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Federal University of Rio de JaneiroUFRJ, Energy Planning Program of Graduate School of Engineering (COPPE) Centro de Tecnologia, Bloco C,
Sala 211 Cidade Universitaria Ilha do Fundao 21941-972 Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
b
Environmental Energy Technologies Division, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, One Cyclotron Rd, Berkeley, California 94720, USA
Received 4 October 2006; accepted 27 November 2006
Available online 7 February 2007
Abstract
The rst regulation of the Energy Efcient Act for electric motors, launched in 2002, established two sets of minimum efciency
performance standards (MEPS), for standard (mandatory) and high efciency (voluntary) motors. An updated regulation, from the
end of 2005 (Edict 553/2005), established the previous high-efciency MEPS as mandatory for all motors in the Brazilian market. This
paper analyses the consequences of this new regulation, which is foreseen to take effect in 2010. These new Brazilian MEPS are
compatible with those implemented in other countries. The costbenet analysis, considered for different scenarios for industrial
consumers, showed that motor substitution (from standard to high efciency) is generally advantageous. A sample of nine thousand
industrial motors has been used, with measured operation in actual conditions, to analyze the investment costbenet in three different
scenarios. This analysis also demonstrated the benet of motor substitution, with an average MWh cost from 20 to 35 US$, and with
only a few substitutions presenting an unfavorable costbenet relationship to the user. We assess that Edict 553 avoided construction of
350 MW of hydroelectric capacity. Nevertheless, since the cost of conserved energy for this energy-saving measure is generally below the
marginal cost of expansion of the Brazilian electric system, we propose mechanisms to share investment costs among the society as a
whole, including demand-side bidding.
r 2007 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
Keywords: Electrical motors; Minimum efciency standard performance (MEPS); Brazil
1. Introduction
After the electricity shortage of 2001, the Energy
Efcient Act (Law 10,295 of 2001, Oct, 17Brasil, 2001)
was launched as an instrument to establish MEPS (minimum energy performance standards) for equipment and
appliances. MEPS are an effective mechanism to promote
energy efciency, and are applied in many countries (Geller
et al., 2003). The rst equipment type that was regulated
in Brazil was squirrel cage three-phase induction electric
motor, covered by Decree 4,508 of 2002, Dec, 11th (Brasil,
2002). This equipment uses about 32% of electricity in
Brazil (MMEMinisterio das Minas e Energia, 2001).
Decree 4,508 established two tables of MEPS, one
for standard motors and the other for high efciency
motorssee Table 1.
Corresponding author. Tel.: +552135123229; fax: +552135123199.
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Table 1
MEPS of Decree 4,508/2002
hp
kW
St2
St4
St6
St8
HE2
HE4
HE6
HE8
1
1.5
2
3
4
5
6
7.5
10
12.5
15
20
25
30
40
50
60
75
100
125
150
175
200
250
0.75
1.1
1.5
2.2
3
3.7
4.5
5.5
7.5
9.2
11
15
18.5
22
30
37
45
55
75
90
110
132
150
185
77.0
78.5
81.0
81.5
82.5
84.5
85.0
86.0
87.5
87.5
87.5
88.5
89.5
89.5
90.2
91.5
91.7
92.4
93.0
93.0
93.0
93.5
94.1
94.1
78.0
79.0
81.5
83.0
83.0
85.0
85.5
87.0
87.5
87.5
88.5
89.5
90.5
91.0
91.7
92.4
93.0
93.0
93.2
93.2
93.5
94.1
94.5
94.5
73.0
75.0
77.0
78.5
81.0
83.5
84.0
85.0
86.0
87.5
89.0
89.5
90.2
91.0
91.7
91.7
91.7
92.1
93.0
93.0
94.1
94.1
94.1
66.0
73.5
77.0
78.0
79.0
80.0
82.0
84.0
85.0
86.0
87.5
88.5
88.5
90.2
90.2
91.0
91.0
91.5
92.0
92.5
92.5
80.0
82.5
83.5
85.0
85.0
87.5
88.0
88.5
89.5
89.5
90.2
90.2
91.0
91.0
91.7
92.4
93.0
93.0
93.6
94.5
94.5
94.7
95.0
95.4
80.5
81.5
84.0
85.0
86.0
87.5
88.5
89.5
89.5
90.0
91.0
91.0
92.4
92.4
93.0
93.0
93.6
94.1
94.5
94.5
95.0
95.0
95.0
95.0
80.0
77.0
83.0
83.0
85.0
87.5
87.5
88.0
88.5
88.5
90.2
90.2
91.7
91.7
93.0
93.0
93.6
93.6
94.1
94.1
95.0
95.0
95.0
70.0
77.0
82.5
84.0
84.5
85.5
85.5
85.5
88.5
88.5
88.5
89.5
89.5
91.0
91.0
91.7
91.7
93.0
93.0
93.6
93.6
4
Weg has many plants abroad, in Argentina, Mexico, China, Portugal
and sells motors for more than 100 countries (WEG, 2006).
