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Uncertainty
Insurance market: insurance premium
Futures market: futures price, spot price, speculators, hedgers
Economics of uncertainty
Risk-averse
Law of large numbers: the numerical average of the risks displays almost
no uncertainty as long as there are a large number of independent risks in
the pool (independent risks)
Portfolio diversification
Problems
Highly dependent risks
Moral hazard: probability of bad things happening changes after youve
been insured
Adverse selection: Lower-risk people leave insurance pools after premium
has been set, leaving high-risk people in the pool