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n

Xi

Yi

Gastos en
publicidad

Ventas
semanales
(unidades)

0
100
250
350
450
500
600
700
2950

120
350
500
550
550
650
800
1100
4620

8
577.5
368.75

X*Y

X2

0
35000
125000
192500
247500
325000
480000
770000
2175000

0
10000
62500
122500
202500
250000
360000
490000
1497500

153.226545
268.283753
440.869565
555.926773
670.983982
728.512586
843.569794
958.627002

=( )/
( _^2()^2 )

1ra.forma
m 1.15057208
R2

0.90945068

b 153.226545

2da.forma
m 1.15057208
b 153.226545
3era.forma
m 1.15057208
1.15057208 153.226545
b 153.226545
4ta.forma
m

1.1506

153.23

e2

-33.2265446
81.7162471
59.1304348
-5.92677346
-120.983982
-78.5125858
-43.5697941
141.372998

1104.00327
6677.54505
3496.40832
35.1266436
14637.1238
6164.22613
1898.32695
19986.3245
53999.0847

)/
2()^2 )


-457.5
-227.5
-77.5
-27.5
-27.5
72.5
222.5
522.5
0

(
) ^2
209306.25
51756.25
6006.25
756.25
756.25
5256.25
49506.25
273006.25
596350

^2=1( ^2 )/
( ()^2 )

Ventas semanales (unidades)


1200
1000
f(x) = 1.1505720824x + 153.2265446224
R = 0.9094506839

800

Ventas semanal
(unidades)

Linear (Ventas s
(unidades))

600
400
200
0
0

100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800

ales (unidades)

46224

Ventas semanales
(unidades)
Linear (Ventas semanales
(unidades))

700 800

CLIMA
TEMPERATURA DEL AIRE PROMEDIO, MNIMA Y MXIMA ANUAL POR
ESTACIN DE MEDICIN, 1988-2013
(Grados centgrados)

Ao

1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013

El Salto

Paita

Lobos de Afuera

Salaverry

(Tumbes)

(Piura)

(Lambayeque)

(La Libertad)

Prom.

Mn.

Mx.

Prom.

Mn.

Mx.

Prom.

Mn.

Mx.

Prom.

Mn.

Mx.

24.6
24.2
24.6
25.0
25.4
25.2
24.6
24.9
23.8
26.8
26.0
24.7
25.0
25.1
26.0
26.3
25.2
25.2
25.2
25.3
25.5
24.2
24.3
25.7

21.8
21.3
21.8
22.4
22.8
23.0
21.4
22.7
21.4
25.2
23.4
21.8
23.5
22.7
23.6
23.9
23.3
22.4
23.2
23.2
24.5
19.0
21.7
24.2

26.9
26.8
26.9
27.5
28.2
27.1
26.7
27.0
26.5
27.5
28.1
26.9
26.5
27.8
28.1
28.3
27.1
28.1
27.2
27.4
26.7
25.6
26.3
27.7

23.2
23.4
22.9
23.2
24.2
24.0
23.6
23.0
22.4
26.3
25.0
23.2
23.1
23.2
23.9
23.1
22.9
22.5
23.2
22.2
23.4
23.3
23.4
21.7
27.1
25.5

19.3
19.7
19.6
20.5
20.4
21.2
20.6
20.3
19.4
24.8
21.7
20.4
20.3
19.6
20.6
20.0
19.3
20.1
21.1
18.6
20.9
20.3
20.3
18.9
22.5
22.7

28.3
27.6
26.3
27.6
28.7
27.4
26.4
26.9
25.6
28.0
28.5
27.2
26.5
27.5
28.0
26.9
26.8
26.1
26.2
26.7
26.9
27.8
26.9
25.4
33.5
29.8

18.8
19.5
19.4
20.3
21.2
20.5
19.4
19.6
18.4
23.0
21.9
19.0
19.5
19.3
20.3
19.4
19.4
19.3
20.0
18.8
20.3
20.0
19.5
19.6
20.6
18.9

16.0
16.8
16.5
18.1
17.6
18.0
16.9
17.1
16.0
20.3
17.6
16.6
17.2
16.4
17.1
16.7
16.7
16.5
18.2
15.5
17.6
17.4
15.9
16.6
18.2
16.3

22.6
23.7
22.6
23.3
26.4
24.2
22.4
23.6
21.9
25.6
27.8
22.9
22.8
24.1
25.6
23.4
23.1
22.8
23.8
23.7
25.1
22.7
24.0
22.6
23.1
22.5