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3426
Table 2
Breakdown of motors electricity consumption by activity sector
Sector (2004)
Energy
Residential
Commercial
Public
Agriculture
Transportation
Cement
Pig iron and steel
Ferro-alloys
Mining/
pelletization
Non-ferrous
Chemical
Foods and
beverage
Textile
Pulp and paper
Ceramics
Other industry
Total
121.364
% of electricity
consumption
% of motor
consumption
A Motors
(GWh)
Three-phase motors
B Motors (%)
C
(GWh)
D
(%)
11.869
2.357
7.308
8.389
12.676
623
3.692
14.111
222
8.586
90
20
50
50
50
50
90
90
90
90
10.683
471
3.654
4.194
6.338
312
3.323
12.700
200
7.727
8.8
0.4
3.0
3.5
5.2
0.3
2.7
10.5
0.2
6.4
10.282
15.922
12.351
90
90
90
9.254
14.329
11.116
7.6
11.8
9.2
4.471
13.358
2.745
20.606
149.569
100.0
41.6%
90
90
90
90
4.024
12.022
2.471
18.546
3.3
9.9
2.0
15.3
33.8%
81.1%
1
,
1 Pd=Pmec
(1)
where Z is the efciency [adimensional], Pmec the mechanical power [kW], Pd the losses [kW], and Pd/Pmec the loss
rate [adimensional].
The motor losses, when converting electrical to mechanical energy, are from different origins, normally separated
into xed losses (that do not vary with load) and variable
losses (Schaeffer et al., 2005). The xed losses are due to
magnetic eld circulation (known as iron losses) and
mechanical losses, by friction and windage. The variable
losses are due to electric current circulation, both in the
stator and rotor (copper losses), and to imperfections in the
motor construction, known as stray losses.
2.3. The high efficiency motor
Historically, the primary goal in motors manufacture
has been to reduce production costs while preserving
available power. Often, this has meant using less material
and thus reducing the efciency. Currently, the goal is to
optimize the life cycle cost5 (including manufacturing cost
and electricity costs during motor life). Nevertheless, a
motor can be used in many situations6 (hours/year of
operation, loading and electricity cost), making this
optimization more complex. The most widely used
technique is making many manufacturing lines (generally,
a standard and a high-efciency lines), with different prices
and efciencies, leaving the nal choice to the user,
according to his own motor use.
In Brazil, the high-efciency motor line is more expensive
and more efcient due to many design improvements:
magnetic core with plates made of ferrosilicon alloys (with
lower reluctance and thinner than SAE 1006/1008 ones used
in standard motors), better-lled slots using more copper,
larger rotor conductors, and improvements in air-gaps, core
heads, fans and bearings, and in the dimensional design
(Schaeffer et al., 2005). High-efciency motors typically
cost 1025% more than standard onescurrently in Brazil
they cost 40% more (Schaeffer et al., 2005).
