Documente Academic
Documente Profesional
Documente Cultură
PC-1 Proforma
Table of Contents
1. Name of project............................................................................. 6
2. Location........................................................................................6
3. Authorities Responsible:................................................................6
4. Plan Provision...............................................................................7
5. Project Objectives:.......................................................................7
6. Description and justification of project (enclose feasibility study
for projects costing (Rs.300 million and above).................................9
6.1. Description of the project......................................................10
6.2. Existing facilities in the area..................................................12
6.3. Justification for establishment of project...............................12
6.4. Technical parameters i.e. input and output of the project and
technological aspects of the project.............................................12
6.7 Information on sources and availability of cooling water and
fuel, calorific value, heat rate and disposal of ash and effluents...22
7 Capital Cost Estimate...................................................................25
7.4. Year- Wise /Component Wise Financial Phasing......................26
8. Annual operating Cost based on proposed capacity utilization and
source of financing:......................................................................... 26
9. Demand and supply analysis.....................................................28
9.1 Existing capacity of services and supply/ demand..................28
9.2 Project demand for 10 years and supply-demand gap............29
9.3 Capacity of the projects being implemented in / private sector
..................................................................................................... 30
9.4 Designed capacity and output of the proposed project...........31
10: Financial Plan............................................................................31
11: Benefits of
3 | Page
List of Abbreviations
Acronyms
Definitions
CBM:
COD:
CCPP:
CPPCL
DISCOs:
DSCR:
EPC:
FEC:
GENCO:
GHCL:
HSD:
HP:
HHV:
IFC:
IDC:
IRR:
kJ/kg
KIBOR:
LP:
LHV:
LIBOR:
MCC:
MMCFD:
MoW&P:
NPV:
NEPRA:
NPPMCL:
Cubic Meter
Commercial Operation Date
Combined Cycle Power Plant
Chenab Power Park Company Limited
Distribution Companies
Debt Services Coverage Ratio
Engineering Procurement & Construction
Foreign Exchange Component
Generation Companies
Generation Holding Company Limited
High Speed Diesel
High pressure
Higher Heating Value
International Finance Corporation
Insurance During Construction
Internal Rate of Return
Kilo Joules/ Kilogram
Karachi Inter Bank Offer Rate
Low Pressure
Low Heating Value
London Inter-Bank Offer Rate
Motor Control Center
Million Cubic Feet per Day
Ministry of Water and Power
Net Present Value
National Electric Power Regularity Authority
National Power Park Management Company Limited
Nitrogenous
Nitrogenous
National Transmission and Dispatch Company
Plant Factor
Re-gasified Liquefied Natural Gas
Ravi Power Park Company Limited
Residual Fuel Oil
Reverse Osmosis
Sui Northern Gas Pipeline Limited
Oxides of Sulfur
Sulfur Dioxide
Tons per Day
NOx:
NTDC:
PLF:
R-LNG
RPPCL:
RFO:
RO:
SNGPL:
SOx:
SO2:
TPD:
4 | Page
TDH:
WTP:
UNITS
Btu:
Btu/kg:
Kg/kWh:
Kg:
kWh:
kV:
kJ/kg:
m:
MW:
m/h:
m/s:
Sq. Ft:
t/day:
t/hr.:
V:
5 | Page
GOVERNMENT OF PAKISTAN
PLANNING COMMISSION
PC-1 FORM
(INFRASTRUCTURE SECTORS)
1. Name of
project
2. Location
3. Authorities
Responsible:
i. Sponsoring
ii. Execution
EXECUTION MOD
GoP/MOWP
NPPMCL
Gas Supplier
OGRA
02.5PVs
Plant Management
6 | Page
Not Applicable
Appropriate allocations will be required to be made
in PSDP 2014-15. 2015-16, 2016-17, and 2017-18.
The key objective of the project is follows:
The project is aimed to provide additional power to
the National Grid by using R-LNG in view of the
higher price of the other resources like RFO, HSD etc.
for production of affordable electric power and to
7 | Page
sectoral objective.
project if different
from original PC-1
Not Applicable
6. Description and
justification of
project (enclose
feasibility study
for projects
costing (Rs.300
million and
above)
9 | Page
10 | P a g e
4.1.
Description of
the project
DISCRIBTION
Name of nearest
Canal+Canals
Discharge
Type of Canal
Distance of site from
nearest city
3
4
DATA
Kheshgi Distract
Nowshera
N 34 02 45.9
E 71 56 30.1
Kabul River
17 km from
Nowshera city.
NO
DISCRIPTION
DATA
Ambient temprature
( based on
340
EXPECT
ED 11 | P a g e
RANGE
50 to
480
12 | P a g e
6.1.
Existing
facilities in the
area
6.2.
Justification for
establishment
of project
6.3.
Technical
parameters i.e.
input and
output of the
project and
technological
aspects of the
project.
No.
1.
2.
3.
4.
Basic fuel
5.
Back-up fuel
6.
DESCRIPTION
Combined Cycle power
plant at Kheshgi
Distract Nowshera
Type of Gas turbines
Preferred configuration
DATA
1000-1200
MW
(Gross)-ISO
Heavy duty
However final
configuration will be
chosen by
The EPC contractor
13 | P a g e
Indoor Installation
9.
12.
13.
14.
The combined cycle power plant utilizing large sized heavy duty gas turbines
have several advantages and are known for their reliable long term trouble free
operation, high thermal efficiency (over 57%) and are the best choice for base
load operation. The application of large gas turbines in CCPPs results in lowest
possible cost per KWH on NPV basis for 25 year life-time.
