Siena College Research Institute

April 6 -11, 2016

538 New York State Likely Democratic Primary Voters
MOE +/- 4.5%
Q1. Is the United States on the right track, or is it headed in the wrong direction?
Gender
Union HH

Right track
Wrong direction
Don't know/No opinion

Total
53%
32%
16%

M
55%
31%
14%

F
51%
32%
17%

Yes
54%
28%
17%

No
52%
33%
15%

Region
NYC
49%
30%
21%

Subs
60%
31%
10%

Upst
55%
34%
11%

White
50%
33%
17%

Ethnicity
Afr Amer
/Black
64%
25%
11%

Age
Latino
47%
35%
18%

18-34
55%
31%
14%

35-54 55+
55% 52%
32% 32%
13% 16%

Religion
Cath
53%
32%
15%

Jewish
41%
31%
28%

Prot
61%
29%
11%

Other
49%
33%
18%

Income
$50K<$50K $100K $100K+
50%
53%
61%
36%
34%
26%
15%
13%
13%

I'm going to read a series of names of people and institutions in public life and I'd like you to tell me whether you have a favorable opinion or an unfavorable opinion of each person or institution I name.
Q2. Barack Obama
Gender
Union HH
Region
Ethnicity
Age
Religion
Income
Afr Amer
$50KTotal
M
F
Yes
No
NYC Subs Upst
White
/Black
Latino 18-34 35-54 55+ Cath Jewish Prot Other <$50K $100K $100K+
Favorable
84%
84% 84% 87% 83% 86% 88%
79%
78%
97%
85%
94% 84% 82% 76%
77%
90%
90%
82%
85%
87%
Unfavorable
13%
13% 13% 9% 14% 10% 10%
20%
19%
1%
9%
4%
12% 15% 22%
19%
7%
7%
14%
13%
11%
Don't know/No opinion
3%
2%
3%
4%
3%
4%
2%
2%
3%
2%
6%
2%
3%
3%
3%
4%
2%
3%
4%
1%
2%
[Q3-Q7 ROTATED] Q3. Hillary Clinton
Gender

Favorable
Unfavorable
Don't know/No opinion

Total
73%
25%
3%

M
68%
30%
3%

F
76%
22%
2%

Union HH
Yes
69%
27%
4%

No
74%
24%
2%

Region
NYC
74%
22%
3%

Subs
75%
23%
2%

Upst
68%
30%
2%

White
70%
28%
2%

Ethnicity
Afr Amer
/Black
80%
18%
2%

White
74%
21%
5%

Ethnicity
Afr Amer
/Black
75%
18%
7%

White
10%
84%
6%

Ethnicity
Afr Amer
/Black
23%
67%
9%

Age
Latino
68%
30%
2%

18-34 35-54 55+

50% 79% 74%
46% 17% 24%
3%
3%
2%

Religion
Cath
66%
31%
2%

Jewish
80%
19%
2%

Prot
80%
18%
3%

Other
69%
27%
4%

Income
$50K<$50K $100K $100K+
71%
71%
76%
27%
26%
23%
2%
3%
0%

Other
91%
7%
2%

Income
$50K<$50K $100K $100K+
71%
76%
84%
22%
19%
14%
7%
5%
2%

Other
5%
93%
2%

Income
$50K<$50K $100K $100K+
19%
19%
9%
74%
76%
89%
7%
6%
3%

Q4. Bernie Sanders

Gender

Favorable
Unfavorable
Don't know/No opinion

Total
75%
20%
5%

M
74%
20%
6%

F
75%
21%
4%

Union HH
Yes
80%
17%
4%

No
73%
22%
6%

Region
NYC
75%
18%
7%

Subs
77%
21%
1%

Upst
73%
22%
5%

Age
Latino
72%
23%
5%

18-34 35-54 55+

96% 74% 69%
4%
19% 25%
0%
7%
5%

Religion
Cath
65%
30%
5%

Jewish
60%
26%
13%

Prot
76%
20%
4%

Q5. Ted Cruz

Gender

Favorable
Unfavorable
Don't know/No opinion

Total
14%
80%
6%

M
13%
85%
3%

F
15%
78%
8%

Union HH
Yes
12%
84%
4%

No
15%
79%
6%

Region
NYC
13%
82%
5%

Subs
16%
79%
5%

Upst
14%
80%
7%

SNY0416D Crosstabs.xlsx

Age
Latino
23%
76%
1%

18-34 35-54 55+

7%
18% 13%
91% 79% 78%
2%
3%
9%

Religion
Cath
15%
78%
7%

Jewish
14%
78%
8%

Prot
23%
69%
7%

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Siena College Research Institute

April 6 -11, 2016
538 New York State Likely Democratic Primary Voters
MOE +/- 4.5%
Q6. John Kasich
Gender