3. Comparison to international practices
This section compares Brazilian MEPS (those established by Ordinance 553/2005 and the past MEPS for the
standard line) to those used in other countries. Remember
that Ordinance 553/2005 requires now for all motors the
5
High-efciency motors present acquisition costs higher than conventional ones. However, the great efciency offsets this price difference,
because these motors provide marked energy savings and guarantee fast
return of the initial investment (WEG, 2006).
6
Nadel et al. (2002) report that 44% of American industrial motors
operate below 40% nominal load.
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0.0
1.0
Efficiency (%)
0.9
80
0.8
1.0
2.0
Slip (%)
90
Slip (%)
0.7
60
0.6
50
0.5
40
0.4
3.0
4.0
100
80
Amps (220 V)
60
40
Power factor
Efficiency (%)
70
5.0
Amps (220 V)
100
3427
20
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
110
120
130
7
The authors prefer to use the word economy rather than country, as
there are now markets covering several countries, while others are limited
to parts of a single country.
8
The 50 Hz motors are larger because they contain more iron, which
requires longer coils. In small motors, the stator winding losses prevail,
making them less efcient.
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3428
100
95
[%]
90
85
80
2 poles
EUA 2p
EUA prem 2p
Br HE 2p
EUA 4p
20
0
150
10
0
60
40
25
4 poles
15
10
200
10
0
150
60
40
25
15
10
75
EUA prem 4p
Br St 4p
Br HE 4p
Fig. 2. Comparison with USA and Canada2 and 4 poles. Source: Own elaboration, based in APEC-ESIS (2003) e BRAZIL (2002).
100
95
[%]
90
85
80
2 poles
Eff2 2 p
Eff1 2p
Br HE 2p
Eff1 4p
200
150
100
60
40
25
15
10
200
10
0
150
60
40
25
15
10
75
4 poles
Eff2 4p
Br HE 4p
Br AR 4p
Fig. 3. Comparison with Europe2 and 4 poles. Source: Own elaboration, based in APEC-ESIS (2003) and BRAZIL (2002).
420 hp (0.55315 kW), and for two to six poles. The test
procedure is similar to that of the IEC, although the
Chinese standard assumes higher stray losses: from 2.5%
for smaller motors up to 1.3% for motors over 250 hp. The
MEPS in Brazils Edict 553/2005 are generally slightly
lower than those for Chinas high-efciency motors, unless
differences in the test method are taken in consideration.9
3.3. China
China has mandatory ratings for standard motors and
voluntary ratings for high-efciency motors from 0.75 to
9
In particular, the stray losses may be higher, if measured as in the IEEE
method (as in Brazilian procedures).
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A.G.P. Garcia et al. / Energy Policy 35 (2007) 34243439
CBR
DP h
10
C ee 1tdul 1
1000 td 1td ul
(2)
3429
Table 3
Percentage incremental price between high-efciency and standard motors
Rated
power (hp)
1
1.5
2
3
4
5
6
7.5
10
12.5
15
20
25
30
40
50
60
75
100
125
150
175
200
250
Poles
2 (%)
4 (%)
6 (%)
8 (%)
36
25
27
24
47
39
34
44
36
44
43
17
44
42
21
24
32
25
40
36
38
43
35
45
33
36
35
41
43
45
29
31
38
44
51
28
47
30
24
24
34
37
38
34
44
43
42
44
25
43
34
46
36
35
35
44
44
34
31
43
44
35
56
44
48
45
43
43
43
44
45
38
43
38
28
21
46
22
23
45
27
28
42
34
43
37
44
43
43
44
3
4
1
1
DP Prated g 0:746
,
Zst Zhe
(3)
where Prated is the rated power [hp], g the load factor [1],
0.746 the hpkW [kW/hp], Zst the operational efciency for
standard motor [adimensional], and Zhe the operational
efciency for high-efciency motor [adimensional].
