Documente Academic
Documente Profesional
Documente Cultură
www.bgeo.com
May 2016
Disclaimer
www.bgeo.com
May 2016
page 2
Contents
Appendices
www.bgeo.com
May 2016
page 3
Regular dividends
Capital Returns
Cash buffer
Investment Business
Banking Business
GGU
BGEO
Group
Retail
Banking
Corporate
Banking
Aldagi
(P&C
Insurance)
www.bgeo.com
May 2016
Investment
Management
BNB
(Bank in
Belarus)
M2
GHG
(Healthcare)
GRE
(Renewable
Energy)
GGU
(Real
Estate)
(Utilities)
Teliani
Valley
(Wine &
Beer)
page 4
As of 31 March 2016
As of 31 March 2016
3%
2%
16%
9%
38%
Rank
US/Canada
Shareholder name
Ownership %
9.63
9.19
4.25
3.56
2.85
Scandinavia
32%
Others
26
24
22
20
18
16
14
12
10
8
Market Capitalisation
1,600
9,500,000
US$
8,000,000
6,000,000
5,300,000
5,000,000
4,000,000
4,000,000
2,000,000
2,000,000 950,000
-
BGEO LN
www.bgeo.com
May 2016
US$ millions
10,000,000
Jan-12
Mar-12
May-12
Jul-12
Sep-12
Nov-12
Jan-13
Mar-13
May-13
Jul-13
Sep-13
Nov-13
Jan-14
Mar-14
May-14
Jul-14
Sep-14
Nov-14
Jan-15
Mar-15
May-15
Jul-15
Sep-15
Nov-15
Jan-16
Mar-16
May-16
GBP
Up 193% since
premium listing1
1,385
1,400
1,200
1,000
800
600
400
200
21
30-Sep-04 20-May-16
GDR
1Share
price change calculated from the last price of BGEO LI on 27 February 2012 to the price of BGEO LN on 10th May 2016
capitalisation for BGEO Group PLC, the Banks holding company, as of 10th May 2016, GBP/USD exchange rate of 1.4455
2 Market
page 5
4x20 strategy
We are a Georgia Focused Banking Group with an Investment Arm
Banking Business
1
ROE
c.20%
Retail loan
book growth
Investment Business
3
Min. IRR
of 20%
4
9.9% y-o-y growth in 1Q16
c.20%
Profit up to
20%
Ongoing Dividends
Ordinary dividends: linked to recurring profit from banking business
Aiming 25-40% dividend payout ratio
Dividend growth CAGR10-15 of 51.6%
At the 2016 AGM (on 26-May 2016), the board intends to recommend
an annual dividend of GEL 2.40 per share payable in British Pound
Sterling at the prevailing rate, a 14% y-o-y increase
www.bgeo.com
May 2016
Capital Return: Aiming for at least 3 capital returns within 5 years (20152019 period)
Aiming for Capital Return to represent at least 50% of regular dividend paid
from banking business within the same period
Completed share buy-back of GEL 25.8mln in 2015-2016
In 1Q16, instructed the administrators of the Group Employee Benefits Trust to
purchase shares in the market totaling approximately US$ 10mln, of which US$
7.6mln is to be repurchased as of the end of April, 2016
page 6
Payout
ratio
10%
15%
30%
36%
33%
34%
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
CAGR10-15
+51.6%
2.5
2.0
GEL
Dividend
per share
2.00
2.10
2013
2014
2.40
1.50
1.5
1.0
0.5
0.70
0.30
0.0
2010
www.bgeo.com
May 2016
2011
2012
2015E
page 7
Capital
Return
timeline
Cash Dividends
Stock dividends
Strategy
Announced
www.bgeo.com
May 2016
2014
3 capital returns
during 2015-2019
5 years
2019
Share buy-back
3 capital returns
during 2020-2024
5 years
2024
page 8
www.bgeo.com
May 2016
page 9
10 10
Senior Executive Compensation Policy applies to top executives and envisages long-term deferred and discretionary awards of securities and no cash bonuses to be paid to such executives
m2 Real Estate
Irakli Burdiladze, CEO, m2 Real Estate. With the Group
since 2006. Previously CFO at GMT Group, Georgian real
estate developer; Masters degree from Johns Hopkins
University
Teliani Valley
Shota Kobelia, CEO of Teliani Valley. With the Group since
2009. Previously Chief Commercial Officer in Pernod Ricard
Georgia; Masters degree in international sales marketing
from Bordeaux Business School, France.
www.bgeo.com
May 2016
page 10
11 11
Senior Executive Compensation Policy applies to top executives and envisages long-term deferred and discretionary awards of securities and no cash bonuses to be paid to such executives
www.bgeo.com
May 2016
page 11
Contents
Appendices
www.bgeo.com
May 2016
page 12
www.bgeo.com
May 2016
1Q16
BGEO Consolidated
1Q15
Change
4Q15
Y-O-Y
Change
Q-O-Q
1Q16
Banking Business*
1Q15
Change
4Q15
Y-O-Y
Change
Q-O-Q
1Q16
Investment Business*
1Q15
Change
4Q15
Y-O-Y
Change
Q-O-Q
128,852
27,814
17,390
2,867
6,416
26,291
6,024
3,606
219,260
(83,288)
135,972
1,866
(4,910)
120,989
26,854
18,962
1,790
7,574
16,877
1,209
1,398
195,653
(76,058)
119,595
(1,310)
(2,688)
6.5%
3.6%
-8.3%
60.2%
-15.3%
55.8%
398.3%
157.9%
12.1%
9.5%
13.7%
NMF
82.7%
131,434
31,639
19,525
9,318
6,733
23,845
12,769
11,271
246,534
(84,262)
162,272
1,938
(4,731)
-2.0%
-12.1%
-10.9%
-69.2%
-4.7%
10.3%
-52.8%
-68.0%
-11.1%
-1.2%
-16.2%
-3.7%
3.8%
130,219
28,015
17,390
3,168
5,343
184,135
(69,863)
114,272
-
123,058
28,090
18,962
2,095
5,306
177,511
(65,277)
112,234
-
5.8%
-0.3%
-8.3%
51.2%
0.7%
3.7%
7.0%
1.8%
-
134,217
32,266
19,525
9,699
5,441
201,148
(71,172)
129,976
-
-3.0%
-13.2%
-10.9%
-67.3%
-1.8%
-8.5%
-1.8%
-12.1%
-
1,723
26,291
6,024
3,675
37,713
(14,456)
23,257
1,866
(4,910)
2,691
16,877
1,209
1,543
22,320
(11,654)
10,666
(1,310)
(2,688)
-36.0%
55.8%
398.3%
138.2%
69.0%
24.0%
118.0%
NMF
82.7%
2,126
23,845
12,769
11,157
49,897
(14,580)
35,317
1,938
(4,731)
-19.0%
10.3%
-52.8%
-67.1%
-24.4%
-0.9%
-34.1%
-3.7%
3.8%
(766)
956
(1,382)
131,736
(36,143)
87,047
3,690
617
(2,463)
117,441
(41,841)
62,339
NMF
54.9%
-43.9%
12.2%
-13.6%
39.6%
(3,416)
602
(3,166)
153,499
(36,022)
95,672
-77.6%
58.8%
-56.3%
-14.2%
0.3%
-9.0%
(35,012)
69,663
(40,771)
58,810
-14.1%
18.5%
(35,230)
80,591
-0.6%
-13.6%
(766)
964
(2,947)
17,464
(1,131)
17,384
3,690
818
(5,969)
5,207
(1,070)
3,529
NMF
17.8%
-50.6%
235.4%
5.7%
392.6%
(3,416)
957
(6,542)
23,523
(792)
15,081
-77.6%
0.7%
-55.0%
-25.8%
42.8%
15.3%
2.10
1.63
28.8%
2.42
-13.2%
* Note: Banking Business and Investment Business financials do not include interbusiness eliminations. Detailed financials, including
interbusiness eliminations are provided in annexes.
page 13
Mar-16
Liquid assets
Loans to customers and finance
lease receivables
Total assets
Client deposits and notes
Amounts due to credit institutions
Debt securities issued
Total liabilities
Total equity
BGEO Consolidated
Mar-15 Change
Y-O-Y
21.5%
Banking Business*
Mar-15 Change
Y-O-Y
Dec-15
Change
Q-O-Q
Mar-16
3,068,166
-3.9%
2,876,357
2,402,308
Dec-15
Change
Q-O-Q
Mar-16
Investment Business*
Mar-15
Change
Dec-15
Y-O-Y
19.7%
3,006,991
-4.3%
337,602
199,209
69.5%
307,459
Change
Q-O-Q
2,948,699
2,427,226
9.8%
5,359,718
5,156,386
3.9%
5,322,117
0.7%
5,394,565
5,248,559
2.8%
5,366,764
0.5%
0.0%
0.0%
10,077,589
4,698,558
1,719,920
1,033,758
7,926,740
2,150,849
9,030,053
4,099,029
1,780,636
1,026,689
7,329,905
1,700,148
11.6%
14.6%
-3.4%
0.7%
8.1%
26.5%
10,115,739
4,751,387
1,789,062
1,039,804
8,042,101
2,073,638
-0.4%
-1.1%
-3.9%
-0.6%
-1.4%
3.7%
9,030,055
4,962,432
1,630,299
957,474
7,751,805
1,278,250
8,447,951
4,271,854
1,694,668
962,587
7,163,763
1,284,188
6.9%
16.2%
-3.8%
-0.5%
8.2%
-0.5%
9,171,437
4,993,681
1,692,557
961,944
7,856,146
1,315,291
-1.5%
-0.6%
-3.7%
-0.5%
-1.3%
-2.8%
1,353,961
124,468
81,116
481,362
872,599
864,053
181,773
66,964
448,093
415,960
56.7%
0.0%
-31.5%
21.1%
7.4%
109.8%
1,247,960
144,534
84,474
489,613
758,347
8.5%
0.0%
-13.9%
-4.0%
-1.7%
15.1%
Key Ratios
Banking Business Ratios
ROAE
ROAA
Net Interest Margin
Loan Yield
Liquid assets yield
Cost of Funds
Cost of Client Deposits and Notes
Cost of Amounts Due to Credit Institutions
Cost of Debt Securities Issued
Cost / Income
NPLs To Gross Loans To Clients
NPL Coverage Ratio
NPL Coverage Ratio, Adjusted for discounted value of collateral
Cost of Risk
Tier I capital adequacy ratio (New NBG, Basel 2/3)
Total capital adequacy ratio (New NBG, Basel 2/3)
www.bgeo.com
May 2016
1Q16
1Q15
4Q15
21.2%
3.0%
7.5%
14.4%
3.1%
5.0%
4.3%
6.0%
7.2%
37.9%
4.5%
86.0%
122.6%
2.3%
10.1%
15.8%
19.1%
3.0%
7.8%
14.6%
3.2%
5.0%
4.4%
5.2%
7.1%
36.8%
3.5%
73.2%
112.2%
3.1%
9.8%
12.9%
25.1%
3.5%
7.6%
14.8%
3.3%
5.1%
4.4%
5.9%
6.8%
35.4%
4.3%
83.4%
120.6%
2.4%
10.9%
16.7%
page 14
BGEO Capital allocation, 1Q 2016 | (Book value and GHG at market value)
Data as of 31 Mar, 2016
unless otherwise stated
GEL 2,254mln (
Banking Business
Unallocated Cash
Investment Business
35%
At a glance
9%
56%
ROAE
GEL 1,255mln
24.3%
17.6%
22.9%
32.9%
GEL 778mln
GEL 221mln
-216.8%
602.4*
596.2
Capital
allocation
554.6
220.7
111.4
62.9
RB
CIB
BNB
39.4
P&C
55.3
11.2
1.6
Other BB
GHG
m2
GGU
Teliani
Valley
(2.4)
Other IB
BGEO unallocated
www.bgeo.com
May 2016
page 15
GEL 1,934mln
Banking Business
At a glance
65%
ROAE
17.6%
22.9%
32.9%
11%
24%
GEL 1,255mln
24.3%
Unallocated Cash
Investment Business
GEL 459mln
GEL 221mln
-216.8%
Of which GEL
92.9mln is expected
to be paid as regular
dividends for 2015
596.2
554.6
GEL 602.4mln
Market value*
Capital
allocation
283.5
220.7
111.4
62.9
55.3
39.4
11.2
1.6
RB
CIB
BNB
P&C
Other BB
(2.4)
GHG
m2
GGU
Teliani
Valley
Other IB
BGEO unallocated
www.bgeo.com
May 2016
page 16
GEL 87.0mln
Banking Business
At a glance
Investment Business
20.0%
80.0%
y-o-y
change
GEL 69.7mln
15.8%
31.2%
27.7%
-29.3%
GEL 17.4mln
3.0%
97.0%
NMF
NMF
-76.4%
NMF
37.8
25.5
Profit
breakdown
by
businesses
11.9
5.4
4.3
1.9
(1.0)
RB
www.bgeo.com
May 2016
3.1
CIB
BNB
P&C
Other BB
GHG
m2
GGU
(0.5)
(1.4)
Teliani
Valley
Other IB
page 17
BGEO
+39.6%
+35.3%
213.1
33.5
1,000.0
800.0
751.3
538.2
(11.9)
2014
Banking Business
(200.0)
Investment
Business
195.7
200.0
100.0
0.0
(18.1)
2015
257.0
250.0
+20.7%
+22.4%
42.1
50.1
8.7
314.7
(4.2)
1Q15
y-o-y change
150.0
267.9
217.8
50.0
(2.9)
2014
80.0
Banking Business
Investment
Business
+7.0%
Banking Business
Investment business
Banking business
Eliminations
www.bgeo.com
May 2016
(2.6)
1Q16
+24.0%
+9.5%
Investment
Business
(4.0)
2015
76.1
4.6
2.8
83.3
14.5
11.7
50.9
200.0
184.1
177.5
GEL millions
GEL millions
300.0
(50.0)
37.7
100.0
350.0
219.3
Investment business
Banking business
Eliminations
400.0
100.0
15.4
22.3
-50.0
BGEO
+23.0%
6.6
+12.1%
50.0
+69.0%
150.0
Investment business
Banking business
Eliminations
BGEO
+3.7%
250.0
861.6
94.9
400.0
200.0
y-o-y change
128.4
621.2
600.0
+38.7%
GEL millions
y-o-y change
GEL millions
Revenues | quarterly
60.0
40.0
69.9
65.3
20.0
0.0
(0.9)
1Q15
(1.0)
1Q16
-20.0
Investment business
Banking business
Eliminations
page 18
Banking Business
10,000
8,000
Assets
6,000
Gel
Millions
4,000
10,077.6
9,030.1
1,354.0
