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This document is being provided for the exclusive use of ASHISH KOCHAR at THREADNEEDLE ASSET MANAGEMENT LTD

Deutsche Bank
Markets Research
Rating

Company

Buy

Charter

Date

11 May 2016

Forecast Change

North America

United States
TMT

Reuters
CHTR.OQ

Bloomberg
CHTR US

Exchange Ticker
NMS
CHTR

Cable & Satellite

Analyzing Top Investor Questions on


Charter
Maintaining Buy Rating, Raising PT To $260 (20% Upside)
Weve updated our pro forma model for 1Q results and a thorough review of
our assumptions. Our 2016-2021 EBITDA forecast increased each year. We
also raised our capex forecast, which largely offset the EBITDA increase
through 2018. However, our 2019-2021 OpFCF forecast is now materially
higher given our higher revenue and margin assumptions. We find CHTR to be
an attractive multi-year FCF growth story combined with a levered capital
structure, a combination that should generate a mid-teens annual compounded
return on the share price through 2021 off of our $260 PT.
The final hurdle to closing the deal should be cleared on Thursday with the CA
PUC expected to approve the merger. Closing should follow shortly thereafter.
Our Forecast vs The S-4 Projections and Consensus
This report centers around what weve found to be the top questions investors
have been asking, and what we observe to be the key fundamental variables in
the companys outlook. Readers will find that our revenue forecast is pretty
close to the S-4 projections through 2018, with the S-4 outlook materially
higher in 2019. However, our margin assumptions are more conservative than
the S-4 through 2019, but ultimately do approach 40% in 2021 (in line with the
S-4). We are essentially assuming a longer time horizon to reach
managements margin targets. We are assuming capex will be higher than the
S-4 in every year of the forecast, but that capital intensity will decline in every
year. Our EBITDA forecast is 0.6% below 2016 consensus and 2.3% below
2017 consensus, in line with 2018, and 3.5% higher than 2019 consensus. We
note that the consensus averages are based on a wide range of estimates.

Price at 11 May 2016 (USD)

217.22

Price target

260.00

52-week range

217.22 - 159.53

Bryan Kraft

Clay Griffin, CFA

Research Analyst
Research Associate
(+1) 212 250-0117 (+1) 212 250-7654
bryan.kraft@db.com clay.griffin@db.com
Key changes
230.00 to 260.00

Price target

13.0%

Source: Deutsche Bank

Price/price relative
240
200

160
120
80
5/13

11/13

5/14

11/14

5/15

11/15

Charter
S&P 500 INDEX (Rebased)

Performance (%)

1m

3m

12m

Absolute

8.4

36.2

21.5

S&P 500 INDEX

1.1

12.9

-1.9

Source: Deutsche Bank

The Key Questions/Points We Discuss In This Report Are:


1. Can EBITDA margin really approach 40% and whats the evidence?
2. Will capital intensity decline materially and why?
3. Will the repricing and repackaging of TWCs services materially impair
ARPU growth?
4. Will new streamed pay TV bundles (e.g. Hulu, Sling, Sony Vue,
DIRECTV Now) take pay TV market share from Charter?
5. Updated Pro Forma Valuation
Valuation & Risks
We value CHTR using our economic returns model, a market-based DCF model
utilizing a 10.1% WACC (15% cost of equity) and incorporating our pro forma
estimates for unlevered free cash flow. Risks include: (1) Increased regulation,
(2) Faster than anticipated decline in video subscribers, (3) Increased pace of
fiber-to-the-premises deployment by competitors driving subscriber losses,
lower pricing, and higher investment levels; (4) Wireless becoming a substitute
for cables broadband internet access services; and (5) credit market
dysfunction and/or rapidly rising interest rates.

________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Deutsche Bank Securities Inc.
Deutsche Bank does and seeks to do business with companies covered in its research reports. Thus, investors should
be aware that the firm may have a conflict of interest that could affect the objectivity of this report. Investors should
consider this report as only a single factor in making their investment decision. DISCLOSURES AND ANALYST
CERTIFICATIONS ARE LOCATED IN APPENDIX 1. MCI (P) 057/04/2016.

This document is being provided for the exclusive use of ASHISH KOCHAR at THREADNEEDLE ASSET MANAGEMENT LTD
11 May 2016
Cable & Satellite
Charter

Are 40% EBITDA Margins Realistic For Charter?


Weve assumed merger-related expense synergies reaching $1B in 2019,
representing about 200 bps of margin expansion. This grows to $1.1B in 2021.
Weve assumed that incremental in-sourced labor costs reduce partially offset
the expense synergies in 2017-2019 as call centers and field operations are
brought in-house over a three-year period (similar to the legacy Charter
timeline). After 2019, these costs fully scale.
Pro Forma CHTR (before synergies) had an estimated 35.3% margin in 2015.
Our synergy estimates represent 200 bps of margin expansion long-term.
We estimate EBITDA margin will reach 38.2% in 2019 and 39.6% in 2021.
We believe there will be underlying margin improvement, in addition to the
cost synergies, from running the business more efficiently, leveraging fixed
costs, a mix shift toward broadband and business services, and increased
scale (both in market and at the corporate level).
While Comcast will still be 25% larger than Charter (based on 2016E cable
revenue), Comcast enjoys an estimated 39% Cable segment margin when
adjusted to include 75% of Comcasts Corporate segment loss (which is
necessary to fairly compare Comcast Cable to Charters margins since
Charters include all corporate overhead costs).
We are forecasting Pro Forma Charters annual EBITDA per Home Passed to
increase from $275 in 2015 to $418 in 2021. Note that Comcast generated
$342 in EBITDA per home passed in 2015, which we forecast to increase to
$427 in 2021.

Figure 1: Synergy Estimates by Year (Incl. Incremental In-Sourcing Costs)


1,400
1,200

828

1,000

1,066

1,134

539

800

458
Net In-Sourcing Costs

600

Other
400

Programming

212

Net Synergy

200
(200)

(400)
2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

2021

Source: Deutsche Bank

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Charter

Figure 2: Incremental In-Sourcing Costs '16-21

2020

2021

(50)
(100)
(150)
(200)

(175)

(180)

(250)
(300)
(300)

(350)
2016

2017

2018

2019

Source: Deutsche Bank

Figure 3: PF CHTR and CMCSA Adj. Cable Margin Converge In 2020


40.0%
39.0%
38.0%
37.0%

PF CHTR EBITDA Margins

36.0%

Adj CMCSA Cable EBITDA


Margin

35.0%
34.0%
33.0%
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
Source: Deutsche Bank

Deutsche Bank Securities Inc.

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Charter

Figure 4: The Revenue Mix Shifts Away From Lower Margin Video
Residential Video
100%

90%

Residential Data + Voice + Other

Business Services

12%

13%

14%

15%

16%

17%

18%

19%

43%

43%

45%

44%

44%

44%

44%

44%

45%

43%

41%

41%

40%

39%

38%

37%

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

2021

80%
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%

20%
10%
0%

Source: Deutsche Bank

Figure 5: CHTRs In-Region Scale Improves Dramatically With The Merger

% of CHTR Video Subs from Markets where Cable Share is:


< = 10%

10-30%

30-50%

50-70%

70+%

31.8%

8.7%

72.1%

12.7%

34.4%
7.2%
3.8%

14.1%
12.5%
2.7%
CHTR

PF CHTR

Source: Deutsche Bank

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11 May 2016
Cable & Satellite
Charter

Figure 6: Charter Narrows The Gap On Annual EBITDA per Home Passed
$450.0
$416.4
$388.5

$400.0

$350.0

$331.0

$341.8

$354.4

$427.0

$400.1
$417.7

$368.2

$395.4
$364.2
PF CHTR

$334.9
$300.0

CMCSA Cable

$308.8
$292.3

$250.0

$268.5

$274.9

2014

2015

$200.0
2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

2021

Source: Deutsche Bank

Will Capital Intensity Decline Materially?


TWC is already 50% complete with its all-digital conversion, with 25% of its
other markets started. We dont think TWCs capex has to increase materially
in 2017/2018 to complete the all-digital conversion during 2018.
Comcasts capex/sales (including investment in intangibles) is elevated right
now because the company is in a capital-intensive STB refresh cycle (i.e. X1).
CHTR has completed its STB cycle and TWC will complete its STB cycle in
2018. CHTR has seen a reduction in capital intensity as a result, and we expect
a similar trend for TWC and Comcast.
We assume relatively similar capex/sales for Comcast and Pro Forma Charter
long-term, although CHTR is slightly lower because it tends toward less
investment into the pay TV business and, part of its capital investment and
development costs are housed in the Arris/Active Video JV.
Figure 7: Pro Forma Capex Forecast
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
8,000
6.81
6.92

7,000
6,000
5,000

7.07

7.29

6.86 6.63

6.85

7.02

5.41 5.60

Capex Synergies
BHN

4,000

CHTR
TWC

3,000

Total

2,000
1,000

(1,000)

(25)

(100) (200)

(300) (300) (300)

Source: Deutsche Bank

Deutsche Bank Securities Inc.

