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CURRENCY DERIVATIVES
A REPORT ON CURRENCY DERIVATIVES
Bachelor of Commerce
Financial Markets
Semester V
In Partial fulfillement of the
Requirements
For the Award of Degree of Bachelors of CommerceFinancial Markets
Submitted by
Manish Shetty
Roll no.35
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CURRENCY DERIVATIVES
CERTIFICATE
This is to certify that Shri Manish Shetty
of
_____________________
Project Guide
_____________________
Internal Examiner
Principal
_______________________
External Examiner
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CURRENCY DERIVATIVES
DECLARATION
I,
Manish
Shetty
the
student
of
B.Com.-
- 2016)
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CURRENCY DERIVATIVES
Acknowledgement
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CURRENCY DERIVATIVES
INDEX
Derivatives.9
9. Analysis35-51
10. Findings..52-53
11. Suggestions54
12. Conclusions55
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13. Bibliography56
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INTRODUCTION TO THE TOPIC
financial derivativesThese
instruments have been developed in the financial markets, which are also
popularly known as financial derivatives.
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CURRENCY DERIVATIVES
**DEFINITION OF FINANCIALDERIVATIVES**
A word formed by derivation.
derivation.
Something derived; it means that some things have to be derived or arisen
out of the underlying variables. A financial derivative is an indeed derived
from the financial market.
Derivatives are financial contracts whose value/price is independent on the
behavior of the price of one or more basic underlying assets. These
contracts are legally binding agreements, made on the trading screen of
stock exchanges, to buy or sell an asset in future. These assets can be a
share, index, interest rate, bond, rupee dollar exchange rate, sugar, crude
oil, soybeans, cotton, coffee and what you have.
A very simple example of derivatives is curd, which is derivative of milk.
The price of curd depends upon the price of milk which in turn depends
upon the demand and supply of milk.
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Financial derivatives are those assets whose values are determined by the
value of some other assets, called as the underlying.
classify the financial derivatives, so in the present context, the basic financial
derivatives which are popularly in the market have been described. In the
simple form, the derivatives can be classified into different categories which
are shown below :
DERIVATIVES
Commodities
Basics
Financials
Complex
1. Forwards
2. Futures
1. Swaps
2.Exotics (Non STD)
3. Options
4. Warrants and Convertibles
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Organized Exchanges
Over The
Counter
Commodity Futures
Forward
Contracts
Financial Futures
Swaps
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that enable the parties to select the trading units and delivery dates to suit
their requirements.
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Currency futures were first created at the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME)
in 1972.The contracts were created under the guidance and leadership of Leo
Melamed, CME Chairman Emeritus. The FX contract capitalized on the U.S.
abandonment of the Bretton Woods agreement, which had fixed world
exchange rates to a gold standard after World War II. The abandonment of the
Bretton Woods agreement resulted in currency values being allowed to float,
increasing the risk of doing business. By creating another type of market in
which futures could be traded, CME currency futures extended the reach of
risk management beyond commodities, which were the main derivative
contracts traded at CME until then. The concept of currency futures at CME
was
revolutionary, and gained credibility through endorsement of Nobel-prizewinning economist Milton Friedman.
Today, CME offers 41 individual FX futures and 31 options contracts on 19
currencies, all of which trade electronically on the exchanges CME Globex
platform. It is the largest regulated marketplace for FX trading. Traders of CME
FX futures are a diverse group that includes multinational corporations, hedge
funds, commercial banks, investment banks, financial managers, commodity
trading advisors (CTAs), proprietary trading firms; currency overlay managers
and individual investors. They trade in order to transact business, hedge
against unfavorable changes in currency rates, or to speculate on rate
fluctuations.
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The most commonly used instrument among the currency derivatives are
currency forward contracts. These are large notional value selling or buying
contracts obtained by exporters, importers, investors and speculators from
banks with denomination normally exceeding 2 million USD. The contracts
guarantee the future conversion rate between two currencies and can be
obtained for any customized amount and any date in the future. They normally
do not require a security deposit since their purchasers are mostly large
business firms and investment institutions, although the banks may require
compensating deposit balances or lines of credit. Their transaction costs are
set by spread between bank's buy and sell prices.