864.1
9,030.1
8,448.0
13.4%
89.6%
2,000
0
-2,000
(282.0)
(306.4)
10,000
9,000
8,000
7,000
6,000
5,000
4,000
3,000
2,000
1,000
0
31-Mar-15
31-Mar-16
Banking Business assets
Investment Business assets
Eliminations
Liabilities
Gel
Millions
7,000
7,926.7
481.4
6.1%
-2,000
6,000
5,000
59.7%
7,163.8
2,402.3
31.9%
97.8%
2,000
www.bgeo.com
May 2016
33.7%
7,163.8
234.7
962.6
1,694.7
150
487.5
66.3%
95.1
31.5%
31-Mar-16
GHG
M2 Real Estate
300
200.0
261.8
190.5
9.5
5.0%
250
150.0
200
162.0
96.5
61.9%
50.7%
100.0
100
4,962.4
64.0%
50.0
50
99.9
38.1%
0
31-Mar-15
39.0%
Other assets
Investment properties
Inventories
PPE
Other assets
1,630.3 21.0%
117.7
31-Mar-16
7,751.8
2.6%
201.6
957.5 12.4%
29.5%
89.0
100
50
100
150
4,271.9
250
200
1,000
(306.4)
(282.0)
31-Mar-15
31-Mar-16
Investment Business liabilities
Eliminations
248.2
400
31-Mar-16
301.9
300
500
200
2,876.4
3,000
7,751.8
350
300
4,000
2,000
0
5,394.6
5,248.6
735.7
700
600
+8.2%
8,000
6,000
4,000
797.1
800
8.4%
Banking Business
10,000
448.1
759.1
Liquid assets
Net loans
Other assets
+8.1%
7,329.9
9,030.1
8,448.0
31-Mar-15
BGEO
8,000
M2 Real Estate
+6.9%
+11.6%
12,000
GHG
31-Mar-16
Other liabilities
Debt securities issued
Amounts due from credit institutions
Client Deposits and Notes
84.5
44.4%
0.0
31-Mar-16
Borrowed funds
Other liabilities
31-Mar-16
Other liabilities
Accruals and deferred income
Borrowed funds
* Note: Borrowed Funds include - Amounts due to credit institutions and debt securities issued
page 19
Contents
Appendices
www.bgeo.com
May 2016
page 20
Balance Sheet
Banking Business
The only Georgian company with credit ratings from all three
global rating agencies: S&P: BB-, Moody's: B1/Ba3 (foreign
and local currency), Fitch Ratings: BB-; outlooks are Stable
GEL million
10,000
9,000
8,000
7,000
6,000
5,000
4,000
3,000
2,000
1,000
0
7,044
6,185
5,333
3,007
2,876
1,904
1,875
1,596
Total assets
31-Dec-12
www.bgeo.com
May 2016
1
2
+13.4%
Liquid assets
5,367
5,395
4,441
3,567
3,127
4,994
4,962
3,482
3,141
2,724
31-Dec-13
1,315
1,231
1,064
1,278
903
Client deposits
31-Dec-14
Total equity
31-Dec-15
1Q16
Income Statement
Banking Business
Change y-o-y: +39.6%
GEL million
+22.4%
+19.7%
9,171
9,030
250
700
600
488
+18.5%
+3.7%
+24.4%
751
800
+23.5%
200
538
500
178 183
190
201
184
150
400
300
193221
274
200
100
59 61
73 81 70
50
100
0
Revenue
2013
Profit
2014
2015
Market data based on standalone accounts as published by the National Bank of Georgia (NBG) as of 31 March 2016 www.nbg.gov.ge
as of 24 May 2016 source: bloomberg.com
Revenue
1Q15
2Q15
Profit
3Q15
4Q15
1Q16
page 21
ROAE
2 Retail Banking
Growth
3-year Targets
FY 2015
1Q16
20%+
21.7%
21.2%
35.3%
9.9%
20%+
65%
55.0%
56.5%
Increase Product
to Client Ratio
3.0
1.9
2.0
De-concentrate CIB
Loan Book
NIM
7.25% - 7.75%
7.7%
7.5%
Cost / Income
c. 35%
35.7%
37.9%
Cost of Risk
1.5 - 2%
2.7 %
2.3%
www.bgeo.com
May 2016
page 22
#1
33.5%
33.8% 33.4%
32.6%
30%
BOG
26.7%
24.5% 25.7%
23.7%
25%
28.7%
28.0%
25.2%
25.3%
30%
25%
19.3% 17.8%
17.9% 17.5%
20%
#1
32.2%
32.5% 32.0%32.3%
BOG
19.1%
17.7%
16.9%
16.6%
20%
15%
15%
10%
10%
7.8%
4.9%
6.1% 6.5%6.7% 7.7% 6.3% 6.2%
4.8% 4.8%5.3%
5.8%
6.0% 4.8%
5.1% 4.7%
5%
6.7%
5.7%
5.8% 5.6%
5%
7.0% 7.6%
7.6%
6.7%
5.8%
4.8%4.8%
6.2% 4.4% 4.4% 4.8%
5.1%
0%
0%
BOG
TBC
PCB
2013
BR
2014
LB
2015
VTB
PCB
2013
BR
2014
LB
2015
VTB
Q1 2016
#1
1Q16
30%
Foreign
banks,
32.0%
Foreign
banks,
27.3%
33.2%
33.0%
30.4%
28.8% 29.0%
28.6%
27.8% 27.3%
BOG
25%
20%
15%
Local
banks,
68.0%
Local
banks,
72.7%
Others
No state
ownership of
commercial
banks since
1994
TBC
Q1 2016
BOG
Others
10%
5%
5.8%
5.1% 4.6%
4.4%
5.3%
5.3% 5.1% 5.2%
PCB
BR
12.0%
11.8%
8.6%
8.6%
15.2% 15.9%
15.0%
12.6%
6.1% 5.4%
5.4% 4.7%
0%
BOG
TBC
2013
www.bgeo.com
May 2016
2014
Note:
All data based on standalone accounts as reported to the National Bank of Georgia and as published by the
National Bank of Georgia www.nbg.gov.ge
LB
2015
VTB
Others
Q1 2016
page 23
Banking Business
Total: GEL 9.0bln
Other
assets
8.4%
Government
bonds, treasury
bills, NBG
CDs
26.0%
Liquid assets
31.9%
Loans to
customers,
net
59.7%
Cash and
equivalents
46.2%
Amounts due
from credit
institutions
25.0%
Total Loans
breakdown by segments
Total: GEL 5.6bln
21.7% of total
clients
Retail loans,
GEL 3,203.1
mln, 57.1 %
www.bgeo.com
May 2016
Corporate
loans, GEL
2,408.0mln,
42.9%
Automobile
loans
0.9%
Pawn loans
2.2%
30.7%
of total clients
POS loans
3.7%
Mortgage loans
30.2%
General
consumer loans
21.6%
Micro- and
agro-financing
loans and SME
loans
31.6%
Health and
Mining and social work
quarrying
2.6%
4.8%
Other
Financial
8.2%
intermediation
2.6%
Construction
7.6%
Electricity, gas
and water supply
2.9%
Transport &
Communication
1.0% of total
5.5%
clients
0.7% of total
clients
*Retail loans include loans of Retail Banking segment, BNB retail loans, Investment Management and Affordable Housing
Mortgages, Corporate loans include Corporate Banking Segment and BNB Corporate loans
Hospitality
5.8%
Service
8.4%
Manufacturing
26.9%
Trade
15.0%
Real estate
9.8%
page 24
43.6% of Retail Banking Loans were denominated in USD loans with non-USD income*
We offered re-profiling in Feb-2015. Since, 1,071 loans (out of 18,964) were re-profiled, with total value of US$34.1mln
For RB: Loans 15 days past due were 1.1% at 31 March 2016, compared to 1.0% a year ago and 0.9% as of 31 December 2015
33.4% of Corporate Banking Loans denominated in USD loans with non-USD income
3,500
3,000
3,039
92
GEL millions
Other
2,500
GEL
1,311
2,000
USD
1,500
1,000
1,637
500
0
100
90
80
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
Loan portfolio
59
0.4
GEL millions
Banking Business
1.95%
0.40%
44
3.36%
140
132
2,000
158
233
120
16
Other1,500
GEL
USD 1,000
100
6.03%
20
10.31%
80
1,805
60
40
500
0.91%
Provision amount
% of total
RB loan
portfolio
46.1%
10.2%
43.6%
100.0%
2,197
96
8.68%
20
15
RB Loan
portfolio
1,402
311
1,326
3,039
2,500
0
Loan portfolio
LLR rate
Mortgages
71
154
665
890
Consumer
loans*
1,021
41
166
1,228
SME &
Micro
310
116
496
922
5.31%
Provision amount
CB Loan
portfolio
392
1,072
734
2,197
LLR rate
% of total
CB loan
portfolio
17.8%
48.8%
33.4%
100.0%
www.bgeo.com
May 2016
*Re-profiling implies effectively increasing the tenor of the loan so that monthly payment in Lari stays at the same level it
was prior to the recent devaluation of the Lari. When re-profiling, we do not change the interest rate of the loan. We
offered reprofiling in Feb 2015
page 25
7.7%
7.9%
7.6%
241.1
252.0
200
144.9
153.6
3.9%
4.5%
4.3%
3.4%
7%
6%
200
4%
2%
1%
0%
2013
2014
NPLs
NPLs to gross loans
Net Interest Margin
2015
252.0
250
3%
50
300
8%
5%
150
100
Banking Business
7.5%
9%
250
GEL thousand
NPL composition
Q1 2016
GEL thousand
300
241.1
7.9
153.6
12.0
120.9
122.7
16.1
18.9
2013
2014
144.9
150
GEL thousand
161.4
165.1
45.0
49.7
2015
Q1 2016
50
250
4.3%
3.6%
201.1
120.0
82.8%
83.4%
86.0%
2015
Q1 2016
4%
3.4%
3.3%
5%
5%
3.9%
3.9%
4%
67.5%
3%
2.3%
100
37.2
NPLs RB & WM
NPLs CB
NPLs Other
Banking Business
150
34.7
100
200
(1/2)
216.6
103.8
3%
2%
2%
50
1%
1%
0%
2013
2014
Loan loss reserves (LLR)
NPLs to gross loans
LLR as % of gross loans
www.bgeo.com
May 2016
2015
Q1 2016
2013
*Retail loans include loans of Retail Banking segment, BNB retail loans, Investment Management and Affordable Housing
Mortgages, Corporate loans include Corporate Banking Segment and BNB Corporate loans
2014
page 26
(2/2)
Banking Business
160.0
151.5
140.0
17.9
120.0
100.0
80.0
60.9
60.0
133.6
55.7
43.0
40.0
45
40.8
40.8
40
35
5.6
11.9
25
35.2
35.0
4Q15
1Q16
8.2
20
10
35.2
28.8
20.7
0.0
0
2012
2013
2014
2015
1Q15
2Q15
Devaluation effect
Like-for-like
Privatbank
Devaluation effect
Like-for-like
2.7%
2.5%
0.3%
3%
2.7
0.9%
1.3%
1.2%
-10bps
3.1
2.0%
1.3%
3Q15
Banking Business
+150 bps
1.5%
34.8
6.0
30
15
+139.7%
y-o-y
20.0
-0.6%
50
GEL millions
GEL millions
+171.9%
2%
0.6%
1%
1.6%
0.4%
2.5%
2.4%
2.3%
4Q15
1Q16
0.4%
2.4%
1.0%
+120 bps
y-o-y
0.5%
0.0%
2.3%
2.1%
2Q15
3Q15
0%
2012
2013
Devaluation effect
Like-for-like
www.bgeo.com
May 2016
2014
2015
1Q15
Devaluation effect
Like-for-like
Privatbank
page 27
Banking Business
9,000
32.3%
8,000
GEL millions
7,000
7,856
7,752
30%
5,094
25%
5,000
20%
4,000
3,000
3,007
1,904
2,876
1,875
15%
2,000
10%
1,000
5%
0%
2013
2014
2015
Liquid assets
Total liabilities
Liquid assets to total liabilities
5,000
4,000
3,415
Banking Business
47.3%
4,871
4,831
30%
2,286
2,251
1,562
1,000
50%
40%
3,558
3,000
2,000
46.2%
35.0%
20%
1,245
789
537
837
10%
178
Q1 2016
2013
2014
Liquid assets (NBG)
Excess liquidity
NBG min requirement
2015
0%
Q1 2016
Liabilities (NBG)
Liquid assets / liabilities 30%
140%
120%
45.7%
6,000
40%
35%
5,813
6,000
Banking Business
37.1%
38.3%
37.4%
(1/2)
120%
127.5%
113.6%
107.5%
108.7%
100%
108.6%
96.8%
90.8%
91.6%
2015
Q1 2016
100%
80%
80%
60%
60%
40%
40%
2013
2014
www.bgeo.com
May 2016
2015
Q1 2016
2013
2014
page 28
(2/2)
250%
218.0%
219.4%
50
199.5%
200%
41.6
150%
115.8%
111.9%
104.5%
GEL million
163.8%
111.3%
100%
40
36.7
29.4
20
29.9
26.1
25.2
30
14.3
16.3
12.4
8.9
50%
35.6
7.5
6.1
10
0
0%
2013
2014
2015
Q1 2016
Banking Business
1,106,607
1,200,000
25%
974,223
20%
14.6%
GEL thousands
800,000
15%
12.8%
600,000
9.5%
10%
10.4%
5%
200,000
-3.5%
-3.7%
0%
0
-200,000
-400,000
(266,190)
1-3 Years
(283,922)
>3 Years
-5%
-10%
Maturity gap
Maturity gap, as % of total assets
www.bgeo.com
May 2016
2014
-11,394
-12,578
2015
Q1 2016
0%
-1%
-20,000
720,717
GEL thousands
787,742
2013
0
1,000,000
400,000
VaR Limit
-40,000
-34,716
-1.3%
-1.4%
-2%
-3%
-2.6%
-60,000
-4%
-5%
-80,000
-100,000
-6%
-7%
-129,074
-8%
-120,000
-9.3%
-140,000
-9%
-10%
FC net position, on and off balance, total
page 29
Banking Business
Banking Business
Interest Bearing
Liabilities GEL 7.8 bn
Other debt
securities,
GEL 79.6
mln, 4.0%
Borrowings, GEL
1,022.0 mln,
13.2%
Current
account &
demand
deposits
49.6%
Time
deposits
50.4%
Eurobonds,
GEL 877.9
mln, 44.3%
USD millions
Banking Business
100
90
80
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
1.5%
2.4%
1.5%
74.5
59.0
1.7%
0.7% 0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
90.0
The Bank has also been able to secure favorable financing from
reputable international commercial sources, as well as DFIs, such
as EBRD, IFC, DEG, Asian Development Bank, etc.
