Example:- A factory produces 3 machines, A, B and C producing 1000, 2000 and
3000 bolts per day respectively. It is found that A produces 1% defective, B
produces 2 % defective and C produces 3% defectives. (a) If a bolt is chosen at the end of the day and found defective what is the probability that it came from machine B. (b) If a bolt is chosen at the end of the day and found defective what is the probability that it came from machine C. Example- An insurance company insured 2000 scooter drivers, 4000 car drivers and 6000 truck drivers. The probability of an accident involving a scooter driver, a car driver and truck driver is 0.01, 0.03 and 0.15 respectively. One of the insured person met with an accident. What is the probability that (a) he is a scooter driver. (b) he is a car driver. (c) he is a truck driver.
Example - Page No 169, problem No 32, 33 from Anderson, D.R., D.J. Sweeney, & Williams T.A. (2014). Statistics for business and economics, Cengage Learning, eleventh edition