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Contents Page
Workshop Agenda & Introductions
Section 1
Section 2
Section 3
Section 4
Section 5
..
Kam Ho
Engineering Manager
M: 0488 042 903
T: 02 4013 4640
kam.ho@cwpr.com.au
Hallett 1
Commercial in Confidence
CONFIDENTIALITY
This document contains proprietary and confidential information, which is provided on a commercial in confidence basis. It may not be reproduced or provided in any manner
to any third party without the consent of CWP Renewables Pty Ltd.
Copyright CWP Renewables Pty Ltd 2014
This work and the information contained in it are the copyright of CWP Renewables Pty Ltd. No part of this document may be reprinted or reproduced without the consent of
CWP Renewables Pty Ltd.
Disclaimer:
Whilst every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy of this information, the publisher accepts no responsibility for any discrepancies and omissions that may be
contained herein.
Snowtown 1
Canunda
Mt Millar
Hallett 2
Page 2
Agenda Day 1
Tuesday 28th October 2014
Open Book Discussions Regarding Wind Energy Projects
Wind Energy Projects Life Cycle & Role in Power Generation
Global Wind Energy Markets and Policies
Understanding Energy Resource Assessments
Financing Wind Energy Projects
Energy Resource Assessments
Principles of Wind Flow
Wind Resource Monitoring Programmes
Met Masts, SODARs, LIDARs Components, Designs and Factors
Mesoscale and Long-Term Reference Points
Wind Farm Modelling & Layout Design
Probability of Exceedance (PoE) and Uncertainties
Lunch
Wind Farm Design & Analysis
Overview of Software Packages: WindPRO/WASP, Meteodyn & OpenWind
Importing Wind Data and Development of Generic Wind Farm Layout
MCP - Measure, Correlate, Predict
Wind Data Processing and Preliminary Energy Calculations
Preliminary Energy Calculations
Financial Models & Wind Farm Project Financing
Economic Viability of Wind Farm Projects
Project Financing & Financial Models
Boco Rock Wind Farm Case Study
Commercial in Confidence
8:30am 10:00am
10:00am - 12:00pm
12:00pm - 1:00pm
1:00pm 3:00pm
3:00pm 4:30pm
4:30pm 5:30pm
Page 3
Agenda Day 2
Day 2: Demonstration of Energy Resource Assessment & Financial Models
th
Wednesday 29 October 2014
Wind Farm Design & Analysis
Overview of Software Packages: WindPRO/WASP, Meteodyn & OpenWind
Importing Wind Data and Development of Generic Wind Farm Layout
MCP - Measure, Correlate, Predict
Wind Data Processing and Preliminary Energy Calculations
Preliminary Energy Calculations
Financial Models & Wind Farm Project Financing
Economic Viability of Wind Farm Projects
Project Financing & Financial Models
Lunch
Case Study - Boco Rock Wind Farm
Project Development & Energy Resource Assessment
Project Financing
Questions & Answers
Commercial in Confidence
8:30am - 10:00am
10:30am - 12:00pm
12:00pm - 1:00pm
1:00pm - 3:00pm
3:00pm - 5:00pm
Page 4
About Speakers
Engineering Manager
Melbourne, Australia
Professional Qualifications
BEng
MEnvEng
Professional Qualifications
BEng
BSc
Commercial in Confidence
Kam Ho
Kam joined the Wind Prospect team in January 2010 and was responsible for the growth of Wind
Prospects advisory interests in the Asia-Pacific region excluding the Philippines over the past 4 years,
delivering technical due diligence and advisory services on over 2.5 GW of wind farm projects around the
world. Kam is currently responsible for CWP Renewables engineering requirements and bringing projects
to Financial Close.
Kam has 9 years experience in the renewable energy industry and holds an Honours degree in Electronic
& Electrical Engineering from the University of Strathclyde and a Masters degree in Environmental
Engineering from the University of Melbourne.
Mike Middleton
Mike has been with Wind Prospect since 2004, joining as an Operations and Development Engineer and
most recently leading Wind Prospects global Energy Resources services team based in Bristol, UK. Mike
has a combination of project development and technical expertise and was the Development Manager for
the 132 MW North Brown Hill Wind Farm in South Australia. Mike is currently responsible for managing
CWP Renewables development portfolios energy resource assessments and procurement matters.
