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Accounting
Market Pulse.
Conducted by Beaton Research + Consulting
May 2016 (Wave 2 FY16)
Contents
Foreword
Economic outlook
Business conditions
Perceived performance of the Australian
economy 7
Perceived performance of the Australian
economy by segment
Perception of business conditions
present to 2017
Perception of business conditions
by area present to 2017
Perception of business conditions by area
and firm type
7
8
8
9
11
16
Realised rates
Expected changes in realised rates over the
next 6 and 12 months
18
19
19
20
21
22
22
Outsourcing
23
Business priorities
23
14
Revenue predictions
15
15
Marc Totaro
National Manager, Professional Services
Commonwealth Bank
It is my pleasure to present the second-half edition of
the CommBank Accounting Market Pulse for FY16,
conducted in partnership with Beaton Research +
Consulting.
What stands out is how effectively accounting firms
are responding to their business environment. The
survey, which captures a cross-section of the top
100 accounting and restructuring firms, highlights
the array of strategies they are implementing to add
value to their clients and grow their own firms.
Diversification is a common tactic, with a sizeable
percentage intending to enter and grow in new
service lines over the next 12 to 18 months.
Management consulting services is the preferred
area of expansion for many large and mid-sized
accounting firms, as well as restructuring firms. The
latter two groups also see increased opportunities
in business advisory and property advisory services.
Other firms plan on entering wealth management
and financial planning.
This diversification push means the chase for
acquisitions continues. Firms are after strategic
bolt-on assets to gain capability in niche areas like
human resources, taxation law and water asset
management advisory.
More immediately, the greatest short-term growth
in revenue is expected to come from economic
and social policy advice, tax consulting and wealth
Economic outlook
for the jobs market across a number of sectors in
those states. The lower Australian dollar is lifting
the currency exposed sectors of the economy.
Low interest rates look set to stay in place over the
coming year. Inflation remains low and there is little
sign of change in the trend towards quite weak
national wages growth.
Michael Workman
Senior Economist
Commonwealth Bank
Net %
0
Early
'90s
recession
-2
Sep-89
Sep-95
Sep-01
Sep-07
Sep-13
Trend
6.5
5.9
30
5.3
20
4.7
10
4.1
3.5
Jul-05
Unemployment rate
Unemployment
rate, (lhs)
-10
Jul-07
Jul-09
Jul-11
Jul-13
Jul-15
Trend
25%
23%
36%
20%
56%
40%
W1 FY16
W2 FY16
W1 FY16
W2 FY16
W1 FY16
W2 FY16
At the moment
In 12 months
In 2 years
Perceived performance of
Australian economy
Mid-sized firms
50%
Restructuring firms
-21%
Other firms
Negotiating
price with
clients
40%
Collecting
invoices
80%
75%
Victoria
68%
40%
Northern Territory
37%
Finding
quality staff
Large
firms
Management consulting
services
Mid-sized
firms
50%
Restructuring
firms
50%
Other firms
47%
100%
% of respondents
60%
50%
Large
firms
Restructuring
firms
100%
65%
Mid-sized
firms
Other
firms
-20%
50%
50%
42%
Mid-sized
firms
Restructuring
firms
Other
firms
Large
firms
Net % (increasing-decreasing)
100%
Economic and
social policy
advice
83%
Tax
consulting
82%
Wealth management
and financial
planning
Net % (increasing-decreasing)
Staff numbers
43%
40%
IT hardware and
software
40%
Marketing
and business
development
Net % (increasing-decreasing)
Equity partners
Junior to mid-level accountants
Directors / Managers
Fixed share / salary partners
80%
of Large firms
frequently outsource
work to lower cost
providers
26%
Business conditions
Perceived performance of the Australian economy
Perceptions of the Australian economy remain slightly negative among Australian accounting firms.
