Documente Academic
Documente Profesional
Documente Cultură
110-2
TABLE OF CONTENTS
PAGE
I.
SUMMARY
110-3
II.
110-3
III.
110-4
A. MARKET STUDY
110-4
110-7
110-8
110-8
B. UTILITIES
110-9
110-10
A. TECHNOLOGY
110-10
B. ENGINEERING
110-11
110-13
A. MANPOWER REQUIREMENT
110-13
B. TRAINING REQUIREMENT
110-15
FINANCIAL ANALYSIS
110-15
110-15
B. PRODUCTION COST
110-16
C. FINANCIAL EVALUATION
110-17
D. ECONOMIC BENEFITS
110-18
IV.
V.
VI.
VII.
110-3
I.
SUMMARY
This profile envisages the establishment of a plant for the production of glass bottles and
tumblers
The present demand for the proposed product is estimated at 21 million bottles and 8.75 million
tumblers
per annum. The demand is expected to reach at 43.8 million bottles and 18.19
million tumblers
The total investment requirement is estimated at about Birr 27.62 million, out of which Birr
19.06 million is required for plant and machinery.
23
% and a net
II.
Glass bottles and tumblers are vitreous silica compounds produced in a suction fed type
blowing machine. Glass bottles are used for handling liquid, paste or powder products from
beverage, cosmetic or pharmaceutical industries. Shape, color and size of glass bottles may
vary according to clients demand, architecture and strength. Almost all glass bottles are flat
bottom, straight with a neck for corking or sealing.
Glass bottles are produced either clear, brown or in green color. Standard sizes for glass bottles
may range from 50 cc to 1,000 cc. Typical sizes are 50,100,250,330,500,630,750 and 1,000
ccs.
Tumblers are flat bottom, straight clear drinking glass without handles. They are usually
produced as 250 cc glasses.
110-4
III.
A.
MARKET STUDY
1.
The demand for glass bottles and tumblers is met through both domestic production and
imports. However, data on imports of the products is not readily available since the external
statistics of the customs authority does not show the products separately. The volume of
domestic production of bottles and tumblers during 1996-2005 is shown in Tables 3.1.
Apparently, the quantity of glass bottles and tumblers produced in the country fluctuated from
year to year but, on the average, 14353000 bottles and 1985000 tumblers are produced during
the period under consideration.
Table 3.1
DOMESTIC PRODUCTION OF GLASS BOTTLES AND TUMBLERS ('000 PIECES)
Year
Glass
Tumblers
Bottles
1996
11706
4180
1997
11030
880
1998
18997
2731
1999
23134
2000
16078
2001
16233
149
2002
12362
2003
2647
2004
16658
2005
14681
14353
1985
Average
110-5
A survey conducted on some retailers and wholesalers reveals that the market share of
domestically produced glass bottles and tumblers roughly stood at 75% and 25% of the total
supply, respectively. Assuming the average annual domestic production for the period under
reference represents the domestic production capacity for the products and making use of the
above stated market share of domestic production of the products, the effective demand for
glass bottles and tumblers for the year 2006 is estimated at 19137000 and 7940 pieces,
respectively.
The demand for bottles comes from the beverage industry, the catering industry and other
commercial users of glass packing materials. Household, the catering industry and other
institutions like hospitals and boarding schools constitute the major users of tumblers. The
demand for the products is therefore estimated to grow at the rate of 5% annually. Thus the
present demand for glass bottles and tumblers (i.e. for 2007) is estimated at 21099000 and
8754000 pieces, respectively.
2.
Demand Projection
For the reasons stated above, a 5% rate of growth is applied in projecting the demand for glass
bottles and tumblers. As stated above, the market share of domestically produced bottles and
tumblers is estimated at 75% and 25%, respectively.
maintain their share, the projected demand and the market share of the envisaged is shown in
Tables 3.2.
110-6
Table 3.2
PROJECTED DEMAND FOR GLASS BOTTLES AND
TUMBLERS (PIECES)
Bottles
Tumblers
Market
Year
3.
Share
Market
of
Share
Projected
Envisaged
Projected
of Envisaged
Demand
Plant
Demand
Plant
2007
21099000
5274750
8754000
6565500
2008
22153950
5538488
9191700
6893775
2009
23261648
5815412
9651285
7238464
2010
24424730
6106182
10133849
7600387
2011
25645966
6411492
10640542
7980406
2012
26928265
6732066
11172569
8379427
2013
28274678
7068669
11731197
8798398
2014
29688412
7422103
12317757
9238318
2015
31172832
7793208
12933645
9700234
2016
32731474
8182869
13580327
10185245
2017
34368048
8592012
14259344
10694508
2018
36086450
9021613
14972311
11229233
2019
37890773
9472693
15720926
11790695
2020
39785311
9946328
16506973
12380229
2021
41774577
10443644
17332321
12999241
2022
43863306
10965826
18198937
13649203
The prices of glass bottles and tumblers vary depending on size and quality. On the average, the
unit prices of a bottle and a tumbler are Birr 5 and Birr 3, respectively. Allowing margin for
110-7
whole sale and retail, the unit factory gate prices of a bottle and a tumbler for the envisaged
plant are estimated at Birr 3.50 and Birr 1.5 , respectively.