Mike has nearly 10 years experience in the wind energy industry and holds a double degree Bachelors of
Engineering (Computer Systems Engineering) and Bachelors of Science (Applied Maths, Pure Maths and
Computer Science) from the University of Adelaide, Australia.
Page 5
CWP Renewables
CWP Renewables is a Joint-Venture between two leading global renewable
energy developers with over two decades of experience and track record in the
development of successful renewable energy projects
Snowtown 1
Canunda
Mt Millar
Hallett Hill
Page 6
319 MW Sapphire
New South Wales, 2013
513 MW Dandaragan
Western Australia, 2012
Development approvals
111 MW Willogoleche
South Australia
2004 - 2011
70 MW Mt Millar
South Australia
2002
46 MW Canunda
South Australia
2005
Commercial in Confidence
Page 7
CWP Renewables identified the site and fully developed the project, securing
land, grid and PPA contracts along with all the necessary approvals
CWP Renewables partnered with GE Energy Financial Services (GE EFS) in March
2012 to bring Stage 1 of the project to Financial Close.
Enterprise value of $361 million with $250 million from 5 International Banks
and $110 million equity from EGCO.
CWP Renewables retains the Asset Management role for the project which is
now operational. In this role CWP Renewables has managed all aspects of the
project through construction and now operations.
Commercial in Confidence
Financing of 113
MW Wind Farm
June 2013
Project Summary
CAPEX
$361 million
EPC Contract
$270 million
Senior Debt
$250 million
Construction
2013 2014
Principal Contractors
GE-Downer EDI
Energy Offtaker
EnergyAustralia
58 x GE 1.7-100
Wind Turbines
9 x GE 1.62-100
132 kV line
25 km
Grid Operator
Essential Energy
33 kV cables
90 km
Transformers
2 x 132 kV
Page 8
Ari Liddell
General Manager
Bristol, United Kingdom
Barthelemy Rouer
General Manager
Paris, France
barthelemy.rouer@windprospect.com
ari.liddell@windprospect.com
Alex Tancock
General Manager
Hong Kong, PRC
alex.tancock@windprospect.hk
Ray Rysbergen
Country Manager
Manila, Philippines
ray.rysbergen@windprospect.com.au
Page 9
Wind Resource
Wind Resource
600 MW Wind Project Development
Confidential
Canada
Pre-Construction
>25 GW
>8 GW
Wind Resource
44 MW Onshore Wind Farm
Mainstream Renewables
Chile
>10 GW
Project Management
201 MW Hong Kong Offshore Wind Farm
China Light & Power
Hong Kong, PRC
Pre-Construction
54 MW San Lorenzo Wind Farm
TAREC
Philippines
>10 GW
Technical Due Diligence
142.8 MW Onshore Wind Farm
Confidential
South Africa
Wind Resource
5.2 MW Onshore Wind Farm
Development Bank of Southern Africa
South Africa
Commercial in Confidence
Project Development
440 MW Hallett Portfolio
AGL Energy
Australia
Page 10
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
August 2010
EPCC Signed
June 2006
Planning Approval
July 2003
Site Identified
December 2008
Planning Amendments
January 2010
Tip Height Increase
September 2011
Financial Close
June 2013
New Equity
The Project was co-developed by Meridian Energy and AGL Energy with
construction commencing in August 2010. The Project achieved COD on January
2013 and Meridian Energys 50% share in Macarthur Wind Farm was acquired by
Malakoff Corporation Berhad in June 2013.
Macarthur Wind Farm is an unincorporated Joint Venture (UJV) between AGL
Energy and Malakoff Corporation
Located in south-west Victoria it is the largest operational wind farm in the
Southern Hemisphere
Total installed capacity of 420 MW consisting of 140 units of the Vestas V112
wind turbine
Connected into the NEM at 132 kV/ 500 kV Tarrone Substation
Project was initially co-developed by Meridian Energy and AGL Energy
Construction commenced on August 2010 with an EPC Contract signed with
Vestas-Leighton Contractors consortium
Project achieved COD on January 2013
Meridian Energys 50 % share was acquired by Malakoff Corporation in June
2013
Commercial in Confidence
Project at a Glance
50% Sale of
Macarthur WF
June 2013
CAPEX
$970 million
EPC
$850 million
Construction
2010 2013
Principle Contractors
Vestas-Leighton
Off-take
AGL Energy
Turbines
132 kV line
15 km
Grid Operator
SPAusnet
Connection Voltage
500 kV
33 kV cables
150 km
Transformers
2 x 132 kV
Page 11
AGL Energy
Wind Prospects pivotal role in the development of the
Hallett Portfolio for AGL Energy has enabled us to be
one of the leading renewable energy utilities in
Australia today.