Exporters invoicing receivables in foreign currency are the most frequent users
of these contracts. They are willing to protect themselves from the currency
depreciation by locking in the future currency conversion rate at a high level. A
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Thus, the
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With the multiple growths of international trade and finance all over the world,
trading in foreign currencies has grown tremendously over the past several
decades. Since the exchange rates are continuously changing, so the firms are
exposed to the risk of exchange rate movements.
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Purchase price:
Price increases by one
Rs .42.2500
+Rs.
tick: price:
New
00.0025
Rs .42.2525
Purchase price:
Price decreases by one
Rs .42.2500
Rs.
New
tick: price:
Rs.42.
2475
00.0025
The value of one tick on each contract is Rupees 2.50. So if a trader buys 5
contracts and the price moves up by 4 tick, she makes Rupees 50.
Step 1:
42.2600 42.2500
Step 2:
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Step 3:
CURRENCY DERIVATIVES
20 points * Rupees 2.5 per tick = Rupees 50
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RESEARCH METHODOLOGY
RESEARCH METHODOLOGY
TYPE OF RESEARCH
In this project Descriptive research methodologies were used.
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The research methodology adopted for carrying out the study was at the
first stage theoretical study is attempted and at the second stage observed
online trading on NSE/BSE.
The limitations of the study were:The analysis was purely based on the secondary data. So, any error in the
secondary data might also affect the study undertaken.
The currency future is new concept and topic related book was not
available in library and market.
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During the early 1990s, India embarked on a series of structural reforms in the
foreign exchange market. The exchange rate regime, that was earlier pegged,
was partially floated in March 1992 and fully floated in March 1993. The
unification of the exchange rate was instrumental in developing a marketdetermined exchange rate of the rupee and was an important step in the
progress towards total current account convertibility, which was achieved in
August 1994.
Although liberalization helped the Indian Forex market in various ways, it led to
extensive fluctuations of exchange rate. This issue has attracted a great deal of
concern from policy-makers and investors. While some flexibility in foreign
exchange markets and exchange rate determination is desirable, excessive
volatility can have an adverse impact on price discovery, export performance,
sustainability of current account balance, and balance sheets. In the context of
upgrading Indian foreign exchange market to international standards, a welldeveloped foreign exchange derivative market (both OTC as well as Exchangetraded) is imperative.
With a view to enable entities to manage volatility in the currency market, RBI
on April 20, 2007 issued comprehensive guidelines on the usage of foreign
currency forwards, swaps and options in the OTC market. At the same time, RBI
also set up an Internal Working Group to explore the advantages of introducing
currency futures. The Report of the Internal Working Group of RBI submitted in
April 2008, recommended the introduction of Exchange Traded Currency Futures.
Subsequently, RBI and SEBI jointly constituted a Standing Technical Committee
to analyze the Currency Forward and Future market around the world and lay
down the guidelines to introduce Exchange Traded Currency Futures in the Indian
market. The Committee submitted its report on May 29, 2008. Further RBI and
SEBI also issued circulars in this regard on August 06, 2008.
Currently, India is a USD 34 billion OTC market, where all the major currencies
like USD, EURO, YEN, Pound, Swiss Franc etc. are traded. With the help of
electronic trading and efficient risk management systems, Exchange Traded
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FORWARD :
The basic objective of a forward market in any underlying asset is to fix a
price for a contract to be carried through on the future agreed date and is
intended to free both the purchaser and the seller from any risk of loss
which might incur due to fluctuations in the price of underlying asset.
A forward contract is customized contract between two entities, where
settlement takes place on a specific date in the future at todays preagreed price.
entered into.
rate.
FUTURE :
A currency futures contract provides a simultaneous right and obligation to
buy and sell a particular currency at a specified future date, a specified
price and a standard quantity.
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SWAP :
Swap is private agreements between two parties to exchange cash flows in
the future according to a prearranged formula. They can be regarded as
portfolio of forward contracts. The currency swap entails swapping both
principal and interest between the parties, with the cash flows in one
direction being in a different currency than those in the opposite direction.