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Charter

Figure 8: Forecasted Capex/Sales

25.0%

20.0%
15.0%
PF CHTR
10.0%

CMCSA

5.0%

Source: Deutsche Bank

Figure 9: DB Capex vs. CHTR S-4 Projections


8,200
7.29
7,200

6.92

6.86

6.48

6.63
5.83

6,200
5,200

DB PF CHTR CapEx Estimate

4,200

CHTR's S-4 Projection

3,200
2,200
1,200
200
2017

2018

2019

Source: Deutsche Bank

Will The Repricing and Repackaging of TWCs Services


Materially Impair ARPU Growth?
TWCs residential ARPU is lower than CHTRs today, which means that CHTR
management has the ability to grow ARPU as the new pricing and packaging
is rolled out across the legacy TWC footprint. This will require proper training
and scripts for call center employees, and careful management and monitoring
of the sales and upsell processes. However, we believe that CHTR
management has proven itself to be very effective and experienced in this
area, which makes us think they will be successful.
Managements goal is to persuade TWC customers, on average, to pay more
than they are paying today for a better package of services. In other words,
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Cable & Satellite
Charter

offer more value for the money to the consumer, but earn more revenue at the
same time.
We do assume somewhat muted ARPU growth in 2017 as the new pricing is
initially rolled out to the areas that have been converted to all-digital (~50%+ of
the footprint).
Price increases are a variable that we dont have visibility into at this point in
time. However, CHTR can raise prices on legacy pricing packages to drive
ARPU growth next year.
Figure 10: Residential ARPUs per Customer Relationship Converge Over Time
$120.0

$118.3
$116.6

$118.0

$115.5

$116.0

$114.3

$112.0

$110.5 $110.9

$113.9

$110.0

$104.0

TWC

$111.3

$108.0

$106.0

$116.2 $117.7

$113.0

$114.0

CHTR

$108.9
$106.7

$107.7

$102.0
$100.0
2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

2021

Source: Deutsche Bank

Figure 11: Our Residential ARPU Growth Assumptions Are Reasonable

3.0%
2.5%

2.0%
TWC

1.5%

CHTR
1.0%
0.5%

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

2021

Source: Deutsche Bank

Deutsche Bank Securities Inc.

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Charter

Will New Streamed Pay TV Bundles Take Pay TV Share?


Probably, But The Video Subscriber Outlook Matters Less
With Each Passing Year.
The future of the pay TV distribution business, in our view, is making money on
something else. For cable its broadband, for Hulus owners its affiliate fees
and advertising, for Sony its game consoles, and for Apple its hardware.
Cable companies are becoming economically less dependent on video every
year as the direct profit contribution from video declines. By 2020, if not
sooner, we estimate that the unbundled broadband price premiums charged
by cable today ($8/month in Charters case) will be about equal to the direct
variable OpFCF contribution from video. These unbundled price premiums are
likely to increase, pulling forward that breakeven point.

Figure 12: DB Estimate For Unit Video Contribution To Operating Free Cash Flow

Cable Video Subscriber Economics


2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

$7 8 .5 0

$8 1 .2 5
3.5%

$8 4 .0 9
3.5%

$8 7 .0 3
3.5%

$9 0 .0 8
3.5%

$9 3 .2 3
3.5%

$9 6 .5 0
3.5%

Variable Costs :
Sales Commission
Installation
CPE/Box
Pro gramming Co sts
Franchise Fees, etc.
Customer Care
Service Truck Rolls
Bad Debt Expense
Total Costs
% of Revenue

$1.25
$2.50
$5.83
$3 9 .0 0
$3.61
$2.80
$2.50
$0.96
$58.45
74%

$1.28
$2.56
$5.37
$4 2 .8 0
$3.74
$2.87
$2.56
$0.99
$62.17
77%

$1.31
$2.63
$4.94
$4 6 .9 8
$3.87
$2.94
$2.63
$1.03
$66.31
79%

$1.35
$2.69
$4.54
$5 1 .5 6
$4.00
$3.01
$2.69
$1.06
$70.91
81%

$1.38
$2.76
$4.18
$5 6 .5 8
$4.14
$3.09
$2.76
$1.10
$75.99
84%

$1.41
$1.45
$2.83
$2.90
$3.84
$3.54
$6 2 .1 0 $6 8 .1 5
$4.29
$4.44
$3.16
$3.24
$2.83
$2.90
$1.14
$1.18
$81.61
$87.80
88%
91%

Op FCF Co ntributio n
% M argin

$2 0 .0 5
2 5 .5 %

$1 9 .0 8
2 3 .5 %

$1 7 .7 8
2 1 .1 %

$1 6 .1 3
1 8 .5 %

$1 4 .0 9
1 5 .6 %

$1 1 .6 3
1 2 .5 %

Video ARPU
% Growth

$8 .7 0
9 .0 %

Source: Deutsche Bank

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Charter

Figure 13: Gross Profit Pools (2011-2021) TWC, CHTR, CMCSA, CVC
$100B

$80B

$60B
$6B

$7B

$8B

$9B

$10B

$11B

$3B

$4B

$5B

$17B

$19B

$21B

$23B

$25B

$27B

$30B

$32B

$15B

$35B

$22B

$21B

$21B

$19B

$19B

$18B

$18B

$17B

$17B

$16B

($23B)

($25B)

($25B)

($25B)

($27B)

($28B)

($28B)

($29B)

($30B)

($31B)

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

$2B
$40B

$20B

($20B)

2011
($40B)

Video

HSD

Voice

Business Svcs

Advertising & Other

Shared/Unallocated Opex

Source: Deutsche Bank

Deutsche Bank Securities Inc.

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2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

2021

2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

2021

8
1,494
753

(88)
1,425
649

(112)
1,325
512

(112)
1,255
400

(112)
1,180
315

(112)
1,100
255

(31)
(26)
(145)

(27)
(25)
(49)

(2)
(35)
(48)

(2)
(30)
(25)

(2)
(55)
(25)

(2)
(110)
(25)

Total Revenue

39,817.3

42,234.4
6.1%

45,439.0
7.6%

48,574.2
6.9%

51,977.6
7.0%

55,216.6
6.2%

189

228

594

1,172

1,528

1,916

Adj. OIBDA
Growth %
Margin %

14,138.6

16,845.7
11.1%
37.1%

18,585.3
10.3%
38.3%

20,460.7
10.1%
39.4%

21,854.7
6.8%
39.6%

175

101

334

956

1,503

1,829

35.5%

15,156.4
7.2%
35.9%

27 bps

5 bps

25 bps

107 bps

179 bps

201 bps

Capex
% of Revenues

7,065.5
17.7%

7,289.6
17.3%

6,859.9
15.1%

6,630.0
13.6%

6,854.6
13.2%

180
37 bps

396
85 bps

460
83 bps

493
70 bps

637
86 bps

742
94 bps

OpFCF
Growth %
Margin %

7,073.1

9,985.8
26.9%
22.0%

11,955.3
19.7%
24.6%

13,606.1
13.8%
26.2%

(5.0)

(295.1)

(126.5)