In Eq. (2) and (3), many variables should be assessed:
load factor, operating h/yr, electricity cost and discount
rate. For an industry analysis, it is necessary to know, also,
how many and what motors there are, and how they
operate (load factor and operating h/yr). In this paper, we
have considered two analyses: one analyzing motor-bymotor, in several combinations of load factor and
operating h/yr; and another, which considers a sample of
industrial motors in normal operating conditions according
to actual measured data.
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3430
Table 4
Operating conditions considered
Load factor (%)
h/yr
25
50
75
100
2000
4000
6000
8000
11
For better details of Brazilian auction for electrical generation
expansion, see the Ten-Year Plan (Plano Nacional de Energia Eletrica
20062015, EPEEmpresa de Pesquisa Energetica, 2006). We considered
2,4 R$/US$ as for 2005 (Bacen, 2006).
12
BNDES (2006) funds equipment acquisition by a project named
FINAME, whose interest rate is composed of TJLP (long term interest
rate, today 8.15%aa), BNDESs remuneration (14%) and the intermediate
fund institution (until 4%). A more accurate analysis can be found at
Schaeffer et al. (2005). See also http://www.bndes.gov.br/linhas/name.asp.
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3431
60%
Price variation
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
6%
7%
8%
9%
Efficiency variation
Brazil
MM International
Linear (Brazil)
Fig. 4. Variation in efciency and price for Brazilian and American motors. Source: Own elaboration, based on BDMotor (Cepel, 2005) and MM
International (US-DOE, 2003).
2.00
CBR
1.80
1.60
1.40
1.20
1.00
0.80
0.60
0.40
0.20
8000 - 0.75
6000 - 0.75
4000 - 0.75
2000 - 0.75
200
250
150
175
100
125
60
75
25
30
40
50
hp
15
20
10
12.5
7.5
1
1.52
2
3
0.00
load factor
h/year
Fig. 5. CBR for substitution of 2 poles motors at 75% loading (economic scenario). Source: Own elaboration.
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3432
Table 5
Fraction of cost-effective substitutions (economic scenario)
[h/yr]
0.25
0.5
0.75
2000
4000
6000
8000
17
55
74
79
13
64
80
88
21
66
86
93
36
73
93
98
Poles (%)
[h/yr]
2000
4000
6000
8000
40
89
95
95
26
84
98
98
15
50
82
95
4
31
56
69
poles
0.25
0.5
0.75
2
4
6
8
70
70
51
32
76
76
58
32
84
77
61
40
88
83
72
55
Table 6
Fraction of cost-effective substitutions (market scenariopublic funding)
%
[h/yr]
0.25
0.5
0.75
2000
4000
6000
8000
37
70
79
86
37
78
89
90
41
80
93
98
50
86
98
99
Poles (%)
[h/yr]
2000
4000
6000
8000
63
93
95
96
58
97
98
100
26
74
96
98
14
46
69
77
poles
0.25
0.5
0.75
2
4
6
8
78
83
65
42
88
89
72
43
89
89
77
56
92
93
79
67
13
http://www.ecoluz.com.br/.
Higher loading have higher efciencysee Fig. 1.
14
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3433
2.00
CBR
1.80
1.60
1.40
1.20
1.00
0.80
0.60
0.40
0.20
250
8000 - 0.75
6000 - 0.75
4000 - 0.75
2000 - 0.75
200
150
175
100
125
60
75
40
hp
50
25
30
15
20
10
12.5
7.5
1
1.54
2
3
0.00
load factor
h/year
Fig. 6. CBR for 4 poles motors substitution at 75% of full load (public fundingmarket scenario). Source: Own elaboration.
