Final Exam

Probability and Statistics, GENG200

Fall 2011

Date
Sat. 7 Jan 2012
th

Start time
10:00 am

Duration
120 min

INSTRUCTIONS
1. Formulae Annex on last page 7
2. All writings must be on this booklet only.
3. Read and observe the following rules:
a. No candidate shall be permitted to enter the examination
room after the expiration of onehalf hour, or to leave
during the first halfhour of the examination.
b. Candidates are not permitted to ask questions of the
invigilators, except in cases of supposed errors or
ambiguities in examination questions.
Caution Candidates guilty of any of the following, or similar,
dishonest practices shall be immediately dismissed from the
examination and shall be liable to disciplinary action:
Making use of any books, papers or memoranda, cell
phones, calculators, audio or visual cassette players or
other memory aid devices, other than as authorized by the
examiners.
Speaking or communicating with other candidates.
Purposely exposing written papers to the view of other
candidates.
The plea of accident or forgetfulness shall not be received.
4. Show all your work. Justify your answers. Partial credit is
possible for an answer, but only if you show the intermediate
steps in obtaining the answer.

No. of pages
7

Question
(1)
(2)
(3)
(4)
(5)
(6)

Total

STUDENT NAME :_________________________________

STUDENT ID

:_________________________________

Answer All the following questions

Mark
/15
/20
/15
/20
/15
/15

/ 100

Student Name:
Student ID:
Question 1:

[15 Marks]

A lot of 140 semiconductor chips (different) is inspected by choosing a sample of five chips. Assume 10 of
the chips do not conform to customer requirements.
a) How many different samples (to be selected from five chips) are possible?
b) What is the probability that we will have exactly one nonconforming chip?
c) What is the probability that we will have at least one nonconforming chip?

Solution:

Page 2 of 7

Student Name:
Student ID:
Question 2:
I)

[20 Marks]

Show that the following function satisfies the properties of a joint probability mass function:
x
0
0
1
1
2

II)

Determine the following:

a)
b)
c) Determine [ ] and [ ]
d) E[Y | X = 1]
e) Calculate the correlation

y
0
1
0
1
2

f(x,y)
1/4
1/8
1/8
1/4
1/4

between X and Y. Are X and Y independent?

Solution:

Page 3 of 7

Student Name:
Student ID:
Question 3:

[15 Marks]

The following circuit operates if and only if there is a path of functional devices from left to right (A to B).
The probability that each device function is as shown in the following figure. Assume that the probability that
a device function does not depend on whether or not other devices are functional. What is the probability that
the circuit operates?
0.9

0.9

0.8

B
0.95

0.95

0.8

Solution:

Page 4 of 7

Student Name:
Student ID:
Question 4:

[20 Marks]

Suppose that
for
Determine the following:
a)
b)
c) Determine the cumulative distribution function of the random variable.
d) Determine the mean and the variance of the random variable.

Solution:

Page 5 of 7

Student Name:
Student ID:
Question 5:

[15 Marks]

The life in hours of a 75-watt light bulb is known to be normally distributed with

sample of 20 bulbs has a mean life of

hours. A random

hours.

a) What is the probability that the bulb life exceeds 1024 hours?
b) Construct a 95% two-sided confidence interval on the mean life.
c) Construct a 95% lower-confidence bound on the mean life. Compare the lower bound of this
confidence interval with the one in part (b).

Solution:

Page 6 of 7

Student Name:
Student ID:
Question 6:

[15 Marks]

A paint manufacturing company claims that the mean drying time for its paints is not more than 45 minutes. A
random sample of 20 gallons of paints selected from the production line of this company showed that the
mean drying time for this sample is 50 minutes with a standard deviation of 3 minutes. Assume that the drying
times for these paints have a normal distribution. Using the 1% significance level, answer the following
a) Would you conclude that the companys claim is true?
b) What is the Type I error in this exercise? Explain in words. What is the probability of making
such an error?

Solution:

Page 7 of 7