463.2

866.7

1,086.4

17.8%

7,866.8
11.2%
18.6%

7,024.0
12.7%
16.0%
14,830.7
9.0%
26.9%

Revenue
TWC
CHTR
BHN
Adj.
Total

25,337.2
10,400.2
4,079.9

39,817.3

26,818.6
11,131.9
4,283.9

42,234.4

28,968.5
11,929.6
4,541.0

45,439.0

31,089.7
12,671.0
4,813.4

48,574.2

33,347.5
13,527.9
5,102.2

51,977.6

35,448.7
14,359.6
5,408.3

55,216.6 #

111.5
(15.8)
92.9

188.6

84.8
5.4
137.5

227.6

362.9
23.7
207.9

594.5

812.3
52.9
307.0

1,172.2

1,054.7
80.6
393.0

1,528.3

1,302.2
103.2
510.8

1,916.2

Adj. EBITDA
TWC
CHTR
BHN
Adj.
Total

8,811.2
3,746.7
1,468.8
212.0
14,238.6

9,272.3
4,059.0
1,542.2
458.0
15,331.4

10,346.8
4,402.3
1,657.4
539.0
16,945.7

11,337.4
4,689.4
1,781.0
827.6
18,635.3

12,440.3
5,066.3
1,887.8
1,066.3
20,460.7

13,314.2
5,405.1
2,001.1
1,134.2
21,854.7

123.7
16.0
33.5
102.0
275.2

136.9
55.5
49.5
34.0
275.9

370.2
65.2
97.5
(99.4)
433.5

771.9
83.3
158.7
(7.7)
1,006.1

1,010.2
104.4
192.5
196.3
1,503.4

1,240.7
119.2
238.0
230.7
1,828.6

(4.4)
170.7
13.9

180.3

213.8
140.8
41.3

396.0

255.4
152.8
51.8

460.0

261.0
166.3
65.5

492.9

379.3
180.8
76.6

636.7

504.2
122.7
115.4

742.3

128.1
(154.7)
19.5
102.0
95.0

(77.0)
(85.3)
8.1
34.0
(120.1)

114.8
(87.6)
45.7
(99.4)
(26.5)

510.8
(83.0)
93.1
(7.7)
513.2

630.9
(76.4)
115.9
196.3
866.7

736.5
(3.5)
122.6
230.7
1,086.4

Net Adds
Video
Data
Voice

Deutsche Bank Securities Inc.

Capex
TWC
CHTR
BHN
Adj.
Total

4,536.2
1,942.2
612.0
(25.0)
7,065.5

4,825.4
1,921.6
642.6
(100.0)
7,289.6

OpFCF
TWC
CHTR
BHN
Adj.
Total

4,274.9
1,804.4
856.8
237.0
7,173.1

4,446.8
2,137.4
899.6
558.0
8,041.8

Source: Deutsche Bank

4,403.2
1,998.2
658.4
(200.0)
6,859.9

5,943.6
2,404.1
999.0
739.0
10,085.8

4,197.1
2,059.0
673.9
(300.0)
6,630.0

7,140.3
2,630.3
1,107.1
1,127.6
12,005.3

4,335.2
2,130.6
688.8
(300.0)
6,854.6

8,105.1
2,935.7
1,199.0
1,366.3
13,606.1

4,431.1
2,189.8
703.1
(300.0)
7,024.0

8,883.1
3,215.3
1,298.0
1,434.2
14,830.7

11 May 2016

PF CHTR
Variance Table

Cable & Satellite

Charter

Page 10

Figure 14: PF CHTR Estimates vs. Prior

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12/31/2015 12/31/2016 12/31/2017 12/31/2018 12/31/2019 12/31/2020 12/31/2021


2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
Revenue
TWC
CHTR
BHN
Total
PF Adjustments/Synergies
PF CHTR Revenue
y/y Revenue Growth
TWC
CHTR
BHN
PF CHTR
Adj. EBITDA
TWC
CHTR
BHN
Total
PF Adjustments
Programming Synergies
Other Synergies
Net Insourcing Costs
Integration Cost Assumptions
PF CHTR Adj. EBITDA
Recurring PF EBITDA
EBITDA % Margin
TWC
CHTR
BHN
PF CHTR including Synergies
PF CHTR (Ex-Integration Costs)
y/y EBITDA Growth
TWC
CHTR
BHN
PF CHTR
PF CHTR (Ex-Integration Costs)
Source: Deutsche Bank

23,697
9,754
3,923
37,374
42.0
37,416

25,337
10,400
4,080
39,817

26,819
11,132
4,284
42,234

28,969
11,930
4,541
45,439

31,090
12,671
4,813
48,574

33,348
13,528
5,102
51,978

35,449
14,360
5,408
55,217

39,817

42,234

45,439

48,574

51,978

55,217

3.9%
7.1%
5.9%
4.9%

6.9%
6.6%
4.0%
6.4%

5.8%
7.0%
5.0%
6.1%

8.0%
7.2%
6.0%
7.6%

7.3%
6.2%
6.0%
6.9%

7.3%
6.8%
6.0%
7.0%

6.3%
6.1%
6.0%
6.2%

8,138
3,478
1,412
13,028
187

8,811
3,747
1,469
14,027

182
30

9,272
4,059
1,542
14,873

10,347
4,402
1,657
16,407

11,337
4,689
1,781
17,808

12,440
5,066
1,888
19,394

13,314
5,405
2,001
20,720

419
420
(300)
(100)
16,846
16,946

453
550
(175)
(50)
18,585
18,635

489
578

528
606

20,461
20,461

21,855
21,855

13,215
13,215

(100)
14,139
14,239

388
250
(180)
(175)
15,156
15,331

34.3%
35.7%
36.0%
35.3%
35.3%

34.8%
36.0%
36.0%
35.5%
35.8%

34.6%
36.5%
36.0%
35.9%
36.3%

35.7%
36.9%
36.5%
37.1%
37.3%

36.5%
37.0%
37.0%
38.3%
38.4%

37.3%
37.5%
37.0%
39.4%
39.4%

37.6%
37.6%
37.0%
39.6%
39.6%

-1.1%
8.6%
17.6%
3.3%

8.3%
7.7%
4.0%
7.0%
7.7%

5.2%
8.3%
5.0%
7.2%
7.7%

11.6%
8.5%
7.5%
11.1%
10.5%

9.6%
6.5%
7.5%
10.3%
10.0%

9.7%
8.0%
6.0%
10.1%
9.8%

7.0%
6.7%
6.0%
6.8%
6.8%

11 May 2016

Pro Forma Charter


Model Drivers

Cable & Satellite

Charter

Deutsche Bank Securities Inc.

Figure 15: PF CHTR Model Summary

Page 11

This document is being provided for the exclusive use of ASHISH KOCHAR at THREADNEEDLE ASSET MANAGEMENT LTD

12/31/2015 12/31/2016 12/31/2017 12/31/2018 12/31/2019 12/31/2020 12/31/2021


2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
Operating Expenses
Operating Expenses (Total)
24,201
% Growth
Operating Expenses (Ex-Integration Costs)
24,201
% Growth
Programming Expenses
8,370
% Growth
8.9%
Operating Expenses (Ex-Programming & Integration) 15,831
% Growth

25,679
6.1%
25,579
5.7%
8,918
6.5%
16,661
5.2%

27,078
5.4%
26,903
5.2%
9,511
6.7%
17,392
4.4%

28,593
5.6%
28,493
5.9%
10,289
8.2%
18,204
4.7%

29,989
4.9%
29,939
5.1%
11,105
7.9%
18,834
3.5%

31,517
5.1%
31,517
5.3%
11,950
7.6%
19,567
3.9%

33,362
5.9%
33,362
5.9%
12,831
7.4%
20,531
4.9%

6,811

4,536
1,942
612
7,090
(25)
7,065

4,825
1,922
643
7,390
(100)
7,290

4,403
1,998
658
7,060
(200)
6,860

4,197
2,059
674
6,930
(300)
6,630

4,335
2,131
689
7,155
(300)
6,855

4,431
2,190
703
7,324
(300)
7,024

Capex % of Revenue
TWC
CHTR
BHN
PF CHTR Capex

18.8%
18.9%
13.4%
18.2%

17.9%
18.7%
15.0%
17.7%

18.0%
17.3%
15.0%
17.3%

15.2%
16.8%
14.5%
15.1%

13.5%
16.3%
14.0%
13.6%

13.0%
15.8%
13.5%
13.2%

12.5%
15.3%
13.0%
12.7%

OpFCF
TWC
CHTR
BHN
PF CHTR OpFCF

3,692
1,638
887
6,404

4,275
1,804
857
7,073

4,447
2,137
900
7,867

5,944
2,404
999
9,986

7,140
2,630
1,107
11,955

8,105
2,936
1,199
13,606

8,883
3,215
1,298
14,831

y/y OpFCF Growth


TWC
CHTR
BHN
PF CHTR

-10.6%
66.6%
47.6%
8.9%

15.8%
10.2%
-3.4%
10.4%

4.0%
18.5%
5.0%
11.2%

33.7%
12.5%
11.0%
26.9%

20.1%
9.4%
10.8%
19.7%

13.5%
11.6%
8.3%
13.8%

9.6%
9.5%
8.3%
9.0%

CapEx
TWC
CHTR
BHN
Total
PF Adjustments
PF CHTR Capex

Deutsche Bank Securities Inc.