Table 7
Fraction of cost-effective substitutions (market scenarioprivate funding)
%
[h/yr]
0.25
0.5
0.75
2000
4000
6000
8000
16
57
73
79
12
63
82
88
23
66
85
92
38
71
91
98
Poles (%)
[h/yr]
2000
4000
6000
8000
40
89
94
95
26
83
98
98
15
49
79
95
6
31
56
68
poles
0.25
0.5
0.75
2
4
6
8
69
71
50
32
76
75
57
33
84
78
60
40
88
81
72
55
less cost effective); operating hours (the fewer the h/yr, the
less advantageous); and loading, to a lesser degree
(substitution of motors with higher loading is more cost
effective).
On average, the cost of conserved energy for motor
substitution is 21.97 US$/MWh.
4.2.2.2. Market scenario (public funding). At market
scenario conditions (industry point of view) Table 13
shows the cost effectiveness of the different use pattern
situations, in new projects or revamps (77.07 US$/MWh
and 15% of discount rate).
The distribution is similar to the previous scenario, while
the results are generally more favorable. On average, the
cost of conserved energy for motor substitution is, at this
discount rate, 25.02 US$/MWh.
4.2.2.3. Market scenario (private funding). In this scenario, where the industry uses its own capital to substitute
motors (at a tariff of 77.07 US$/MWh and a discount rate
of 22%), the situation is very close to that in economic
scenario, as can be seen in Table 14.
The cost of conserved energy for motor substitution, at a
discount rate of 22% is 32.13 US$/MWh.
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3434
2.00
CBR
1.80
1.60
1.40
1.20
1.00
0.80
0.60
0.40
0.20
8000 - 0.75
6000 - 0.75
4000 - 0.75
2000 - 0.75
200
250
150
175
100
125
60
75
40
50
25
30
15
hp
20
10
12.5
7.5
1
1.54
2
3
0.00
load factor
h/year
Fig. 7. CBR for 4 poles motors substitution at 75% full load (market scenarioprivate funding). Source: Own elaboration.
Table 8
Research load factor zones
Code
Values
Value considered
(1)
(2)
(3)
(4)
(5)
(0)
o40%
40 a 55%
56 a 65%
66 a 75%
475%
Not known
0.20
0.48
0.61
0.71
0.88
0.71
5. Final comments
The adoption of the MEPS now proposed to Brazilian
electric motors is a step forward towards greater energy
efciency.
In the majority of motor power categories and operating
situations there are signicant operating cost savings,
which compensate the higher initial motor cost. In the
sample considered, the average gain was estimated in 2%
of the motors consumption.
If we compare in detail the Brazilian MEPS with
voluntary or mandatory standards in several other
economies, we can conclude that the Brazilian MEPS are
similar to those adopted elsewhere, in particular in the
USA and Canada, European Union and China.
Currently, only 10% of motors made in Brazil are high
efciency. Expansion of this market share to 100% will
require signicant changes in the manufacturing process,
including new equipment, tools and operation schedule,
15
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3435
Table 9
Breakdown of motors by sector and capacity
Sector
110 hp
12.550 hp
60100 hp
1976
781
124
483
399
252
87
223
212
