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Capturing Growth Opportunities

Investor Presentation: 1Q16 Results

www.bgeo.com
May 2016

Disclaimer

Forward Looking Statements


This presentation contains forward-looking statements that are based on current beliefs or expectations, as well as assumptions about future
events. These forward-looking statements can be identified by the fact that they do not relate only to historical or current facts. Forwardlooking statements often use words such as anticipate, target, expect, estimate, intend, plan, goal, believe, will, may, should, would, could or
other words similar meaning. Undue reliance should not be placed on any such statement because, by their very nature, they are subject to
known and unknown risks and uncertainties and can be affected by other factors that could cause actual results, and BGEO Group plc and
its subsidiaries (the "BGEO Group")s plans and objectives, to differ materially from those expressed or implied in the forward-looking
statements.
There are various factors which could cause actual results to differ materially from those expressed or implied in forward-looking
statements. Among the factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those described in the forward-looking statements are
changes in the global, political, economic, legal, business and social environment. The forward-looking statements in this presentation
speak only as of the date of this presentation. The BGEO Group undertakes no obligation to revise or update any forward-looking statement
contained within this presentation, regardless of whether those statements are affected as a result of new information , future events or
otherwise.

www.bgeo.com
May 2016

page 2

Contents

BGEO Group PLC | Overview


Results Discussion | BGEO Group PLC

Results Discussion | Banking Business


Results Discussion | Investment Business
Georgian Macro Overview

Appendices

www.bgeo.com
May 2016

page 3

BGEO Group structure


Investors

Regular dividends

Capital Returns

Cash buffer
Investment Business

Banking Business

GGU

BGEO
Group

Water utility and hydro

Retail
Banking

Corporate
Banking
Aldagi
(P&C
Insurance)

www.bgeo.com
May 2016

Investment
Management
BNB
(Bank in
Belarus)

M2

GHG
(Healthcare)

GRE
(Renewable
Energy)

GGU

(Real
Estate)

(Utilities)
Teliani
Valley
(Wine &
Beer)

page 4

BGEO Shareholder structure and share price


BGEO shareholder structure

BGEO top shareholders

As of 31 March 2016

As of 31 March 2016

3%

Unvested and unawarded shares for


management and employees
Vested shares held by management
and employees
UK/Ireland

2%

16%

9%
38%

Rank

US/Canada

Shareholder name

Ownership %

Schroders Investment Management

9.63

Harding Loevner Management LP

9.19

Westwood International Advisors

4.25

Artemis Investment Management

3.56

Firebird Management LLC

2.85

Scandinavia
32%

Others

BGEO has been included in the


FTSE 250 and
FTSE All-share Index Funds
since 18 June 2012

X62 growth in market capitalisation2

BGEO share price performance

26
24
22
20
18
16
14
12
10
8

Average daily trading volume

Market Capitalisation
1,600

9,500,000

US$

8,000,000
6,000,000

5,300,000

5,000,000
4,000,000

4,000,000
2,000,000
2,000,000 950,000
-

BGEO LN

www.bgeo.com
May 2016

US$ millions

10,000,000

Jan-12
Mar-12
May-12
Jul-12
Sep-12
Nov-12
Jan-13
Mar-13
May-13
Jul-13
Sep-13
Nov-13
Jan-14
Mar-14
May-14
Jul-14
Sep-14
Nov-14
Jan-15
Mar-15
May-15
Jul-15
Sep-15
Nov-15
Jan-16
Mar-16
May-16

GBP

Up 193% since
premium listing1

1,385

1,400
1,200
1,000
800
600
400
200

21

30-Sep-04 20-May-16

GDR

1Share

price change calculated from the last price of BGEO LI on 27 February 2012 to the price of BGEO LN on 10th May 2016
capitalisation for BGEO Group PLC, the Banks holding company, as of 10th May 2016, GBP/USD exchange rate of 1.4455

2 Market

page 5

4x20 strategy
We are a Georgia Focused Banking Group with an Investment Arm
Banking Business

1
ROE
c.20%

Retail loan
book growth

Investment Business

ROAE of 21.2% in 1Q16


RB ROAE of 24.3%
CIB ROAE of 17.6%

121% IRR from GHG IPO

3
Min. IRR
of 20%

4
9.9% y-o-y growth in 1Q16

c.20%

Profit up to
20%

65% IRR from m2 Real


Estate projects

Profit of GEL 17.4mln or


20.0% in 1Q16 of BGEO
Group Profit

Ongoing Dividends
Ordinary dividends: linked to recurring profit from banking business
Aiming 25-40% dividend payout ratio
Dividend growth CAGR10-15 of 51.6%
At the 2016 AGM (on 26-May 2016), the board intends to recommend
an annual dividend of GEL 2.40 per share payable in British Pound
Sterling at the prevailing rate, a 14% y-o-y increase

www.bgeo.com
May 2016

Capital Return: Aiming for at least 3 capital returns within 5 years (20152019 period)
Aiming for Capital Return to represent at least 50% of regular dividend paid
from banking business within the same period
Completed share buy-back of GEL 25.8mln in 2015-2016
In 1Q16, instructed the administrators of the Group Employee Benefits Trust to
purchase shares in the market totaling approximately US$ 10mln, of which US$
7.6mln is to be repurchased as of the end of April, 2016

page 6

Solid regular dividend payout from banking business

Payout
ratio

10%

15%

30%

36%

33%

34%

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

CAGR10-15

+51.6%
2.5
2.0

GEL

Dividend
per share

2.00

2.10

2013

2014

2.40

1.50

1.5
1.0
0.5

0.70
0.30

0.0

2010

www.bgeo.com
May 2016

2011

2012

2015E

page 7

3 forms of Capital Returns

3 forms of Capital Retuns


Capital
Return
forms

Capital
Return
timeline

Cash Dividends

Stock dividends

Strategy
Announced

www.bgeo.com
May 2016

2014

3 capital returns
during 2015-2019

5 years

2019

Share buy-back

3 capital returns
during 2020-2024

5 years

2024

page 8

BGEO Robust corporate governance compliant with UK Corporate Governance Code


Board of Directors of BGEO Group PLC
8 non-executive Supervisory Board members; 8 Independent members, including the Chairman and Vice Chairman
Neil Janin, Chairman of the Supervisory Board, Independent
Director.
experience: formerly director at McKinsey & Company in Paris;
formerly co-chairman of the commission of the French Institute of
Directors (IFA); formerly Chase Manhattan Bank (now JP
Morgan Chase) in New York and Paris; Procter & Gamble in
Toronto
Irakli Gilauri, BGEO Group PLC and JSC BGEO Group CEO
experience: formerly EBRD banker; MS in banking from CASS
Business School, London; BBS from University of Limerick,
Ireland

David Morrison, Chairman of the Audit Committee, Vice


Chairman of the Supervisory Board, Independent Director
experience: senior partner at Sullivan & Cromwell LLP prior to
retirement

Al Breach, Chairman of the Remuneration Committee,


Independent Director
experience: Head of Research, Strategist & Economist at UBS:
Russia and CIS economist at Goldman Sachs

Hanna Loikkanen, Independent Director


experience: Currently advisor to East Capital Private Equity
AB; previously: Senior executive at East Capital, FIM Group
Russia, Nordea Finance, SEB

Kaha Kiknavelidze, Independent Director


experience: currently managing partner of Rioni Capital,
London based investment fund; previously Executive Director of
Oil and Gas research team for UBS

Tamaz Georgadze, Independent Director


experience: Partner at McKinsey & Company in Berlin,
Founded SavingGlobal GmbH, aide to President of Georgia

Bozidar Djelic, Independent Director


experience: EBRDs Transition to Transition senior advisory
group, Deputy Prime Minister of Serbia, Governor of World
Bank Group and Deputy Governor of EBRD, Director at Credit
Agricole

Kim Bradley, Chairman of Risk Committee, Independent


Director
experience: Goldman Sachs AM, SeniorExecutive at GE Capital,
President of Societa Gestione Crediti, Board Chairman at Archon
Capital Deutschland

www.bgeo.com
May 2016

page 9

BGEO Management Structure

10 10

Senior Executive Compensation Policy applies to top executives and envisages long-term deferred and discretionary awards of securities and no cash bonuses to be paid to such executives

BGEO Group PLC

JSC Bank of Georgia


Murtaz Kikoria, CEO of Bank of Georgia. With the Group
since 2008. Previously CEO of Groups healthcare business;
c.20 years banking experience including various senior positions
at Bank of Georgia Group, Senior Banker at EBRD and Head of
Banking Supervision at the National Bank of Georgia

Irakli Gilauri, Group CEO. With the Group since


2004. Formerly EBRD banker; MS in banking
from CASS Business School, London; BBS from
University of Limerick, Ireland

Avto Namicheishvili, Group Legal Counsel. With


the Group since 2007. Previously partner at
Begiashvili &Co, law firm in Georgia; LLM from
CEU, Hungary

Levan Kulijanishvili, Deputy CEO and CFO at BOG, Group


CFO. With the Group since 1997. Formerly Head of Security
and Internal Audit at Bank of Georgia; Holds MBA from
Grenoble School of Business, in Grenoble, France

Ekaterina Shavgulidze Head of Investor Relations and


Funding at BGEO Group. With the Group since 2011.
Previously Supervisory Board Member and Chief Executive
Officer of healthcare services business. Before joining the
Group she was an Associate Finance Director at
AstraZeneca, UK . Holds MBA from Wharton Business School

Georgia Healthcare Group


Nikoloz Gamkrelidze, CEO, Georgia Healthcare Group. With
the Group since 2005. Previously Group CFO, CEO of Aldagi
BCI and JSC My Family Clinic; World Bank Health
Development Project; Masters degree in International Health
Management from Imperial College London, Tanaka Business
School

m2 Real Estate
Irakli Burdiladze, CEO, m2 Real Estate. With the Group
since 2006. Previously CFO at GMT Group, Georgian real
estate developer; Masters degree from Johns Hopkins
University

Teliani Valley
Shota Kobelia, CEO of Teliani Valley. With the Group since
2009. Previously Chief Commercial Officer in Pernod Ricard
Georgia; Masters degree in international sales marketing
from Bordeaux Business School, France.

www.bgeo.com
May 2016

page 10

JSC Bank of Georgia Management Structure

11 11

Senior Executive Compensation Policy applies to top executives and envisages long-term deferred and discretionary awards of securities and no cash bonuses to be paid to such executives

Murtaz Kikoria, CEO of Bank of Georgia. With the Group


since 2008. Previously CEO of Groups healthcare business;
c.20 years banking experience including various senior positions
at Bank of Georgia Group, Senior Banker at EBRD and Head of
Banking Supervision at the National Bank of Georgia

George Chiladze, Deputy CEO, Chief Risk Officer. With the


Group since 2008. Formerly Deputy CEO in Finance, Deputy
CEO at Partnership Fund, Programme trading desk at Bear
Stearns NY, Ph.D. in physics from John Hopkins University in
Baltimore

Levan Kulijanishvili, Deputy CEO, CFO. With the Group


since 1997. 15 year of experience at BOG. Formerly Head of
Security and Internal Audit at Bank of Georgia; Holds MBA
from Grenoble School of Business, in Grenoble, France

Tornike Gogichaishvili, Deputy CEO, Chief Operating Officer.


With the Group since 2006. Previously CEO of Aldagi and CFO
of BG Bank, Ukraine; Prior to joining the bank, CFO of UEDC
PA consulting; Holds Executive Diploma from Said Business
School, Oxford

Mikheil Gomarteli, Deputy CEO, Retail Banking. With the


Group since 1997. 15 years work experience at BOG, including
co-head of retail banking, head of business development and
head of strategy and planning; Undergraduate degree in
economics from Tbilisi State University

Alexander Katsman, Deputy CEO, HRM and Branding. With


the Group since 2010. Previously Head of Branding
Department at the Bank. Before joining the bank he was a
partner at Sarke, the largest communications group in
Georgia. Holds EMBA from the Berlin School of Creative
Leadership

Archil Gachechiladze, Deputy CEO, Corporate Investment


Banking. With the Group since 2009. Formerly BGEO Group
CFO, Deputy CEO of TBC Bank, Georgia; Lehman Brothers
Private Equity, London; MBA from Cornell University

www.bgeo.com
May 2016

page 11

Contents

BGEO Group PLC | Overview


Results Discussion | BGEO Group PLC

Results Discussion | Banking Business


Results Discussion | Investment Business
Georgian Macro Overview

Appendices

www.bgeo.com
May 2016

page 12

BGEO P&L results highlights


Quarterly P&L
INCOME STATEMENT
GEL thousands unless otherwise noted

Net banking interest income


Net fee and commission income
Net banking foreign currency gain
Net other banking income
Gross insurance profit
Gross healthcare profit
Gross real estate profit
Gross other investment profit
Revenue
Operating expenses
Operating income before cost of credit risk / EBITDA
Profit (loss) from associates
Depreciation and amortization of investment business
Net foreign currency gain (loss) from investment
business
Interest income from investment business
Interest expense from investment business
Operating income before cost of credit risk
Cost of credit risk
Profit
Earnings per share (basic and diluted)

www.bgeo.com
May 2016

1Q16

BGEO Consolidated
1Q15
Change
4Q15
Y-O-Y

Change
Q-O-Q

1Q16

Banking Business*
1Q15
Change
4Q15
Y-O-Y

Change
Q-O-Q

1Q16

Investment Business*
1Q15
Change
4Q15
Y-O-Y

Change
Q-O-Q

128,852
27,814
17,390
2,867
6,416
26,291
6,024
3,606
219,260
(83,288)
135,972
1,866
(4,910)

120,989
26,854
18,962
1,790
7,574
16,877
1,209
1,398
195,653
(76,058)
119,595
(1,310)
(2,688)

6.5%
3.6%
-8.3%
60.2%
-15.3%
55.8%
398.3%
157.9%
12.1%
9.5%
13.7%
NMF
82.7%

131,434
31,639
19,525
9,318
6,733
23,845
12,769
11,271
246,534
(84,262)
162,272
1,938
(4,731)

-2.0%
-12.1%
-10.9%
-69.2%
-4.7%
10.3%
-52.8%
-68.0%
-11.1%
-1.2%
-16.2%
-3.7%
3.8%

130,219
28,015
17,390
3,168
5,343
184,135
(69,863)
114,272
-

123,058
28,090
18,962
2,095
5,306
177,511
(65,277)
112,234
-

5.8%
-0.3%
-8.3%
51.2%
0.7%
3.7%
7.0%
1.8%
-

134,217
32,266
19,525
9,699
5,441
201,148
(71,172)
129,976
-

-3.0%
-13.2%
-10.9%
-67.3%
-1.8%
-8.5%
-1.8%
-12.1%
-

1,723
26,291
6,024
3,675
37,713
(14,456)
23,257
1,866
(4,910)

2,691
16,877
1,209
1,543
22,320
(11,654)
10,666
(1,310)
(2,688)

-36.0%
55.8%
398.3%
138.2%
69.0%
24.0%
118.0%
NMF
82.7%

2,126
23,845
12,769
11,157
49,897
(14,580)
35,317
1,938
(4,731)

-19.0%
10.3%
-52.8%
-67.1%
-24.4%
-0.9%
-34.1%
-3.7%
3.8%

(766)
956
(1,382)
131,736
(36,143)
87,047

3,690
617
(2,463)
117,441
(41,841)
62,339

NMF
54.9%
-43.9%
12.2%
-13.6%
39.6%

(3,416)
602
(3,166)
153,499
(36,022)
95,672

-77.6%
58.8%
-56.3%
-14.2%
0.3%
-9.0%

(35,012)
69,663

(40,771)
58,810

-14.1%
18.5%

(35,230)
80,591

-0.6%
-13.6%

(766)
964
(2,947)
17,464
(1,131)
17,384

3,690
818
(5,969)
5,207
(1,070)
3,529

NMF
17.8%
-50.6%
235.4%
5.7%
392.6%

(3,416)
957
(6,542)
23,523
(792)
15,081

-77.6%
0.7%
-55.0%
-25.8%
42.8%
15.3%

2.10

1.63

28.8%

2.42

-13.2%

* Note: Banking Business and Investment Business financials do not include interbusiness eliminations. Detailed financials, including
interbusiness eliminations are provided in annexes.

page 13

BGEO Balance sheet highlights


Balance Sheet
BALANCE SHEET

Mar-16

GEL thousands unless otherwise noted

Liquid assets
Loans to customers and finance
lease receivables
Total assets
Client deposits and notes
Amounts due to credit institutions
Debt securities issued
Total liabilities
Total equity

BGEO Consolidated
Mar-15 Change
Y-O-Y
21.5%

Banking Business*
Mar-15 Change
Y-O-Y

Dec-15

Change
Q-O-Q

Mar-16

3,068,166

-3.9%

2,876,357

2,402,308

Dec-15

Change
Q-O-Q

Mar-16

Investment Business*
Mar-15
Change
Dec-15
Y-O-Y

19.7%

3,006,991

-4.3%

337,602

199,209

69.5%

307,459

Change
Q-O-Q

2,948,699

2,427,226

9.8%

5,359,718

5,156,386

3.9%

5,322,117

0.7%

5,394,565

5,248,559

2.8%

5,366,764

0.5%

0.0%

0.0%

10,077,589
4,698,558
1,719,920
1,033,758
7,926,740
2,150,849

9,030,053
4,099,029
1,780,636
1,026,689
7,329,905
1,700,148

11.6%
14.6%
-3.4%
0.7%
8.1%
26.5%

10,115,739
4,751,387
1,789,062
1,039,804
8,042,101
2,073,638

-0.4%
-1.1%
-3.9%
-0.6%
-1.4%
3.7%

9,030,055
4,962,432
1,630,299
957,474
7,751,805
1,278,250

8,447,951
4,271,854
1,694,668
962,587
7,163,763
1,284,188

6.9%
16.2%
-3.8%
-0.5%
8.2%
-0.5%

9,171,437
4,993,681
1,692,557
961,944
7,856,146
1,315,291

-1.5%
-0.6%
-3.7%
-0.5%
-1.3%
-2.8%

1,353,961
124,468
81,116
481,362
872,599

864,053
181,773
66,964
448,093
415,960

56.7%
0.0%
-31.5%
21.1%
7.4%
109.8%

1,247,960
144,534
84,474
489,613
758,347

8.5%
0.0%
-13.9%
-4.0%
-1.7%
15.1%

Key Ratios
Banking Business Ratios
ROAE
ROAA
Net Interest Margin
Loan Yield
Liquid assets yield
Cost of Funds
Cost of Client Deposits and Notes
Cost of Amounts Due to Credit Institutions
Cost of Debt Securities Issued
Cost / Income
NPLs To Gross Loans To Clients
NPL Coverage Ratio
NPL Coverage Ratio, Adjusted for discounted value of collateral
Cost of Risk
Tier I capital adequacy ratio (New NBG, Basel 2/3)
Total capital adequacy ratio (New NBG, Basel 2/3)

www.bgeo.com
May 2016

1Q16

1Q15

4Q15

21.2%
3.0%
7.5%
14.4%
3.1%
5.0%
4.3%
6.0%
7.2%
37.9%
4.5%
86.0%
122.6%
2.3%
10.1%
15.8%

19.1%
3.0%
7.8%
14.6%
3.2%
5.0%
4.4%
5.2%
7.1%
36.8%
3.5%
73.2%
112.2%
3.1%
9.8%
12.9%

25.1%
3.5%
7.6%
14.8%
3.3%
5.1%
4.4%
5.9%
6.8%
35.4%
4.3%
83.4%
120.6%
2.4%
10.9%
16.7%

page 14

BGEO Capital allocation, 1Q 2016 | (Book value and GHG at market value)
Data as of 31 Mar, 2016
unless otherwise stated

GEL 2,254mln (
Banking Business

Unallocated Cash

Investment Business
35%

At a glance

9%

56%

ROAE

GEL 1,255mln

24.3%

17.6%

22.9%

32.9%

GEL 778mln

GEL 221mln

-216.8%

Of which GEL 92.9mln is


expected to be paid as
regular dividends for
2015

602.4*
596.2

Capital
allocation

Amount (GEL, mln)

554.6

220.7
111.4
62.9

RB

CIB

BNB

39.4
P&C

55.3
11.2

1.6
Other BB

GHG

m2

GGU

Teliani
Valley

(2.4)
Other IB

BGEO unallocated

* BGEO Group share in GHG market value as of 20 May 2016

www.bgeo.com
May 2016

page 15

BGEO Capital allocation, 1Q 2016 | (Book)


Data as of 31 Mar, 2016
unless otherwise stated

GEL 1,934mln
Banking Business
At a glance

65%

ROAE

17.6%

22.9%

32.9%

11%

24%

GEL 1,255mln

24.3%

Unallocated Cash

Investment Business

GEL 459mln

GEL 221mln

-216.8%

Of which GEL
92.9mln is expected
to be paid as regular
dividends for 2015

596.2
554.6

GEL 602.4mln
Market value*

Amount (GEL, mln)