Source: Deutsche Bank

4,446
1,840
525
6,811

11 May 2016

Pro Forma Charter


Model Drivers

Cable & Satellite

Charter

Page 12

Figure 16: PF CHTR Model Summary (cont.)

This document is being provided for the exclusive use of ASHISH KOCHAR at THREADNEEDLE ASSET MANAGEMENT LTD

Assumes a 2Q Close
3/31/2016
1Q16

6/30/2016
2Q16

9/30/2016
3Q16

12/31/2016 12/31/2016
4Q16
2016

3/31/2017
1Q17

6/30/2017
2Q17

9/30/2017 12/31/2017
3Q17
4Q17

12/31/2017
2017

12/31/2018
2018

12/31/2019
2019

12/31/2020
2020

12/31/2021
2021

Debt Schedule
PF Gross Debt
PF Cash
PF Net Debt

61,600
2,300
59,300

61,600
3,250
58,350

61,600
4,491
57,109

61,600
4,491
57,109

61,600
4,237
57,363

59,600
1,992
57,608

59,600
1,756
57,844

58,600
759
57,841

58,600
759
57,841

57,952
500
57,452

59,016
500
58,516

63,058
500
62,558

66,448
500
65,948

3,433
4.3x

3,451
4.2x

3,720
3.8x

14,139
4.0x

3,667
3.9x

3,705
3.9x

3,768
3.8x

4,016
3.6x

15,156
3.8x

16,846
3.4x

18,585
3.1x

20,461
3.1x

21,855
3.0x

1,805
35.0%
1,173
1,618

1,788
35.0%
1,162
1,645

1,780
35.0%
1,157
1,671

2,021
35.0%
1,314
1,698

7,395
4,807
6,632

1,938
35.0%
1,260
1,728

1,949
35.0%
1,267
1,756

1,985
35.0%
1,290
1,783

2,186
35.0%
1,421
1,830

8,059
35.0%
5,238
7,097

9,644
35.0%
6,269
7,201

11,271
35.0%
7,326
7,315

13,025
35.0%
8,466
7,436

14,282
35.0%
9,283
7,573

2,048
743

1,878
929

1,574
1,254

1,566
1,447

4,373

1,777
1,211

1,802
1,221

1,853
1,220

1,858
1,394

7,290
5,046
15.4%

6,860
6,610
31.0%

6,630
8,011
21.2%

6,855
9,047
12.9%

7,024
9,832
8.7%

6.00%
890
578

6.00%
875
569

6.00%
857
557

6.00%
860
559

6.00%
864
562

6.00%
868
564

3,449
2,242

6.00%
3,447
2,241

6.00%
3,511
2,282

6.00%
3,753
2,440

6.00%
3,957
2,572

4,370
55.8%
13.90 $
66.2%

5,728
31.1%
19.69 $
41.6%

6,608
15.3%
25.10 $
27.4%

7,260
9.9%
30.87
23.0%

Adj. EBITDA
Net Debt/Adj EBITDA
Adj. EBIT
Normalized Tax Rate
(1-T)* EBIT
D&A
Delta NWC
CapEx
Unlevered Free Cash Flow (Fully Taxed)
% Growth
Interest Rate
Interest Expense
(1-T) * Interest Expense
Levered Free Cash Flow (Fully Taxed)
% Growth
FCF per Share (Fully Taxed)
% Growth

676
$

Tax Utilization / Other Operating Cash Item

1.95

878
$

654

2.54

1.91

662
$

1.96

659
$

1.98

830
$

2.53

2,804
$

8.37

312

401

379

381

392

461

1,614

2,169

1,358

500

500

2,000

1,000

3,000

2,000
1,352

4,650
5,714

2,950
6,992

2,950
6,340

Mandatory Debt Paydowns


Debt Additions
Min Cash
500
Levered FCF/Share (Untaxed)
Levered Free Cash + Tax Savings
Pref. Dividends
Mandatory Debt Paydowns
Stock Buybacks
Funding Available / Required

Assumed Share Repurchase Price


Growth
Gross $ allocated to share
Net Share reduction
PF Shares
Avg. Shares

Source: Deutsche Bank

2.86 $
988
37.5

2,750
$189

345.9
345.9

345.9
345.9

3.70
1,279
37.5

3,991
$189

$189

345.9
345.9

345.9
345.9

345.9
345.9

3.01
1,033
37.5

1,250
3,737
$227
20.0%
1,250
(5.5)
340.4
343.1

3.09
1,043
37.5
2,000
1,250
1,492
$236
4.0%
1,250
(5.3)
335.1
337.7

3.16
1,051
37.5

1,250
1,256
$245
4.0%
1,250
(5.1)
330.0
332.5

3.94
1,291
37.5
1,000
1,250
259
$255
4.0%
1,250
(4.9)
325.1
327.5

13.18
4,418
150
3,000
5,000
259
$240.8

5,000
(20.8)
325.1
335.2

20.81 $
6,539
150.0
2,000
6,000
(1,352)

24.36 $
7,086
150.0
4,650
8,000
(5,714)

27.00 $
7,108
150.0
2,950
11,000
(6,992)

32.99
7,760
150.0
2,950
11,000
(6,340)

$276.9
15.0%

$318.4
15.0%

$366.2
15.0%

$421.1
15.0%

6,000
(21.7)
303.4
314.3

8,000
(25.1)
278.3
290.9

11,000
(30.0)
248.3
263.3

11,000
(26.1)
222.1
235.2

11 May 2016

Pro Forma Charter


Debt Schedule & FCF

Cable & Satellite

Charter

Deutsche Bank Securities Inc.

Figure 17: PF CHTR Model Summary (cont.)

Page 13

This document is being provided for the exclusive use of ASHISH KOCHAR at THREADNEEDLE ASSET MANAGEMENT LTD

12/31/2012
2012
Subscriber Metrics (EOP)
Homes Passed
Customer Relationships
Video
Data
Voice

12,741
5,389
4,463
4,269
2,189

Net Adds
Customer Relationships
Video
Data
Voice

12/31/2013 ######### 3/31/2015 6/30/2015 9/30/2015 ######### ######### 3/31/2016 6/30/2016 9/30/2016 ######### ######### ######### #########
2013
2014
1Q15
2Q15
3Q15
4Q15
2015
1Q16
2Q16
3Q16
4Q16
2016
2017
2018
12,799
5,561
4,342
4,640
2,418

