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BANKING
GROWTH OF BANKING SYSTEM IN INDIA :
In order to understand present make up of banking sector in India and
its past progress, it will be fitness of things to look at its development in a
somewhat longer historical perspective. The past four decades and
particularly the last two decades witnessed cataclysmic change in the
face of commercial banking all over the world. Indian banking system
has also followed the same trend.
In over five decades since dependence, banking system in India has
passed through five distinct phase, viz.
(1) Evolutionary Phase (prior to 1950)
(2) Foundation phase (1950-1968)
(3) Expansion phase (1968-1984)
(4) Consolidation phase (1984-1990)
(5) Reformatory phase (since 1990)
EVOLUTION PHASE: (PRIOR TO 1950)
Enactment of the RBI Act 1935 gave birth to scheduled banks in India,
and some of these banks had already been established around 1981.
The prominent among the scheduled banks is the Allahabad Bank,
which was set up in 1865 with European management. The first bank
which was establishedwith Indian ownership and management was the
Oudh Commercial Bank, Iformed in 1881, followed by the Ajodhya Bank
in 1884, the Punjab National Bank in 1894 and Nedungadi Bank in 1899.
Thus, there were five Banks inexistence in the 19th century. During the
period 1901-1914, twelve morebanks were established, prominent
among which were the Bank of Baroda(1906), the Canara Bank (1906),
the Indian Bank (1907), the Bank of India(1908) and the Central Bank of
India (1911).
Thus, the five big banks of today had come into being prior to the
commencement of the First World War. In 1913, and also l in 1929, the
IndianBank faced serious crises. Several banks succumbed to these
crises. Publicconfidence in banks received a jolt. There was a heavy
rush on banks. An important point to be noted here is that no commercial
bank was established during the First World War, while as many as
twenty scheduled banks came into existenceafter independence -- two in
the public sector and one in the private sector.
The United Bank of India was formed in 1950 by the merger of four
existingcommercial banks.Certain non-scheduled banks were included in
the second schedule ofthe Reserve Bank in view of these facts, the
number of scheduled banks roseto 81. Out of 81 Indian scheduled
banks, as many as 23 were either liquidatedor merged into or
amalgamated with other scheduled banks in 1968, leaving
58 Indian schedule banks.It may be emphasized at this stage that
banking system in India cameto be recognized in the beginning of 20
century as powerful instrument toinfluence the pace and pattern of
economic development of the county. In1921 need was felt to have a
State Bank endowed with all support andresources of the Government
with a view to helping industries and bankingfacilities to grow in all parts
of the country. It is towards the accomplishment ofthis objective that the
three Presidency Banks were amalgamated to form the
Imperial Bank of India. The role of the Imperial Bank was envisaged as
toextend banking facilities, and to render the money resources of India
moreaccessible to the trade and industry of this country, thereby
promotingfinancial system which is an indisputable condition of the
social and economicadvancement of India.Until 1935 when RBI came
into existence to play the role of CentralBank of the country and
regulatory authority for the banks. Imperial Bank ofIndia played the role
of a quasicentral bank. It was by making it the solerepository of all its
funds and by changing the volume of its deposits with theBank as and
when desired by it, the Government tried to influence the base of
deposits and hence credit creation by Imperial Bank and by rest of the
banking system.Thus, the role of commercial banks in India remained
confined toproviding vehicle for the communitys savings and attending
to the creditneeds of only certain selected and limited segments of the
economy. Banksoperations were influenced primarily by commercial
principle and not bydevelopmental factor.Regulation was still only being
introduced and unhealthy practices inthe banks were then more rules
than exceptions. Failure of banks wascommon as governance in
privately owned joint stock banks left much to bedesired.
Regulators
The banking system
Non-banking finance companies
The capital market
Mutual funds
Overall approach to reforms
Deregulation of banking system
Capital market developments
Consolidation imperative
The details of the above segments have been explained separately as
under.
FINANCIAL MARKETS
In the last decade, Private Sector Institutions played an important role.
They grew rapidly in commercial banking and asset management
business.With the openings in the insurance sector for these institutions,
they startedmaking debt in the market.Competition among financial
intermediaries gradually helped theinterest rates to decline. Deregulation
added to it. The real interest rate wasmaintained. The borrowers did not
pay high price while depositors hadincentives to save. It was something
between the nominal rate of interest andthe expected rate of inflation.