There are a various types of currency swaps like as fixed-to-fixed currency
swap, floating to floating swap, fixed to floating currency swap.
In a swap normally three basic steps are involve___
(1) Initial exchange of principal amount
(2) Ongoing exchange of interest
(3) Re - exchange of principal amount on maturity.
OPTIONS :
Currency option is a financial instrument that give the option holder a right
and not the obligation, to buy or sell a given amount of foreign exchange
at a fixed price per unit for a specified time period ( until the expiration
date ). In other words, a foreign currency option is a contract for future
delivery of a specified currency in exchange for another in which buyer of
the option has to right to buy (call) or sell (put) a particular currency at an
agreed price for or within specified period. The seller of the option gets the
premium from the buyer of the option for the obligation undertaken in the
contract. Options generally have lives of up to one year, the majority of
options traded on options exchanges having a maximum maturity of nine
months.
traded OTC.
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FOREIGN EXCHANGE SPOT (CASH) MARKET
The foreign exchange spot market trades in different currencies for both spot
and forward delivery. Generally they do not have specific location, and mostly
take place primarily by means of telecommunications both within and between
countries.
It consists of a network of foreign dealers which are oftenly banks, financial
institutions, large concerns, etc.
different currencies.
In the spot exchange market, the business is transacted throughout the world
on a continual basis.
The spot foreign exchange market is similar to the OTC market for securities.
There is no centralized meeting place and no fixed opening and closing time.
Since most of the business in this market is done by banks, hence, transaction
usually do not involve a physical transfer of currency, rather simply book
keeping transfer entry among banks.
Exchange rates are generally determined by demand and supply force in
this market. The purchase and sale of currencies stem partly from the need
to finance trade in goods and services. Another important source of demand
and supply arises from the participation of the central banks which would
emanate from a desire to influence the direction, extent or speed of exchange
rate movements.
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Direct
Indirect
$1 = Rs. 45.7250
There are two ways of quoting exchange rates: the direct and indirect.
Most countries use the direct method. In global foreign exchange market, two
rates are quoted by the dealer: one rate for buying (bid rate), and another
for selling (ask or offered rate) for a currency. This is a unique feature of
this market.
rupees, one can say that rupees against dollar. In order to separate buying
and selling rate, a small dash or oblique line is drawn after the dash.
For example,
If
US
means that the forex dealer is ready to purchase the dollar at Rs 46.3500 and
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Dollar-Rupee, tells you that the Dollar is being quoted in terms of the Rupee.
The Dollar is the base currency and the Rupee is the terms currency.
Exchange rates are constantly changing, which means that the value of one
currency in terms of the other is constantly in flux.
For example,
If Dollar Rupee moved from 43.00 to 43.25. The Dollar has
appreciated and the Rupee has depreciated. And if it moved from 43.0000 to
42.7525 the Dollar has depreciated and Rupee has appreciated.
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Location of settlement
The rationale for introducing currency futures in the Indian context has been
outlined in the Report of the Internal Working Group on Currency Futures
(Reserve Bank of India, April 2008) as follows;
The rationale for establishing the currency futures market is manifold. Both
residents and non-residents purchase domestic currency assets. If the
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exchange rate remains unchanged from the time of purchase of the asset to its
sale, no gains and losses are made out of currency exposures. But if domestic
currency depreciates (appreciates) against the foreign currency, the exposure
would result in gain (loss) for residents purchasing foreign assets and loss
(gain) for non residents purchasing domestic assets. In this backdrop,
unpredicted movements in exchange rates expose investors to currency risks.
Currency futures enable them to hedge these risks. Nominal exchange rates
are often random walks with or without drift, while real exchange rates over
long run are mean reverting. As such, it is possible that over a long run, the
incentive to hedge currency risk may not be large. However, financial planning
horizon is much smaller than the long-run, which is typically inter-
FUTURE TERMINOLOGY
SPOT PRICE :
The price at which an asset trades in the spot market. The transaction in
which securities and foreign exchange get traded for immediate delivery.
Since the exchange of securities and cash is virtually immediate, the term,
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cash market, has also been used to refer to spot dealing. In the case of
USDINR, spot value is T + 2.