4%
2%
0%
65.0
57.1
-2%
10.0
-4%
26.0
-6%
47.1
3.4
2.5
2.2
2021
2022
-8%
-10%
2016
DFIs, GEL
926.2mln,
46.8%
Key takeaways
Others
borrowings,
GEL 95.8
mln, 4.8%
2020
www.bgeo.com
May 2016
2023
2024
2025
page 30
Banking Business
-8.5%
+39.6%
250
751.3
201.1
GEL millions
700
538.2
600
238.4
+31.8%
500
180.9
400
34%
300
+43.5%
200
357.3
100
32%
512.9
GEL millions
800
68%
200
177.5
150
54.4
184.1
66.9
33%
29%
100
134.2
123.1
50
66%
71%
0
2014
2015
Q1 2015
Q4 2015
Banking Business
Banking Business
+31.8%
250
238.4
80
19.9
180.9
9.9
150
100
50
52.8
76.9
20.0
16.4
101.8
66.9
70
121.6
60
GEL millions
200
Q1 2016
GEL millions
130.2
67%
69%
53.9
31%
50
9.7
2.1
40
19.0
30
5.3
19.5
53.9
3.2
17.4
5.4
20
10
54.4
5.3
28.1
32.3
28.0
Q1 2015
Q4 2015
Q1 2016
0
2014
Net fee and commission income
Net banking foreign currency gain
www.bgeo.com
May 2016
2015
Gross insurance profit
Net other banking income
page 31
+23.0%
+7.0%
-1.8%
267.9
300
150
58.8
GEL millions
80
3.5
34.2
GEL millions
200
217.8
3.2
25.6
250
74.4
100
155.7
130.1
50
69.9
1.2
9.0
0.9
9.1
0.8
8.4
50
17.5
21.7
20.1
38.6
39.3
39.8
Q1 2015
Q4 2015
Q1 2016
40
30
10
0
2014
Salaries and other employee benefits
Banking depreciation and amortisation
2015
Administrative expenses
Other operating expenses
Administrative expenses
Banking Business
600
120
400
130.0
140
483.5
500
114.3
112.2
100
320.4
80
300
GEL millions
GEL millions
71.2
60
20
200
100
0
-100
65.3
70
60
40
20
0
-20
(67.6)
-200
2014
(164.6)
2015
-40
-60
(42.9)
Q1 2015
(37.7)
Q4 2015
www.bgeo.com
May 2016
(36.4)
Q1 2016
page 32
Banking Business
Banking Business
44.0%
50%
42.2%
41.5%
42.0%
40.2%
48%
46%
39.2%
40.0%
44%
41.3%
42%
39.8%
38.4%
38.0%
40.5%
35.4%
35.7%
40%
36.0%
38%
34.8%
35.7%
34.0%
36%
34%
32.0%
32%
30%
30.0%
2012
2013
2014
2015
4Q
2013
1Q
2014
4Q
2014
1Q
2015
2Q
2015
3Q
2015
4Q
2015
1Q
2016
250
751.3
800
201.1
700
200
400
267.9
217.8
200
GEL millions
538.2
500
300
3Q
2014
Banking Business
600
2Q
2014
Banking Business
GEL millions
37.9%
36.8%
184.1
177.5
150
100
65.3
71.2
69.9
50
100
0
0
2014
Revenue
Operating expenses
www.bgeo.com
May 2016
2015
Q1 2015
Q4 2015
Q1 2016
Revenue
Operating expenses
page 33
Banking Business
100%
Banking Business
17.2%
20%
100%
16%
80%
14.3%
80%
14.8%
60%
69.1%
74.0%
72.8%
20%
30.9%
26.0%
12%
60%
8%
40%
4%
20%
72.0%
40%
27.2%
28.0%
2014
2015
0%
2013
Net loans, GEL, consolidated
Net loans, FC, consolidated
Currency-blended loan yield
14.6%
14.8%
14.4%
15%
70.0%
72.0%
72.4%
10%
0%
2012
20%
16.2%
5%
30.0%
28.0%
27.6%
0%
0%
Q1 - 2015
Q4 - 2015
Net loans, FC, consolidated
Net loans, GEL, consolidated
Currency-blended loan yield, annualised
Q1 - 2016
Banking Business
Banking Business
20%
27%
25%
15%
23.4%
22.5%
23%
11.6%
11.3%
11.0%
Q1 2015
Q4 2015
Q1 2016
21.4%
10%
21%
19%
5%
17%
15%
Q1 2015
www.bgeo.com
May 2016
Q4 2015
Q1 2016
0%
page 34
Banking Business
8%
8%
7.1%
7%
7%
5.9%
6%
4.8%
6%
5.1%
5%
5%
4%
4%
3%
3%
2%
2%
1%
1%
0%
5.0%
5.1%
5.0%
Q1 - 2015
Q4 - 2015
Q1 - 2016
0%
2012
2013
2014
2015
Banking Business
100%
8%
7.1%
80%
100%
4.4%
4.4%
7%
5.5%
6%
4.2%
60%
4.3%
5%
4.3%
80%
60%
5%
4%
72.6%
74.9%
77.6%
3%
4%
40%
20%
68.2%
69.9%
71.2%
74.9%
28.8%
25.1%
3%
40%
2%
2%
30.1%
31.8%
0%
1%
0%
2012
2013
2014
Client deposits and notes, FC, consolidated
Client deposits and notes, GEL, consolidated
Currency-blended cost of client deposits and notes
www.bgeo.com
May 2016
2015
20%
1%
27.4%
25.1%
22.4%
0%
0%
Q1 - 2015
Q4 - 2015
Q1 - 2016
Client deposits, FC, consolidated
Client deposits, GEL, consolidated
Currency-blended cost of client deposits, annualised
page 35
30%
23.0%
25%
18%
27.1%
26.1%
21.2%
26.1%
24.9%
22.1%
15.9%
12%
17.9%
9.8%
15%
10%
16.7%
15.8%
12.9%
14%
20%
15.8%
16%
10.4%
10.9%
10.2%
10.1%
10%
10.5%
8%
8.5%
6%
4%
5%
2%
0%
2012
2013
2014
0%
2015
Q1 2015
Q2 2015
Tier I Capital Adequacy Ratio
9,000
8,359
Q3 2015
Q4 2015
Q1 2016
NBG Tier I CAR min requirement
NBG Total CAR min requirement
8,351
8,473
8,363
8,354
GEL 000
Mar 2016
Dec 2015 Sep 2015 Jun 2015 Mar 2015 Dec 2014
8,000
7,000
6,000
845.8
914.8
860.2
869.4
727.3
800.5
474.5
479.2
482.1
458.7
252.0
217.1
Total Capital
1,320.3
1,394.0
1,342.3
1,328.1
979.3
1,017.6
8,353.8
8,363.4
8,473.1
8,350.5
7,951.9
7,204.1
10.1%
10.9%
10.2%
10.4%
9.1%
11.1%
15.8%
16.7%
15.8%
15.9%
12.3%
14.1%
5,000
4,000
3,000
2,000
1,000
0
Q1 2015
Q2 2015
www.bgeo.com
May 2016
Q3 2015
Q4 2015
Q1 2016
page 36
Selected
Operating
Data
(1Q16)
1
Emerging Retail
437,709
clients
Brands &
target
segments
22%
Mass Affluent
13,284
clients
1%
77%
P/C ratio:
3.4
1.6
7.4
# of branches:
114
144
GEL 15
GEL 268
Product/client ratio
growth to 3.0
Profit / client:
Strategic
Focus
GEL 22
Double number of
transactions
www.bgeo.com
May 2016
page 37
Total Loans
GEL 2,960mln
4%
20%
Net Interest
Income
GEL 83mln
19%
10%
70%
77%
Mass Retail & MSME - GEL 2,281.7mln
Solo - GEL 563.7mln
Express Bank - GEL 114.4mln
Total Deposits
GEL 1,902mln
3%
12%
10%
33%
64%
78%
Mass Retail & MSME - GEL 1,209.1mln
Solo - GEL 629.7mln
Express Bank - GEL 63.3mln
www.bgeo.com
May 2016
page 38
Portfolio breakdown
RB standalone
RB standalone
Operating Data, GEL mln
Number of total Retail clients, of which:
Number of Solo clients (Premier Banking)
Consumer loans & other outstanding, volume
Consumer loans & other outstanding, number
Mortgage loans outstanding, volume
Mortgage loans outstanding, number
Micro & SME loans outstanding, volume
Micro & SME loans outstanding, number
Credit cards and overdrafts outstanding, volume
Active credit cards and overdrafts outstanding, number
Total credit cards outstanding, number, of which:
American Express cards
Q1 2016
2,022,202
13,284
851.6
621,376
884.0
13,594
921.4
20,655
302.7
438,271
771,721
92,551
% of clients
2015
1,999,869
11,869
835.6
625,458
809.0
12,857
903.9
19,045
305.7
435,010
754,274
100,515
0.7%
30.7%
0.7%
1.0%
21.7%
38.2%
4.6%
RB Loans
2013
1,245,048
6,810
560.2
455,557
441.4
10,212
497.0
13,317
142.4
174,570
117,913
108,608
21.7%
of total
clients
Loans by products
Total: GEL 2.9 bn
General
consumer
loans
21.6%
30.7% of
total
clients
Current
accounts and
demand
deposits
36.6%
Deposits growth:
RB standalone
Deposits by category
Total: GEL 1.9 bn
3,500
2,796
GEL millions
3,000
2,500
2,000
2,901
2,067
1,613
1,500
1,000
500
0
2013
2014
2015
www.bgeo.com
May 2016
Q1 2016
2,000
1,800
1,600
1,400
1,200
1,000
800
600
400
200
0
1,880
Micro- and
agro-financing
loans and
SME loans
31.6%
1.0% of
total
clients
RB Deposits
Loans growth:
RB standalone
2014
1,451,777
7,971
691.8
526,683
600.9
11,902
666.0
16,246
135.0
199,543
116,615
110,362
0.7% of
total
clients
Time deposits
63.4%
1,902
1,350
1,087
Client
deposits,
GEL
23.5%
2013
2014
2015
Q1 2016
Deposits by currency
Total: GEL 1.9 bn
Client
deposits, FC
76.5%
page 39
1Q16
1Q15
Change
Y-O-Y
4Q15
Change
Q-O-Q
82,832
19,239
3,590
711
106,372
(23,607)
(14,521)
(7,383)
(496)
(46,007)
60,365
(18,184)
(561)
41,620
(3,844)
37,776
75,150
18,566
3,905
963
98,584
(23,596)
(12,240)
(6,831)
(462)
(43,129)
55,455
(16,660)
(449)
38,346
(5,738)
32,608
10.2%
3.6%
-8.1%
-26.2%
7.9%
0.0%
18.6%
8.1%
7.4%
6.7%
8.9%
9.1%
24.9%
8.5%
-33.0%
15.8%
85,318
21,264
3,697
3,950
114,229
(23,613)
(14,445)
(7,259)
(782)
(46,099)
68,130
(15,371)
(2,494)
50,265
(7,608)
42,657
-2.9%
-9.5%
-2.9%
-82.0%
-6.9%
0.0%
0.5%
1.7%
-36.6%
-0.2%
-11.4%
18.3%
-77.5%
-17.2%
-49.5%
-11.4%
RB standalone
RB standalone
100%
90%
25%
80%
17.4%
17.6%
17.4%
20%
70%
60%
15%
50.5%
54.3%
30%
10%
58.9%
20%
5%
80%
3.8%
49.5%
63.6%
45.7%
43.7%
5%
0%
0%
Net loans, RB, GEL
Net loans, RB, FC
Currency-blended loan yield, RB
www.bgeo.com
May 2016
2015
Q1 2016
4%
3%
67.6%
40%
74.1%
20%
36.4%
10%
2014
3.5%
76.5%
30%
10%
2013
3.9%
60%
50%
56.3%
40%
6%
5.2%
70%
41.1%
50%
100%
90%
19.8%
32.4%
25.9%
23.5%
0%
2%
1%
0%
2013
2014
2015
Client deposits, RB, FC
Client deposits, RB, GEL
Currency-blended cost of client deposits, RB
Q1 2016
page 40
RB standalone
25.4% 25.4%
23.0%
25.0%
20.0%
5.5%
6.0%
30.0%
5.0%
4.0%
15.0%
4.8%
4.4%
4.4%
3.8%
3.5% 3.5%
3.2% 3.2%
3.0%
10.0%
2.0%
5.0%
1.0%
0.0%
0.0%
Loan Yield
4Q15
Loan yield, FC
Cost of deposits
1Q16
4Q15
Cost of deposits, FC
1Q16
RB NIM | quarterly
RB standalone
12.0%
11.0%
10.0%
9.7%
9.6%
9.2%
9.0%
8.0%
7.0%
6.0%
5.0%
1Q15
www.bgeo.com
May 2016
4Q15
1Q16
page 41
1Q16
1Q15
Change
Y-O-Y
4Q15
Change
Q-O-Q
38,250
7,020
11,368
2,587
59,225
(11,155)
(3,355)
(1,272)
(231)
(16,013)
43,212
(14,138)
(856)
28,218
(2,687)
25,531
39,592
7,342
9,502
1,508
57,944
(10,061)
(2,886)
(1,107)
(246)
(14,300)
43,644
(19,371)
(621)
23,652
(4,194)
19,458
-3.4%
-4.4%
19.6%
71.6%
2.2%
10.9%
16.3%
14.9%
-6.1%
12.0%
-1.0%
-27.0%
37.8%
19.3%
-35.9%
31.2%
39,381
8,781
13,942
4,328
66,432
(9,982)
(4,231)
(1,242)
(242)
(15,697)
50,735
(11,991)
(2,524)
36,220
(5,416)
30,804
-2.9%
-20.1%
-18.5%
-40.2%
-10.8%
11.8%
-20.7%
2.4%
-4.5%
2.0%
-14.8%
17.9%
-66.1%
-22.1%
-50.4%
-17.1%
CB standalone
100%
CB standalone
14%
12.4%
90%
10.6%
10.7%
80%
10.5%
70%
60%
83.2%
86.8%
50%
89.7%
89.4%
12%
10%
70%
8%
60%
6%
30%
4%
10%
2%
16.8%
13.2%
0%
2013
2014
Net loans, CB, GEL
Net loans, CB, FC
Currency-blended loan yield, CB
www.bgeo.com
May 2016
10.3%
2015
10.6%
Q1 2016
4.6%
4.3%
90%
4%
50.9%
4%
2.9%
51.4%
50%
57.9%
57.2%
2%
30%
2%
49.1%
48.6%
42.1%
42.8%
10%
0%
3%
3%
40%
20%
5%
5%
3.4%
80%
40%
20%
100%
1%
1%
0%
0%
2013
2014
2015
Client deposits, CB, FC
Client deposits, CB, GEL
Currency-blended cost of client deposits, CB
Q1 2016
page 42
Highlights
CB standalone
Loans by sectors
Other
8.2%
Manufacturing
26.9%
Top 10 CB borrowers
represent 30% of total
CB loan book
Trade
15.0%
Top 20 CB borrowers
represent 44% of total
CB loan book
Real estate
9.8%
Service
8.4%
GEL millions
2,161
2,000
1,500
2,130
1,221
CB standalone
2,065
1,848
1,819
Time
Deposits,
22.7%
1,186
1,000
FC,
57.2%
500
0
2013
2014
Corporate net loans
Corporate client deposits
www.bgeo.com
May 2016
CIB standalone
1,821
2015
Q1 2016
GEL,
42.8%
Current