Capital
allocation

283.5
220.7
111.4
62.9

55.3

39.4

11.2

1.6
RB

CIB

BNB

P&C

Other BB

(2.4)
GHG

m2

GGU

Teliani
Valley

Other IB

BGEO unallocated

* BGEO Group share in GHG market value as of 20 May 2016

www.bgeo.com
May 2016

page 16

BGEO Profit contribution, 1Q 2016

Data as of 31 Mar, 2016


unless otherwise stated

GEL 87.0mln
Banking Business
At a glance

Investment Business
20.0%

80.0%

y-o-y
change

GEL 69.7mln
15.8%

31.2%

27.7%

-29.3%

GEL 17.4mln
3.0%

97.0%

NMF

NMF

-76.4%

NMF

37.8

25.5

Amount (GEL, mln)

Profit
breakdown
by
businesses

11.9

5.4
4.3

1.9
(1.0)

RB

www.bgeo.com
May 2016

3.1

CIB

BNB

P&C

Other BB

GHG

m2

GGU

(0.5)

(1.4)

Teliani
Valley

Other IB

page 17

BGEO Sound revenue growth, with positive operating leverage


Revenues, full year 2015
BGEO

BGEO
+39.6%

+35.3%

213.1

33.5

1,000.0
800.0

751.3

538.2

(11.9)
2014

Banking Business

(200.0)

Investment
Business

195.7
200.0

100.0

0.0

(18.1)
2015

257.0

250.0

+20.7%

+22.4%

42.1

50.1

8.7

314.7

(4.2)
1Q15

y-o-y change

150.0

267.9

217.8

50.0
(2.9)
2014

80.0

Banking Business

Investment
Business

+7.0%

Banking Business

Investment business
Banking business
Eliminations

www.bgeo.com
May 2016

(2.6)
1Q16

+24.0%

+9.5%

Investment
Business

(4.0)
2015

76.1

4.6

2.8

83.3
14.5

11.7

50.9

200.0

184.1

177.5

Operating expenses | quarterly

GEL millions

GEL millions

300.0

(50.0)

37.7

100.0

350.0

219.3

Investment business
Banking business
Eliminations

400.0

100.0

15.4

22.3

-50.0

BGEO
+23.0%

6.6

+12.1%

50.0

Operating expenses, full year 2015


y-o-y change

+69.0%

150.0

Investment business
Banking business
Eliminations

BGEO

+3.7%

250.0

861.6

94.9

400.0
200.0

y-o-y change

128.4

621.2
600.0

+38.7%

GEL millions

y-o-y change

GEL millions

Revenues | quarterly

60.0
40.0

69.9

65.3
20.0
0.0

(0.9)
1Q15

Banking Business Investment Business

(1.0)
1Q16

-20.0
Investment business
Banking business
Eliminations

page 18

BGEO Balance Sheet, 31 March 2016


BGEO

Banking Business

10,000
8,000

Assets

6,000

Gel
Millions

4,000

10,077.6
9,030.1

1,354.0

864.1

9,030.1

8,448.0

13.4%

89.6%

2,000
0
-2,000

(282.0)

(306.4)

10,000
9,000
8,000
7,000
6,000
5,000
4,000
3,000
2,000
1,000
0

31-Mar-15
31-Mar-16
Banking Business assets
Investment Business assets
Eliminations

Liabilities
Gel
Millions

7,000

7,926.7
481.4

6.1%

-2,000

6,000
5,000

59.7%

7,163.8

2,402.3

31.9%

97.8%

2,000

www.bgeo.com
May 2016

33.7%

7,163.8
234.7
962.6
1,694.7

150
487.5

66.3%

95.1

31.5%

31-Mar-16

GHG

M2 Real Estate

300

200.0

261.8

190.5
9.5

5.0%

250
150.0
200
162.0

96.5

61.9%

50.7%

100.0

100

4,962.4
64.0%

50.0
50

99.9

38.1%

0
31-Mar-15

39.0%

Other assets
Investment properties
Inventories

PPE
Other assets

1,630.3 21.0%

117.7

31-Mar-16

7,751.8
2.6%
201.6
957.5 12.4%

29.5%

89.0

100
50

100

150

4,271.9

250
200

1,000
(306.4)
(282.0)
31-Mar-15
31-Mar-16
Investment Business liabilities
Eliminations

248.2

400

31-Mar-16

301.9

300

500

200
2,876.4

3,000

7,751.8

350

300

4,000

2,000
0

5,394.6

5,248.6

735.7

700
600

+8.2%
8,000

6,000
4,000

797.1

800
8.4%

Banking Business

10,000

448.1

759.1

Liquid assets
Net loans
Other assets

+8.1%
7,329.9

9,030.1

8,448.0

31-Mar-15

BGEO

8,000

M2 Real Estate

+6.9%

+11.6%
12,000

GHG

31-Mar-16

Other liabilities
Debt securities issued
Amounts due from credit institutions
Client Deposits and Notes

84.5

44.4%

0.0
31-Mar-16
Borrowed funds
Other liabilities

31-Mar-16

Other liabilities
Accruals and deferred income
Borrowed funds

* Note: Borrowed Funds include - Amounts due to credit institutions and debt securities issued

page 19

Contents

BGEO Group PLC | Overview


Results Discussion | BGEO Group PLC

Results Discussion | Banking Business


Results Discussion | Investment Business
Georgian Macro Overview

Appendices

www.bgeo.com
May 2016

page 20

BOG The leading bank in Georgia

Leading market position: No. 1 bank in Georgia by assets


(33.5%), loans (32.3%), client deposits (33.2%) and equity (29.8%)1

Underpenetrated market with stable growth perspectives: Real


GDP average growth rate of 5.1 % for 2005-2015. 2.8% Real GDP
growth in 2015 from Geostat . Loans/GDP grew from 9% to 50% in
the period of 2003-2015, still below regional average; Deposits/GDP
grew from 8% to 40% over the period

Balance Sheet
Banking Business

Strong brand name recognition and retail banking franchise:


Offers the broadest range of financial products to the retail market
through a network of 266 branches, 753 ATMs, 2,627 Express Pay
Terminals and c.2.0 million customers as of 31 March 2016

The only Georgian company with credit ratings from all three
global rating agencies: S&P: BB-, Moody's: B1/Ba3 (foreign
and local currency), Fitch Ratings: BB-; outlooks are Stable

High standards of transparency and governance: The only entity


from Georgia to be listed on the premium segment of the Main
Market of the London Stock Exchange (LSE:BGEO) since February
2012. LSE listed through GDRs since 2006

GEL million

CAGR 2012-2015: +19.8%

10,000
9,000
8,000
7,000
6,000
5,000
4,000
3,000
2,000
1,000
0

7,044
6,185
5,333
3,007
2,876
1,904
1,875
1,596

Total assets

31-Dec-12

Sustainable growth combined with strong capital, liquidity and


robust profitability

www.bgeo.com
May 2016

1
2

+13.4%

Liquid assets

5,367
5,395
4,441
3,567
3,127

4,994
4,962

3,482
3,141
2,724

Net loans to customers

31-Dec-13

1,315
1,231
1,064
1,278
903

Client deposits

31-Dec-14

Total equity

31-Dec-15

1Q16

Income Statement
Banking Business
Change y-o-y: +39.6%

GEL million

Only private entity to issue Eurobonds from the Caucasus:


c.US$400 million Eurobonds outstanding including US$150 raised
through a tap issue in November 2013. The bonds are currently
trading at a yield of c.3.8%2

+22.4%

+19.7%

9,171
9,030

250

700
600

488

+18.5%

+3.7%

+24.4%

751

800

+23.5%

200

538

500

178 183

190

201
184

150

400
300

193221

274

200

100
59 61

73 81 70

50

100
0

Revenue
2013

Profit
2014
2015

Market data based on standalone accounts as published by the National Bank of Georgia (NBG) as of 31 March 2016 www.nbg.gov.ge
as of 24 May 2016 source: bloomberg.com

Revenue
1Q15

2Q15

Profit
3Q15

4Q15

1Q16

page 21

Targets & priorities Banking Business

ROAE

2 Retail Banking

Growth

3-year Targets

FY 2015

1Q16

20%+

21.7%

21.2%

35.3%

9.9%

20%+

19.0% on constant currency basis

Grow Retail share


in loan book

65%

55.0%

56.5%

Increase Product
to Client Ratio

3.0

1.9

2.0

De-concentrate CIB
Loan Book

Top 10 borrowers 10%

Top 10 borrowers 12.7%

Top 10 borrowers 12.1%

NIM

7.25% - 7.75%

7.7%

7.5%

Cost / Income

c. 35%

35.7%

37.9%

Cost of Risk

1.5 - 2%

2.7 %

2.3%

www.bgeo.com
May 2016

page 22

BOG Leading the competition across the board


Peer groups market share in total assets
40%
35%

#1

33.5%
33.8% 33.4%
32.6%

30%

BOG

26.7%
24.5% 25.7%
23.7%

25%

Peer groups market share in gross loans


35%

28.7%
28.0%
25.2%
25.3%

30%
25%

19.3% 17.8%
17.9% 17.5%

20%

#1

32.2%
32.5% 32.0%32.3%

BOG
19.1%
17.7%
16.9%
16.6%

20%
15%

15%
10%

10%

7.8%
4.9%
6.1% 6.5%6.7% 7.7% 6.3% 6.2%
4.8% 4.8%5.3%
5.8%

6.0% 4.8%
5.1% 4.7%

5%

6.7%

5.7%
5.8% 5.6%

5%

7.0% 7.6%
7.6%
6.7%

5.8%
4.8%4.8%
6.2% 4.4% 4.4% 4.8%
5.1%

0%

0%
BOG

TBC

PCB

2013

BR

2014

LB

2015

VTB

PCB

2013

BR

2014

LB

2015

VTB

Q1 2016

#1

1Q16
30%

Foreign
banks,
32.0%

Foreign
banks,
27.3%

33.2%
33.0%
30.4%
28.8% 29.0%
28.6%
27.8% 27.3%

BOG

25%
20%
15%

Local
banks,
68.0%

Local
banks,
72.7%

Others

Peer groups market share in client deposits


35%

No state
ownership of
commercial
banks since
1994

TBC

Q1 2016

Foreign banks market share by assets


2006

BOG

Others

10%
5%

5.8%
5.1% 4.6%
4.4%

5.3%
5.3% 5.1% 5.2%

PCB

BR

12.0%
11.8%
8.6%
8.6%

15.2% 15.9%
15.0%
12.6%

6.1% 5.4%
5.4% 4.7%

0%
BOG

TBC

2013

www.bgeo.com
May 2016

2014

Note:
All data based on standalone accounts as reported to the National Bank of Georgia and as published by the
National Bank of Georgia www.nbg.gov.ge

LB

2015

VTB

Others

Q1 2016

page 23

Banking Business Diversified asset structure


Liquid assets | 31 March 2016

Total asset structure | 31 March 2016


Banking Business

Banking Business
Total: GEL 9.0bln

Total: GEL 2.9bln


Other liquid
assets
2.7%

Other
assets
8.4%

Government
bonds, treasury
bills, NBG
CDs
26.0%

Liquid assets
31.9%

Loans to
customers,
net
59.7%

Cash and
equivalents
46.2%

Amounts due
from credit
institutions
25.0%

Loans breakdown | 31 March 2016


Banking Business

Total Loans
breakdown by segments
Total: GEL 5.6bln

21.7% of total
clients

Retail loans,
GEL 3,203.1
mln, 57.1 %

www.bgeo.com
May 2016

Corporate Banking Loans


breakdown by sectors
Total: GEL 2.2bln

Retail Banking Loans


breakdown by product
Total: GEL 2.9bln

Corporate
loans, GEL
2,408.0mln,
42.9%

Automobile
loans
0.9%
Pawn loans
2.2%

Credit cards and


overdrafts
9.8%

30.7%
of total clients

POS loans
3.7%

Mortgage loans
30.2%
General
consumer loans
21.6%
Micro- and
agro-financing
loans and SME
loans
31.6%

Health and
Mining and social work
quarrying
2.6%
4.8%
Other
Financial
8.2%
intermediation
2.6%
Construction
7.6%
Electricity, gas
and water supply
2.9%
Transport &
Communication
1.0% of total
5.5%
clients

0.7% of total
clients

*Retail loans include loans of Retail Banking segment, BNB retail loans, Investment Management and Affordable Housing
Mortgages, Corporate loans include Corporate Banking Segment and BNB Corporate loans

Hospitality
5.8%

Service
8.4%

Manufacturing
26.9%

Trade
15.0%

Real estate
9.8%

page 24

Banking Business US$ loan portfolio breakdown


Highlights

43.6% of Retail Banking Loans were denominated in USD loans with non-USD income*
We offered re-profiling in Feb-2015. Since, 1,071 loans (out of 18,964) were re-profiled, with total value of US$34.1mln
For RB: Loans 15 days past due were 1.1% at 31 March 2016, compared to 1.0% a year ago and 0.9% as of 31 December 2015
33.4% of Corporate Banking Loans denominated in USD loans with non-USD income

Retail Banking and Wealth Management | 31 Mar 2016

Corporate Banking | 31 Mar 2016


Banking Business

3,500
3,000

3,039
92

GEL millions

Other
2,500
GEL

1,311

2,000
USD
1,500
1,000

1,637

500
0

100
90
80
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
0

Loan portfolio

Amounts in GEL millions


GEL and other currency loans*
USD loans with USD income
USD loans with non-USD income
Total

59
0.4

GEL millions

Banking Business

1.95%
0.40%

44
3.36%

140

132

2,000

158
233

120

16

Other1,500
GEL
USD 1,000

100

6.03%

20
10.31%

80
1,805

60
40

500

0.91%

Provision amount
% of total
RB loan
portfolio
46.1%
10.2%
43.6%
100.0%

2,197

96

8.68%

20

15

RB Loan
portfolio
1,402
311
1,326
3,039

2,500

0
Loan portfolio

LLR rate

Mortgages
71
154
665
890

Consumer
loans*
1,021
41
166
1,228

SME &
Micro
310
116
496
922

5.31%

Amounts in GEL millions


GEL and other currency loans*
USD loans with USD income
USD loans with non-USD income
Total

Provision amount

CB Loan
portfolio
392
1,072
734
2,197

LLR rate

% of total
CB loan
portfolio
17.8%
48.8%
33.4%
100.0%

Note: standalone BOG figures from management accounts

* includes credit cards

www.bgeo.com
May 2016

*Re-profiling implies effectively increasing the tenor of the loan so that monthly payment in Lari stays at the same level it
was prior to the recent devaluation of the Lari. When re-profiling, we do not change the interest rate of the loan. We
offered reprofiling in Feb 2015

page 25

Banking Business Resilient loan portfolio quality


NPLs
Banking Business

7.7%
7.9%

7.6%
241.1

252.0

200
144.9

153.6

3.9%

4.5%

4.3%
3.4%

7%
6%

200

4%

2%
1%

0%
2013
2014
NPLs
NPLs to gross loans
Net Interest Margin

2015

252.0
250

3%

50

300

8%

5%

150
100

Banking Business

7.5%
9%

250

GEL thousand

NPL composition

Q1 2016

GEL thousand

300

241.1

7.9

153.6
12.0

120.9

122.7

16.1

18.9

2013

2014

144.9
150

GEL thousand

161.4

165.1

45.0

49.7

2015

Q1 2016

50

NPL coverage ratio


Banking Business
4.5%

250

4.3%

3.6%
201.1

120.0

82.8%

83.4%

86.0%

2015

Q1 2016

4%

3.4%
3.3%

5%
5%

3.9%

3.9%

4%
67.5%

3%

2.3%
100

37.2

NPLs RB & WM
NPLs CB
NPLs Other

Banking Business

150

34.7

100

Loan loss reserve

200

(1/2)

216.6

103.8

3%
2%
2%

50

1%
1%

0%
2013

2014
Loan loss reserves (LLR)
NPLs to gross loans
LLR as % of gross loans

www.bgeo.com
May 2016

2015

Q1 2016

2013

*Retail loans include loans of Retail Banking segment, BNB retail loans, Investment Management and Affordable Housing
Mortgages, Corporate loans include Corporate Banking Segment and BNB Corporate loans

2014

page 26

Banking Business Resilient loan portfolio quality


Cost of Credit risk | quarterly

Cost of Credit risk | full-year 2015


Banking Business

(2/2)

Banking Business

160.0

151.5

140.0

17.9

120.0
100.0
80.0
60.9

60.0

133.6

55.7

43.0

40.0

45

40.8

40.8

40
35

5.6

11.9

25

35.2

35.0

4Q15

1Q16

8.2

20
10

35.2
28.8

20.7

0.0

0
2012

2013

2014

2015

1Q15

2Q15
Devaluation effect
Like-for-like
Privatbank

Devaluation effect
Like-for-like

Cost of Risk | full-year 2015


Banking Business
3.0%

2.7%

2.5%

0.3%

Cost of Risk | quarterly

3%

2.7
0.9%

1.3%

1.2%

-10bps

3.1

2.0%
1.3%

3Q15

Banking Business

+150 bps

1.5%

34.8
6.0

30

15

+139.7%
y-o-y

20.0

-0.6%

50

GEL millions

GEL millions

+171.9%

2%

0.6%

1%

1.6%

0.4%

2.5%

2.4%

2.3%

4Q15

1Q16

0.4%

2.4%
1.0%
+120 bps
y-o-y

0.5%
0.0%

2.3%

2.1%

2Q15

3Q15

0%
2012

2013

Devaluation effect
Like-for-like

www.bgeo.com
May 2016

2014

2015

1Q15

Devaluation effect
Like-for-like
Privatbank

page 27

Banking Business Strong liquidity


Liquid assets to total liabilities

NBG liquidity ratio

Banking Business
9,000

32.3%

8,000

GEL millions

7,000

7,856

7,752

30%

5,094

25%

5,000

20%

4,000
3,000

3,007

1,904

2,876

1,875

15%

2,000

10%

1,000

5%

0%
2013

2014
2015
Liquid assets
Total liabilities
Liquid assets to total liabilities

5,000
4,000

3,415

Banking Business

47.3%

4,871

4,831

30%
2,286

2,251

1,562

1,000

50%
40%

3,558

3,000
2,000

46.2%
35.0%

20%

1,245
789

537

837

10%

178

Q1 2016

Net loans to customer funds

2013
2014
Liquid assets (NBG)
Excess liquidity
NBG min requirement

2015

0%
Q1 2016
Liabilities (NBG)
Liquid assets / liabilities 30%

Net loans to customer funds & DFI


Banking Business

140%
120%

45.7%

6,000

40%
35%

5,813

6,000

Banking Business

37.1%

Bank Standalone, GEL millions

38.3%

37.4%

(1/2)

120%

127.5%
113.6%
107.5%

108.7%

100%

108.6%
96.8%
90.8%

91.6%

2015

Q1 2016

100%
80%

80%
60%

60%
40%

40%
2013

2014

www.bgeo.com
May 2016

2015

Q1 2016

2013

2014

page 28

Banking Business Strong liquidity


Foreign currency VAR analysis*

Liquidity coverage ratio & net stable funding ratio


JSC Bank of Georgia standalone

(2/2)

JSC Bank of Georgia standalone


60

250%

218.0%

219.4%
50

199.5%
200%

41.6

150%

115.8%

111.9%

104.5%

GEL million

163.8%
111.3%

100%

40

36.7
29.4

20

29.9
26.1

25.2

30
14.3

16.3

12.4

8.9
50%

35.6

7.5

6.1

10
0

0%
2013

2014

2015

Q1 2016

Liquidity coverage ratio


Monthly VaR GEL (Average)

Net stable funding ratio

Cumulative maturity gap, 31 March 2016

Open currency position


JSC Bank of Georgia standalone

Banking Business
1,106,607

1,200,000

25%
974,223
20%

14.6%

GEL thousands

800,000

15%
12.8%

600,000

9.5%

10%

10.4%
5%

200,000
-3.5%

-3.7%
0%

0
-200,000

On Demand 0-3 Months 3-6 Months 6-12 Months

-400,000

(266,190)

1-3 Years
(283,922)

>3 Years

-5%
-10%

Maturity gap
Maturity gap, as % of total assets

www.bgeo.com
May 2016

2014

-11,394

-12,578

2015

Q1 2016
0%
-1%

-20,000

720,717

*Daily VaR time series averaged for each respective month

GEL thousands

787,742

2013
0

1,000,000

400,000

VaR Limit

-40,000

-34,716
-1.3%

-1.4%

-2%
-3%

-2.6%
-60,000

-4%
-5%

-80,000
-100,000

-6%
-7%

-129,074

-8%

-120,000
-9.3%

-140,000

-9%

-10%
FC net position, on and off balance, total

As % of NBG total regulatory capital (old)

page 29

Banking Business Funding structure is well established


Interest Bearing Liability structure | 1Q16

Well diversified international borrowings | 1Q16

Banking Business

Banking Business
Interest Bearing
Liabilities GEL 7.8 bn

Other debt
securities,
GEL 79.6
mln, 4.0%

Debt securities Other liabilities,


issued, GEL 957.5 GEL 201.6 mln,
2.6%
mln, 12.4%

Borrowings, GEL
1,022.0 mln,
13.2%

Current
account &
demand
deposits
49.6%

Client deposits &


notes, GEL
4,962.4 mln,
64.0%

Other amounts due


to credit
institutions, GEL
608.3 mln, 7.8%

Time
deposits
50.4%

Eurobonds,
GEL 877.9
mln, 44.3%

Borrowed funds maturity breakdown*

USD millions

Banking Business

100
90
80
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
0

1.5%

2.4%
1.5%

74.5
59.0

1.7%

0.7% 0.1%

0.1%

0.1%

90.0

Banking Business has a well-balanced funding structure with


64.0% of interest bearing liabilities coming from client deposits
and notes, 11.9% from Developmental Financial Institutions
(DFIs) and 11.3% from Eurobonds, as of 31 March 2016

The Bank has also been able to secure favorable financing from
reputable international commercial sources, as well as DFIs, such
as EBRD, IFC, DEG, Asian Development Bank, etc.