Nigel Bean
Head of Generation Development
AGL Energy
Commercial in Confidence
Page 12
Commercial in Confidence
About HgCapital
HgCapital is a leading European mid-market private equity firm.
Founded in 1985, HgCapital is fully independent with offices in
London and Munich and over 3 billion of assets under
management. HgCapitals dedicated renewable energy fund - Hg
Renewable Power Partners (300 million) holds controlling
interests in 21 European renewable energy projects in construction
and operation with an enterprise value in excess of 700 million and
a further 15 projects under development.
Page 13
Commercial in Confidence
About E.On
E.On is the worlds largest investor-owned electric utility service
provider based in Germany. E.On owns and operates nearly 4,000
MW of onshore and offshore wind projects around the world. E.On
has over 450 MW of wind farm projects in the UK, including the
Robin Rigg 180 MW offshore wind project.
Wind Prospect and E.On has been developing and delivering wind
farm projects in partnership since 2000 and are continuing to deliver
pre-construction and advisory services for E.On.
Page 14
Commercial in Confidence
Page 15
SECTION
Commercial in Confidence
2
Page 16
154.9GW
189.3GW
106.1GW
2.1GW
26.3GW
2.1GW
7.8GW
Commercial in Confidence
Page 17
Small Hydro
Marine
Geothermal
Biomass and Waste
Biofuels
Solar
Wind
600
CAGR 2008-2013
500
CAGR 2001-2013
35%
29%
30%
25%
400
300
14%
12%
200
100
8%
5%
4% 3%
6%
16%16%
15%
10%
5% 5%
5%
3% 2%
0
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
20%
0%
Small Hydro
Geothermal
Biofuels
Wind
Commissioned
Financed
Announced
Cumulative Capacity
400
300
200
100
0
2000
Commercial in Confidence
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
Page 18
118.3GW
123.2GW
77.4GW
1.5GW
4.0GW
0.8GW
4.9GW
Commercial in Confidence
Page 19
Page 20
Central &
South America
1%
Middle East &
North Africa
1%
Commercial in Confidence
EU Europe
EU Europe
35%
360
Non EU Europe
North America & Caribbean
320
280
240
Asia
200
Oceania
160
120
Other
80
40
0
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Page 21
62,364
60,000
50,000
40,000
30,000
20,000
16,084
10,000
12
46
30
150
207
407
564
623
Thailand
South
Korea
Taiwan
New
Zealand
2,234
2,501
Australia
Japan
Pacific
Islands
Commercial in Confidence
India
China
Page 22
315
315
293
292
307
300
250
249
291
291
291
275
235
245
219
229
272
201
200
211
197
188
164
166
162
135
150
166
163
161
148
100
135
132
123
Q3_2012
Q4_2012
Q1_2012
50
0
Q3 2009
Q4 2009
Q1 2010
Q2_2010
PV - Thin Film
Q3_2010
Q4_2010
Q1_2011
Q2_2011
PV - c-Si
Q3_2011
Q4_2011
Q1_2012
PV - c-Si Tracking
Q2_2012
200
208
150
169
151
96
100
90
178
176
86
86
Q1 2010
Q2_2010
185
184
190
82
84
87
82
Q4_2010
Q1_2011
Q2_2011
Q3_2011
176
93
219
226
228
75
77
Q1_2012
220
219
218
80
82
83
81
Q2_2012
Q3_2012
Q4_2012
Q1_2012
50
0
Q3 2009
Q4 2009
Q3_2010
Wind - Onshore
Commercial in Confidence
Q4_2011
Wind - Offshore
Page 23
Renewable Energy
Certificates
Commercial in Confidence
Page 24
Commercial in Confidence
www.aemo.com.au
www.aer.gov.au
Australian Energy Regulator (AER)
Page 25
SECTION
Commercial in Confidence
3
Page 26
Commercial in Confidence
Page 27
Commercial in Confidence
Page 28
Tower Types
Hybrid concrete/steel
towers
Lower section concrete
Used in taller structures
Easier to transport as the
sections can be divided in
approx. 5m each
Steel towers
Lattice towers
3 sections, transported by
long vehicle
Limited height/strength
Page 29
Finally comes down to aesthetics. 3 turbine blades are considered to be most visually appealing.