6.4 Detail of civil Works, equipment, Machinery and other physical Facilities required for
the project.
A. Civil Works
B.
Cooling tower
Water treatment plant, pre-treatment plant, effluent treatment plant
storage tanks
Transformer yard
500 kV switchyard
Plant buildings pump houses and storage sheds
Administration building, security office, parking shed
Pipe rack, cable rack and pipe sleepers
Green belt development
General civil works including residential buildings
Equipment and Machinery
C.
SCADA System
Telecommunication System including fiber optic cable and satellite links
Security system for all installations
Fire and gas detection and alarm system
Central control room
15 | P a g e
D.
The scope of work for the plant comprises but shall not be limited to, the
complete engineering ,supply of drawings, diagrams and other required
information, construction, manufacture, shop testing, packing and marking,
delivery, insurance, transport from shop to site , loading and unloading, storing
at site, checking on completeness, erection, connection to existing equipment
and facilities, functional testing, start-up, commissioning, optimization,
reliability testing, acceptance testing, handing over in satisfactory condition for
commercial operation, training of operation and maintenance personnel during
the warrantee period until acceptance of the complete work of the facility with
auxiliaries, ancillaries and appurtenances so that the plants are completely
ready for commercial operation.
This include as a minimum:
A GPS clock synchronized time system for the common time basis of all
the equipment.
The cost of the above equipment /work is summarized in the project
capital cost estimate include in Annexure III.
6.4.
6.5.
The GTs will be designed to fire the natural gas having the following analysis.
component
*composition
[mole-%]
Methane (C1)
88.852
Ethane (C2)
5.148
Propane (C3)
0.257
17 | P a g e
0.183
4.815
0.745
* Source : SNGPL
6.6.2 Heat Recovery Steam Generator (HRSGs)
Fully identical gas turbines are to be equipped with heat recovery steam
generators (HRSG) of the triple pressure type, matching with the heat energy
of exhaust gases from gas turbines. The main features of the HRSG are
described below:
Unfired
Triple pressure reheat system
Horizontal/vertical exhaust gas path
Preferably natural circulation principle
Outdoor installation
The individual major items of which are as follows:
envisaged.
The ST condenser shall be of the two pass type with divided water box and
support on springs.
The steam turbine shall be equipped with a bypass steam reducing stations
dumping steam into the turbine condenser in case of a turbine, generator or
electrical system trip.
The steam turbo set shall be supported by a turbine generator foundation and
pedestal preferable with springs installed on top of the columns.
S.NO
Non- Qty
Covd Total Rates Cost
Resid (Nos Area Area (sq
(M
1000-2000
MW
(Gross)
Combined
Cycle
Power
Plant
ential )
(sq
(sq
ft)
Rs) at Kheshgi Nowshera
PC-1 Proforma
Buildi
ft)
ft)
Rs
ngs is attached at Annexure-II
Plant layout
1
Ware
1
10000 10000 200 20.0
house
0
0
6.6.8 Residential Building
2
Mechani 1
8000
8000
200 16.0
cal
Work
0 has
0 been provided for construction
An estimated amount of Rs 121.24 million
Shop
of residential
building as detailed below.
3
Electrical 1
3000
3000
200 6.00
Worksho
0
p
S.N Description Qty
Cover Total
Rate/sq Total
4 o Industrial 1
2000 ed 2000area 200
.ft 4.00 (Rs
lab
0
area
(sq.ft) (Rs)
in
5
Chemical 1
2000 (sq.ft)
2000
200 4.00 Milli
Lab
0
on)
6 1 Dispensa
10.0 25.0
Category-II1 5 5000 25005000
1250 200
2000
ry
0
0
0
0
Category-III
2000
7 2 Security
1 151000 150010002250 200
2.00 45.0
0
0
0
3
Category-IV
15
1000
1500 2000
Sub62.0 30.0
0
0
Total
0
4
Category-V 15
606 Add9090
2000
20% for
12.4 18.1
8
electrification & sanitation etc
Sub-total
50
Total74. 101.
Grand Total
4.7 18
20% for Electrification, water supply & sanitation
20.2
4
etc.
4
Grand Total USD Million 0.7
121.
4
Grand Total
Grand
42
1.20
S.N
O
Vehicles
Qty Rate
PKR(Milli
Cost
PKR(Millio
20 | P a g e
on)
n)
Car,4door1300cc
2.0
0
1.90
3.8
2.0
0
3.55
7.10
Jeeb 4 wheel
drive 1300 c.c or
greater capacity
2.0
0
2.30
4.6
Car,4door1300cc
2.0
0
1.90
3.60
1.0
0
3.55
3.55
1.0
0
2.30
2.30
Double chain
picksups
3
Jeeb 4 wheel
drive 1300 c.c or
greater engine
capacity
2.0
0
1.90 3.60
Bus
2.0
0
5.20 10.40
Mini Truck
2.0
0
4.00 8.00
Jeeps 4 wheel
driver 1300 cc or
greater engine
2.0
0
2.30 4.60
21 | P a g e
capacity
5
Suzuki vans4.00
4.0
0
1.00 4.00
Firefighting
Vehicles
2.0
0
6.00 12.00
Mobil crane 50
ton capacity
1.0
0
15.00 15.00
Ambulance
1.0
0
5.00 5.00
Sub Total 62.60
Grand Total 87.55
The TS link Canal flows in Cusecs are shown in the table below.