Accounts &
Demand
Deposits,
77.3%
Time
GEL,
Deposits, 27.8%
41.8%
FC,
72.2%
Current
Account
s&
Demand
Deposits
58.2%
page 43
CIB standalone
CIB standalone
13.1%
14.0%
12.0%
11.8%
13.3%
12.6%
10.9%
10.3%
9.0%
8.0%
7.0%
6.0%
5.0%
4.0%
3.0%
2.0%
1.0%
0.0%
10.0%
8.0%
6.0%
4.0%
2.0%
0.0%
Loan Yield
4Q15
Loan yield, FC
7.5%
3.9%
4.6% 4.5%
Cost of deposits
8.0%
3.9%
3.9%
3.3% 3.1%
Cost of deposits, FC
1Q16
1Q15
4Q15
1Q16
4.2%
3.8%
3.7%
4Q15
1Q16
4.0%
3.0%
2.0%
1.0%
0.0%
1Q15
www.bgeo.com
May 2016
page 44
Research
Wealth Management
Georgia 44%
Israel 12%
UK 4%
Germany 3%
Other 35%
Investment
Management
Brokerage
Corporate Advisory
successfully placed a USD 5mn 2-year bond of a nonBGEO Group affiliated company, Nikora
www.bgeo.com
May 2016
page 45
Contents
www.bgeo.com
May 2016
page 46
Revenue, gross
Corrections & rebates
Revenue, net
Cost of services
Gross profit
Total operating expenses
Other operating income
EBITDA
EBITDA margin
Depreciation and amortisation
Net interest (expense) / income
Net (losses) / gains from foreign
currencies
Net non-recurring (expense) / income
Profit before income tax expense
Income tax (expense) / benefit
Profit for the period
Attributable to:
- shareholders of the Company
- non-controlling interests
Healthcare services
Chang,
4Q15
Y-o-Y
1Q16
1Q15
55,481
(1,086)
54,395
(30,007)
24,388
(8,857)
1,008
16,539
9.0%
-62.2%
10.4%
10.0%
10.9%
6.8%
-76.1%
7.8%
12,936
12,936
(11,953)
983
(1,660)
(21)
(699)
12,992
12,992
(10,837)
2,155
(1,760)
47
442
-0.4%
-0.4%
10.3%
-54.4%
-5.7%
NMF
NMF
94.9%
-44.5%
29.8%
(4,046)
(5,535)
5.3%
-59.2%
-5.4%
(204)
603
3.4%
(136)
(28)
2,907
(211)
6,107
(491)
5,616
NMF
NMF
110.7%
45.0%
116.4%
(1,586)
484
5,856
(206)
5,650
-74.1%
306.3%
119.7%
245.1%
115.1%
151
(149)
19
(130)
5,073
543
98.1%
287.1%
4,421
1,229
127.3%
71.0%
(130)
-
1Q15
60,451
(410)
60,041
(32,998)
27,043
(9,456)
241
17,828
42,745
(957)
41,788
(24,273)
17,515
(7,923)
78
9,670
41.4%
-57.2%
43.7%
35.9%
54.4%
19.3%
209.0%
84.4%
29.5%
(4,261)
(2,259)
22.6%
(2,186)
(4,073)
(411)
1,968
12,865
(712)
12,153
10,051
2,102
www.bgeo.com
May 2016
Medical insurance
Change,
4Q15
Y-o-Y
Change,
Q-o-Q
1Q16
Change,
Q-o-Q
1Q16
1Q15
14,532
14,532
(12,917)
1,615
(1,627)
(5)
(17)
-11.0%
-11.0%
-7.5%
-39.1%
2.0%
320.0%
NMF
71,682
(410)
71,272
(43,257)
28,015
(11,105)
220
17,129
53,875
(957)
52,918
(33,339)
19,579
(9,592)
125
10,112
50.0%
NMF
-0.1%
(249)
158
-18.0%
282.4%
23.9%
(4,465)
(1,656)
497
775
(116)
659
-69.6%
NMF
NMF
NMF
(6)
(676)
(790)
192
(598)
NMF
NMF
-81.1%
-90.1%
-78.3%
659
-
NMF
-
(598)
-
-78.3%
-
Total GHG
Change,
Y-o-Y
4Q15
Change,
Q-o-Q
33.1%
-57.2%
34.7%
29.7%
43.1%
15.8%
76.0%
69.4%
68,720
(1,086)
67,634
(41,618)
26,016
(10,480)
986
16,522
4.3%
-62.2%
5.4%
3.9%
7.7%
6.0%
-77.7%
3.7%
18.8%
(2,322)
(4,101)
92.3%
-59.6%
24.0%
(4,295)
(5,377)
4.0%
-69.2%
(260)
1,968
12,716
(693)
12,023
3,404
(211)
6,882
(607)
6,275
NMF
NMF
84.8%
14.2%
91.6%
(1,592)
(192)
5,066
(14)
5,052
-83.7%
NMF
151.0%
NMF
138.0%
9,921
2,102
5,732
543
73.1%
287.1%
3,823
1,229
159.5%
71.0%
GEL 0.9bln(1)
GEL 1.3bln(1)
1%
Share in total
Healthcare spending
Long-term
target
39.6
43.2
47.2
15.0%
10.0%
5.0%
2018F
2017F
2016F
2014
2015E
2013
2012
2011
2010
2009
2008
0.0%
www.bgeo.com
May 2016
25.0%
20.0%
7.8%
33.2
36.2
7.6%
7.0%
29.2 30.7
6.4%
6.1%
5.5%
5.3%
5.3%
4.8%
5.1%
26.8
24.3 26.2
7.3%
CAGR'03-14: 11.8%
'15-20: 9%
2018F
2017F
2016F
2015E
2014
2008
2018F
2017F
2016F
2015E
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
2009
500
2008
500
2013
1,000
2012
811 858
1,500
50.0
1,448 45.0
40.0
1,250
1,079
35.0
930
30.0
802
25.0
695
592
20.0
473
376
15.0
272
241
10.0
5.0
-
CAGR'03-14: 17.9%
'14-18: 16%
2011
941
1,647
1,489
1,341
1,203
1,075
2010
1,000
2,000
2009
1,500
1Q16
25.0%
38.4%
2,000
Growth
drivers
Long-term
target
1Q16
33.0%
1Q16
Market
26.7%
>15.0%
15.0%
17.0%
33.0%
18%
2020F
Revenue
GEL 1.2bln(1)
Capacity
GHG
Market
shares
Ambulatories
2019F
GHG
strategy
Hospitals
Sources: GHG internal reporting; Frost & Sullivan analysis, 2015; NHA, Ministry of Labor, Health and Social Affairs of Georgia; NCDC; OECD, World Health
Organisation and World Bank, 2013 data
page 48
2015-2018
Spending
per capita (US$)
Price inflation
(heart surgery, US$)
GHG Revenue
per bed (US$)
Georgia medium-term(1)
6,500 (GHG)
Nurse to doctor
ratio
Pharmaceuticals
share in total
healthcare spending
1,076
9,000
25,000
280k
99k
32,000 (GHG)
Significant expansion
of capacity by 2025
Outpatient
Encounters per capita
502
217 (Georgia)
Long-term Target
(Beyond 10 Year Horizon)
Substantial room to
grow beyond 2025
8.9
5.4
3.5 (Georgia)
4:1 (Georgia,
1:1.3 (Georgia)
WHO
recommendation)
3.4:1
38.4% (Georgia)
25%
15.4%
www.bgeo.com
May 2016
Sources:
(1)
Bed utilisation for referral hospitals; World Bank; GHG internal reporting; Management Estimates; Ministry of Finance of Georgia; Frost & Sullivan 2015;
WHO: Average of countries: Chile, Costa Rica, Czech Republic, Estonia, Croatia, Hungary, Lithuania, Latvia, Poland, Russian Federation, Slovak Republic;
BAML Global Hospital Benchmark, August 2014
page 49
Contents
m2 Real Estate
www.bgeo.com
May 2016
page 50
P&L | m2
m2 Consolidated
Income Statement Highlights
Gel thousands, unless otherwise
Real estate revenue
Cost of real estate
Gross real estate profit
Gross other investment profit
Revenue
Salaries and other employee benefits
Administrative expenses
Operating expenses
EBITDA
Depreciation and amortization of investment business
Net foreign currency loss from investment business
Interest income from investment business
Interest expense from investment business
Net operating income before non-recurring items
Net non-recurring items
Profit before income tax
Income tax (expense) benefit
Profit
www.bgeo.com
May 2016
1Q16
1Q15
Change
Y-O-Y
4Q15
Change
Q-O-Q
28,592
(22,740)
5,852
1,816
7,668
(320)
(1,135)
(1,455)
6,213
(53)
386
(125)
6,421
(23)
6,398
(960)
5,438
3,938
(2,865)
1,073
219
1,292
(321)
(1,041)
(1,362)
(70)
(42)
(371)
171
(1,011)
(1,323)
(73)
(1,396)
209
(1,187)
626.1%
NMF
445.4%
NMF
493.5%
-0.3%
9.0%
6.8%
NMF
26.2%
NMF
-100.0%
-87.6%
NMF
-68.5%
NMF
NMF
NMF
47,465
(34,869)
12,596
7,277
19,873
(356)
(1,515)
(1,871)
18,002
(55)
(836)
(173)
16,938
(7)
16,931
(2,604)
14,327
-39.8%
-34.8%
-53.5%
-75.0%
-61.4%
-10.1%
-25.1%
-22.2%
-65.5%
-3.6%
NMF
-27.7%
-62.1%
NMF
-62.2%
-63.1%
-62.0%
page 51
Residential Developments
Affordable housing
Key
Segments
& market
size
m2
Asset base
(as of
1Q16)
US$ 55 million
Hotels
m2
Includes:
1. Inventory of
residential real estate
2. Land bank
Yielding Business
As a property manager,
makes opportunistic
investments and manages a well diversified portfolio
of yielding assets, primarily consisting of high street
real estate assets, and also including industrial and
office space real estate assets.
Includes:
1. High street retail
2. Industrial properties:
warehouses and logistics
centers
3. Offices
US$ 17 million
Includes:
1. Hotels (mixed use)
2. Land bank
US$ 2 million
Track
record
-
1 US$ value of annual transaction in the capital city in 2014 (NPRG, Colliers Company own data)
2 trade volume in Georgia in 2015
3 gross tourism inflows in 2015
Start date:
Project timeline
SEP2010
123 apartments
APR2012
525 apartments
DEC2013
221 apartments
295 apartments
SEP2014
JUL2014
270 apartments 238 apartments
JUL2015
819 apartments
DEC2015
19 apartments
2,507 apartments in total: 1,669 apartments completed with 86% sales and 838 apartments under construction with 38% pre-sales
Project highlights
Chubinishvili street
123 apartments
IRR: 47%
Equity multiple: x1.8
Apartments sold: 123/123, 100%
Pre-sales1 was: 92%
Start date: Sep2010
Completion: Aug2012
Sales: US$ 9.9mln
Land value unlocked: US$ 0.9mln
5
Tamarashvili Street II
270 apartments
IRR: 71%
Equity multiple: x2.5
Apartments sold: 194/270, 72%
Pre-sales: 71%
Start date: Jul2014
Completion: May2016
Sales: US$ 18.0mln
Land value unlocked: US$ 2.7mln
www.bgeo.com
May 2016
Tamarashvili street
522 apartments
IRR: 46%
Equity multiple: x1.6
Apartments sold: 522/522, 100%
Pre-sales was: 94%
Start date: May2012
Completion: Jun2014
Sales: US$ 48.0mln
Land value unlocked: US$ 5.4mln
6
Completed projects
On-going projects
Moscow avenue
238 apartments
IRR: 31%
Equity multiple: x1.2
Apartments sold: 147/238, 62%
Pre-sales: 61%
Start date: Sep2014
Completion: May2016
Sales: US$ 6.9mln
Land value unlocked: US$ 1.6mln
Nutsubidze street
221apartments
IRR: 58%
Equity multiple: x1.2
Apartments sold: 203/221, 92%
Pre-sales: 89%
Start date: Dec2013
Completion: Sep2015
Sales: US$ 16.2mln
Land value unlocked: US$ 2.2mln
7
Kartozia Street
819 apartments
IRR: 31%
Equity multiple: x1.7
Pre-sales: 231/819, 28%
Pre-sales: US$ 16.4mln
Start date: Nov2015
Completion expected: Sep2018
Construction progress: 10% completed
Land value to be unlocked: US$ 5.8mln
Kazbegi Street
295 apartments
IRR: 165%
Equity multiple: x2.2
Apartments sold: 266/295, 90%
Pre-sales: 90%
Start date: Dec2013
Completion: Mar2016
Sales: US$ 24.4mln
Land value unlocked: US$ 3.6mln
8
Skyline
19 apartments
IRR: 329%
Equity multiple: x1.1
Pre-sales: 9/19, 47%
Pre-sales: US$ 3.7mln
Start date: Dec2015
Completion expected: Dec2016
Construction progress: 5% completed
Land value to be unlocked: US$ 3.1mln
Pre-sales: 58/819, 7%
Pre-sales: $4.7mln
GOAL
Residential Developments
Liquidating all land-plots by
developing housing. Start development
of third party lands.
Growth
highlights
Currently, own land bank of US$
43.4mln*, with capacity of c.5200
apartments (in addition to 2,510
apartments in existing 8 projects, both
completed and on-going)
*Excludes hotel lands
www.bgeo.com
May 2016
Commercial space
Grow portfolio of yielding assets by
retaining investment property from own
residential developments, and acquiring
opportunistically and/or developing high
street retail, commercial and office space,
with capital gain upside and c.10-12%
annual yield.
