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MME for
X
^
E [ X ] =
^
MME =
xi =x
n
x i =0
lim
MLE for
L ( ; x )=
i=1
x e
x!
x en
x1! x2 ! xn !
i
xi
( ln log x i ! )
lnL ( ; x )=
x i n
d
lnL ( ; x )=
d
x i n=0
x i =n
x i =
n
Ml E=
x i =x
n
APPENDIX D
Confidence Interval for X
=0.05
x=43
= 43
z 0.025 =1.96
xz 0.025 < < x + z 0.025
) = 0.95
P
30< <56
) = 0.95
P
= 64
z 0.025 =1.96
xz 0.025 < < x + z 0.025
) = 0.95
P
= 48
z 0.025 =1.96
xz 0.025 < < x + z 0.025
) = 0.95
P
APPENDIX E
4
L ( x 1 , , x n ; ) = f ( x 1 , , x n ; )
i=1
n
i=1
e x
( xi )!
xi
i=1
(x i )
i=1
Step 2:
=
L0 (x 1 , , x n ; 0 )
La (x 1 , , x n ; 1 )
xi
i=1
xi
i=1
xi
i=1
xi
i=1
n( 0 1)
=e
0 x
k
1
i
i=1
Case 1: ( 1 > 0
5
ln
0
=ln ( 0 )ln( 1)<0
1
( )
n ( 0 1 ) ln ( e ) + x i ln
i=1
0
k
1
( )
x i ln
i=1
0
k +n( 0 1)
1
( )
n
xi >
k +n( 0 1)
i=1
ln
0
1
( )
x i >a '
i=1
Case 2: ( 1 < 0
ln
0
=ln ( 0 )ln ( 1 ) >0
1
( )
n ( 0 1 ) ln ( e ) + x i ln
i=1
0
k
1
( )
x i ln
i=1
0
k +n( 0 1)
1
( )
n
xi
k +n( 0 1)
i=1
ln
0
1
( )
xi a '
i=1
Step 3:
Under H 0 : = 0 ,
g ( x1 , , xn ) = x i Poi ( n , 0 )
i=1
Step 4:
Set =0.0 5
P [ Type I Error ] =
Case 1:
P [ Reject H 0| H 0 : = 0 istrue =0.025=
xi Poi(n , 0)
n
x i a ' =0.025
i=1
i=1
P
xi Poi(n , 0)
n
( xi 0 )
i=1
a' 0 n
0
i=1
a' 0
P z
0
|
n
i=1
x i Poi ( n , 0 ) = 0.025
Case 2:
7
xi Poi(n , 0)
n
x i a =0.025
'
i=1
i=1
P
xi Poi(n , 0)
n
( xi 0 )
i=1
a' 0 n
0
i=1
a' 0
P z
0
i=1
x i Poi ( n , 0 ) = 0.025
a 0
= 1.96
0
H 0 : = 0 vs . H a : = 1 , 1 0 at =0.05n=
i=1
i=1
H 0 if xi x xi x
a' =30.14742049
Case 2
a' =1.96 0+ 0
a' =1.96 ( 43)+ 43
a' =12.85257951+ 43
a' =55.85257951
H 0 : = 0 vs . H a : = 1 , 1 0 at =0.05n=
i=1
i=1
H 0 if xi 30.14742049 x i 55.85257951
'
a =79.68
Therefore, the UMPT for
Reject
H 0 : = 0 vs . H a : = 1 , 1 0 at =0.05n=
i=1
i=1
H 0 if xi 48.32 x i 79.68
a =1.96( 48)+ 48
'
a =13.57927833+48
'
a =34.42072167
Case 2
a' =1.96 0+ 0
a' =1.96 ( 48)+ 48
a' =13.57927833+ 48
a' =61.57927833
Therefore, the UMPT for
Reject
H 0 : = 0 vs . H a : = 1 , 1 0 at =0.05n=
i=1
i=1
H 0 if xi 34.42072167 x i 61.57927833
10