REGULATORS
The Finance Ministry continuously formulated major policies in the field
of financial sector of the country. The Government accepted the
important role
of regulators. The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has become more
independent. Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI) and the
Insurance Regulatory and Development Authority (IRDA) became
important
institutions. Opinions are also there that there should be a superregulator for
the financial services sector instead of multiplicity of regulators.
68
THE BANKING SYSTEM
Almost 80% of the businesses are still controlled by Public Sector
Banks (PSBs). PSBs are still dominating the commercial banking
system.Shares of the leading PSBs are already listed on the stock
exchanges.The RBI has given licenses to new private sector banks as
capital wereprovided by the Government to PSBs.Government preemption of banks' resources through statutory liquidityratio (SLR) and
cash reserve ratio (CRR) brought down in steps. Interest rates
on the deposits and lending sides almost entirely were deregulated.
New private sector banks are allowed to promote and encourage
competition. PSBs were encouraged to approach the public for raising
resources. Recovery of debts due to banks and the Financial Institutions
Act,1993 was passed, and special recovery tribunals set up to facilitate
quicker recovery of loan arrears.
Bank lending norms liberalized and a loan system to ensure better
controlover credit introduced. Banks asked to set up asset liability
management(ALM) systems. RBI guidelines issued for risk management
systems in banksencompassing credit, market and operational risks.
A credit information bureau arebeing established to identify bad risks.
Derivative products such as forward rate agreements (FRAs) and
interest rateswaps (IRSs) introduced.
CAPITAL MARKET DEVELOPMENTS
The Capital Issues (Control) Act, 1947, repealed, office of the Controller
of Capital Issues were abolished and the initial share pricing were
decontrolled.SEBI, the capital market regulator was established in 1992.
Foreign institutional investors (FIIs) were allowed to invest in Indian
capitalmarkets after registration with the SEBI. Indian companies were
permitted toaccess international capital markets through euro issues.
The National Stock Exchange (NSE), with nationwide stock trading and
electronic display, clearing and settlement facilities was established.
Severallocal stock exchanges changed over from floor based trading to
screen basedtrading.
PRIVATE MUTUAL FUNDS PERMITTED
The Depositories Act had given a legal framework for the establishment
ofdepositories to record ownership deals in book entry form.
Dematerialisationof stocks encouraged paperless trading. Companies
were required to discloseall material facts and specific risk factors
associated with their projects while making public issues.
To reduce the cost of issue, underwriting by the issuer were made
optional, subject to conditions. The practice of making preferential
allotment ofshares at prices unrelated to the prevailing market prices
are anumber of small mutual fund players in the private sector, but the
businessbeing comparatively new for the private players, it will take
some time.We finally come to convergence in the financial sector, the
newbuzzword internationally. Hi-tech and the need to meet increasing
consumer needs is encouraging convergence, even though it has not
always been asuccess till date. In India organizations such as IDBI,
ICICI, HDFC and SBIare already trying to offer various services to the
customer under oneumbrella. This phenomenon is expected to grow
rapidly in the coming years.
Where mergers may not be possible, alliances between organizations
may beeffective. Various forms of bank assurance are being introduced,
with the RBIhaving already come out with detailed guidelines for entry of
banks intoinsurance. The LIC has bought into Corporation Bank in order
to spread itsinsurance distribution network. Both banks and insurance
companies havestarted entering the asset management business, as
there is a great deal of synergy among these businesses. The pensions
market is expected to openup fresh opportunities for insurance
companies and mutual funds.It is not possible to play the role of the
Oracle of Delphi when a vastnation like India is involved. However, a few
trends are evident, and thecoming decade should be as interesting as
the last one.