Investment policy:
Good location
Good tenant
Good lease terms
10-12% yield range
Hotels
Develop 3 hotels (3-star, select service
mixed-use hotels) in next 7 years in
Tbilisi and Kutaisi with minimum roomcount of 370 in total, catering to budget
travelers
Project timeline
APR2016
544 apartments
MAY2016
(2) 62 apartments
(1) 152 rooms
353 apartments
AUG2016
127 rooms
34 apartments
DEC2016
127 rooms
JAN2017
1,097 apartments
320 sqm commercial space
JAN2019
1,746 apartments
3,703 sqm commercial space
APR2021
1,400 apartments
39,514 sqm commercial space
1
Project highlights
Kavtaradze street
(economy/low cost development)
544 apartments
IRR: 26%, expected
Expected sales: US$ 26.0 mln
Start: Apr-16
Completion: Mar-18
Total completion cost: US$ 23.1mln
Land value: US$ 2.6mln
Equity multiple: x1.5
3
www.bgeo.com
May 2016
50 Chavchavadze avenue
(upscale development)
62 apartments
IRR: 99%, expected
Expected sales: US$ 16.5 mln
Start: May-16
Completion: Sep-17
Total completion cost: US$ 12.1mln
Land value: US$ 3.3 mln
Equity multiple: x1.8
Dighomi development
m2 owns 13 hectare of land in close proximity to the city center. Plan is
to develop a modern neighborhood with c.4,200 apartments, 30,000
sqm of retail, 20,000 sqm of offices, primary school, kindergarten,
outpatient clinic, park and plaza. The project will be a novel
development combining multi-family real estate for all types of
customers: micro lofts for millennials, townhouses with private patios
for larger families, high rise apartment blocks and small size units to
meet the budget constraints of the clients. Retail will host hypermarket
and plaza level shops, cafes and restaurants. Almost 4 hectares will be
dedicated to park and greenery to provide the residents and the guests
of the neighborhood with relaxing atmosphere.
Residential development
Hotel development
Project highlights
Expected sales, US$ mln
Start date
Completion date
Total completion cost, US$ mln
Land value, US$ mln
Number of apartments
Commercial space
Equity multiple
Total
387.8
Jan-17
Apr-24
324.9
27.0
4,243
54,421
1
59.9
Jan-17
Mar-20
71.5
6.0
1,097
400
1.9
Dighomi development (Residential & Commercial space). Numbers designate project phases.
2
119.8
Jan-19
Jan-22
99.0
9.6
1,746
4,629
3
208.1
Apr-21
Apr-24
154.4
11.4
1,400
49,392
Visitors in Georgia
25% CAGR03-15
6,000
5,000
4,428
Internationally
branded hotels
26%
4,000
1,000
313 368
560
Other
accommodation
units (local)
74%
1,500
1,290
1,052
763
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
2009
2008
2007
2006
2005
0
2004
2,032
2,000
2003
2,822
3,000
ROE 20%
www.bgeo.com
May 2016
page 56
Contents
www.bgeo.com
May 2016
page 57
Underpenetrated
industry
Cheap to develop
Strategic
partnership
Small investment
to date
Opportunities
5 BGEO planned
investment in
ongoing projects
www.bgeo.com
May 2016
page 58
Goal
Pipeline
Projects
Mestiachala
1&2
Zoti
1&2
50MW
55MW
2017-2018
2017-2019
www.bgeo.com
May 2016
page 59
Goal
Pipeline
Staged investments
Small
investment
until now
4 years
14.8
0.6
2015
2.8
2016
6.9
2017
3.0
2018
2019
BGEO investment
www.bgeo.com
May 2016
page 60
Goal
Math
Total
BGEO share
US$ 15.9mln
US$ 10.3mln
Equity contribution
US$ 43mln
US$ 28mln
Sale in parts
Exit opportunities
www.bgeo.com
May 2016
page 61
Contents
www.bgeo.com
May 2016
page 62
GGU Overview
Business overview
Two core activities:
1. Water utility Provides water to 1.4mln people (1/3
of Georgia)
Highlights
We acquired 25% of shareholding, December
2014
We had an option to acquire an additional
24.9% share in GGU. We did not exercise this
option
Going forward reduce water delivery losses to
40%, from current 50%
Period
GGU
EBITDA
Profit contribution
to BGEO
www.bgeo.com
May 2016
2014
51.6
2015
63.2
4.1
1Q16
16.0
1.9
page 63
+10.6%
90
GEL millions
80
66.5
70
60
77.3
69.1
63.2
51.6
50
40
30
20
10
0
2014
2015E
2016F
2017F
2018F
www.bgeo.com
May 2016
page 64
Contents
Teliani Valley
www.bgeo.com
May 2016
page 65
With wide
distribution platform
Teliani
Business
Russian Federation
Black
Sea
Poti
Batumi
Turkey
Exporting to 26 countries,
including all FSU, Poland,
Sweden, Finland, USA, Canada,
Brazil, China, Thailand, Singapore
www.bgeo.com
May 2016
Georgia
Caspian
Sea
Tbilisi
Rustavi
Armenia
Azerbaijan
Baku
page 66
Investment
Rationale
EBITDA
6%
12%
3.1
2.5
1.7
2.0
1.7
1.5
0.9
0.2
0.9
31%
0.3
-0.9
2009
Net Income
3.4
1.3
51%
Effes Georgia
Zedazeni
Argo
Other
160
140
120
100
80
60
40
20
0
Peer
Average 71
-0.7
2010
2011
www.bgeo.com
May 2016
2012
2013
2014
2015
page 67
Investment
Exit options
Financials
12.0
10.0
8.0
6.0
30.0%
24.1% 24.2%
22.4% 23.1%
20.6%
2.9
3.0
2.8
15.6%
2.6
2.5
4.0
2.0
0.0
2.4
5.4
6.6
7.7
7.9
3.6
1.1
25.0%
20.0%
Trade sale
15.0%
10.0%
5.0%
0.0%
www.bgeo.com
May 2016
page 68
Contents
Appendices
www.bgeo.com
May 2016
page 69
Georgia at a glance
General Facts
Area: 69,700 sq km
Population (2012): 4.5 mln
Life expectancy: 77 years
Official language: Georgian
Literacy: 100%
Capital: Tbilisi
Currency (code): Lari (GEL)
Economy
Sovereign ratings:
S&P
BB-/B/Stable, affirmed in November 2015
Moodys Ba3/NP/Stable, affirmed in March 2016
Fitch
BB-/B/Stable, affirmed in October 2015
www.bgeo.com
May 2016
page 70
Strong FDI
An influx of foreign investors on the back of the economic reforms have boosted productivity and accelerated growth
FDI at US$1,351mln (9.7% of GDP) in 2015 (down 23.2% y-o-y)
FDI averaged 10% of GDP in 2006-2015
Productivity gains accounted for 66% of the annual average 5.6% growth over 1999-2012, according to the World Bank
Georgia and the EU signed an Association Agreement and DCFTA in June 2014
Progress in achieving visa-free travel to the EU is another major success in Georgian foreign policy. Georgian passport holders are expected to start free entrance to the
Georgia underscored its commitment to European values by securing a democratic transfer of political power in successive parliamentary, presidential, and local
elections and by signing an Association Agreement and free trade agreement with the EU
Political environment
stabilised
New constitution amendments passed in 2013 to enhance governing responsibility of Parliament and reduce the powers of the Presidency
Continued economic relationship with Russia, although economic dependence is relatively low
Russia began issuing visas to Georgians in March 2009; Georgia abolished visa requirements for Russians -The Russian side recently announced to ease visa
www.bgeo.com
May 2016
page 71
UK
USA
Sweden
Norway
Estonia
GEORGIA
Armenia
Czech Rep.
Romania
Kazakhstan
Montenegro
Turkey
Serbia
Azerbaijan
Ukraine
11
23
36
Hungary
24
35
36
37
58
Bulgaria
60
Romania
61
France
41
75
Turkey
46
79
Italy
Azerbaijan
55
59
86
91
Russia
63
153
Ukraine
162
83
10
USA
Georgia
Latvia
16
UK
1%
3%
4%
5%
6%
7%
7%
8%
15%
18%
19%
21%
22%
26%
26%
32%
37%
www.bgeo.com
May 2016
Germany
USA
Georgia
Norway
Netherlands
UK
Estonia
Poland
Czech Rep.
Serbia
Turkey
Montenegro
Romania
Armenia
Russia
Azerbaijan
9
10
11
12
13
19
22
31
52
67
70
73
83
87
134
140
page 72
Tax Reform
Rail
Pension Reform
Air
Public Investment
Management Framework
Deposit Insurance
Accounting Reform
PPP Reform
Roads
Plan to finish all spinal projects by 2020 EastWest Highway, other supporting infrastructure
Strategic location
Maritime
Association Agreement
Agenda
Involvement of the
private sector in
legislative process
Strict monitoring of
implementation of
government decisions
www.bgeo.com
May 2016
Education Reform
General Education
Reform
Fundamental Reform
of Higher Education
Improvement of
Vocational Education
page 73
11.1%
10
5
4.0
14.4
12.6% 12.8
10.8
20%
11.6
6.2%
7.2%
3.4%
4.6%
2.8%
Hotels &
restaurants 2.5%
15%
10%
6.4%
2.4%
5%
Trade 16.6%
Other
11.0%
Financial interm.
3.7%
Maufacturing
16.5%
Healthcare 6.0%
0%
-3.7%
Transport &
commun. 10.7%
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
2009
2008
2007
2006
2005
2004
-5%
2003
-5
Construction
8.0%
5.1%
5%
3.6%
4%
2.5%
3%
1.8%
1.9%
2.6%
3.8%
7,287
7,000
1.9%
6,000
5,000
0%
4,000
5,788
www.bgeo.com
May 2016
Georgia
Poland
Turkey
Moldova
Romania
Lithuania
Russia
Czech Republic
Estonia
Latvia
2,000
6,135 6,030
6,571
4,943
4,329
3,431
3,779
3,711
3,159
2,479
3,000
-0.8%
-2%
9,630
8,006
8,000
2.7%
1%
Ukraine
9,209
8,526
9,000
3.8%
2%
-1%
Public
administration
9.3%
Agriculture 9.2%
Source: Geostat
924 1,202
1,522
4,428
4,131 4,267
3,789
2,694 2,951
1,863
1,000
0
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Nominal GDP per capita, US$
GDP per capita, PPP
Sources: IMF
page 74
Productivity gains have been the main engine of growth since 2004
Overall contribution of capital, labour, and Total Factor
Productivity (TFP) to growth, 1999-2012
Capital stock
1.60%
8%
6%
TFP growth
3.65%
4%
6.32%
3.86%
3.65%
2%
0%
1.48%
2.25%
1999-2003
2004-2007
-2%
0.67%
-2.02%
1.56%
2008-2009
2010-2012
-4%
Labor force
0.32%
Capital stock
Labor force
TFP growth
Source: Georgia Rising (2013), WB
60%
50%
40%
30.0%
14.4%
12.7%
5.7%
30%
12.5%
4.9%
20%
10%
-3.0%
0%
-13.6%
-10%
4Q15
3Q15
2Q15
1Q15
4Q14
3Q14
-20%
2Q14
600
580
560
540
520
500
480
460
440
420
1Q14
Belarus
Russia
Azerbaijan
Bulgaria
Czech Rep.
2017F
Moldova
Armenia
Kyrgyz Rep.
Estonia
Lithuania
Slovak Rep.
Macedonia
Romania
Latvia
Georgia
2016F
Kazakhstan
5%
4%
3%
2%
1%
0%
-1%
-2%
-3%
-4%
www.bgeo.com
May 2016
page 75
6%
1,200
4%
1,100
2%
100
0
0%
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2004
1,000
200
2014
Employment (thousands)
Unemployment rate
2014
8%
1,300
2013
1,400
300
2012
10%
2011
12%
1,500
2010
1,600
400
2009
14%
2008
16%
1,700
2007
1,800
2006
18%
2005
1,900
Wages, US$
Total income, US$
Sources: GeoStat
Sources: GeoStat
2,000
1,800
1,600
1,400
1,200
1,000
800
600
400
200
0
700
600
500
400
300
200
100
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
Services
Agriculture
Industry
Source: GeoStat
Note: services include construction
www.bgeo.com
May 2016
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
0
2006
2007
2008
Public sector
Non-public sector
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
Sources: GeoStat
page 76
0%
-0.3%
-2.6%
-4%
-3.4%
-6%
-3.6%
-6.5%
-8%
-3.7%
Domestic
21%
External
79%
(Contractual maturity
23 years)
-6.7%
Bilateral
13%
Eurobond
9%
2016F
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
2009
2007
2006
2005
Multilateral
56%
-3.0%
-9.2%
2004
-10%
-4.8%
2008
-2%
20%
40%
10%
10%
20%
0%
0%
41.2%
www.bgeo.com
May 2016
Italy
USA
Belgium
UK
Canada
Croatia
Austria
Ukraine
Slovenia
Hungary
Germany
Netherlands
Montenegro
Belarus
Finland
Slovakia
Armenia
Denmark
Switzerland
Georgia
Lithuania
Romania
Czech Rep.