12,871
6,227
4,293
5,072
2,619

12,901
6,325
4,288
5,208
2,669

12,959
6,377
4,258
5,294
2,714

13,008
6,491
4,274
5,441
2,762

12,783
6,704
4,430
5,572
2,816

12,783
6,704
4,430
5,572
2,816

12,854
6,824
4,445
5,727
2,864

12,891
6,881
4,429
5,812
2,905

12,940
6,993
4,443
5,947
2,946

12,975
7,095
4,472
6,077
3,001

12,975
7,095
4,472
6,077
3,001

13,234
7,463
4,474
6,562
3,170

13,499
7,833
4,462
6,997
3,327

547
(121)
371
229

666
(49)
432
201

98
(5)
136
50

52
(30)
86
45

114
16
147
48

213
156
131
54

477
137
500
197

120
15
155
48

57
(16)
85
41

112
14
135
41

102
29
130
55

391
42
505
185

368
2
485
169

370
(12)
435
157

42.2%
33.5%
32.6%
17.6%

45.1%
34.4%
35.3%
19.1%

46.7%
33.7%
38.2%
20.2%

47.3%
33.6%
39.1%
20.5%

47.4%
33.2%
39.5%
20.7%

47.9%
33.2%
40.4%
20.9%

49.2%
33.8%
41.8%
21.5%

49.2%
33.8%
41.8%
21.5%

49.7%
33.7%
42.6%
21.7%

49.9%
33.4%
42.7%
21.7%

50.4%
33.4%
43.3%
21.8%

50.9%
33.5%
44.0%
22.4%

50.9%
33.5%
44.0%
22.4%

52.2%
32.7%
46.1%
22.9%

53.4%
31.9%
48.0%
23.4%

Revenue
Residential
Business
Advertising
Other
Total Revenue

6,782
701
349
185
8,017

7,098
840
297
184
8,419

7,594
993
341
180
9,108

1,980
269
66
47
2,362

2,026
278
79
47
2,430

2,040
286
77
47
2,450

2,083
294
87
48
2,512

8,129
1,127
309
189
9,754

2,109
301
72
48
2,530

2,128
311
84
48
2,572

2,145
323
89
48
2,606

2,199
335
109
49
2,692

8,582
1,270
354
194
10,400

9,150
1,464
320
198
11,132

9,679
1,691
358
202
11,930

Growth %
Residential
Business
Advertising
Other
Total Revenue

9.0%
28.6%
19.5%
13.5%
11.0%

4.7%
19.8%
-14.9%
-0.5%
5.0%

7.0%
18.2%
14.8%
-2.2%
8.2%

6.7%
15.0%
-2.9%
6.8%
7.3%

7.0%
13.9%
0.0%
9.3%
7.6%

7.3%
13.0%
-11.5%
4.4%
7.1%

7.2%
12.2%
-18.7%
0.0%
6.4%

7.0%
13.5%
-9.4%
5.0%
7.1%

6.5%
11.9%
9.1%
2.1%
7.1%

5.0%
12.0%
6.0%
3.0%
5.8%

5.2%
12.9%
16.0%
3.0%
6.4%

5.6%
14.0%
25.0%
3.0%
7.2%

5.6%
12.7%
14.5%
2.8%
6.6%

6.6%
15.2%
-9.6%
2.0%
7.0%

5.8%
15.5%
12.0%
2.0%
7.2%

Penetration
Customer Relationships
Video
Data
Voice

Deutsche Bank Securities Inc.

Source: Deutsche Bank

11 May 2016

Charter Communications, Inc.


Model Summary

Cable & Satellite

Charter

Page 14

Figure 18: Stand-alone CHTR Model Summary

This document is being provided for the exclusive use of ASHISH KOCHAR at THREADNEEDLE ASSET MANAGEMENT LTD

12/31/2012
2012
ARPUs
Video
Data
Voice
Residential ARPU
Total Subscription ARPU per Customer

$74.98
$42.46
$37.14
$106.52
$109.57

12/31/2013 ######### 3/31/2015 6/30/2015 9/30/2015 ######### ######### 3/31/2016 6/30/2016 9/30/2016 ######### ######### ######### #########
2013
2014
1Q15
2Q15
3Q15
4Q15
2015
1Q16
2Q16
3Q16
4Q16
2016
2017
2018
$81.94
$44.47
$25.60
$107.64
$113.15

$84.89
$46.68
$20.33
$107.53
$114.95

$87.16
$49.30
$18.16
$109.45
$117.27

$89.06
$50.07
$18.02
$110.91
$118.78

$88.86
$50.33
$17.77
$110.48
$118.38

$90.31
$50.36
$17.48
$111.22
$119.07

$88.85
$50.02
$17.85
$110.52
$118.38

$90.13
$50.59
$17.21
$110.95
$118.77

$90.18
$50.78
$17.12
$110.71
$118.67

$90.20
$50.98
$16.97
$110.43
$118.60

$92.34
$51.24
$16.61
$111.66
$119.93

$90.71
$50.90
$16.97
$110.94
$119.00

$93.54
$52.94
$16.12
$112.98
$121.66

$96.58
$54.79
$15.48
$114.27
$123.88

9.3%
4.7%
-31.1%
1.0%
3.3%

3.6%
5.0%
-20.6%
-0.1%
1.6%

5.7%
7.3%
-16.5%
3.0%
3.8%

5.4%
7.4%
-12.7%
3.1%
3.3%

4.3%
7.3%
-10.2%
2.7%
2.7%

3.3%
6.7%
-8.9%
2.3%
2.2%

4.7%
7.2%
-12.2%
2.8%
3.0%

3.4%
2.6%
-5.2%
1.4%
1.3%

1.3%
1.4%
-5.0%
-0.2%
-0.1%

1.5%
1.3%
-4.5%
0.0%
0.2%

2.3%
1.8%
-5.0%
0.4%
0.7%

2.1%
1.8%
-4.9%
0.4%
0.5%

3.1%
4.0%
-5.0%
1.8%
2.2%

3.3%
3.5%
-4.0%
1.1%
1.8%

2,091
11.3%
$40.08

2,214
5.9%
$43.43
8.4%

2,459
11.1%
$46.98
8.2%

666
9.9%
$51.42
12.1%

671
10.5%
$52.06
12.6%

667
7.4%
$51.86
8.7%

674
7.8%
$52.16
8.3%

2,678
8.9%
$51.87
10.4%

703
5.6%
$54.16
5.3%

718
7.0%
$55.39
6.4%

725
8.6%
$55.95
7.9%

735
9.1%
$56.54
8.4%

2,881
7.6%
$55.51
7.0%

3,134
8.8%
$60.17
8.4%

3,411
8.9%
$65.85
9.4%

Adj. OIBDA
Growth %
Margin %

2,864
6.9%
35.7%

2,948
2.9%
35.0%

3,204
8.7%
35.2%

821
7.0%
34.8%

865
8.8%
35.6%

862
9.7%
35.2%

930
8.6%
37.0%

3,478
8.6%
35.7%

904
10.1%
35.7%

919
6.2%
35.7%

920
6.7%
35.3%

1,004
8.0%
37.3%

3,747
7.7%
36.0%

4,059
8.3%
36.5%

4,402
8.5%
36.9%

Capex
Growth %
% of Revenue

1,816

1,854
2.1%
22.0%

2,221
19.8%
24.4%

351
-34.9%
14.9%

432
-24.2%
17.8%

509
-10.5%
20.8%

548
0.9%
21.8%

1,840
-17.2%
18.9%

552
57.2%
21.8%

450
4.2%
17.5%

469
-7.8%
18.0%

471
-14.0%
17.5%

1,942
5.6%
18.7%

1,922
-1.1%
17.3%

1,998
4.0%
16.8%

1,048

1,094
4.4%

983
-10.1%

470
106.1%

433
92.4%

353
62.7%

382
22.0%

1,638
66.6%

352
-25.1%

469
8.3%

451
27.7%

533
39.5%

1,804
10.2%

2,137
18.5%

2,404
12.5%

960

873

911

289

229

353

435

1,306

454

469

469

469

1,860

1,916

1,981

1,877
72

1,908
124

2,102
98

514
25

528
(63)

538
206

545
153

2,125
321

539
6

544
(271)

549
97

554
56

2,185
(111)

2,264
87

2,235
84

846

883
4.4%

695
-21.3%

388
148.0%

252
33.7%

446
363.4%

400
57.4%

1,485
113.6%

353
-8.9%

67
-73.5%

418
-6.3%

432
7.8%

1,269
-14.6%

1,597
25.8%

1,730
8.4%

222
0.0%
$2.22

316
42.4%
$3.10
39.2%

103
-67.3%
$0.95
-69.3%

200
942.8%
$1.79
894.1%

103
98.3%
$0.92
91.5%

216
-581.4%
$1.91
-562.1%

118
52.9%
$1.05
50.4%

637
517.1%
$5.69
497.8%

58
-70.9%
$0.52
-71.1%

(238)
-330.4%
($2.11)
-329.0%

113
-47.8%
$1.01
-46.8%

127
8.1%
$1.17
11.2%

60
-90.5%
$0.54
-90.5%

351
482.5%
$3.39
526.3%

442
26.1%
$4.59
35.3%

ARPU Growth%
Video
Data
Voice
Residential ARPU
Total Subscription ARPU per Customer
Programming Expense
Growth %
Per Sub per Month
Growth %

Operating Free Cash Flow


Growth %
Interest Expense
D&A
Net Change in Working Capital

Unlevered Free Cash Flow (Tax Normalized)


Growth %
Levered Free Cash Flow (Tax Normalized)
Growth %
Per WAVG Dil. Share
Growth %

Source: Deutsche Bank

22.7%

11 May 2016

Charter Communications, Inc.


Model Summary

Cable & Satellite

Charter

Deutsche Bank Securities Inc.

Figure 19: Stand-alone CHTR Model Summary (cont.)

