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Could Asia Create an Economic Union?
February 23, 2004 A formal Asia bloc along the lines of the European Union is not likely, panelists said. But expect Asian countries to find other ways to benefit each other.
Feb. 23, 2004 Issue
It's Back to Business-Basics for Nonprofits 2004 Asia Business Conference Retooling 360s for Better Performance Summing Up: Leadership: A Matter of Sustaining or Eliminating Groupthink?
by Sean Silverthorne, Editor, HBS Working Knowledge
An Asian bloc could be one of the most powerful economic institutions on earth, but social and historical differences between Asian nations make such a pact unlikely, panel experts at a recent Harvard Business School discussion agreed. But that doesn't mean Asian countries won't find other ways to leverage their weight in the marketplace.
Panelists were asked to assess the likelihood of Asian countries
banding together along the lines of the European Union, where member countries delegate some of their sovereignty to establish institutions that regulate commerce, law, finance, and other issues surrounding a unified market. Clearly such a bloc would foster cooperation and improve the economic climate of the region and let East Asia companies compete more effectively globally, said Milan Brahmbhatt, a lead adviser for The World Bank's East Asia and Pacific region. But he doubted an EU-type bloc is in the offing in Asia because the local economies depend as much on the outside world for success as they do with each other. Also, most blocs have a dominant leader, and that would not be the case in Asia, where key players could include China-Hong Kong-Taiwan, Japan, India, and South Korea. Panelists pointed to a number of cultural differences that work against establishment of an economic super-authority in Asia. Dajin Peng, associate professor of International Studies at the University of South Florida, said Western countries rely on law and formal agreements to tie parties together, while East Asia cultures use personal connections to build informal networks based on cooperation. Although very powerful, the downside of informal networks is that they can lead to ambiguity, and you can't have ambiguity in a formal arrangement such as the EU. "There never will be an EU or NAFTA type of formal integration," Peng said. But there "quite likely" will be more integration and trade agreements and treaties between Asian players. That's already beginning in Greater China (China, Hong Kong, and Taiwan), Peng added, where ethnic Chinese networks are building "informal institutions" among highly clustered industries even as the respective governments refuse to talk with each other. "These networks will be the predominant force in integration,' he said. Even without a formal bloc, there are many opportunities available to Asian partners to improve their economic relations with each other and with global markets. Regional institutions are already in place such as the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN), the Asia Development Bank, and the South Asian Association for
Regional Cooperation, which are slowly making headway in reducing
trade barriers, panelists said. Several panelists focused on China as a potential lynchpin of Asian regionalism. In 2005, China is expected to consume half of the region's exports, up dramatically from 11 percent in 1999, said Gary H. Jefferson, the Economics Department chair at Brandeis University and director of the school's China Economic Research Program. Certainly, Asian companies would benefit by having China as a bloc partner, Jefferson said. Access to China's markets would allow partners to achieve scale economics and recapture some of the foreign direct investment that has migrated to Northeast China. But rallying around China could also backfire for those partners, he continued, if China's structural financial problems implode or the Taiwan question damages China's relations with the U.S. Another unknown, he said, is uncertainty regarding China's transition from a central government into a competitive, multiparty system. There is also the argument, Jefferson said, that China would not reap sizable benefits by being a member, because the country is not capital- or technology-constrained, enjoys a labor surplus, can capture huge gains simply by redeploying resources, and is already a member of the World Trade Organization. In addition to the uncertainties about China, a question remains about another nation that could be a major part of an Asian bloc: India. Richard Cooper, a Harvard economics professor, said India would have to change its strong protectionist policies, and that the issue of globalization is a topic of hot debate in the country. The discussion took place February 14 at the 2004 Asia Business Conference.
What It Takes to Succeed in China
February 23, 2004 The recipe for business success in China is complex, but a few of the ingredients are common among successful players.