Indian banking system has been subject to widespread structural
reforms initiated since June 1991. This phase can be regarded as
"secondbanking revolution". Reform measures such as introduction of
new accountingand prudential norms, liberalization measures etc., are
heading towards atruly competitive and well structured banking system
resilient from aninternational perspective.Continued financial profligacy
of the Government coupled with closemonitoring and control rendered
the financial systems completely dependentand inefficient so much so
that by the year 1991, the situation was ripe fordrastic reforms. It was,
however, precipitated by the unprecedented economiccrisis which
engulfed the economy in 1991. For the first time in its history,India faced
the problem of defaulting on its international commitments. The
access to external commercial credit markets was completely denied;
International credit ratings had been downgraded and the international
financial communitys confidence in Indias ability to manage its
economy hadbeen severally eroded. The economy suffered from serious
Tier I capital should not be less than 2 per cent. The BIS standard of 8
percent should be achieved over a period of three years, that is, by
March 1996,For banks with international presence, it is necessary to
reach the figure evenearlier. Before arriving at the capital adequacy ratio
of each bank, it isnecessary that assets of banks should be evaluated on
the basis of theirrealizable value.
Those banks whose operations are profitable and which enjoy reputation
in the markets are all over to approach capital market for enhancement
of capital. In respect of others, the Government should meet the
shortfall by direct subscription to capital by providing loan.
As per the recommendations of the Narasimham Committee banks
cannot recognize income (interest income on advances) on assets
whereincome is not received within two quarters after it is past due. The
committee recommended international norm of 90 days in phased
mannerby 2002.
The assets are now classified on the basis ,of their performance into 4
categories:
(a) standard,
(b) sub-standard,
(c) doubtful, and
(d) loss assets.
Adequate provision is required to be made for bad and doubtful debts
(substandard assets). Detailed instructions for provisioning have been
laid
down. In addition, a credit exposure norm of 15 per cent to a single party
and40 per cent to a group has been prescribed. Banks have been
advised tomake their balance sheets transparent with maximum
'disclosure' on thefinancial health of institutions.
The Committee recommended provisioning norms for nonperforming
assets. On outstanding substandard assets 10 percent general provision
should be made (1992). On loss assets the permission shall be 100
percent.On secured portion of doubtful assets, the provision should be
20 to 50 percent.:"
(C) COMPETITION DIRECTED MEASURES
Since 1969 none bank had allowed to be opened in India. That policy
usual norms
13. Banks should update their operational manuals which should form
the basic
document of internal control systems.
14. There is need to institute an independent loan review mechanism
especially
for large borrower accounts to identify potential NPAs.
90
15. Recruitment of skilled manpower directly from the market be given
urgent
consideration
16. To rationalize staff strengths, an appropriate VRS must be
introduced.
17. A weak bank should be one whose accumulated losses and net
NPAs exceed
its net worth or one whose operating profits less its income on recap
bonds is
negative for 3 consecutive years.
The Narsimham Committee seeks to consolidate the gains made in the
Indian financial sectors while improving the quality of portfolio, providing
greater operational flexibility, autonomy in the internal operations of the
banksand FIs so to nurture in, a healthy competitive and vibrant financial
sector.
REVIEW OF BANKING SECTOR REFORMS:
In line with the recommendations of the second Narasimham
Committee, the Mid-Term Review of the Monetary and Credit Policy of
October 1999 announced a gamut of measures to strengthen the
bankingsystem. Important measures on strengthening the health of
banks included:
(i)
assigning of risk weight of 2.5 per cent to cover market risk in respect of
investments in securities outside the SLR by March 31, 2001 (over and
abovethe existing 100 per cent risk weight) in addition to a similar
prescription forGovernment and other approved securities by March 31,
2000, and (ii)
India has a long history of both public and private banking. Modern
banking in India began inthe 18th century, with the founding of the
English Agency House in Calcutta and Bombay. In the
first half of the 19th century, three Presidency banks were founded. After
the 1860 introductionof limited liability, private banks began to appear,
and foreign banks entered the market. Thebeginning of the 20th century
saw the introduction of joint stock banks. In 1935, the presidency
banks were merged together to form the Imperial Bank of India, which
was subsequently renamedthe State Bank of India. Also that year,
Indias central bank, the Reserve Bank of India (RBI),began operation.
Following independence, the RBI was given broad regulatory authority
overcommercial banks in India. In 1959, the State Bank of India acquired
the state-owned banks ofeight former princely states. Thus, by July
1969, approximately 31 percent of scheduled bankbranches throughout
India were government controlled, as part of the State Bank of India.
