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INTRODUCTION
1 . 0 I N T R O D U C T I O N T O T H E S T U DY
1 .1 F O R E I G N E XC H A N G E
(FOREX)
D e fi n i t i o n o f Fo r e i g n E x c h a n g e :
- Geography
Dictionary
Foreign exchange exposure and risk are important concept in the study
of international finance. It is the sensitivity of the home currency value of
asset, liabilities, or operating incomes to unanticitpated changes in the
exchange rates.
Foreign exchange risk is the variance of the home currency value of items
arising on account of unanticipated changes in the exchange rates.
The derivative instruments like forwards, futures and options are used to
hedge against the foreign exchange risk of the Multinational companies.
Forward exchange market, has since the 1960s, played the role of linking
international interest rates. Today, however, Forward contract have to
share other instruments and markets for arbitrage and for hedging. These
newer derivative instruments include Futures, Options and Swaps.
To know what is foreign exchange and what are the various foreign exchange
services.
To know how the transactions related to foreign exchange volatility carried out.
To have a brief knowledge about various foreign currencies and their exchange
rates compare to other nations currencies.
To analyze income statement and find out the revenues when the
dollars are converted into Indian rupees.
Primary data:
The primary data information is gathered from ICICI Limited executives.
Secondary data:
The secondary data is collected from various financial books, magazines.
LIMITATIONS
The study is confined just to the foreign exchange risk but not the
total risk.
CHAPTER-II
INDUSTRY PROFILE
AND
COMPANY PROFILE
Real (3.4 per cent).The contagion effect of sharp fall in Argentine Peso
against the US dollar in the second half of January 2014 also did not have
any major impact on the Rupee. Even the recent geo political crises in
Ukraine, Iraq and Gaza did not have any significant impact on the Indian
financial markets. This has led to some analysts describing Indian Rupee
as the most agile out of the fragile currencies of EMEs.
9. The fact that weak macroeconomic fundamentals have a tendency to
accentuate the contagion effect of any adverse external development was
amply demonstrated during the May-August 2013 episode of volatility.
Countries with large macroeconomic imbalances, especially large CAD,
such as, Brazil, Turkey, India, Indonesia, etc., experienced much larger
volatility as compared to other EDMEs with current account surplus/better
fundamentals. In a scenario of intense volatility, traditional monetary
policy defence at times proves inadequate as was experienced by other
EDMEs like Turkey and Indonesia. Thus, a mix of measures, including
administrative measures, coupled with effective communication by central
banks helps in containing the exchange rate volatility. I feel that the main
lesson from this episode of volatility for an EMDE central bank is to have
sufficient tools in its toolkit and employ them in a flexible, proactive and
pragmatic manner. In this context, having large forex reserves, which was
earlier considered wasteful on account of quasi fiscal costs, has become a
new virtue. Even the debate surrounding capital account liberalisation has
decisively veered towards having some necessary capital controls in place
to protect the EMDEs from the vagaries of international capital flows where
a deluge is generally followed by sudden stops. The need for the EMDEs to
have prudent capital controls in place has been duly recognized by the
ardent votaries of full capital account liberalization like the IMF. Unfettered
capital account liberalization is now pass and the new mantra is having
certain necessary capital controls in place and uses them proactively
during episodes of heightened volatility.
10. As regards the movement of Rupee during the recent period, it has
remained largely range-bound with strengthening bias on the back of
sustained capital inflows and improving macroeconomic fundamentals. In
a comparative sense in Q2 of 2014-15, the Indian Rupee depreciated 2.72
per cent against the US dollar while the Russian Ruble depreciated about
13 per cent, Turkish Lira by 6.5 per cent, the Brazilian Real by 10 per cent,
and the South African Rand by 5.5 per cent. There has been continuing FII
inflows to the domestic equity markets as well as resumption of FII inflows
to debt market, especially since December 2013 (except in April 2014
when there was a net outflow). During 2014 so far, foreign portfolio inflows
to debt and equity markets have been around US$ 34 billion with the
larger part going to the debt segments. The substantial reduction in gold
imports and increase in exports led to significant reduction in current
account deficit to 1.7 per cent of GDP in Q1 2014-15 from 4.8 per cent in
Q1 2013-14. In the recent period, inflation has decelerated (7.8 per cent
CPI inflation in August 2014), growth has picked up (5.7 per cent in Q1 of
2014-15 as compared to 4.7 per cent in Q1 of previous year), and fiscal
deficit has reduced (4.5 per cent of GDP during 2013-14). Indias forex
reserves have increased by around US$ 40.3 billion in the past one year to
around US$ 316 billion as on September 12, 2014.While the countrys
external debt may have risen to 1.8 per cent for the quarter ended June
2014, the share of short-term debt in the total debt has declined primarily
due to restrictions on FII investments in the short end of the G-sec. It is
equally important to note that short term debt as a percentage of reserves
have also declined largely due to increase in the size of foreign exchange
reserves. The sharp increase in forex reserves and improvement in
macroeconomic fundamentals, including the short-term debt profile, have
significantly enhanced the resilience of the economy to external shocks.