Commercial in Confidence
Page 30
II
III
50
42.5
37.5
10.0
8.5
7.5
70
59.5
52.5
0.16
Turbulence class B
0.14
Turbulence class C
0.12
Shear exponent
0.2
Page 31
PROJECT
DEVELOPER
PROJECT NPV
EQUIPMENT
SUPPLIERS
PROJECT
LENDER
Operations
EQUITY
INVESTOR
Revenues =
Resource
Commercial in Confidence
Availability
Losses & Availability (%)
- Electrical losses
- Wake losses
- Plant availability
- Grid interruptions
- Scheduled maintenance
- Power curve and reliability
- Blade icing/ degradation
Power Price
Power Purchase Agreement ($/MWh)
- Electricity price
- Green certificates (RECs)
- Carbon price
- Duration of agreement
- Capacity payments
Page 32
Technology trackrecord
Costs,
benchmarking
& contingency
Planning &
Environmental
Risk
TECHNICAL
DUE DILIGENCE
Asset Life of
Technology &
Lifecycle
Wind Analysis
Contracts,
Warranties
& interface risk
Programme risk
Commercial in Confidence
Page 33
Grant Funding
All Equity
Tip Height
Balance Sheet
Wind Resource
Project Finance
Financing
Planning
Planning Expiry
EPC vs BOP
Offtake
Construction
Environmental Management
Contract for Differences
Community Management
Bundled or Unbundled
Grid
Construction Risk
PPA vs Merchant
Congestion Risk
Connection Standards
Availability
Commercial in Confidence
Page 34
Investment Considerations
Site Identification | Wind Resource Monitoring | Planning & Approvals | Consent & Sale | WTG Procurement | BOP Procurement | Engineering & Design | Agreements & PPA | Financial Close
Page 35
Wind Resource
Grid
Interconnection
Commercial in Confidence
Land Suitability
Page 36
Wind Resource
Grid
Interconnection
Land Suitability
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7tg0518Jde4
Commercial in Confidence
Page 37
Grid Interconnection
Wind Resource
Grid
Interconnection
Commercial in Confidence
Land Suitability
Page 38
Wind Resource
Identifying Potential Wind Resource Meteorology
Data or Mesoscale Models
Construction of Onsite Measurement Masts
Mobilisation of Ground-based SODARs and LIDARs
Wind Resource
Land Suitability
8.51 m/s
Grid
Interconnection
Commercial in Confidence
6.75 m/s
Page 39
Purpose:
Definition:
systematic process to identify, predict and evaluate the
environment effects of proposed actions and project
whenever appropriate, social, cultural and health effects are
considered as an integral component of EIA...
particular attention is given in EIA to preventing, mitigating
and offsetting significant adverse effects of proposed
undertakings
Commercial in Confidence
Page 40
Page 41
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sdhYcVgYemM
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MbIe0iUtelQ
Commercial in Confidence
Page 42
Ecology Assessment
Ecology assessments should consider:
whether flora (plants) or fauna (animals) species are
protected under any environmental legislation;
the sensitivity of any protected species to disturbance;
the potential loss of habitat of protected species; and
measures to minimise impacts on any native species.
Ramsar wetlands are protected under the Ramsar
Convention, which is an intergovernmental treaty for the
conservation and sustainable use of wetlands.