The envisaged plant is expected to distribute its product directly to users in the case of bottles.
Tumblers can be marketed through the existing wholesale and retail network.
B.
1.
Plant Capacity
Based on demand projection shown is Table 3.2, and capital requirement, the envisaged glass
bottles and tumblers plant will have a capacity of producing 5 million pieces of glass bottles
and 6 million pieces of tumblers per annum.
The proposed plant is an energy intensive unit where large quantity of fuel oil is required in
order to operate the glass melting furnace. Such a plant is required to operate continuously for
24 hours a day and for 350 days a year. Therefore, the proposed plant operates three shifts a
day.
2.
Production Programme
In order to provide adequate time for developing the skill of producing glass bottles and
tumblers, and develop market outlets at different locations of the country, it would be advisable
to start production at a lower level and gradually build up the scale of production. Accordingly,
the envisaged plant will start operation at 70% of its production capacity, during the first year
of operation, and then raise up production to 80%, 90% and lastly to 100% during the next
succeeding years. Table 3.3 below shows production programme.
110-8
Table 3.3
PRODUCTION PROGRAMME
Description
Production Year
Unit
2008
2009
2010
2011-2022
Pcs
3,000
4,000
4,500
5,000
Tumblers ('000)
Pcs
4,200
4,800
5,400
6,000
Capacity Utilization
70
80
90
100
IV.
A.
The major raw materials required for manufacturing of glass bottles and tumblers are silica,
limestone, soda ash and cullet. In addition to raw materials, auxiliary materials like include
dolomite, ceramic colours (enamel), and packaging materials are required. Annual consumption
of these materials at full production capacity of the plant and their estimated cost is given in
Table 4.1 below.
Thus, the total annual cost of raw and auxiliary materials at full capacity production will be
Birr 5,293,011 of which Birr 78,865 is required in foreign currency, and the remaining Birr
5,214,146 is in local currency.
110-9
Table 4.1
RAW AND AUXILIARY MATERIALS
Description
No.
Qty.
FC
LC
TC
A. RAW MATERIAL
Silica sand
9,190
454.90
454.90
Limestone
2,510
303.71
303.71
Soda Ash
2,796
4194.00
4194.00
Cullet
2,538
55.836
55.836
Sub total
5,008.446
5,008.446
B. AUXILIARY MATERIAL
Dolomite
488
134.200
134.200
7.6
78.865
Packing Materials
71.5
71.5
78.865
205.0
205.0
78.865
5,214.146
5,293.011
Sub-total
Total Cost
As req
-
B. UTILITIES
The major utilities required by the envisaged project are electricity, water and furnace fuel.
The annual requirement of utilities and associated cost is shown in Table 4.2. The total cost of
utilities is estimated at Birr 12,363,036.
110-10
Table 4.2
UTILITIES REQUIREMENT
No.
Utilities
Unit
Qty.
1.
Electric power
KWh
3,010,000
1,425,536
2.
Water
M3
180,000
990,000
3.
Furnace oil
lit
1,750,000
9,947,500
Grand Total
VI
A.
TECHNOLOGY
1.
Production Process
12,363,036
Production of glass bottles and tumblers mainly involves cleaning, mixing, molding and
packing. These processes are discussed in brief as follows.
Cleaning and mixing: - The foreign matter and pieces of iron contained in the raw material
will be removed and weighed in proportion to the mixing ratio with auxiliary material. Then,
the mixture is proposed into molten, refined glass in the furnace at the temperature of
approximately 1,5000c.
Molding: - The molten mixture is molded by bottle forming and tumbler forming machines and
cooled slowly in the annealing lehr.
Packing: - Going through inspection, the annealed product is packed and delivered. When
necessary, the bottle as well as the tumbler will be printed in ceramic colors by multi-color
decorating machine. After glazing, final inspection will be conducted for delivery.
110-11
2.
Source of Technology
The technology required for bottles & tumblers is simple and widely applied for many years in
countries such as Western Europe, China, India & Korea. It would be possible to obtain the
latest technology for the manufacturing of bottles & tumblers from these countries.
A. ITTFLYGT, Srl
Fax: 02-9019990
E-Mail:ittlypt. Italia@flygt.com
Country of orgin: Italy
B.
ENGINEERING
1.
The required machinery and equipment for the production of glass and tumblers plant will be
acquired through import. The total machinery and equipment cost is estimated at Birr 19.061
million, out of which about Birr 17.280 million will be required in foreign currency. The
detailed list of machinery and equipment is given in Table 5.1.
110-12
Table 5.1
MACHINERY AND EQUIPMENT REQUIREMENT & COST
Description
Unit
Qty.