The post-war development strategy was in many ways a socialist one,
and the Indian government
felt that banks in private hands did not lend enough to those who needed
it most. InJuly 1969, the government nationalized all banks whose
nationwide deposits were greater thanRs. 500 million, resulting in the
nationalization of 54 percent more of the branches in India,and bringing
the total number of branches under government control to 84 percent.
Prakesh Tandon, a former chairman of the Punjab National Bank
(nationalized in 1969)
describes the rationale for nationalization as follows:
Many bank failures and crises over two centuries, and the damage they
did underlaissez faire conditions; the needs of planned growth and
equitable distribution ofcredit, which in privately owned banks was
concentrated mainly on the controllingindustrial houses and influential
borrowers; the needs of growing small scale industryand farming
regarding finance, equipment and inputs; from all these there emerged
an inexorable demand for banking legislation, some government control
and a centralbanking authority, adding up, in the final analysis, to social
control and nationalization.
After nationalization, the breadth and scope of the Indian banking sector
expanded at a rateperhaps unmatched by any other country. Indian
market might. Most small or medium firms have a relationship with one
bank, which they havebuilt up over some timethey cannot expect to
walk into another bank and get as much creditas they want. For that
reason, their ability to finance investments they need to make does
depend on the willingness of that one bank to finance them. In this
sense the results we report
below might very well reflect the specificities of the public sector banks,
or even the one bankthat was kind enough to share its data with us,
though given that it is seen as one of the bestpublic sector banks, it
seems unlikely that we would find much better results in other banks in
its category. On the other hand we do not have comparable data from
any private bank andtherefore cannot tell whether under-lending is as
much of a problem for private banks. We will,however, later report some
results on the relative performance of public and private banks in
terms of overall credit deliveryOur identification of credit constrained
firms is based on the following simple observation:
if a firm that is not credit constrained is offered some extra credit at a
rate below what it ispaying on the market, then the best way to make use
of the new loan must be to pay down thefirms current market borrowing,
rather than to invest more. This is because, by the definition
of not being credit constrained, any additional investment will drive the
marginal product ofcapital below what the firm is paying on its market
borrowing. It follows that a firm that isnot facing any credit constraint will
expand its investment in response to additional subsidized
credit becoming available, only if it has no more market borrowing. By
contrast, a firm that iscredit constrained will always expand its
investment to some extent.A corollary to this prediction is that for
unconstrained firms, growth in revenue should be
slower than the growth in subsidized credit. This is a direct consequence
of the fact that firmsare substituting subsidized credit for market
borrowing. Therefore, if we do not see a gap inthese growth rates, the
firm must be credit constrained. Of course, revenue could increase
slowerthan credit even for non-constrained firms, if the technology has
declining marginal return tocapital.
These predictions are more robust than the traditional way of measuring
credit constraintsas the excess sensitivity of investment to cash flow.
in rules, small firms had 7.6 percent growth while the big firms had 11.3
percent growth.
Until 1997, the rule was based on the working capital gap, defined as the
difference between thecurrent assets of the firm and its total current
liabilities excluding bank finance (other currentliabilities). The
presumption is that the current assets are illiquid in the very short run
andtherefore the firm needs to finance them. Trade credit is one source
of finance, and what thefirm cannot finance in this way constitutes the
working capital gap.Firms were supposed to cover a part of this
financing need, corresponding to no less than 25percent of the current
assets, from equity. The maximum permissible bank finance under this
method was thus:
0.75 CURRENT ASSETS OTHER CURRENT LIABILITIES (5)
The sum of all loans from the banking system was supposed not to
exceed this amount.
This definition of the maximum permissible bank finance applied to loans
above Rs. 20million. For loans below Rs.20 million, banks were
supposed to calculate the limit based on the
projected turnover of the firm. Projected turnover was to be determined
by a loan officer inconsultation with the client. The firms financing need
was estimated to be 25 percent of theprojected turnover and the bank
was allowed to finance up to 80 percent of what the firm needs,
i.e. up to 20 percent of the firms projected turnover. The rest, amounting
to at least 5 percentof the projected turnover has again to be financed by
long term resources available to the firm.In the middle of 1997, following
the recommendation of the committee on financing of thesmall scale
industries (the Nayak committee), the RBI decided to give each bank the
flexibility
Nayak committee recommended that the turnover rule be used to
calculate the lending limit for all loans under Rs. 40 millions.