Political stability in terms of formation of a new Government with clear
mandate, Governments continued commitment to fiscal consolidation and
sustained decline in oil prices have boosted the confidence in the
countrys macro-economy. The recent upgrade in countrys outlook from
negative to stable by S & P in a sense reflects and reinforces this new
confidence. Thus, it can be said that India is in a much better position to
withstand large capital outflows triggered by external developments. We,
however, have to be alive to a few downside risks.
Downside Risks
11. Downside risks in the form of still elevated retail inflation, continued
weak economic performance, uncertainty surrounding global economic
recovery, potential slowdown of capital flows to EMEs once interest rate
10
11
forex market which are presently engaging the attention of the policy
makers.
The primary purpose of the foreign exchange is to assist international
trade and investment, by allowing businesses to convert one currency to
another currency. For example, it permits a US business to import British
goods and pay Pound Sterling, even though the business's income is in US
dollars. It also supports speculation, and facilitates the carry trade, in
which investors borrow low-yielding currencies and lend (invest in) highyielding currencies, and which (it has been claimed) may lead to loss of
competitiveness in some countries.
In a typical foreign exchange transaction, a party purchases a quantity of
one currency by paying a quantity of another currency. The modern
foreign exchange market began forming during the 1970s when countries
gradually switched to floating exchange rates from the previous exchange
rate regime, which remained fixed as per the Bretton Woods system.
center
for
foreign
exchange.
In
second
and
third
places
respectively, trading in New York City accounted for 17.9%, and Tokyo
accounted for 6.2%. In addition to "traditional" turnover, $2.1 trillion was
traded in derivatives.
Exchange-traded FX futures contracts were introduced in 1972 at the
Chicago Mercantile Exchange and are actively traded relative to most
other futures contracts.
12
Rank
Name
Market share
Deutsche Bank
17.06%
UBS AG
12.30%
Barclays Capital
11.08%
Citi
8.69%
6.50%
JPMorgan
6.35%
HSBC
4.55%
Credit Suisse
4.44%
Goldman Sachs
3.28%
10
Morgan Stanley
2.91%
13
14
funds, and even some of the retail FX-metal market makers. According to
Galati and Melvin, Pension funds, insurance companies, mutual funds,
and other institutional investors have played an increasingly important
role in financial markets in general, and in FX markets in particular, since
the early 2000s. (2004) In addition, he notes, Hedge funds have grown
markedly over the 20012004 period in terms of both number and overall
size Central banks also participate in the foreign exchange market to
align currencies to their economic needs.
Banks
The interbank market caters for both the majority of commercial turnover
and large amounts of speculative trading every day. A large bank may
trade billions of dollars daily. Some of this trading is undertaken on behalf
of customers, but much is conducted by proprietary desks, trading for the
bank's own account. Until recently, foreign exchange brokers did large
amounts
of
business,
facilitating
interbank
trading
and
matching
Commercial companies
An important part of this market comes from the financial activities of
companies seeking foreign exchange to pay for goods or services.
Commercial companies often trade fairly small amounts compared to
those of banks or speculators, and their trades often have little short term
impact on market rates. Nevertheless, trade flows are an important factor
in
the
long-term
direction
of
currency's
exchange
rate.
Some
Central banks
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Forex Fixing
Forex fixing is the daily monetary exchange rate fixed by the national bank
of each country. The idea is that central banks use the fixing time and
exchange rate to evaluate behavior of their currency. Fixing exchange
rates reflects the real value of equilibrium in the forex market. Banks,
dealers and online foreign exchange traders use fixing rates as a trend
indicator.
The mere expectation or rumor of central bank intervention might be
enough to stabilize a currency, but aggressive intervention might be used
several times each year in countries with a dirty float currency regime.
Central banks do not always achieve their objectives. The combined
resources of the market can easily overwhelm any central bank. Several
scenarios of this nature were seen in the 199293 ERM collapse, and in
more recent times in Southeast Asia.
16
17
18
EURUSD: 27%
USDJPY: 13%
19
from
it.
It
is
understood
from
above
models
that
many
macroeconomic factors affect the exchange rates and in the end currency
prices are a result of dual forces of demand and supply. The world's
currency markets can be viewed as a huge melting pot: in a large and
ever-changing mix of current events, supply and demand factors are
constantly shifting, and the price of one currency in relation to another
shifts accordingly. No other market encompasses (and distills) as much of
what is going on in the world at any given time as foreign exchange.