100
Net % (positive-negative)
80
60
40
20
0
17
17
58
57
-25 -8
-20
-9 -26
-40
Wave 1 FY16
-60
Wave 2 FY16
-80
Positive
-100
Neutral
Negative
Net
20
50
60
40
Net %
20
29
80
20
100
53
42
0
-33
-19
50
50
80
50
25
25
-29
-20
14
-20
-20
11
57
-32
-21
-25
-40
-60
-80
-100
Large firms
Mid-sized firms
Restructuring
firms
Other firms
Large firms
Mid-sized firms
Wave 1 FY16
Positive
Restructuring
firms
Wave 2 FY16
Neutral
Negative
Net
Other firms
90
80
70
56
60
50
40
36
40
25
23
Wave 1 FY16
Wave 2 FY16
30
20
20
10
0
Wave 1 FY16
At the moment
Wave 2 FY16
Wave 1 FY16
Wave 2 FY16
Net % (easy-challenging)
50
40
30
20
47
39
20
13
10
11
8
0
0
-10
-13
-20
-22
-30
-40
-27
-31
-27
-31
-25
-37
-50
Accessing
capital
Keeping
expenses
under control
Wave 1 FY16
-33
-40
Collecting
invoices
-40
Negotiating
price with
clients
Wave 2 FY16
86
Net % (easy-challenging)
80
60
40
62
57
40
38
26
20
20
50
29
16
14
0
-20
-20
-40
-33
-33
-60
-50
11
-40
-60
-80
-100
-120
Wave 1 FY16
Wave 2 FY16
Wave 1 FY16
Accessing capital
Large firms
100
Wave 2 FY16
Wave 1 FY16
Mid-sized firms
Wave 2 FY16
Restructuring firms
Other firms
86
Net % (easy-challenging)
80
60
40
20
0
-20
-40
-60
-20
-5
-16
-11
-25
-40
-20
-25
-29
-16
-50
-67
-80
-80
-100
-80
-80
-100
-120
Wave 1 FY16
Wave 2 FY16
Wave 1 FY16
Large firms
Wave 2 FY16
Mid-sized firms
Restructuring firms
Wave 1 FY16
Wave 2 FY16
Other firms
100
Net % (easy-challenging)
80
60
40
20
0
-20
-40
-60
-80
-20
-29
-57
-32
-60
-50
-20
-43
-33 -29
-19
-25
-40
-47
-100
Wave 2 FY16
Wave 1 FY16
Large firms
Wave 2 FY16
Collecting invoices
Mid-sized firms
Restructuring firms
-26
-50
-100
-120
Wave 1 FY16
-25
-100
Wave 1 FY16
-100
Wave 2 FY16
Other firms
10
Negotiating price
with clients
11
Keeping quality
staff
12
Finding quality
staff
13
Business priorities
Market entry planning and growth
Management consulting, wealth management and business advisory are the primary areas of market growth
over the next 12 to 18 months.
100
90
80
70
56
60
50
47
43
44
44
39
37
40
30
30
27
20
20
10
13
17
13
14
13
Management
consulting
services
Wealth
Business
management & advisory services
financial planning
Tax consulting
Wave 1 FY16
Superannuation
Business
recovery &
insolvency
External /
statutory audit
Property advisory
Wave 2 FY16
100
90
80
70
60
50
40
30
20
17
13
10
19
17
10
10
17
10
Risk
management
Corporate finance
(including M&A)
Economic &
social policy
advice
Tax compliance
Wave 1 FY16
7
Internal audit
Private equity
Sustainability /
climate change
Wave 2 FY16
14
Revenue predictions
Changes in revenue by location over the next 6 months
Firms net forecast for total revenue in New South Wales, Victoria and Northern Territory have increased, while
forecasts in other states and regions have dropped or remained flat.