18.9
19.4
19.7
20.2
21.2
20.5
19.7
19.5
18.5
22.9
21.5
18.8
19.3
18.8
19.8
19.3
19.2
19.4
19.8
18.8
20.3
20.5
19.7
19.3
21.0
19.0

16.4
17.2
17.2
17.8
17.5
17.9
17.4
17.4
16.3
21.2
17.2
16.6
17.5
16.2
17.2
16.8
16.9
16.4
18.0
15.8
18.3
18.0
16.2
16.5
18.5
16.9

22.4
23.8
22.9
23.6
26.0
23.6
22.1
23.5
21.7
25.4
27.3
22.8
22.4
22.6
23.3
23.0
22.9
22.7
23.0
23.7
24.6
23.6
24.3
22.5
23.4
22.4

Ao

Chucuito

Pisco

San Juan

(Callao)

(Ica)

(Ica)

Atico
(Arequipa)

Prom.

Mn.

Mx.

Prom.

Mn.

Mx.

Prom.

Mn.

Mx.

Prom.

Mn.

Mx.

1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004

18.0
18.2
18.4
18.9
20.0
19.3
18.9
18.6
17.9
21.5
20.5
18.4
18.6
18.4
18.9
18.8
18.6

15.0
16.1
15.7
16.5
16.4
16.9
16.4
15.8
15.7
19.9
16.4
15.6
16.7
16.1
16.0
15.8
16.0

21.4
21.9
21.1
21.1
24.8
22.6
21.6
22.4
20.7
23.9
26.3
22.4
21.4
22.3
22.7
22.4
22.1

19.2
19.2
19.2
19.6
20.4
19.6
19.2
19.1
18.7
21.6
20.8
19.0
19.5
20.7
21.0
21.3
20.4

15.6
16.3
16.3
16.8
16.8
17.1
16.3
16.0
16.1
20.1
17.3
17.0
17.4
18.4
19.5
20.0
18.2

23.1
23.1
21.9
22.9
24.6
23.4
22.0
22.6
21.6
24.0
26.2
21.1
21.5
23.9
22.7
23.8
22.6

20.1
20.4
19.9
19.9
20.5
19.9
20.0
19.5
19.2
21.3
21.0
19.9
20.3
20.3
20.3
20.4
19.7

16.3
16.9
16.6
16.4
16.8
16.6
16.2
15.9
15.7
19.5
16.8
16.4
16.6
16.3
16.5
16.4
15.3

24.6
24.5
23.7
23.9
24.6
23.5
23.7
23.8
22.9
23.6
26.0
24.2
24.4
25.0
24.7
25.2
24.6

18.6
17.9
...
18.0
...
17.8
18.7
18.7
18.1
20.5
19.8
18.7
18.6
18.5
18.5
19.0
18.7

15.1
15.6
15.1
15.3
16.3
16.1
15.7
15.5
15.1
18.4
16.0
15.9
15.4
15.2
15.0
15.5
15.5

21.9
20.8
22.1
21.4
23.6
20.1
21.9
22.7
20.9
22.3
24.4
23.0
22.0
22.6
22.0
22.8
21.9

2005

18.4

15.9

21.7

18.9

15.7

22.8

18.5

15.0

22.7

2006

18.8

17.0

22.1

20.1

17.5

25.0

19.6

16.7

23.6

19.1

16.6

22.6

2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013

17.8
18.8
18.8
18.2
18.2
19.2
18.0

14.7
17.0
16.6
14.9
15.1
16.8
15.3

22.6
22.5
21.9
22.5
20.9
21.5
21.3

18.4
20.0
19.8
19.3
19.2
20.7
20.5

15.7
17.8
16.6
16.1
16.2
18.2
17.2

22.4
22.8
24.0
23.1
23.2
23.8
23.6

18.9
19.9
20.0
19.3
19.4
20.3
19.3

14.7
15.6
16.3
15.2
15.2
16.2
15.8

23.2
24.4
24.1
23.9
23.4
24.9
23.1

17.8
18.7
18.8
18.6
18.4
19.3
18.4

13.9
16.0
15.7
14.7
15.5
15.9
15.8

22.6
21.6
22.6
23.0
21.9
22.7
21.8

2014

Chimbote
(ncash)
Prom.

Mn.

