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Report (Summary)
Global Market Expansion Advisory
This report is solely for the use of Zinnov Client and Zinnov Personnel. No Part of it
may be quoted, circulated or reproduced for distribution outside the client
organization without prior written approval from Zinnov
Table of Contents
Summary
Macroeconomic Environment
Infrastructure Overview
Vertical Insights
IT Market Landscape
International IT majors / Indian Companies Landscape
Table of Contents
More than
Summary
GDP 2012-16
6.7% CAGR
44% Debt/GDP
ratio
Positive
Neutral
to reduce
22 Median Age
Positive
6.8%
Unemployment
Negative
poverty
largest ship
builder
Investment -
$10 bn 2013-16
Neutral
maintained / paved
112th Rank
Airport quality
airports an issue
1,060 km
Railway Lines
Positive
Negative
Negative
(1/2)
10% in 2012
Estimated to grow by
~12% CAGR till 2016
$19.5 Billion to be
Contributes 0.4% to
countrys GDP
Positive
Positive
business districts
Positive
Negative
Neutral
sheets
(2/2)
Negative
for concern
activities contributed
Positive
Positive
Neutral
Neutral
PC Installed
Base
Internet Users
Mobile
Subscribers
Smartphone
Users
~10 Mn
Over 30 MN
Over 98 MN
Over 29 MN
~ 8 Mn broadband connections
Presidential Form of
Governance, Multi party
Davao City
Table of Contents
Summary
Macroeconomic Environment
GDP Forecasts
Financial Performance
Governance scores
Demographics details
Infrastructure Overview
Sector Overview
IT Market Landscape
International IT majors / Indian Companies Landscape
10
Table of Contents
Summary
Macroeconomic Environment
Infrastructure Overview
Infrastructure Spending
Aviation
Roadways
Railways
Sector Overview
IT Market Landscape
International IT majors / Indian Companies Landscape
11
Infrastructure Overview
Infrastructure Spending Forecast (in $ Billions)
16
14
12
10
8
6
4
2
0
10.5
13.9
14.8
5%
5%
5%
4%
5.8
6%
4%
3%
2%
2%
1%
0%
2012
2013
Infrastructure spending
Current status
Current infrastructure spending at 2.4% of
countrys GDP is one of the lowest
2014
2015
% of GDP
Proposed initiatives
Infrastructure spending to be increased to 5%
of GDP by 2016
12
85
~111
Public Airports
Private Airports
20.5
Domestic Passengers
International
Passengers *(Q3)
Philippine Airlines, Airphil, Zest Air, Sea Air & Air Asia
13
$41
Million
$50
Million
Source: Civil Aviation Authority of Philippines, IATA, Ninoy Aquino International Airport
$4
Million
$20
Million
14
2.1
2.7
2014
2015
2016
80%
31%
34%
7%
National Roads /
Provincial Roads
Municipal Roads
Small Village /
Highways paved
paved
paved
District paved
15
$28
Million
$77
Million
Manila
16
2011
58%
Share of
Cargo Shipped in 2012
Foreign cargo
shipped increased
by 2%
2012
42%
40%
Foreign cargo
60%
53.2
Million
~8%
growth
Share of
Cargo Shipped in 2011
2012
49.4
2011 Million
Total passengers
(in Millions)
Domestic
cargo
17
Table of Contents
Summary
Macroeconomic Environment
Infrastructure Overview
Sector Overview
IT Market Landscape
International IT majors / Indian Companies Landscape
18
2012
96,754
7.7%
Growth
44,862
1,08,321
48,328
12%
Growth
Passenger Car
2012
1,56,649
Units
Commercial Vehicle
Growth of
26.5%
2016
Market share of Top players in 2012
1,98,100
Units
Toyota
35%
Mitsubishi
19%
Hyundai
12%
19
exports
Banks providing
easier auto loans
which grew by
~21.5% in 2011
Low interest rates
Government
initiatives
Supportive
policies
Easier
Banking
norms
Improving
roadways
infrastructure
duties on imported
equipment
offered
Source: CAMPI (Chamber of Automotive Manufacturers of the Philippines, Inc.), TMA (Truck Manufacturers Association) and AVID (Association of Vehicle Importers
and Distributors)
20
Inhibitors
More than 54% to cars purchased are
still imported
21
22
~12%
Growth
2012
2016
2017
2013
$ 13.9
Billion
41.5%
Growth
$ 19.7
Billion
Easier
Banking
Facilities
Growth of
organized
retail
3
Rise in
consumer
spending
Unemployment ratio
decreased from 7.1%(2011)
to 6.8%(2012)
Source: Philippine Retailers Association, The National Statistics Office (NSO), National Economic and Development Authority
24
concentrated in Manila
~51% of total
population belong to
rural areas
Traditional retail outlets
still preferred in rural
Untapped
rural areas
Restrictive
government
regulations
areas
In-efficient
logistics system
25
Emerging
Trends
26