FUTURE PRICE :
The price at which the future contract is traded in the future market .
CONTRACT CYCLE :
The period over which a contract trades. The currency future contracts in
Indian market have one month, two month, three month up to twelve
month expiry cycles. In NSE/BSE will have 12 contracts outstanding at any
given point in time.
EXPIRY DATE :
It is the date specified in the futures contract. This is the last day on which
the contract will be traded, at the end of which it will cease to exist. The
last trading day will be two business days prior to the value date / final
settlement date.
CONTRACT SIZE :
The amount of asset that has to be delivered under one contract. Also
called as lot size. In case of
BASIS :
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This reflects that futures In the context of financial futures, basis can be
defined as the futures price minus the spot price. There will be a different
basis for each delivery month for each contract. In a normal market, basis
will be positive. prices normally exceed spot prices.
COST OF CARRY :
The relationship between futures prices and spot prices can be summarized
in terms of what is known as the cost of carry. This measures the storage
cost plus the interest that is paid to finance or carry the asset till delivery
less the income earned on the asset. For equity derivatives carry cost is
the rate of interest.
INITIAL MARGIN :
When the position is opened, the member has to deposit the margin with
the clearing house as per the rate fixed by the exchange which may vary
asset to asset. Or in another words, the amount that must be deposited in
the margin account at the time a future contract is first entered into is
known as initial margin.
MARKING TO MARKET :
At the end of trading session, all the outstanding contracts are reprised at
the settlement price of that session. It means that all the futures contracts
are daily settled, and profit and loss is determined on each transaction.
This procedure, called marking to market, requires that funds charge every
day. The funds are added or subtracted from a mandatory margin (initial
margin) that traders are required to maintain the balance in the account.
Due to this adjustment, futures contract is also called as daily reconnected
forwards.
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MAINTENANCE MARGIN :
Members account are debited or credited on a daily basis.
In turn
Let us assume the RBI reference rate on August 27, 2008 is Rs.44.0000.
The entity shall sell on August 27, 2008, USD 1000 in the spot market
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and get Rs. 44,000. The futures contract will settle at Rs.44.0000 (final
settlement price = RBI reference rate).
The return from the futures transaction would be Rs. 250, i.e. (Rs. 44,250
Rs. 44,000). As may be observed, the effective rate for the remittance
received by the entity A is Rs.44. 2500 (Rs.44,000 + Rs.250)/1000, while
spot rate on that date was Rs.44.0000. The entity was able to hedge its
exposure .
A speculator can take exactly the same position on the exchange rate by
using futures contracts. Let us see how this works. If the INR- USD is
Rs.42 and the three month futures trade at Rs.42.40. The minimum
contract size is USD 1000. Therefore the speculator may buy 10 contracts.
The exposure shall be the same as above USD 10000. Presumably, the
margin may be around Rs.21, 000. Three months later if the Rupee
depreciates to Rs. 42.50 against USD, (on the day of expiration of the
contract), the futures price shall converge to the spot price (Rs. 42.50) and he
makes a profit of Rs.1000 on an investment of Rs.21, 000. This works out to
an annual return of 19 percent. Because of the leverage they provide,
futures form an attractive option for speculators.
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Arbitrage:
Arbitrage is the strategy of taking advantage of difference in price of the
same or similar product between two or more markets. That is, arbitrage is
striking a combination of matching deals that capitalize upon the imbalance,
the profit being the difference between the market prices. If the same or
similar product is traded in say two different markets, any entity which has
access to both the markets will be able to identify price differentials, if any.
If in one of the markets the product is trading at higher price, then the
entity shall buy the product in the cheaper market and sell in the costlier
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market and thus benefit from the price differential without any additional
risk.
One of the methods of arbitrage with regard to USD-INR could be a trading
strategy between forwards and futures market. As we discussed earlier, the
futures price and forward prices are arrived at using the principle of cost of
carry. Such of those entities who can trade both forwards and futures shall
be able to identify any mis-pricing between forwards and futures. If one of
them is priced higher, the same shall be sold while simultaneously buying
the other which is priced lower. If the tenor of both the contracts is same,
since both forwards and futures shall be settled at the same RBI reference
rate, the transaction shall result in a risk less profit.
