Documente Academic
Documente Profesional
Documente Cultură
Enero
Febrero
Marzo
Abril
Mayo
Junio
Julio
Agosto
Septiembre
Octubre
Noviembre
Diciembre
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
$1,923.57
$2,241.40
$2,274.96
$2,913.00
$2,749.14
$1,950.64
$2,243.42
$2,286.70
$2,951.86
$2,717.94
$1,956.25
$2,278.78
$2,282.33
$2,959.01
$2,670.80
$1,986.77
$2,323.10
$2,263.11
$2,926.62
$2,639.60
$2,055.69
$2,346.93
$2,310.24
$2,858.94
$2,719.43
$2,120.17
$2,305.66
$2,364.25
$2,826.95
$2,716.56
$2,161.34
$2,304.28
$2,506.72
$2,858.82
$2,653.32
$2,187.38
$2,288.90
$2,647.22
$2,867.29
$2,598.59
$2,213.76
$2,328.23
$2,751.23
$2,840.08
$2,552.78
$2,176.61
$2,320.65
$2,827.86
$2,876.20
$2,580.70
$2,136.63
$2,310.47
$2,726.66
$2,844.55
$2,530.19
$2,186.21
$2,306.90
$2,814.89
$2,807.20
$2,411.37
Promedio
$
2,087.92 $
2,299.89 $
2,504.68 $
2,877.54 $
2,628.37
0.10152456 0.08904217 0.14886627 -0.08659296
Tasa Devaluacion Promedio
1/ Se refiere a la tasa promedio, calculada considerando nicamente los das hbiles
Fuente: Superintendencia Bancaria, clculos del Banco de la Repblica, Estudios Econmicos.
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
$2,362.96
$2,273.66
$2,237.06
$1,980.59
$2,252.98
$1,978.19
$2,340.49
$2,256.24
$2,227.63
$1,903.27
$2,513.74
$1,952.89
$2,353.71
$2,262.36
$2,201.39
$1,846.90
$2,477.21
$1,909.10
$2,350.01
$2,334.29
$2,144.60
$1,796.13
$2,379.36
$1,940.36
$2,339.22
$2,417.99
$2,007.91
$1,778.01
$2,229.95
$1,984.36
$2,331.79
$2,542.24
$1,923.76
$1,712.28
$2,090.04
$1,925.90
$2,323.38
$2,511.74
$1,950.87
$1,783.09
$2,052.68
$1,874.52
$2,306.19
$2,389.65
$2,058.28
$1,844.29
$2,018.97
$1,819.06
$2,294.52
$2,398.88
$2,117.05
$2,066.04
$1,980.77
$1,805.60
$2,292.55
$2,364.29
$2,003.26
$2,289.17
$1,904.86
$1,808.46
$2,279.85
$2,290.46
$2,047.72
$2,329.16
$1,973.57
$1,863.67
$2,278.91
$2,261.34
$2,014.20
$2,252.72
$2,017.05
$1,925.86
2,077.81 $
1,965.14 $
2,157.60 $
1,899.00
2,321.13 $
2,358.60
-0.11689255 0.01614012
-0.1190472153
-0.0542269448
0.0979375913
-0.1198558737
COLOMBIANO
del Mercado
Pesos por Dlar
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
$1,866.64
$1,852.12
$1,770.01
$1,960.41
$2,397.69 $
2,516.49
$1,882.61
$1,783.56
$1,791.48
$2,040.51
$2,420.38 $
2,540.30
$1,884.38
$1,766.34
$1,809.89
$2,022.19
$2,586.58 $
2,714.74
$1,812.77
$1,775.06
$1,829.96
$1,939.27
$2,495.36 $
2,619.00
$1,801.65
$1,793.28
$1,850.12
$1,915.46
$2,439.09 $
2,559.94
$1,782.54
$1,792.63
$1,909.50
$1,888.10
$2,554.94 $
2,681.53
$1,761.75
$1,784.43
$1,900.59
$1,858.40
$2,731.90 $
2,867.26
$1,785.04
$1,806.34
$1,903.66
$1,899.07
$3,023.29 $
3,173.08
$1,836.15
$1,803.18
$1,919.40
$1,971.34
$3,073.12 $
3,225.38
$1,910.38
$1,804.97
$1,885.91
$2,047.03
$2,937.85 $
3,083.41
$1,918.21
$1,820.29
$1,922.14
$2,127.25
$3,011.42 $
3,160.63
$1,934.08
$1,793.94
$1,934.08
$2,344.23