As of 31 March 2016, US$ 103.1 million undrawn facilities from


DFIs with up to seven year maturity

4%
2%
0%

65.0

57.1

-2%

10.0

-4%

26.0

-6%

47.1
3.4

2.5

2.2

2021

2022

-8%
-10%

2016

2017 2018 2019


Senior Loans
Subordinated Loans
% of Total assets

DFIs, GEL
926.2mln,
46.8%

Key takeaways

Excl. c.US$400 mln


Eurobonds maturing
in 2017
2.0%

Others
borrowings,
GEL 95.8
mln, 4.8%

2020

www.bgeo.com
May 2016

2023

2024

2025

* Consolidated, converted at GEL/US$ exchange rate of 2.3679 as of 31 March 2016


** Total Assets as of 31 March 2016

page 30

Banking Business Revenue growth


Revenue growth | full-year 2015
Banking Business

Revenue growth | quarterly


+3.7%

Banking Business

-8.5%

+39.6%
250
751.3

201.1

GEL millions

700
538.2

600

238.4

+31.8%

500

180.9

400

34%

300

+43.5%

200

357.3

100

32%

512.9

GEL millions

800

68%

200

177.5

150

54.4

184.1
66.9

33%

29%

100
134.2

123.1

50

66%

71%

0
2014

2015

Q1 2015

Net interest income


Net non-interest income

Q4 2015

Banking Business

Net non-interest income | quarterly


-1.0%
-19.4

Banking Business

+31.8%
250

238.4
80

19.9
180.9
9.9
150
100
50

52.8

76.9
20.0

16.4

101.8

66.9

70

121.6

60

GEL millions

200

Q1 2016

Net interest income


Net non-interest income

Net non-interest income | full-year 2015

GEL millions

130.2

67%

69%

53.9

31%

50

9.7

2.1

40

19.0

30

5.3

19.5

53.9

3.2
17.4

5.4

20
10

54.4

5.3

28.1

32.3

28.0

Q1 2015

Q4 2015

Q1 2016

0
2014
Net fee and commission income
Net banking foreign currency gain

www.bgeo.com
May 2016

2015
Gross insurance profit
Net other banking income

Net fee and commission income


Net banking foreign currency gain

Gross insurance profit


Net other banking income

page 31

Banking Business Strong underlying performance


Operating expenses | full-year 2015
Banking Business

Operating expenses | quarterly


Banking Business

+23.0%

+7.0%
-1.8%

267.9

300

150

58.8

GEL millions

80

3.5
34.2

GEL millions

200

217.8
3.2
25.6

250

74.4

100
155.7

130.1

50

69.9

1.2
9.0

0.9
9.1

0.8
8.4

50

17.5

21.7

20.1

38.6

39.3

39.8

Q1 2015

Q4 2015

Q1 2016

40
30
10
0

2014
Salaries and other employee benefits
Banking depreciation and amortisation

2015
Administrative expenses
Other operating expenses

Operating income before cost of credit risk | full-year 2015

Salaries and other employee benefits

Administrative expenses

Banking depreciation and amortisation

Other operating expenses

Operating income before cost of credit risk | quarterly


Banking Business

Banking Business
600

120

400

130.0

140

483.5

500

114.3

112.2

100

320.4

80

300

GEL millions

GEL millions

71.2

60

20

200
100
0
-100

65.3

70

60
40
20
0
-20

(67.6)

-200
2014

(164.6)
2015

-40
-60

(42.9)
Q1 2015

(37.7)
Q4 2015

Cost of credit risk and net non-recurring itemss

Cost of credit risk and net non-recurring itemss

Operating income before cost of credit risk

Operating income before cost of credit risk

www.bgeo.com
May 2016

(36.4)
Q1 2016

page 32

Banking Business Focus on efficiency


Cost / Income | full-year 2015

Cost / Income | quarterly

Banking Business

Banking Business
44.0%

50%

42.2%
41.5%

42.0%

40.2%

48%
46%

39.2%

40.0%

44%

41.3%

42%

39.8%

38.4%

38.0%

40.5%

35.4%

35.7%

40%

36.0%

38%

34.8%

35.7%

34.0%

36%
34%

32.0%

32%
30%

30.0%
2012

2013

2014

2015

4Q
2013

Revenue and operating expenses | full-year 2015

1Q
2014

4Q
2014

1Q
2015

2Q
2015

3Q
2015

4Q
2015

1Q
2016

Operating Leverage: - 6.6% q-o-q


- 3.3% y-o-y

250

751.3

800

201.1

700

200

400
267.9
217.8

200

GEL millions

538.2

500

300

3Q
2014

Banking Business

Operating Leverage: +16.6% y-o-y

600

2Q
2014

Revenue and operating expenses | quarterly

Banking Business

GEL millions

37.9%
36.8%

184.1

177.5

150
100
65.3

71.2

69.9

50

100
0

0
2014
Revenue
Operating expenses

www.bgeo.com
May 2016

2015

Q1 2015

Q4 2015

Q1 2016

Revenue
Operating expenses

page 33

Banking Business Growing income notwithstanding the pressure on yields


Loan Yields | full-year 2015

Loan Yields | quarterly

Banking Business
100%

Banking Business

17.2%

20%

100%

16%

80%

14.3%

80%

14.8%

60%
69.1%

74.0%

72.8%

20%

30.9%

26.0%

12%

60%

8%

40%

4%

20%

72.0%

40%

27.2%

28.0%

2014

2015

0%
2013
Net loans, GEL, consolidated
Net loans, FC, consolidated
Currency-blended loan yield

14.6%

14.8%

14.4%
15%

70.0%

72.0%

72.4%
10%

0%
2012

20%

16.2%

5%
30.0%

28.0%

27.6%

0%

0%
Q1 - 2015
Q4 - 2015
Net loans, FC, consolidated
Net loans, GEL, consolidated
Currency-blended loan yield, annualised

Loan Yields, GEL | quarterly

Q1 - 2016

Loan Yields, Foreign currency | quarterly

Banking Business

Banking Business
20%

27%
25%

15%

23.4%
22.5%

23%

11.6%

11.3%

11.0%

Q1 2015

Q4 2015

Q1 2016

21.4%
10%

21%
19%

5%
17%
15%
Q1 2015

www.bgeo.com
May 2016

Q4 2015

Q1 2016

Loan yields excluding provisions

0%

page 34

Banking Business Stable Cost of Funding


Cost of Funds | full-year 2015

Cost of Funds | quarterly


Banking Business

Banking Business
8%

8%

7.1%

7%

7%

5.9%

6%

4.8%

6%

5.1%

5%

5%

4%

4%

3%

3%

2%

2%

1%

1%

0%

5.0%

5.1%

5.0%

Q1 - 2015

Q4 - 2015

Q1 - 2016

0%
2012

2013

2014

2015

Cost of Customer Funds | full-year 2015

Cost of Customer Funds | quarterly


Banking Business

Banking Business
100%

8%
7.1%

80%

100%

4.4%

4.4%

7%

5.5%

6%
4.2%

60%

4.3%

5%

4.3%

80%
60%

5%
4%

72.6%

74.9%

77.6%

3%

4%
40%
20%

68.2%

69.9%

71.2%

74.9%

28.8%

25.1%

3%

40%

2%

2%
30.1%

31.8%

0%

1%
0%

2012

2013
2014
Client deposits and notes, FC, consolidated
Client deposits and notes, GEL, consolidated
Currency-blended cost of client deposits and notes

www.bgeo.com
May 2016

2015

20%

1%
27.4%

25.1%

22.4%

0%

0%
Q1 - 2015
Q4 - 2015
Q1 - 2016
Client deposits, FC, consolidated
Client deposits, GEL, consolidated
Currency-blended cost of client deposits, annualised

page 35

Banking Business Excellent capital adequacy position


Basel I capital adequacy ratios

NBG (Basel 2/3), capital adequacy ratios

JSC Bank of Georgia consolidated

JSC Bank of Georgia standalone

30%

23.0%

25%

18%

27.1%

26.1%
21.2%

26.1%

24.9%

22.1%

15.9%

12%

17.9%

9.8%

15%
10%

16.7%

15.8%

12.9%

14%

20%

15.8%

16%

10.4%

10.9%

10.2%

10.1%

10%

10.5%

8%

8.5%

6%
4%

5%

2%
0%
2012

2013

2014

0%

2015

Q1 2015
Q2 2015
Tier I Capital Adequacy Ratio

Tier I Capital Adequacy Ratio


Total Capital Adequacy Ratio

Total Capital Adequacy Ratio

Risk Weighted Assets NBG (Basel 2/3)


standalone (BIS 2/3)

9,000

8,359

Q3 2015

Q4 2015
Q1 2016
NBG Tier I CAR min requirement
NBG Total CAR min requirement

NBG (Basel 2/3)Tier I Capital and Total Capital


JSC Bank of Georgia standalone

8,351

8,473

8,363

8,354

GEL 000

Mar 2016

Dec 2015 Sep 2015 Jun 2015 Mar 2015 Dec 2014

8,000

Tier I Capital (Core)


Tier 2 Capital
(Supplementary)

7,000
6,000

845.8

914.8

860.2

869.4

727.3

800.5

474.5

479.2

482.1

458.7

252.0

217.1

Total Capital

1,320.3

1,394.0

1,342.3

1,328.1

979.3

1,017.6

Risk weighted assets

8,353.8

8,363.4

8,473.1

8,350.5

7,951.9

7,204.1

Tier 1 Capital ratio

10.1%

10.9%

10.2%

10.4%

9.1%

11.1%

Total Capital ratio

15.8%

16.7%

15.8%

15.9%

12.3%

14.1%

5,000
4,000
3,000

2,000
1,000
0
Q1 2015

Q2 2015

www.bgeo.com
May 2016

Q3 2015

Q4 2015

Q1 2016

reported to NBG are reported in the appendix

page 36

Retail banking Client-Centric, Multi-brand strategy


Client-Centric, Multi-brand strategy

Selected
Operating
Data
(1Q16)

1
Emerging Retail
437,709
clients

Total No of Clients 2,022,202

Brands &
target
segments

Mass Retail and MSME


1,571,209
clients

22%

Mass Affluent
13,284
clients

1%

77%

P/C ratio:

3.4

1.6

7.4

# of branches:

114

144

GEL 15

GEL 268

Product/client ratio
growth to 3.0

Client growth to 40,000

Profit / client:

Strategic
Focus

GEL 22

Double number of
transactions

www.bgeo.com
May 2016

page 37

Retail Banking Financial Data


Balance sheet data

Income statement data

Total Loans
GEL 2,960mln
4%

20%

Net Interest
Income
GEL 83mln

19%

10%

70%
77%
Mass Retail & MSME - GEL 2,281.7mln
Solo - GEL 563.7mln
Express Bank - GEL 114.4mln

Mass Retail & MSME - GEL 59.3mln


Solo - GEL 8.1mln
Express Bank - GEL 15.7mln

Total Deposits
GEL 1,902mln
3%
12%

Net Fee &


Commission
Income
GEL 19mln

10%

33%

64%
78%
Mass Retail & MSME - GEL 1,209.1mln
Solo - GEL 629.7mln
Express Bank - GEL 63.3mln

www.bgeo.com
May 2016

Mass Retail & MSME - GEL 15.2mln


Solo - GEL 1.6mln
Express Bank - GEL 1.9mln

page 38

Retail Banking (RB) No. 1 retail bank in Georgia


Client Data

Portfolio breakdown
RB standalone

RB standalone
Operating Data, GEL mln
Number of total Retail clients, of which:
Number of Solo clients (Premier Banking)
Consumer loans & other outstanding, volume
Consumer loans & other outstanding, number
Mortgage loans outstanding, volume
Mortgage loans outstanding, number
Micro & SME loans outstanding, volume
Micro & SME loans outstanding, number
Credit cards and overdrafts outstanding, volume
Active credit cards and overdrafts outstanding, number
Total credit cards outstanding, number, of which:
American Express cards

Q1 2016
2,022,202
13,284
851.6
621,376
884.0
13,594
921.4
20,655
302.7
438,271
771,721
92,551

% of clients

2015
1,999,869
11,869
835.6
625,458
809.0
12,857
903.9
19,045
305.7
435,010
754,274
100,515

0.7%
30.7%
0.7%
1.0%
21.7%
38.2%
4.6%

RB Loans

2013
1,245,048
6,810
560.2
455,557
441.4
10,212
497.0
13,317
142.4
174,570
117,913
108,608

21.7%
of total
clients

Loans by products
Total: GEL 2.9 bn

General
consumer
loans
21.6%

30.7% of
total
clients

Current
accounts and
demand
deposits
36.6%

Deposits growth:

RB standalone

1.5% growth y-o-y

9.9% growth y-o-y

Deposits by category
Total: GEL 1.9 bn
3,500
2,796

GEL millions

3,000
2,500
2,000

2,901

2,067
1,613

1,500
1,000
500
0
2013

2014

2015

Retail net loans

www.bgeo.com
May 2016

Q1 2016

2,000
1,800
1,600
1,400
1,200
1,000
800
600
400
200
0

1,880

Micro- and
agro-financing
loans and
SME loans
31.6%

1.0% of
total
clients

RB Deposits
Loans growth:

RB standalone

2014
1,451,777
7,971
691.8
526,683
600.9
11,902
666.0
16,246
135.0
199,543
116,615
110,362

0.7% of
total
clients

Pawn loans Automobile POS loans


3.7%
loans
2.2%
0.9%
Credit cards
and overdrafts
9.8%
Mortgage
loans
30.2%

Time deposits
63.4%

1,902

1,350
1,087
Client
deposits,
GEL
23.5%

2013

2014

2015

Retail client deposits

Q1 2016

Deposits by currency
Total: GEL 1.9 bn

Client
deposits, FC
76.5%

page 39

Retail Banking (RB) Loan book growth


P&L | Retail Banking
RB Consolidated

Income Statement Highlights

1Q16

1Q15

Change
Y-O-Y

4Q15

Change
Q-O-Q

82,832
19,239
3,590
711
106,372
(23,607)
(14,521)
(7,383)
(496)
(46,007)
60,365
(18,184)
(561)
41,620
(3,844)
37,776

75,150
18,566
3,905
963
98,584
(23,596)
(12,240)
(6,831)
(462)
(43,129)
55,455
(16,660)
(449)
38,346
(5,738)
32,608

10.2%
3.6%
-8.1%
-26.2%
7.9%
0.0%
18.6%
8.1%
7.4%
6.7%
8.9%
9.1%
24.9%
8.5%
-33.0%
15.8%

85,318
21,264
3,697
3,950
114,229
(23,613)
(14,445)
(7,259)
(782)
(46,099)
68,130
(15,371)
(2,494)
50,265
(7,608)
42,657

-2.9%
-9.5%
-2.9%
-82.0%
-6.9%
0.0%
0.5%
1.7%
-36.6%
-0.2%
-11.4%
18.3%
-77.5%
-17.2%
-49.5%
-11.4%

GEL thousands, unless otherwise noted

Net banking interest income


Net fee and commission income
Net banking foreign currency gain
Net other banking income
Revenue
Salaries and other employee benefits
Administrative expenses
Banking depreciation and amortisation
Other operating expenses
Operating expenses
Operating income before cost of credit risk
Cost of credit risk
Net non-recurring items
Profit before income tax
Income tax expense
Profit

Loan Yield | Retail Banking

Deposit Cost | Retail Banking

RB standalone

RB standalone

100%
90%

25%

80%

17.4%

17.6%

17.4%

20%

70%
60%

15%
50.5%

54.3%

30%

10%
58.9%

20%

5%

80%
3.8%

49.5%

63.6%

45.7%

43.7%

5%

0%

0%
Net loans, RB, GEL
Net loans, RB, FC
Currency-blended loan yield, RB

www.bgeo.com
May 2016

2015

Q1 2016

4%
3%

67.6%

40%

74.1%

20%

36.4%

10%
2014

3.5%

76.5%

30%

10%
2013

3.9%

60%
50%

56.3%

40%

6%

5.2%

70%

41.1%

50%

100%
90%

19.8%

32.4%

25.9%

23.5%

0%

2%
1%
0%

2013

2014
2015
Client deposits, RB, FC
Client deposits, RB, GEL
Currency-blended cost of client deposits, RB

Q1 2016

page 40

Retail Banking Loan book growth


RB Loan Yield | quarterly

RB Cost of Deposit | quarterly


RB standalone

RB standalone

25.4% 25.4%
23.0%

25.0%

20.0%

5.5%

6.0%

30.0%

5.0%

17.3% 17.9% 17.4%

4.0%

15.0%

4.8%
4.4%

4.4%
3.8%

3.5% 3.5%

3.2% 3.2%

3.0%

11.4% 11.2% 10.9%

10.0%

2.0%

5.0%

1.0%

0.0%

0.0%
Loan Yield

Loan yield, GEL


1Q15

4Q15

Loan yield, FC

Cost of deposits

1Q16

Cost of deposits, GEL


1Q15

4Q15

Cost of deposits, FC

1Q16

RB NIM | quarterly
RB standalone
12.0%
11.0%
10.0%

9.7%

9.6%
9.2%

9.0%
8.0%
7.0%
6.0%
5.0%
1Q15

www.bgeo.com
May 2016

4Q15

1Q16

page 41

Corporate Investment Banking (CIB)


P&L | Corporate Investment Banking
CIB Consolidated
Income Statement Highlights
Gel thousands, unless otherwise notes

Net banking interest income


Net fee and commission income
Net banking foreign currency gain
Net other banking income
Revenue
Salaries and other employee benefits
Administrative expenses
Banking depreciation and amortisation
Other operating expenses
Operating expenses
Operating income before cost of credit risk
Cost of credit risk
Net non-recurring items
Profit before income tax
Income tax expense
Profit

1Q16

1Q15

Change
Y-O-Y

4Q15

Change
Q-O-Q

38,250
7,020
11,368
2,587
59,225
(11,155)
(3,355)
(1,272)
(231)
(16,013)
43,212
(14,138)
(856)
28,218
(2,687)
25,531

39,592
7,342
9,502
1,508
57,944
(10,061)
(2,886)
(1,107)
(246)
(14,300)
43,644
(19,371)
(621)
23,652
(4,194)
19,458

-3.4%
-4.4%
19.6%
71.6%
2.2%
10.9%
16.3%
14.9%
-6.1%
12.0%
-1.0%
-27.0%
37.8%
19.3%
-35.9%
31.2%

39,381
8,781
13,942
4,328
66,432
(9,982)
(4,231)
(1,242)
(242)
(15,697)
50,735
(11,991)
(2,524)
36,220
(5,416)
30,804

-2.9%
-20.1%
-18.5%
-40.2%
-10.8%
11.8%
-20.7%
2.4%
-4.5%
2.0%
-14.8%
17.9%
-66.1%
-22.1%
-50.4%
-17.1%

Loan Yield | Corporate Banking, standalone

Deposit Cost | Corporate Banking, standalone

CB standalone
100%

CB standalone
14%

12.4%

90%

10.6%

10.7%

80%

10.5%

70%
60%

83.2%

86.8%

50%

89.7%

89.4%

12%
10%

70%

8%

60%

6%

30%

4%

10%

2%
16.8%

13.2%

0%
2013

2014
Net loans, CB, GEL
Net loans, CB, FC
Currency-blended loan yield, CB

www.bgeo.com
May 2016

10.3%
2015

10.6%
Q1 2016

4.6%

4.3%

90%

4%
50.9%

4%

2.9%
51.4%

50%

57.9%

57.2%

2%

30%

2%
49.1%

48.6%

42.1%

42.8%

10%
0%

3%
3%

40%
20%

5%
5%

3.4%

80%

40%
20%

100%

1%
1%

0%

0%
2013
2014
2015
Client deposits, CB, FC
Client deposits, CB, GEL
Currency-blended cost of client deposits, CB

Q1 2016

page 42

Corporate Investment Banking (CIB)


Portfolio breakdown, 31 March 2016

Highlights

CB standalone

Loans by sectors

No.1 corporate bank in Georgia


Integrated client coverage in key sectors
c.5,000 clients served by dedicated relationship bankers

Mining and Health and


quarrying social work
2.6%
4.8%
Financial
intermediation
2.6%
Construction
7.6%
Electricity, gas
and water
supply
2.9%
Transport &
Communicatio
n
5.5%
Hospitality
5.8%

Other
8.2%
Manufacturing
26.9%

Top 10 CB borrowers
represent 30% of total
CB loan book

Trade
15.0%

Top 20 CB borrowers
represent 44% of total
CB loan book

Real estate
9.8%

Service
8.4%

Loans & Deposits


Deposits by category
CB standalone
2,500

GEL millions

2,161
2,000
1,500

2,130

1,221

CB standalone

2,065
1,848

1,819

Time
Deposits,
22.7%

1,186

1,000

FC,
57.2%

500
0
2013
2014
Corporate net loans
Corporate client deposits

www.bgeo.com
May 2016

CIB standalone

1,821

2015

Q1 2016

GEL,
42.8%
Current
Accounts &
Demand
Deposits,
77.3%

Time
GEL,
Deposits, 27.8%
41.8%
FC,
72.2%

Current
Account
s&
Demand
Deposits
58.2%

page 43

Corporate Investment Banking (CIB)


CIB Loan Yield | quarterly

CIB Cost of Deposit | quarterly

CIB standalone

CIB standalone
13.1%

14.0%
12.0%

11.8%

13.3%

12.6%
10.9%

10.3%

9.0%
8.0%
7.0%
6.0%
5.0%
4.0%
3.0%
2.0%
1.0%
0.0%

10.6% 10.6% 10.2%

10.0%
8.0%
6.0%
4.0%
2.0%
0.0%
Loan Yield

Loan yield, GEL


1Q15

4Q15

Loan yield, FC

7.5%

3.9%

4.6% 4.5%

Cost of deposits

8.0%

3.9%

3.9%

Cost of deposits, GEL

3.3% 3.1%

Cost of deposits, FC

1Q16
1Q15

4Q15

1Q16

CIB NIM | quarterly


CIB standalone
10.0%
9.0%
8.0%
7.0%
6.0%
5.0%

4.2%

3.8%

3.7%

4Q15

1Q16

4.0%
3.0%
2.0%
1.0%
0.0%
1Q15

www.bgeo.com
May 2016

page 44

Investment Management unrivalled platform for profitable growth


1

Research

Wealth Management

Strong international presence: Israel

Sector, macro and fixed income


coverage
International distribution

(since 2008), UK (2010), Hungary (2012) and Turkey


(2013). Planned expansion - Cyprus, Singapore, USA.

