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29 Financial intermediation
29 Financial intermediation
Question 3
Explain the need for banks to have effective risk management processes and
critically appraise commonly used quantitative risk measures.
Reading for this question:
Please refer to Chapter 3 of the 2008 subject guide. The chapter
contains Activity boxes which direct you to study appropriate sections
from Bessis (2002), Matthews and Thompson (2008) and Saunders
and Cornett (2006). A more complete answer would also integrate
some elements from Chapter 2 of the subject guide.
Approaching the question:
The question relates to all the learning objectives of Chapter 3 of the
2008 subject guide. Your answer should contain three elements: a
discussion of the types of risk faced by banks, an explanation of the
need to manage these risks effectively and an appraisal of the
commonly used quantitative risk measures.
Your answer should begin by providing an overview of the prevalence
of risk within banking, and you should note that the elimination of risk
is not a feasible choice for banks seeking profitability. You should then
proceed to identify the types of risk faced by banks. It is very important
to avoid a descriptive list-based approach to this part. Instead, you
should synthesise issues relating to similar types of risk (e.g. credit risk
and country risk), and you should identify how and why each type of
risk can cause difficulties in the management of a banks activities.
This can lead naturally to the explanation of why effective risk
management processes are necessary within banks. Your discussion can
include a range of possible elements, such as avoiding losses, failure to
meet customer demands, crisis and contagion and loss of public
confidence. You could also draw on some material from Chapter 2
(relating to bank runs and capital adequacy) at this point. A good
answer would take the opportunity to use cases or similar evidence in
order to highlight how the need for effective risk management has
become very topical since the 20079 credit crunch.
It is also appropriate to outline the key stages in the risk management
process: identifying where risk can arise, measuring the degree of risk,
balancing riskreturn trade-offs and establishing appropriate
monitoring and control procedures.
To address the final element of the question, the starting point should
be a categorisation of different risk measures (e.g. sensitivity of target
variable to market parameters, volatility, downside risk). You should
draw on Bessis (2002, Chapter 6) to achieve a deeper analysis. The
answer should then proceed to discuss more specific techniques which
relate to different types of risk (e.g. credit ratings, Value at Risk). In
the context of this syllabus, the Examiners would expect a detailed
coverage of the Value at Risk technique, including an analysis of its
strengths and weaknesses. You will need to have followed the
suggested readings in the subject guide in order to achieve high marks
in this element. The discussion should also be linked to Earnings at
Risk (see Bessis (2002), Chapter 7).
Question 4
Explain the alternative methods available to banks for credit risk modelling
and management.
Reading for this question:
Please refer to Chapter 4 of the 2008 subject guide. The chapter
contains Activity boxes and various citations which direct you to study
appropriate sections from Bessis (2002) and Saunders and Cornett
(2006). A more complete answer would also integrate some elements
from Chapters 2, 3 and 6 of the subject guide.
Approaching the question:
This question relates to all the learning objectives of Chapter 4 of the
2008 subject guide. A good answer would begin by identifying the
nature and importance of credit risk for a bank. Some evidence from
the 20079 credit crunch could provide useful motivation and context.
The answer would also benefit from drawing on relevant material from
Chapters 2 and 3 of the subject guide at this point.
The scope of material to be included in the answer should include
rating systems, expected loss given default, credit derivatives (drawing
on Chapter 6 of the subject guide), qualitative models, credit scoring
and option-based models. The Examiners would expect considerable
emphasis on the latter two elements.
Risk quality covers both the probability of default and the recoveries in
the event of default, and is commonly captured through credit ratings.
Internal ratings refer to credit ratings assigned by banks to their
borrowers, using proprietary scales that vary across banks. External
ratings are assigned by credit rating agencies using publicly disclosed
scales that vary across agencies. A good answer would provide a full
discussion of the main categories of internal ratings system, the criteria
employed in assigning ratings and the scope of rated entities. Your
answer should highlight the similarities and differences between
internal and external ratings.
The expected loss given default (L) is the product of the loss given
default and the default probability (D) (see Equation (4.1) in the
subject guide). The loss given default is comprised of an uncertain
exposure (X) and an uncertain recovery rate (R). Your answer should
present an explanation of the three elements: default risk, exposure
risk and recovery risk.
A significant portion of the answer should be devoted to credit risk
models. This section should commence by discussing the objectives and
intended output of the modelling process, and the relevance of the
level of information available (e.g. contrasting retail customers with
large corporate borrowers). Discussion of qualitative models should
emphasise the subjectivity of the approach and should contrast marketspecific factors with borrower-specific factors.
A much more objective approach is found with credit scoring and
option-based models. Your discussion of credit scoring should identify
its characteristics, and should address linear probability models, logit
models and linear discriminant analysis. Turning to option-based
models, you are required to demonstrate an understanding of how
29 Financial intermediation
option pricing theory can be applied to credit risk (see p.59 of the
subject guide). There are two main insights: (i) holding equity is
analogous to buying a call option on the value of the firms assets; (ii)
the payoff for debt holders resembles that of writing a put option on
the value of the firms (borrowers) assets. Continuing to repay debt is
not rational if liabilities exceed assets, thus the borrower may
relinquish assets instead. Lenders should adjust the risk premium as a
borrowers leverage and asset risk change. Market value of assets and
asset risk are a key focus in estimating default probabilities under this
approach. The value and volatility of assets are not directly observable.
To address this, the KMV method relies mostly on equity market
information, and its key output is the probability (over a one-year
horizon) that the market value of assets will fall below promised
repayments on short-term liabilities.
There is considerable merit in demonstrating evidence of reading
beyond the subject guide in these latter aspects of the answer.
Question 5
Explain the principles and application of liquidity gap analysis and interest
rate gap analysis.