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TRADER
( BUYER )
TRADER
( SELLER )
Sales order
Purchase order
MEMBER
( BROKER )
MEMBER
( BROKER )
Informs
CLEARING
HOUSE
It has been observed that in most futures markets, actual physical delivery of the
underlying assets is very rare and it hardly ranges from 1 percent to 5 percent.
Most often buyers and sellers offset their original position prior to delivery date
by taking an opposite positions. This is because most of futures contracts in
different products are predominantly speculative instruments. For example, X
purchases American Dollar futures and Y sells it. It leads to two contracts, first, X
party and clearing house and second Y party and clearing house. Assume next
day X sells same contract to Z, then X is out of the picture and the clearing
house is seller to Z and buyer from Y, and hence, this process is goes on.
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suggest
surveillance
mechanism
and
dissemination
of
market
information.
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FORWARD
Structured as per
FUTURES
Standardized
requirement of the
parties
Tailored on individual
Standardized
date
Method of
needs
Established by the bank
transaction
or broker through
Participants
electronic media
Banks, brokers, forex
exchange.
Banks, brokers, multinational
dealers, multinational
companies, institutional
investors, arbitrageurs,
arbitrageurs, etc.
traders, etc.
None as such, but
Delivery
Margins
compensating bank
balanced may be
Maturity
required
Tailored to needs: from
Standardized
Settlement
No separate clearing
Market
house
Over the telephone
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place
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worldwide and computer
networks
Accessibility Limited to large
Delivery
Secured
worldwide communications
Open to any one who is in need of
customers banks,
institutions, etc.
More than 90 percent
to speculate
Actual delivery has very less even
settled by actual
delivery
Risk is high being less
secured
deposit.
ANALYSIS
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For currencies which are fully convertible, the rate of exchange for any date
other than spot is a function of spot and the relative interest rates in each
currency. The assumption is that, any funds held will be invested in a time
deposit of that currency. Hence, the forward rate is the rate which neutralizes
the effect of differences in the interest rates in both the currencies. The
forward rate is a function of the spot rate and the interest rate differential
between the two currencies, adjusted for time. In the case of fully convertible
currencies, having no restrictions on borrowing or lending of either currency
the forward rate can be calculated as follows;
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equation the theoretical future price on January 10, 2002, expiring on June 9,
2002 is: the answer will be Rs.46.7908 per dollar. Then, this theoretical price
is compared with the quoted futures price on January 10, 2002 and the
relationship is observed.
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Underlying
Initially, currency futures contracts on US Dollar Indian Rupee (US$INR) would be permitted.
Trading Hours
The trading on currency futures would be available from 9 a.m. to 5 p.m.
Quotation
The currency futures contract would be quoted in rupee terms. However,
the outstanding positions would be in dollar terms .
Available contracts
All monthly maturities from 1 to 12 months would be made available.
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Settlement mechanism
The currency futures contract shall be settled in cash in Indian Rupee.
Settlement price
The settlement price would be the Reserve Bank Reference Rate on the
date of expiry. The methodology of computation and dissemination of the
Reference Rate may be publicly disclosed by RBI.
Settlements,
including
those
for
known
holidays
and
Trading Hours
and
09:00 a.m. to 05:00 p.m.
(Monday to Friday)
Contract Size
USD 1000
Tick Size
Trading Period
months
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Contract Months
Final
Settlement date/
Value date
Last Trading Day
to
Two working days prior to Final
Settlement
Settlement
Final Settlement Price
Cash settled
The referencerate fixed by RBI two
working days prior to the final
settlement
date will be used for final settlement
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currency, USD. When the value of dollar moves up, i.e. when Rupee
depreciates, the long futures position starts making profits, and when the
dollar depreciates, i.e. when rupee appreciates, it start making losses.
Figure 4.1 shows the payoff diagram for the buyer of a futures contract.