93
241
401
684
318
218
197
456
125
132
242
119
11
12
23
25
1
3
2
3210
76
39
50
41
33
76
1
58
40
4
105
7
1
8
2
120
42
18
11
13
9
10
4853
125250 hp
49
40
34
15
23
96
1
18
5
4
46
1
2
1
542
334
Total
2342
1261
892
857
673
621
545
424
389
343
270
138
55
50
38
16
13
12
8939
Table 10
Motor breakdown by loading and rated power
Rated
power
110 hp
12.550 hp
60100 hp
125250 hp
Total
2550
5075
75100
More
than 100
Total
6.0
3.6
2.4
0.9
4.7
8.0
12.2
4.8
4.2
9.2
67.6
57.7
41.1
41.9
61.5
16.9
25.8
49.4
52.1
23.4
1.5
0.7
2.2
0.9
1.2
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
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3436
Table 11
Motor breakdown by operating hours and rated power
Rated power
110 hp
12.550 hp
60100 hp
125250 hp
Total
Up to 2000
24000
46000
68000
Total
14.8
14.1
6.6
16.5
14.1
29.7
15.2
16.6
5.1
22.8
22.3
25.4
19.0
21.6
23.2
25.5
32.1
16.8
28.1
27.4
7.7
13.1
41.0
28.7
12.5
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
Table 12
Cost effective substitutions (economic scerariosample)
hp
h/yr
Loading (%)
Poles
110 hp
12.550 hp
60100 hp
125250 hp
67
79
66
81
Up to 25
2550
5075
75100
More than 100
Total
58
47
75
76
92
72
68
75
59
44
72
2
54
87
97
98
72
2
4
6
8
Total
Up to 2000
20004000
40006000
60008000
48000
Total
Total
72
Table 13
Cost effective substitutions (market scenariopublic funding)
hp
h/yr
Loading (%)
Poles
110 hp
12.550 hp
60100 hp
125250 hp
81
85
87
83
Up to 25
2550
5075
75100
More than 100
Total
65
54
89
83
94
83
88
83
75
56
83
14
83
98
99
99
83
2
4
6
8
Total
Up to 2 mil h/yr
24 mil h/yr
46 mil h/yr
68 mil h/yr
8 mil h/yr
Total
Total
83
Table 14
Available changes (market scenarioprivate funding)
Hp
h/yr
Loading (%)
Poles
110 hp
12.550 hp
60100 hp
125250 hp
70
81
69
81
Up to 25
2550
5075
75100
More than 100
Total
61
50
78
77
93
74
71
77
63
50
74
2
59
92
98
99
74
2
4
6
8
Total
Up to 2 mil h/yr
24 mil h/yr
46 mil h/yr
68 mil h/yr
8 mil h/yr
Total
Total
74
ARTICLE IN PRESS
A.G.P. Garcia et al. / Energy Policy 35 (2007) 34243439
3437
Table 15
Comparison between Nadels sample and ours
Nadel
This paper
Rated power
TWh/yr
% accumulated
Rated power
% accumulated
15 hp
5.120 hp
2150 hp
51100 hp
101200 hp
Sub-total
201500 hp
4500 hp
44
163
175
230
294
906
181
215
5
18
19
25
32
100
5
23
42
68
100
110 hp
1150 hp
60100 hp
125250 hp
4250 hp
9
39
23
28
9
48
72
100
Acknowledgements
We thank the CLASPCollaborative Labeling and
Appliance Standards Programteam for the opportunity
to develop the project (Schaeffer et al., 2005) of which the
main analysis presented in this paper is an outcome. The
participation of the CLASP team and the comments of its
consultants were essential to make the analysis more
consistent. We also thank the COPPE team which
contributed to the work, in particular with regard to the
economical analysis of Tatiana L. V. da Silva. We thank to
Appendix A
Table A.1. Prices and efciencies considered
Table A.1
Poles
Hp
Prices
Standard
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
4
1
1.5
2
3
4
5
6
7.5
