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Base oils
JASMINE KHOO PROFILE LAST PUBLISHED 5 SEPTEMBER 2014
USES
Base oils are the main component of finished
lubricants and are derived from the heavy
crude oil fraction in vacuum distillation.
They are refined to impart physical and
chemical properties that will make a good lubricant. Most base oils are combined with
small amounts of chemical additives to form
the finished lubricants such as motor oil.
The traditional method of making base oils
involves solvent extraction to remove aromatic compounds and solvent dewaxing to take
out unwanted waxes. More recently hydroprocessing techniques employing hydrogen
and catalysts have been used to make base oils.
Group I base oils, which are mostly produced by solvent processing, are used in less
demanding applications. Group II and III base
oils are produced by hydroprocessing and
used in higher-performing lubricants. Group
IV base oils are synthetic oils, typically based
on polyalphaolefins (PAOs). Group V oils are
used in the formulation of oil additives.
SUPPLY/DEMAND
Base oils supply in the Asia Pacific region
varied greatly among the various groups and
grades during 2015.
Group I supply was mostly short throughout the year, with spot trade for SN150 scarce.
SN500 and brightstock supply and demand
conditions were largely balanced.
Despite unfavourable demand brought
about by pessimistic economic performance
among Asian countries, scheduled mainteASIA BASE OILS
$/tonne, spot FOB Asia
1,400
Group I SN150
Asia Group I brightstock
Asia Group I SN500
1,200
PRICES
Group I spot prices in Asia, which were stableto-firm in H1 2015, began to feel the impact of
falling crude oil prices and poor downstream
market conditions from July. While SN150 remained largely balanced on the absence of
spot trade despite falling upstream prices,
SN500 prices came off in tandem with crude.
Asian brightstock prices, which steadily
rose in early 2015, buoyed by snug spot availability, was hit the most. Prices on a FOB Asia
basis tumbled by around 14.4% as refiners
grappled with both the traditional demand
lull and plummeting crude values.
For Group II base oils, one of the most
pressing concerns in 2015 has been the widening price gap between Group I and Group II
heavy-grade base oils. The rising popularity
of Group II 500N over its Group I counterpart
prompted a shift in demand across Asia. Supply of the grade has also tightened since Q2
2015 following a spate of turnarounds at
Asian facilities. This lent support to higher
prices, despite declines in all other grades.
1,000
800
600
400
Sep
2014
Sep
2015
TECHNOLOGY
Base oil is typically defined as oil with a boiling point in the range 550-1,050F (288566C), consisting of hydrocarbons with 18 to
40 carbon atoms. This oil can be either paraffinic or naphthenic in nature, depending on
the chemical structure of the molecules.
Group I base oils are classified as less than
90% saturates, greater than 0.03% sulphur and
OUTLOOK
The near-term outlook for the rest of 2015 is
clouded amid uncertainty over further volatility
on crude values. This, coupled with seasonally
weak demand for heavier grades, is likely to
limit upward price movements in heavier
grades across Asia, according to market players.
An increase in Group I supply following
the completion of maintenance at some major
Asian facilities is set to boost availability and
weigh on prices in the last quarter of the year.
While discussions for 150N gain momentum towards the end of the year in view of
seasonally strong offtake, a persistent supply
overhang is expected to cap a significant price
increase in the near term. This, in turn, is likely to limit SN150 trade as the two grades can
be used interchangeably in several downstream applications.
The price gap between light and heavy assessed Group II grades could potentially narrow in the near term, market players say, on
the back of shifting demand patterns in key
northeast Asian markets.
Uncertainty is likely to continue clouding
the near-term market in the Middle East, with
factors such as crude oil prices and the difficult
political landscape causing unpredictability.
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