$3,007.46 $
3,156.47
1,848.02 $
1,798.01 $
1,868.90 $
2,723.26 $
2,858.19
-0.0268461824
-0.0270587386
0.0394231776
2,001.11 $
0.070742337
0.3608765879 0.0495468846
2017
2018
2019
2,641.17
2,772.03
2,909.38
2,666.17
2,798.27
2,936.91
2,849.24
2,990.41
3,138.58
2,748.76
2,884.95
3,027.89
2,686.78
2,819.90
2,959.61
2,814.39
2,953.84
3,100.19
3,009.32
3,158.42
3,314.91
3,330.30
3,495.31
3,668.49
3,385.19
3,552.92
3,728.95
3,236.18
3,396.53
3,564.81
3,317.23
3,481.58
3,654.09
3,312.87
3,477.01
3,649.28
3,148.43 $
3,304.43
2,999.80 $
EMPRESA BOTMUND
PARAMETROS DE PROYECCION
PROYECCION DE VENTAS
ventas unidades
crecimeintos en ventas
Precio de venta
crecimiento precio venta
tipo de cambio inicial
devaluacion proyectada
$
$
costo de produccion
4,000
20%
25.35
10.00%
3,072
4.955%
40%
PRESUPUESTO DE INVERSIN
gastos admon inicial
crecimiento gastos admon
$ 9,382,327.37
6%
5%
PRESUPUESTO DE INVERSIN
INVERSION FIJA
Terreno
bodega
propiedad planta y equipo
muebles y enseres
TOTAL INVERSION FIJA
$
$
$
0
0
13,444,500.00
4,687,000.00
18,131,500.00
INVERSION DIFERIDA
Gastos notariales
investigacion mdo internal
Inversion compras
TOTAL INVERSION DIFERIDA
$
$
$
2,000,000.00
124,892,000.00
126,892,000
CAPITAL INICIAL
187,255,500.00
TOTAL INVERSION
341,661,327.37
COSTOS DE FINANCIACION
FINANCIACION
aporte de los socios
costo de oportunidad
0%
20%
Deuda
costo endeudamiento
plazo
100%
10%
5
33%
1. HORIZONTE DE PROYECCION
2. INVERSION
341,661,327
3. FINANCIACION
RECURSOS PROPIOS
PROOYECCION DE LA DEUDA
DEUDA
$
PLAZO
TASA
CUOTA
$
0
341,661,327.37
60
0.80%
7,197,766.33
TABLA DE AMORTIZACION
SALDO INCIAL
PERIODO
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
341,661,327
337,206,274
332,715,457
328,188,590
323,625,383
319,025,545
314,388,781
309,714,795
305,003,289
300,253,960
295,466,506
290,640,620
285,775,994
280,872,317
275,929,275
270,946,552
265,923,830
260,860,788
255,757,102
250,612,446
245,426,491
240,198,905
234,929,354
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
56
57
58
59
60
229,617,501
224,263,007
218,865,530
213,424,724
207,940,241
202,411,731
196,838,841
191,221,213
185,558,490
179,850,309
174,096,305
168,296,111
162,449,354
156,555,663
150,614,659
144,625,964
138,589,194
132,503,963
126,369,883
120,186,560
113,953,601
107,670,606
101,337,174
94,952,900
88,517,375
82,030,189
75,490,927
68,899,169
62,254,497
55,556,483
48,804,701
41,998,718
35,138,100
28,222,407
21,251,198
14,224,028
7,140,446
AO 0
INTERESES PAGADOS
AMORTIZACION A CAPITAL
4. COSTO DE CAPITAL
20%
PARTICIPACION
0%
100%
AO 0
ventas unidad
precio de venta en dlar
tasa de cambio
precio de venta en pesos
VENTAS TOTALES EN PESO
187,255,500
UTILIDAD OPERATIVA
IMPUESTOS
(18,131,500)
(126,892,000)
(187,255,500)
(332,279,000)
341,661,327
9,382,327
6. EVALUACION FINANCIERA DE
AO 0
(332,279,000)
20%
126,721,193
31.64%