Given the freedom to choose the rule, different banks went for slightly
different strategies.
The bank we studied adopted a policy which was, in effect, a mix
between the now recommendedturnover-based rule and the older rule
based on the firms asset position. First the limit onturnover basis was
calculated as:
min(0.20 Projected turnover, 0.25 Projected turnover available
margin) (6)
The available margin here is the financing available to the firm from long
term sources (suchas equity), and is calculated as Current Assets
Current Liabilities from the current balance
sheet. In other words the presumption is that the firm has somehow
managed to finance thisgap in the current period and therefore should
be able to do so in the future. Therefore the bank
only needs to finance the remaining amount. Note that if the firm had
previously managed toget the bank to follow the turnover based rule
exactly, its available margin would be precisely 5percent of turnover and
the two amounts in 6 would be equal.
The rule did not stop here. For all loans below Rs 40 million (all the loans
in our sampleare below 40 million), the loan officer was supposed to use
both equation 6 and the older rulerepresented by 5. The largest
permissible limit on the loan was the maximum of these twonumbers.
Two comments about the nature of this rule are in order. First, this
turnover based approachto working capital finance is relatively standard
even in the USA. However the view in the USAis that working capital
finance is essentially financing inventories and is therefore backed by
thevalue of the inventories. In India, the inventories do not seem to
provide adequate security, asevidenced by the high rates of default. In
such cases it may be much more important to payattention to
profitability, since profitable companies are less likely default. Second, in
the USAthe role of finding promising firms and promoting them is carried
out, to a significant extent, byventure capitalists. In India the venture
capital industry is still nascent and it will be a whilebefore it can play the
role that we expect of its US equivalent. Therefore banks may have to
bemore pro-active in promoting promising firms. Following a rule that
doesnot put any weighton profits may not be the way to favor the most
promising firms: while the projected turnovercalculation does favor faster
growing firms, the loan officer is not allowed to project a growth
rate greater than 15 percent. This may be enough to meet the needs of a
mature firm, but asmall firm that is growing fast clearly needs much more
than 15 percent. It is important thatthe rules encourage the loan officers
to lend more to companies on the basis of promise.
TheFutureofBankingReform
When we take this evidence together, where does it leave us? There are
obvious problems withthe Indian banking sector, ranging from underlending to unsecured lending, which we havediscussed at some length.
There is now a greater awareness of these problems in the Indian
government and a willingness to do something about them.
One policy option that is being discussed is privatization. The evidence
from Cole, discussedabove, suggests that privatization would lead to an
infusion of dynamism in to the bankingsector: private banks have been
growing faster than comparable public banks in terms of credit,
deposits and number of branches, including rural branches, though it
should be noted that inour empirical analysis, the comparison group of
private banks were the relatively small old
private banks.48 It is not clear that we can extrapolate from this to
whatwe could expectwhen the State Bank of India, which is more than
an order of magnitude greater in size than
the largest old private sector banks. The new private banks are
bigger and in some ways
would have been a better group to compare with. However while this
group is also growing very
fast, they have been favored by regulators in some specific ways, which,
combined with their
relatively short track record, makes the comparison difficult.
Privatization will also free the loan officers from the fear of the CVC and
make them somewhat
more willing to lend aggressively where the prospects are good, though,
as will be discussed
later, better regulation of public banks may also achieve similar goals.
Historically, a crucial difference between public and private sector banks
has been their
willingness to lend to the priority sector. The recent broadening of the
definition of priority
sector has mechanically increased the share of credit from both public
and private sector banks
that qualify as priority sector. The share of priority sector lending from
public sector banks was
42.5 percent in 2003, up from 36.6 percent in 1995. Private sector
lending has shown a similar
On the other hand, public banks have also been failingthe problem
seems to be part
corruption and part inertia/laziness on the part of the lenders. As we saw
above, the cost of
bailing out the public banks may well be larger (appropriately scaled)
than the total losses
incurred from every bank failure since 1969.
49All numbers are from various issues of Report on Trends and
Progress of banking in India.