AUM of GEL 1,343 million, up 11% yo-y

Diversified funding sources:

Georgia 44%
Israel 12%
UK 4%
Germany 3%
Other 35%

Investment
Management

Brokerage

Corporate Advisory

Wide product coverage

Bond placement In March 2016, G&T

successfully placed a USD 5mn 2-year bond of a nonBGEO Group affiliated company, Nikora

Corporate advisory platform


Exclusive partner of SAXO Bank
via While Label structure, that provides highly adaptive
trading platform with professional tools, insights and
world-class execution

www.bgeo.com
May 2016

Team with sector expertise and international


M&A experience

Proven track record of more than 15 completed


transactions over the past 8 years with an
accumulated transaction value of more than GEL
200 million

page 45

Contents

BGEO Group PLC | Overview


Results Discussion | BGEO Group PLC

Results Discussion | Banking Business


Results Discussion | Investment Business

Georgia Healthcare Group

Georgian Macro Overview


Appendices

www.bgeo.com
May 2016

page 46

GHG Income Statement Highlights


P&L | GHG
Income Statement
GEL thousands; unless otherwise
noted

Revenue, gross
Corrections & rebates
Revenue, net
Cost of services
Gross profit
Total operating expenses
Other operating income
EBITDA
EBITDA margin
Depreciation and amortisation
Net interest (expense) / income
Net (losses) / gains from foreign
currencies
Net non-recurring (expense) / income
Profit before income tax expense
Income tax (expense) / benefit
Profit for the period
Attributable to:
- shareholders of the Company
- non-controlling interests

Healthcare services
Chang,
4Q15
Y-o-Y

1Q16

1Q15

55,481
(1,086)
54,395
(30,007)
24,388
(8,857)
1,008
16,539

9.0%
-62.2%
10.4%
10.0%
10.9%
6.8%
-76.1%
7.8%

12,936
12,936
(11,953)
983
(1,660)
(21)
(699)

12,992
12,992
(10,837)
2,155
(1,760)
47
442

-0.4%
-0.4%
10.3%
-54.4%
-5.7%
NMF
NMF

94.9%
-44.5%

29.8%
(4,046)
(5,535)

5.3%
-59.2%

-5.4%
(204)
603

3.4%
(136)
(28)

2,907
(211)
6,107
(491)
5,616

NMF
NMF
110.7%
45.0%
116.4%

(1,586)
484
5,856
(206)
5,650

-74.1%
306.3%
119.7%
245.1%
115.1%

151
(149)
19
(130)

5,073
543

98.1%
287.1%

4,421
1,229

127.3%
71.0%

(130)
-

1Q15

60,451
(410)
60,041
(32,998)
27,043
(9,456)
241
17,828

42,745
(957)
41,788
(24,273)
17,515
(7,923)
78
9,670

41.4%
-57.2%
43.7%
35.9%
54.4%
19.3%
209.0%
84.4%

29.5%
(4,261)
(2,259)

22.6%
(2,186)
(4,073)

(411)
1,968
12,865
(712)
12,153
10,051
2,102

www.bgeo.com
May 2016

Medical insurance
Change,
4Q15
Y-o-Y

Change,
Q-o-Q

1Q16

Change,
Q-o-Q

1Q16

1Q15

14,532
14,532
(12,917)
1,615
(1,627)
(5)
(17)

-11.0%
-11.0%
-7.5%
-39.1%
2.0%
320.0%
NMF

71,682
(410)
71,272
(43,257)
28,015
(11,105)
220
17,129

53,875
(957)
52,918
(33,339)
19,579
(9,592)
125
10,112

50.0%
NMF

-0.1%
(249)
158

-18.0%
282.4%

23.9%
(4,465)
(1,656)

497
775
(116)
659

-69.6%
NMF
NMF
NMF

(6)
(676)
(790)
192
(598)

NMF
NMF
-81.1%
-90.1%
-78.3%

659
-

NMF
-

(598)
-

-78.3%
-

Total GHG
Change,
Y-o-Y

4Q15

Change,
Q-o-Q

33.1%
-57.2%
34.7%
29.7%
43.1%
15.8%
76.0%
69.4%

68,720
(1,086)
67,634
(41,618)
26,016
(10,480)
986
16,522

4.3%
-62.2%
5.4%
3.9%
7.7%
6.0%
-77.7%
3.7%

18.8%
(2,322)
(4,101)

92.3%
-59.6%

24.0%
(4,295)
(5,377)

4.0%
-69.2%

(260)
1,968
12,716
(693)
12,023

3,404
(211)
6,882
(607)
6,275

NMF
NMF
84.8%
14.2%
91.6%

(1,592)
(192)
5,066
(14)
5,052

-83.7%
NMF
151.0%
NMF
138.0%

9,921
2,102

5,732
543

73.1%
287.1%

3,823
1,229

159.5%
71.0%

Sources: GHG internal reporting, financials are for 1Q16


Note: healthcare services business and medical insurance business financials do not include inter business eliminations. Detailed financials, including
inter business eliminations, are provided in annexes

Georgia healthcare market & GHG market share evolvement


Pharmaceuticals

Maintain dominant market share in


hospitals by capacity and revenue

GHG Replicating hospital consolidation


experience in outpatient segment, with a
first mover advantage

Redistribution of funds expected


from pharmaceuticals to
ambulatory services

GEL 0.9bln(1)

GEL 1.3bln(1)

1%

Market share by revenue

Share in total
Healthcare spending
Long-term
target

39.6

43.2

47.2

15.0%

10.0%
5.0%

2018F

2017F

2016F

2014

2015E

2013

2012

2011

2010

2009

2008

0.0%

Low utilisation (50-60%)


Low equipment penetration
Fragmented market
System inefficiency (low nurse-to-doctor ratio)

Low outpatient encounters


Fragmented market
New prescription policy

GHG: accelerated revenue market share growth


on the back of well-invested asset base

GHG: replicating hospital cluster model and


consolidation experience in ambulatory sector

Spending on pharma Georgias 38% vs 16-17%


in Europe; decreasing trend in comparable
countries

new prescription policy introduced in 2014


ambulatory market consolidation
Weakening of existing pharma-duopoly

(1) Frost & Sullivan analysis, 2015

www.bgeo.com
May 2016

25.0%

20.0%
7.8%

33.2

36.2
7.6%

7.0%

29.2 30.7
6.4%

6.1%

5.5%

5.3%

5.3%

4.8%

5.1%

19.1 18.0 20.7

26.8
24.3 26.2

7.3%

CAGR'03-14: 11.8%
'15-20: 9%

2018F

2017F

2016F

2015E

2014

2008

2018F

2017F

2016F

2015E

2014

2013

2012

2011

2010

2009

500

2008

500

2013

1,000

2012

811 858

1,500

50.0
1,448 45.0
40.0
1,250
1,079
35.0
930
30.0
802
25.0
695
592
20.0
473
376
15.0
272
241
10.0
5.0
-

CAGR'03-14: 17.9%
'14-18: 16%

2011

674 643 714

941

1,647
1,489
1,341
1,203
1,075

GDP nominal, GEL bln

Ambulatories, GEL mln

2010

1,000

2,000

2009

1,500

medium term target

1Q16

Hospitals, GEL mln


CAGR'03-14: 13.7%
'14-18: 11%

25.0%

38.4%

Bed market share

2,000

Growth
drivers

Market share by sales

Long-term
target

1Q16

33.0%

1Q16

Market

Market share by revenue

26.7%

>15.0%

15.0%

17.0%

33.0%

18%

2020F

Revenue

GEL 1.2bln(1)

Capacity

GHG
Market
shares

Ambulatories

2019F

GHG
strategy

Hospitals

Sources: GHG internal reporting; Frost & Sullivan analysis, 2015; NHA, Ministry of Labor, Health and Social Affairs of Georgia; NCDC; OECD, World Health
Organisation and World Bank, 2013 data

page 48

GHG - Long-term, High-growth Story


Medium-term Target
(5-10 Year Horizon)

2015-2018

Georgia 2014 or most recent year(1)

Spending
per capita (US$)

Price inflation
(heart surgery, US$)

GHG Revenue
per bed (US$)

Georgia medium-term(1)

6,500 (GHG)

Nurse to doctor
ratio

Pharmaceuticals
share in total
healthcare spending

1,076

9,000

25,000

280k

99k

32,000 (GHG)
Significant expansion
of capacity by 2025

Outpatient
Encounters per capita

EM 2014 or most recent year (2)

502

217 (Georgia)

Long-term Target
(Beyond 10 Year Horizon)

Substantial room to
grow beyond 2025

8.9

5.4

3.5 (Georgia)

4:1 (Georgia,
1:1.3 (Georgia)

WHO
recommendation)

3.4:1

38.4% (Georgia)

25%

15.4%

www.bgeo.com
May 2016

Sources:
(1)
Bed utilisation for referral hospitals; World Bank; GHG internal reporting; Management Estimates; Ministry of Finance of Georgia; Frost & Sullivan 2015;

NCDC healthcare statistical yearbook 2014


(2)

WHO: Average of countries: Chile, Costa Rica, Czech Republic, Estonia, Croatia, Hungary, Lithuania, Latvia, Poland, Russian Federation, Slovak Republic;
BAML Global Hospital Benchmark, August 2014

page 49

Contents

BGEO Group PLC | Overview


Results Discussion | BGEO Group PLC

Results Discussion | Banking Business


Results Discussion | Investment Business

m2 Real Estate

Georgian Macro Overview


Appendices

www.bgeo.com
May 2016

page 50

m2 - Income statement Highlights

P&L | m2
m2 Consolidated
Income Statement Highlights
Gel thousands, unless otherwise
Real estate revenue
Cost of real estate
Gross real estate profit
Gross other investment profit
Revenue
Salaries and other employee benefits
Administrative expenses
Operating expenses
EBITDA
Depreciation and amortization of investment business
Net foreign currency loss from investment business
Interest income from investment business
Interest expense from investment business
Net operating income before non-recurring items
Net non-recurring items
Profit before income tax
Income tax (expense) benefit
Profit

www.bgeo.com
May 2016

1Q16

1Q15

Change
Y-O-Y

4Q15

Change
Q-O-Q

28,592
(22,740)
5,852
1,816
7,668
(320)
(1,135)
(1,455)
6,213
(53)
386
(125)
6,421
(23)
6,398
(960)
5,438

3,938
(2,865)
1,073
219
1,292
(321)
(1,041)
(1,362)
(70)
(42)
(371)
171
(1,011)
(1,323)
(73)
(1,396)
209
(1,187)

626.1%
NMF
445.4%
NMF
493.5%
-0.3%
9.0%
6.8%
NMF
26.2%
NMF
-100.0%
-87.6%
NMF
-68.5%
NMF
NMF
NMF

47,465
(34,869)
12,596
7,277
19,873
(356)
(1,515)
(1,871)
18,002
(55)
(836)
(173)
16,938
(7)
16,931
(2,604)
14,327

-39.8%
-34.8%
-53.5%
-75.0%
-61.4%
-10.1%
-25.1%
-22.2%
-65.5%
-3.6%
NMF
-27.7%
-62.1%
NMF
-62.2%
-63.1%
-62.0%

page 51

At a glance Major player on Georgian real estate market


1

Residential Developments
Affordable housing

Market: US$ 1.2bln1

Key
Segments
& market
size

m2

Asset base
(as of
1Q16)

US$ 55 million

Commercial space (offices, industrial


properties, high street retail)

Hotels

Market: US$ 2.5bln2

Market: US$ 1.9bln3

m2

As a residential real estate developer,


targets
mass market customers by introducing high quality
and comfortable living standards in Georgia and
making them affordable.

Includes:
1. Inventory of
residential real estate
2. Land bank

Yielding Business

As a property manager,
makes opportunistic
investments and manages a well diversified portfolio
of yielding assets, primarily consisting of high street
real estate assets, and also including industrial and
office space real estate assets.

Includes:
1. High street retail
2. Industrial properties:
warehouses and logistics
centers
3. Offices

US$ 17 million

As a hotel developer and operator, m2 targets 3-star,


mixed use hotels (residential combined with hotel
development). m2 finances equity needs of the hotel
from the profits and land value unlocked through
sale of the apartments in the same development.

Includes:
1. Hotels (mixed use)
2. Land bank

US$ 2 million

Dollar denominated, inflation hedged cash flow stream

Track
record
-

Delivering average 65% IRR on residential


projects
Started operations in 2010 and since:
- Completed 6 projects 1,669 apartments,
87% sold with US$ 123.4mln sales value, land
value unlocked US$ 16.4mln
- Ongoing 2 projects 838 apartments, 29%
sold with US$ 20.0mln sales value, land value
to be unlocked US$ 8.9mln
All completed projects were on budget and on
schedule
Land bank of value US$ 43.4mln, with c.5200
apartments
www.bgeo.com
May 2016

Generated annual yield of 9.7% in 2015 on


portfolio rented out. Rent earning assets are with
capital appreciation upside.
m2 has developed its current yielding portfolio
through:
- m2 retains commercial space (ground floor) at
its own residential developments. This
constitutes up to 25% of total yielding portfolio
- Acquired opportunistically the commercial
space. This constitutes over 75% of total
yielding portfolio

1 US$ value of annual transaction in the capital city in 2014 (NPRG, Colliers Company own data)
2 trade volume in Georgia in 2015
3 gross tourism inflows in 2015

m2 attained exclusive development agreement


with Wyndham to develop Wyndhams 3-star
brand Ramada Encore exclusively in Georgia.
Plan is to build at least 3 hotels within next 7
years with minimum 370 rooms in total.
3 projects in the pipeline:
1) 2 hotels in Tbilisi land acquired, project
design stage
2) 1 hotel in Kutaisi searching for property

Unmatched track record


1

Start date:

Project timeline

All projects were completed on budget and on schedule


3 4

SEP2010
123 apartments

APR2012
525 apartments

DEC2013
221 apartments
295 apartments

SEP2014
JUL2014
270 apartments 238 apartments

JUL2015
819 apartments

DEC2015
19 apartments

2,507 apartments in total: 1,669 apartments completed with 86% sales and 838 apartments under construction with 38% pre-sales

Project highlights

Chubinishvili street
123 apartments
IRR: 47%
Equity multiple: x1.8
Apartments sold: 123/123, 100%
Pre-sales1 was: 92%
Start date: Sep2010
Completion: Aug2012
Sales: US$ 9.9mln
Land value unlocked: US$ 0.9mln
5

Tamarashvili Street II
270 apartments
IRR: 71%
Equity multiple: x2.5
Apartments sold: 194/270, 72%
Pre-sales: 71%
Start date: Jul2014
Completion: May2016
Sales: US$ 18.0mln
Land value unlocked: US$ 2.7mln

www.bgeo.com
May 2016

Tamarashvili street
522 apartments
IRR: 46%
Equity multiple: x1.6
Apartments sold: 522/522, 100%
Pre-sales was: 94%
Start date: May2012
Completion: Jun2014
Sales: US$ 48.0mln
Land value unlocked: US$ 5.4mln
6

Completed projects

On-going projects

Moscow avenue
238 apartments
IRR: 31%
Equity multiple: x1.2
Apartments sold: 147/238, 62%
Pre-sales: 61%
Start date: Sep2014
Completion: May2016
Sales: US$ 6.9mln
Land value unlocked: US$ 1.6mln

Nutsubidze street
221apartments
IRR: 58%
Equity multiple: x1.2
Apartments sold: 203/221, 92%
Pre-sales: 89%
Start date: Dec2013
Completion: Sep2015
Sales: US$ 16.2mln
Land value unlocked: US$ 2.2mln
7

Kartozia Street
819 apartments
IRR: 31%
Equity multiple: x1.7
Pre-sales: 231/819, 28%
Pre-sales: US$ 16.4mln
Start date: Nov2015
Completion expected: Sep2018
Construction progress: 10% completed
Land value to be unlocked: US$ 5.8mln

Note 1: Pre-sales is defined as sales before project completion


Note 2: Off-plan sales is defined as sales before commencement
of construction phase

Off-plan sales: 173/819, 21%


Off-plan sales: $11.7mln

Kazbegi Street
295 apartments
IRR: 165%
Equity multiple: x2.2
Apartments sold: 266/295, 90%
Pre-sales: 90%
Start date: Dec2013
Completion: Mar2016
Sales: US$ 24.4mln
Land value unlocked: US$ 3.6mln
8

Skyline
19 apartments
IRR: 329%
Equity multiple: x1.1
Pre-sales: 9/19, 47%
Pre-sales: US$ 3.7mln
Start date: Dec2015
Completion expected: Dec2016
Construction progress: 5% completed
Land value to be unlocked: US$ 3.1mln

Pre-sales: 58/819, 7%
Pre-sales: $4.7mln

m2 Real Estate Strategy: accelerating growth

GOAL

Accelerate growth, building on existing track record, to develop m2 into a sizable


player on Georgian real estate market

Residential Developments
Liquidating all land-plots by
developing housing. Start development
of third party lands.

Growth
highlights
Currently, own land bank of US$
43.4mln*, with capacity of c.5200
apartments (in addition to 2,510
apartments in existing 8 projects, both
completed and on-going)
*Excludes hotel lands

www.bgeo.com
May 2016

Commercial space
Grow portfolio of yielding assets by
retaining investment property from own
residential developments, and acquiring
opportunistically and/or developing high
street retail, commercial and office space,
with capital gain upside and c.10-12%
annual yield.
Investment policy:
Good location
Good tenant
Good lease terms
10-12% yield range

Hotels
Develop 3 hotels (3-star, select service
mixed-use hotels) in next 7 years in
Tbilisi and Kutaisi with minimum roomcount of 370 in total, catering to budget
travelers

Ramada Encore exclusivity for 7 years


Investment per room US$ 70k
Occupancy rate 74% (after 3rd year
stabilised)
ADR US$ 110 (Tbilisi)
US$ 105 (Kutaisi)

Strong existing pipeline US$ 422.1mln total investment


Start date:

Project timeline

Accelerating the growth


1

APR2016
544 apartments

MAY2016
(2) 62 apartments
(1) 152 rooms
353 apartments

AUG2016
127 rooms
34 apartments

DEC2016
127 rooms

JAN2017
1,097 apartments
320 sqm commercial space

JAN2019
1,746 apartments
3,703 sqm commercial space

APR2021
1,400 apartments
39,514 sqm commercial space
1

Existing land bank of US$ 45.6mln value, with c.5200 apartments

Project highlights

Kavtaradze street
(economy/low cost development)

544 apartments
IRR: 26%, expected
Expected sales: US$ 26.0 mln
Start: Apr-16
Completion: Mar-18
Total completion cost: US$ 23.1mln
Land value: US$ 2.6mln
Equity multiple: x1.5
3

Ramada Encore (Kutaisi 3-star hotel)


Hotel: 127 rooms, 6000 sqm (gross)
Start: Dec16; Completion: Sep18
Total completion cost: US$ 11.3mln
Profit stabilized year: US$ 1.2mln
ADR (stabilized year): US$ 105

www.bgeo.com
May 2016

50 Chavchavadze avenue
(upscale development)
62 apartments
IRR: 99%, expected
Expected sales: US$ 16.5 mln
Start: May-16
Completion: Sep-17
Total completion cost: US$ 12.1mln
Land value: US$ 3.3 mln
Equity multiple: x1.8

Ramada Encore (Kazbegi 15mixed-use)


Hotel: 152 rooms, 7000 sqm (gross)
Start: May-16; Completion: Nov-17
Total completion cost: US$ 13.2mln
Profit stabilized year: US$ 1.4mln
ADR (stabilized year): US$ 110
Residential: 353 apartments
IRR: 45%
Expected sales: US$ 47.1 mln
Start: May-16; Completion: Nov-17
Total completion cost: US$ 37.0mln
Equity multiple: x1.8

Dighomi development
m2 owns 13 hectare of land in close proximity to the city center. Plan is
to develop a modern neighborhood with c.4,200 apartments, 30,000
sqm of retail, 20,000 sqm of offices, primary school, kindergarten,
outpatient clinic, park and plaza. The project will be a novel
development combining multi-family real estate for all types of
customers: micro lofts for millennials, townhouses with private patios
for larger families, high rise apartment blocks and small size units to
meet the budget constraints of the clients. Retail will host hypermarket
and plaza level shops, cafes and restaurants. Almost 4 hectares will be
dedicated to park and greenery to provide the residents and the guests
of the neighborhood with relaxing atmosphere.