Mx.

19.6
19.9
20.4
20.6
21.5
21.5
20.6
21.3
19.5
23.3
21.9
19.4
19.7
19.4
20.1
19.9
20.1
19.8
20.9
18.9
20.8
20.7
20.2
20.0
21.3
19.5

16.9
17.8
18.0
19.2
19.1
19.6
18.4
18.8
15.7
21.7
17.7
17.3
17.4
16.9
17.2
17.0
17.6
17.2
18.8
16.3
18.2
18.3
16.1
17.1
18.8
16.9

22.7
23.1
23.4
23.1
25.3
24.5
22.4
25.5
22.9
24.5
28.2
22.9
22.6
22.9
24.9
23.7
24.0
23.3
23.7
23.0
27.0
23.0
24.8
21.9
23.3
22.5
Contina...

Mollendo
(Arequipa)
Prom.

Mn.

Mx.

18.7
...
...
18.8
19.3
18.9
18.9
18.3
17.8
20.1
19.3
17.8
18.6
18.9
19.0
19.3
18.7

15.1
15.6
16.1
15.2
15.2
16.0
15.5
14.8
14.8
18.3
15.1
15.3
15.2
15.1
15.4
15.7
15.4

22.2
21.0
20.8
22.9
23.1
21.9
22.1
22.4
20.9
22.0
24.1
21.0
21.9
23.4
23.2
23.7
22.3

18.6

15.4

22.7

18.9

16.2

22.5

17.5
18.3
19.3
18.4
18.3
19.0
18.6

13.7
15.6
15.3
14.5
15.3
15.7
15.5

22.3
21.6
23.7
22.9
21.1
22.8
22.7

Contina...

TEMPERATURA DEL AIRE PROMEDIO, MNIMA Y MXIMA ANUAL POR


ESTACIN DE MEDICIN, 1988-2013
(Grados centgrados)
Ilo
Ao

Puno

(Moquegua)

Puerto Maldonado

(Puno)

SHNA

(Madre de Dios)

(Loreto)

Prom.

Mn.

Mx.

Prom.

Mn.

Mx.

Prom.

Mn.

Mx.

Prom.

Mn.

1988

19.6

15.9

23.7

10.5

8.8

12.5

27.8

27.8

27.8

26.2

24.8

1989

19.7

16.2

24.6

9.7

8.4

10.9

26.4

24.9

27.5

...

25.2

1990

19.4

15.9

23.9

...

9.3

11.7

...

23.7

26.8

...

...

1991

19.8

16.4

23.4

10.3

8.6

11.3

...

26.1

27.5

...

...

1992

20.5

16.4

23.8

9.0

7.1

10.3

25.7

22.5

27.3

...

...

1993

20.0

17.0

24.0

7.7

6.5

8.7

...

24.2

27.8

...

...

1994

19.8

16.3

23.1

8.6

7.0

10.2

25.3

23.6

26.2

26.0

25.0

1995

19.5

15.9

23.8

9.9

7.2

13.4

...

23.6

26.2

26.6

25.7

1996

19.0

15.6

23.0

9.1

7.9

11.9

25.0

23.0

26.2

26.1

24.7

1997

21.7

19.6

23.8

9.4

7.8

12.2

24.7

23.4

25.7

26.6

25.6

1998

21.2

17.2

26.0

10.1

7.2

11.9

24.7

23.1

26.3

26.9

25.9

1999

20.2

17.1

24.4

9.9

8.4

11.1

...

24.7

24.7

26.1

25.3

2000

19.9

16.1

24.1

9.6

7.4

10.7

25.2

21.7

28.0

26.3

24.4

2001

20.0

15.9

24.6

8.2

6.5

9.8

...

23.4

27.6

26.1

25.0

2002

19.9

15.9

23.8

8.6

5.7

9.7

25.8

23.6

27.1

26.4

25.3

2003

19.9

15.8

24.6

8.9

5.9

10.9

25.4

23.7

26.5

26.5

25.7

2004

19.8

15.3

24.6

10.1

7.1

14.0

25.8

24.1

27.2

26.5

25.0

2005

19.8

16.5

24.3

11.5

8.4

12.9

25.2

24.5

26.1

26.9

26.3

2006

20.8

17.3

24.9

10.7

6.5

13.7

24.7

23.1

26.1

25.9

25.2

2007

18.7

14.8

24.6

11.4

8.6

13.5

23.8

21.7

25.6

26.2

25.0

2008

20.0

16.7

24.1

11.8

9.5

13.6

...