Net % (increasing-decreasing)
90
80
80
70
67
75
68
68
60
56
60
53
50 50
50
50
47
42
38
40
33
30
21
20
20
10
0
Northern
Territory
New South
Wales
Victoria
New Zealand
Queensland
Wave 1 FY16
Australian
Capital
Territory
Tasmania
South Australia
Western
Australia
Wave 2 FY16
Net % (increasing-decreasing)
100
100 100
90
90
83
80
82
83
82
75
74
74
74
70
61
60
50
57
56
44
44
40
30
20
10
0
Economic &
social policy
advice
Tax consulting
Wealth
Superannuation
management &
financial planning
Wave 1 FY16
15
Management
consulting
services
Wave 2 FY16
Business
Property advisory
Corporate
advisory services
finance (including
M&A)
Net % (increasing-decreasing)
100
80
71
60
55
50
40
40
52
50
50
39
38
27
25
25
17
20
-20
-27
-40
External /
statutory audit
Risk
management
Wave 1 FY16
Internal audit
Private equity
Sustainability /
climate change
Business
recovery &
insolvency
Wave 2 FY16
Changes in revenue by service line and firm type over the next 6 months
Other firm leaders forecast a net decrease in revenue in corporate finance in this wave, while leaders in large
firms and mid-sized firm forecast a net decrease in business recovery & insolvency
Net % (increasing-decreasing)
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
71
80
80
75
67
100
100
60
100
100
94
79
75
87
71
50
50
40
20
20
0
-20
-40
-60
-80
-100
Wave 1 FY16
Wave 2 FY16
Wave 1 FY16
Large firms
Wave 2 FY16
Tax consulting
Mid-sized firms
Wave 1 FY16
Wave 2 FY16
Wave 1 FY16
Wave 2 FY16
Superannuation
Other firms
16
Net % (increasing-decreasing)
100
80
89
80
57
60
100
100
100
100
100
86
67
80
60
57
50
50
100
61
50
40
80 75
67 67
60
50
50
33
25
20
0 0
0
-20
-20
-40
-50
-60
-80
-100
Wave 1 FY16
Wave 2 FY16
Wave 1 FY16
Wave 2 FY16
Wave 1 FY16
Large firms
Wave 2 FY16
Property advisory
Mid-sized firms
Wave 1 FY16
Wave 2 FY16
Restructuring firms
Other firms
100
Net % (increasing-decreasing)
80
80
67
60
60
50
60
50
43
33
40
58
40
60
50
67
42
35
14
0
67
33
20
0
75
67
60
20
20
0 0
-20
-40
-60
-80
-100
Wave 1 FY16
Wave 2 FY16
Wave 1 FY16
Wave 2 FY16
Wave 1 FY16
Tax compliance
Large firms
Wave 2 FY16
Wave 1 FY16
Mid-sized firms
Restructuring firms
Wave 2 FY16
Risk management
Other firms
Net % (increasing-decreasing)
100
80
67
75
67
67
67
50 50
60
33
40
20
0
40
33
20
0 0
0 0
0 0 0
0 0 0
0 0 0 0
-20
0
-20-17
-40
-20
-60
-67
-80
-67
-100
Wave 1 FY16
Wave 2 FY16
Internal audit
Large firms
17
Wave 1 FY16
Wave 2 FY16
Private equity
Mid-sized firms
Wave 1 FY16
Wave 2 FY16
Restructuring firms
Wave 1 FY16
Wave 2 FY16
Other firms
Realised rates
Expected changes in realised rates over the next 6 and 12 months
Compared to the last report, Restructuring firms now have a more optimistic view on realised rates.
6.0
4.4
4.0
3.8
3.4
3.6
Mean %
2.5
2.0
1.5
1.5
1.5
0.0
0.0
-2.0
2.5
2.5
2.8
1.3
0.5
0.0
-1.3
-4.0
Wave 1 FY16
Wave 2 FY16
Large firms
Mid-sized firms
Wave 1 FY16
Wave 2 FY16
Restructuring firms
Other firms
18
Net % (increasing-decreasing)
70
60
54
51
50
51
43
40
40
41
40
33
30
23
20
20
13
11
10
0
-10
-20
IT hardware &
software
Marketing &
business
development
Knowledge
management
Wave 1 FY16
Professional
indemnity insurance
Occupancy
Telecommunications
Wave 2 FY16
Net % (increasing-decreasing)
100
80
60
80
80
65
43
60
65
60
50 50
50
37
40
33
14
20
25
32
50
43
47
50
45
26
20
0
71
60
60
-20
-40
-33
-60
-80
-100
Wave 1 FY16
Wave 2 FY16
19
Wave 1 FY16
Wave 2 FY16
Wave 1 FY16
Wave 2 FY16
Wave 1 FY16
Other firms
Wave 2 FY16
Knowledge management
Net % (increasing-decreasing)
80
50
40
30
21
20
0
20
20
20
16
-20
40
15
11