Month
TS Link
22 | P a g e
Jan-12
FEB-12
Mar-12
Apr-12
May-12
Jun-12
Jul-12
Aug-12
Sep-12
Oct-12
Nov-12
Dec-12
Max
Min
4627
5000
6000
8000
11000
11000
11500
10500
11500
6545
7300
0
0
1364
0
7500
9807
5000
1500
4951
1904
1364
The above table has been based on the daily discharge data of the Canal
provided by the Irrigation Department, Government of Punjab. The Irrigation
Department has verbally confirmed the provision of cooling water from the
canal. However, A formal agreement will be signed between the Irrigation
Department and the company at a later stage.
6.7.2 Fuel i.e. Gas Source, Quality, Quantity and Transportation
SNGPL Is Undertaking two Projects (i.e. Project 1 and Project 2) to receive 1.2
BCFD R-LNG gas. Under Project 1,400 mmSCFD gas shall be transported
downstream Sawan (Starting Point of SNGPL) by laying a 42 dia , 110.6 KM
Pipeline from Sawan to Qadirpur. Under Project 2, Up to 800 BFCD R-LNG supply
shall be transported downstream Sawan for which around 760 KM pipeline
infrastructure of 42-16 dia shall be laid by end June,2017 provided project
financing is arranged in time.
SNGPL will thus be able to supply 200 mmSCFD for the Nowshera Project if the
finance are arranged in time. This issue of the revenue requirements of SNGPL
and SSGC was addressed by the cabinet Committee on Energy (OCCOE) in its
meeting dated February 12, 2015 and is recorded in Government of Pakistan,
Cabinet Division Memorandum No F.14/3/2015-com dated February 16,2015case No. cc-15/3/2015.
AS SNGPL will not be able to supply the gas to Nowshera Project at the requisite
pressure of >40 Bars, a gas booster compressor station will be made part of the
scope of work of power plant EPC contract.
Reference Gas Composition provided by SNGPL.
S
N
o
COMPONENT
COMPOSTION
(Mole %)
Methane (c1)
Ethane(C2)
88.852
5.148
23 | P a g e
Propane (C3)
0.257
0.183
Nitrogen (N2)
4.815
Carbon Dioxide
(CO2)
0.745
Milling machine
A 500 KV D/C T/LINE APPROX .25 KM LONG, FOR IN/OUT OF THE EXISTING
MULTAN GALTI 500 KV S/C T/LINE AT H.B SHAH POWER PLANT.
25 | P a g e
Years
Physical Activities
(201415)
Yr 1
MW
120 Handover
120 1200
site 1200 1200
0 Basic
0 Engineering
nd
2%
Year60% 60% 60% 60%
60%
Finalize Basic Engineering
(2015- 12
mont
12
12
12
Finalize Plant Layout 12
16)
hs
Detailed Engineering
Procurement
Civil Works
Supply
+Contract
Gwh
630.Mechanical
630. 630.BOP
630.7
630.7
72 Electrical
72
72Supply
2 Contract
2
C
&
I
Supply
Contract
%
2.6
2.6
2.6% 2.6% 2.6%
3rd year% Delivery
Completion of GT, HRSG and
%
(2016Steam Turbine packages up to site
17)
Gwh.
614 614 6143 6143. 6143.
of Gas Turbine
3.2 Successful
3.2
.2 Synchronization
2
2
Erection of HRSGs Unite 1&2
Erection of Steam Turbine Generator
7.4. YearWise
Compone
t Wise
Financial
Phasing
8.
Annual
4th Year
(2017Total Cost
18) (Eq.USD
Year
Year-1
Year-2
Year-3
Year-4
Total
Million)
12.5975
335.9332
335.9332
155.3691
839.833
26 | P a g e
Variable Cost
Fuel (R-LNG) Cost *
in PKR/Kwh
Annual Fuel (R-LNG)
Cost (in PKR Billion)
Yr
1
6.0
46
38.
13
3
Yr
2
6.0
46
38.
13
3
0.2
76
17
40.
8
39.
87
4
39
4.8
Yr
Yr 4
Yr 5
3
6.046
6.04
6
38.1
33
6.046
38.13
3
38.133
0.2
76
17
40.
8
39.
87
4
0.276
0.276
1740.
8
1740.8
39.87
4
39.874
39.8
74
39
4.8
394.8
394.8
394.