28.01%
9,382,327
6.75%
383,519,549
Err:523
88.55%
x dlar
vtas
aos
AOS
ABLA DE AMORTIZACION
CUOTA
7,197,766.33
7,197,766.33
7,197,766.33
7,197,766.33
7,197,766.33
7,197,766.33
7,197,766.33
7,197,766.33
7,197,766.33
7,197,766.33
7,197,766.33
7,197,766.33
7,197,766.33
7,197,766.33
7,197,766.33
7,197,766.33
7,197,766.33
7,197,766.33
7,197,766.33
7,197,766.33
7,197,766.33
7,197,766.33
7,197,766.33
INTERESES
2,742,712.96
2,706,949.67
2,670,899.29
2,634,559.51
2,597,928.01
2,561,002.45
2,523,780.47
2,486,259.68
2,448,437.70
2,410,312.09
2,371,880.43
2,333,140.25
2,294,089.09
2,254,724.44
2,215,043.78
2,175,044.59
2,134,724.30
2,094,080.33
2,053,110.09
2,011,810.96
1,970,180.30
1,928,215.45
1,885,913.72
AMORTIZACION A K
4,455,053.37
4,490,816.66
4,526,867.04
4,563,206.82
4,599,838.32
4,636,763.88
4,673,985.86
4,711,506.65
4,749,328.64
4,787,454.24
4,825,885.91
4,864,626.08
4,903,677.25
4,943,041.90
4,982,722.55
5,022,721.75
5,063,042.04
5,103,686.00
5,144,656.24
5,185,955.37
5,227,586.03
5,269,550.89
5,311,852.62
SALDO FINAL
341,661,327
337,206,274
332,715,457
328,188,590
323,625,383
319,025,545
314,388,781
309,714,795
305,003,289
300,253,960
295,466,506
290,640,620
285,775,994
280,872,317
275,929,275
270,946,552
265,923,830
260,860,788
255,757,102
250,612,446
245,426,491
240,198,905
234,929,354
229,617,501
7,197,766.33
7,197,766.33
7,197,766.33
7,197,766.33
7,197,766.33
7,197,766.33
7,197,766.33
7,197,766.33
7,197,766.33
7,197,766.33
7,197,766.33
7,197,766.33
7,197,766.33
7,197,766.33
7,197,766.33
7,197,766.33
7,197,766.33
7,197,766.33
7,197,766.33
7,197,766.33
7,197,766.33
7,197,766.33
7,197,766.33
7,197,766.33
7,197,766.33
7,197,766.33
7,197,766.33
7,197,766.33
7,197,766.33
7,197,766.33
7,197,766.33
7,197,766.33
7,197,766.33
7,197,766.33
7,197,766.33
7,197,766.33
7,197,766.33
AO 1
$ 30,487,862.53 $
$ 55,885,333.49 $
1,843,272.41
1,800,288.79
1,756,960.12
1,713,283.62
1,669,256.51
1,624,875.96
1,580,139.15
1,535,043.21
1,489,585.26
1,443,762.39
1,397,571.67
1,351,010.16
1,304,074.87
1,256,762.80
1,209,070.93
1,160,996.21
1,112,535.57
1,063,685.90
1,014,444.09
964,806.99
914,771.42
864,334.19
813,492.07
762,241.81
710,580.14
658,503.74
606,009.30
553,093.46
499,752.83
445,984.00
391,783.54
337,147.99
282,073.84
226,557.58
170,595.65
114,184.49
57,320.49
5,354,493.93
5,397,477.55
5,440,806.22
5,484,482.72
5,528,509.83
5,572,890.37
5,617,627.18
5,662,723.12
5,708,181.08
5,754,003.95
5,800,194.66
5,846,756.18
5,893,691.47
5,941,003.54
5,988,695.40
6,036,770.12
6,085,230.77
6,134,080.43
6,183,322.24
6,232,959.34
6,282,994.91
6,333,432.14
6,384,274.26
6,435,524.52
6,487,186.20
6,539,262.59
6,591,757.03
6,644,672.88
6,698,013.51
6,751,782.33
6,805,982.79
6,860,618.35
6,915,692.50
6,971,208.76
7,027,170.68
7,083,581.84
7,140,445.85
AO 2
24,860,209.45 $
61,512,986.57 $
AO 3
18,665,851.70 $