...

...

26.3

25.1

2009

20.5

16.2

24.9

11.9

10.1

13.4

...

...

...

26.6

25.9

2010

20.1

15.2

24.4

12.1

8.8

14.8

...

...

...

26.6

25.2

2011

20.4

16.7

24.4

11.9

10.7

14.2

...

...

...

26.1

25.3

2012

21.3

17.6

25.3

11.7

10.0

13.9

...

...

...

...

...

2013

20.3

17.0

24.9

11.6

9.5

14.2

...

...

...

...

...

El Salto (Tumbes)
Latitud: 0325'00" Sur
Paita (Piura)
Latitud: 0505'00" Sur
Lobos de Afuera (Lambayeque)
Latitud: 0636'00" Sur
Salaverry (La Libertad)
Latitud: 0813'00" Sur
Chimbote (ncash)
Latitud: 0904'00" Sur
Chucuito (Callao)
Latitud: 1203'30" Sur
Pisco (Ica)
Latitud: 1342'00" Sur
San Juan (Ica)
Latitud: 1521'00" Sur
Atico (Arequipa)
Latitud: 1613' 00"Sur
Mollendo (Arequipa)
Latitud: 1659'00" Sur
Ilo (Moquegua)
Latitud: 1738'36" Sur
Puno (Puno)
Latitud: 1550'00" Sur
Puerto Maldonado (Madre de Dios)
Latitud: 1237'00" Sur
Servicio de Hidrografa y Navegacin de la
Latitud: 0345'00" Sur
Amazona - SHNA (Loreto)
Fuente: Marina de Guerra del Per - Direccin de Hidrografa y Navegacin.

Longitud: 8018'30" Oeste


Longitud: 8106'30" Oeste
Longitud: 8042'30" Oeste
Longitud: 7858'30" Oeste
Longitud: 7836'00" Oeste
Longitud: 7709'00" Oeste
Longitud: 7613'00" Oeste
Longitud: 7509'00" Oeste
Longitud: 7337'00" Oeste
Longitud: 7206'00" Oeste
Longitud: 7120'38" Oeste
Longitud: 7001'00" Oeste
Longitud: 0912'00" Oeste
Longitud: 7315'00" Oeste

Altitud: 2,8 m.s.n.m.


Altitud: 71,4 m.s.n.m.
Altitud: 5,1 m.s.n.m.
Altitud: 4,25 m.s.n.m.
Altitud: 3,96 m.s.n.m.
Altitud: 16,5 m.s.n.m.
Altitud: 5,12 m.s.n.m.
Altitud: 4,3 m.s.n.m.
Altitud: 5,0 m.s.n.m.
Altitud: 24,46 m.s.n.m.
Altitud: 5,0 m.s.n.m.
Altitud: 3 800 (aprox.) m.s.n.m.
Altitud: 266,0 m.s.n.m.
Altitud: 103,6 m.s.n.m.

Conclusin.
SHNA
(Loreto)

800 (aprox.) m.s.n.m.

Mx.
27.0
26.1
...
...
...
...
26.7
27.2
27.3
27.8
27.4
27.0
27.3
27.0
27.3
27.1
28.1
27.4
26.4
27.6
27.1
27.7
27.4
26.6
...
...

DATOS
Tiempo
(Aos)
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014

TIEMPO
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014

Temperatura
de Ica (Prom.
Anual)

Valor
Exportado de
uvas(Millones)

18.4
20
19.8
19.3
19.2
20.7
20.5
21.5

Xi
Temperatura
de Ica (Prom.
Anual)
18.4
20
19.8
19.3
19.2
20.7
20.5
21.5
159.4

60.50
83.40
135.70
186.20
186.30
287.50
445.00
632.50

Yi
Valor
Exportado de
uvas(Millones)
60.50
83.40
135.70
186.20
186.30
287.50
445.00
632.50
2017.1