0%
Turkey
2008
2007
2006
2005
2004
2003
2017F
20%
2016F
60%
2015
30%
2014
80%
30%
2013
40%
2012
100%
40%
2011
120%
50%
50%
2010
140%
60%
2009
70%
60%
Macedonia
Public
debt/GDP
capped at
60%
70%
Source: IMF
page 77
12,000
70%
10,000
60%
50%
8,000
30%
30.2%
30.5%
30.0%
40%
0%
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
25.0%
24.0%
81.6%
83.2%
17.7%
16.4%
18.4%
16.8%
20%
2016F
0%
2009
2016F
2010
21.9%
83.6%
2015
2009
22.1%
82.3%
20%
10%
76.0%
2014
29.3%
75.0%
2013
30.6%
78.1%
2012
30.7%
2,000
77.9%
2011
33.9%
60%
2010
37.2%
Capital Expenditures
80%
40%
6,000
4,000
Current Expenditures
100%
20
18
16
14
12
10
8
6
4
2
0
www.bgeo.com
May 2016
Georgia
Bulgaria
Hungary
Albania
Belarus
Armenia
Estonia
Russia
Macedonia
Poland
Serbia
Lithuania
Latvia
2013
2014F
2015F
Turkey
Romania
Croatia
Croatia
Poland
Bulgaria
Russia
Hungary
Lithuania
Macedonia
2013
2014F
2015F
Source: IMF
Serbia
Albania
Romania
Belarus
Estonia
Latvia
Georgia
Armenia
Turkey
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
Source: IMF
page 78
Fiscal Performance
Consolidated budget tax revenues
GEL mln
1000
900
800
700
600
500
400
300
200
100
0
100%
+11.5%
82.2%
80%
53.7%
60%
+8.2%
40%
-1.1%
+14.1%
20%
7.3%
12.7%
0%
-3.1%
-20%
-12.8%
-40%
Jan
Feb Mar
2014
2015
2016
Source: Ministry of Finance
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
1Q15
1Q16
Sources: Ministry of Finance
350
2,378
2,500
287.8
300
1,990
2,267
2,050
2,000
250
200
190.7
150
1,500
168.0
160.8
1,000
102.7
100
67.4
500
50
0
0
Operating Balance, GEL mn
1Q14
1Q15
1Q16
1Q16 plan
1Q16 actual
www.bgeo.com
May 2016
page 79
12
8.0
10.0
10
8.0
7.5
8
5.9
6
4
1.8
0.4
1.4
2.5
0.5
2.0
4.4
0.7
3.3
0.6
1.2
6.1
5.2
0.9
9.3
1.4
1.6
4.3
1.7
1.3
7.7
7.7
8.3
5.2
5.0
0.7
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
5.0
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2.0
1.3
1.0
0.0
0.7
0.5
2003
2015
1.6
0.1
1.0
2.2
0.1
1.3
0.2
1.4
3.7
0.3
3.2
0.2
1.8
1.6
2.0
2009
2010
2011
0.9
1.1
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
3.1
3.1
2.6
2.6
3.0
3.0
3.2
2012
2013
2014
2015
Exports, 2015
Imports, 2015
Other 13%
Oil imports
1Q16 imports US$93.2mln, down 28.1% y-o-y
Other 18%
EU 33%
EU 29%
UAE 3%
USA 3%
1,200
Canada
3%
900
Uzbekista
n 4%
300
100%
762
600
336
443
556
555
697
657
25%
Turkey
17%
Russia 8%
Russia 7%
Armenia
8%
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
2009
2008
2007
2006
Turkey
9%
-50%
2005
China 6%
Azerbaijan
7%
-25%
-600
2004
Azerbaijan
11%
0%
-300
2003
USA 5%
75%
50%
105 186
Ukraine
6%
China 7%
6.2
0.4
2.5
1.3
0.7
0.9
1.9
1.6
0.6
1.1
2.5
2.1
1.3
7.0
0.9
0.5
3.2
0.2
7.2
Japan 3%
2.5
3.0
0.0
2004
4.0
7.4
0
2003
6.0
6.0
4.0
1.1
6.7
6.2
4.9
7.0
9.0
1.7
1.0
3.6
2.6
9.1
Sources: Geostat
www.bgeo.com
May 2016
page 80
19.8%
2.0
15.3%
12.2%
1.5
7.7%
6.1% 7.0%
5.8% 5.8%
7.0%
6,000
20%
5,000
15%
4,000
10%
1,000
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
2009
2008
2007
2006
2005
4,000
763
313 368 56073
146
29
17
1,000
0
FDI as a % of GDP
www.bgeo.com
May 2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
2009
2008
2007
2006
252
200
100
0
92
54
382
3
72
13
77
32
63
92
49
57
89
79
94
302
273
287
256
283
2016F
2005
259
159
87
2015
315
182
2014
213
2004
420
148
2013
767
755
400
300
121
2012
909
124
400
2011
949
918
600
1,263
500
2010
4.2%
1,322
9%
8%
7%
6%
5%
4%
3%
2%
1%
0%
2009
1,168
5.4%
1,226
6.5%
2008
4.9%
8.2%
8.2% 8.1%
7.7%
7.6%
2007
1,200
600
2003
1,400
200
1,155
800
208
741
460
294
243
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Sources: Geostat
1,000
3,000
2,032
1,500
1,052 1,290
2006
2004
0%
2003
0.0
6,000
5,000
2,822
3,000
5%
5,898
4,428
2,000
0.5
FDI, US$ bn
5,392 5,516
2005
8.5%
10.6% 9.7%
9.7%
25%
2004
1.0
page 81
30%
16%
15%
20%
9%
8%
8%
11%
10%
6%
6%
6.2%
2009
2010
-10.5%
-10.3%
3.9%
5.1%
2011
2012
2013
-12.8%
-11.7%
8.1%
8.7%
2014
2015
-10.6%
-11.8%
0%
2003
2004
-10%
2006
2007
2008
-5.8%
-7.0%
-9.7%
-20%
2005
-11.1%
-15.1%
-19.8%
-30%
-22.0%
-40%
Goods, net
Services, net
Income, net
Transfers, net
CA deficit
net FDI
19.8%
3.5
3.0
0.5
0.4 0.5
2015
2014
0.0
2013
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
2009
2008
2007
2006
2005
2004
2003
0%
0.9
1.0
2012
8.4%
2.5
1.5
2008
7.7%
2007
5.9% 6.0%
6.9%
1.4
1.5
2006
2%
7.4% 8.3%
2.7
2.3
2.0
2005
6%
4%
6.1%
9.7%
2004
8%
7.0%
2003
7.0%
2002
10%
10.6%
9.7%
8.5%
2.1
2001
12%
2.5
2000
14%
2011
12.2%
US$ bln
2010
16%
2009
15.3%
1998
18%
1999
20%
FDI to GDP, %
Capital goods imports to GDP, %
Source: Geostat, NBG
www.bgeo.com
May 2016
Source: NBG
page 82
Jan-11
Source: IMF
Note: Jan2005=100
www.bgeo.com
May 2016
Jun-13
4.1%
Mar-16
Dec-15
Aug-15
May-15
Feb-15
Nov-14
Jul-14
Apr-14
Jan-14
Sep-13
Jan-13
Feb-13
Mar-13
Apr-13
May-13
Jun-13
Jul-13
Aug-13
Sep-13
Oct-13
Nov-13
Dec-13
Jan-14
Feb-14
Mar-14
Apr-14
May-14
Jun-14
Jul-14
Aug-14
Sep-14
Oct-14
Nov-14
Dec-14
Jan-15
Feb-15
Mar-15
Apr-15
May-15
Jun-15
Jul-15
Aug-15
Sep-15
Oct-15
Nov-15
Dec-15
Jan-16
Feb-16
Mar-16
9%
8%
7%
6%
5%
4%
3%
2%
1%
0%
-1%
-2%
-3%
9%
8%
7%
6%
5%
4%
3%
2%
1%
0%
-1%
-2%
-3%
Sources: Geostat
250
230
210
190
170
150
130
110
90
70
50
Jan-13
Feb-13
Mar-13
Apr-13
May-13
Jun-13
Jul-13
Aug-13
Sep-13
Oct-13
Nov-13
Dec-13
Jan-14
Feb-14
Mar-14
Apr-14
May-14
Jun-14
Jul-14
Aug-14
Sep-14
Oct-14
Nov-14
Dec-14
Jan-15
Feb-15
Mar-15
Apr-15
May-15
Jun-15
Jul-15
Aug-15
Sep-15
Oct-15
Nov-15
Dec-15
Jan-16
Feb-16
Mar-16
Total
Non-energy
Energy
Mar-13
Dec-12
Aug-12
May-12
Feb-12
Oct-11
Jul-11
Apr-11
2.0%
2.0%
1.5%
1.5%
1.0%
1.0%
0.5%
0.5%
0.0%
0.0%
-0.5%
-0.3% -0.5%
-1.0%
-1.0%
-1.5%
-1.5%
Sources: Geostat
10%
8%
6%
4.8%
4%
2%
0%
-2%
Source: GeoStat
page 83
International reserves
250 220
200
US$
150
100
50
0
-50
-100
-80
-150
sale
120
40 40
US$ purchase
-15 -20
-40
-120
Sources: NBG
Note: May 2016 data provided as of 5 May 2016
Dollarization
80%
80%
75%
75%
70%
70%
65%
65%
60%
60%
55%
55%
Jan-11
Mar-11
May-11
Jul-11
Sep-11
Nov-11
Jan-12
Mar-12
May-12
Jul-12
Sep-12
Nov-12
Jan-13
Mar-13
May-13
Jul-13
Sep-13
Nov-13
Jan-14
Mar-14
May-14
Jul-14
Sep-14
Nov-14
Jan-15
Mar-15
May-15
Jul-15
Sep-15
Nov-15
Jan-16
Mar-16
May-16
Jan-16
Mar-16
Nov-15
Jul-15
Sep-15
May-15
Jan-15
Mar-15
Nov-14
Jul-14
Sep-14
May-14
Mar-14
Jan-14
Nov-13
Sep-13
Jul-13
9%
8%
7%
6%
5%
4%
3%
2%
1%
0%
May-13
9%
8%
7%
6%
5%
4%
3%
2%
1%
0%
Jan-13
60
27 20 20 20
Sources: NBG
Mar-13
40 40
Jan-14
Feb-14
Mar-14
Apr-14
May-14
Jun-14
Jul-14
Aug-14
Sep-14
Oct-14
Nov-14
Dec-14
Jan-15
Feb-15
Mar-15
Apr-15
May-15
Jun-15
Jul-15
Aug-15
Sep-15
Oct-15
Nov-15
Dec-15
Jan-16
Feb-16
Mar-16
Apr-16
May-16
Jan-16
Mar-16
Nov-15
Jul-15
Mar-15
Jan-14
Sep-15
0.0
May-15
0.0
Jan-15
0.5
Nov-14
1.0
0.5
Jul-14
1.5
1.0
Sep-14
1.5
May-14
2.0
Mar-14
2.0
Nov-13
2.5
Jul-13
2.5
Sep-13
3.0
May-13
3.0
Jan-13
3.5
Mar-13
3.5
Deposit dollarization
Loan dollarization
Source: NBG
Source: NBG
24.9%
www.bgeo.com
May 2016
page 84
FX reserves
US$ 2.5 bln reserves as of March 2016
US$ bln
90
85
85
Jan-03
Jul-03
Feb-04
Aug-04
Mar-05
Sep-05
Apr-06
Nov-06
May-07
Dec-07
Jun-08
Jan-09
Jul-09
Feb-10
Sep-10
Mar-11
Oct-11
Apr-12
Nov-12
May-13
Dec-13
Jul-14
Jan-15
Aug-15
Feb-16
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
FX Reserves
M2 multiplier
Sources: NBG
95
90
Sources: NBG
0%
-10%
-20%
Jan-03
Jul-03
Feb-04
Aug-04
Mar-05
Sep-05
Apr-06
Nov-06
May-07
Dec-07
Jun-08
Jan-09
Jul-09
Feb-10
Sep-10
Mar-11
Oct-11
Apr-12
Nov-12
May-13
Dec-13
Jul-14
Jan-15
Aug-15
Feb-16
-30%
0%
-10%
-20%
-30%
Lari appreciation
-40%
Sep-05
10%
Apr-06
Nov-06
20%
10%
Mar-05
30%
30%
20%
Feb-04
40%
40%
Lari deppriciation
Aug-04
50%
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
-10%
-20%
-30%
-40%
-50%
-60%
-70%
Jul-03
16%
14%
12%
10%
8%
6%
4%
2%
0%
-2%
-4%
-6%
60%
Jan-03
70%
M2 and USD/GEL
Feb-16
0.0
100
95
Aug-15
0.9
105
100
Jul-14
Jan-15
0.5
110
105
Dec-13
0.4
115
110
Nov-12
0.2
1.5
120
115
May-13
0.5
1.4
2.5
125
120
Oct-11
1.0
2.7
1.6
1.4
1.2
1
0.8
0.6
0.4
0.2
0
Apr-12
2.1
1.5
2.3
2.8
1.3
Mar-11
2.0
2.9
1.3
Jul-09
2.8
1.4
Feb-10
Sep-10
1.2
1.3
Jan-09
0.9
1.2
1.3
Jun-08
2.5
1.2
1.1
1.4
130
125
Dec-07
3.0
1.3
135
130
May-07
3.5
135
www.bgeo.com
May 2016
page 85
NPLs, 2015
27.7% CAGR
Turkey
Georgia
Austria
Belgium
Denmark
Latvia
Belarus
Slovakia
Czech Rep.
Lithuania
Kosovo
Russia
Malta
Armenia
Macedonia
Slovenia
Kazakhstan
Hungary
Romania
Bos. & Herz.