Page 15

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2017
134,852
5,046
3.8%

2018
150,347
6,610
4.6%

2019
164,218
8,011
5.1%

2020
174,490
9,047
5.3%

12/31/2021
2021
182,264
9,832
5.5%

WACC
Value from Growth
Return from Growth

10.1%
6,668
5.1%

10.1%
15,495
10.9%

10.1%
13,872
8.8%

10.1%
10,271
6.1%

10.1%
7,774
4.4%

Total Value Created

11,714

22,105

21,882

19,319

17,606

8.9%

15.5%

13.9%

11.4%

9.9%

134,852
759

3,873
58,600

80,885
335.2
$241

150,347
500

2,053
57,952

94,948
314.3
$302
25.2%

164,218
500

880
59,016

106,582
290.9
$366
21.3%

174,490
500

459
63,058

112,390
263.3
$427
16.5%

182,264
500

66,448

116,316
235.2
$495
15.8%

Consolidated Enterprise Value (Core)


Unlevered Free Cash Flow
Unlevered FCF Yield

2016
128,184
4,373

Total Economic Return


Consolidated Enterprise Value
Plus: Cash & Equivalents
Plus: Non-Consolidated Assets
Plus: Tax Assets
Less: Debt
Less: Minority Interest
Equity Value
Shares Outstanding (Diluted)
Value per Share
Equity Return

128,184

Current Price as of 05/10/16


Mean Geometric Return Over Period

$216.49
15.8%

Deutsche Bank Securities Inc.

Source: Deutsche Bank

5,437

260

11 May 2016

Pro Forma Charter


Economic Returns Model

Cable & Satellite

Charter

Page 16

Figure 20: PF CHTR Economic Returns

This document is being provided for the exclusive use of ASHISH KOCHAR at THREADNEEDLE ASSET MANAGEMENT LTD

12/31/2016 12/31/2017 12/31/2018 12/31/2019 12/31/2020 12/31/2021


2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
Share Price
Growth
Avg. Shares
Market Capitalization
Net Debt
Estimated NPV of Tax Assets
Adjusted Enterprise Value

216 $
346
74,884
57,109
5,034
126,959

Tax Normalized
Unlevered Free Cash Flow
Yield
EBITDA
EV/EBITDA

14,139
9.0x

Levered FCF (Fully Taxed)


Levered FCF Yield
Price/FCF
OpFCF
EV/OpFCF

Source: Deutsche Bank

7,073
17.9x

260 $
299 $
344 $
395 $
455
20.1%
15.0%
15.0%
15.0%
15.0%
335
314
291
263
235
87,163
93,963
100,013
104,109
106,956
57,841
57,452
58,516
62,558
65,948
3,873
2,053
880
459

141,130
149,363
157,649
166,208
172,903

5,046
3.6%

6,610
4.4%

8,011
5.1%

9,047
5.4%

9,832
5.7%

15,156
9.3x

16,846
8.9x

18,585
8.5x

20,461
8.1x

21,855
7.9x

2,804
3.4%
29.7x

4,370
4.8%
21.0x

5,728
5.8%
17.3x

6,608
6.4%
15.7x

7,260
6.8%
14.7x

7,867
17.9x

9,986
15.0x

11,955
13.2x

13,606
12.2x

14,831
11.7x

11 May 2016

Pro Forma Charter


Valuation

Cable & Satellite

Charter

Deutsche Bank Securities Inc.

Figure 21: PF CHTR Valuation Multiples

Page 17

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STRZA
BUY
$27.48
$47
71.0%
$46.59
$20.33

CMCSA
HOLD
$62.07
$69
11.2%
$64.99
$50.01

PF CHTR
BUY
$217.22
$260
19.7%
$218.73
$156.13

TWC
BUY
$216.57
$240
10.8%
$217.15
$152.81

CHTR
BUY
$217.22
$260
19.7%
$218.73
$156.13

Cable / Sat
CVC
HOLD
$34.60
$34.9
0.9%
$34.70
$19.75

DISH
BUY
$47.46
$100
110.7%
$76.29
$38.85

7.4x
6.6x
6.5x

9.7x
8.9x
8.1x

8.9x
6.4x
5.8x

7.8x
7.0x
6.3x

9.2x
8.0x
6.9x

9.6x
8.7x
7.6x

9.6x
8.9x
8.1x

9.7x
9.7x
9.6x

NM
NM
NM

13.1x
11.4x
10.1x

6.5%
7.1%
7.7%

10.0%
9.3%
9.3%

4.2%
6.7%
7.3%

7.3%
11.2%
10.7%

5.2%
6.0%
7.0%

3.4%
4.1%
5.6%

2.9%
3.2%
4.6%

3.5%
4.4%
4.9%

2.6%
3.3%
3.1%

NM
NM
NM

4.9%
5.5%
5.9%

9.5x
8.4x
7.9x

10.1x
9.2x
8.4x

7.6x
6.9x
6.8x

10.2x
9.5x
8.6x

9.1x
6.5x
5.9x

13.1x
11.4x
9.9x

18.2x
15.2x
11.6x

19.8x
18.1x
13.2x

19.9x
16.9x
14.8x

18.9x
18.3x
18.2x

NM
NM
NM

14.8x
12.7x
11.3x

23.8x
24.3x
17.5x

18.9x
13.0x
11.7x

13.1x
11.5x
10.2x

6.6x
7.9x
8.0x

22.8x
12.3x
11.0x

11.1x
7.5x
7.9x

17.2x
14.7x
12.2x

23.0x
13.7x

29.0x
25.0x
17.9x

371.6x
56.5x
41.3x

97.0x
40.5x
43.5x

NM
NM
NM

19.0x
15.9x
14.4x

17.7x
16.5x
14.4x

18.3x
15.5x
13.8x

13.9x
12.4x
10.9x

8.3x
8.1x
8.0x

13.8x
12.6x
11.0x

12.1x
9.0x
8.2x

17.9x
16.1x
14.0x

29.8x
28.5x
22.6x

NM
NM
302.8x

55.6x
49.6x
47.6x

17.0x
17.6x
18.5x

27.8x
23.0x
19.1x

EV/EBITDA
2016
2017
2018

10.8x
10.0x
8.9x

9.1x
8.0x
7.5x

9.5x
8.7x
8.0x

Unlevered Free Cash Flow Yield


2016
2017
2018

4.1%
3.9%
5.3%

5.3%
7.0%
7.4%

EV / (EBITDA - Capex)
2016
2017
2018

15.4x
14.1x
11.6x

P / FCF
2016
2017
2018
P/E
2016
2017
2018

Rating
Current Price as of 05/11/16
DB Price Target
Implied Upside / Downside
52 Wk High
52 Wk Low

Deutsche Bank Securities Inc.

Source: Deutsche Bank

LBRDA
BUY
$59.77
$68
13.8%
$60.19
$42.03

SIRI
HOLD
$3.93
$4.25
8.1%
$4.20
$3.29

LMCA
BUY
$18.58
$44
N/A

11 May 2016

CBS
BUY
$55.81
$65
16.5%
$62.97
$38.51

FOXA
BUY
$29.41
$37
25.8%
$34.83
$22.66

Cable & Satellite

Media
TWX
VIAB
BUY
HOLD
$74.14
$40.47
$93
$36
25.4%
-11.0%
$91.34
$69.17
$55.53
$30.11

DIS
HOLD
$102.29
$113
10.5%
$122.08
$86.25

Charter

Page 18

Figure 22: Comp Table

This document is being provided for the exclusive use of ASHISH KOCHAR at THREADNEEDLE ASSET MANAGEMENT LTD
11 May 2016
Cable & Satellite
Charter

Appendix 1
Important Disclosures
Additional information available upon request
Disclosure checklist
Company

Ticker

Recent price*

Disclosure

Charter

CHTR.OQ

217.22 (USD) 11 May 16

1,2,7,8

*Prices are current as of the end of the previous trading session unless otherwise indicated and are sourced from local exchanges via Reuters, Bloomberg and other vendors . Other
information is sourced from Deutsche Bank, subject companies, and other sources. For disclosures pertaining to recommendations or estimates made on securities other than the
primary subject of this research, please see the most recently published company report or visit our global disclosure look-up page on our website at
http://gm.db.com/ger/disclosure/DisclosureDirectory.eqsr.

Important Disclosures Required by U.S. Regulators


Disclosures marked with an asterisk may also be required by at least one jurisdiction in addition to the United States.
See Important Disclosures Required by Non-US Regulators and Explanatory Notes.
1.

Within the past year, Deutsche Bank and/or its affiliate(s) has managed or co-managed a public or private offering
for this company, for which it received fees.

2.

Deutsche Bank and/or its affiliate(s) makes a market in securities issued by this company.

7.

Deutsche Bank and/or its affiliate(s) has received compensation from this company for the provision of investment
banking or financial advisory services within the past year.

8.

Deutsche Bank and/or its affiliate(s) expects to receive, or intends to seek, compensation for investment banking
services from this company in the next three months.

Important Disclosures Required by Non-U.S. Regulators


Please also refer to disclosures in the Important Disclosures Required by US Regulators and the Explanatory Notes.
1.

