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PREAMBLE
PREAMBLE
2020
2010
#
COUNTRIES
1990
2000
2010
2011*
2020 EST
EXPORTERS
12
18
18
~25
IMPORTERS
11
24
25
~40
LNG IMPORTERS
LNG EXPORTERS
Mtpa
Mboe/d
600
15
500
10
400
300
200
100
0
2000
2005
2010
Japan/Korea/Taiwan
Europe
India
2015
2020
2025
SE Asia
China
Other
bcm
3500
3000
20.00%
2500
15.00%
2000
Natural gas
Natural
gasreserve,
reserve,byby1500
1000
region
region
5.00%
10.00%
500
0.00%
0
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
World
MENASA
bcm
3,500
20%
18%
3,000
11%
16%
2,500
14%
2,000
12%
10%
1,500
8%
1,000
6%
0%
4%
500
2%
0%
world
MENASA
-11%
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Europe
N.America
MENASA
World
Kitimat
BC LNG
Canada + US West
Coast potential 2025:
~30 mtpa
Jordan Cove
Oregon
Pass
Sabine
Lake Charles
Cameron
LNG Production
Freeport
Corpus Christi
Gulf Coast
Lavaca Bay
Cove Point
Gulf LNG
Port Arthur
Elba Island
Sanctioned
If all proposed projects go ahead over 130 mtpa will be introduced in the
market .
This represents 30% of global LNG supply by 2020. Shell estimates 50%
of this to be actually on stream by 2020.
Iran-Turkey
TAPI
Cyprus Lebanon
Arab pipeline
Jordan
Iran-Europe
Iran-Pakistan-India
Iran-Bahrain
Bahrain
Fujairah
Dubai
Qatar-Bahrain
Pakistan
Mundra
Oman
Dahej
Iran-UAE-Oman
Dolphin I &
Hazira
II
Saudi
Dabhol
Jordan
Egypt
Kuwait
Kochi
Existing pipelines
Upcoming pipelines
** Source: FACTS global
Liquefaction plants
Under construction
11
Technology
Supply
discoveries
Market
forces
Lowest
transaction
cost
(Technical
and nontechnical)
Environme
nt/Politics
New
Entrants
Accessibility
12
CAPEX
RESOURCES
$ billion
6
40
4
20
2
0
0
2012
2013
On
stream
Under
construction
Study
2007
On stream
* includes
2012
Under
construction
~2020+
Options
13