8
0.27
6
1740
.8
Source of financing
27 | P a g e
9. Demand
and supply
analysis
9.1 Existing
capacity of
services and
supply/
demand
Public Sector
Hydro
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Mangla
Ghazi barotha
Warsak
Chasma Low Head
Allal Khwar HPP
Jinnah Low Head
Small Hydels
Khan Khawar HPP
Dubair Khwar
Fuel*
W
W
W
RFO/FD/G
W
W
W
W
W
Derated
capacity/capabili
ty (MW)
Capability (MW)
with planned
outages
capability (MW)
with forced
outages
summ
er
wint
er
summ
er
wint
er
summ
er
wint
er
summ
er
winter
1000
1450
243
184
121
96
128
72
130
960
1357
200
157
121
96
81
72
130
350
794
139
67
60
40
26
15
65
960
1357
200
157
121
96
81
72
130
350
794
139
67
60
40
26
15
65
960
1357
200
157
121
96
81
72
130
350
794
139
67
60
40
26
15
65
960
1357
200
157
121
96
81
72
130
350
794
139
67
60
40
26
15
65
6902
6807
2385
6807
2385
6807
2385
6807
2385
11
Gas/Fo/RF
850
700
700
700
700
700
700
700
700
12
GAs/HSD
174
1024
640
1015
747
35
1927
1350
140
840
270
885
747
25
1927
1130
140
840
270
885
747
25
1927
1130
140
840
270
885
747
25
1927
1130
140
840
270
885
747
25
1927
1130
140
840
270
885
747
25
1927
1130
140
840
270
885
747
25
1927
1130
140
840
270
885
747
25
1927
1130
140
840
270
885
747
25
1927
1130
195
244
132
44
95
2060
150
150
5671
60
210
100
30
95
1625
30
30
4422
60
210
100
30
95
1530
30
30
4327
60
210
100
30
95
1530
30
30
4327
60
210
100
30
95
1530
30
30
4327
60
210
100
30
95
1530
30
30
4327
60
210
100
30
95
1530
30
30
4327
60
210
100
30
95
1530
30
30
4327
60
210
100
30
95
1530
30
30
4327
325
340
300
315
287
301
271
285
251
263
235
247
251
263
235
247
665
615
587
556
514
482
514
482
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
Private Sector
Install
ed
capaci
ty
(MW)
NGPS Multan#1&2
GTPS faislabad#1-9
SPS Faislabad#1&2
Shahdara GT
Nandipur
Sub-Total Genco-111
FBC Lakhra
Sub-Total Genco-IV
Sub Total Gencos
Gas/FO
G
G
G
2437
RFO/FD/G
Gas/RFO/HS
D
GAs/HSD
FD/Gas/RF
C
R
C
N
24
25
Chasma (PEAC)-1
Chasma (PEAC)-11
Uranium
Uranium
Sub-Total (Nuclear)
H
26
Jagran Hydel
30
30
10
30
10
30
10
30
10
27
Malakand-111 Hydel
81
81
20
81
20
81
20
81
20
28
84
84
34
84
34
84
34
84
34
195
195
Ther
64
195
64
195
64
195
64
1638
1292
131
362
365
135
1345
1205
124
350
350
110
1324
1145
118
334
334
114
1253
1085
112
316
316
108
1240
1074
111
313
313
107
1170
1013
105
295
295
100
1240
1074
111
313
313
107
1170
1013
105
295
295
100
KAPCO
Hub Power Project (HUBCO)
Kohinoor Energy Ltd.(KEL)
Aps Laipir Ltd.
AES Pak Gen (Pvt)
SEPCOL
RFO/Gas/H
R
R
R
R
R
28 | P a g e
G
G
G
G
R
R
G
140
586
450
157
134
135
235
131
551
399
151
126
107
212
123
526
377
144
119
115
202
117
498
357
137
113
108
191
115
493
354
195
112
107
189
109
465
333
127
106
101
178
115
493
354
195
112
107
189
109
465
333
127
106
101
178
42
31
29
30
28
28
26
28
26
43
44
Attock Generation PP
ATLAS Power
R
R
163
219
156
214
149
209
141
198
140
196
132
185
140
196
132
185
45
Engro p.p,Daharki,Sindh
HSD/Gas/F
226
214
207
196
194
183
194
183
46
Gas/HSD
225
205
215
203
201
190
201
190
47
Orient P.P,Ballold,Punjab
Gas/HSD
225
213
215
203
201
190
201
190
48
49
R
R
200
200
195
196
191
191
181
181
179
179
159
169
179
179
159
169
50
51
Foundation Power
Saphire Hurdlke
G
Gas/HSD
174
225
172
212
167
200
158
189
157
187
148
176
157
187
148
176
52
53
Liberty Toch
Hubco Narewal
200
220
196
214
187
204
177
193
175
192
165
181
175
192
165
181
54
Haripur Bhikki
225
199
200
189
187
176
187
176
55
Uch -11
375
375
159
159
159
159
159
159
56
57
Davis
JDW-11
Sub- Total thermal IPPs
10
74
8702
10
24
7510
10
24
7118
10
24
7049
10
24
6657
10
24
7049
10
24
5598
58
50
10
24
7981
Wind Power
45
17
45
17
45
17
45
17
59
56
106
106
48
93
93
48
93
93
48
93
93
18
35
35
15038
7097
13018
7092
11889
7002
10707
2449
22241
20113
18
35
35
1146
6
2449
1395
0
48
93
93
18
35
35
1200
1
2449
1448
5
18984
13191
18
35
35
2449
1550
2
12424
7002
19519
11889
7002
18984
9.2 Project
demand for
10 years and
supplydemand gap
Supply
Demand
2013-14
2014-15
2015-16
22,377
24,570
27,796
26,225
28,423
31,018
Surplus/D
eficit
-3848
-3853
-3222
29 | P a g e
37,540
33,750
3790
2017-18 44,068
36,728
7340
2018-19
2019-20
2020-21
2021-22
2022-23
40,149
43,867
