THE FLORIDA

PUERTO RICAN ELECTORATE

SURVEY FINDINGS

October 5, 2016

The Research
2

N=504 Puerto Rican registered voters in Florida

57% island-born; 43% U.S. mainland born

Margin of error is +/- 4.4%

Field Dates: September 17 September 26, 2016

Blended live-call landline and mobile, and online

Available in Spanish or English at subjects discretion

Content
Interest and Engagement in 2016 election
Candidate favorability and vote
Issue priorities and positions

PRIORITY ISSUES AND

CANDIDATE PREFERENCES

Priority Issues
4

Thinking about
the 2016 election,
what are the most
important issues
facing Puerto
Ricans and
Latinos that
politicians should
address?
[open-ended, up to
two recorded]

Economy/Jobs

33%

Health care/insurance
Immigration/deportations
Education/public schools
Puerto Rican debt/financial crisis
Anti-Latino/immigrant discrimination

19%
13%
12%
11%
10%

Source: CAP Action Fund (N=504; MoE +/-4.4%)

Priority Issues
5

Thinking about
the 2016 election,
what are the most
important issues
facing Puerto
Ricans and
Latinos that
politicians should
address?
[open-ended, up to
two recorded]

Total

Mainland
Born

Island
Born

Economy and Jobs

33%

28%

37%

Health care or health insurance

19%

22%

17%

Immigration or deportations

13%

11%

14%

Education or public schools

12%

12%

11%

Puerto Rican debt/financial crisis

11%

11%

11%

Anti-Latino or immigrant discrimination

10%

14%

7%

Source: CAP Action Fund (N=504; MoE +/-4.4%)

Presidential Candidate Favorability

6

80%

Net
Clinton
42%

Favorable

Unfavorable

60%
40%

68%

20%

Net
Trump
-63%
15%

0%
-20%
-40%

-26%

-78%

-60%
-80%

Source: CAP Action Fund (N=504; MoE +/-4.4%)

Presidential Candidate
Favorability by Nativity
7

Mainland Born

Island Born
79%
71%

70%
60%

32%
21%

19%
11%

Clinton Favorable

Clinton Unfavorable

Trump Favorable

Trump Unfavorable

Source: CAP Action Fund (N=504; MoE +/-4.4%)

Senate Candidate Favorability

8

Murphy

Rubio

Favorable
32%

Favorable
41%

Unfavorable
21%

Don't know
47%

Unfavorable
43%

Don't know
16%

Source: CAP Action Fund (N=504; MoE +/-4.4%)

Senate Candidate
Favorability by Nativity
9

Mainland Born

Island Born

51%
45%
38%

41%

41%

40%
34%

31%
26%

17% 18%

Rubio
Favorable

Rubio
Unfavorable

Rubio
No opinion/DK

18%

Murphy
Favorable

Murphy
Unfavorable

Murphy
No opinion/DK

Source: CAP Action Fund (N=504; MoE +/-4.4%)

Presidential Vote
10

Clinton
74%

Trump
17%

Other
Candidate 3%
Undecided
4%
Not voting
2%

Source: CAP Action Fund (N=504; MoE +/-4.4%)

Presidential Vote by Nativity

11

Clinton

Trump
75%

67%

18%

Mainland Born

14%

Island Born
Source: CAP Action Fund (N=504; MoE +/-4.4%)

Senate Vote
12

Rubio
42%

Murphy
44%

Undec
7%

Other
7%

Source: CAP Action Fund (N=504; MoE +/-4.4%)

Senate Vote by Nativity

13

Rubio

Murphy
46%

40%

40%
37%

Mainland Born

Island Born
Source: CAP Action Fund (N=504; MoE +/-4.4%)

Importance of Puerto Rico issues

on candidate support
14

Very important

When it comes to
voting, how much
do you consider
candidate views
on Puerto Rico,
and issues on the
island in deciding
who you will
support?
Would you
candidate views
on Puerto Rico
are.