Commercial in Confidence
Page 43
Noise Assessment
Noise is often the most important factor in
determining the separation distance between
wind turbines and sensitive receptors.
http://www.abc.net.au/4corners/special_eds/20110725/wind/
Denmark
Commercial in Confidence
43 dB(A)
40 dB(A)
35 dB(A)
40 dB(A)
40 dB(A) (day time)
43 dB(A) (night time)
44 dB(A) at 8m/s
42 dB(A) at 6m/s
Comment
5 dB(A)
5 dB(A)
5 dB(A)
5 dB(A)
Commercial in Confidence
Page 45
Commercial in Confidence
Page 46
Commercial in Confidence
Page 47
Network Congestion
Modelling the risk of congestion as more intermittent generation
projects are connected into the network
Network Stability
Understanding the performance of wind generators as projects
are connected into weaker grid networks the need to balance
security of supply and cost of connection
Commercial in Confidence
Page 48
Wind Turbine
Generator
0.69kV
>11 kV
>66 kV
>66 kV
>66 kV
Reticulation Voltage
Transformer Voltage
Transmission Line
Switching Station
Commercial in Confidence
Page 49
Commercial in Confidence
Page 52
Assessment Process
Commercial in Confidence
Page 53
Commercial in Confidence
Availability
Birds & Bats
Certification
Due Diligence
Energy Yield
Financing
Grid Connection
Hub Heights
IRR
Joint Venture
Shape Factor
Liquidated Damages
Measurement Campaigns
Net Losses
Operational Plans
P
R
S
T
U
V
W
Y
Page 54
SECTION
Commercial in Confidence
5
Page 55
Project Funding
Project Funding Options
Generically there are four types of project funding options as detailed below. Each has its merits and limitations with the Non-Recourse Project
Financing the most bankable as the Project Lenders will not seek recourse from the Project Owner should it result in a default.
All Equity
Balance Sheet
Recourse
Recourse financing requires the
Project Owner to provide a
Company Guarantee to lenders
and therefore limits the
lenders exposure in the event
of construction delays or
payment defaults by the wind
farm.
Commercial in Confidence
Non-Recourse
Non-Recourse financing is the
most bankable method for wind
farm projects and requires all
approvals and contracts to be
agreed to the satisfaction of the
lenders.
Project lenders do not have
recourse against the Project
Owner and therefore nonrecourse financed wind farms are
usually developed to the bestpractice as it is deemed lowestrisk to institutional investors.
Page 56
PPA Direct
Agreement
Intercreditor
Equity
Equity
Shareholders
SPV
Leasehold Land
Permissions and Consents
Debt
Bank
Senior Debt
& Hedging
Credit Documentation
Shareholder Agreement
Development Fee
Turbine
Supply
Agreement
(TSA)
Operating &
Maintenance
Contract
(O&M)
Grid Company
Parent Co
Surety
Commercial in Confidence
Turbine supplier/installer/
Operative company
O&M Direct
Agreement
Balance
of Plant
Contract
(BoP)
Interface
Agreement
TSA Direct
Agreement
BoP Direct
Agreement
Balance of Plant
Contractor
Parent Co
or Surety
Page 57
Technical Inputs
Capital costs
Developer premium
Operating costs
Decommissioning reserve
Programme
PPA/Tariff
Lease arrangements
Commercial in Confidence
Page 58
Commercial Inputs
Exchange rates
Discount rate
Transaction costs.
Interest rate
Equity
Cost of capital
Debt
DSCR
Reserve accounts
Depreciation
Commercial in Confidence
Page 59
Engineer, Procure and Construct (EPC), also referred to as a turnkey construction contract
(TCC)
Multi-contract
Can be as few as 2 or 3, but may be 10 or more
Pre-construction and engineering design
Turbine procurement, installation and commissioning
Civil works
Electrical supply, installation and commissioning
Project management
Choice depends on
Financing route
Experience
Commercial in Confidence
Page 60
Commercial in Confidence
Page 61
The Central Estimate (P50): 50% chance that the result will be
lower and a 50% chance the result will be higher than the
predicted long term energy yield
Senior Debt
Lenders tend to have limited upside and is exposed to a larger downside and therefore
puts in substantial layer of protection to control risk through the Debt Service
Coverage Ratio (DSCR).
DSCR is the amount of cash flow available to meet annual interest and principal
payments on debt, including other sinking fund payments.
DSCR less than 1 would mean a negative cash flow (e.g. project operating
income is insufficient to repay senior debt).
If DSCR is less than the minimum (calculated) threshold then the Project would
have to reduce its debt limit and increase its equity contribution.
Commercial in Confidence
DSCR =
Page 63