-14
-25
-29
-33
-50
-70
-67
-120
Wave 1 FY16
Wave 2 FY16
Wave 1 FY16
Wave 2 FY16
Wave 1 FY16
Occupancy
Large firms
Mid-sized firms
Wave 2 FY16
Telecommunications
Restructuring firms
Other firms
Net % (increasing-decreasing)
100
100
100
75
80
20
67
60
50 50
60
40
75
29 33
21
20
26
17
0
50
33 33
13
20 25
37
-20
-40
-60
-80
-100
-120
Wave 1 FY16
Wave 2 FY16
Large firms
Wave 1 FY16
Wave 2 FY16
Mid-sized firms
Restructuring firms
Wave 1 FY16
Wave 2 FY16
Other firms
20
Net % (increasing-decreasing)
100
80
60
40
67
60
60
50 50
29
26
14
20
0
-20
-20
-40
-14
-20
-25
-33
14
-11
-14
-40
-50
-60
-50
-80
-100
-120
Wave 1 FY16
Wave 2 FY16
Wave 1 FY16
Large firms
Wave 2 FY16
Wave 1 FY16
Wave 2 FY16
Restructuring firms
Other firms
100
80
60
35
40
17
14
20
17
0
-20
35
25
10
-10
-10
-13
-40
-60
-80
-100
Equity partner
numbers
Fixed share /
salary partner
numbers
Director / manager
numbers
Wave 1 FY15
21
Junior to mid-level
accountant numbers
Wave 2 FY16
Shared service
staff numbers
Secretarial &
admin staff numbers
5.0
Mean %
4.0
3.4
3.0
2.8
2.5
2.8
2.5
2.0
2.0
1.8
1.4
1.3
1.0
1.0
0.0
Fixed share /
salary partner
numbers
Director / manager
numbers
Junior to mid-level
accountant numbers
Wave 1 FY15
Shared service
staff numbers
Secretarial &
admin staff numbers
Wave 2 FY16
100
80
60
40
57
50
40
50
33
42
20
0
-20
-20
-40
-60
-67
-80
-100
-120
Wave 1 FY16
Large firms
Wave 2 FY16
Mid-sized firms
Restructuring firms
Other firms
22
Outsourcing
Frequency of outsourcing to lower cost providers
The proportion of firms who outsource work frequently has increased among all firm types except
Restructuring firms.
100
90
20
33
80
29
70
60
10
5
14
20
21
50
28
40
34
50
40
100
60
24
43
11
30
20
50
40
10
37
33
33
26
20
14
0
Large firm
Mid-sized firm
Restructuring
firm
Other firm
Large firm
Mid-sized firm
Wave 1 FY16
Never
Restructuring
firm
Other firm
Wave 2 FY16
Almost never
Rarely
Somewhat frequently
Very frequently
100
90
20
20
80
50
41
57
70
59
40
60
50
67
50
40
80
30
29
53
20
33
10
50
40
50
35
14
0
Large firm
Mid-sized firm
Restructuring firm
Other firm
Large firm
Wave 1 FY16
Decrease significantly
23
Mid-sized firm
Restructuring firm
Wave 2 FY16
Decrease
Increase
Increase significantly
Other firm
Further
information
For further insights or
information, please contact:
Bethany Poore
Mobile: 0477 763 097
Phone: +61 2 9303 1259
Things you should know: This report is published solely for information purposes. As this report has been prepared without considering your objectives, financial situation or needs,
you should before acting on the information in this report, consider its appropriateness to your circumstances and if necessary seek the appropriate professional advice. This biannual report
has been prepared independently by Beaton Research + Consulting and is commissioned by Commonwealth Bank. The confidential online survey used to prepare this report was undertaken
by Beaton Research + Consulting in February and March 2016. The report is based on the views of 30 accounting firms across Australia with a combined revenue of approximately $4.7B.
Any opinions, conclusions or recommendations are reasonably held or made, based on the information available at the time of its compilation. No representation or warranty, either expressed
or implied, is made or provided as to the accuracy, reliability or completeness of any statement made in this report. The project was undertaken in compliance with the requirements of ISO
20252. Commonwealth Bank of Australia ABN 48 123 123 124.
24