Within the past year, Deutsche Bank and/or its affiliate(s) has managed or co-managed a public or private offering
for this company, for which it received fees.

2.

Deutsche Bank and/or its affiliate(s) makes a market in securities issued by this company.

7.

Deutsche Bank and/or its affiliate(s) has received compensation from this company for the provision of investment
banking or financial advisory services within the past year.

For disclosures pertaining to recommendations or estimates made on securities other than the primary subject of this
research, please see the most recently published company report or visit our global disclosure look-up page on our
website at http://gm.db.com/ger/disclosure/Disclosure.eqsr?ricCode=CHTR.OQ

Analyst Certification
The views expressed in this report accurately reflect the personal views of the undersigned lead analyst(s) about the
subject issuer and the securities of the issuer. In addition, the undersigned lead analyst(s) has not and will not receive
any compensation for providing a specific recommendation or view in this report. Bryan Kraft

Deutsche Bank Securities Inc.

Page 19

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11 May 2016
Cable & Satellite
Charter

Historical recommendations and target price: Charter (CHTR.OQ)


(as of 5/11/2016)
250.00

Previous Recommendations

Security Price

200.00

150.00

Strong Buy
Buy
Market Perform
Underperform
Not Rated
Suspended Rating

Current Recommendations
Buy
Hold
Sell
Not Rated
Suspended Rating

100.00

50.00

*New Recommendation Structure


as of September 9,2002

0.00
May 13 Aug 13 Nov 13 Feb 14 May 14 Aug 14 Nov 14 Feb 15 May 15 Aug 15 Nov 15 Feb 16

Date

1.

07/29/2013:

Hold, Target Price Change USD111.00

4.

07/13/2015:

Upgrade to Buy, Target Price Change USD225.00

2.

11/06/2013:

Hold, Target Price Change USD120.00

5.

08/05/2015:

Buy, Target Price Change USD230.00

3.

05/07/2014:

No Recommendation, Target Price Change USD0.00

Equity rating key


Buy: Based on a current 12- month view of total
share-holder return (TSR = percentage change in
share price from current price to projected target price
plus pro-jected dividend yield ) , we recommend that
investors buy the stock.
Sell: Based on a current 12-month view of total shareholder return, we recommend that investors sell the
stock
Hold: We take a neutral view on the stock 12-months
out and, based on this time horizon, do not
recommend either a Buy or Sell.

Equity rating dispersion and banking relationships


500
450
400
350
300
250
200
150
100
50
0

50 %

47 %
52 %

43 %

3 % 19 %
Buy

Hold

Companies Covered

Sell

Cos. w/ Banking Relationship

North American Universe

Newly issued research recommendations and target


prices supersede previously published research.

Regulatory Disclosures
1.Important Additional Conflict Disclosures
Aside from within this report, important conflict disclosures can also be found at https://gm.db.com/equities under the
"Disclosures Lookup" and "Legal" tabs. Investors are strongly encouraged to review this information before investing.

2.Short-Term Trade Ideas


Deutsche Bank equity research analysts sometimes have shorter-term trade ideas (known as SOLAR ideas) that are
consistent or inconsistent with Deutsche Bank's existing longer term ratings. These trade ideas can be found at the
SOLAR link at http://gm.db.com.

Page 20

Deutsche Bank Securities Inc.

This document is being provided for the exclusive use of ASHISH KOCHAR at THREADNEEDLE ASSET MANAGEMENT LTD
11 May 2016
Cable & Satellite
Charter

Additional Information
The information and opinions in this report were prepared by Deutsche Bank AG or one of its affiliates (collectively
"Deutsche Bank"). Though the information herein is believed to be reliable and has been obtained from public sources
believed to be reliable, Deutsche Bank makes no representation as to its accuracy or completeness.
If you use the services of Deutsche Bank in connection with a purchase or sale of a security that is discussed in this
report, or is included or discussed in another communication (oral or written) from a Deutsche Bank analyst, Deutsche
Bank may act as principal for its own account or as agent for another person.
Deutsche Bank may consider this report in deciding to trade as principal. It may also engage in transactions, for its own
account or with customers, in a manner inconsistent with the views taken in this research report. Others within
Deutsche Bank, including strategists, sales staff and other analysts, may take views that are inconsistent with those
taken in this research report. Deutsche Bank issues a variety of research products, including fundamental analysis,
equity-linked analysis, quantitative analysis and trade ideas. Recommendations contained in one type of communication
may differ from recommendations contained in others, whether as a result of differing time horizons, methodologies or
otherwise. Deutsche Bank and/or its affiliates may also be holding debt securities of the issuers it writes on.
Analysts are paid in part based on the profitability of Deutsche Bank AG and its affiliates, which includes investment
banking revenues.
Opinions, estimates and projections constitute the current judgment of the author as of the date of this report. They do
not necessarily reflect the opinions of Deutsche Bank and are subject to change without notice. Deutsche Bank has no
obligation to update, modify or amend this report or to otherwise notify a recipient thereof if any opinion, forecast or
estimate contained herein changes or subsequently becomes inaccurate. This report is provided for informational
purposes only. It is not an offer or a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any financial instruments or to participate in any
particular trading strategy. Target prices are inherently imprecise and a product of the analysts judgment. The financial
instruments discussed in this report may not be suitable for all investors and investors must make their own informed
investment decisions. Prices and availability of financial instruments are subject to change without notice and
investment transactions can lead to losses as a result of price fluctuations and other factors. If a financial instrument is
denominated in a currency other than an investor's currency, a change in exchange rates may adversely affect the
investment. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Unless otherwise indicated, prices are
current as of the end of the previous trading session, and are sourced from local exchanges via Reuters, Bloomberg and
other vendors. Data is sourced from Deutsche Bank, subject companies, and in some cases, other parties.
Macroeconomic fluctuations often account for most of the risks associated with exposures to instruments that promise
to pay fixed or variable interest rates. For an investor who is long fixed rate instruments (thus receiving these cash
flows), increases in interest rates naturally lift the discount factors applied to the expected cash flows and thus cause a
loss. The longer the maturity of a certain cash flow and the higher the move in the discount factor, the higher will be the
loss. Upside surprises in inflation, fiscal funding needs, and FX depreciation rates are among the most common adverse
macroeconomic shocks to receivers. But counterparty exposure, issuer creditworthiness, client segmentation, regulation
(including changes in assets holding limits for different types of investors), changes in tax policies, currency
convertibility (which may constrain currency conversion, repatriation of profits and/or the liquidation of positions), and
settlement issues related to local clearing houses are also important risk factors to be considered. The sensitivity of fixed
income instruments to macroeconomic shocks may be mitigated by indexing the contracted cash flows to inflation, to
FX depreciation, or to specified interest rates these are common in emerging markets. It is important to note that the
index fixings may -- by construction -- lag or mis-measure the actual move in the underlying variables they are intended
to track. The choice of the proper fixing (or metric) is particularly important in swaps markets, where floating coupon
rates (i.e., coupons indexed to a typically short-dated interest rate reference index) are exchanged for fixed coupons. It is
also important to acknowledge that funding in a currency that differs from the currency in which coupons are
denominated carries FX risk. Naturally, options on swaps (swaptions) also bear the risks typical to options in addition to
the
risks
related
to
rates
movements.

Deutsche Bank Securities Inc.

Page 21

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11 May 2016
Cable & Satellite
Charter