47,879
52,147
56,665
7051
6501
5098
2764
429
47,200
50,368
52,977
54,911
57,094
30 | P a g e
61,424
-1046
31 | P a g e
Fuel
Location
Capacit
y (MW)
Commissionin
g date
Wind
RFO
Solar
Gharo, Sindh
Gujranwala
Lal sohnra (Cholistan)
50
330
100
Oct-2014
Dec-2014
Dec-2014
Wind
Wind
Gharo, Sindh
Jhampir, Sindh
50
50
Jan-2015
Jan-2015
Wind
Jhampir/Gharo/BhamboreSi
ndh
330
Jan-2015
Solar
Laal Sohnra
(Cholistan),Punjab
300
Jan-2015
Wind
Nucl
Solar
Jhampir/Ghare/BhambareSi
ndh
Chashma KPK
Lal sohnra (Cholistan)
650
Apr-2016
340
600
March-2016
Jan-2016
520
Nov-2016
Addition/
Year
(MW)
1210
22241
23451
1590
25041
4975
30016
8802
38818
4090
42908
6660
49768
8300
58068
17
11
AEDB
Wind
12
WAPDA
Hydel
Jhampir/Ghare/Bhambare
Sindh
Nauseri/Muzaffarabad,AjK
969
Nov-2016
13
PPDB
Coal
Sahiwal,Punjab
1320
Nov-2016
14
Grange Helding
PPIB
Oil
163
Dec-2016
15
16
WAPDA
PAEC
Hydel
Nucl
Chitral,KPK
Chashma KPK
106
340
Dec-2016
Dec-2016
17
WAPDA
Hydel
Tarbela, KPk
1410
Mar-2017
Patrind HPP
PPIB
Hayde
l
Kunhar River,KPK,AJK
145
Apr-2017
18
201718
19
20
Keyal Khwar
Pakistan Power Park at Gaddani
WAPDA
PPIB
Hydel
Coal
Dasu,District KPK
Pakistan Power
Park,Gadani,Balochistan
122
3960
Oct-2017
Dec-2017
21
22
PPIB
PPIB
Coal
Coal
660
1320
Dec-2017
Dec-2017
23
24
PPIB
PPDB
Hydal
Coal
100
1320
Dec-2017
Jun-2018
PPDB
Coal
R.Y.Khan,Punjab
1320
Jun-2018
GENCO
s
PPIB
Coal
Jamashoro, Sindh
660
Sep-2018
Hydel
Ponch, River,AJK
130
Dec-2018
28
PPIB
Coal
Pakistan Power
Park,Gadani,Balochistan
2640
Dec-2018
29
GENCO
s
Coal
Jamashoro, Sindh
660
Mar-2019
30
Casa
GOP
Imp
1000
Jul-2019
31
WAPDA
Hydel
Cross Border
Interconnection
Tarbela ,KPK
1320
Jul-2019
32
Phandar Hydro
WAPDA
Hydel
80
May-2019
33
Karot HPP
PPIB
Hydel
720
Jun-2020
34
PPIB
Hydel
On Ghizer River,Gilgit
Baltistan
Jehlum River,Distt
Rawalpindi Punjab
Jehlum River/Sudhnold,AJK
640
Jun-2020
35
Suki Kinari
PPIB
Hydel
840
Jun-2020
36
Kotli
PPIB
Hydel
Kunhar
River/Mansehra,KPK
Ponch, River/Kotli,AJK
100
Jun-2020
37
Dasu-1
WAPDA
Hydel
2160
Jun-2020
25
201819
26
27
201920
202021
38
PAEC
Nuci
Karachi Sindh
1100
Aug-2020
39
40
PPIB
PPIB
Hydel
Hydel
1100
500
Dec-2020
Dec-2020
41
Diameter Basha
WAPDA
Hydel
4500
Jun-2021
PAEC
Nuci
Karachi,Sindh
1100
Jun-2021
42
42687
32 | P a g e
9.4 Designed
capacity and
output of the
proposed
project
10: Financial
Plan
11: Benefits
of the
Project And
Analysis
11.1 Financial
Not applicable
11.2 Economic
11.3 Social
33 | P a g e
11.4
Environme
ntal Impact
assessment
34 | P a g e
35 | P a g e
11.5 Financial
Analysis
11.6 Economic
Analysis
Not Applicable
Economic Parameters
Present worth of HSFO
based Combined Cycle
power plant Costs (Million
US$)-without project
Present Worth of R-LNG
based power plant
Costs(Million US$)-with
project Net Present Value
(Million US$)
B/C Ratio
EIRR (%)
Result at 12 % Discount
Rate
3750.04
2620.90
1129.14
1.43:1
51.71
Description
S.N
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
11.8 Sensitivity
analysis
Professional &
Technical
Administrative
Executive and
managerial
Clerical
Services
Skilled
Unskilled
Others
Total
Description
Base Case*
Sensitivity Analysis
i)10 percent increase in
proposed power plant
costs
ii)10 percent decrease in
HSFO based combined
cycle power plant costs
iii) 20 percent increase in
proposed power plant
costs
For Execution
NO
Month
4
33
33
2
2
3
5
7
23
33
33
33
33
EIRR (%)
51.71
37.69
36.43
27.75
36 | P a g e
37 | P a g e
12 a)
Implementatio
n schedule
12 b) Result
based
monitoring
(RBM)
Indicators
13.
Manageme
nt
structure
and
manpower
requiremen
t
CEO
NPPMCL
COO
CPPCL
Chief
Technical
officer
Technical
Experts/Engin
eer
Director(Lega
l)
Legal Officers
Director
(Finance)
Finacial/Acco
unts officers
13.1.
Administra
tive
arrangeme
nt for
implement
ation of
project
13.2.
Manpower
Requireme
nts
13.3. Job
descriptio
n
qualificati
on,
experience
, age and
salary of
each post
39 | P a g e
15. Certified that the Project proposal has been prepared on the Basis of
instruction provided by the Planning Commission for the Preparation of Pc-1 for
Infrastructure Sector Project.
i.
Prepared By
NESPAK
GENERAL MANAGER
National Engineering
Services
Pakistan Ltd.
ii.
