
0.24409541
0.23388155
0.20339384
0.20333324
0.20625319
0.21979597
0.20375759
0.17978509
0.16097815
0.1308333
0.10458789
0.08061037
0.08721308
0.07709959
0.06712715
0.04938651
0.02299222
0.00183557
0.02864987
0.03927544
0.02240131
0.04783113

#NAME?

0.030247

0.030285

0.027168

0.02386108

ov-Smirnov (K-S)

ivel de significancia

Grado de libertad

Est. obt. por tabla

La hipotesis

lim

< lim

0.005
0.005
0.005
0.005

31
31
31
31

0.244263
0.244263
0.244263
0.244263

Se rechaza
Se acepta
Se acepta
Se acepta

0.005

31

0.244263

Se acepta

31

0.244263

Se acepta

La hipotesis
< lim
Se rechaza
Se acepta
Se acepta
Se acepta
Se acepta

Datos
Ordenados
de menor a
mayor
AO
1979

Log de los
datos

N de orden

JUL

JULIO

JULIO

7.3606
8.5148
9.3965
10.5232
10.7103
10.7474
11.1548
11.1774
11.2497
11.3419
11.4323
11.8865
11.9097
12.3548
13.2290
13.6806
13.7593
14.0320
14.3581
14.4194
15.4645
15.9677
16.3097
16.3419
17.3355
17.3387
18.0419
18.3742
18.5968
22.0935

7.3606
8.5148
9.3965
10.5232
10.7103
10.7474
11.1548
11.1774
11.2497
11.3419
11.4323
11.8865
11.9097
12.3548
13.2290
13.6806
13.7593
14.0320
14.3581
14.4194
15.4645
15.9677
16.3097
16.3419
17.3355
17.3387
18.0419
18.3742
18.5968
22.0935

2.00

2.14

2.24

2.35

2.37

2.37

2.41

2.41

2.42

2.43

10

2.44

11

2.48

12

2.48

13

2.51

14

2.58

15

2.62

16

2.62

17

2.64

18

2.66

19

2.67

20

2.74

21

2.77

22

2.79

23

2.79

24

2.85

25

2.85

26

2.89

27

2.91

28

2.92

29

3.10

30

1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012

2013

22.1097

22.1097

3.10

31

Aprox

Estadisticos Descriptivos
JULIO
N
Media ()
Desviacin estndar (S)
Mnimo
Mximo
Rango
NC =
x =
Suma

31
13.910
3.676
7.361
22.110
14.749
5.57
2.95
431.213

Prob. Empirica

P(x)
Weibull (m/
(N+1)

Prob. Teorica

Prob. Teorica

Prob. Teorica

Normal

Log-Normal

Gama

F(x)

F(x)

F(x)

Parametros

Parametros

Parametros

=S

=S

13.910

3.676

2.599

0.265

14.316

0.031250

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.062500

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.093750

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.125000

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.156250

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.187500

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.218750

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.250000

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.281250

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.312500

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.343750

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.375000

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.406250

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.437500

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.468750

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.500000

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.531250

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.562500

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.593750

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.625000

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.656250

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.687500

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.718750

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.750000

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.781250

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.812500

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.843750

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.875000

0.887679

#NAME?

0.883061

0.906250

0.898813

#NAME?

0.892611

0.937500

0.986992

#NAME?

0.976218

0.968750

0.987138

#NAME?

0.976399

Estadisticos Descriptivos LN de los datos


JULIO
N
Media ()
Desviacin estndar (S)
Mnimo
Mximo
Rango
NC =
x =
Suma

31
2.599
0.265
1.996
3.096
1.100
5.57
0.22
80.568

Aprox

Prob. Teorica

Prob. Teorica

Prob. Teorica

Gama

Gumbel

Log-Gumbel

F(x)

F(x)

F(x)

Parametros

Parametros

Parametros

0.972

2.866

12.256

0.206

2.480

#NAME?

0.004021

0.000030

-6.549437

#NAME?

0.025024

0.005867

-5.395243

#NAME?

0.066438

0.041221

-4.513630

#NAME?

0.160387

0.158399

-3.386856

#NAME?

0.180050

0.184169

-3.199759

#NAME?

0.184063

0.189416

-3.162663

#NAME?

0.230333

0.249207

-2.755243

#NAME?

0.233002

0.252605

-2.732663

#NAME?

0.241605

0.263510

-2.660415

#NAME?

0.252724

0.277500

-2.568146

#NAME?

0.263740

0.291234

-2.477824

#NAME?

0.320623

0.360049

-2.023630

#NAME?

0.323579

0.363527

-2.000404

#NAME?

0.380598

0.428635

-1.555243

#NAME?

0.490619

0.544231

-0.681050

#NAME?

0.544281

0.596246

-0.229437

#NAME?

0.553312

0.604744

-0.150823

#NAME?

0.583847

0.632962

0.121918

#NAME?

0.618624

0.664184

0.447983

#NAME?

0.624941

0.669756

0.509273

#NAME?

0.721470

0.751542

1.554434

#NAME?

0.760408

0.783020

2.057660

#NAME?

0.784193

0.801922

2.399596

#NAME?

0.786329

0.803609

2.431854

#NAME?

0.843692

0.848498

3.425402

#NAME?

0.843853

0.848624

3.428628

#NAME?

0.875604

0.873373

4.131854

0.883061

0.888428

0.883431

4.464112

0.892611

0.896315

0.889655

4.686692

0.976218

0.968197

0.950507

8.183466

0.976399

0.968372

0.950677

m3
sesgo
x0

8.199596

23.783344

0.52871661
0.00335037

Prueba de B
Estadistico K-S
Funcin de Probabilidad

Normal

0.113073

Log-Normal
Gama
Gumbel

0.083214
0.091811
0.082671

Log-Gumbel

0.096246

pearson

0.091806

person
F(x)
Parametros
Q-xo

-280.938885

7.357295

-157.048241

8.511488

Xo

Normal

14.309

0.972

0.529

= ( F(x) - P(x))

0.018513

#NAME?
#NAME?

-91.955550

9.393101

0.096392

#NAME?

-38.849929

10.519875

0.179128

#NAME?

-32.760607

10.706972

0.195517

#NAME?

-31.634325

10.744069

0.198848

#NAME?

-20.916057

11.151488

0.237061

#NAME?

-20.406006

11.174069

0.239261

#NAME?

-18.829911

11.246316

0.246354

#NAME?

-16.937891

11.338585

0.255529

#NAME?

-15.212874

11.428908

0.264630

#NAME?

-8.286927

11.883101

0.311963

#NAME?

-8.004855

11.906327

0.314444

#NAME?

-3.761793

12.351488

0.362862

#NAME?

-0.315890

13.225682

0.460276

#NAME?

-0.012078

13.677295

0.510223

#NAME?

-0.003431

13.755909

0.518810

#NAME?

0.001812

14.028650

0.548260

#NAME?

0.089905

14.354714

0.582620

#NAME?

0.132084

14.416004

0.588960

#NAME?

3.755926

15.461166

0.689874

#NAME?

8.712060

15.964392

0.732861

#NAME?

13.817012

16.306327

0.759786

#NAME?

14.381768

16.338585

0.762229

#NAME?

40.191538

17.332134

0.829257

#NAME?

40.305194

17.335359

0.829449

#NAME?

70.539889

18.038585

0.867553

#NAME?