Feb. 23, 2004 Issue
It's Back to Business-Basics for Nonprofits 2004 Asia Business Conference Retooling 360s for Better Performance Summing Up: Leadership: A Matter of Sustaining or Eliminating Groupthink?
by Sean Silverthorne, Editor, HBS Working Knowledge
Focus, execution, and a thorough understanding of the local competitive dynamics are keys to running a successful business venture in China, panelists said at a recent Harvard Business School executive roundtable. The discussion, "Getting to World Class: The Path to Success of Model Asian Companies," was held at the 2004 Asia Business Conference at Harvard Business School on February 14. Setting the stage for the discussion, Bain & Company director Paul DiPaola said a Bain study of 150 high-performing public Chinese companies found four keys to business success: Sharp focus. All the companies focused on and invested in a strong core business. DiPaola said this finding surprised him. He had believed that leading Chinese companies would be broadly diversified. Operational excellence. Chinese companies take full advantage of low labor costs, low costs of raw materials, and linked supply chains. They also capitalize on IT to leverage those advantages. Astute technology acquisition. The companies are adept at either buying the right technology outright or doing technology transfer deals to get what they need. Strong partnerships. Chinese companies find the right partners and build strong relationships. They also tend to avoid joint ventures
with MNCs, which are often nightmares to negotiate and difficult to
execute. But Chinese firms also face significant challenges as they walk onto the global stage, DiPaola said. For example, they risk losing that very same focus that made them so successful. Legend Holdings, a Hong Kong PC maker, has expanded into cell phones, MP3 players, and cameras, DiPaola said. "They are moving out of their very strong core business, and this will be very tough to manage." Other challenges identified by DiPaola for Chinese companies include: Reliance on CEOs to make all company decisions, and a shortage of executive development programs. Lack of investment in R&D to create highly differentiated products and business models. Little experience in acquiring and integrating companies. Christina Zhu offered the perspective of an MNC, Honeywell International, which has grown a successful business in China despite unexpected roadblocks. She is director of strategy and business development. Historically, the first MNCs into China found success by "cherrypicking" the most lucrative and profitable markets whose customers matched the appetites of those in the U.S., Zhu said. But then the pickings got slimmer. Companies looking to broaden their business poured in lots of investment but were frustrated by Chinese culture differences, complex regulations, fragmented and heterogeneous markets, poor distribution networks, confusing governance and control issues, and increased competition from local firms, according to Zhu. Local competitors know how to compete That local competition, which sprung up "almost overnight," was particularly vexing. While MNCs had to learn the lay of the land and adapt business practices to the Chinese way of doing things, the native companies were able to exploit a dramatically lower cost structure and, most importantly, focus on customer needs. Chinese companies don't have a legacy; these companies start with a clean sheet of paper. Christina Zhu, Honeywell International "Chinese companies don't have a legacy; these companies start with a clean sheet of paper," Zhu said.
An example, she said, is Honeywell's business in turbochargers,
equipment that increases engine performance. In the company's traditional markets, turbochargers have been purchased for use on heavy-duty trucks. But in China, the biggest market for turbochargers is in passenger cars. "We're still trying to figure that one out," Zhu said. She said Honeywell is formulating a strategy to do more M&A deals in China. Acquisitions of Chinese companies have been difficult because of a lack of transparency on deal sources, difficulty in researching due diligence, and the complexity in valuing companies that get sweetheart government deals. Two of the panelists were executives from Chinese companies representing different parts of the economic spectrum: a large state-owned company making the transition to global competitor, and a young start-up digging a foothold in China. State-owned China National Cereals, Oils & Foodstuffs Import & Export, established in 1952, is one of the largest importer/exporters in China. As of 2002, the total import and export value reached $143.5 billion. CEO Mingchen Zhou said the company and country have managed a vast transformation from even ten years ago, when people used government food coupons to purchase necessities and now choose products off the shelf. COFCO would like to do more business and partnerships with U.S. companies, he said. Already COFCO runs a Coca-Cola bottling plant and has a joint venture with Archer Daniels Midland to create edible oil products. He singled out McDonald's and KFC as brands that have made a large impact in China. On the startup side, CEO Xingsheng Zhang provided the history of AsiaInfo Holdings, a provider of telecom infrastructure equipment and services, based in Beijing. The company was actually started in 1993 in Dallas by Edward Tian and James Ding, who then moved the company to China two years later in search of a huge market opportunity. Along the way AsiaInfo transformed from a system integrator to a software development company. The company's top line has grown from $37.3 million in 1997 to $121 million in 2002. (In the bubble year of 2001, the company's revenue was $189 million.) The company is listed on NASDAQ.
China has been able to provide the company with a talented and educated workforce97 percent of its 1,000 employees have college degrees, Zhang said.
2004 Asia Business Conference
Regional Security Issues and the Asian Economy Could Asia Create an Economic Union? The Picture's Improving for Entrepreneurs and VCs in Asia How Corporate Responsibility is Changing in Asia SARS Jumpstarts Healthcare Opportunities in China What It Takes to Succeed in China