Reviewed By
(------------------)
Chief Technical Officer
CPPCL
iii.
Counted Checked By
iv.
Final Reviewed By
(-----------------)
Chief Executive Officer
v.
Recommended By
(-----------------)
Secretary (MoW&P)
Government of Pakistan.
(------------------)
Chief Operating Officer
40 | P a g e
41 | P a g e
42 | P a g e
ITEM
DESCRIPTION
H.R.S.G
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
DM WATER TANK
18
CLARIFIER
19
20
CLARIFIER
21
22
23
24
25
CHEMICAL LAB
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
NO REGULATED STATION
38
VENT
39
40
ADMINISTRATION BUILDING
41
WORKSHOP
42
STORE
43 | P a g e
S.
N.
1
2
3
3.1
3.2
3.3
3.4
3.5
3.6
3.7
3.8
3.9
4
5
6
8
9
10
11
12
13
Cost elements
Estimat
ed
Foreign
Curren
cy
Compo
nent
(USD
million
s)
0
Estima
ted
Local
Curren
cy
Compo
nent
(PKR
million
s)
150
Total
Estimate
d Cost
(Eq. USD
Million)
Total
Estimate
d Cost
(Eq PKR
Million)
1.49
150
100
0.99
100
637
6363
700
707000
210
112
140
14
21
10.5
17.5
112
0
31.85
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
6363
0
210
112
140
14
21
10.5
17.5
112
63
31.85
21210
11312
14140
1414
2121
1060.5
1767.5
11312
6363
3216.85
19.11
19.11
1930.11
6.37
63.63
707
1414
14
1414
2121
21
2121
0.05
17.36
255.42
19.89
2008.6
21.35
314.16
10786.
21
24.46
2470.58
84823.1
4
733.04
839.83
0.7
14
15
733.04
10786.
21
839.83
84823.1
4
16
0.7
44 | P a g e
S NO
**
***
****
Cost ele
Cost
elements
ments
Estimated
Estimated
Total
Total
Foreign
Local
Estimated
Estimated
Currency
Currency
Cost (Eq.
Cost (Eq
Component Component
USD
PKR Million)
(USD
(PKR
Million)
millions)
millions)
Total EPC Cost and its breakdown is based on Gas Turbine World
Handbook 2013, budgetary quotations received from OEMs and
Consultants past experience on working on similar projects e.g.
747 MW CCPP Guddu etc.
The consultancy services cost covers the expenses of the local /
expatriate technical, legal and financial consultants during all
phases of the project and is based on experience on similar
projects.
Provision of contingencies is to meet unforeseen requirements
during execution of the project.
The Project will be financed through PSDP
45 | P a g e
Dear Sir,
Pressure at which 200 MMCFD gas will be made available to Power Plants:
Sr.
N
o
123-
Plant Location
Bhikki, District
Sheikhupura
Balloki, District Kasur
Haveli Bahadur shah,
District Jhang
Delivery
Pressures
(PSIG)
300-400
300-400
500-700
Remarks
Pressure at
vary due to
consumption
power plants
consumption
system.
2- GAS COMPOSITION: RLNG shall be fed to our system from southern side at Sawan (SNGPLs
system starting point) and transported to downstream of Swan along with existing southern
sources gases. Therefore, gas composition has been determined by comingling the RLNG
composition with southern sources gases and shall be dependent upon Qatar Gas Source from
where at present RLNG is being purchased. Net composition may change if RLNG is purchased
from source other than Qatar Gas / spot purchase.
Component
Units
RLNG
Methane (Cl)
Mole
Percent
Mole
Percent
Mole
90.15
Ethane (C2)
Propane (C3)
Composition
Southern
Commingled Gas
System Gas
87.02
88.852 +5%
1.122
5.148 +5%
0.25
0.266
0.257 +5%
46 | P a g e
Percent
Mole
Percent
Mole
Percent
Mole
Percent
Btu/Scf
0.1
0.3
0.183
+5%
1.5
9.496
4.185
+5%
1.797
0.745
+5%
1050
916.356
950 to 1000
DMD (Ops)
SGM (ES)
GM (Ops)
GM (P&D)
Sr. General
For MANAGING
DIRECTOR
47 | P a g e
48 | P a g e
R-LNG
Based
Power
Plant
Economic Analysis
1. GENERAL
46
2. METHODOLOGY
46
46
46
49 | P a g e
47
47
47
47
4. ECONAMIC ANALYSIS
47
47
48
48
50
50
50
50
51
51
51
51
51
6. RECOMMENDATION
52
1. GENERAL
50 | P a g e
This chapter presents the economic analysis of R-LNG based combined cycle
power plant project at Kheshgi district Nowshera. The purpose of the study is to
assess the economic viability of the project and to determine the return to the
economy as a whole
2. METHODOLOGY
Economic justification of the project has been established by showing its
profitability in terms of excess of benefits to the economy over economic costs
by using the discounted cash flow technique. The projected stream of project
benefits (arising out of project implementation) over the economic life of the
project has been compared to the estimated stream of economic costs by
bringing the two to a uniform basis through the process of discounting. The
economic indicators such as Net Present Value (NPV), Benefit Cost Ratio (B/C)
and Internal Rate of Return (IRR) have been computed.