88.962124

18.370843

0.883061

0.012679

102.943593

18.593424

0.892610

0.007437

548.039581

22.090198

0.976216

0.049492

551.286413

22.106327

0.976396

0.018388

737.283650

Prueba de Bondad de ajuste kolmogorov-Smirnov (K


JULIO
Nivel de significancia

0.005
0.005
0.005
0.005
0.005
1.005

Log- Normal

Gama

Gumbel

Log-Gumbel

pearson

= ( F(x) - P(x))
= ( F(x) - P(x))
= ( F(x) - P(x))
= ( F(x) - P(x))
= ( F(x) - P(x))

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.027229

0.031220

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.037476

0.056633

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.027312

0.052529

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.035387

0.033399

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.023800

0.027919

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.003437

0.001916

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.011583

0.030457

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.016998

0.002605

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.039645

0.017740

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.059776

0.035000

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.080010

0.052516

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.054377

0.014951

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.082671

0.042723

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.056902

0.008865

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.021869

0.075481

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.044281

0.096246

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.022062

0.073494

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.021347

0.070462

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.024874

0.070434

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.000059

0.044756

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.065220

0.095292

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.072908

0.095520

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.065443

0.083172

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.036329

0.053609

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.062442

0.067248

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.031353

0.036124

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.031854

0.029623

#NAME?

0.008061

0.013428

0.008431

#NAME?

0.013639

0.009935

0.016595

#NAME?

0.038718

0.030697

0.013007

0.0625
0.00264158
0.05412834
0.03926726
0.01134767
0.01831061
0.01073915
0.03489564
0.056971
0.07912025
0.06303706
0.09180553
0.07463764
0.00847448
0.01022309
0.01243977
0.01424044
0.01112991
0.03604037
0.03362423
0.04536092
0.0410357
0.01222855
0.04800683
0.01694889
0.02380277
0.00806071
0.01364004
0.03871557

#NAME?

0.007649

0.000378

0.018073

0.00764629

orov-Smirnov (K-S)

ivel de significancia

Grado de libertad

Est. obt. por tabla

La hipotesis

lim

< lim

0.005

31

0.244263

Se acepta

0.005
0.005
0.005

31
31
31

0.244263
0.244263
0.244263

Se acepta
Se acepta
Se acepta

0.005

31

0.244263

Se acepta

1.005

31

0.244263

Se acepta

La hipotesis
< lim
Se acepta
Se acepta
Se acepta
Se acepta
Se acepta
Se acepta

AO
1979

Log de los
datos

N de orden

AGO

AGOSTO

AGOSTO

1.6184
7.4881
8.2187
10.4000
10.4110
10.6032
10.6706
10.8142
10.8742
10.9871
11.0358
11.1387
11.1777
11.4097
11.4135
11.6290
12.1710
12.2548
12.5097
13.1129
13.9026
13.9097
14.2194
14.8194
14.8645
15.8419
17.2000
17.3452
18.9548

1.6184
7.4881
8.2187
10.4000
10.4110
10.6032
10.6706
10.8142
10.8742
10.9871
11.0358
11.1387
11.1777
11.4097
11.4135
11.6290
12.1710
12.2548
12.5097
13.1129
13.9026
13.9097
14.2194
14.8194
14.8645
15.8419
17.2000
17.3452
18.9548

0.48

2.01

2.11

2.34

2.34

2.36

2.37

2.38

2.39

2.40

10

2.40

11

2.41

12

2.41

13

2.43

14

2.43

15

2.45

16

2.50

17

2.51

18

2.53

19

2.57

20

2.63

21

2.63

22

2.65

23

2.70

24

2.70

25

2.76

26

2.84

27

2.85

28

2.94

29

1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012

2013

23.3774

23.3774

3.15

30

Aprox

Estadisticos Descriptivos
AGOSTO
N

30

Media ()

12.479

Desviacin estndar (S)

3.848

Mnimo
Mximo
Rango

1.618
23.377
21.759

NC =

5.52

x =

4.35

Suma

374.373

P. ExedenciaP. Ocurrencia
2%
8%
40%
97%

98%
92%
60%
3%

Prob. Empirica

P(x)
Weibull (m/
(N+1)

Prob. Teorica

Prob. Teorica

Prob. Teorica

Normal

Log-Normal

Gama

F(x)

F(x)

F(x)

Parametros

Parametros

Parametros

=S

=S

12.479

3.848

2.457

0.441

10.518

0.032258

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.064516

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.096774

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.129032

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.161290

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.193548

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.225806

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.258065

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.290323

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.322581

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.354839

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.387097

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.419355

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.451613

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.483871

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.516129

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.548387

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.580645

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.612903

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.645161

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.677419

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.709677

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.741935

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.774194

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.806452

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.838710

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.870968

0.890073

#NAME?

0.884827

0.903226

0.897001

#NAME?

0.890623

0.935484

0.953811

#NAME?

0.940177

0.967742

0.997690

#NAME?

0.991109

Estadisticos Descriptivos LN de los datos


AGOSTO
N
Media ()
Desviacin estndar (S)
Mnimo
Mximo
Rango
NC =
x =
Suma

currencia
44.907
42.105
37.421
29.690

30
2.457
0.441
0.481
3.152
2.670
5.52
0.53
73.701

Aprox

Prob. Teorica

Prob. Teorica

Prob. Teorica

Gama

Gumbel

Log-Gumbel

F(x)

F(x)

F(x)

Parametros

Parametros

Parametros

1.186

3.000

10.748

0.344

2.258

#NAME?

0.000000

0.000000

-10.860721

#NAME?

0.051621

0.130392

-4.991043

#NAME?

0.097960

0.211356

-4.260398

#NAME?

0.325352

0.456533

-2.079108

#NAME?

0.326688

0.457630

-2.068140

#NAME?

0.350181

0.476539

-1.875882

#NAME?

0.358442

0.483030

-1.808463

#NAME?

0.376043

0.496608

-1.664914

#NAME?

0.383396

0.502185

-1.604914

#NAME?

0.397215

0.512520

-1.492011

#NAME?

0.403165

0.516915

-1.443301

#NAME?

0.415705

0.526074

-1.340398

#NAME?

0.420449

0.529504

-1.301366

#NAME?

0.448444

0.549376

-1.069431

#NAME?

0.448908

0.549701

-1.065560

#NAME?

0.474531

0.567384

-0.850076

#NAME?

0.536743

0.608691

-0.308140

#NAME?

0.546030

0.614693

-0.224269

#NAME?

0.573610

0.632310

0.030569

#NAME?

0.634722

0.670497

0.633795

#NAME?

0.705133

0.713729

1.423485

#NAME?

0.705715

0.714086

1.430569

#NAME?

0.730255

0.729151

1.740247

#NAME?

0.773075

0.755693

2.340247

#NAME?

0.776054

0.757560

2.385408

#NAME?

0.832736

0.793950

3.362828

0.884827

0.890120

0.833875

4.720892

0.890623

0.895027

0.837538

4.866053

0.940177

0.937207

0.871989

6.475731

0.991109

0.985261

0.928243

m3
sesgo
x0

10.898311

10.877116

0.21162895
-23.8841944

Prueba de
Estadistico K-S
Funcin de Probabilidad

Normal

0.165448

Log-Normal
Gama
Gumbel

0.268262
0.190445
0.196320

Log-Gumbel

0.327501

pearson

0.174054

person
F(x)
Parametros
Q-xo

Xo

Normal

89.312

0.407

0.212

= ( F(x) - P(x))

-1281.079116

25.502582

0.000875

#NAME?

-124.329458

31.372259

0.092415

#NAME?

-77.330460

32.102904

0.131770

#NAME?

-8.987339

34.284194

0.303086

#NAME?

-8.845857

34.295162

0.304122

#NAME?

-6.601105

34.487420

0.322494

#NAME?

-5.914645

34.554840

0.329028

#NAME?

-4.615043

34.698388

0.343082

#NAME?

-4.133858

34.758388

0.349012

#NAME?

-3.321362

34.871291

0.360250

#NAME?

-3.006569

34.920001

0.365129

#NAME?

-2.408250

35.022904

0.375492

#NAME?

-2.203933

35.061936

0.379442

#NAME?