20
Supply and demand for any given currency, and thus its value, are not
influenced by any single element, but rather by several. These elements
generally fall into three categories: economic factors, political conditions
and market psychology.
Economic factors
These include: (a)economic policy, disseminated by government agencies
and central banks, (b)economic conditions, generally revealed through
economic reports, and other economic indicators.
Economic
policy
comprises
government
fiscal
policy
21
Political conditions
Internal, regional, and international political conditions and events can
have a profound effect on currency markets.
All exchange rates are susceptible to political instability and anticipations
about the new ruling party. Political upheaval and instability can have a
negative impact on a nation's economy. For example, destabilization of
coalition governments in Pakistan and Thailand can negatively affect the
value of their currencies. Similarly, in a country experiencing financial
difficulties, the rise of a political faction that is perceived to be fiscally
responsible can have the opposite effect. Also, events in one country in a
region may spur positive/negative interest in a neighboring country and, in
the process, affect its currency.
Market psychology
Market psychology and trader perceptions influence the foreign exchange
market in a variety of ways:
22
"Buy the rumor, sell the fact": This market truism can apply to many
currency situations. It is the tendency for the price of a currency to
reflect the impact of a particular action before it occurs and, when
the anticipated event comes to pass, react in exactly the opposite
direction. This may also be referred to as a market being "oversold"
or "overbought". To buy the rumor or sell the fact can also be an
example of the cognitive bias known as anchoring, when investors
focus too much on the relevance of outside events to currency
prices.
Technical
trading
considerations:
As
in
other
markets,
the
Spot
A spot transaction is a two-day delivery transaction (except in the case of
trades between the US Dollar, Canadian Dollar, Turkish Lira, EURO and
Russian Ruble, which settle the next business day), as opposed to the
futures contracts, which are usually three months. This trade represents a
direct exchange between two currencies, has the shortest time frame,
involves cash rather than a contract; and interest is not included in the
agreed-upon transaction.
Forward
One way to deal with the foreign exchange risk is to engage in a forward
transaction. In this transaction, money does not actually change hands
until some agreed upon future date. A buyer and seller agree on an
exchange rate for any date in the future, and the transaction occurs on
that date, regardless of what the market rates are then. The duration of
the trade can be one day, a few days, months or years. Usually the date is
decided by both parties. Then the forward contract is negotiated and
agreed upon by both parties.
Swap
The most common type of forward transaction is the currency swap. In a
swap, two parties exchange currencies for a certain length of time and
agree to reverse the transaction at a later date. These are not
standardized contracts and are not traded through an exchange.
Future
Foreign currency futures are exchange traded forward transactions with
standard contract sizes and maturity dates for example, $1000 for next
November at an agreed rate. Futures are standardized and are usually
24
Option
A foreign exchange option (commonly shortened to just FX option) is a
derivative where the owner has the right but not the obligation to
exchange money denominated in one currency into another currency at a
pre-agreed exchange rate on a specified date. The FX options market is
the deepest, largest and most liquid market for options of any kind in the
world..
ICICI Bank is India's largest private sector bank with total assets of Rs.
5,946.42 billion (US$ 99 billion) at March 31, 2014 and profit after tax Rs.
98.10 billion (US$ 1,637 million) for the year ended March 31, 2014.ICICI
Bank currently has a network of 3,839 Branches and 11,943 ATM's across
India.
History
1955
The Industrial Credit and Investment Corporation of India Limited (ICICI)
incorporated at the initiative of the World Bank, the Government of India
and representatives of Indian industry, with the objective of creating a
development financial institution for providing medium-term and longterm project financing to Indian businesses. Mr.A.Ramaswami Mudaliar
elected
as
the
first
Chairman
of
ICICI
Limited.
25
institution,
and
was
its
wholly-owned
subsidiary.
ICICI's
26
fee-based services, and access to the vast talent pool of ICICI and its
subsidiaries.
In October 2001, the Boards of Directors of ICICI and ICICI Bank approved
the merger of ICICI and two of its wholly-owned retail finance subsidiaries,
ICICI Personal Financial Services Limited and ICICI Capital Services Limited,
with ICICI Bank. The merger was approved by shareholders of ICICI and
ICICI Bank in January 2002, by the High Court of Gujarat at Ahmedabad in
March 2002, and by the High Court of Judicature at Mumbai and the
Reserve Bank of India in April 2002. Consequent to the merger, the ICICI
group's financing and banking operations, both wholesale and retail, have
been integrated in a single entity.