X*Y

X2

1113.2
1668
2686.86
3593.66
3576.96
5951.25
9122.5
13598.75
41311.18

338.56
400
392.04
372.49
368.64
428.49
420.25
462.25
3182.72
RESULTADOS

FORMAS
1ra.
2da.
3era.
4ta.
Resumen
Estadsticas de la regresin
Coeficiente de0.83375873
Coeficiente d 0.69515362
R^2 ajustado 0.64434589
Error tpico
117.245502
Observacione
8

m
167.859551
167.859551
167.859551

ANLISIS DE VARIANZA
Grados de libertad
Suma de cuadrados
Promedio de los cuadrados F
Valor crtico de F
Regresin
1 188080.331671 188080.3316713 13.6820445 0.01010124
Residuos
6 82479.0470787 13746.50784644
Total
7 270559.37875
Coeficientes
Error tpico
Intercepcin -3092.46404 905.158804668
Variable X 1 167.859551 45.3806338052

Estadstico t
Probabilidad Inferior 95%
-3.4164878351 0.0142049 -5307.30785
3.6989247722 0.01010124 56.8171399

Anlisis de los residuales


Observacin
Pronstico para Y Residuos
Residuos estndares
1 -3.84831461 64.3483146067
0.5928084413
2 264.726966 -181.326966292
-1.67047353
3 231.155056 -95.4550561798
-0.8793791012
4 147.225281 38.9747191011
0.3590543532
5 130.439326 55.8606741573
0.5146161073
6 382.228652 -94.7286516854
-0.8726871044
7 348.656742 96.343258427
0.8875616588
8 516.516292 115.983707865
1.068499175

Resultados de datos de
Percentil
6.25
18.75
31.25
43.75
56.25
68.75
81.25
93.75

^2=1( ^2 )/
( ()^2 )

=( )/
( _^2()^2 )
8
252.14
19.93

-3.84831461
264.726966
231.155056
147.225281
130.439326
382.228652
348.656742
516.516292


-191.64
-168.74
-116.44
-65.94
-65.84
35.36
192.86
380.36

( )^2

e2

64.35
-181.33
-95.46
38.97
55.86
-94.73
96.34
115.98

4140.71
32879.47
9111.67
1519.03
3120.41
8973.52
9282.02
13452.22
82479.05

36724.93
28472.34
13557.69
4347.75
4334.58
1250.51
37195.94
144675.63
270559.38

RESULTADOS
b
-3092.46404
-3092.46404
-3092.46404

R2
0.6951536

Variable X 1 Grfico de
200
100
Residuos

0
-100 18

18.5

19

19.5

-200

Variab

-100 18

18.5

19

19.5

-200

Variab

crtico de F

Variable X 1 Curva de re
1000.00

Superior 95% Inferior 95.0% Superior 95.0%


-877.620239 -5307.307851253 -877.620239
278.901961 56.8171398914 278.901961

500.00
0.00
-500.00

18

18.5

19

19.5

20

20.5

Variable X 1

ultados de datos de probabilidad

Grfico de probabilid

Y
60.5
83.4
135.7
186.2
186.3
287.5
445
632.5

1000
Y

500
0
0

10

20

30

40

50

Muestra perce

^2 )/
^2 )

)/
)^2 )

Valor Exportado de uvas(Millones)


700.00
600.00
500.00

f(x) = 167.8595505618x - 3092.4640449438


R = 0.6951536204

400.00
300.00
200.00
100.00
0.00
18

18.5

19

19.5

20

20.5

21

21.5

22

le X 1 Grfico de los residuales

18.5

19

19.5

20

Variable X 1

20.5

21

21.5

22

Valor Exportado de
uvas(Millones)
Linear (Valor Exportado de
uvas(Millones))

18.5

19

19.5

20

20.5

21

21.5

22

Variable X 1

X 1 Curva de regresin ajustada

.5

Y
Pronstico para Y
19

19.5

20

20.5

21

21.5

22

Variable X 1

fico de probabilidad normal

20

30

40

50

60

Muestra percentil

70

80

90

100

nes)

rtado de
nes)

or Exportado de
nes))

DATOS
Tiempo
(Aos)
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014

TIEMPO
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014

Temperatura
Valor
de Ica (Prom. Exportado de
Anual)
Palta (Millones)
18.4
20
19.8
19.3
19.2
20.7
20.5
21.5

Xi
(Gastos en
publicidad)
18.4
20
19.8
19.3
19.2
20.7
20.5
21.5
159.4

19.00
32.00
58.00
85.00
161.00
136.00
184.00
307.00

Yi
Valor
Exportado de
Palta (Millones)
19.00
32.00
58.00
85.00
161.00
136.00
184.00
307.00
982