Favorable
Unfavorable
Don't know/No opinion

Total
37%
45%
17%

M
41%
47%
13%

F
35%
44%
21%

Union HH
Yes
39%
41%
20%

No
37%
46%
17%

Region
NYC
35%
47%
18%

Subs
38%
45%
17%

Upst
41%
42%
16%

White
43%
43%
14%

Ethnicity
Afr Amer
/Black
25%
45%
30%

White
12%
88%
1%

Ethnicity
Afr Amer
/Black
3%
95%
2%

Age
Latino
36%
46%
18%

18-34
28%
60%
13%

35-54 55+
40% 38%
44% 42%
16% 20%

Religion
Cath
54%
34%
13%

Jewish
40%
44%
16%

Prot
30%
44%
26%

Other
28%
57%
15%

Income
$50K<$50K $100K $100K+
30%
37%
50%
47%
51%
36%
22%
12%
14%

Other
3%
95%
3%

Income
$50K<$50K $100K $100K+
10%
10%
6%
88%
89%
93%
2%
1%
0%

Other
40%
52%
8%

Income
$50K<$50K $100K $100K+
51%
46%
56%
45%
48%
38%
4%
7%
6%

Other
67%
0%
0%
19%
7%
7%

Income
$50K<$50K $100K $100K+
56%
69%
80%
1%
1%
1%
0%
0%
2%
17%
15%
6%
15%
9%
6%
11%
6%
5%

Q7. Donald Trump

Gender

Favorable
Unfavorable
Don't know/No opinion

Total
8%
90%
2%

M
11%
86%
3%

F
7%
93%
0%

Union HH
Yes
11%
87%
3%

No
8%
91%
1%

Region
NYC
6%
92%
1%

Subs
9%
89%
2%

Upst
12%
86%
2%

Q8. If the Democratic primary for President were held today in New York, who would you vote for if the candidates were:
Gender
Union HH
Region
Ethnicity
Afr Amer
/Black
Total
M
F
Yes
No
NYC Subs Upst
White
Hillary Clinton
52%
46% 56% 50% 53% 54% 57%
46%
49%
60%
Bernie Sanders
42%
48% 38% 42% 43% 41% 38%
48%
46%
31%
Don't know/No opinion
6%
6%
5%
8%
5%
6%
5%
6%
5%
8%

Age
Latino
3%
93%
4%

Cath
16%
83%
1%

Age
Latino
54%
42%
4%

Q11. Regardless of who you support for president, who do you think is most likely to be the next President of the United States:
Gender
Union HH
Region
Ethnicity
Afr Amer
Total
M
F
Yes
No
NYC Subs Upst
White
/Black
Latino
Hillary Clinton
68%
68% 69% 69% 68% 69% 71%
65%
72%
64%
59%
Ted Cruz
1%
0%
1%
0%
1%
0%
0%
3%
1%
0%
0%
John Kasich
1%
1%
1%
0%
1%
0%
2%
1%
1%
0%
0%
Bernie Sanders
12%
13% 12% 11% 13% 13% 11%
12%
9%
17%
24%
Donald Trump
10%
11% 9% 10% 9%
8%
11%
12%
11%
5%
12%
Don't know/No opinion
8%
7%
9%
9%
8% 10%
5%
9%
6%
14%
6%

SNY0416D Crosstabs.xlsx

18-34 35-54 55+

2%
7%
12%
97% 92% 86%
1%
1%
2%

Religion

18-34 35-54 55+

24% 55% 58%
76% 38% 36%
0%
7%
6%

Prot
6%
93%
1%

Religion
Cath
51%
44%
5%

Age
18-34 35-54 55+
55% 75% 67%
0%
1%
1%
2%
1%
0%
29% 10%
9%
11%
9%
11%
4%
5%
12%

Jewish
9%
90%
2%

Jewish
60%
38%
2%

Prot
61%
35%
4%

Religion
Cath
65%
2%
2%
8%
13%
9%

Jewish
79%
0%
0%
2%
11%
8%

Prot
69%
1%
0%
14%
7%
8%

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Siena College Research Institute

April 6 -11, 2016
538 New York State Likely Democratic Primary Voters
MOE +/- 4.5%

Nature of the Sample

New York State Likely Democratic Primary Voters
Region
NYC
Suburbs
Upstate
Union Household
Yes
No
Religion
Catholic
Jewish
Protestant
Other
Age
18 to 34
35 to 54
55 and older
Gender
Male
Female
Race/Ethnicity
White
African American/Black
Latino
Income
Less than $50,000
$50,000 to $100,000
$100,000 or more

50%
20%
30%
26%
74%
31%
11%
26%
29%
15%
31%
50%
40%
60%
60%
21%
11%
30%
26%
30%

SNY0416D Crosstabs.xlsx

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