$ 19.5 Billion to be
invested between
2013-2016
Generation
Transmission
Distribution
2010
10.2%
8.7%
9.2%
7.6%
5.2%
4.8%
4.4%
0.3%
Residential
Commercial
Industrial
Others
Players: NPC,
Western Mindanao
Power Corporation,
Meralco, Aboitiz
Energy, Meralco
Players: NTC,
National Grid
Corporation of
Philippines
Players: Meralco,
Presence of ~ 20,129
Circuit Kilometers of
transmission lines
Meralco is largest
power distributor with
$ 400 Mn in Revenue
Focusing on Gas
powered plants which
are cheaper than oil
based plants
Around $ 2 Billion
allotted to expand
transmission lines
nationwide
Source: Department of Energy, Business Monitor Report, The Asian Development Bank
Abiotiz, VECO,
DAVAO Light, PECO
27
73.7%
34.4%
28.9%
10.4%
Hydro and
Other
Renewable
14.7%
11.7%
Geothermal
Oil Based
Coal
2021
Natural Gas
2nd
2012
37.7 %
44.7 %
0.5%
26.3%
43.8%
55.7%
Energy needs met from
Renewable sources of
energy
Hydro
Geothermal
28
Increasing Demand
Govt. Initiatives
Formalised long term Energy
Plan(2012-30)
Investments of ~$19.35Bn
required by Energy sector
Measures to increase
production of fossil fuels
growth of economy
29
Focus on power
production
through
Renewable
Sources of
Energy
Energy Efficiency
Introduction of
Focus on
Plans to develop
investing in end-
to-end Smart
Smart Country-
grids solutions by
sides especially
various players
BPOs
Free distribution
of energy
efficient CFLs
and phasing out
incandescent
bulbs
energy efficient
e-trike electric
vehicles
replacing
traditional petrol
based vehicles
30
21%
22%
10%
2%
Cebu
Pacific
Philippine
Airlines
Airphil
Express
Zest Air
Domestic Passengers
24%
12.5
International
Passengers
16%
Foreign
Carriers
Philippine
Airlines
Cebu
Pacific
2%
3%
Zest Air
31
Grew by 18% in
2012
98% foreign
tourists by airlines
Luzon, Visayas &
Mindanao rated top
tourist destinations
Countrys
geography
Growth of
Outsourcing
& Offshoring
Tourism
Drivers
IT-BPO to grow by 18%
till 2016
Overseas
Filipino
Workers
Drivers
Large
Government
infrastructure
projects
Large investments to
improve airport
infrastructure
32
Source: Civil Aviation Authority of Philippines, Cebu Pacific Report, World Economic Forum
33
Emerging
Trends
Focus on modernization of
airports
$8 Million worth
modernization drive at
Tacloban and Dipolog airports
Source: Civil Aviation Authority of Philippines, Cebu Pacific Report, The Department of Transportation and Communications
34
~$96 Billion
~$101 Billion
2010
2011
~$65 Billion
~$75 Billion
2010
2011
35
Growth in economy
driving SME & Corporate
loans
Bank loans grew by
14% in 2012
Increasing foreign
investments in the BFSI
industry
Maybank plans to invest $100- $200
million to its local subsidiary Maybank
Philippines
Drivers
Drivers
Government effort to
merge rural banks with
other players
One Network Bank (ONB)
and Iloilo-based Rural
Bank of San Enrique
Lifting restrictions on
number of branches
As long as their capital supports,
banks can now put up as many
branches
36
Financial
problems in
foreign
countries
Countrys Commercial
and universal banks
required to put in
more equity capital
Philippine
Central Bank
regulations
& initiatives
Inhibitors
Encouraging
mergers
Internet
based
banking
services
2
Mobile based
banking
services
Adoption of
latest
technologies
38
~$3 Billion
2010
$3.9 Billion
2011
2013
8.4
2012
9.1
Pharmaceutical Industry
Growth Forecast
2.9
2.8
0.3
Pharmaceutical
Expenditure
Healthcare
Expenditure
0.35
Medical Devices
Expenditure
for healthcare
Government
focused on
improving
healthcare
scenario
Increasing
number of
senior citizens
Growing
market for
foreign
healthcare
players
Top
pharmaceutical
companies
have
manufacturing
plants in the
country
14 of the top
pharmaceutical companies
in the world have
manufacturing plants
40
Government initiatives to
improve healthcare
situation
Rotavirus Vaccination program for
vaccinating children
41
~$13 Billion
2012
IT-BPO Growth
forecast
~$16 Billion
2016
2012
2013
Hardware
$2.2
Billion
$2.4
Billion
Software
$401
Million
$460
Million
$1 Billion
$1.2
Billion
IT Services
42
Rising PC penetration in
rural areas
Government ICT
initiatives driving IT
adoption
Various e-governance
projects driving IT adoption
across country
Rapid growth of
Outsourcing and
Offshoring Industry
Growth in Animation & Gaming,
Accounting & Finance