39
Once again the fact that the new private banks pose a problem: So far
none of them have
defaulted, but they are also new, and as a result, have not yet had to
deal with the slow decline
of once successful companies, which is one of the main sources of the
accumulation of bad debt
on the books of the public banks.
On balance, we feel the evidence argues, albeit quite tentatively, for
privatizing the nationalized
banks, combined with tighter prudential regulations. On the other hand
we see no obvious
case for abandoning the social aspect of banking. Indeed there is a
natural complementarity
between reinforcing the priority sector regulations (for example, by
insisting that private banks
lend more to agriculture) and privatization, since with a privatized
banking sector it is less likely
that the directed loans will get redirected based on political expediency.
However there is no reason to expect miracles from the privatized
banks. For a variety of
reasons including financial stability, the natural tendency of banks, public
or private, the world
over, is towards consolidation and the formation of fewer, bigger banks.
As banks become larger,
they almost inevitably become more bureaucratic, because most lending
decisions in big banks,
by the very fact of the bank being big, must be taken by people who
have no direct financial
stake in the loan. Being bureaucratic means limiting the amount of
discretion the loan officers
can exercise and using rules, rather human judgment wherever possible,
much as is currently
done in Indian nationalized banks. Berger et al. have argued in the
context of the US that this
leads bigger banks to shy away from lending to the smaller firms.50 Our
presumption is that this
process of consolidation and an increased focus on lending to corporate
and other larger firms
is what will happen in India, with or without privatization, though in the
short run, the entry
of a number of newly privatized banks should increase competition for
clients, which ought to
help the smaller firms.
In the end the key to banking reform may lie in the internal bureaucratic
reform of banks,
both private and public. In part this is already happening as many of the
newer private banks
(like HDFC, ICICI) try to reach beyond their traditional clients in the
housing, consumer financeand blue-chip sectors.
This will require a set of smaller step reforms, designed to affect the
incentives of banker in private and public banks. A first step would be to
make lending rulesmore responsive to current profits and projections of
future profits. This may be a way to both target better andguard against
potential NPAs, largely because poor profitability seems to be a good
predictor offuture default. It is clear however that choosing the right way
to include profits in the lendingdecision will not be easy. On one side
there is the danger that unprofitable companies default.On the other
side, there is the danger of pushing a company into default by cutting its
access tocredit exactly when it needs it the most, i.e. right after a shock
to demand or costs has pushedit into the red. Perhaps one way to
balance these objectives would be to create three categoriesof firms: (1)
Profitable to highly profitable firms. Within this category lending should
respondto profitability, with more profitable firms getting a higher limit,
CONCLUSION
The banking sector reforms, which were implemented as a part of
overall economic reforms, witnessed the most effective and impressive
changes, resulting in significant improvements within a short span. The
distinctive features of the reform process may be stated thus:
(i) The process of reforms has all along been pre-designed with a
longterm
vision. The two Committees on financial sector reforms
(Narasimham Committee-I and II) have outlined a clear long-term
vision for the banking segment particularly in terms of ownership of
PSBs, level of competition, etc.
(ii) Reform measures have been all pervasive in terms of coverage of
almost all problem areas. In fact, it can be said that, it is difficult to find
an area of concern in the banking sector on which there has not been a
Committee or a group.
(iii) Most of the reform measures before finalization or implementation
were
passed through a process of extensive consultation and discussion
with the concerned parties.
(iv) Most of the reform measures have targeted and achieved
international
best practices and standards in a systematic and phased manner. .
(v) All the reform measures and changes have been systematically
recorded and are found in the annual reports as well as in the annual
publications of RBI on "Trend and Progress of Banking in India".
The banking system, which was over-regulated and over
administered, was freed from all restrictions and entered into an era of
95competition since 1992. The entry of modern private banks and
foreignbanks enhanced competition. Deregulation of interest rates had
alsointensified competition. Prudential norms relating to income
recognition,asset classification, provisioning and capital adequacy have
led to theimprovement of financial health of banks. Consequent upon
prudentialnorms the most visible structural change has been
improvement in thequality of assets. Further, there has been
considerable improvement in theprofitability of banking system. The net
profits of SCBs, which were negativein 1992-93, become positive in