Derivative transactions involve numerous risks including, among others, market, counterparty default and illiquidity risk.
The appropriateness or otherwise of these products for use by investors is dependent on the investors' own
circumstances including their tax position, their regulatory environment and the nature of their other assets and
liabilities, and as such, investors should take expert legal and financial advice before entering into any transaction similar
to or inspired by the contents of this publication. The risk of loss in futures trading and options, foreign or domestic, can
be substantial. As a result of the high degree of leverage obtainable in futures and options trading, losses may be
incurred that are greater than the amount of funds initially deposited. Trading in options involves risk and is not suitable
for all investors. Prior to buying or selling an option investors must review the "Characteristics and Risks of Standardized
Options, at http://www.optionsclearing.com/about/publications/character-risks.jsp. If you are unable to access the
website please contact your Deutsche Bank representative for a copy of this important document.
Participants in foreign exchange transactions may incur risks arising from several factors, including the following: ( i)
exchange rates can be volatile and are subject to large fluctuations; ( ii) the value of currencies may be affected by
numerous market factors, including world and national economic, political and regulatory events, events in equity and
debt markets and changes in interest rates; and (iii) currencies may be subject to devaluation or government imposed
exchange controls which could affect the value of the currency. Investors in securities such as ADRs, whose values are
affected by the currency of an underlying security, effectively assume currency risk.
Unless governing law provides otherwise, all transactions should be executed through the Deutsche Bank entity in the
investor's
home
jurisdiction.
United States: Approved and/or distributed by Deutsche Bank Securities Incorporated, a member of FINRA, NFA and
SIPC. Analysts employed by non-US affiliates may not be associated persons of Deutsche Bank Securities Incorporated
and therefore not subject to FINRA regulations concerning communications with subject companies, public appearances
and securities held by analysts.
Germany: Approved and/or distributed by Deutsche Bank AG, a joint stock corporation with limited liability incorporated
in the Federal Republic of Germany with its principal office in Frankfurt am Main. Deutsche Bank AG is authorized under
German Banking Law and is subject to supervision by the European Central Bank and by BaFin, Germanys Federal
Financial Supervisory Authority.
United Kingdom: Approved and/or distributed by Deutsche Bank AG acting through its London Branch at Winchester
House, 1 Great Winchester Street, London EC2N 2DB. Deutsche Bank AG in the United Kingdom is authorised by the
Prudential Regulation Authority and is subject to limited regulation by the Prudential Regulation Authority and Financial
Conduct Authority. Details about the extent of our authorisation and regulation are available on request.
Hong

Kong:

Distributed

by

Deutsche

Bank

AG,

Hong

Kong

Branch.

India: Prepared by Deutsche Equities India Pvt Ltd, which is registered by the Securities and Exchange Board of India
(SEBI) as a stock broker. Research Analyst SEBI Registration Number is INH000001741. DEIPL may have received
administrative warnings from the SEBI for breaches of Indian regulations.
Japan: Approved and/or distributed by Deutsche Securities Inc.(DSI). Registration number - Registered as a financial
instruments dealer by the Head of the Kanto Local Finance Bureau (Kinsho) No. 117. Member of associations: JSDA,
Type II Financial Instruments Firms Association and The Financial Futures Association of Japan. Commissions and risks
involved in stock transactions - for stock transactions, we charge stock commissions and consumption tax by
multiplying the transaction amount by the commission rate agreed with each customer. Stock transactions can lead to
losses as a result of share price fluctuations and other factors. Transactions in foreign stocks can lead to additional
losses stemming from foreign exchange fluctuations. We may also charge commissions and fees for certain categories
of investment advice, products and services. Recommended investment strategies, products and services carry the risk
of losses to principal and other losses as a result of changes in market and/or economic trends, and/or fluctuations in
market value. Before deciding on the purchase of financial products and/or services, customers should carefully read the
relevant disclosures, prospectuses and other documentation. "Moody's", "Standard & Poor's", and "Fitch" mentioned in
this report are not registered credit rating agencies in Japan unless Japan or "Nippon" is specifically designated in the
name of the entity. Reports on Japanese listed companies not written by analysts of DSI are written by Deutsche Bank
Page 22

Deutsche Bank Securities Inc.

This document is being provided for the exclusive use of ASHISH KOCHAR at THREADNEEDLE ASSET MANAGEMENT LTD
11 May 2016
Cable & Satellite
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Group's analysts with the coverage companies specified by DSI. Some of the foreign securities stated on this report are
not disclosed according to the Financial Instruments and Exchange Law of Japan.
Korea: Distributed by Deutsche Securities Korea Co.
South Africa: Deutsche Bank AG Johannesburg is incorporated in the Federal Republic of Germany (Branch Register
Number
in
South
Africa:
1998/003298/10).
Singapore: by Deutsche Bank AG, Singapore Branch or Deutsche Securities Asia Limited, Singapore Branch (One Raffles
Quay #18-00 South Tower Singapore 048583, +65 6423 8001), which may be contacted in respect of any matters
arising from, or in connection with, this report. Where this report is issued or promulgated in Singapore to a person who
is not an accredited investor, expert investor or institutional investor (as defined in the applicable Singapore laws and
regulations), they accept legal responsibility to such person for its contents.
Taiwan: Information on securities/investments that trade in Taiwan is for your reference only. Readers should
independently evaluate investment risks and are solely responsible for their investment decisions. Deutsche Bank
research may not be distributed to the Taiwan public media or quoted or used by the Taiwan public media without
written consent. Information on securities/instruments that do not trade in Taiwan is for informational purposes only and
is not to be construed as a recommendation to trade in such securities/instruments. Deutsche Securities Asia Limited,
Taipei
Branch
may
not
execute
transactions
for
clients
in
these
securities/instruments.
Qatar: Deutsche Bank AG in the Qatar Financial Centre (registered no. 00032) is regulated by the Qatar Financial Centre
Regulatory Authority. Deutsche Bank AG - QFC Branch may only undertake the financial services activities that fall
within the scope of its existing QFCRA license. Principal place of business in the QFC: Qatar Financial Centre, Tower,
West Bay, Level 5, PO Box 14928, Doha, Qatar. This information has been distributed by Deutsche Bank AG. Related
financial products or services are only available to Business Customers, as defined by the Qatar Financial Centre
Regulatory Authority.
Russia: This information, interpretation and opinions submitted herein are not in the context of, and do not constitute,
any appraisal or evaluation activity requiring a license in the Russian Federation.
Kingdom of Saudi Arabia: Deutsche Securities Saudi Arabia LLC Company, (registered no. 07073-37) is regulated by the
Capital Market Authority. Deutsche Securities Saudi Arabia may only undertake the financial services activities that fall
within the scope of its existing CMA license. Principal place of business in Saudi Arabia: King Fahad Road, Al Olaya
District,
P.O.
Box
301809,
Faisaliah
Tower
17th
Floor,
11372
Riyadh,
Saudi
Arabia.
United Arab Emirates: Deutsche Bank AG in the Dubai International Financial Centre (registered no. 00045) is regulated
by the Dubai Financial Services Authority. Deutsche Bank AG - DIFC Branch may only undertake the financial services
activities that fall within the scope of its existing DFSA license. Principal place of business in the DIFC: Dubai
International Financial Centre, The Gate Village, Building 5, PO Box 504902, Dubai, U.A.E. This information has been
distributed by Deutsche Bank AG. Related financial products or services are only available to Professional Clients, as
defined by the Dubai Financial Services Authority.
Australia: Retail clients should obtain a copy of a Product Disclosure Statement (PDS) relating to any financial product
referred to in this report and consider the PDS before making any decision about whether to acquire the product. Please
refer
to
Australian
specific
research
disclosures
and
related
information
at
https://australia.db.com/australia/content/research-information.html
Australia and New Zealand: This research, and any access to it, is intended only for "wholesale clients" within the
meaning of the Australian Corporations Act and New Zealand Financial Advisors Act respectively.
Additional information relative to securities, other financial products or issuers discussed in this report is available upon
request. This report may not be reproduced, distributed or published without Deutsche Bank's prior written consent.
Copyright 2016 Deutsche Bank AG

Deutsche Bank Securities Inc.

Page 23

This document is being provided for the exclusive use of ASHISH KOCHAR at THREADNEEDLE ASSET MANAGEMENT LTD

David Folkerts-Landau
Chief Economist and Global Head of Research
Raj Hindocha
Global Chief Operating Officer
Research

Marcel Cassard
Global Head
FICC Research & Global Macro Economics

Steve Pollard
Global Head
Equity Research

Michael Spencer
Regional Head
Asia Pacific Research

Ralf Hoffmann
Regional Head
Deutsche Bank Research, Germany

Andreas Neubauer
Regional Head
Equity Research, Germany

International locations
Deutsche Bank AG
Deutsche Bank Place
Level 16
Corner of Hunter & Phillip Streets
Sydney, NSW 2000
Australia
Tel: (61) 2 8258 1234

Deutsche Bank AG
Groe Gallusstrae 10-14
60272 Frankfurt am Main
Germany
Tel: (49) 69 910 00

Deutsche Bank AG London


1 Great Winchester Street
London EC2N 2EQ
United Kingdom
Tel: (44) 20 7545 8000

Deutsche Bank Securities Inc.


60 Wall Street
New York, NY 10005
United States of America
Tel: (1) 212 250 2500

Deutsche Bank AG
Filiale Hongkong
International Commerce Centre,
1 Austin Road West,Kowloon,
Hong Kong
Tel: (852) 2203 8888

Deutsche Securities Inc.


2-11-1 Nagatacho
Sanno Park Tower
Chiyoda-ku, Tokyo 100-6171
Japan
Tel: (81) 3 5156 6770

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