-1.223088

35.293872

0.403097

#NAME?

-1.209855

35.297743

0.403494

#NAME?

-0.614289

35.513227

0.425704

#NAME?

-0.029258

36.055162

0.482052

#NAME?

-0.011280

36.139033

0.490783

#NAME?

0.000029

36.393872

0.517237

#NAME?

0.254593

36.997098

0.578869

#NAME?

2.884419

37.786787

0.655568

#NAME?

2.927702

37.793872

0.656229

#NAME?

5.270267

38.103549

0.684528

#NAME?

12.816960

38.703549

0.735890

#NAME?

13.573384

38.748711

0.739557

#NAME?

38.028902

39.726130

0.811493

#NAME?

105.213681

41.084194

0.887326

0.019106

115.220725

41.229356

0.893832

0.006225

271.560348

42.839033

0.948143

0.018327

1294.427234

47.261614

0.995667

0.029948

326.313481

Prueba de Bondad de ajuste kolmogorov-Smirnov


AGOSTO
Nivel de significancia

0.005
0.005
0.005
0.005
0.005
1.005

Log- Normal

Gama

Gumbel

Log-Gumbel

pearson

= ( F(x) - P(x))
= ( F(x) - P(x))
= ( F(x) - P(x))
= ( F(x) - P(x)) = ( F(x) - P(x))

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.032258

0.032258

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.012896

0.065876

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.001186

0.114582

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.196320

0.327501

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.165398

0.296339

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.156633

0.282991

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.132636

0.257224

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.117978

0.238544

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.093074

0.211862

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.074634

0.189939

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.048327

0.162077

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.028609

0.138978

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.001094

0.110149

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.003169

0.097764

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.034963

0.065830

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.041598

0.051255

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.011644

0.060304

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.034615

0.034047

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.039293

0.019407

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.010440

0.025336

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.027714

0.036310

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.003963

0.004408

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.011680

0.012785

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.001118

0.018500

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.030398

0.048892

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.005974

0.044760

#NAME?

0.013859

0.019152

0.037093

#NAME?

0.012602

0.008198

0.065687

#NAME?

0.004693

0.001723

0.063495

0.031382648
0.027898744
0.034995656
0.174053515
0.142831408
0.128945813
0.103221055
0.085017847
0.058689066
0.037668967
0.010289912
0.011604751
0.039913147
0.048516272
0.080377137
0.09042516
0.066335184
0.089862608
0.095665909
0.066292459
0.02185087
0.053448546
0.057407881
0.038303182
0.06689502
0.027216753
0.016357973
0.009393606
0.012659441

#NAME?

0.023367

0.017519

0.039498

0.027924921

rov-Smirnov (K-S)

ivel de significancia

Grado de libertad

Est. obt. por tabla

La hipotesis

lim

< lim

0.005

30

0.248301

Se acepta

0.005
0.005
0.005

30
30
30

0.248301
0.248301
0.248301

Se rechaza
Se acepta
Se acepta

0.005

30

0.248301

Se rechaza

1.005

30

0.248301

Se acepta

La hipotesis
< lim
Se acepta
Se rechaza
Se acepta
Se acepta
Se rechaza
Se acepta

Datos
Ordenados
de menor a
mayor
AO
1979

SEP

Log de los
datos

SEPTIEMBRE SEPTIEMBRE

N de orden
m

1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012

2.3357
8.9217
10.1725
10.9753
11.3060
11.4600
11.5123
12.0067
12.0200
12.1590
12.7200
12.7433
13.1667
13.2767
13.8033
14.0111
14.1750
14.3533
14.7067
15.2767
15.4867
16.3133
16.3267
16.3433
16.7733
18.9545
20.8167
20.9033
21.4500
22.1167

2.3357
8.9217
10.1725
10.9753
11.3060
11.4600
11.5123
12.0067
12.0200
12.1590
12.7200
12.7433
13.1667
13.2767
13.8033
14.0111
14.1750
14.3533
14.7067
15.2767
15.4867
16.3133
16.3267
16.3433
16.7733
18.9545
20.8167
20.9033
21.4500
22.1167

0.85

2.19

2.32

2.40

2.43

2.44

2.44

2.49

2.49

2.50

10

2.54

11

2.55

12

2.58

13

2.59

14

2.62

15

2.64

16

2.65

17

2.66

18

2.69

19

2.73

20

2.74

21

2.79

22

2.79

23

2.79

24

2.82

25

2.94

26

3.04

27

3.04

28

3.07

29

3.10

30

2013

23.5200

23.5200

3.16

31

Aprox

Estadisticos Descriptivos
SEPTIEMBRE
N

31

Media

14.520

Desviacin estndar (S)

4.367

Mnimo
Mximo
Rango

2.336
23.520
21.184

NC =

5.57

x =

4.24

Suma

450.106

Prob. Empirica

P(x)
Weibull (m/(N+1)

Prob. Teorica

Prob. Teorica

Prob. Teorica

Normal

Log-Normal

Gama

F(x)

F(x)

F(x)

Parametros

Parametros

Parametros

=S

=S

14.520

4.367

2.615

0.407

11.056

0.031250

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.062500

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.093750

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.125000

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.156250

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.187500

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.218750

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.250000

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.281250

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.312500

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.343750

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.375000

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.406250

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.437500

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.468750

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.500000

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.531250

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.562500

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.593750

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.625000

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.656250

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.687500

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.718750

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.750000

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.781250

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.812500

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.843750

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.875000

0.928116

#NAME?

0.917309

0.906250

0.943754

#NAME?

0.931186

0.937500

0.959049

#NAME?

0.945357

0.968750

0.980354

#NAME?

0.967112

Estadisticos Descriptivos LN de los datos


SEPTIEMBRE
N
Media ()
Desviacin estndar (S)
Mnimo
Mximo
Rango
NC =
x =
Suma

31
2.615
0.407
0.848
3.158
2.310
5.57
0.46
81.053

Aprox

Prob. Teorica

Prob. Teorica

Prob. Teorica

Gama

Gumbel

Log-Gumbel

F(x)

F(x)

F(x)

Parametros

Parametros

Parametros

1.313

3.405

12.555

0.317

2.432

#NAME?

0.000000

0.000000

-12.183898

#NAME?

0.054659

0.116218

-5.597898

#NAME?

0.133589

0.240979

-4.347064

#NAME?

0.203898

0.326303

-3.544231

#NAME?

0.236226

0.360646

-3.213564

#NAME?

0.251792

0.376339

-3.059564

#NAME?

0.257145

0.381622

-3.007231

#NAME?

0.308949

0.430109

-2.512898

#NAME?

0.310371

0.431379

-2.499564

#NAME?

0.325242

0.444488

-2.360564

#NAME?

0.385752

0.494934

-1.799564

#NAME?

0.388270

0.496944

-1.776231

#NAME?

0.433682

0.532163

-1.352898

#NAME?

0.445355

0.540927

-1.242898

#NAME?

0.500094

0.580692

-0.716231

#NAME?

0.521037

0.595401

-0.508453

#NAME?

0.537247

0.606621

-0.344564

#NAME?

0.554553

0.618457

-0.166231

#NAME?

0.587738

0.640788

0.187102

#NAME?

0.637917

0.673838

0.757102

#NAME?

0.655303

0.685140

0.967102

#NAME?

0.717814

0.725466

1.793769

#NAME?

0.718744

0.726065

1.807102

#NAME?

0.719904

0.726812

1.823769

#NAME?

0.748529

0.745278

2.253769

#NAME?

0.858447

0.818771

4.434981

#NAME?