Reading for this question:
Please refer to Chapter 5 of the 2008 subject guide. Within this
chapter, there are Activity boxes which direct you to study appropriate
sections from Saunders and Cornett (2006), Bessis (2002) and
Matthews and Thompson (2008). The further reading from Sinkey
(2002) is also particularly relevant for this question.
Approaching the question:
This question relates to all the learning objectives of Chapter 5 of the
2008 subject guide.
A good starting point for the answer would be to address the rationale
for asset and liability management (ALM) in banks. In doing this, you
should focus on the issues of liquidity risk and interest-rate risk in bank
balance sheets. You should also highlight the relevance of net interest
margin and net interest income as target variables, with both their
level and variability being important elements.
The main portion of your answer should obviously consist of a detailed
consideration of liquidity gap analysis and interest rate gap analysis. In
discussing liquidity gap analysis, sources of liquidity and maturity
mismatching should be addressed. Under interest rate gap analysis, it
is important to discuss the identification of rate-sensitive assets and
liabilities. Illustrative examples should be provided in both cases. There
are many examples available in the suggested readings from the
textbooks.
The section in Chapter 5 of the subject guide titled Issues associated
with ALM is of limited relevance to the question posed here, and this
material should not constitute a large portion of your answer.
Generally, there is much scope in this question for you to demonstrate
rigorous analysis drawn from the suggested textbook readings.
You may perceive that this question has very clear and straightforward
requirements, but you need to ensure that the answer covers the issues
in depth. In order to obtain a high mark, it will be essential for your
answer to demonstrate insights achieved from reading beyond the
subject guide (i.e. following the suggested readings from the
textbooks).
Question 6
Explain and critically appraise the principles and practice of securitisation.
Reading for this question:
Please refer to pp.7076 in Chapter 6 of the 2008 subject guide. The
chapter contains Activity boxes which direct you to study appropriate
sections from Matthews and Thompson (2008) and Saunders and
Cornett (2006). A very good answer would incorporate some analysis
from Cumming (1987).
Approaching the question:
The question relates to the first three learning objectives stated in
Chapter 6 of the 2008 subject guide. A good answer would begin by
setting the context for securitisation within the wider issues of risk
transfer and structured finance (see Table 6.1 in the subject guide).
Your answer should proceed by considering banks objectives when
engaging in securitisation. The technique is recognised as an efficient
means of redistributing credit risks to other banks or non-bank
investors. It is a vehicle for transforming illiquid financial assets into
tradeable capital market instruments, and thus can be expected to
provide enhanced risk diversification and financial stability.
Securitisation enables banks to increase the flexibility of their
operations while adhering to regulatory capital requirements. The
possibility to adjust the banks risk profile, the potential savings in
required capital and the reduced funding costs should be explained.
The next section of your answer should comprise a discussion of the
different forms of securitisation. It is important that attention is not
restricted solely to pass-through securitisation, although this is a good
starting point for this part of the answer and could represent a
substantial portion of the discussion. Other types of securitisation
which are addressed in the subject guide and suggested readings
include collateralised loan obligations (CLOs), collateralised debt
obligations (CDOs), collateralised mortgage obligations (CMOs) and
mortgage backed bonds (MBBs). For pass-through securitisation, a
thorough explanation of the mechanics of this process is needed.
You should then analyse the risks and benefits of securitisation.
Attention should also be placed on the factors which influence these
risks and benefits. Capital management, risk management and reduced
funding costs are crucial benefits. On the other hand, there are
significant costs in setting up a pass-through structure. Identification of
appropriate packages of assets has an important impact on the cost
benefit calculation. In extending the discussion to CLOs and CDOs,
your answer should comment on the increased difficulties and costs
associated with securitising lower quality assets (e.g. credit insurance,
over-collateralisation). CMOs are created either by packaging and
29 Financial intermediation
Question 8
Explain the mechanics and pricing of swaps and demonstrate how swaps may
be used to manage interest rate risk.
Reading for this question:
Please refer to Chapter 8 of the 2008 subject guide, in particular
pp.9294, 99100, 103. This chapter also directs you to study
appropriate sections from Saunders and Cornett (2006). Good answers
would also analyse total return swaps and credit default swaps based
on Chapter 6 (pp.7879) of the subject guide. In this case, you should
also use the suggested readings relating to these instruments (see the
first Activity box on p.81 of the subject guide).
Approaching the question:
This question relates to several of the learning objectives of Chapter 8
of the 2008 subject guide (p.89), and to the final learning objective of
Chapter 6 (p.70).
A good answer should begin by identifying the context for the use of
derivatives (in general) as instruments for risk management, and then
you should briefly compare swaps with other derivative products used
by banks (i.e. forwards, futures and options).
Your answer should clearly define the nature of a swap contract (i.e.
two parties agreeing to exchange pre-specified future cash flow streams
over a pre-specified future period).
In discussing the mechanics of swaps, you should not restrict the
answer to interest rate swaps. The subject guide and suggested
readings also refer to currency swaps, total return swaps and credit
default swaps. There is considerable merit in highlighting both the
similarities and differences across these instruments. A very good
answer would include relevant examples and diagrams (e.g. payoffs) in
order to provide full explanations of the mechanics of these
instruments.
Pricing of swaps should be addressed by detailed examples. It would be
reasonable to focus on interest rate swaps and/or currency swaps in
this section of the answer, since there is direct discussion of these
instruments in Chapter 8 of the subject guide.
The final element required in the answer would be to demonstrate how
swaps are used to manage interest-rate risk. It might be possible to
refer back to some of the earlier material in the answer on interest rate
swaps. An essential element here would be to ensure that you explicitly
discuss how and where the interest rate risk arises for the
counterparties illustrated in your example(s).