Total

Mainland Born

Somewhat important

55%

46%

Spanish Interview

26%

46%

8%

10%

Don't know

10%

14%

4%

4%

5% 6% 7%

21%

28%

67%

Does not matter at all

23%

61%

Island Born

English Interview

Not very important

9%
15%

13%

4%

6% 5% 7%

Source: CAP Action Fund (N=504; MoE +/-4.4%)

Support for candidates based

on policy positions

(percent if favor of candidate who takes [stated position] reported)

15

Supports emergency Zika

funding in Florida

85%

Supports explanding
public school pre-K

84%

Supports helping PR govt address financial

crisis, economic help to PR people

82%

Candidate who supports

clean energy jobs/use
Candidate who supports
path to citizenship
Candidate who supports
expanding Medicaid
Candidate who supports
raising min wage to $15

80%
77%
76%
74%
Source: CAP Action Fund (N=504; MoE +/-4.4%)

Preferred Puerto Rico Status

16

Become 51st state

Total

Mainland Born

56%

42%

Island Born

English Interview
Spanish Interview

Remain commonwealth

Don't have strong opinion

25%

32%

51%

20%

27%

63%

11%

15%

65%

7%

12%

10%

9%

13%
21%

5%

11%

5%

Source: CAP Action Fund (N=504; MoE +/-4.4%)

INTEREST AND ENGAGEMENT

Likely Voters
18

Which of the
following
statements
about voting in
November
presidential
election
describes you
best?

Will definitely vote

84%
Will probably vote,
uncertain now
14%

Definitely won't
vote
2%

Source: CAP Action Fund (N=504; MoE +/-4.4%)

In your opinion, does it matter who wins

the 2016 presidential election?
19

Yes, matters a lot

84%
Matters
somewhat
8%
Doesn't
matter
6%

Source: CAP Action Fund (N=504; MoE +/-4.4%)

Attention and Engagement

20

How often do you follow news related to the

upcoming election?
Daily

23%

Several times
week

Few times
month

Rarely/Never

How often do you follow news related to Puerto Rico?

Daily

36%

46%

Several times
week

24%

Few times
month

13%

27%

Rarely/Never

19%

10%

Source: CAP Action Fund (N=504; MoE +/-4.4%)

Attention and Engagement by Nativity

21

How often do you follow news related to the

upcoming election?
Mainland Born

Rarely/Never

Island Born

31%

Daily

22%

Several times
week
Few times
month

Mainland Born

Island Born
24%

Daily

How often do you follow news related to Puerto Rico?

37%
35%

57%

Several times
week

29%
21%

Few times
month

16%
10%

21%

Rarely/Never
31%

21%
16%

19%
5%

Source: CAP Action Fund (N=504; MoE +/-4.4%)

Voter Contact by nativity and language

22

Over the past few months, has anyone from a campaign, political party, or community organization asked you to vote,
support their candidate, or register to vote? (Percent YES illustrated)

42%

40%
37%
34%

29%

Total

Mainland
Born

Island
Born

English
Interview

Spanish
Interview

Source: CAP Action Fund (N=504; MoE +/-4.4%)

News and Information Sources

23

People get news

and information
from many
difference places.
I am going to
read a list of
sources, for each
one, please tell
me if this is a
place you get
news and
information.

Local tv news

91%

Online news outlets

67%

Social Networks

Local Radio

61%

51%

Source: CAP Action Fund (N=504; MoE +/-4.4%)

English language media consumption

24

How often do you use English language media, including online, tv, radio, and
others to get news, information, and entertainment?
Daily
A few times a week

12%

8%

15%

14%

73%

77%

Total

Mainland Born

14%

Few times month/hardly ever

7%
11%

15%

70%

Island Born

18%
20%

81%
62%

English
Interview

Spanish
Interview

Source: CAP Action Fund (N=504; MoE +/-4.4%)

Political Participation in Puerto Rico

(asked only of island born respondents)
25

When you lived in Puerto Rico, did you vote in

elections there?

Yes
56%

No
35%

No, was too

young
9%

Based on your experience, which do you agree

with most?

Compared to Puerto Rico,

registering and voting is
easier in Florida.

45%

Registering and voting in

Puerto Rico and Florida
are about the same.

44%

Compared to Puerto Rico,

registering and voting is
more difficult in Florida.

11%

Source: CAP Action Fund (N=504; MoE +/-4.4%)