Moldova
Croatia
Ukraine
30
25.2
25
20.6
20
17.3
14.4
15
12.7
10.6
8.9
10
5
7.2
1.30.8 1.70.9
0.7
1.0
2.5
1.7
1.3
4.2
2.7
2.1
4.6
3.2
6.0
3.6
8.3
5.2
4.0
6.35.5
7.7
6.7
8.6
7.6
10.5
9.7
13.0
11.6
16.0
14.3
0
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Assets
Loans
Deposits
Source: NBG
2.7
3.3
3.5
4.0
4.4
4.6
5.1
5.3
5.6
6.7
7.1
7.4
8.6
9.1
11.0
11.5
12.4
12.7
13.9
14.1
14.4
17.1
24.3
Source: WB
www.bgeo.com
May 2016
page 86
22%
8%
9%
6%
7%
2003
2004
6%
6%
6%
8%
6%
10% 10%
25%
20%
22% 23%
17% 17% 17% 17% 18% 18% 20%
10% 13%
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
35%
30%
14%
15% 15%
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
15%
5%
0%
2015
9%
18% 21%
13% 11% 11% 13% 14%
2007
2008
10%
3%
3%
4%
6%
2003
2004
2005
2006
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
25%
2015
Country
Fitch
Rating Outlook
Sector Outlook
Armenia
Negative
Negative
Azerbaijan
Stable
Negative
Belarus
Stable
Negative
20%
Georgia
BB
Stable
Stable
10%
10%
Kazakhstan
Stable
Negative
0%
0%
Russia
BB
Negative
Negative
Ukraine
CCC
None
Negative
Uzbekistan
Stable
Stable
20%
Turkey
30%
Bulgaria
40%
30%
Czech Rep
40%
Georgia
50%
Ukraine
50%
Armenia
60%
Azerbaijan
70%
60%
Kazakhstan
70%
Moldova
80%
Belarus
80%
Source: Fitch
www.bgeo.com
May 2016
page 87
20%
15%
29.2%
0%
-10%
-20%
-10.4%
-15.3%
10%
-40%
12%
5%
-50%
0%
0%
-70%
-5%
-80%
15.5%
Source: IMF
Note: Feb-2016 vs Aug-2014; Armenias reserves exclude a US$ 500mn Eurobond issued in March 2015
End-2015
-37.2%
-75.7%
Armenia Georgia
Turkey
Moldova
Russia Kazakhstan Belarus Azerbaijan Ukraine
USD/AMD USD/GEL USD/TYR USD/MDL USD/RUB USD/KZT USD/BYR USD/AZN USD/UAH
40%
-34.6%
Reserve loss, %
Georgia
-12%
-18.2%
-32.6%
-60%
45%
-15.9%
-30%
Azerbaijan
25%
Moldova
24%
51.5%
Belarus
22.8%
24.6%
48.7%
Turkey
36%
47.9%
Ukraine
48%
46.1%
Armenia
45.7%
Russia
60%
30%
Latest-2016
35%
25%
30%
20%
End-2014
End-2015
Latest-2016
25%
15%
20%
15%
10%
10%
5%
5%
0%
Belarus
Ukraine
Moldova
Kazakhstan
Russia
Armenia
Georgia
Turkey
Ukraine
Kazakhstan
Belarus
Azerbaijan
Moldova
Turkey
Russia
Georgia
Armenia
Source: Central banks
Azerbaijan
0%
-5%
www.bgeo.com
May 2016
page 88
30%
0.8
23%
0.5
15%
0.3
80%
120
60%
80
40%
8%
40
20%
0.0
0%
0%
-0.3
-8%
-40
-20%
-0.5
-15%
-80
-40%
Jan-14
Feb-14
Mar-14
Apr-14
May-14
Jun-14
Jul-14
Aug-14
Sep-14
Oct-14
Nov-14
Dec-14
Jan-15
Feb-15
Mar-15
Apr-15
May-15
Jun-15
Jul-15
Aug-15
Sep-15
Oct-15
Nov-15
Dec-15
Jan-16
Feb-16
Mar-16
Jan-14
Feb-14
Mar-14
Apr-14
May-14
Jun-14
Jul-14
Aug-14
Sep-14
Oct-14
Nov-14
Dec-14
Jan-15
Feb-15
Mar-15
Apr-15
May-15
Jun-15
Jul-15
Aug-15
Sep-15
Oct-15
Nov-15
Dec-15
Jan-16
Feb-16
Mar-16
160
International arrivals, mn
% change, y/y
Inflow, US$ mn
% change, y/y
Source: NBG
Source: GNTA
300
40%
40%
200
27%
30%
29%
100
13%
0%
20%
20%
10% 8%
6%
10%
2%
13%
19% 20%
14%
10%12%
9% 9%
2%
0%
0%
-13%
-200
-27%
-40%
Jan-14
Feb-14
Mar-14
Apr-14
May-14
Jun-14
Jul-14
Aug-14
Sep-14
Oct-14
Nov-14
Dec-14
Jan-15
Feb-15
Mar-15
Apr-15
May-15
Jun-15
Jul-15
Aug-15
Sep-15
Oct-15
Nov-15
Dec-15
Jan-16
Feb-16
Mar-16
-300
Exports, US$ mn
% change y/y, exports
Source: GeoStat
www.bgeo.com
May 2016
-10%
-10%
-20%
-18%
-30%
-27%
-40%
-6%
-14%
-16% -14%
-19%
-25% -26%
-35%
Jan-14
Feb-14
Mar-14
Apr-14
May-14
Jun-14
Jul-14
Aug-14
Sep-14
Oct-14
Nov-14
Dec-14
Jan-15
Feb-15
Mar-15
Apr-15
May-15
Jun-15
Jul-15
Aug-15
Sep-15
Oct-15
Nov-15
Dec-15
Jan-16
Feb-16
Mar-16
-100
Source: GeoStat
Note: Excluding one-offs
page 89
Contents
Appendices
www.bgeo.com
May 2016
Analyst Coverage
Express Banking
Solo Banking
Financial Statements
page 90
16.Feb.2016
16.Feb.2016
25.Feb.2015
16.Feb.2016
17.Dec.2015
www.bgeo.com
May 2016
14.Apr.2016
GBP 22.25
GBP 18.00
GBP 24.00
GBP 21.50
05.Feb.2016
GBP 26.69
GBP 23.50
22.Feb.2016
GBP 22.66
GBP 26.00
16.Feb.2016
GBP 25.60
GBP 26.19
21.Dec.2015
GBP 26.80
page 91
www.bgeo.com
May 2016
page 92
25,928
x2
19,041
7,363
Express branches
5,621
49%
4,949
4,676
ATMs
3,806
47%
3,172
6,008
POS terminals
1Q16
4,210
1Q15
x2
3,058
1Q14
7,148
Express cards
5,269
x2
3,625
1,273
Internet banking
1,051
28%
994
488
Mobile banking
x3
324
176
-
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
35,000
4,319,801
Tellers
4,210,509
+9%
3,956,472
www.bgeo.com
May 2016
page 93
SOLO Lounges
New Solo offers:
Tailor made
banking solutions
New financial
products such as
bonds
Concierge-style
environment
Access to exclusive
products and
events
Lifestyle
opportunities
3x higher new
clients
attracted per
banker ratio,
compared to
same period
last year
www.bgeo.com
May 2016
page 94
Decision to
invest
Year
2011
EV/EBITDA
Investment per bed
BGH Investment
GEL mln
145
530
2012
Imedi L acquisition
9.6
22.9
8
11
206
425
60
82.4
4
1
1
578
152
60
27.5
1
1
3
450
80
46
2,686
2013
GEL 56k
32.5
2014
Expanding into Tbilisi
Accelerate
growth
Acquired Avante
Acquired Sunstone
Acquired Traumatology
2015
Acquired HTMC
Acquired Deka
110.0
Total (as of March 2016)
www.bgeo.com
May 2016
142.5
page 95
2011-2015
2015
invested
valued
IPO
Investment
Valued
(GEL mln)
(GEL mln)
142
553
www.bgeo.com
May 2016
page 96
1Q16
224,810
(95,958)
128,852
38,149
(10,335)
27,814
17,390
2,867
21,824
(15,408)
6,416
58,348
(32,057)
26,291
28,764
(22,740)
6,024
3,606
219,260
(47,413)
(25,062)
(9,138)
(1,675)
(83,288)
135,972
1,866
(4,910)
(766)
956
(1,382)
131,736
(32,218)
(513)
(3,412)
(36,143)
95,593
1,366
96,959
(9,912)
87,047
BGEO Consolidated
1Q15 Change
4Q15
Y-O-Y
%
199,698
12.6%
228,212
(78,709)
21.9%
(96,778)
120,989
6.5%
131,434
35,991
6.0%
42,110
(9,137)
13.1%
(10,471)
26,854
3.6%
31,639
18,962
-8.3%
19,525
1,790
60.2%
9,318
21,709
0.5%
24,476
(14,135)
9.0%
(17,743)
7,574
-15.3%
6,733
40,017
45.8%
53,089
(23,140)
38.5%
(29,244)
16,877
55.8%
23,845
4,074
606.0%
47,638
(2,865)
NMF
(34,869)
1,209
398.3%
12,769
1,398
157.9%
11,271
195,653
12.1%
246,534
(45,742)
3.7%
(47,158)
(21,056)
19.0%
(26,716)
(8,373)
9.1%
(8,982)
(887)
88.8%
(1,406)
(76,058)
9.5%
(84,262)
119,595
13.7%
162,272
(1,310)
NMF
1,938
(2,688)
82.7%
(4,731)
3,690
NMF
(3,416)
617
54.9%
602
(2,463)
-43.9%
(3,166)
117,441
12.2%
153,499
(38,928)
-17.2%
(33,929)
(119)
NMF
(215)
(2,794)
22.1%
(1,878)
(41,841)
-13.6%
(36,022)
75,600
26.4%
117,477
(2,447)
NMF
(6,227)
73,153
32.5%
111,250
(10,814)
-8.3%
(15,578)
62,339
39.6%
95,672
Change
Q-O-Q
%
-1.5%
-0.8%
-2.0%
-9.4%
-1.3%
-12.1%
-10.9%
-69.2%
-10.8%
-13.2%
-4.7%
9.9%
9.6%
10.3%
-39.6%
-34.8%
-52.8%
-68.0%
-11.1%
0.5%
-6.2%
1.7%
19.1%
-1.2%
-16.2%
-3.7%
3.8%
-77.6%
58.8%
-56.3%
-14.2%
-5.0%
138.6%
81.7%
0.3%
-18.6%
NMF
-12.8%
-36.4%
-9.0%
80,836
6,211
62,640
(301)
29.0%
NMF
92,287
3,385
-12.4%
83.5%
2.10
1.63
28.8%
2.42
-13.2%
www.bgeo.com
May 2016
1Q16
226,217
(95,998)
130,219
38,484
(10,469)
28,015
17,390
3,168
9,550
(4,207)
5,343
184,135
(39,806)
(20,058)
(9,138)
(861)
(69,863)
114,272
114,272
(32,218)
(513)
(2,281)
(35,012)
79,260
(1,419)
77,841
(8,178)
69,663
68,620
1,043
Banking Business
1Q15 Change
4Q15
Y-O-Y
%
202,353
11.8% 230,833
(79,295)
21.1% (96,616)
123,058
5.8% 134,217
37,343
42,856
3.1%
(9,253)
13.1% (10,590)
28,090
32,266
-0.3%
18,962
19,525
-8.3%
2,095
9,699
51.2%
9,242
10,810
3.3%
(3,936)
(5,369)
6.9%
5,306
5,441
0.7%
177,511
3.7% 201,148
(38,606)
3.1% (39,304)
(17,506)
14.6% (21,657)
(8,373)
(8,982)
9.1%
(792)
(1,229)
8.7%
(65,277)
7.0% (71,172)
112,234
1.8% 129,976
112,234
1.8% 129,976
(38,928)
-17.2% (33,929)
(119)
(215)
NMF
(1,724)
(1,086)
32.3%
(40,771) -14.1% (35,230)
71,463
94,746
10.9%
(2,167)
(2,502)
-34.5%
69,296
92,244
12.3%
(10,486)
-22.0% (11,653)
58,810
80,591
18.5%
58,247
563
17.8%
85.3%
79,425
1,166
Change
Q-O-Q
%
-2.0%
-0.6%
-3.0%
-10.2%
-1.1%
-13.2%
-10.9%
-67.3%
-11.7%
-21.6%
-1.8%
-8.5%
1.3%
-7.4%
1.7%
-29.9%
-1.8%
-12.1%
-12.1%
-5.0%
138.6%
110.0%
-0.6%
-16.3%
-43.3%
-15.6%
-29.8%
-13.6%
1Q16
12,924
(11,201)
1,723
58,348
(32,057)
26,291
28,764
(22,740)
6,024
3,675
37,713
(8,250)
(5,392)
(814)
(14,456)
23,257
1,866
(4,910)
(766)
964
(2,947)
17,464
(1,131)
(1,131)
16,333
2,785
19,118
(1,734)
17,384
-13.6%
-10.5%
12,216
5,168
Investment Business
1Q15 Change
4Q15
Y-O-Y
%
12,890
0.3%
14,500
(10,199)
9.8%
(12,374)
2,691
-36.0%
2,126
40,017
45.8%
53,089
(23,140)
38.5%
(29,244)
16,877
55.8%
23,845
4,074
606.0%
47,638
(2,865)
NMF
(34,869)
1,209
398.3%
12,769
1,543
138.2%
11,157
22,320
69.0%
49,897
(7,531)
9.5%
(8,487)
(4,028)
33.9%
(5,916)
(95)
NMF
(177)
(11,654)
24.0%
(14,580)
10,666
118.0%
35,317
(1,310)
NMF
1,938
(2,688)
82.7%
(4,731)
3,690
NMF
(3,416)
818
17.8%
957
(5,969)
-50.6%
(6,542)
5,207
235.4%
23,523
(1,070)
5.7%
(792)
(1,070)
5.7%
(792)
4,137
294.8%
22,731
(280)
NMF
(3,725)
3,857
395.7%
19,006
(328)
NMF
(3,925)
3,529
392.6%
15,081
4,393
(864)
178.1%
NMF
12,862
2,219
1Q16
Eliminations
1Q15
Change
Q-O-Q
%
-10.9%
-9.5%
-19.0%
9.9%
9.6%
10.3%
-39.6%
-34.8%
-52.8%
-67.1%
-24.4%
-2.8%
-8.9%
NMF
-0.9%
-34.1%
-3.7%
3.8%
-77.6%
0.7%
-55.0%
-25.8%
42.8%
42.8%
-28.1%
NMF
0.6%
-55.8%
15.3%
4Q15
(1,407)
40
(1,367)
(335)
134
(201)
(301)
(650)
(650)
(69)
(2,588)
643
388
1,031
(1,557)
(8)
1,565
-
(2,655)
586
(2,069)
(1,352)
116
(1,236)
(305)
(423)
(423)
(145)
(4,178)
395
478
873
(3,305)
(201)
3,506
-
(2,621)
(162)
(2,783)
(746)
119
(627)
(381)
(834)
(834)
114
(4,511)
633
857
1,490
(3,021)
(355)
3,376
-
-5.0%
132.9%
page 97
Mar-16
BGEO Consolidated
Mar-15 Change
Dec-15
Y-O-Y
Change
Q-O-Q
Mar-16
Banking Business
Mar-15 Change
Dec-15
Y-O-Y
Change
Q-O-Q
Mar-16
Investment Business
Mar-15
Change
Dec-15
Y-O-Y
Change
Q-O-Q
Mar-16
Eliminations
Mar-15
Dec-15
(107,412) (236,101)
1,359,219
1,000,713
35.8%
1,432,934
-5.1%
1,330,094
997,547
33.3%
1,378,459
-3.5%
288,512
110,578
160.9%
290,576
-0.7%
(259,387)
764,435
545,714
40.1%
731,365
4.5%
720,442
523,663
37.6%
721,802
-0.2%
47,936
87,478
-45.2%
15,730
204.7%
(3,943)
(65,427)
(6,167)
Investment securities
825,045
880,799
-6.3%
903,867
-8.7%
825,821
881,098
-6.3%
906,730
-8.9%
1,154
1,153
0.1%
1,153
0.1%
(1,930)
(1,452)
(4,016)
5,359,718
84,715
54,879
67,633
5,156,386
73,315
58,816
42,748
3.9%
15.5%
-6.7%
58.2%
5,322,117
87,972
39,226
58,328
0.7%
-3.7%
39.9%
16.0%
5,394,565
5,144
16,567
24,649
5,248,559
13,063
22,337
24,969
2.8%
-60.6%
-25.8%
-1.3%
5,366,764
10,376
19,829
21,033
0.5%
-50.4%
-16.5%
17.2%
81,955
39,347
42,984
64,947
37,205
17,779
26.2%
5.8%
141.8%
82,354
20,929
37,295
-0.5%
88.0%
15.3%
(34,847)
(2,384)
(1,035)
-
(92,173)
(4,695)
(726)
-
(44,647)
(4,758)
(1,532)
-
Inventories
125,466
113,322
10.7%
127,027
-1.2%
9,686
7,697
25.8%
9,439
2.6%
115,780
105,625
9.6%
117,588