The economic justification has been substantiated by the following studies:
i)
Economic analysis, covering
a)
Determination of parameters for economic analysis
b)
Qualification of project benefits
c)
Determination of project costs
d)
Calculation of economic indicators such as NPV,
B/C Ratio, EIRR.
ii)
Sensitivity Analysis
Price Datum
All costs and benefits attributed to the project are expressed in constant March,
2015 price level. No allowance for inflation during and after the construction
period of the project has been taken into account in the economic analysis.
3.1.2.
Exchange Rate
In view of the existence of a freely floating exchange rate in Pakistan, the
calculation of a shadow price is not considered necessary as would be the case
if the exchange rate is not floating. This, however, does not imply that the
balance of payments is considered to be in equilibrium or that such distortion as
import and export taxes do not exist. Exchange rate as prevailing in March,
2015 has been taken as Rs 101=1 US Dollar.
51 | P a g e
3.1.3.
Discount Rate
Salvage Value
Salvage value is assumed as 10% and is taken in the last year of operation.
3.1.5.
Energy Generation
The average annual energy generated from the 1200 MW (Installed capacity) RLNG based combined cycle power plant project is estimated at 6307 GWh,
which is used here for economic analysis.
4. ECONAMIC ANALYSIS
Economic appraisal of proposed R-LNG based combined cycle power plant
project has been carried out by comparing it with an equivalent High Sulphur
Furnace Oil (HSFO) based combined power plant. It may be referred here that
for the purpose of analysis "With" and "Without" project scenarios were
developed. The "Without Project" scenario is represents HSFO based combined
cycle power plant while With Project" scenario is represented by R-LNG based
combined cycle power plant. The comparison of the total cost (capital,
operational and fuel cost) stream under the two scenarios and the resultant
savings due to operations of R-LNG based power plant provided the benefits to
the economy.
4.1.COSTS UNDER WITHOUT & WITH PROJECT
Unlike the general infrastructure projects, the economic appraisal of the
proposed project has been carried out by comparing it with an equivalent HSFO
based power plant. For the purpose of analysis "With" and "Without" project
scenarios have been developed. The "Without Project scenario represent a
HSFO based power plant to generate 6307 GWh energy, while "With Project"
scenario is represented by R-LNG based combined cycle power plant.
The cost stream "With and "Without project scenarios have been compared
over the life of the project. Difference of the two costs is taken as cost savings
or benefits due to proposed project. Full details of capital and operating costs of
52 | P a g e
HSFO based combined cycle power equivalent as well as those of LNG based
combined cycle power plant are detailed in Section 4.1.1 and 4.1.2 here below.
Plant Capacity
1200MW
As the analysis has been undertaken in US$ million, thereby the capital costs in
economic terms has been taken as same as 960 Million US$. These costs are
phased over the period of Five years as given in Table-3
Financial/Econo
53 | P a g e
1
2
3
4
5
Total:
mic Costs
12.24
192.00
288.00
288.00
179.76
960.00
1.1.1.2. Recurrent Costs of Equivalent HSFO based Combined Cycle Power facility
O&M Costs
The total Annual O&M cost of the equivalent thermal plant is estimated as 36.24
Million US$. The fixed O&M cost is estimated as 4.8 Million US$ per annum and
variable O&M is calculated as 31.54 Million US$. The detail is given in table-4
Table-4 O&M Costs
Fixed O&M Costs (US$/KW) per annum
US$ 4/KW
4.80
0.50
6307
31.54
36.34
Fuel cost
Cost of fuel (furnace oil) for generation of 6307 GWh energy is calculated as
750.36 Million US$ and 641.33 Million US$ per annum in financial and economic
term respectively and detailed in Table-5.
Table-5 Fuel Costs
Parameters
HSFO Economic Price*(Rs./M.Ton)
GST (%)
HSFO Financial Price (Rs./M.Ton)
51350+(51350x0.17)
HSFO Financial Price(Rs/Kg)
60080/1000
Value
51350
17
60080
60.80
54 | P a g e
51.35
40000
101
45%
1KWh=3600
KJ
11.90
10.17
6307
750.36
641.34
Year
1
2
3
4
Total
cost:
Construction Costs
Financial/
12.24
326.06
320.13
149.55
807.98
Results at
12%
Discount
Rate
3750.04
2620.90
1129.14
1.43:1
51.71
EIRR
(Percent)
51.71
37.69
6. RECOMMENDATION
The results given above indicate that, at 12% discount rate, the calculated EIRR
is well above 12% (the assumed opportunity cost of capital in Pakistan). The
results of sensitivity analysis also show that in all the cases the calculated EIRR
is above 12 percent, so, the proposed project is not sensitive to changes in
assumptions as stated above. Therefore the proposed project is deemed to be
viable, should therefore be implemented as planned.