P
R
O
F
I
T
43.19
0
USD
L
O
S
S
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The payoff for a person who sells a futures contract is similar to the
payoff for a person who shorts an asset. He has a potentially unlimited
upside as well as a potentially unlimited downside. Take the case of a
speculator who sells a two month currency futures contract when the USD
stands at say Rs.43.19. The underlying asset in this case is the currency,
USD. When the value of dollar moves down, i.e. when rupee appreciates,
the short futures position starts 25 making profits, and when the dollar
appreciates, i.e. when rupee depreciates, it starts making losses. The
Figure below shows the payoff diagram for the seller of a futures contract.
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P
R
O
F
I
T
43.19
0
USD
D
L
O
S
S
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Price Watch
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Order
Book
Contr Best
act
Buy
Qty
USDI
464
NR
2611
08
USDI
189
NR
2912
08
USDI
1
NR
2801
09
USDI
100
NR
2502
09
USDI
100
NR
2703
09
USDI
1
NR
2804
09
USDI
NR
2705
09
USDI
25
NR
2606
09
CURRENCY DERIVATIVES
Best
Best
Best
LTP
Buy
Sell
Sell
Price
Price
Qty
49.855 49.857
712 49.85
0
5
50
Volu
me
49.692 49.700
5
0
612 49.73
00
1764 11183
53
0
49.885 49.925
0
0
2 49.94
50
5598 16809
50.100 50.227
0
5
1 50.19
25
3771
6367
49.922 50.500
5
0
5 49.91
25
311
892
50.000 51.000
0
0
5 50.50
00
278
- 51.000
0
5 47.10
00
506
- 50.00
00
116
49.000
0
Open
Inter
est
5850 43785
6
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USDI
1 48.087
NR
5
2907
09
USDI
2 48.162 50.500
NR
5
0
2708
09
USDI
1 48.237
NR
5
2809
09
USDI
1 48.310 53.190
NR
0
0
2810
09
USDI
1 48.382
NR
5
2611
09
Volume As On 26-NOV-2008
17:00:00 Hours IST
No. of Contracts
244645
Archives
As On 26-Nov-2008 12:00:00
Hours IST
RBI
Underlying reference
rate
USDINR
49.8500
- 49.15
00
44
1 50.30
00
2215
- 51.20
00
79
2 50.99
00
- 50.92
75
Solution:
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FINDINGS
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Cost of carry model and Interest rate parity model are useful tools
to find out standard future price and also useful for comparing
standard with actual future price.
Arbitraging.
New concept of Exchange traded currency future trading is
regulated by higher authority and regulatory. The whole function of
Exchange traded currency future is regulated by SEBI/RBI, and they
established rules and regulation so there is very safe trading is
emerged and counter party risk is minimized in currency Future
trading. And also time reduced in Clearing and Settlement process
up to T+1 days basis.
Larger exporter and importer has continued to deal in the OTC
counter, even exchange traded currency future is available in
markets.
There is a limit of USD 100 million on open interest applicable to
trading member who are banks. And the USD 25 million limit for
other trading members so larger exporter and importer might
continue to deal in the OTC market where there is no limit on
hedges.
In India RBI and SEBI has restricted other currency derivatives
except Currency future, at this time if any person wants to use
other instrument of currency derivatives in this case he has to use
OTC.
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SUGGESTIONS
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this
restriction
seem
unreasonable
to
exporters
and
CONCLUSIONS
By far the most significant event in finance during the past decade has
been the extraordinary development and expansion of
financial
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Initially only NSE had the permission but now BSE and MCX has also
started currency future.
Not
only big businessmen and exporter and importers use this but individual
who are interested and having knowledge about forex market they can
also invest in currency future.
Exchange between USD-INR markets in India is very big and these
exchange traded contract will give more awareness in market and attract
the investors.
BIBLIOGRAPHY
Financial Derivatives (theory, concepts and problems) By: S.L. Gupta.
NCFM: Currency future Module.
BCFM: Currency Future Module.
Center for social and economic research) Poland
Recent Development in International Currency Derivative Market by:
Lucjan T. Orlowski)
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Websites:
www.sebi.gov.in
www.rbi.org.in
www.frost.com
www.economywatch.com
www.bseindia.com
www.nseindia.com
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