67,707,344.32 $
224,263,007
218,865,530
213,424,724
207,940,241
202,411,731
196,838,841
191,221,213
185,558,490
179,850,309
174,096,305
168,296,111
162,449,354
156,555,663
150,614,659
144,625,964
138,589,194
132,503,963
126,369,883
120,186,560
113,953,601
107,670,606
101,337,174
94,952,900
88,517,375
82,030,189
75,490,927
68,899,169
62,254,497
55,556,483
48,804,701
41,998,718
35,138,100
28,222,407
21,251,198
14,224,028
7,140,446
0
AO 4
11,847,722.13
74,525,473.89
19.79
$
$
$
$
AO 1
4,000
25.35
3,072
77,868
AO 2
AO 3
AO 4
$
$
$
$
4,800
27.89
3,224
89,899
$
$
$
$
5,760
30.67
3,384
103,788
$
$
$
$
6,912
33.74
3,551
119,823
311,471,394
431,513,057
597,819,004
828,219,577
124,588,558
172,605,223
239,127,602
331,287,831
112,587,928
119,343,204
126,503,796
134,094,024
3,626,300
25,378,400
3,626,300
25,378,400
3,626,300
25,378,400
3,626,300
25,378,400
196,618,275
206,449,189
216,771,648
227,610,231
AO 2
431,513,057
AO 3
597,819,004
AO 4
828,219,577
124,588,558
112,587,928
3,626,300
25,378,400
266,181,186
172,605,223
119,343,204
3,626,300
25,378,400
320,953,127
239,127,602
126,503,796
3,626,300
25,378,400
394,636,098
331,287,831
134,094,024
3,626,300
25,378,400
494,386,555
45,290,208
14,945,769
110,559,930
36,484,777
203,182,906
67,050,359
333,833,022
110,164,897
30,344,439
3,626,300
25,378,400
74,075,153
3,626,300
25,378,400
136,132,547
3,626,300
25,378,400
223,668,125
3,626,300
25,378,400
59,349,139
103,079,853
165,137,247
252,672,825
(9,362,775)
(9,830,914)
(10,322,459)
(10,838,582)
49,986,364
(55,885,333)
(30,487,863)
10,060,995
93,248,939
(61,512,987)
(24,860,209)
8,203,869
154,814,788
(67,707,344)
(18,665,852)
6,159,731
241,834,242
(74,525,474)
(11,847,722)
3,909,748
(26,325,837)
15,079,613
74,601,323
159,370,795
AO 3
154,814,788
AO 4
241,834,242
74,601,323
159,370,795
(26,325,837)
15,079,613
1,798
3,007
3,304
$
$
AO 5
4,343,006.91
82,030,189.11
TOTAL DEUDA
$
90,204,652.71
$ 341,661,327.37
AO 5
$
$
$
$
8,294
37.11
3,727
138,336
1,147,416,965
458,966,786
142,139,666
3,626,300
25,378,400
238,990,742
AO 5
1,147,416,965
458,966,786
142,139,666
3,626,300
25,378,400
630,111,152
517,305,813
170,710,918
346,594,895
3,626,300
25,378,400
375,599,595
(11,380,512)
364,219,083
(82,030,189)
(4,343,007)
1,433,192
279,279,080
AO 5
364,219,083
279,279,080
MARON COMO
VALOR MINIMO EL
Y COMO VALOR
REPRESENTAN EN
N DISMINUYA A $
0% DE QUE EL VPN
ESTAS GRAFICAS REPRESENTAN EL ANALISIS DE LA TIR CON RISK SIMULATOR, MOSTRANDO EN LA PRI
GRAFICA SE MUESTRA QUE EXISTE UN 46.2% DE PROBABILIDADES DE QUE LA TIR HAYADA EN EL MOD
QUE LA TIR DEL PROYECTO AUMENTE POR ENCIMA DE 55.70%.
LATOR, MOSTRANDO EN LA PRIMERA GRAFICA QUE EXISTE UN 5% DE PROBABLIDAD DE QUE LA TIR SE REDUZC
QUE LA TIR HAYADA EN EL MODELO DE EVAUACION FINANCIERA DISMINUYA DE 55.20%, PO RLO TANTO LA GRAF
%, EN LA SIGUIENTE
TE UN 53.90% DE