outsourcing, Healthcare
outsourcing
Drivers
Drivers
Enabling consumers to
spend on PCs
Growth in number of
Graduates
Source: Department of Science and Technology (DOST), Business Monitor Report, Philippines Software Industry Association
43
Scarcity of employable
high/middle-end IT
professionals
Government initiatives to
bring businesses from foreign
countries
Source: Department of Science and Technology (DOST), Business Monitor Report, Philippines Software Industry Association
44
E-governance
initiatives
driving IT
adoption
2
$11 Million
iGovPhil
project
Source: Department of Science and Technology (DOST), Business Monitor Report, Philippines Software Industry Association
45
15.1%
8.5%
6.1%
Makati Central
Business District
Ortigas Center
6,01,219
3,007
2012
2013
2014
2,39,831
2012
2013
2014
Growth of
Outsourcing
and
Offshoring
industry
Home
Development
Mutual Fund
reducing
interest rates
Growth of
retail sector
aiding real
estate
Growth of
tourism
low-income group
reduced from 6 to 4.5
percent
Tourism aiding in
growing demand for
hotels
47
Housing backlog
48
Emerging
Trends
Growing trend of
purchasing Vacation
homes among Filipinos
Growth in organized
retail like Malls,
Shopping Centers etc.
49
9.6%
0.01%
Mobile
Broadband
Fixed Line
$5.3 Billion in
Revenue (2011)
Philippine Mobile market share
Other Players
30%
70%
50
Expansion allowing
addition of more
customers from rural
areas
Network
expansion by
telecom
operators
Social media
popularity
Drivers
Consists of four 3G
license holders
Liberalized and
competitive
telecom sector
Government
ICT plans
Source: PwC Report, National Telecommunications Commission, *ARPU(Average revenue per user)
Inhibitors
Geographical constraints
for expansion and
operations
52
$790
Million
Globe Telecom network
modernization plan
Launch of
WiMAX
Investing in
modernizing
infrastructure
3
Growing use of
Smartphones
Smartphone penetration to
grow to 50% till 2015
4
Telco Operators investing in 4G Adoption of new
technologies
and LTE technologies
53
learning centers
1,19,378
28.7%
1,17,339
28.2%
68,811
16.5%
50,734
12.2%
47,928
11.5%
12,269
2.9%
Total
Source: Philippines Software Industry Association, Board of Investments
2010
~ 417,000
54
Huge young
population
Fuelling demand
for employable
graduates
Growth of
Outsourcing
&
Offshoring
industry
Drivers
Affordable
Education
Attracting foreign
students with
26,000
enrollments in
2012
Government
initiatives
55
56
Growing use
of e-learning
solutions
2
Use of cloud
based
solutions
to create e-textbooks
Vibal distributed 1,000 tablets to public school
students in Laguna
Source: PwC Report, National Telecommunications Commission
57
Billion in 2012
Source: Philippines Software Industry Association, Board of Investments, Government of Philippines, PwC Report
58
environment
Source: Philippines Software Industry Association, Board of Investments, Government of Philippines, PwC Report
59
60
Table of Contents
Summary
Macroeconomic Environment
Infrastructure Overview
Vertical Insights
IT Market Landscape
Connectivity - PC, Broadband and Mobile Penetration
Social Media Penetration
IT Spending estimates and SMB status
61
Table of Contents
Summary
Macroeconomic Environment
Infrastructure Overview
Vertical Insights
IT Market Landscape
International IT majors / Indian Companies Landscape
62
63
Philippines
1990s
Sick Man of Asia,
Positive
2010s
Positive
One of potential
Breakout Nations
beating growth
expectations
Positive
Negative
64
Growth vs.
Potential
Saturated
Growth Areas
Areas
Market
Current and
Potential -
Potential
$$$
Government
Regulations
Cloud vs.
hosted vs. inhouse
Partner
Ecosystem
65
Growth
Strategy
Definition
Risk
management
Organization
Restructuring & Change
Management
Portfolio
Analysis &
Talent
Peer Group
Benchmark
Network
Innovation
Research
Eco-system
Connect
Value
analysis &
Maturity
model
Vendor
Selection,
location
Cost
Analysis &
Optimization
Audit
Globalization
Council
Shared
Services
Contract
Structuring
Benchmark
Global
Leadership
Optimize
Operational
efficiency
66
Thank
Thank You
You
info@zinnov.com
www.zinnov.com
@Zinnov
This report is solely for the use of Zinnov client and Zinnov personnel. No part of it may be circulated, quoted, or reproduced for distribution outside the
client organization without prior written approval from Zinnov