Residential development

Hotel development

Ramada Encore (Meliqishvilimixed-use)


Hotel: 127 rooms, 5900 sqm (gross)
Start: Aug-16; Completion: Feb-18
Total completion cost: US$ 11.9mln
Profit stabilized year: US$ 1.2mln
ADR (stabilized year): US$ 110
Residential: 34 apartments
IRR: 329%
Expected sales: US$ 6.2 mln
Start: Aug-16; Completion: Feb-18
Total completion cost: US$ 4.3mln
Equity multiple: x2.1

Project highlights
Expected sales, US$ mln
Start date
Completion date
Total completion cost, US$ mln
Land value, US$ mln
Number of apartments
Commercial space
Equity multiple

Total
387.8
Jan-17
Apr-24
324.9
27.0
4,243
54,421

1
59.9
Jan-17
Mar-20
71.5
6.0
1,097
400

1.9

Dighomi development (Residential & Commercial space). Numbers designate project phases.

2
119.8
Jan-19
Jan-22
99.0
9.6
1,746
4,629

3
208.1
Apr-21
Apr-24
154.4
11.4
1,400
49,392

m2 Real Estate Hotel strategy

3-star hotel opportunity in Tbilisi


Develop 3 hotels in next 7 years in
Tbilisi catering to budget travelers

Limited supply last

Visitors in Georgia
25% CAGR03-15

Branded hotel opening in Tbilisi in 2012


5,898
5,516
5,392

6,000
5,000

Distribution of rooms in Tbilisi


by accommodation type, 2011

4,428

Internationally
branded hotels
26%

4,000

Wyndham Ramada Anchor exclusivity for 7 years


Equity investment US$ 7 million

1,000

313 368

560

Other
accommodation
units (local)
74%

1,500
1,290
1,052
763

2015

2014

2013

2012

2011

2010

2009

2008

2007

2006

2005

0
2004

Number of rooms 370


Investment per room US$ 70k
Occupancy rate 65% (3rd year stabilised)
ADR US$ 100

2,032
2,000

2003

2,822

3,000

Foreign visitors (thousand persons)

ROE 20%

Source: Galt & Taggart Research

www.bgeo.com
May 2016

page 56

Contents

BGEO Group PLC | Overview


Results Discussion | BGEO Group PLC

Results Discussion | Banking Business


Results Discussion | Investment Business

Renewable Energy Opportunity

Georgian Macro Overview


Appendices

www.bgeo.com
May 2016

page 57

Renewable Energy opportunity


1

Underpenetrated
industry

Only 20-25% of Georgias hydro resources utilised

Cheap to develop

US$ 1.5mln for 1MW development in Georgia

Strategic
partnership

Strategic partnership with industry specialists RP Global (Austria)

Small investment
to date

Only US 1mln invested during first 1.5 years of due-diligence and


planning

Opportunities

5 BGEO planned

investment in
ongoing projects

www.bgeo.com
May 2016

BGEO investment US$ 28mln


Total investment US$ 43mln (partnership: 65% BGEO 35% RP Global)
Expected IRR 25%+

page 58

Renewable Energy 5 year roadmap

Goal

Establish renewable energy platform,


targeting 100MW+ in 4 medium size hydro power plants by 2019
Development

2 ongoing projects 105MW, 4 HPPs

Pipeline

Projects

Mestiachala
1&2

Zoti
1&2

Estimated Capacity 100 MW

50MW

55MW

Estimated Project Timeline2

2017-2018

2017-2019

Note: Project timeline includes only construction period. In general


construction period is preceded by a 1-2 year pre-construction period. On
average 5% of total project cost is spent during this period on due diligence

www.bgeo.com
May 2016

page 59

Renewable Energy 5 year roadmap

Goal

Establish renewable energy platform,


targeting 100MW+ in 4 medium size hydro power plants by 2019
Financing
BGEO contribution US$ 28mln over next 4 years
(estimated total equity US$ 43mln)
40.0
35.0
30.0
25.0
20.0
15.0
10.0
5.0
0.0

Pipeline

Staged investments

Small
investment
until now

4 years

14.8
0.6
2015

2.8
2016

6.9
2017

3.0
2018

2019

BGEO investment

www.bgeo.com
May 2016

page 60

Renewable Energy 5 year roadmap

Goal

Expected IRR 25%+

Math

Total

BGEO share

EBITDA (run rate)

US$ 15.9mln

US$ 10.3mln

Equity contribution

US$ 43mln

US$ 28mln

Sale in parts

Scale up (2nd stage) and public listing or strategic


sale

Exit opportunities

www.bgeo.com
May 2016

page 61

Contents

BGEO Group PLC | Overview


Results Discussion | BGEO Group PLC

Results Discussion | Banking Business


Results Discussion | Investment Business

GGU Georgian Global Utilities

Georgian Macro Overview


Appendices

www.bgeo.com
May 2016

page 62

GGU Overview
Business overview
Two core activities:
1. Water utility Provides water to 1.4mln people (1/3
of Georgia)

2. Generation of electric power Owns and operates


3 HPPs with total installed capacity of 143MW.
Generated power is primarily used by GGUs
water business. The excess amount of generated
power is sold to the third party clients every year

Highlights
We acquired 25% of shareholding, December
2014
We had an option to acquire an additional
24.9% share in GGU. We did not exercise this
option
Going forward reduce water delivery losses to
40%, from current 50%

Period

GGU
EBITDA

Profit contribution
to BGEO

Gel mln, unless otherwise noted

www.bgeo.com
May 2016

2014

51.6

2015

63.2

4.1

1Q16

16.0

1.9

page 63

GGU EBITDA dynamics


GGU EBITDA
CAGR14-18

+10.6%

90

GEL millions

80

66.5

70

60

77.3
69.1

63.2
51.6

50
40
30
20

10
0
2014

2015E

2016F

2017F

2018F

EBITDA growth drivers


Cost saving from reduction in water delivery losses to 40%, from current 50%
Double effect from water delivery loss reduction selling freed-up energy

www.bgeo.com
May 2016

page 64

Contents

BGEO Group PLC | Overview


Results Discussion | BGEO Group PLC

Results Discussion | Banking Business


Results Discussion | Investment Business

Teliani Valley

Georgian Macro Overview


Appendices

www.bgeo.com
May 2016

page 65

Teliani Valley Business overview


Goal

Become leading beverages producer and distributor in Caucasus

Strong existing franchise


Leading wine producer

With wide
distribution platform

Teliani
Business

New business line


Launch beer production

Russian Federation
Black
Sea

Poti
Batumi

Turkey

3 million bottles sold annually

4,400 sales points

US$ 8mln revenue in 2015

Exporting to 26 countries,
including all FSU, Poland,
Sweden, Finland, USA, Canada,
Brazil, China, Thailand, Singapore

US$ 1.7mln EBITDA in 2015


60% of sales from export

www.bgeo.com
May 2016

Georgia

Caspian
Sea

Tbilisi
Rustavi

Armenia

Azerbaijan

Baku

Launch beer production facility in


Georgia

10 year exclusivity with Heineken


to sell in Georgia, Armenia and
Azerbaijan (17mln population)

page 66

Teliani Valley Exclusive Heineken producer in Caucasus

Exclusive Heineken producer in Caucasus


Strong management with
proven track record

Highly concentrated market

Domestic market segmentation (Q3


2015)

Investment
Rationale

EBITDA

6%
12%

3.1

2.5

1.7

2.0

1.7

1.5
0.9

0.2

0.9

31%

0.3

-0.9

2009

Beer Consumption in Peer Countries 2014


(l/capita)

Net Income
3.4

1.3

Low consumption per capita


compared to peers

51%

Effes Georgia
Zedazeni
Argo
Other

160
140
120
100
80
60
40
20
0

Peer
Average 71

-0.7

2010

2011

www.bgeo.com
May 2016

2012

2013

2014

2015

page 67

Teliani Valley Exclusive Heineken producer in Caucasus

Exclusive Heineken producer in Caucasus


EBITDA projection

Investment

Exit options

EBITDA Evolution, USDmn (20172022)

Financials

Total investment USD 40.6mln, of


which USD 15.3mln is equity
BGEO to invest USD 9.8mln in total,
amounting to 64% of shares of Teliani

12.0
10.0
8.0
6.0

30.0%
24.1% 24.2%
22.4% 23.1%
20.6%
2.9
3.0
2.8
15.6%
2.6
2.5

4.0
2.0
0.0

2.4

5.4

6.6

7.7

7.9

3.6

1.1

25.0%
20.0%

Trade sale

15.0%
10.0%
5.0%
0.0%

2017E 2018E 2019E 2020E 2021E 2022E


Teliani Valley EBITDA
Global Beer Georgia EBITDA
EBITDA margin

www.bgeo.com
May 2016

page 68

Contents

Bank of Georgia Holdings PLC | Overview


Results Discussion | Bank of Georgia Holdings PLC

Results Discussion | Banking Business


Results Discussion | Investment Business
Georgian Macro Overview

Appendices

www.bgeo.com
May 2016

page 69

Georgia at a glance
General Facts

Area: 69,700 sq km
Population (2012): 4.5 mln
Life expectancy: 77 years
Official language: Georgian
Literacy: 100%
Capital: Tbilisi
Currency (code): Lari (GEL)

Economy

Nominal GDP (Geostat) 2015: GEL 31.7 bn (US$14.0 bn)


Real GDP growth rate 2011-2015: 7.2%, 6.4%, 3.3%, 4.6%, 2.8%
Real GDP average 10 year growth rate: 5.1%
GDP per capita 2015 (PPP) per IMF: US$ 9,629
Annual inflation (e-o-p) 2015: 4.9%
External public debt to GDP 2015: 32.6%

Sovereign ratings:
S&P
BB-/B/Stable, affirmed in November 2015
Moodys Ba3/NP/Stable, affirmed in March 2016
Fitch
BB-/B/Stable, affirmed in October 2015

www.bgeo.com
May 2016

page 70

Georgias key economic drivers


Liberal economic policy

Regional logistics and


tourism hub

Top performer globally in WB Doing Business over the past 12 years


Liberty Act (effective January 2014) ensures a credible fiscal and monetary framework:
Public expenditure/GDP capped at 30%; Fiscal deficit/GDP capped at 3%; Public debt/GDP capped at 60%
Business friendly environment and low tax regime (attested by favourable international rankings)
A natural transport and logistics hub, connecting land-locked energy rich countries in the east and European markets in the west
Access to a market of 900mn customers without customs duties: Free trade agreements with EU, CIS and Turkey and GSP with USA, Canada, Japan, Norway and

Switzerland, negotiations ongoing on Georgia-China free trade agreement


Tourism revenues on the rise: tourism inflows stood at 13.9% of GDP in 2015 and arrivals reached 5.9mln visitors in 2015 (up 6.9% y-o-y)
Regional energy transit corridor accounting for 1.6% of the worlds oil and gas transit volumes

Strong FDI

Support from international


community

Electricity transit hub


potential

An influx of foreign investors on the back of the economic reforms have boosted productivity and accelerated growth
FDI at US$1,351mln (9.7% of GDP) in 2015 (down 23.2% y-o-y)
FDI averaged 10% of GDP in 2006-2015
Productivity gains accounted for 66% of the annual average 5.6% growth over 1999-2012, according to the World Bank

Georgia and the EU signed an Association Agreement and DCFTA in June 2014
Progress in achieving visa-free travel to the EU is another major success in Georgian foreign policy. Georgian passport holders are expected to start free entrance to the

EU countries from 2H16


Discussions commenced with the USA to drive inward investments and exports
Strong political support from NATO, EU, US, UN and member of WTO since 2000; Substantial support from DFIs, the US and EU

Developed, stable and competitively priced energy sector


Only 20% of hydropower capacity utilized; 88 hydropower plants are in various stages of construction or development
Georgia imports natural gas mainly from Azerbaijan
Significantly boosted transmission capacity in recent years, a new 400 kV line to Turkey built, other transmission lines to Armenia and Russia upgraded
Additional 5,000 MW transmission capacity development in the pipeline, facilitating cross-border electricity trade and energy swaps to Eastern Europe

Georgia underscored its commitment to European values by securing a democratic transfer of political power in successive parliamentary, presidential, and local

elections and by signing an Association Agreement and free trade agreement with the EU

Political environment
stabilised

New constitution amendments passed in 2013 to enhance governing responsibility of Parliament and reduce the powers of the Presidency
Continued economic relationship with Russia, although economic dependence is relatively low
Russia began issuing visas to Georgians in March 2009; Georgia abolished visa requirements for Russians -The Russian side recently announced to ease visa

procedures for Georgians citizens effective December 23, 2015


Direct flights between the two countries resumed in January 2010
Member of WTO since 2000, allowed Russias access to WTO; In 2013 trade restored with Russia
In 2015, Russia and Ukraine together accounted for 10.1% of Georgias exports and 14.0% of imports; just 4.1% of cumulative FDI over 2004-2015

www.bgeo.com
May 2016

page 71

Growth oriented reforms


Ease of Doing Business | 2016 (WB-IFC Doing Business
Report)
6
7
8
9

UK
USA
Sweden
Norway
Estonia
GEORGIA
Armenia
Czech Rep.
Romania
Kazakhstan
Montenegro
Turkey
Serbia
Azerbaijan
Ukraine

Economic Freedom Index | 2016 (Heritage Foundation)


Estonia

WB named Georgia top performer globally in


doing business over the past 12 years

11
23
36

Hungary

24
35
36
37

58

Bulgaria

60

Romania

61

France

41

75

Turkey

46

79

Italy
Azerbaijan

55
59

86
91

Russia

63

153

Ukraine

162

83

Global Corruption Barometer | TI 2013


Denmark
Norway
GEORGIA
UK
Estonia
US
Romania
Bulgaria
Czech Republic
Armenia
Latvia
Turkey
Greece
Serbia
Lithuania
Kazakhstan
Ukraine

10

USA

Georgia
Latvia

16

UK

1%
3%
4%
5%
6%
7%
7%
8%

Business Bribery Risk, 2014 | Trace International

% admitting having paid a bribe last year

15%
18%
19%
21%
22%
26%
26%
32%
37%

www.bgeo.com
May 2016

Sources: Transparency International, Heritage Foundation, World Bank

Germany
USA
Georgia
Norway
Netherlands
UK
Estonia
Poland
Czech Rep.
Serbia
Turkey
Montenegro
Romania
Armenia
Russia
Azerbaijan

9
10
11
12
13
19
22
31
52
67
70
73
83
87
134
140

page 72

Government 4-pillar of reform initiatives


Structural Reforms

Promoting Transit Hub

Tax Reform

Corporate income tax reform


Enhancing easiness of tax compliance

Capital Market Reform

Boosting stock exchange activities


Developing of local bond market

Rail

Pension Reform

Introduction of private pension system

Air

Introduction of transparent and efficient PPP


framework

Public Investment
Management Framework

Improved efficiency of state projects

Deposit Insurance

Boosting private savings


Enhancing trust to financial system

Accounting Reform

Increased transparency and financial accountability


Enhanced protection of shareholder rights

PPP Reform

Roads

Plan to finish all spinal projects by 2020 EastWest Highway, other supporting infrastructure

Baku Tbilisi Kars new railroad line


Railway modernization project

Tbilisi International Airport

2nd runway to be constructed

International Cargo terminal

Anaklia deep water Black Sea port

Strategic location

Capable of accommodating Panamax


type cargo vessels

High capacity up to 100mln tons


turnover annually

Up to USD 1bln for first phase (out of


9) in Georgia

Maritime

Association Agreement
Agenda

Promoting Open Governance


Improvement of public
services offered to the
private sector

Creation of Front Office


Application of Single Window Principle

Involvement of the
private sector in
legislative process

Strict monitoring of
implementation of
government decisions

www.bgeo.com
May 2016

Education Reform
General Education
Reform

Maximising quality of teaching in secondary


schools

Discussion of draft legislation at an early stage

Fundamental Reform
of Higher Education

Based on the comprehensive research of the labor


market needs

Creation of a special unit for monitoring purposes

Improvement of
Vocational Education

Increase involvement of the private sector in the


professional education

page 73

Diversified resilient economy


Gross domestic product
20
15

11.1%

10
5

4.0

14.4

12.6% 12.8
10.8

9.6% 9.4% 10.2


7.8
5.8% 6.4
5.1

20%

15.8 16.1 16.5


14.0

11.6
6.2%

7.2%

3.4%

4.6%
2.8%

Hotels &
restaurants 2.5%

15%
10%

6.4%

2.4%

Nominal GDP structure, 2015

5%

Trade 16.6%
Other
11.0%

Financial interm.
3.7%

Maufacturing
16.5%

Healthcare 6.0%

0%

-3.7%

Real Estate 6.6%

Transport &
commun. 10.7%

2015

2014

2013

2012

2011

2010

2009

2008

2007

2006

2005

2004

-5%
2003

-5

Construction
8.0%

Nimonal GDP, US$ bn


Real GDP growth, y/y %
Source: Geostat

Comparative real GDP growth rates, % (2006-2015 average)


6%

5.1%

5%
3.6%

4%
2.5%

3%
1.8%

1.9%

2.6%

3.8%

GDP per capita


10,000

7,287

7,000

1.9%

6,000

5,000

0%

4,000

5,788

www.bgeo.com
May 2016

Georgia

Poland

Turkey

Moldova

Romania

Lithuania

Russia

Czech Republic

Estonia

Latvia

Sources: IMF, Geostat

2,000

6,135 6,030

6,571

4,943
4,329

3,431

3,779

3,711
3,159
2,479

3,000

-0.8%

-2%

9,630

8,006

8,000

2.7%

1%

Ukraine

9,209
8,526

9,000

3.8%

2%

-1%

Public
administration
9.3%

Agriculture 9.2%
Source: Geostat

924 1,202

1,522

4,428
4,131 4,267

3,789

2,694 2,951

1,863

1,000
0
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Nominal GDP per capita, US$
GDP per capita, PPP
Sources: IMF

page 74

Productivity gains have been the main engine of growth since 2004
Overall contribution of capital, labour, and Total Factor
Productivity (TFP) to growth, 1999-2012

Contributions of capital, labour, and TFP to growth during


periods
10%

Capital stock
1.60%

8%
6%

TFP growth
3.65%

4%

6.32%
3.86%
3.65%

2%
0%

1.48%

2.25%

1999-2003

2004-2007

-2%

0.67%
-2.02%

1.56%

2008-2009

2010-2012

-4%

Labor force
0.32%

Capital stock
Labor force
TFP growth
Source: Georgia Rising (2013), WB

Source: Georgia Rising (2013), WB

Real GDP growth projection, 2016-2017

60%
50%
40%
30.0%
14.4%
12.7%

5.7%

30%
12.5%

4.9%

20%
10%

-3.0%

0%
-13.6%

-10%
4Q15

3Q15

2Q15

1Q15

4Q14

3Q14

-20%
2Q14

600
580
560
540
520
500
480
460
440
420

1Q14

Belarus

Russia

Azerbaijan

Bulgaria

Czech Rep.

2017F

Moldova

Armenia

Kyrgyz Rep.

Estonia

Lithuania

Slovak Rep.

Macedonia

Romania

Latvia

Georgia

2016F

Kazakhstan

5%
4%
3%
2%
1%
0%
-1%
-2%
-3%
-4%

Employed persons in business sector

Employment in business sector, '000


Pers. income tax revenues, % change y/y

Sources: IMF, WEO April 2016

www.bgeo.com
May 2016

Source: GeoStat, MOF

page 75

Further job creation is achievable


Unemployment rate down 2.2ppts y/y to 12.4% in 2014

Average monthly wages and income per household


500

6%

1,200

4%

1,100

2%

100
0

0%
2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2004

1,000

200

2014

Employment (thousands)
Unemployment rate

2014

8%

1,300

2013

1,400

300

2012

10%

2011

12%

1,500

2010

1,600

400

2009

14%

2008

16%

1,700

2007

1,800

2006

18%

2005

1,900

Wages, US$
Total income, US$

Sources: GeoStat

Sources: GeoStat

Share of services in total employment has increased

Hired workers account for c.39.7% in total employment


800

2,000
1,800
1,600
1,400
1,200
1,000
800
600
400
200
0

700

600
500
400
300
200
100
2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

Services
Agriculture
Industry
Source: GeoStat
Note: services include construction

www.bgeo.com
May 2016

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

0
2006
2007
2008
Public sector
Non-public sector

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

Sources: GeoStat

page 76

Demonstrated fiscal discipline and low public debt


Fiscal deficit as % of GDP
Fiscal
deficit/GDP
capped at 3%

0%
-0.3%
-2.6%

-4%

-3.4%

-6%

-3.6%

-6.5%

-8%

-3.7%

Domestic
21%

External
79%

(Contractual maturity
23 years)

-6.7%
Bilateral
13%
Eurobond
9%

2016F

2015

2014

2013

2012

2011

2010

2009

2007

2006

2005

External public debt


portfolio
weighted average
interest rate 1.9%

Multilateral
56%

-3.0%

-9.2%
2004

-10%

-2.8% -2.6% -3.0%

-4.8%

2008

-2%

Breakdown of public debt

Fiscal deficit as % of GDP


Source: Ministry of Finance of Georgia

Source: Ministry of Finance of Georgia, as of end-2015

Public debt as % of GDP

Gross government debt/GDP, 2015

20%

40%

10%

10%

20%

0%

0%

41.2%

Sources: Ministry of Finance of Georgia, Geostat

www.bgeo.com
May 2016

Italy

USA

Belgium

UK

Canada

Croatia

Austria

Ukraine

Slovenia

Hungary

Germany

Netherlands

Montenegro

Belarus

Finland

Slovakia

Armenia

Denmark

Switzerland

Georgia

Lithuania

Romania

Bosnia & Herz.