A. Machinery
1. Raw material preparation plant
Set
2. Melting furnace
Pcs
3. Forming Machine
Pcs
4. Annealing lehr
Pcs
Set
6. Compressor
Pcs
7. Boiler
Pcs
8. Generator
Pcs
9. Pumps
Pcs
1. Oil system
Set
2. LPG system
Set
3. Electrical System
Set
4. Cooling system
Set
1. Office furniture
Set
2. Vehicles
Pcs
B. Installation costs
C. Equipments
2.
The envisaged plant will require a total land area of 4,000 m2, out of which 2,000 m2 will be
covered by factory and office buildings, stores, etc.
The total cost of building and civil works, estimated at a rate of Birr 2300 per m2, will be Birr
4.6 million. Cost for holding of land at a lease rate of 0.1 Birr per square meter for 80 years of
110-13
lease is estimated at Birr 32,000. Therefore, the total cost for land holding, building and civil
works will be Birr 4.632 million.
3.
Proposed Location
Konso s/ woreda and Surma woreda which are found in Konso s/ woreda and Benchmaji zone
respectively are considered as the potential woredas for the envisaged project due to their
access to raw materials.
From the above woredas, Karat town, the center of Konso s/ woreda, is selected to be the
location of the envisaged plant. Moreover, the location of the plant should be at a place where
the workers conveniently commute or take up their lodgings in view of the fact that the plant is
operated for 24 hours a day.
VI.
A.
MANPOWER REQUIREMENT
The proposed
110-14
Table 6.1
MANPOWER REQUIREMENT AND LABOUR COST)
Sr.
Description
No.
Req.
Monthly
Annual Salary
Qty.
Salary (Birr)
(Birr)
1.
General Manager
3,000
36,000
2.
Executive Secretary
1,000
12,000
3.
1,800
21,600
4.
2,500
30,000
5.
2,300
27,600
6.
Finance Manager
2,300
27,600
7.
Administration Manager
2,500
30,000
8.
Personnel
1,500
18,000
9.
Secretary
800
28,800
10.
Glass Technologist
1,800
21,600
11.
Production Workers
30
400
144,000
12.
Technicians
10
600
72,000
13.
Sales man
500
24,000
14.
Store Head
500
6,000
15.
General Accountant
450
10,800
16.
450
10,800
17.
General Service
15
150
27,000
Sub-Total
76
547,800
136,950
Training Cost
30,000
Total
714,750
110-15
B.
TRAINING REQUIREMENT
Training is required for technical staff and operators for a period of at least one month. It is
recommended that machinery supplier will provide on-job training or arrangements can be
made with Addis Ababa Glass and Bottle Factory. A total of Birr 30,000 is allotted to execute
the training programme.
VII.
FINANCIAL ANALYSIS
Construction period
1 year
Source of finance
30 % equity
70 % loan
Tax holidays
Bank interest
3 years
8%
8.5%
Accounts receivable
30 days
30 days
Work in progress
2 days
Finished products
30 days
Cash in hand
5 days
Accounts payable
30 days
A.
The total investment cost of the project including working capital is estimated at
million, of which 32 per cent will be required in foreign currency.
The major breakdown of the total initial investment cost is shown in Table 7.1.
Birr 27.62
110-16
Table 7.1
INITIAL INVESTMENT COST
Sr.
Total Cost
No.
Cost Items
(000 Birr)
32.0
19,061.0
125.0
Vehicle
200.0
Pre-production Expenditure*
1,657.6
Working Capital
1,953.4
4,600.0
27,629.0
32
* N.B Pre-production expenditure includes interest during construction ( Birr 1.65 thousand ) training (Birr 30
thousand ) and Birr 120 thousand costs of registration, licensing and formation of the company including legal
fees, commissioning expenses, etc.
B.
PRODUCTION COST
22
million (see
110-17
Table 7.2
ANNUAL PRODUCTION COST AT FULL CAPACITY ('000 BIRR)
Items
Cost
5,293.01
24.04
Utilities
12363.04
56.16
280
1.27
Labour direct
328.68
1.49
Factory overheads
109.56
0.50
Administration Costs
219.12
1.00
18,593.41
84.46
2218.6
10.08
1202.76
5.46
22,014.77
100
C.
FINANCIAL EVALUATION
1.
Profitability
According to the projected income statement, the project will start generating profit in the first
year of operation. Important ratios such as profit to total sales, net profit to equity (Return on
equity) and net profit plus interest on total investment (return on total investment) show an
increasing trend during the life-time of the project.
The income statement and the other indicators of profitability show that the project is viable.
110-18
2.
Break-even Analysis
The break-even point of the project including cost of finance when it starts to operate at full
capacity ( year 3) is estimated by using income statement projection.
BE =
Fixed Cost
42 %
3.
The investment cost and income statement projection are used to project the pay-back period.
The projects initial investment will be fully recovered within 4 years.
4.
Based on the cash flow statement, the calculated IRR of the project is 23 % and the net present
value at 8.5% discount rate is Birr 16.14 million.
D.
ECONOMIC BENEFITS
needs, the project will generate Birr 10.78 million in terms of tax revenue. The establishment
of such factory will have a foreign exchange saving effect to the country by substituting the
current imports.