ICICI Securities
om
http://www.icicisecurities.com
ICICI Lombard General Insurance
Company
Company
http://www.icicilombard.com
http://www.iciciprulife.com/public/
default.htm
27
ICICI Foundation
http://www.icicifoundation.org
ICICI Venture
http://www.iciciventure.com
ICICI Direct
http://www.icicidirect.com
Board of Directors
Mr. K. V. Kamath, Chairman
..............................................
..............................................
Mr. V. Sridar
..............................................
..............................................
..............................................
...........................................
..............................................
Mr. N. S. Kannan,
Executive Director
..............................................
...........................................
Mr. V. K. Sharma
Mr. K. Ramkumar,
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Awards - 2014
ICICI Bank
ICICI Bank has been recognised as one of the 'Top Companies for
Leaders' in India in a study conducted by Aon Hewitt.
ICICI Bank won the award for the Best Bank - Global Business
Development (Private Sector) in the Dun & Bradstreet - Polaris Financial
Technology Banking Awards 2014.
ICICI Bank has been honoured as The Best Service Provider - Risk
Management, India at The Asset Triple A Transaction Banking, Treasury,
Trade and Risk Management Awards 2014.
Mr Rakesh Jha has been ranked as the Best CFO in India at the 14th
Annual Finance Asia's Best Managed Companies Poll.
ICICI Bank has won The Corporate Treasurer Awards 2013 in the
categories of 'Best Cash Management Bank in India' & 'Best Trade Finance
Bank in India'.
30
ICICI Bank has been awarded the 'Best Retail Bank in India', 'Best
ICICI Bank, Indias largest private sector bank, today announced the
launch of Indias only credit card with a unique transparent design and a
distinctive look. The ICICI Bank Coral American Express Credit Card is the
latest addition to the Banks exclusive Gemstone Collection of credit
cards.
Ms. Siew Choo Ng, Senior Vice President, Head of Global Network
Partnerships, Asia, American Express International, Inc. said, "We
are delighted to have further strengthened our long and cherished
31
relationship with ICICI Bank with the launch of the new ICICI Bank Coral
American Express Credit Card. Designed to appeal to value seeking
customers, the Card reinforces our consistent endeavor to provide
differentiated products and services to our customers. The Card offers a
wide array of exclusive privileges and features including additional
PAYBACK points on online spend and an innovative transparent design. At
American Express, we always strive to work closely with our partners to
develop the most relevant and compelling products for our valued card
members."
Mr.
Sanjay
Rishi,
President,
South
Asia,
American
Express,
The ICICI Bank Coral American Express Credit Card offers a wide range
of attractive benefits to its card members:
Complimentary movie tickets with 'buy one get one free' offer
on www.bookmyshow.com
32
in
their
respective
sectors.
ICICI Bank is India's second-largest bank with total assets of Rs. 4,736.47
billion (US$ 93 billion) at March 31, 2012 and profit after tax Rs. 64.65
billion (US$ 1,271 million) for the year ended March 31, 2012. The Bank
has a network of 2,791 branches and 10,021 ATMs in India, and has a
presence
in
19
countries,
including
India.
33
34
discretionary
PDs
leadership
position
portfolio
and
research
management.
expertise
have
been
ICICI Prudential Asset Management is the third largest mutual fund with
average asset under management of Rs. 688.16 billion and a market share
( mutual fund ) of 10.34% as on March 31, 2012. The Company manages a
comprehensive range of mutual fund schemes and portfolio management
services to meet the varying investment needs of its investors through117
branches and 196 CAMS official point of transaction acceptance spread
across
the
country.
ICICI Venture is one of the largest and most successful alternative asset
managers in India with funds under management of over US$ 2 billion. It
has been a pioneer in the Indian alternative asset industry since its
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36
to
the
community
in
multiple
ways.
support
inclusive
growth
through
effective
interventions.
areas
like
financial
education,
credit
counselling
and
debt
management.
3) Technology Finance Group: TFG's programmes are designed to
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37
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Deposits
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Loans
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Wealth Management
38
Products
39
Travel Card
Travelers Cheques
Western Union
40
* this is only a brief extract and for details kindly refer to above Master Circular and Amendments,
if any, thereto in RBI website www.rbi.org.in
Authorized Dealer Category-II Money Changers can undertake
Declaration in form CDF necessary if the Amount > USD 10,000 (FC notes +
TCs) and / or FC notes exceed USD 5000;
Taking out Foreign Exchange other than that obtained from AD/AMC prohibited;
Non- residents can take out Foreign Exchange up to the amount originally
brought in;
41
FOREIGN EXCHANGE MANAGEMENT ACT
42