External public debt to GDP, %

Czech Rep.

0%
Turkey

2008

2007

2006

2005

2004

2003

Total public debt to GDP, %

2017F

20%

2016F

60%

2015

30%

2014

80%

30%

2013

40%

2012

100%

40%

2011

120%

50%

50%

2010

140%

60%

2009

70%

60%

Macedonia

Public
debt/GDP
capped at
60%

70%

Source: IMF

page 77

Investing in infrastructure and spending low on social


Revenues and expenditures

Current and capital expenditure

12,000

70%

10,000

60%
50%

8,000

30%
30.2%

30.5%

30.0%

40%

0%
2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

25.0%

24.0%

81.6%

83.2%

17.7%

16.4%

18.4%

16.8%

20%

2016F

0%
2009

Total Budget Receipts, GEL mn


Expenditures (Capital + Current), GEL mn

2016F

2010

21.9%

83.6%

2015

2009

22.1%

82.3%

20%
10%

76.0%

2014

29.3%

75.0%

2013

30.6%

78.1%

2012

30.7%

2,000

77.9%

2011

33.9%

60%

2010

37.2%

Capital Expenditures

80%

40%

6,000
4,000

Current Expenditures
100%

Expenditures (capital + current) as % of GDP


Source: Ministry of Finance, GeoStat

Sources: Ministry of Finance

Government social expenditure as % of GDP

Government capital expenditure as % of GDP

20
18
16
14
12
10
8
6
4
2
0

www.bgeo.com
May 2016

Georgia

Bulgaria

Hungary

Albania

Belarus

Armenia

Estonia

Russia

Macedonia

Poland

Serbia

Lithuania

Latvia

Bos and Herz

2013
2014F
2015F

Turkey

Romania

Croatia

Croatia

Poland

Bulgaria

Bos and Herz

Russia

Hungary

Lithuania

Macedonia

2013
2014F
2015F
Source: IMF

Serbia

Albania

Romania

Belarus

Estonia

Latvia

Georgia

Armenia

Turkey

9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0

Source: IMF

page 78

Fiscal Performance
Consolidated budget tax revenues

Consolidated budget - expenditures and privatization

GEL mln

1000
900
800
700
600
500
400
300
200
100
0

100%
+11.5%

82.2%

80%
53.7%

60%
+8.2%

40%

-1.1%
+14.1%

20%

7.3%

12.7%

0%

-3.1%

-20%

-12.8%

-40%

Jan
Feb Mar
2014
2015
2016
Source: Ministry of Finance

Apr

May

Jun

Jul

Aug

Sep

Oct

Nov

Current spending, % change Capital spending, % change Privatization, % change y/y


y/y
y/y

Dec

1Q15
1Q16
Sources: Ministry of Finance

Consolidated budget balance

State budget - revenues above plan in 1Q16

350

2,378

2,500
287.8

300

1,990

2,267

2,050

2,000

250
200

190.7

150

1,500

168.0

160.8

1,000

102.7

100

67.4

500

50
0

0
Operating Balance, GEL mn
1Q14
1Q15
1Q16

Overall Balance, GEL mn

Total inflows, GEL mn

Total outflows, GEL mn

1Q16 plan
1Q16 actual

Source: Ministry of Finance

www.bgeo.com
May 2016

Source: Ministry of Finance

page 79

Diversified foreign trade


Imports of goods and services

Exports of goods and services

12

8.0
10.0

10
8.0

7.5

8
5.9
6
4
1.8
0.4
1.4

2.5
0.5
2.0

4.4
0.7

3.3
0.6

1.2

6.1
5.2

0.9

9.3

1.4

1.6

4.3

1.7

1.3

7.7

7.7

8.3

5.2

5.0

0.7

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

5.0

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2.0

1.3

1.0

0.0
0.7
0.5
2003

2015

Goods imports, US$ bln

1.6
0.1
1.0

2.2
0.1
1.3

0.2
1.4

3.7
0.3

3.2
0.2
1.8

1.6

2.0

2009

2010

2011

0.9

1.1

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

Source: NBG BOP statistics

3.1

3.1

2.6

2.6

3.0

3.0

3.2

2012

2013

2014

2015

Source:, NBG BOP statistics

Exports, 2015

Imports, 2015
Other 13%

Oil imports
1Q16 imports US$93.2mln, down 28.1% y-o-y

Other 18%
EU 33%

EU 29%

UAE 3%

USA 3%

1,200

Canada
3%

900

Uzbekista
n 4%

300

100%

911 951 954 918

762

600

336

443

556

555

697

657

25%

Turkey
17%
Russia 8%

Russia 7%

Armenia
8%

2015

2014

2013

2012

2011

2010

2009

2008

2007

2006

Turkey
9%

-50%
2005

China 6%

Azerbaijan
7%

-25%

-600
2004

Azerbaijan
11%

0%

-300
2003

USA 5%

75%
50%

105 186

Ukraine
6%

China 7%

6.2
0.4

2.5

1.3

0.7

0.9

1.9
1.6

0.6

1.1

2.5

2.1
1.3

7.0

0.9

0.5

3.2
0.2

7.2

Serveces exports, US$ bln


Goods exports, Geo-originated, US$ bln
Re-exports, US$ bln

Services imports, US$ bln

Japan 3%

2.5

3.0

0.0
2004

4.0

7.4

0
2003

6.0

6.0

4.0

1.1
6.7

6.2
4.9

7.0

9.0

1.7

1.0

3.6

2.6

9.1

Oil imports, US$ mn


Oil imports, % change, y/y
Sources: GeoStat

Sources: Geostat

www.bgeo.com
May 2016

page 80

Diversified sources of capital inflow


Strong foreign investor interest

Tourist arrivals and revenues on the rise

US$1.35 bln in 2015, down 23.2%


2.5

19.8%

2.0

15.3%
12.2%

1.5

7.7%
6.1% 7.0%
5.8% 5.8%

7.0%

6,000

20%

5,000

15%

4,000

10%

1,000
2015

2014

2013

2012

2011

2010

2009

2008

2007

2006

2005

4,000

763
313 368 56073
146
29
17

1,000
0

Foreign visitors (thousand persons, LHS)

FDI as a % of GDP

Net tourist revenue (US$ mn, RHS)

Sources: Georgian National Tourism Agency, National Bank of Georgia

Donor funding for public infrastructure projects

US$237.1 mln in 1Q16, down 4.9%

www.bgeo.com
May 2016

2015

2014

2013

2012

2011

2010

2009

2008

2007

2006

Source: National Bank of Georgia

Net remittances as % of GDP

252

200
100
0

92

54

382
3
72

13
77

32
63

92

49

57

89

79

94

Investment projects, credits, US$ mn

302

273

287

256

283

2016F

2005

Net remittances, US$ mn

259

159
87

2015

315

182

2014

213
2004

420

148

2013

767

755

400

300

121

2012

909

124
400

2011

949

918

600

1,263

500

2010

4.2%

1,322

9%
8%
7%
6%
5%
4%
3%
2%
1%
0%

2009

1,168

5.4%

1,226

6.5%

2008

4.9%

8.2%
8.2% 8.1%
7.7%
7.6%

2007

7.4% 7.2% 7.1%

1,200

600

2003

1,400

200

1,155

Remittances - steady source of external funding

800

208

741

460

294

243

1,426 1,489 1,606 2,000

2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

Sources: Geostat

1,000

3,000

2,032
1,500
1,052 1,290

2006

2004

0%
2003

0.0

6,000
5,000

2,822

3,000

5%

5,898

4,428

2,000

0.5

FDI, US$ bn

5,392 5,516

2005

8.5%

10.6% 9.7%

9.7%

25%

2004

1.0

1.1mln visitors in 1Q16, up 15.0%

Investment projects, grants, US$ mn

Source: Ministry of Finance of Georgia

page 81

Current account deficit supported by FDI


Current account balance (% of nominal GDP)
Tourism revenues on the rise

30%

16%

15%

20%
9%

8%

Current transfers - steady source


of external funding

8%

11%

10%

6%

6%

6.2%

2009

2010

-10.5%

-10.3%

3.9%

5.1%

2011

2012

2013

-12.8%

-11.7%

8.1%

8.7%

2014

2015

-10.6%

-11.8%

0%
2003

2004

-10%

2006

2007

2008

-5.8%

-7.0%

-9.7%

-20%

2005
-11.1%

-15.1%
-19.8%

Trade deficit driven by FDI

-30%

-22.0%

-40%
Goods, net

Services, net

Income, net

Transfers, net

CA deficit

net FDI

Sources: Geostat, NBG

FDI and capital goods import

Building international reserves

19.8%

3.5
3.0

0.5

0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2

0.4 0.5

2015

2014

0.0
2013

2015

2014

2013

2012

2011

2010

2009

2008

2007

2006

2005

2004

2003

0%

0.9

1.0

2012

8.4%

2.5

1.5

2008

7.7%

2007

5.9% 6.0%

5.2% 5.6% 5.8%

6.9%

1.4

1.5

2006

2%

7.4% 8.3%

2.7

2.3

2.0

2005

7.9% 8.2% 7.9%

6%
4%

6.1%

9.7%

7.7% 5.8% 5.8%

2004

8%

7.0%

2003

7.0%

2002

10%

10.6%

9.7%
8.5%

2.1

2001

12%

2.5

2000

14%

2.8 2.9 2.8

2011

12.2%

US$ bln

2010

16%

2009

15.3%

1998

18%

1999

20%

FDI to GDP, %
Capital goods imports to GDP, %
Source: Geostat, NBG

www.bgeo.com
May 2016

Source: NBG

page 82

Jan-11

Source: IMF
Note: Jan2005=100

www.bgeo.com
May 2016
Jun-13

Core (non-food, non-energy)


Headline Inflation
Jan-13
Feb-13
Mar-13
Apr-13
May-13
Jun-13
Jul-13
Aug-13
Sep-13
Oct-13
Nov-13
Dec-13
Jan-14
Feb-14
Mar-14
Apr-14
May-14
Jun-14
Jul-14
Aug-14
Sep-14
Oct-14
Nov-14
Dec-14
Jan-15
Feb-15
Mar-15
Apr-15
May-15
Jun-15
Jul-15
Aug-15
Sep-15
Oct-15
Nov-15
Dec-15
Jan-16
Feb-16
Mar-16

4.1%

Mar-16

Dec-15

Aug-15

May-15

Feb-15

Nov-14

Jul-14

Apr-14

Jan-14

Sep-13

Jan-13
Feb-13
Mar-13
Apr-13
May-13
Jun-13
Jul-13
Aug-13
Sep-13
Oct-13
Nov-13
Dec-13
Jan-14
Feb-14
Mar-14
Apr-14
May-14
Jun-14
Jul-14
Aug-14
Sep-14
Oct-14
Nov-14
Dec-14
Jan-15
Feb-15
Mar-15
Apr-15
May-15
Jun-15
Jul-15
Aug-15
Sep-15
Oct-15
Nov-15
Dec-15
Jan-16
Feb-16
Mar-16

9%
8%
7%
6%
5%
4%
3%
2%
1%
0%
-1%
-2%
-3%
9%
8%
7%
6%
5%
4%
3%
2%
1%
0%
-1%
-2%
-3%

Sources: Geostat

250
230
210
190
170
150
130
110
90
70
50

Jan-13
Feb-13
Mar-13
Apr-13
May-13
Jun-13
Jul-13
Aug-13
Sep-13
Oct-13
Nov-13
Dec-13
Jan-14
Feb-14
Mar-14
Apr-14
May-14
Jun-14
Jul-14
Aug-14
Sep-14
Oct-14
Nov-14
Dec-14
Jan-15
Feb-15
Mar-15
Apr-15
May-15
Jun-15
Jul-15
Aug-15
Sep-15
Oct-15
Nov-15
Dec-15
Jan-16
Feb-16
Mar-16

Total
Non-energy
Energy
Mar-13

Dec-12

Aug-12

May-12

Feb-12

Oct-11

Jul-11

Apr-11

Inflation target - 5% for 2016 and 4% for 2017


Annual inflation
Monthly inflation rate

2.0%
2.0%

1.5%
1.5%

1.0%
1.0%

0.5%
0.5%

0.0%
0.0%

-0.5%
-0.3% -0.5%

-1.0%
-1.0%

-1.5%
-1.5%

Sources: Geostat

World commodity prices indices


Average inflation rate

10%
8%

6%
4.8%

4%

2%

0%

-2%

Source: GeoStat

page 83

International reserves-sufficient to finance more than 3 months of imports


Central Banks interventions

International reserves
250 220
200
US$
150
100
50
0
-50
-100
-80
-150

NBG is net buyer of US$ 15


mln YTD

sale

120
40 40

Gross International Reserves, US$ bn


Net Foreign Assets, US$ bn

US$ purchase

-15 -20
-40

-120

Sources: NBG
Note: May 2016 data provided as of 5 May 2016

Monetary policy rate

Dollarization
80%

80%

75%

75%

70%

70%

65%

65%

60%

60%

55%

55%
Jan-11
Mar-11
May-11
Jul-11
Sep-11
Nov-11
Jan-12
Mar-12
May-12
Jul-12
Sep-12
Nov-12
Jan-13
Mar-13
May-13
Jul-13
Sep-13
Nov-13
Jan-14
Mar-14
May-14
Jul-14
Sep-14
Nov-14
Jan-15
Mar-15
May-15
Jul-15
Sep-15
Nov-15
Jan-16
Mar-16

May-16

Jan-16

Mar-16

Nov-15

Jul-15

Sep-15

May-15

Jan-15

Mar-15

Nov-14

Jul-14

Sep-14

May-14

Mar-14

Jan-14

Nov-13

Sep-13

Jul-13

9%
8%
7%
6%
5%
4%
3%
2%
1%
0%
May-13

9%
8%
7%
6%
5%
4%
3%
2%
1%
0%
Jan-13

60
27 20 20 20

NBG monthly net interventions US$ mn

Sources: NBG

Mar-13

40 40

Jan-14
Feb-14
Mar-14
Apr-14
May-14
Jun-14
Jul-14
Aug-14
Sep-14
Oct-14
Nov-14
Dec-14
Jan-15
Feb-15
Mar-15
Apr-15
May-15
Jun-15
Jul-15
Aug-15
Sep-15
Oct-15
Nov-15
Dec-15
Jan-16
Feb-16
Mar-16
Apr-16
May-16

Jan-16

Mar-16

Nov-15

Jul-15

Mar-15

Jan-14

Sep-15

0.0
May-15

0.0
Jan-15

0.5
Nov-14

1.0

0.5
Jul-14

1.5

1.0

Sep-14

1.5

May-14

2.0

Mar-14

2.0

Nov-13

2.5

Jul-13

2.5

Sep-13

3.0

May-13

3.0

Jan-13

3.5

Mar-13

3.5

Deposit dollarization
Loan dollarization
Source: NBG

Source: NBG

24.9%

www.bgeo.com
May 2016

page 84

Floating exchange rate - a policy policy


Real effective exchange rate (REER)

FX reserves
US$ 2.5 bln reserves as of March 2016
US$ bln

90

85

85
Jan-03
Jul-03
Feb-04
Aug-04
Mar-05
Sep-05
Apr-06
Nov-06
May-07
Dec-07
Jun-08
Jan-09
Jul-09
Feb-10
Sep-10
Mar-11
Oct-11
Apr-12
Nov-12
May-13
Dec-13
Jul-14
Jan-15
Aug-15
Feb-16

2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
FX Reserves
M2 multiplier
Sources: NBG

95

90

Sources: NBG

M2 and annual inflation

0%
-10%

-20%
Jan-03
Jul-03
Feb-04
Aug-04
Mar-05
Sep-05
Apr-06
Nov-06
May-07
Dec-07
Jun-08
Jan-09
Jul-09
Feb-10
Sep-10
Mar-11
Oct-11
Apr-12
Nov-12
May-13
Dec-13
Jul-14
Jan-15
Aug-15
Feb-16

-30%

M2, % change, y/y (LHS)


Annual inflation, eop (RHS)
Source: NBG

0%
-10%
-20%
-30%

Lari appreciation

-40%
Sep-05

10%

Apr-06
Nov-06

20%

10%

Mar-05

30%

30%
20%

Feb-04

40%

40%
Lari deppriciation

Aug-04

50%

70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
-10%
-20%
-30%
-40%
-50%
-60%
-70%
Jul-03

16%
14%
12%
10%
8%
6%
4%
2%
0%
-2%
-4%
-6%

60%

Jan-03

70%

M2 and USD/GEL

Feb-16

0.0

100

95

Aug-15

0.9

105

100

Jul-14
Jan-15

0.5

110

105

Dec-13

0.4

115

110

Nov-12

0.2

1.5

120

115

May-13

0.5

1.4

2.5

125

120

Oct-11

1.0

2.7

1.6
1.4
1.2
1
0.8
0.6
0.4
0.2
0

Apr-12

2.1

1.5

2.3

2.8

1.3

Mar-11

2.0

2.9

1.3

Jul-09

2.8

1.4

Feb-10
Sep-10

1.2

1.3

Jan-09

0.9

1.2

1.3

Jun-08

2.5

1.2

1.1

1.4

130

125

Dec-07

3.0

1.3

135

130

May-07

3.5

135

M2 % change, y/y (LHS)


USD/GEL % change, y/y (RHS)
Source: NBG

www.bgeo.com
May 2016

page 85

Growing and well capitalised banking sector


Summary

Prudent regulation ensuring financial stability


High level of liquidity requirements from NBG at 30% of liabilities, resulting in banking sector liquid assets to client
deposits of 41% as of Dec 2015

Resilient banking sector


Demonstrated strong resilience towards both domestic and external shocks without single bank going bankrupt
No nationalization of the banks and no government ownership since 1994
Very low leverage with retail loans at 25% of GDP and total loans at 50% of GDP as of 2015 resulting in low
number of defaults during the global crisis

Source: National Bank of Georgia, Geostat

Banking sector assets, loans and deposits

NPLs, 2015

27.7% CAGR

Turkey
Georgia
Austria
Belgium
Denmark
Latvia
Belarus
Slovakia
Czech Rep.
Lithuania
Kosovo
Russia
Malta
Armenia
Macedonia
Slovenia
Kazakhstan
Hungary
Romania
Bos. & Herz.
Moldova
Croatia
Ukraine

30
25.2

25
20.6

20

17.3
14.4

15

12.7
10.6
8.9

10
5

7.2
1.30.8 1.70.9
0.7
1.0

2.5
1.7
1.3

4.2
2.7
2.1

4.6
3.2

6.0
3.6

8.3
5.2
4.0

6.35.5

7.7
6.7

8.6
7.6

10.5
9.7

13.0
11.6

16.0
14.3

0
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Assets
Loans
Deposits
Source: NBG

2.7
3.3
3.5
4.0
4.4
4.6
5.1
5.3
5.6
6.7
7.1
7.4
8.6
9.1

11.0
11.5
12.4
12.7
13.9
14.1
14.4
17.1
24.3

Source: WB

www.bgeo.com
May 2016

Source: National Bank of Georgia

page 86

Underpenetrated retail banking sector provides room for further growth


Corporate loans to GDP
45%
40%
35%
30%
25%
20%
15%
10%
5%
0%

Households loans to GDP


45%
40%

22%

8%

9%
6%

7%

2003

2004

6%

6%

6%

8%

6%

10% 10%

25%
20%

22% 23%
17% 17% 17% 17% 18% 18% 20%
10% 13%
2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