0.915457

0.861745

6.297102

0.917309

0.917492

0.863416

6.383769

0.931186

0.929286

0.873386

6.930436

0.945357

0.941485

0.884332

7.597102

0.967112

0.960857

0.903710

m3
sesgo
x0

9.000436

-4.280986

-0.05678987
168.306057

Prue
Estadistico K-S
Funcin de Probabilidad

Normal

0.088102

Log-Normal
Gama
Gumbel

0.170181
0.090816
0.079976

Log-Gumbel

0.204396

Pearson

Err:502

person
F(x)
Parametros
Q-xo

Xo

Normal

1240.276

-0.124

-0.057

= ( F(x) - P(x))

-1808.667408

-165.970391

Err:502

#NAME?

-175.418273

-159.384391

Err:502

#NAME?

-82.146329

-158.133557

Err:502

#NAME?

-44.521113

-157.330724

Err:502

#NAME?

-33.186461

-157.000057

Err:502

#NAME?

-28.640375

-156.846057

Err:502

#NAME?

-27.195704

-156.793724

Err:502

#NAME?

-15.868078

-156.299391

Err:502

#NAME?

-15.616830

-156.286057

Err:502

#NAME?

-13.153685

-156.147057

Err:502

#NAME?

-5.827765

-155.586057

Err:502

#NAME?

-5.604001

-155.562724

Err:502

#NAME?

-2.476251

-155.139391

Err:502

#NAME?

-1.920021

-155.029391

Err:502

#NAME?

-0.367417

-154.502724

Err:502

#NAME?

-0.131448

-154.294946

Err:502

#NAME?

-0.040908

-154.131057

Err:502

#NAME?

-0.004593

-153.952724

Err:502

#NAME?

0.006550

-153.599391

Err:502

#NAME?

0.433974

-153.029391

Err:502

#NAME?

0.904519

-152.819391

Err:502

#NAME?

5.771645

-151.992724

Err:502

#NAME?

5.901309

-151.979391

Err:502

#NAME?

6.066100

-151.962724

Err:502

#NAME?

11.447965

-151.532724

Err:502

#NAME?

87.231907

-149.351512

Err:502

#NAME?

249.702151

-147.489391

Err:502

#NAME?

260.154606

-147.402724

Err:502

0.053116

332.875350

-146.856057

Err:502

0.037504

438.474109

-146.189391

Err:502

0.021549

729.105907

-144.786057

Err:502

0.011604

-132.710569

Prueba de Bondad de ajuste kolmogorov-Smi


SEPTIEMBRE
Nivel de significancia

0.005
0.005
0.005
0.005
0.005
1.005

Log- Normal

Gama

Gumbel

Log-Gumbel

= ( F(x) - P(x))

= ( F(x) - P(x))

= ( F(x) - P(x))

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.031250

0.031250

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.007841

0.053718

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.039839

0.147229

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.078898

0.201303

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.079976

0.204396

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.064292

0.188839

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.038395

0.162872

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.058949

0.180109

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.029121

0.150129

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.012742

0.131988

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.042002

0.151184

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.013270

0.121944

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.027432

0.125913

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.007855

0.103427

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.031344

0.111942

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.021037

0.095401

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.005997

0.075371

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.007947

0.055957

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.006012

0.047038

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.012917

0.048838

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.000947

0.028890

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.030314

0.037966

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.000006

0.007315

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.030096

0.023188

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.032721

0.035972

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.045947

0.006271

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.071707

0.017995

#NAME?

0.042309

0.042492

0.011584

#NAME?

0.024936

0.023036

0.032864

#NAME?

0.007857

0.003985

0.053168

pearson

= ( F(x) - P(x)) = ( F(x) - P(x))

Err:502
Err:502
Err:502
Err:502
Err:502
Err:502
Err:502
Err:502
Err:502
Err:502
Err:502
Err:502
Err:502
Err:502
Err:502
Err:502
Err:502
Err:502
Err:502
Err:502
Err:502
Err:502
Err:502
Err:502
Err:502
Err:502
Err:502
Err:502
Err:502
Err:502

#NAME?

0.001638

0.007893

Err:502

0.065040

mogorov-Smirnov (K-S)

TIEMBRE

ivel de significancia

Grado de libertad

Est. obt. por tabla


lim

0.005

31

0.244263

0.005
0.005
0.005

31
31
31

0.244263
0.244263
0.244263

0.005

31

0.244263

1.005

31

0.244263

F(x) - P(x))

La hipotesis
< lim
Se acepta
Se acepta
Se acepta
Se acepta
Se acepta
Err:502

AO
1979

Log de los
datos

N de orden

OCT

OCTUBRE

OCTUBRE

3.8629
10.5681
11.7226
13.8097
15.2697
15.9065
16.7903
16.9161
18.3194
18.4355
18.5742
18.9609
19.0032
19.1355
19.9548
20.6261
21.3484
21.5484
22.5484
24.2355
24.5484
26.1355
26.1677
26.6161
27.3452
28.1484
28.9258
29.1742
29.4387
29.5129
32.3226

3.8629
10.5681
11.7226
13.8097
15.2697
15.9065
16.7903
16.9161
18.3194
18.4355
18.5742
18.9609
19.0032
19.1355
19.9548
20.6261
21.3484
21.5484
22.5484
24.2355
24.5484
26.1355
26.1677
26.6161
27.3452
28.1484
28.9258
29.1742
29.4387
29.5129
32.3226

1.35

2.36

2.46

2.63

2.73

2.77

2.82

2.83

2.91

2.91

10

2.92

11

2.94

12

2.94

13

2.95

14

2.99

15

3.03

16

3.06

17

3.07

18

3.12

19

3.19

20

3.20

21

3.26

22

3.26

23

3.28

24

3.31

25

3.34

26

3.36

27

3.37

28

3.38

29

3.38

30

3.48

31

1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012

2013

34.1032

34.1032

3.53

32

Aprox

Estadisticos Descriptivos
OCTUBRE
N

32

Media ()

21.562

Desviacin estndar (S)

6.794

Mnimo
Mximo
Rango

3.863
34.103
30.240

NC =

5.61

x =

6.05

Suma

689.975

Prob. Empirica

P(x)
Weibull (m/(N+1)

Prob. Teorica

Prob. Teorica

Prob. Teorica

Normal

Log-Normal

Gama

F(x)

F(x)

F(x)

Parametros

Parametros

Parametros

=S

=S

21.562

6.794

3.004

0.417

10.072

0.030303

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.060606

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.090909

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.121212

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.151515

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.181818

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.212121

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.242424

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.272727

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.303030

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.333333

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.363636

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.393939

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.424242

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.454545

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.484848

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.515152

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.545455

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.575758

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.606061

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.636364

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.666667

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.696970

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.727273

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.757576

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.787879

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.818182

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.848485

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.878788

0.876853

#NAME?

0.873837

0.909091

0.879063

#NAME?

0.875664

0.939394

0.943388

#NAME?

0.930456

0.969697

0.967551

#NAME?

0.953150

Estadisticos Descriptivos LN de los datos


OCTUBRE
N
Media ()
Desviacin estndar (S)
Mnimo
Mximo
Rango
NC =
x =
Suma

32
3.004
0.417
1.351
3.529
2.178
5.61
0.44
96.141

Aprox

Prob. Teorica

Prob. Teorica

Prob. Teorica

Gama

Gumbel

Log-Gumbel

F(x)

F(x)

F(x)

Parametros

Parametros

Parametros

2.141

5.297

18.504

0.325

2.817

(x-xprom)
#NAME?

0.000000

0.000000

-17.698806

#NAME?

0.011407

0.016416

-10.993645

#NAME?

0.027392

0.050459

-9.839129

#NAME?

0.088389

0.164722

-7.752032

#NAME?

0.158564

0.266178

-6.292032

#NAME?

0.195340

0.311248

-5.655258

#NAME?

0.251062

0.372256

-4.771387

#NAME?

0.259338

0.380707

-4.645580

#NAME?