57 | P a g e
With Project
Table-8
LNG based Combined Cycle
LNG based Combined Cycle Power Plant Costs in Financial & Economic Terms
(US$.Million)
LNG based Combined Cycle Power Plant Costs in
n
Year
Investment**
Costs
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
1
2
3
4
12.24
326.06
320.13
149.55
Total
807.98
Financial Terms
O&M
Costs
Of fuel
Costs
(LNG)
0
0
0
0
17.24
377.58
17.24
377.58
17.24
377.58
17.24
377.58
17.24
377.58
17.24
377.58
17.24
377.58
17.24
377.58
17.24
377.58
17.24
377.58
17.24
377.58
17.24
377.58
17.24
377.58
17.24
377.58
17.24
377.58
17.24
377.58
17.24
377.58
17.24
377.58
17.24
377.58
17.24
377.58
17.24
377.58
17.24
377.58
17.24
377.58
17.24
377.58
17.24
377.58
17.24
377.58
17.24
377.58
17.24
377.58
17.24
377.58
17.24
377.58
17.24
377.58
534.30
11705.06
Total
Costs
Investment**
Costs
12.24
326.06
320.13
149.55
394.82
394.82
394.82
394.82
394.82
394.82
394.82
394.82
394.82
394.82
394.82
394.82
394.82
394.82
394.82
394.82
394.82
394.82
394.82
394.82
394.82
394.82
394.82
394.82
394.82
394.82
394.82
394.82
394.82
394.82
394.82
12.24
326.06
320.13
149.55
-79.57
Economic Terms
O&M
Cost of fuel
(LNG)
Costs
0
0
0
0
17.24
377.58
17.24
377.58
17.24
377.58
17.24
377.58
17.24
377.58
17.24
377.58
17.24
377.58
17.24
377.58
17.24
377.58
17.24
377.58
17.24
377.58
17.24
377.58
17.24
377.58
17.24
377.58
17.24
377.58
17.24
377.58
17.24
377.58
17.24
377.58
17.24
377.58
17.24
377.58
17.24
377.58
17.24
377.58
17.24
377.58
17.24
377.58
17.24
377.58
17.24
377.58
17.24
377.58
17.24
377.58
17.24
377.58
17.24
377.58
17.24
377.58
13047.34
807.98
534.30
11705.06
Total
Costs
12.24
326.06
320.13
149.55
394.82
394.82
394.82
394.82
394.82
394.82
394.82
394.82
394.82
394.82
394.82
394.82
394.82
394.82
394.82
394.82
394.82
394.82
394.82
394.82
394.82
394.82
394.82
394.82
394.82
394.82
394.82
394.82
394.82
394.82
394.82
12967.77
*As the analysis has been undertaken in US$ Million. The cost in Economic Terms is the same as financial.
**Net of custom Duty.
Note: Savings value is taken as 10% of the total cost in the last year of operation.
58 | P a g e
Table-9
LNG based Combined Cycle Power Plant
Derivation of Economic Internal Rate of Return (EIRR)
Comparison with equivalent HSFO based Combined Cycle Power Plant
(
US$.Million)
n
Without Project
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
Equivalent HSFO
based Combined
Cycle Power PlantWithout Project
12.24
192.00
288.00
288.00
179.76
677.67
677.67
677.67
677.67
677.67
677.67
677.67
677.67
677.67
677.67
677.67
677.67
677.67
677.67
677.67
677.67
677.67
677.67
677.67
677.67
677.67
677.67
677.67
677.67
677.67
677.67
677.67
677.67
677.67
602.10
Total:-
21214.59
Discount
rates
10%
12%
16%
With
Project
Combined
Cycle LNG Plant
Net Cost
Savings
Sensitivity Tests
(Net cost savings under Various Assumptions)
12.24
326.06
320.13
149.55
394.82
394.82
394.82
394.82
394.82
394.82
394.82
394.82
394.82
394.82
394.82
394.82
394.82
394.82
394.82
394.82
394.82
394.82
394.82
394.82
394.82
394.82
394.82
394.82
394.82
394.82
394.82
394.82
394.82
394.82
315.24
0.00
-134.06
-32.13
138.45
-215.06
282.85
282.85
282.85
282.85
282.85
282.85
282.85
282.85
282.85
282.85
282.85
282.85
282.85
282.85
282.85
282.85
282.85
282.85
282.85
282.85
282.85
282.85
282.85
282.85
282.85
282.85
282.85
282.85
282.85
286.85
-1.22
-166.66
-64.14
123.49
-254.54
243.37
243.37
243.37
243.37
243.37
243.37
243.37
243.37
243.37
243.37
243.37
243.37
243.37
243.37
243.37
243.37
243.37
243.37
243.37
243.37
243.37
243.37
243.37
243.37
243.37
243.37
243.37
243.37
243.37
255.33
-1.22
-153.26
-60.93
109.65
-233.04
215.09
215.09
215.09
215.09
215.09
215.09
215.09
215.09
215.09
215.09
215.09
215.09
215.09
215.09
215.09
215.09
215.09
215.09
215.09
215.09
215.09
215.09
215.09
215.09
215.09
215.09
215.09
215.09
215.09
226.64
-2.45
-199.27
-96.16
108.54
-294.02
203.89
203.89
203.89
203.89
203.89
203.89
203.89
203.89
203.89
203.89
203.89
203.89
203.89
203.89
203.89
203.89
203.89
203.89
203.89
203.89
203.89
203.89
203.89
203.89
203.89
203.89
203.89
203.89
203.89
223.80
12967.77
8246.82
6950.04
6125.36
5653.27
4658.49
3750.04
3176.60
2620.90
1481.89
1129.14
1164.04
867.05
1016.04
754.14
846.57
604.96
2575.04
1889.27
685.77
496.84
428.26
307.91
36.43
27.75
59 | P a g e
Table-6
LNG Combined Cycle Power Plant
Equivalent HSFO based Combined Cycle Power Plant Costs in Financial & Economic
Terms
(US$.Million)
N
year
Total
Costs
12.24
192.00
288.00
288.00
179.76
677.67
677.67
677.67
677.67
677.67
677.67
677.67
677.67
677.67
677.67
677.67
677.67
677.67
677.67
677.67
677.67
677.67
677.67
677.67
677.67
677.67
677.67
677.67
677.67
677.67
677.67
677.67
677.67
677.67
602.10
21214.59
60 | P a g e