35%
30%

14%
15% 15%

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

15%
5%
0%

2015

9%

18% 21%
13% 11% 11% 13% 14%

2007

2008

10%

3%

3%

4%

6%

2003

2004

2005

2006

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

25%

2015

External corporate indebtedness to GDP


Corporate loans to GDP
Source: NBG,GeoStat
Source: NBG,GeoStat

Georgian banks better placed due to sound financials

Banking Sector loans to GDP

Country

Fitch

Rating Outlook

Sector Outlook

Armenia

Negative

Negative

Azerbaijan

Stable

Negative

Belarus

Stable

Negative

20%

Georgia

BB

Stable

Stable

10%

10%

Kazakhstan

Stable

Negative

0%

0%

Russia

BB

Negative

Negative

Ukraine

CCC

None

Negative

Uzbekistan

Stable

Stable

20%

Loans to GDP, 2014


Loans to GDP, 2015
Source: IMF

Turkey

30%

Bulgaria

40%

30%

Czech Rep

40%

Georgia

50%

Ukraine

50%

Armenia

60%

Azerbaijan

70%

60%

Kazakhstan

70%

Moldova

80%

Belarus

80%

Source: Fitch

www.bgeo.com
May 2016

page 87

Flexible FX regime shielded reserves and supported to macro stability


Currency weakening vs US$

Georgia used less reserves to support GEL

20%
15%

29.2%

0%
-10%
-20%

-10.4%

-15.3%

10%

-40%

12%

5%

-50%

0%

0%

-70%

-5%

-80%

15.5%

LHS: Weakening against USD


RHS: Annual inflation, 2016 latest

Source: IMF
Note: Feb-2016 vs Aug-2014; Armenias reserves exclude a US$ 500mn Eurobond issued in March 2015

Source: Bloomberg, National Statistics Offices


Note: US$ per unit of national currency, period 1-Aug-2014 19-Apr-2016

Monetary policy rates

Inflation remains modest in Georgia


End-2014

End-2015

-37.2%

-75.7%

Armenia Georgia
Turkey
Moldova
Russia Kazakhstan Belarus Azerbaijan Ukraine
USD/AMD USD/GEL USD/TYR USD/MDL USD/RUB USD/KZT USD/BYR USD/AZN USD/UAH

40%

-34.6%

Reserve loss, %

Georgia

-12%

-18.2%
-32.6%

-60%

45%

-15.9%

-30%

Azerbaijan

25%

Moldova

24%

51.5%

Belarus

22.8%

24.6%

48.7%

Turkey

36%

47.9%

Ukraine

48%

46.1%

Armenia

45.7%

Russia

60%

30%

Latest-2016

35%

25%

30%

20%

End-2014

End-2015

Latest-2016

25%
15%

20%
15%

10%

10%
5%

5%

0%

Belarus

Ukraine

Moldova

Kazakhstan

Russia

Armenia

Georgia

Turkey

Ukraine

Kazakhstan

Belarus

Azerbaijan

Moldova

Turkey

Russia

Georgia

Armenia
Source: Central banks

Azerbaijan

0%

-5%

Source: Central banks

www.bgeo.com
May 2016

page 88

Recent trends - Tourism on the rise, exports/remittances bottoming out


Remittances down from Russia and Greece

Tourist arrivals growing robustly


1.0

30%

0.8

23%

0.5

15%

0.3

80%

120

60%

80

40%

8%

40

20%

0.0

0%

0%

-0.3

-8%

-40

-20%

-0.5

-15%

-80

-40%
Jan-14
Feb-14
Mar-14
Apr-14
May-14
Jun-14
Jul-14
Aug-14
Sep-14
Oct-14
Nov-14
Dec-14
Jan-15
Feb-15
Mar-15
Apr-15
May-15
Jun-15
Jul-15
Aug-15
Sep-15
Oct-15
Nov-15
Dec-15
Jan-16
Feb-16
Mar-16

Jan-14
Feb-14
Mar-14
Apr-14
May-14
Jun-14
Jul-14
Aug-14
Sep-14
Oct-14
Nov-14
Dec-14
Jan-15
Feb-15
Mar-15
Apr-15
May-15
Jun-15
Jul-15
Aug-15
Sep-15
Oct-15
Nov-15
Dec-15
Jan-16
Feb-16
Mar-16

160

International arrivals, mn
% change, y/y

Inflow, US$ mn
% change, y/y

Source: NBG

Source: GNTA

Exports suffered mainly due to lower re-exports

Trade deficit down as consumer goods imports fell

300

40%

40%

200

27%

30%

29%

100

13%

0%

20%

20%

10% 8%
6%
10%
2%

13%

19% 20%
14%
10%12%
9% 9%

2%

0%

0%
-13%

-200

-27%
-40%
Jan-14
Feb-14
Mar-14
Apr-14
May-14
Jun-14
Jul-14
Aug-14
Sep-14
Oct-14
Nov-14
Dec-14
Jan-15
Feb-15
Mar-15
Apr-15
May-15
Jun-15
Jul-15
Aug-15
Sep-15
Oct-15
Nov-15
Dec-15
Jan-16
Feb-16
Mar-16

-300

Exports, US$ mn
% change y/y, exports
Source: GeoStat

www.bgeo.com
May 2016

-10%
-10%

-20%

-18%

-30%

-27%

-40%

-6%
-14%
-16% -14%
-19%
-25% -26%

-35%

Jan-14
Feb-14
Mar-14
Apr-14
May-14
Jun-14
Jul-14
Aug-14
Sep-14
Oct-14
Nov-14
Dec-14
Jan-15
Feb-15
Mar-15
Apr-15
May-15
Jun-15
Jul-15
Aug-15
Sep-15
Oct-15
Nov-15
Dec-15
Jan-16
Feb-16
Mar-16

-100

Source: GeoStat
Note: Excluding one-offs

page 89

Contents

BGEO Group PLC | Overview


Results Discussion | BGEO Group PLC

Results Discussion | Banking Business


Results Discussion | Investment Business
Georgian Macro Overview

Appendices

www.bgeo.com
May 2016

Analyst Coverage
Express Banking
Solo Banking
Financial Statements

page 90

Analyst coverage BGEO Group PLC

Consensus Target Price: GBP 23.4


16.Feb.2016

16.Feb.2016

16.Feb.2016

25.Feb.2015

16.Feb.2016

17.Dec.2015

www.bgeo.com
May 2016

14.Apr.2016

GBP 22.25

GBP 18.00

GBP 24.00

GBP 21.50

05.Feb.2016

GBP 26.69

GBP 23.50

22.Feb.2016

GBP 22.66

GBP 26.00

16.Feb.2016

GBP 25.60

GBP 26.19

21.Dec.2015

GBP 26.80

page 91

Express | emerging retail banking How Express works


1

1,304,734 Express Cards


for Transport payments

114 Express Branches

Opening accounts and deposits


Issuing loans and credit cards
Credit card and loan repayments
Cash deposit into accounts
Money transfers
Utility and other payments

Acts as payments card in metro, buses


and mini-buses

8,175 POS Terminals


at 3,356 Merchants

2,627 Express Pay Terminals

Credit card repayments


Loan repayments
Cash deposit into accounts
Loan activation
Utility and other payments
Mobile top-ups
MetroMoney top-ups

www.bgeo.com
May 2016

Payments via cards and Express points


P2P transactions between merchant and
supplier
Credit limit with 0% interest rate

page 92

Express Banking Capturing Emerging Mass Market Customers


28,822
Express Pay terminals

25,928

x2

19,041

7,363
Express branches

5,621

49%

4,949

4,676
ATMs

3,806

47%

No. of transitions 000s

3,172

6,008
POS terminals

1Q16

4,210

1Q15

x2

3,058

1Q14
7,148

Express cards

5,269

x2

3,625

1,273
Internet banking

1,051

28%

994

488
Mobile banking

x3

324
176
-

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

35,000

4,319,801
Tellers

4,210,509

+9%

3,956,472

www.bgeo.com
May 2016

page 93

Solo a fundamentally different approach to premium banking


Through the recently launched Solo, we target to attract new clients (currently 13,284) to significantly
increase market share in premium banking from c.13% at the beginning of 2015

SOLO Lounges
New Solo offers:
Tailor made
banking solutions
New financial
products such as
bonds
Concierge-style
environment
Access to exclusive
products and
events
Lifestyle
opportunities

3x higher new
clients
attracted per
banker ratio,
compared to
same period
last year

www.bgeo.com
May 2016

page 94

GHG roadmap - Creating single largest healthcare player


Milestone

Decision to
invest

Istitutionalising the business

Year
2011

EV/EBITDA
Investment per bed

BGH Investment
GEL mln

State infrastructure reform starts

Facilities & beds

145
530

Started investing in hospitals

2012

Merged with Block Georgia (non-cash)

3.1x, GEL 74k

Imedi L acquisition

4.9x , GEL 47k

9.6
22.9

8
11

206
425

60

82.4

4
1
1

578
152
60

27.5

1
1
3

450
80

46

2,686

Investment to support organic growth

2013

GEL 56k

State Universal Healthcare Program starts


Acquired Caraps

6.0x, GEL 142k

32.5
2014
Expanding into Tbilisi

Accelerate
growth

Acquired Avante
Acquired Sunstone
Acquired Traumatology

3.7x, GEL 73k


GEL 99k

3.9x, GEL 134k

Acquired Block minority

2015

Acquired HTMC
Acquired Deka

6.4x, GEL 206k


GEL 183k

Launched ambulatory expansion strategy


IPO-ed

110.0
Total (as of March 2016)
www.bgeo.com
May 2016

142.5

page 95

BoG Group achieved 121% IRR at GHG IPO

2011-2015

2015

invested

valued

IPO

Investment

Valued

(GEL mln)

(GEL mln)

142

553

Achieved 3.9x money at IPO

www.bgeo.com
May 2016

page 96

Income Statement Quarterly


Quarterly P&L
Income Statement quarterly

1Q16

GEL thousands, unless otherwise noted


Banking interest income
Banking interest expense
Net banking interest income
Fee and commission income
Fee and commission expense
Net fee and commission income
Net banking foreign currency gain
Net other banking income
Net insurance premiums earned
Net insurance claims incurred
Gross insurance profit
Healthcare revenue
Cost of healthcare services
Gross healthcare profit
Real estate revenue
Cost of real estate
Gross real estate profit
Gross other investment profit
Revenue
Salaries and other employee benefits
Administrative expenses
Banking depreciation and amortisation
Other operating expenses
Operating expenses
Operating income before cost of credit risk / EBITDA
Profit from associates
Depreciation and amortization of investment business
Net foreign currency loss from investment business
Interest income from investment business
Interest expense from investment business
Operating income before cost of credit risk
Impairment charge on loans to customers
Impairment charge on finance lease receivables
Impairment charge on other assets and provisions
Cost of credit risk
Net operating income before non-recurring items
Net non-recurring items
Profit before income tax
Income tax expense
Profit
Attributable to:
shareholders of the Group
non-controlling interests
Earnings per share (basic & diluted)

224,810
(95,958)
128,852
38,149
(10,335)
27,814
17,390
2,867
21,824
(15,408)
6,416
58,348
(32,057)
26,291
28,764
(22,740)
6,024
3,606
219,260
(47,413)
(25,062)
(9,138)
(1,675)
(83,288)
135,972
1,866
(4,910)
(766)
956
(1,382)
131,736
(32,218)
(513)
(3,412)
(36,143)
95,593
1,366
96,959
(9,912)
87,047

BGEO Consolidated
1Q15 Change
4Q15
Y-O-Y
%
199,698
12.6%
228,212
(78,709)
21.9%
(96,778)
120,989
6.5%
131,434
35,991
6.0%
42,110
(9,137)
13.1%
(10,471)
26,854
3.6%
31,639
18,962
-8.3%
19,525
1,790
60.2%
9,318
21,709
0.5%
24,476
(14,135)
9.0%
(17,743)
7,574
-15.3%
6,733
40,017
45.8%
53,089
(23,140)
38.5%
(29,244)
16,877
55.8%
23,845
4,074
606.0%
47,638
(2,865)
NMF
(34,869)
1,209
398.3%
12,769
1,398
157.9%
11,271
195,653
12.1%
246,534
(45,742)
3.7%
(47,158)
(21,056)
19.0%
(26,716)
(8,373)
9.1%
(8,982)
(887)
88.8%
(1,406)
(76,058)
9.5%
(84,262)
119,595
13.7%
162,272
(1,310)
NMF
1,938
(2,688)
82.7%
(4,731)
3,690
NMF
(3,416)
617
54.9%
602
(2,463)
-43.9%
(3,166)
117,441
12.2%
153,499
(38,928)
-17.2%
(33,929)
(119)
NMF
(215)
(2,794)
22.1%
(1,878)
(41,841)
-13.6%
(36,022)
75,600
26.4%
117,477
(2,447)
NMF
(6,227)
73,153
32.5%
111,250
(10,814)
-8.3%
(15,578)
62,339
39.6%
95,672

Change
Q-O-Q
%
-1.5%
-0.8%
-2.0%
-9.4%
-1.3%
-12.1%
-10.9%
-69.2%
-10.8%
-13.2%
-4.7%
9.9%
9.6%
10.3%
-39.6%
-34.8%
-52.8%
-68.0%
-11.1%
0.5%
-6.2%
1.7%
19.1%
-1.2%
-16.2%
-3.7%
3.8%
-77.6%
58.8%
-56.3%
-14.2%
-5.0%
138.6%
81.7%
0.3%
-18.6%
NMF
-12.8%
-36.4%
-9.0%

80,836
6,211

62,640
(301)

29.0%
NMF

92,287
3,385

-12.4%
83.5%

2.10

1.63

28.8%

2.42

-13.2%

www.bgeo.com
May 2016

1Q16

226,217
(95,998)
130,219
38,484
(10,469)
28,015
17,390
3,168
9,550
(4,207)
5,343
184,135
(39,806)
(20,058)
(9,138)
(861)
(69,863)
114,272
114,272
(32,218)
(513)
(2,281)
(35,012)
79,260
(1,419)
77,841
(8,178)
69,663
68,620
1,043

Banking Business
1Q15 Change
4Q15
Y-O-Y
%
202,353
11.8% 230,833
(79,295)
21.1% (96,616)
123,058
5.8% 134,217
37,343
42,856
3.1%
(9,253)
13.1% (10,590)
28,090
32,266
-0.3%
18,962
19,525
-8.3%
2,095
9,699
51.2%
9,242
10,810
3.3%
(3,936)
(5,369)
6.9%
5,306
5,441
0.7%
177,511
3.7% 201,148
(38,606)
3.1% (39,304)
(17,506)
14.6% (21,657)
(8,373)
(8,982)
9.1%
(792)
(1,229)
8.7%
(65,277)
7.0% (71,172)
112,234
1.8% 129,976
112,234
1.8% 129,976
(38,928)
-17.2% (33,929)
(119)
(215)
NMF
(1,724)
(1,086)
32.3%
(40,771) -14.1% (35,230)
71,463
94,746
10.9%
(2,167)
(2,502)
-34.5%
69,296
92,244
12.3%
(10,486)
-22.0% (11,653)
58,810
80,591
18.5%
58,247
563

17.8%
85.3%

79,425
1,166

Change
Q-O-Q
%
-2.0%
-0.6%
-3.0%
-10.2%
-1.1%
-13.2%
-10.9%
-67.3%
-11.7%
-21.6%
-1.8%
-8.5%
1.3%
-7.4%
1.7%
-29.9%
-1.8%
-12.1%
-12.1%
-5.0%
138.6%
110.0%
-0.6%
-16.3%
-43.3%
-15.6%
-29.8%
-13.6%

1Q16

12,924
(11,201)
1,723
58,348
(32,057)
26,291
28,764
(22,740)
6,024
3,675
37,713
(8,250)
(5,392)
(814)
(14,456)
23,257
1,866
(4,910)
(766)
964
(2,947)
17,464
(1,131)
(1,131)
16,333
2,785
19,118
(1,734)
17,384

-13.6%
-10.5%

12,216
5,168

Investment Business
1Q15 Change
4Q15
Y-O-Y
%
12,890
0.3%
14,500
(10,199)
9.8%
(12,374)
2,691
-36.0%
2,126
40,017
45.8%
53,089
(23,140)
38.5%
(29,244)
16,877
55.8%
23,845
4,074
606.0%
47,638
(2,865)
NMF
(34,869)
1,209
398.3%
12,769
1,543
138.2%
11,157
22,320
69.0%
49,897
(7,531)
9.5%
(8,487)
(4,028)
33.9%
(5,916)
(95)
NMF
(177)
(11,654)
24.0%
(14,580)
10,666
118.0%
35,317
(1,310)
NMF
1,938
(2,688)
82.7%
(4,731)
3,690
NMF
(3,416)
818
17.8%
957
(5,969)
-50.6%
(6,542)
5,207
235.4%
23,523
(1,070)
5.7%
(792)
(1,070)
5.7%
(792)
4,137
294.8%
22,731
(280)
NMF
(3,725)
3,857
395.7%
19,006
(328)
NMF
(3,925)
3,529
392.6%
15,081
4,393
(864)

178.1%
NMF

12,862
2,219

1Q16

Eliminations
1Q15

Change
Q-O-Q
%
-10.9%
-9.5%
-19.0%
9.9%
9.6%
10.3%
-39.6%
-34.8%
-52.8%
-67.1%
-24.4%
-2.8%
-8.9%
NMF
-0.9%
-34.1%
-3.7%
3.8%
-77.6%
0.7%
-55.0%
-25.8%
42.8%
42.8%
-28.1%
NMF
0.6%
-55.8%
15.3%

4Q15

(1,407)
40
(1,367)
(335)
134
(201)
(301)
(650)
(650)
(69)
(2,588)
643
388
1,031
(1,557)
(8)
1,565
-

(2,655)
586
(2,069)
(1,352)
116
(1,236)
(305)
(423)
(423)
(145)
(4,178)
395
478
873
(3,305)
(201)
3,506
-

(2,621)
(162)
(2,783)
(746)
119
(627)
(381)
(834)
(834)
114
(4,511)
633
857
1,490
(3,021)
(355)
3,376
-

-5.0%
132.9%

page 97

Balance Sheet 31 March 2016


Balance sheet as of 31 March 2016
BALANCE SHEET
GEL thousands, unless otherwise noted

Mar-16

BGEO Consolidated
Mar-15 Change
Dec-15
Y-O-Y

Cash and cash equivalents

Change
Q-O-Q

Mar-16

Banking Business
Mar-15 Change
Dec-15
Y-O-Y

Change
Q-O-Q

Mar-16

Investment Business
Mar-15
Change
Dec-15
Y-O-Y

Change
Q-O-Q

Mar-16

Eliminations
Mar-15
Dec-15

(107,412) (236,101)

1,359,219

1,000,713

35.8%

1,432,934

-5.1%

1,330,094

997,547

33.3%

1,378,459

-3.5%

288,512

110,578

160.9%

290,576

-0.7%

(259,387)

Amounts due from credit institutions

764,435

545,714

40.1%

731,365

4.5%

720,442

523,663

37.6%

721,802

-0.2%

47,936

87,478

-45.2%

15,730

204.7%

(3,943)

(65,427)

(6,167)

Investment securities

825,045

880,799

-6.3%

903,867

-8.7%

825,821

881,098

-6.3%

906,730

-8.9%

1,154

1,153

0.1%

1,153

0.1%

(1,930)

(1,452)

(4,016)

5,359,718
84,715
54,879
67,633

5,156,386
73,315
58,816
42,748

3.9%
15.5%
-6.7%
58.2%

5,322,117
87,972
39,226
58,328

0.7%
-3.7%
39.9%
16.0%

5,394,565
5,144
16,567
24,649

5,248,559
13,063
22,337
24,969

2.8%
-60.6%
-25.8%
-1.3%

5,366,764
10,376
19,829
21,033

0.5%
-50.4%
-16.5%
17.2%

81,955
39,347
42,984

64,947
37,205
17,779

26.2%
5.8%
141.8%

82,354
20,929
37,295

-0.5%
88.0%
15.3%

(34,847)
(2,384)
(1,035)
-

(92,173)
(4,695)
(726)
-

(44,647)
(4,758)
(1,532)
-

Inventories

125,466

113,322

10.7%

127,027

-1.2%

9,686

7,697

25.8%

9,439

2.6%

115,780

105,625

9.6%

117,588

-1.5%

Investment property

254,224

194,623

30.6%

246,398

3.2%

134,310

128,376

4.6%

135,453

-0.8%

119,914

66,247

81.0%

110,945

8.1%

Property and equipment


Goodwill
Intangible assets
Income tax assets

835,651
73,192
43,074
36,712

618,474
51,745
33,443
24,943

35.1%
41.4%
28.8%
47.2%

794,682
72,984
40,516
21,550

5.2%
0.3%
6.3%
70.4%

333,243
49,592
37,609
27,321

334,516
39,781
31,761
17,602

-0.4%
24.7%
18.4%
55.2%

337,064
49,592
35,162
16,003

-1.1%
0.0%
7.0%
70.7%

502,408
23,600
5,465
9,391

283,958
11,964
1,682
7,341

76.9%
97.3%
224.9%
27.9%

457,618
23,392
5,354
5,547

9.8%
0.9%
2.1%
69.3%

(10,066)

(6,437)

Loans to customers and finance lease


receivables
Accounts receivable and other loans
Insurance premiums receivable
Prepayments

Other assets

193,626

235,012

-17.6%

236,773

-18.2%

121,012

176,982

-31.6%

163,731

-26.1%

75,515

68,096

10.9%

79,479

-5.0%

(2,901)

10,077,589
4,698,558
1,719,920

9,030,053
4,099,029
1,780,636

11.6%
14.6%
-3.4%

10,115,739
4,751,387
1,789,062

-0.4%
-1.1%
-3.9%

9,030,055
4,962,432
1,630,299

8,447,951
4,271,854
1,694,668

6.9%
16.2%
-3.8%

9,171,437
4,993,681
1,692,557

-1.5%
-0.6%
-3.7%

1,353,961
124,468

864,053
181,773

56.7%
-31.5%

1,247,960
144,534

8.5%
-13.9%

(306,427)
(263,874)
(34,847)