0.355032

0.469712

-3.242354

#NAME?

0.363095

0.476600

-3.126225

#NAME?

0.372727

0.484725

-2.987516

#NAME?

0.399542

0.506786

-2.600840

#NAME?

0.402472

0.509149

-2.558484

#NAME?

0.411607

0.516461

-2.426225

#NAME?

0.467444

0.559481

-1.606871

#NAME?

0.511725

0.591845

-0.935622

#NAME?

0.557345

0.623893

-0.213322

#NAME?

0.569548

0.632277

-0.013322

#NAME?

0.627460

0.671206

0.986678

#NAME?

0.712515

0.726680

2.673775

#NAME?

0.726503

0.735719

2.986678

#NAME?

0.789154

0.776409

4.573775

#NAME?

0.790289

0.777154

4.606033

#NAME?

0.805530

0.787203

5.054420

#NAME?

0.828242

0.802382

5.783452

#NAME?

0.850495

0.817587

6.586678

#NAME?

0.869504

0.830941

7.364097

#NAME?

0.875091

0.834949

7.612484

0.873837

0.880797

0.839086

7.877000

0.875664

0.882353

0.840223

7.951194

0.930456

0.929004

0.876709

10.760871

0.953150

0.948741

0.894441

m3
sesgo
x0

12.541516

-99.244473

-0.3484472
60.5578657

Prueba d
Estadistico K-S
Funcin de Probabilidad

Normal

0.082924

Log-Normal
Gama
Gumbel

0.135724
0.101947
0.122487

Log-Gumbel

0.196985

Pearson

Err:502

person
F(x)
Parametros
Q-xo

Xo

Normal

32.945

-1.184

-0.348

= ( F(x) - P(x))

(x-xprom)^3
-5544.110967

-56.694962

Err:502

#NAME?

-1328.694398

-49.989801

Err:502

#NAME?

-952.510828

-48.835285

Err:502

#NAME?

-465.850595

-46.748188

Err:502

#NAME?

-249.099439

-45.288188

Err:502

#NAME?

-180.866112

-44.651414

Err:502

#NAME?

-108.626018

-43.767543

Err:502

#NAME?

-100.258202

-43.641737

Err:502

#NAME?

-34.086427

-42.238511

Err:502

#NAME?

-30.553494

-42.122382

Err:502

#NAME?

-26.664327

-41.983672

Err:502

#NAME?

-17.593036

-41.596996

Err:502

#NAME?

-16.747418

-41.554640

Err:502

#NAME?

-14.282146

-41.422382

Err:502

#NAME?

-4.148993

-40.603027

Err:502

#NAME?

-0.819034

-39.931779

Err:502

#NAME?

-0.009708

-39.209479

Err:502

#NAME?

-0.000002

-39.009479

Err:502

#NAME?

0.960563

-38.009479

Err:502

#NAME?

19.115002

-36.322382

Err:502

#NAME?

26.641895

-36.009479

Err:502

#NAME?

95.680681

-34.422382

Err:502

#NAME?

97.719453

-34.390124

Err:502

#NAME?

129.126061

-33.941737

Err:502

#NAME?

193.446732

-33.212704

Err:502

#NAME?

285.758563

-32.409479

Err:502

#NAME?

399.354445

-31.632059

Err:502

#NAME?

441.142821

-31.383672

Err:502

#NAME?

488.745301

-31.119156

Err:502

0.001935

502.686282

-31.044962

Err:502

0.030028

1246.069639

-28.235285

Err:502

0.003994

1972.650558

-26.454640

Err:502

0.002146

-3175.823149

Prueba de Bondad de ajuste kolmogorov-Smirnov


OCTUBRE
Nivel de significancia

0.005
0.005
0.005
0.005
0.005
1.005

Log- Normal

Gama

Gumbel

Log-Gumbel

= ( F(x) - P(x))
= ( F(x) - P(x))
= ( F(x) - P(x)) = ( F(x) - P(x))

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.030303

0.030303

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.049199

0.044190

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.063517

0.040450

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.032823

0.043510

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.007049

0.114662

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.013522

0.129430

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.038940

0.160134

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.016914

0.138283

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.082305

0.196985

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.060064

0.173569

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.039394

0.151392

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.035906

0.143149

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.008533

0.115210

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.012636

0.092219

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.012898

0.104935

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.026876

0.106997

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.042194

0.108741

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.024094

0.086823

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.051702

0.095449

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.106454

0.120619

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.090139

0.099355

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.122487

0.109742

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.093319

0.080184

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.078257

0.059930

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.070666

0.044806

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.062616

0.029708

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.051322

0.012760

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.026606

0.013536

#NAME?

0.004951

0.002009

0.039702

#NAME?

0.033427

0.026738

0.068868

#NAME?

0.008938

0.010390

0.062685

pearson
= ( F(x) - P(x))

Err:502
Err:502
Err:502
Err:502
Err:502
Err:502
Err:502
Err:502
Err:502
Err:502
Err:502
Err:502
Err:502
Err:502
Err:502
Err:502
Err:502
Err:502
Err:502
Err:502
Err:502
Err:502
Err:502
Err:502
Err:502
Err:502
Err:502
Err:502
Err:502
Err:502
Err:502

#NAME?

0.016547

0.020956

Err:502

0.075256

gorov-Smirnov (K-S)

BRE

ivel de significancia

Grado de libertad

Est. obt. por tabla

La hipotesis

lim

< lim

0.005

32

0.240416

Se acepta

0.005
0.005
0.005

32
32
32

0.240416
0.240416
0.240416

Se acepta
Se acepta
Se acepta

0.005

32

0.240416

Se acepta

1.005

32

0.240416

Err:502

La hipotesis
< lim
Se acepta
Se acepta
Se acepta
Se acepta
Se acepta
Err:502

Datos
Ordenados
de menor a
mayor
AO
1979

NOV

Log de los
datos

NOVIEMBRE NOVIEMBRE

N de orden
m

1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012

11.6197
15.5033
17.9100
24.1600
24.2033
25.2333
29.6133
34.7067
35.6500
36.6200
39.2157
41.1067
41.9433
42.3333
42.8867
43.5100
44.0367
44.9200
45.6000
46.6400
47.4767
49.0400
49.7800
50.6733
51.9300
54.6767
54.7095
59.1400
62.0900
62.8233
62.8400
64.5900

11.6197
15.5033
17.9100
24.1600
24.2033
25.2333
29.6133
34.7067
35.6500
36.6200
39.2157
41.1067
41.9433
42.3333
42.8867
43.5100
44.0367
44.9200
45.6000
46.6400
47.4767
49.0400
49.7800
50.6733
51.9300
54.6767
54.7095
59.1400
62.0900
62.8233
62.8400
64.5900

2.45

2.74

2.89

3.18

3.19

3.23

3.39

3.55

3.57

3.60

10

3.67

11

3.72

12

3.74

13

3.75

14

3.76

15

3.77

16

3.79

17

3.80

18

3.82

19

3.84

20

3.86

21

3.89

22

3.91

23

3.93

24

3.95

25

4.00

26

4.00

27

4.08

28

4.13

29

4.14

30

4.14

31

4.17

32

2013

66.9367

66.9367

4.20

33

Aprox

Estadisticos Descriptivos
NOVIEMBRE
N
Media ()
Desviacin estndar (S)
Mnimo
Mximo
Rango
NC =
x =
Suma

33
43.155
14.519
11.620
66.937
55.317
5.65
11.06
1424.118

Prob. Empirica

P(x)
Weibull (m/(N+1)

Prob. Teorica

Prob. Teorica

Prob. Teorica

Normal

Log-Normal

Gama

F(x)

F(x)

F(x)

Parametros

Parametros

Parametros

=S

=S

43.155

14.519

3.692

0.422

8.834

0.029412

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.058824

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.088235

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.117647

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.147059

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.176471

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.205882

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.235294

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.264706

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.294118

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.323529

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.352941

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.382353

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.411765

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.441176

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.470588

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.500000

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.529412

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.558824

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.588235

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.617647

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.647059

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.676471

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.705882

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.735294

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.764706

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.794118

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.823529

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.852941

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.882353

0.912233

#NAME?