X*Y
349.6
640
1148.4
1640.5
3091.2
2815.2
3772
6600.5
20057.4

X2
338.56
400
392.04
372.49
368.64
428.49
420.25
462.25
3182.72
RESULTADOS

FORMAS
1ra.
2da.
3era.
4ta.
Resumen
Estadsticas de la regresin
Coeficiente de0.83375873
Coeficiente d 0.69515362
R^2 ajustado 0.64434589
Error tpico
117.245502
Observacione
8

m
73.5655431
73.5655431
73.5655431

ANLISIS DE VARIANZA
Grados de libertad
Suma de cuadrados
Promedio de los cuadrados F
Valor crtico de F
Regresin
1 188080.331671 188080.3316713 13.6820445 0.01010124
Residuos
6 82479.0470787 13746.50784644
Total
7 270559.37875
Coeficientes
Error tpico
Intercepcin -3092.46404 905.158804668
Variable X 1 167.859551 45.3806338052

Estadstico t
Probabilidad Inferior 95%
-3.4164878351 0.0142049 -5307.30785
3.6989247722 0.01010124 56.8171399

Anlisis de los residuales


Observacin
Pronstico para Y Residuos
Residuos estndares
1 -3.84831461 64.3483146067
0.5928084413
2 264.726966 -181.326966292
-1.67047353
3 231.155056 -95.4550561798
-0.8793791012
4 147.225281 38.9747191011
0.3590543532
5 130.439326 55.8606741573
0.5146161073
6 382.228652 -94.7286516854
-0.8726871044
7 348.656742 96.343258427
0.8875616588
8 516.516292 115.983707865
1.068499175

Resultados de datos de
Percentil
6.25
18.75
31.25
43.75
56.25
68.75
81.25
93.75

^2=1( ^2 )/
( ()^2 )
=( )/
( _^2()^2 )

8
122.75
19.93

10.5625468
128.267416
113.554307
76.7715356
69.4149813
179.763296
165.050187
238.61573


-103.75
-90.75
-64.75
-37.75
38.25
13.25
61.25
184.25

e
8.44
-96.27
-55.55
8.23
91.59
-43.76
18.95
68.38

( )^2

e2
71.19
9267.42
3086.28
67.71
8387.82
1915.23
359.10
4676.41
27831.14

10764.06
8235.56
4192.56
1425.06
1463.06
175.56
3751.56
33948.06
63955.50

RESULTADOS
b
-1343.04345
-1343.04345
-1343.04345

R2
0.5648359

Variable X 1 Grfico de
200
100
Residuos

0
-100 18

18.5

19

19.5

-200

Variab

-100 18

18.5

19

19.5

-200

Variab

crtico de F

Variable X 1 Curva de re
1000.00

Superior 95% Inferior 95.0% Superior 95.0%


-877.620239 -5307.307851253 -877.620239
278.901961 56.8171398914 278.901961

500.00
0.00
-500.00

18

18.5

19

19.5

20

20.5

Variable X 1

ultados de datos de probabilidad

Grfico de probabilid

Y
60.5
83.4
135.7
186.2
186.3
287.5
445
632.5

1000
Y

500
0
0

10

20

30

40

50

Muestra perce

^2 )/
^2 )

)/
)^2 )

Valor Exportado de Palta (Millones)


350.00
300.00
250.00
f(x) = 73.5655430712x - 1343.0434456929
R = 0.5648358613

200.00
150.00
100.00
50.00
0.00
18

18.5

19

19.5

20

20.5

21

21.5

22

le X 1 Grfico de los residuales

18.5

19

19.5

20

Variable X 1

20.5

21

21.5

22

Valor Exportado de Palta


(Millones)
Linear (Valor Exportado de
Palta (Millones))

18.5

19

19.5

20

20.5

21

21.5

22

Variable X 1

X 1 Curva de regresin ajustada

.5

Y
Pronstico para Y
19

19.5

20

20.5

21

21.5

22

Variable X 1

fico de probabilidad normal

20

30

40

50

60

Muestra percentil

70

80

90

100

nes)

tado de Palta

or Exportado de
nes))

DATOS
Tiempo
(Aos)
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014

TIEMPO
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014

Temperatura
de Ica (Prom.
Anual)

Valor
Exportado de
Esparrago
(Millones)