Debt securities issued

1,033,758

1,026,689

0.7%

1,039,804

-0.6%

957,474

962,587

-0.5%

961,944

-0.5%

81,116

66,964

21.1%

84,474

-4.0%

(4,832)

Accruals and deferred income


Insurance contracts liabilities
Income tax liabilities
Other liabilities
Total liabilities
Share capital

142,766
71,565
128,667
131,506
7,926,740
1,154

124,344
70,156
96,761
132,290
7,329,905
1,154

14.8%
2.0%
33.0%
-0.6%
8.1%
0.0%

146,852
55,845
124,395
134,756
8,042,101
1,154

-2.8%
28.1%
3.4%
-2.4%
-1.4%
0.0%

25,685
34,630
93,765
47,520
7,751,805
1,154

20,949
34,685
79,343
99,677
7,163,763
1,154

22.6%
-0.2%
18.2%
-52.3%
8.2%
0.0%

20,364
34,547
89,980
63,073
7,856,146
1,154

26.1%
0.2%
4.2%
-24.7%
-1.3%
0.0%

117,081
36,935
34,902
86,860
481,362
-

103,395
35,471
17,418
43,072
448,093
-

13.2%
4.1%
100.4%
101.7%
7.4%
-

126,488
21,298
34,415
78,404
489,613
-

-7.4%
73.4%
1.4%
10.8%
-1.7%
-

(2,874)
(306,427)
-

Additional paid-in capital


Treasury shares
Other reserves
Retained earnings

240,962
(29)
42,101
1,650,094

252,568
(34)
(30,568)
1,420,513

-4.6%
-14.7%
NMF
16.2%

240,593
(44)
32,844
1,577,050

0.2%
-34.1%
28.2%
4.6%

101,467
(29)
(55,166)
1,212,492

94,886
(34)
(20,977)
1,189,365

6.9%
-14.7%
163.0%
1.9%

101,793
(44)
(63,958)
1,257,415

-0.3%
-34.1%
-13.7%
-3.6%

139,495
97,267
437,602

157,682
(9,591)
231,148

-11.5%
NMF
89.3%

138,800
96,802
319,635

0.5%
0.5%
36.9%

Total equity attributable to shareholders of


the Group

1,934,282

1,643,633

17.7%

1,851,597

4.5%

1,259,918

1,264,394

-0.4%

1,296,360

-2.8%

674,364

379,239

77.8%

555,237

21.5%

216,567
2,150,849
10,077,589

56,515
1,700,148
9,030,053

283.2%
26.5%
11.6%

222,041
2,073,638
10,115,739

-2.5%
3.7%
-0.4%

18,332
1,278,250
9,030,055

19,794
1,284,188
8,447,951

-7.4%
-0.5%
6.9%

18,931
1,315,291
9,171,437

-3.2%
-2.8%
-1.5%

198,235
872,599
1,353,961

36,721
415,960
864,053

439.8%
109.8%
56.7%

203,110
758,347
1,247,960

-2.4%
15.1%
8.5%

(306,427)

50.29

42.71

17.7%

48.75

3.2%

Total assets
Client deposits and notes
Amounts due to credit institutions

Non-controlling interests
Total equity
Total liabilities and equity
Book value per share

www.bgeo.com
May 2016

(281,951) (303,658)
(172,825) (242,294)
(95,805) (48,029)
(2,862)

(6,614)

(10,459)
(6,721)
(281,951) (303,658)
-

(281,951) (303,658)

page 98

GHG - 1Q16 Financial Results


Income Statement
Healthcare services

Income Statement
GEL thousands; unless otherwise noted
Revenue, gross
Corrections & rebates
Revenue, net
Cost of services
Cost of salaries and other employee benefits
Cost of materials and supplies
Cost of medical service providers
Cost of utilities and other
Net insurance claims incurred
Gross profit
Salaries and other employee benefits
General and administrative expenses
Impairment of healthcare services, insurance
premiums and other receivables
Other operating income
EBITDA

Change,
Y-o-Y
41.4%
-57.2%
43.7%
35.9%
30.9%
48.3%
-8.5%
43.7%
54.4%
15.1%
39.7%

Medical insurance
4Q15

Change,
Q-o-Q
9.0%
-62.2%
10.4%
10.0%
8.2%
8.4%
-27.9%
40.1%
10.9%
-1.0%
11.9%

1Q16

1Q15

12,936
12,936
(11,953)
(11,953)
983
(819)
(719)

Eliminations

12,992
12,992
(10,837)
(10,837)
2,155
(1,036)
(621)

Change,
Y-o-Y
-0.4%
-0.4%
10.3%
10.3%
-54.4%
-20.9%
15.8%

14,532
14,532
(12,917)
(12,917)
1,615
(636)
(839)

1Q16

1Q15

4Q15

1Q16

1Q15

(1,705)
(1,705)
1,694
565
275
12
92
750
(11)
11
-

(1,862)
(1,862)
1,771
675
290
21
100
685
(91)
91
-

(1,293)
(1,293)
1,306
449
240
13
60
544
13
4
-

71,682
(410)
71,272
(43,257)
(19,187)
(9,338)
(416)
(3,113)
(11,203)
28,015
(6,923)
(3,202)

53,875
(957)
52,918
(33,339)
(14,417)
(6,192)
(447)
(2,131)
(10,152)
19,579
(6,259)
(2,399)

Change,
Y-o-Y
33.1%
-57.2%
34.7%
29.7%
33.1%
50.8%
-6.9%
46.1%
10.4%
43.1%
10.6%
33.5%

68,720
(1,086)
67,634
(41,618)
(17,807)
(8,631)
(580)
(2,227)
(12,373)
26,016
(6,810)
(3,058)

1Q15

60,451
(410)
60,041
(32,998)
(19,752)
(9,613)
(428)
(3,205)
27,043
(6,115)
(2,483)

42,745
(957)
41,788
(24,273)
(15,092)
(6,482)
(468)
(2,231)
17,515
(5,314)
(1,778)

(858)

(831)

3.2%

(460)

86.5%

(122)

(103)

18.4%

(152)

-19.7%

(980)

(934)

4.9%

(612)

60.1%

241
17,828

78
9,670

209.0%
84.4%

1,008
16,539

-76.1%
7.8%

(21)
(699)

47
442

NMF
NMF

(5)
(17)

320.0%
NMF

(17)
-

220
17,129

125
10,112

76.0%
69.4%

986
16,522

-77.7%
3.7%

29.8%

-0.1%

4Q15

Change,
Q-o-Q
4.3%
-62.2%
5.4%
3.9%
7.7%
8.2%
-28.3%
39.8%
-9.5%
7.7%
1.7%
4.7%

1Q16

55,481
(1,086)
54,395
(30,007)
(18,256)
(8,871)
(593)
(2,287)
24,388
(6,178)
(2,219)

4Q15

Total

Change,
Q-o-Q
-11.0%
-11.0%
-7.5%
-7.5%
-39.1%
28.8%
-14.3%

EBITDA margin

29.5%

22.6%

-5.4%

3.4%

23.9%

18.8%

Depreciation and amortisation


Net interest (expense) / income
Net (losses) / gains from foreign currencies
Net non-recurring (expense) / income
Profit before income tax expense
Income tax (expense) / benefit
Profit for the period

(4,261)
(2,259)
(411)
1,968
12,865
(712)
12,153

(2,186)
(4,073)
2,907
(211)
6,107
(491)
5,616

94.9%
-44.5%
NMF
NMF
110.7%
45.0%
116.4%

(4,046)
(5,535)
(1,586)
484
5,856
(206)
5,650

5.3%
-59.2%
-74.1%
306.3%
119.7%
245.1%
115.1%

(204)
603
151
(149)
19
(130)

(136)
(28)
497
775
(116)
659

50.0%
NMF
-69.6%
NMF
NMF
NMF

(249)
158
(6)
(676)
(790)
192
(598)

-18.0%
282.4%
NMF
NMF
-81.1%
-90.1%
-78.3%

(4,465)
(1,656)
(260)
1,968
12,716
(693)
12,023

(2,322)
(4,101)
3,404
(211)
6,882
(607)
6,275

92.3%
-59.6%
NMF
NMF
84.8%
14.2%
91.6%

(4,295)
(5,377)
(1,592)
(192)
5,066
(14)
5,052

24.0%
4.0%
-69.2%
-83.7%
NMF
151.0%
NMF
138.0%

10,051
2,102

5,073
543

98.1%
287.1%

4,421
1,229

127.3%
71.0%

(130)
-

659
-

NMF
-

(598)
-

-78.3%
-

9,921
2,102

5,732
543

73.1%
287.1%

3,823
1,229

159.5%
71.0%

Attributable to:
- shareholders of the Company
- non-controlling interests

www.bgeo.com
May 2016

Sources: GHG internal reporting, financials are for 1Q16

BNB 1Q16 financial information


Belarusky Narodny Bank (BNB)
Income Statement

1Q16

1Q15

7,903
1,862
2,481
167
12,413
(4,490)
7,923
(2,516)
(3)
5,404
(1,144)
4,260

7,429
2,217
5,017
97
14,760
(4,254)
10,506
(4,645)
(1,098)
4,763
(1,427)
3,336

Change
Y-O-Y
%
6.4%
-16.0%
-50.5%
72.2%
-15.9%
5.5%
-24.6%
-45.8%
-99.7%
13.5%
-19.8%
27.7%

GEL thousands, unless otherwise stated

Net banking interest income


Net fee and commission income
Net banking foreign currency gain
Net other banking income
Revenue
Operating expenses
Operating income before cost of credit risk
Cost of credit risk
Net non-recurring items
Profit before income tax
Income tax (expense) benefit
Profit

Statement of Financial Position

4Q15

Change
Q-O-Q
%
4.1%
-12.7%
23.4%
-90.6%
-8.1%
-26.0%
6.5%
-67.1%
NMF
79.7%
NMF
-11.4%

7,590
2,133
2,011
1,776
13,510
(6,068)
7,442
(7,651)
3,217
3,008
1,801
4,809

Mar-16

Mar-15

Change
%

Dec-15

Change
%

93,904

64,043

46.6%

109,758

-14.4%

3,986

3,575

11.5%

3,906

2.0%

319,740

297,803

7.4%

320,114

-0.1%

49,825
467,455

68,017
433,438

-26.7%
7.8%

41,705
475,483

19.5%
-1.7%

Client deposits and notes

230,848

233,658

-1.2%

277,642

-16.9%

Amounts due to credit institutions

139,801

110,730

26.3%

115,643

20.9%

15,906

Other liabilities
Total liabilities
Total equity attributable to shareholders of the Group

5,409
391,964
62,908

7,816
352,204
67,452

-30.8%
11.3%
-6.7%

4,685
397,970
64,505

15.5%
-1.5%
-2.5%

Non-controlling interests
Total equity
Total liabilities and equity

12,583
75,491
467,455

13,782
81,234
433,438

-8.7%
-7.1%
7.8%

13,008
77,513
475,483

-3.3%
-2.6%
-1.7%

Cash and cash equivalents


Amounts due from credit institutions
Loans to customers and finance lease receivables
Other assets
Total assets

Debt securities issued

www.bgeo.com
May 2016

page 100

P&C Insurance (Aldagi) 1Q16 financial information


P&C Insurance (Aldagi)
Income statement

Net banking interest income


Net fee and commission income
Net banking foreign currency gain (loss)
Net other banking income
Gross insurance profit
Revenue
Operating expenses
Operating income before cost of credit risk
Cost of credit risk
Net non-recurring items
Profit before income tax
Income tax (expense) benefit
Profit

www.bgeo.com
May 2016

1Q16

1Q15

Change
Y-O-Y
%

4Q15

Change
Q-O-Q
%

725
100
(47)
131
5,665
6,574
(2,767)
3,807
(173)
3,634
(545)
3,089

546
71
528
297
5,607
7,049
(2,970)
4,079
(95)
3,984
388
4,372

32.8%
40.8%
NMF
-55.9%
1.0%
-6.7%
-6.8%
-6.7%
82.1%
-8.8%
NMF
-29.3%

590
87
(126)
351
5,423
6,325
(2,746)
3,579
(244)
(701)
2,634
(467)
2,167

22.9%
14.9%
-62.7%
-62.7%
4.5%
3.9%
0.8%
6.4%
-29.1%
-100.0%
38.0%
16.7%
42.5%

page 101

Key ratios and operating data


Banking Business Key ratios
Profitability
ROAA, Annualised
ROAE, Annualised
RB ROAE
CIB ROAE
Net Interest Margin, Annualised
RB NIM
CIB NIM
Loan Yield, Annualised
RB Loan Yield
CIB Loan Yield
Liquid assets yield, Annualised
Cost of Funds, Annualised
Cost of Client Deposits and Notes, annualised
RB Cost of Client Deposits and Notes
CIB Cost of Client Deposits and Notes
Cost of Amounts Due to Credit Institutions, annualised
Cost of Debt Securities Issued
Operating Leverage, Y-O-Y
Operating Leverage, Q-O-Q
Efficiency
Cost / Income
RB Cost / Income
CIB Cost / Income
Liquidity
NBG Liquidity Ratio
Liquid Assets To Total Liabilities
Net Loans To Client Deposits and Notes
Net Loans To Client Deposits and Notes + DFIs
Leverage (Times)
Asset Quality:
NPLs (in GEL)
NPLs To Gross Loans To Clients
NPL Coverage Ratio
NPL Coverage Ratio, Adjusted for discounted value of collateral
Cost of Risk, Annualised
RB Cost of Risk
CIB Cost of Risk
Capital Adequacy:
New NBG (Basel 2/3) Tier I Capital Adequacy Ratio
New NBG (Basel 2/3) Total Capital Adequacy Ratio
Old NBG Tier I Capital Adequacy Ratio
Old NBG Total Capital Adequacy Ratio
Selected Operating Data:
Total Assets Per FTE, BOG Standalone
Number Of Active Branches, Of Which:
- Express Branches (including Metro)
- Bank of Georgia Branches
- Solo Lounges
Number Of ATMs
Number Of Cards Outstanding, Of Which:
- Debit cards
- Credit cards
Number Of POS Terminals

www.bgeo.com
May 2016

1Q16

1Q15

4Q15

3.0%
21.2%
24.3%
17.6%
7.5%
9.2%
3.7%
14.4%
17.4%
10.3%
3.1%
5.0%
4.3%
3.5%
4.5%
6.0%
7.2%
-3.3%
-6.6%

3.0%
19.1%
21.7%
15.1%
7.8%
9.7%
4.2%
14.6%
17.3%
11.8%
3.2%
5.0%
4.4%
4.4%
3.9%
5.2%
7.1%
17.1%
5.0%

3.5%
25.1%
27.9%
21.3%
7.6%
9.6%
3.8%
14.8%
17.9%
12.6%
3.3%
5.1%
4.4%
3.5%
4.6%
5.9%
6.8%
10.4%
-1.7%

37.9%
43.3%
27.0%

36.8%
43.7%
24.7%

35.4%
40.4%
23.6%

47.3%
37.1%
108.7%
91.6%
6.1

34.7%
33.5%
122.9%
105.2%
5.6

46.2%
38.3%
107.5%
90.8%
6.0

251,959
4.5%
86.0%
122.6%
2.3%
2.5%
2.1%

187,129
3.5%
73.2%
112.2%
3.1%
2.4%
3.4%

241,142
4.3%
83.4%
120.6%
2.4%
2.1%
1.8%

10.1%
15.8%
10.7%
16.3%

9.8%
12.9%
14.2%
12.9%

10.9%
16.7%
9.3%
16.9%

1,972
266
114
144
8
753
1,943,175
1,171,454
771,721
8,175

2,224
219
84
135
554
1,204,662
1,088,878
115,784
6,537

2,028
266
114
144
8
746
1,958,377
1,204,103
754,274
8,102

Selected Operating Data:


Total Assets Per FTE, BOG Standalone
Number Of Active Branches, Of Which:
- Express Branches (including Metro)
- Bank of Georgia Branches
- Solo Lounges
Number Of ATMs
Number Of Cards Outstanding, Of Which:
- Debit cards
- Credit cards
Number Of POS Terminals

1Q16
1,972
266
114
144
8
753
1,943,175
1,171,454
771,721
8,175

Group Employee Data


Full Time Employees, Group, Of Which:
- Full Time Employees, BOG Standalone
- Full Time Employees, Georgia Healthcare Group
- Full Time Employees, m2
- Full Time Employees, Aldagi
- Full Time Employees, BNB
- Full Time Employees, Other

1Q16
16,086
4,580
9,675
59
259
562
951

Shares Outstanding
Ordinary Shares Outstanding
Treasury Shares Outstanding

Risk Weighted Assets breakdown

1Q15
2,224
219
84
135
554
1,204,662
1,088,878
115,784
6,537

1Q15
14,737
3,799
8,177
57
262
480
1,962

4Q15
2,028
266
114
144
8
746
1,958,377
1,204,103
754,274
8,102

4Q15
15,955
4,523
9,649
58
251
540
934

1Q16

1Q15

4Q15

38,523,409
976,911

38,479,900
1,020,420

37,978,568
1,521,752

Risk Weighted Assets

Change

GEL thousands

31-Mar-16

31-Dec-15

31-Mar-15

Credit risk weighting

5,843,131

5,938,257

5,517,105

5.9%

FX induced credit risk (market risk)

1,711,883

1,800,287

1,810,010

-5.4%

-4.9%

739,547

624,825

624,825

18.4%

18.4%

8,294,561

8,363,369

7,951,940

4.3%

-0.8%

Operational risk weighting


Total RWA under NBG Basel 2/3

Y-O-Y, %

Q-O-Q, %
-1.6%

page 102

Notes to key ratios


1 Return on average total assets (ROAA) equals Profit for the period divided by monthly average total assets for the same period;
2 Return on average total equity (ROAE) equals Profit for the period attributable to shareholders of BGEO divided by monthly average equity attributable to shareholders of
BGEO for the same period;
3 Net Interest Margin equals Net Banking Interest Income of the period divided by monthly Average Interest Earning Assets Excluding Cash for the same period; Interest
Earning Assets Excluding Cash comprise: Amounts Due From Credit Institutions, Investment Securities (but excluding corporate shares) and net Loans To Customers And
Finance Lease Receivables;
4 Loan Yield equals Banking Interest Income From Loans To Customers And Finance Lease Receivables divided by monthly Average Gross Loans To Customers And
Finance Lease Receivables;
5 Cost of Funds equals banking interest expense of the period divided by monthly average interest bearing liabilities; interest bearing liabilities include: amounts due to
credit institutions, client deposits and notes and debt securities issued;
6 Operating Leverage equals percentage change in revenue less percentage change in operating expenses;
7 Cost / Income Ratio equals operating expenses divided by revenue;
8 Daily average liquid assets (as defined by NBG) during the month divided by daily average liabilities (as defined by NBG) during the month;
9 Liquid assets include: cash and cash equivalents, amounts due from credit institutions and investment securities;
10 Leverage (Times) equals total liabilities divided by total equity;
11 NPL Coverage Ratio equals allowance for impairment of loans and finance lease receivables divided by NPLs;
12 NPL Coverage Ratio adjusted for discounted value of collateral equals allowance for impairment of loans and finance lease receivables divided by NPLs (discounted
value of collateral is added back to allowance for impairment)

13 Cost of Risk equals impairment charge for loans to customers and finance lease receivables for the period divided by monthly average gross loans to customers and
finance lease receivables over the same period;
14 New NBG (Basel 2/3) Tier I Capital Adequacy ratio equals Tier I Capital divided by total risk weighted assets, both calculated in accordance with the requirements the
National Bank of Georgia instructions;
15 New NBG (Basel 2/3) Total Capital Adequacy ratio equals total capital divided by total risk weighted assets, both calculated in accordance with the requirements of the
National Bank of Georgia instructions;
16 Old NBG Tier I Capital Adequacy ratio equals Tier I Capital divided by total risk weighted assets, both calculated in accordance with the requirements the National Bank
of Georgia instructions;
17 Old NBG Total Capital Adequacy ratio equals total capital divided by total risk weighted Assets, both calculated in accordance with the requirements of the National
Bank of Georgia instructions;
18 NMF Not meaningful
19 Constant currency basis changes assuming constant exchange rate

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May 2016

page 103

BGEO Group Company information


Registered Address
84 Brook Street
London W1K 5EH
United Kingdom
www.bgeo.com
Registered under number 7811410 in England and Wales
Incorporation date: 14 October 2011
Stock Listing
London Stock Exchange PLCs Main Market for listed securities
Ticker: BGEO.LN
Contact Information
BGEO Group Investor Relations
Telephone: +44 (0) 20 3178 4052
E-mail: ir@bog.ge
www.bgeo.com
Auditors
Ernst & Young LLP
1 More London Place
London SE1 2AF
United Kingdom
Registrar
Computershare Investor Services PLC
The Pavilions
Bridgewater Road
Bristol BS13 8AE
United Kingdom
Please note that Investor Centre is a free, secure online service run by our Registrar, Computershare, giving you convenient
access to information on your shareholdings.
Investor Centre Web Address - www.investorcentre.co.uk
Investor Centre Shareholder Helpline - +44 (0)370 873 5866
Share price information
BGEO Group shareholders can access both the latest and historical prices via our website, www.bgeo.com

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