0.903088

0.911765

0.912416

#NAME?

0.903241

0.941176

0.930070

#NAME?

0.918236

0.970588

0.949283

#NAME?

0.935186

Estadisticos Descriptivos LN de los datos


NOVIEMBRE
N
Media ()
Desviacin estndar (S)
Mnimo
Mximo
Rango
NC =
x =
Suma

33
3.692
0.422
2.453
4.204
1.751
5.65
0.35
121.839

Aprox

Prob. Teorica

Prob. Teorica

Prob. Teorica

Gama

Gumbel

Log-Gumbel

F(x)

F(x)

F(x)

Parametros

Parametros

Parametros

4.885

11.321

36.621

0.329

3.502

#NAME?

0.000111

0.000000

-31.535430

#NAME?

0.001566

0.000040

-27.651763

#NAME?

0.005397

0.001460

-25.245097

#NAME?

0.049464

0.072279

-18.995097

#NAME?

0.050035

0.073318

-18.951763

#NAME?

0.064923

0.100068

-17.921763

#NAME?

0.156112

0.242977

-13.541763

#NAME?

0.305964

0.417640

-8.448430

#NAME?

0.336350

0.447198

-7.505097

#NAME?

0.367832

0.476321

-6.535097

#NAME?

0.451490

0.547590

-3.939430

#NAME?

0.510241

0.593410

-2.048430

#NAME?

0.535296

0.612105

-1.211763

#NAME?

0.546745

0.620501

-0.821763

#NAME?

0.562721

0.632074

-0.268430

#NAME?

0.580325

0.644647

0.354903

#NAME?

0.594859

0.654896

0.881570

#NAME?

0.618510

0.671346

1.764903

#NAME?

0.636079

0.683401

2.444903

#NAME?

0.661847

0.700864

3.484903

#NAME?

0.681597

0.714099

4.321570

#NAME?

0.716143

0.737021

5.884903

#NAME?

0.731434

0.747103

6.624903

#NAME?

0.748999

0.758661

7.518237

#NAME?

0.772093

0.773854

8.774903

#NAME?

0.816337

0.803178

11.521570

#NAME?

0.816817

0.803499

11.554427

#NAME?

0.872137

0.841434

15.984903

#NAME?

0.899942

0.861662

18.934903

0.903088

0.905913

0.866174

19.668237

0.903241

0.906045

0.866275

19.684903

0.918236

0.918940

0.876298

21.434903

0.935186

0.933599

0.888280

m3
sesgo
x0

23.781570

-1140.965297

-0.4092240442
114.1147283696

Prueba
Estadistico K-S
Funcin de Probabilidad

Normal

0.090961

Log-Normal
Gama
Gumbel

0.169813
0.134893
0.157300

Log-Gumbel

0.240469

Pearson

Err:502

person
F(x)
Parametros
Q-xo

Xo

Normal

23.886

-2.971

0.000

= ( F(x) - P(x))

-31361.459955

11.619667

Err:502

#NAME?

-21143.091748

15.503333

Err:502

#NAME?

-16089.076430

17.910000

Err:502

#NAME?

-6853.691076

24.160000

Err:502

#NAME?

-6806.892223

24.203333

Err:502

#NAME?

-5756.284031

25.233333

Err:502

#NAME?

-2483.279824

29.613333

Err:502

#NAME?

-603.014884

34.706667

Err:502

#NAME?

-422.735650

35.650000

Err:502

#NAME?

-279.097567

36.620000

Err:502

#NAME?

-61.136443

39.215667

Err:502

#NAME?

-8.595347

41.106667

Err:502

#NAME?

-1.779317

41.943333

Err:502

#NAME?

-0.554933

42.333333

Err:502

#NAME?

-0.019342

42.886667

Err:502

#NAME?

0.044702

43.510000

Err:502

#NAME?

0.685126

44.036667

Err:502

#NAME?

5.497469

44.920000

Err:502

#NAME?

14.614537

45.600000

Err:502

#NAME?

42.322587

46.640000

Err:502

#NAME?

80.709499

47.476667

Err:502

#NAME?

203.806484

49.040000

Err:502

#NAME?

290.762661

49.780000

Err:502

#NAME?

424.959923

50.673333

Err:502

#NAME?

675.658151

51.930000

Err:502

#NAME?

1529.448955

54.676667

Err:502

#NAME?

1542.571324

54.709524

Err:502

#NAME?

4084.416685

59.140000

Err:502

#NAME?

6788.741560

62.090000

Err:502

#NAME?

7608.451478

62.823333

Err:502

0.029880

7627.809853

62.840000

Err:502

0.000651

9848.375225

64.590000

Err:502

0.011106

13449.977759

66.936667

Err:502

0.021305

-37651.854790

Prueba de Bondad de ajuste kolmogorov-Smirnov


NOVIEMBRE
Nivel de significancia

0.005
0.005
0.005
0.005
0.005
1.005

Log- Normal

Gama

Gumbel

Log-Gumbel

pearson

= ( F(x) - P(x))
= ( F(x) - P(x))
= ( F(x) - P(x))
= ( F(x) - P(x)) = ( F(x) - P(x))

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.029300

0.029412

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.057257

0.058783

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.082839

0.086775

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.068183

0.045368

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.097023

0.073740

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.111548

0.076403

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.049771

0.037094

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.070669

0.182346

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.071644

0.182492

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.073714

0.182203

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.127960

0.224061

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.157300

0.240469

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.152943

0.229752

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.134980

0.208736

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.121545

0.190898

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.109736

0.174058

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.094859

0.154896

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.089098

0.141935

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.077256

0.124578

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.073612

0.112629

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.063950

0.096452

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.069085

0.089963

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.054963

0.070633

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.043117

0.052778

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.036799

0.038560

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.051631

0.038472

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.022699

0.009381

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.048607

0.017905

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.047001

0.008721

#NAME?

0.020735

0.023560

0.016178

#NAME?

0.008524

0.005720

0.045490

#NAME?

0.022941

0.022237

0.064878

Err:502
Err:502
Err:502
Err:502
Err:502
Err:502
Err:502
Err:502
Err:502
Err:502
Err:502
Err:502
Err:502
Err:502
Err:502
Err:502
Err:502
Err:502
Err:502
Err:502
Err:502
Err:502
Err:502
Err:502
Err:502
Err:502
Err:502
Err:502
Err:502
Err:502
Err:502

#NAME?