18.4
20
19.8
19.3
19.2
20.7
20.5
21.5

Xi
Temperatura
de Ica (Prom.
Anual)
18.4
20
19.8
19.3
19.2
20.7
20.5
21.5
159.4

311.00
352.00
390.00
420.00
480.00
520.00
600.00
560.00

Yi
Valor
Exportado de
Esparrago
(Millones)es)
311.00
352.00
390.00
420.00
480.00
520.00
600.00
560.00
3633

X*Y
5722.4
7040
7722
8106
9216
10764
12300
12040
72910.4

X2
338.56
400
392.04
372.49
368.64
428.49
420.25
462.25
3182.72
RESULTADOS

FORMAS
1ra.
2da.
3era.
4ta.
Resumen
Estadsticas de la regresin
Coeficiente de0.83375873
Coeficiente d 0.69515362
R^2 ajustado 0.64434589
Error tpico
117.245502
Observacione
8

m
78.3333333
78.3333333
78.3333333

ANLISIS DE VARIANZA
Grados de libertad
Suma de cuadrados
Promedio de los cuadrados F
Valor crtico de F
Regresin
1 188080.331671 188080.3316713 13.6820445 0.01010124
Residuos
6 82479.0470787 13746.50784644
Total
7 270559.37875
Coeficientes
Error tpico
Intercepcin -3092.46404 905.158804668
Variable X 1 167.859551 45.3806338052

Estadstico t
Probabilidad Inferior 95%
-3.4164878351 0.0142049 -5307.30785
3.6989247722 0.01010124 56.8171399

Anlisis de los residuales


Observacin
Pronstico para Y Residuos
Residuos estndares
1 -3.84831461 64.3483146067
0.5928084413
2 264.726966 -181.326966292
-1.67047353
3 231.155056 -95.4550561798
-0.8793791012
4 147.225281 38.9747191011
0.3590543532
5 130.439326 55.8606741573
0.5146161073
6 382.228652 -94.7286516854
-0.8726871044
7 348.656742 96.343258427
0.8875616588
8 516.516292 115.983707865
1.068499175

Resultados de datos de
Percentil
6.25
18.75
31.25
43.75
56.25
68.75
81.25
93.75

^2=1( ^2 )/
( ()^2 )

=( )/
( _^2()^2 )
8
454.13
19.93

334.666667
460
444.333333
405.166667
397.333333
514.833333
499.166667
577.5


-143.13
-102.13
-64.13
-34.13
25.88
65.88
145.88
105.88

( )^2

e2

-23.67
-108.00
-54.33
14.83
82.67
5.17
100.83
-17.50

560.11
11664.00
2952.11
220.03
6833.78
26.69
10167.36
306.25
32730.33

20484.77
10429.52
4112.02
1164.52
669.52
4339.52
21279.52
11209.52
73688.88

RESULTADOS
b
-1106.66667
-1106.66667
-1106.66667

R2
0.5558307

Variable X 1 Grfico de
200
100
Residuos

0
-100 18

18.5

19

19.5

-200

Variab

Residuos

0
-100 18

18.5

19

19.5

-200

Variab

crtico de F

Variable X 1 Curva de re
1000.00

Superior 95% Inferior 95.0% Superior 95.0%


-877.620239 -5307.307851253 -877.620239
278.901961 56.8171398914 278.901961

500.00
0.00
-500.00

18

18.5

19

19.5

20

20.5

Variable X 1

ultados de datos de probabilidad

Grfico de probabilid

Y
60.5
83.4
135.7
186.2
186.3
287.5
445
632.5

1000
Y

500
0
0

10

20

30

40

50

Muestra perce

^2 )/
^2 )

)/
)^2 )

Valor Exportado de Esparrago (Millones)


700.00
600.00
f(x) = 78.3333333333x - 1106.6666666667
R = 0.5558307365

500.00
400.00

Linear (Valor Exportado de


Esparrago (Millones))

300.00
200.00
100.00
0.00
18

18.5

19

19.5

20

20.5

21

21.5

22

le X 1 Grfico de los residuales

18.5

19

Valor Exportado de
Esparrago (Millones)

19.5

20

Variable X 1

20.5

21

21.5

22

18.5

19

19.5

20

20.5

21

21.5

22

Variable X 1

X 1 Curva de regresin ajustada

.5

Y
Pronstico para Y
19

19.5

20

20.5

21

21.5

22

Variable X 1

fico de probabilidad normal

20

30

40

50

60

Muestra percentil

70

80

90

100

lones)

tado de
Millones)

or Exportado de
Millones))

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