-1.5%
Investment property
254,224
194,623
30.6%
246,398
3.2%
134,310
128,376
4.6%
135,453
-0.8%
119,914
66,247
81.0%
110,945
8.1%
835,651
73,192
43,074
36,712
618,474
51,745
33,443
24,943
35.1%
41.4%
28.8%
47.2%
794,682
72,984
40,516
21,550
5.2%
0.3%
6.3%
70.4%
333,243
49,592
37,609
27,321
334,516
39,781
31,761
17,602
-0.4%
24.7%
18.4%
55.2%
337,064
49,592
35,162
16,003
-1.1%
0.0%
7.0%
70.7%
502,408
23,600
5,465
9,391
283,958
11,964
1,682
7,341
76.9%
97.3%
224.9%
27.9%
457,618
23,392
5,354
5,547
9.8%
0.9%
2.1%
69.3%
(10,066)
(6,437)
Other assets
193,626
235,012
-17.6%
236,773
-18.2%
121,012
176,982
-31.6%
163,731
-26.1%
75,515
68,096
10.9%
79,479
-5.0%
(2,901)
10,077,589
4,698,558
1,719,920
9,030,053
4,099,029
1,780,636
11.6%
14.6%
-3.4%
10,115,739
4,751,387
1,789,062
-0.4%
-1.1%
-3.9%
9,030,055
4,962,432
1,630,299
8,447,951
4,271,854
1,694,668
6.9%
16.2%
-3.8%
9,171,437
4,993,681
1,692,557
-1.5%
-0.6%
-3.7%
1,353,961
124,468
864,053
181,773
56.7%
-31.5%
1,247,960
144,534
8.5%
-13.9%
(306,427)
(263,874)
(34,847)
1,033,758
1,026,689
0.7%
1,039,804
-0.6%
957,474
962,587
-0.5%
961,944
-0.5%
81,116
66,964
21.1%
84,474
-4.0%
(4,832)
142,766
71,565
128,667
131,506
7,926,740
1,154
124,344
70,156
96,761
132,290
7,329,905
1,154
14.8%
2.0%
33.0%
-0.6%
8.1%
0.0%
146,852
55,845
124,395
134,756
8,042,101
1,154
-2.8%
28.1%
3.4%
-2.4%
-1.4%
0.0%
25,685
34,630
93,765
47,520
7,751,805
1,154
20,949
34,685
79,343
99,677
7,163,763
1,154
22.6%
-0.2%
18.2%
-52.3%
8.2%
0.0%
20,364
34,547
89,980
63,073
7,856,146
1,154
26.1%
0.2%
4.2%
-24.7%
-1.3%
0.0%
117,081
36,935
34,902
86,860
481,362
-
103,395
35,471
17,418
43,072
448,093
-
13.2%
4.1%
100.4%
101.7%
7.4%
-
126,488
21,298
34,415
78,404
489,613
-
-7.4%
73.4%
1.4%
10.8%
-1.7%
-
(2,874)
(306,427)
-
240,962
(29)
42,101
1,650,094
252,568
(34)
(30,568)
1,420,513
-4.6%
-14.7%
NMF
16.2%
240,593
(44)
32,844
1,577,050
0.2%
-34.1%
28.2%
4.6%
101,467
(29)
(55,166)
1,212,492
94,886
(34)
(20,977)
1,189,365
6.9%
-14.7%
163.0%
1.9%
101,793
(44)
(63,958)
1,257,415
-0.3%
-34.1%
-13.7%
-3.6%
139,495
97,267
437,602
157,682
(9,591)
231,148
-11.5%
NMF
89.3%
138,800
96,802
319,635
0.5%
0.5%
36.9%
1,934,282
1,643,633
17.7%
1,851,597
4.5%
1,259,918
1,264,394
-0.4%
1,296,360
-2.8%
674,364
379,239
77.8%
555,237
21.5%
216,567
2,150,849
10,077,589
56,515
1,700,148
9,030,053
283.2%
26.5%
11.6%
222,041
2,073,638
10,115,739
-2.5%
3.7%
-0.4%
18,332
1,278,250
9,030,055
19,794
1,284,188
8,447,951
-7.4%
-0.5%
6.9%
18,931
1,315,291
9,171,437
-3.2%
-2.8%
-1.5%
198,235
872,599
1,353,961
36,721
415,960
864,053
439.8%
109.8%
56.7%
203,110
758,347
1,247,960
-2.4%
15.1%
8.5%
(306,427)
50.29
42.71
17.7%
48.75
3.2%
Total assets
Client deposits and notes
Amounts due to credit institutions
Non-controlling interests
Total equity
Total liabilities and equity
Book value per share
www.bgeo.com
May 2016
(281,951) (303,658)
(172,825) (242,294)
(95,805) (48,029)
(2,862)
(6,614)
(10,459)
(6,721)
(281,951) (303,658)
-
(281,951) (303,658)
page 98
Income Statement
GEL thousands; unless otherwise noted
Revenue, gross
Corrections & rebates
Revenue, net
Cost of services
Cost of salaries and other employee benefits
Cost of materials and supplies
Cost of medical service providers
Cost of utilities and other
Net insurance claims incurred
Gross profit
Salaries and other employee benefits
General and administrative expenses
Impairment of healthcare services, insurance
premiums and other receivables
Other operating income
EBITDA
Change,
Y-o-Y
41.4%
-57.2%
43.7%
35.9%
30.9%
48.3%
-8.5%
43.7%
54.4%
15.1%
39.7%
Medical insurance
4Q15
Change,
Q-o-Q
9.0%
-62.2%
10.4%
10.0%
8.2%
8.4%
-27.9%
40.1%
10.9%
-1.0%
11.9%
1Q16
1Q15
12,936
12,936
(11,953)
(11,953)
983
(819)
(719)
Eliminations
12,992
12,992
(10,837)
(10,837)
2,155
(1,036)
(621)
Change,
Y-o-Y
-0.4%
-0.4%
10.3%
10.3%
-54.4%
-20.9%
15.8%
14,532
14,532
(12,917)
(12,917)
1,615
(636)
(839)
1Q16
1Q15
4Q15
1Q16
1Q15
(1,705)
(1,705)
1,694
565
275
12
92
750
(11)
11
-
(1,862)
(1,862)
1,771
675
290
21
100
685
(91)
91
-
(1,293)
(1,293)
1,306
449
240
13
60
544
13
4
-
71,682
(410)
71,272
(43,257)
(19,187)
(9,338)
(416)
(3,113)
(11,203)
28,015
(6,923)
(3,202)
53,875
(957)
52,918
(33,339)
(14,417)
(6,192)
(447)
(2,131)
(10,152)
19,579
(6,259)
(2,399)
Change,
Y-o-Y
33.1%
-57.2%
34.7%
29.7%
33.1%
50.8%
-6.9%
46.1%
10.4%
43.1%
10.6%
33.5%
68,720
(1,086)
67,634
(41,618)
(17,807)
(8,631)
(580)
(2,227)
(12,373)
26,016
(6,810)
(3,058)
1Q15
60,451
(410)
60,041
(32,998)
(19,752)
(9,613)
(428)
(3,205)
27,043
(6,115)
(2,483)
42,745
(957)
41,788
(24,273)
(15,092)
(6,482)
(468)
(2,231)
17,515
(5,314)
(1,778)
(858)
(831)
3.2%
(460)
86.5%
(122)
(103)
18.4%
(152)
-19.7%
(980)
(934)
4.9%
(612)
60.1%
241
17,828
78
9,670
209.0%
84.4%
1,008
16,539
-76.1%
7.8%
(21)
(699)
47
442
NMF
NMF
(5)
(17)
320.0%
NMF
(17)
-
220
17,129
125
10,112
76.0%
69.4%
986
16,522
-77.7%
3.7%
29.8%
-0.1%
4Q15
Change,
Q-o-Q
4.3%
-62.2%
5.4%
3.9%
7.7%
8.2%
-28.3%
39.8%
-9.5%
7.7%
1.7%
4.7%
1Q16
55,481
(1,086)
54,395
(30,007)
(18,256)
(8,871)
(593)
(2,287)
24,388
(6,178)
(2,219)
4Q15
Total
Change,
Q-o-Q
-11.0%
-11.0%
-7.5%
-7.5%
-39.1%
28.8%
-14.3%
EBITDA margin
29.5%
22.6%
-5.4%
3.4%
23.9%
18.8%
(4,261)
(2,259)
(411)
1,968
12,865
(712)
12,153
(2,186)
(4,073)
2,907
(211)
6,107
(491)
5,616
94.9%
-44.5%
NMF
NMF
110.7%
45.0%
116.4%
(4,046)
(5,535)
(1,586)
484
5,856
(206)
5,650
5.3%
-59.2%
-74.1%
306.3%
119.7%
245.1%
115.1%
(204)
603
151
(149)
19
(130)
(136)
(28)
497
775
(116)
659
50.0%
NMF
-69.6%
NMF
NMF
NMF
(249)
158
(6)
(676)
(790)
192
(598)
-18.0%
282.4%
NMF
NMF
-81.1%
-90.1%
-78.3%
(4,465)
(1,656)
(260)
1,968
12,716
(693)
12,023
(2,322)
(4,101)
3,404
(211)
6,882
(607)
6,275
92.3%
-59.6%
NMF
NMF
84.8%
14.2%
91.6%
(4,295)
(5,377)
(1,592)
(192)
5,066
(14)
5,052
24.0%
4.0%
-69.2%
-83.7%
NMF
151.0%
NMF
138.0%
10,051
2,102
5,073
543
98.1%
287.1%
4,421
1,229
127.3%
71.0%
(130)
-
659
-
NMF
-
(598)
-
-78.3%
-
9,921
2,102
5,732
543
73.1%
287.1%
3,823
1,229
159.5%
71.0%
Attributable to:
- shareholders of the Company
- non-controlling interests
www.bgeo.com
May 2016
1Q16
1Q15
7,903
1,862
2,481
167
12,413
(4,490)
7,923
(2,516)
(3)
5,404
(1,144)
4,260
7,429
2,217
5,017
97
14,760
(4,254)
10,506
(4,645)
(1,098)
4,763
(1,427)
3,336
Change
Y-O-Y
%
6.4%
-16.0%
-50.5%
72.2%
-15.9%
5.5%
-24.6%
-45.8%
-99.7%
13.5%
-19.8%
27.7%
4Q15
Change
Q-O-Q
%
4.1%
-12.7%
23.4%
-90.6%
-8.1%
-26.0%
6.5%
-67.1%
NMF
79.7%
NMF
-11.4%
7,590
2,133
2,011
1,776
13,510
(6,068)
7,442
(7,651)
3,217
3,008
1,801
4,809
Mar-16
Mar-15
Change
%
Dec-15
Change
%
93,904
64,043
46.6%
109,758
-14.4%
3,986
3,575
11.5%
3,906
2.0%
319,740
297,803
7.4%
320,114
-0.1%
49,825
467,455
68,017
433,438
-26.7%
7.8%
41,705
475,483
19.5%
-1.7%
230,848
233,658
-1.2%
277,642
-16.9%
139,801
110,730
26.3%
115,643
20.9%
15,906
Other liabilities
Total liabilities
Total equity attributable to shareholders of the Group
5,409
391,964
62,908
7,816
352,204
67,452
-30.8%
11.3%
-6.7%
4,685
397,970
64,505
15.5%
-1.5%
-2.5%
Non-controlling interests
Total equity
Total liabilities and equity
12,583
75,491
467,455
13,782
81,234
433,438
-8.7%
-7.1%
7.8%
13,008
77,513
475,483
-3.3%
-2.6%
-1.7%
www.bgeo.com
May 2016
page 100
www.bgeo.com
May 2016
1Q16
1Q15
Change
Y-O-Y
%
4Q15
Change
Q-O-Q
%
725
100
(47)
131
5,665
6,574
(2,767)
3,807
(173)
3,634
(545)
3,089
546
71
528
297
5,607
7,049
(2,970)
4,079
(95)
3,984
388
4,372
32.8%
40.8%
NMF
-55.9%
1.0%
-6.7%
-6.8%
-6.7%
82.1%
-8.8%
NMF
-29.3%
590
87
(126)
351
5,423
6,325
(2,746)
3,579
(244)
(701)
2,634
(467)
2,167
22.9%
14.9%
-62.7%
-62.7%
4.5%
3.9%
0.8%
6.4%
-29.1%
-100.0%
38.0%
16.7%
42.5%
page 101
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May 2016
1Q16
1Q15
4Q15
3.0%
21.2%
24.3%
17.6%
7.5%
9.2%
3.7%
14.4%
17.4%
10.3%
3.1%
5.0%
4.3%
3.5%
4.5%
6.0%
7.2%
-3.3%
-6.6%
3.0%
19.1%
21.7%
15.1%
7.8%
9.7%
4.2%
14.6%
17.3%
11.8%
3.2%
5.0%
4.4%
4.4%
3.9%
5.2%
7.1%
17.1%
5.0%
3.5%
25.1%
27.9%
21.3%
7.6%
9.6%
3.8%
14.8%
17.9%
12.6%
3.3%
5.1%
4.4%
3.5%
4.6%
5.9%
6.8%
10.4%
-1.7%
37.9%
43.3%
27.0%
36.8%
43.7%
24.7%
35.4%
40.4%
23.6%
47.3%
37.1%
108.7%
91.6%
6.1
34.7%
33.5%
122.9%
105.2%
5.6
46.2%
38.3%
107.5%
90.8%
6.0
251,959
4.5%
86.0%
122.6%
2.3%
2.5%
2.1%
187,129
3.5%
73.2%
112.2%
3.1%
2.4%
3.4%
241,142
4.3%
83.4%
120.6%
2.4%
2.1%
1.8%
10.1%
15.8%
10.7%
16.3%
9.8%
12.9%
14.2%
12.9%
10.9%
16.7%
9.3%
16.9%
1,972
266
114
144
8
753
1,943,175
1,171,454
771,721
8,175
2,224
219
84
135
554
1,204,662
1,088,878
115,784
6,537
2,028
266
114
144
8
746
1,958,377
1,204,103
754,274
8,102
1Q16
1,972
266
114
144
8
753
1,943,175
1,171,454
771,721
8,175
1Q16
16,086
4,580
9,675
59
259
562
951
Shares Outstanding
Ordinary Shares Outstanding
Treasury Shares Outstanding
1Q15
2,224
219
84
135
554
1,204,662
1,088,878
115,784
6,537
1Q15
14,737
3,799
8,177
57
262
480
1,962
4Q15
2,028
266
114
144
8
746
1,958,377
1,204,103
754,274
8,102
4Q15
15,955
4,523
9,649
58
251
540
934
1Q16
1Q15
4Q15
38,523,409
976,911
38,479,900
1,020,420
37,978,568
1,521,752
Change
GEL thousands
31-Mar-16
31-Dec-15
31-Mar-15
5,843,131
5,938,257
5,517,105
5.9%
1,711,883
1,800,287
1,810,010
-5.4%
-4.9%
739,547
624,825
624,825
18.4%
18.4%
8,294,561
8,363,369
7,951,940
4.3%
-0.8%
Y-O-Y, %
Q-O-Q, %
-1.6%
page 102
13 Cost of Risk equals impairment charge for loans to customers and finance lease receivables for the period divided by monthly average gross loans to customers and
finance lease receivables over the same period;
14 New NBG (Basel 2/3) Tier I Capital Adequacy ratio equals Tier I Capital divided by total risk weighted assets, both calculated in accordance with the requirements the
National Bank of Georgia instructions;
15 New NBG (Basel 2/3) Total Capital Adequacy ratio equals total capital divided by total risk weighted assets, both calculated in accordance with the requirements of the
National Bank of Georgia instructions;
16 Old NBG Tier I Capital Adequacy ratio equals Tier I Capital divided by total risk weighted assets, both calculated in accordance with the requirements the National Bank
of Georgia instructions;
17 Old NBG Total Capital Adequacy ratio equals total capital divided by total risk weighted Assets, both calculated in accordance with the requirements of the National
Bank of Georgia instructions;
18 NMF Not meaningful
19 Constant currency basis changes assuming constant exchange rate
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May 2016
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