0.035402

0.036989

Err:502

0.082308

ov-Smirnov (K-S)

ivel de significancia

Grado de libertad

Est. obt. por tabla

La hipotesis

lim

< lim

0.005

33

0.236746

Se acepta

0.005
0.005
0.005

33
33
33

0.236746
0.236746
0.236746

Se acepta
Se acepta
Se acepta

0.005

33

0.236746

Se rechaza

1.005

33

0.236746

Err:502

La hipotesis
< lim
Se acepta
Se acepta
Se acepta
Se acepta
Se rechaza
Err:502

Datos
Ordenados
de menor a
mayor
AO
1979

Log de los
datos

N de orden

DIC

DICIEMBRE

DICIEMBRE

18.8129
19.9135
33.0935
37.9000
43.8194
44.8194
46.9387
47.8968
48.2419
52.4452
55.9194
56.5032
58.8839
59.4355
59.4806
60.7677
66.8032
67.9935
72.2806
82.7871
83.3375
84.7903
88.7226
89.0032
92.5258
92.9742
93.8161
101.8806
103.8613
104.2935
105.5355
106.0258

18.8129
19.9135
33.0935
37.9000
43.8194
44.8194
46.9387
47.8968
48.2419
52.4452
55.9194
56.5032
58.8839
59.4355
59.4806
60.7677
66.8032
67.9935
72.2806
82.7871
83.3375
84.7903
88.7226
89.0032
92.5258
92.9742
93.8161
101.8806
103.8613
104.2935
105.5355
106.0258

2.93

2.99

3.50

3.63

3.78

3.80

3.85

3.87

3.88

3.96

10

4.02

11

4.03

12

4.08

13

4.08

14

4.09

15

4.11

16

4.20

17

4.22

18

4.28

19

4.42

20

4.42

21

4.44

22

4.49

23

4.49

24

4.53

25

4.53

26

4.54

27

4.62

28

4.64

29

4.65

30

4.66

31

4.66

32

1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012

2013

107.3355

107.3355

4.68

33

Aprox

Estadisticos Descriptivos
DICIEMBRE
N
Media ()
Desviacin estndar (S)
Mnimo
Mximo
Rango
NC =
x =
Suma

33
69.359
25.998
18.813
107.335
88.523
5.65
17.70
2288.838

Prob. Empirica

P(x)
Weibull (m/(N+1)

Prob. Teorica

Prob. Teorica

Prob. Teorica

Normal

Log-Normal

Gama

F(x)

F(x)

F(x)

Parametros

Parametros

Parametros

=S

=S

69.359

25.998

4.154

0.452

7.118

0.029412

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.058824

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.088235

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.117647

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.147059

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.176471

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.205882

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.235294

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.264706

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.294118

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.323529

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.352941

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.382353

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.411765

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.441176

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.470588

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.500000

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.529412

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.558824

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.588235

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.617647

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.647059

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.676471

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.705882

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.735294

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.764706

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.794118

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.823529

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.852941

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.882353

0.910489

#NAME?

0.901199

0.911765

0.917970

#NAME?

0.907364

0.941176

0.920790

#NAME?

0.909706

0.970588

0.927962

#NAME?

0.915713

Estadisticos Descriptivos Log de los datos


DICIEMBRE
N
Media ()
Desviacin estndar (S)
Mnimo
Mximo
Rango
NC =
x =
Suma

33
4.154
0.452
2.935
4.676
1.741
5.65
0.35
137.077

Aprox

Prob. Teorica

Prob. Teorica

Prob. Teorica

Gama

Gumbel

Log-Gumbel

F(x)

F(x)

F(x)

Parametros

Parametros

Parametros

9.745

20.270

57.660

0.352

3.951

#NAME?

0.001117

0.000000

-50.545828

#NAME?

0.001600

0.000000

-49.445183

#NAME?

0.034735

0.027285

-36.265183

#NAME?

0.070602

0.086257

-31.458732

#NAME?

0.138151

0.197333

-25.539377

#NAME?

0.151961

0.218243

-24.539377

#NAME?

0.183217

0.263158

-22.420022

#NAME?

0.198149

0.283494

-21.461957

#NAME?

0.203639

0.290799

-21.116796

#NAME?

0.274342

0.377456

-16.913570

#NAME?

0.336331

0.443937

-13.439377

#NAME?

0.346900

0.454539

-12.855506

#NAME?

0.390081

0.495947

-10.474861

#NAME?

0.400065

0.505118

-9.923248

#NAME?

0.400881

0.505862

-9.878087

#NAME?

0.424072

0.526608

-8.590990

#NAME?

0.528907

0.612561

-2.555506

#NAME?

0.548473

0.627423

-1.365183

#NAME?

0.615007

0.675810

2.921913

#NAME?

0.748641

0.766030

13.428365

#NAME?

0.754469

0.769845

13.978768

#NAME?

0.769316

0.779548

15.431591

#NAME?

0.805728

0.803353

19.363849

#NAME?

0.808124

0.804925

19.644494

#NAME?

0.836060

0.823361

23.167075

#NAME?

0.839341

0.825546

23.615462

#NAME?

0.845343

0.829555

24.457397

#NAME?

0.893272

0.862556

32.521914

#NAME?

0.902706

0.869368

34.502559

0.901199

0.904658

0.870796

34.934817

0.907364

0.910061

0.874787

36.176752

0.909706

0.912113

0.876318

36.667075

0.915713

0.917378

0.880291

m3
sesgo
x0

37.976752

-2137.645353

-0.1335533808
458.6793773755

Prueba
Estadistico K-S
Funcin de Probabilidad

Normal

0.109021

Log-Normal
Gama
Gumbel

0.131129
0.140825
0.160406

Log-Gumbel

0.177794

pearson

Err:502

person
F(x)
Parametros
Q-xo

Xo

Normal

224.259

-1.736

0.000

= ( F(x) - P(x))

-129138.565270

18.812903

Err:502

#NAME?

-120884.877101

19.913548

Err:502

#NAME?

-47694.646061

33.093548

Err:502

#NAME?

-31133.190388

37.900000

Err:502

#NAME?

-16658.308041

43.819355

Err:502

#NAME?

-14777.146863

44.819355

Err:502

#NAME?

-11269.589658

46.938710

Err:502

#NAME?

-9885.712836

47.896774

Err:502

#NAME?

-9416.382366

48.241935

Err:502

#NAME?

-4838.445853

52.445161

Err:502

#NAME?

-2427.377907

55.919355

Err:502

#NAME?

-2124.552721

56.503226

Err:502

#NAME?

-1149.330070

58.883871

Err:502

#NAME?

-977.150617

59.435484

Err:502

#NAME?

-963.870030

59.480645

Err:502

#NAME?

-634.058897

60.767742

Err:502

#NAME?

-16.689013

66.803226

Err:502

#NAME?

-2.544327

67.993548

Err:502

#NAME?

24.946065

72.280645

Err:502

#NAME?

2421.416076

82.787097

Err:502

#NAME?

2731.534698

83.337500

Err:502

#NAME?

3674.786435

84.790323

Err:502

#NAME?

7260.642613

88.722581

Err:502

#NAME?

7580.931095

89.003226

Err:502

#NAME?

12434.078394

92.525806

Err:502

#NAME?

13170.107865

92.974194

Err:502

#NAME?

14629.541609

93.816129

Err:502

#NAME?

34397.610308

101.880645

Err:502

#NAME?

41072.761883

103.861290

Err:502

#NAME?

42635.897313

104.293548

Err:502

0.028136

47346.592233

105.535484

Err:502

0.006205

49297.942548

106.025807

Err:502

0.020386

54771.352233

107.335484

Err:502

0.042626

-70542.296650

Prueba de Bondad de ajuste kolmogorov-Smirnov (


DICIEMBRE
Nivel de significancia

0.005
0.005
0.005
0.005
0.005
1.005

Log- Normal

Gama

Gumbel

Log-Gumbel

pearson

= ( F(x) - P(x))
= ( F(x) - P(x))
= ( F(x) - P(x))
= ( F(x) - P(x)) = ( F(x) - P(x))

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.028294

0.029412

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.057223

0.058823

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.053500

0.060950

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.047045

0.031390

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.008908

0.050275

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.024509

0.041773

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.022665

0.057276

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.037145

0.048200

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.061067

0.026093

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.019775

0.083339

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.012802

0.120407

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.006041

0.101597

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.007728

0.113594

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.011700

0.093354

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.040295

0.064686

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.046516

0.056020

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.028907

0.112561

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.019061

0.098011

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.056183

0.116987

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.160406

0.177794

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.136822

0.152198

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.122257

0.132490

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.129257

0.126882

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.102242

0.099042

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.100766

0.088067

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.074635

0.060840

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.051226

0.035437

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.069742

0.039026

#NAME?

#NAME?

0.049765

0.016427

#NAME?

0.018846

0.022305

0.011557

#NAME?

0.004401

0.001704

0.036978

#NAME?

0.031471

0.029063

0.064858

Err:502
Err:502
Err:502
Err:502
Err:502
Err:502
Err:502
Err:502
Err:502
Err:502
Err:502
Err:502
Err:502
Err:502
Err:502
Err:502
Err:502
Err:502
Err:502
Err:502
Err:502
Err:502
Err:502
Err:502
Err:502
Err:502
Err:502
Err:502
Err:502
Err:502
Err:502

#NAME?

0.054876

0.053210

Err:502

0.090297

ov-Smirnov (K-S)

ivel de significancia

Grado de libertad

Est. obt. por tabla

La hipotesis

lim

< lim

0.005

33

0.236746

Se acepta

0.005
0.005
0.005

33
33
33

0.236746
0.236746
0.236746

Se acepta
Se acepta
Se acepta

0.005

33

0.236746

Se acepta

1.005

33

0.236746

Err:502

La hipotesis
< lim
Se acepta
Se acepta
Se acepta
Se acepta
Se acepta
Err:502

CAUDALES MEDIOS M
AO

ENE

FEB

1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013

MAR

ABR

3.1098
3.4139
3.5503
3.6736
3.7586
3.7738
3.8260
3.8689
3.8814
3.9080
3.9115
3.9306
3.9354
3.9741
4.1451
4.2233
4.3229
4.3339
4.3876
4.4247
4.4257
4.4358
4.4600
4.4655
4.4750
4.6454
4.7069
4.7119
4.7578
4.9834

2.9605
3.3141
3.4274
3.4285
3.4539
3.4731
3.4982
3.5764
3.6275
3.6280
3.6358
3.6361
3.6507
3.6747
3.6872
3.6875
3.7104
3.8190
3.9367
3.9444
4.0185
4.0627
4.0968
4.1251
4.1785
4.1866
4.3160
4.3735
4.4891
4.6260

2.7876
2.8975
3.0844
3.1205
3.1541
3.1541
3.1651
3.1909
3.2805
3.3197
3.3579
3.3662
3.4010
3.4044
3.4103
3.4457
3.5113
3.5131
3.5134
3.5519
3.6282
3.6398
3.6767
3.7841
3.8337
3.9073
3.9540
3.9855
4.0364

2.4129
2.5115
2.6283
2.6888
2.7792
2.8028
2.8146
2.8166
2.8758
2.9266
2.9608
2.9830
3.0012
3.0044
3.0082
3.1151
3.1408
3.1542
3.1560
3.1733
3.2295
3.2295
3.2355
3.2396
3.2468
3.3097
3.3600
3.4371
3.5661
3.6997

n=
=

30
4.147

30
3.808

29
3.451

30
3.050

0.439

0.379

0.320

0.296

0.343

0.295

0.250

3.950

3.638

3.307

ENE
4.967
4.720
4.572
4.075
3.730
3.664

FEB
4.515
4.302
4.174
3.746
3.448
3.391

MAR
4.048
3.869
3.760
3.398
3.147
3.099

3.574

3.313

3.033

P. ExedenciaP. Ocurrencia
5%
95%
10%
90%
85%
15%
50%
50%
85%
15%
90%
10%
95%
5%

CAUDALES MEDIOS MENSUALES (m3/s)


MAY

JUN

JUL

2.1744
2.3429
2.3602
2.5219
2.5960
2.6232
2.6291
2.6391
2.6815
2.7234
2.7375
2.7406
2.7501
2.7645
2.8055
2.8084
2.8580
2.8657
2.8948
2.9284
2.9532
3.0061
3.0272
3.0592
3.0730
3.1211
3.1310
3.1990
3.2322
3.5217
3.5536
3.6007

2.0829
2.0893
2.3250
2.3456
2.4679
2.4841
2.4913
2.5131
2.5492
2.5624
2.5629
2.5863
2.6176
2.6695
2.6903
2.7009
2.7200
2.7217
2.7298
2.7419
2.8130
2.8591
2.9109
2.9469
2.9605
2.9789
2.9921
3.0575
3.2444
3.2712
4.2893

1.9961
2.1418
2.2403
2.3536
2.3712
2.3747
2.4119
2.4139
2.4203
2.4285
2.4364
2.4754
2.4774
2.5140
2.5824
2.6160
2.6217
2.6413
2.6643
2.6686
2.7385
2.7706
2.7918
2.7937
2.8528
2.8529
2.8927
2.9109
2.9230
3.0953
3.0960

32
2.873

31
2.741

0.333

0.403

AGO

SEP

OCT

0.4814
2.0133
2.1064
2.3418
2.3429
2.3612
2.3675
2.3809
2.3864
2.3967
2.4011
2.4104
2.4139
2.4345
2.4348
2.4535
2.4991
2.5059
2.5265
2.5736
2.6321
2.6326
2.6546
2.6959
2.6990
2.7627
2.8449
2.8533
2.9421
3.1518

0.8483
2.1885
2.3197
2.3957
2.4253
2.4389
2.4434
2.4855
2.4866
2.4981
2.5432
2.5450
2.5777
2.5860
2.6249
2.6399
2.6515
2.6640
2.6883
2.7263
2.7400
2.7920
2.7928
2.7938
2.8198
2.9420
3.0358
3.0399
3.0657
3.0963
3.1579

1.3514
2.3578
2.4615
2.6254
2.7259
2.7667
2.8208
2.8283
2.9080
2.9143
2.9218
2.9424
2.9446
2.9515
2.9935
3.0266
3.0610
3.0703
3.1157
3.1878
3.2006
3.2633
3.2645
3.2815
3.3085
3.3375
3.3647
3.3733
3.3823
3.3848
3.4758
3.5294

31
2.599

30
2.457

31
2.615

32
3.004

0.265

0.441

0.407

0.417

Distribubucin Log Gumbel

Parametros
0.231

0.260

0.315

0.206

0.344

0.317

2.917

2.723

2.560

2.480

2.258

2.432

ABR
3.602
3.436
3.336
3.002
2.769
2.725

MAY
3.494
3.307
3.195
2.818
2.556
2.506

JUN
3.494
3.267
3.131
2.675
2.358
2.297

JUL
3.093
2.944
2.855
2.555
2.348
2.308

AGO
3.280
3.032
2.883
2.384
2.038
1.971

SEP
3.373
3.145
3.008
2.548
2.229
2.167

2.664

2.438

2.215

2.253

1.881

2.084

NOV

DIC

2.4527
2.7411
2.8854
3.1847
3.1865
3.2282
3.3882
3.5469
3.5737
3.6006
3.6691
3.7162
3.7363
3.7456
3.7586
3.7730
3.7850
3.8049
3.8199
3.8425
3.8602
3.8926
3.9076
3.9254
3.9499
4.0014
4.0020
4.0799
4.1286
4.1403
4.1406
4.1681
4.2037

2.9345
2.9914
3.4993
3.6350
3.7801
3.8026
3.8488
3.8690
3.8762
3.9598
4.0239
4.0343
4.0756
4.0849
4.0857
4.1071
4.2018
4.2194
4.2806
4.4163
4.4229
4.4402
4.4855
4.4887
4.5275
4.5323
4.5413
4.6238
4.6431
4.6472
4.6590
4.6637
4.6760

33
3.692

33
4.154

0.422

0.452

0.325

0.329

0.352

2.817

3.502

3.951

OCT
3.782
3.548
3.407
2.936
2.609
2.546

NOV
4.479
4.242
4.100
3.623
3.292
3.228

DIC
4.997
4.743
4.591
4.080
3.725
3.657

2.461

3.142

3.564

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