10
12.5
15
20
25
30
40
50
60
75
100
125
150
175
200
250
1
High efciency
Standard
High
efciency
50%
75%
100%
50%
75%
100%
US$
US$
70.05
76.04
77.20
77.78
81.07
81.15
82.89
84.07
83.85
85.29
84.92
86.03
87.61
89.43
88.15
89.63
87.89
88.77
90.03
89.14
89.13
89.48
90.22
90.27
72.30
74.43
78.03
79.29
79.87
82.39
84.73
84.38
86.23
86.45
87.12
87.58
88.39
89.32
90.54
89.86
91.31
90.19
91.33
92.15
91.69
92.10
92.17
92.61
92.90
77.43
77.00
78.50
81.00
81.50
82.90
85.48
85.06
86.61
87.58
87.55
87.94
88.95
89.50
90.70
90.36
92.06
91.78
92.44
93.05
93.07
93.34
93.56
94.11
94.12
79.20
75.28
80.06
80.02
82.44
83.69
84.35
84.69
85.51
87.56
87.25
88.32
88.51
90.26
89.89
90.39
91.16
90.07
90.86
91.51
91.47
91.90
92.53
92.87
93.40
77.39
79.49
81.28
83.07
84.55
85.24
86.27
86.97
87.58
88.90
88.83
89.85
91.05
91.66
91.73
91.91
92.58
92.09
92.72
92.84
93.25
93.60
94.00
94.41
94.73
80.21
80.97
82.55
83.55
85.01
85.96
87.51
88.00
88.69
89.50
89.50
90.44
91.64
91.80
91.83
92.85
93.28
93.00
93.02
93.62
94.50
94.50
94.70
95.00
95.40
82.40
68.75
84.68
92.67
113.40
125.83
157.57
198.34
206.16
276.77
311.06
342.30
507.37
566.05
614.12
1.093.47
1.162.47
1.827.12
2.071.84
2.430.22
3.514.97
3.907.51
4.672.96
5.073.56
7.220.26
77.51
93.20
106.16
117.34
140.12
185.68
218.91
266.23
297.30
376.40
447.65
489.05
592.10
812.28
871.06
1.324.60
1.443.52
2.401.80
2.590.56
3.393.52
4.783.40
5.392.74
6.889.07
7.035.87
10.793.08
103.05
ARTICLE IN PRESS
A.G.P. Garcia et al. / Energy Policy 35 (2007) 34243439
3438
Table A.1 (continued )
Poles
Hp
Prices
Standard
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
1.5
2
3
4
5
6
7.5
10
12.5
15
20
25
30
40
50
60
75
100
125
150
175
200
250
1
1.5
2
3
4
5
6
7.5
10
12.5
15
20
25
30
40
50
60
75
100
125
150
175
200
1
1.5
2
3
4
5
6
7.5
10
12.5
15
20
25
High efciency
Standard
High
efciency
50%
75%
100%
50%
75%
100%
US$
US$
72.59
77.34
79.40
80.00
82.31
83.25
86.24
85.95
86.33
86.95
87.96
88.93
89.23
89.44
90.23
91.01
90.51
91.57
90.19
90.32
91.22
90.80
91.22
69.10
70.27
74.28
75.10
78.14
82.44
82.74
83.01
84.06
85.75
87.68
88.22
89.07
89.55
90.12
88.43
90.09
90.61
90.52
91.62
91.67
92.11
91.22
61.86
65.48
73.84
75.97
76.20
78.31
80.73
81.41
83.27
85.80
86.56
86.76
86.91
77.25
81.04
82.16
81.40
84.35
84.34
87.35
87.88
87.78
88.26
89.33
89.98
90.14
90.63
91.60
92.29
92.12
92.60
92.17
92.48
93.08
93.14
93.11
72.71
73.30
76.32
77.33
80.72
84.05
84.04
84.65
85.81
86.98
88.89
89.06
89.73
90.73
91.13
90.96
91.33
92.04
92.32
92.61
93.06
93.48
93.11
64.14
72.09
77.27
78.82
79.38
81.38
83.24
84.30
85.91
87.14
87.73
88.28
88.51
79.40
82.30
83.00
83.05
85.41
85.55
87.80
88.70
88.30
88.50
90.13
90.90
91.00
91.70
92.40
93.00
93.00
93.23
93.26
93.56
94.10
94.50
94.50
74.20
75.00
77.80
78.50
81.20
84.05
84.15
85.10
86.34
87.90
89.40
89.50
90.20
91.00
91.70
91.73
91.78
92.89
93.00
93.00
94.10
94.10
94.11
66.20
73.60
78.60
79.60
80.84
82.40
84.22
85.60
87.00
87.78
88.55
89.45
89.15
76.80
79.05
82.93
83.50
85.03
86.89
88.09
88.32
89.08
89.99
90.07
91.05
91.47
91.73
92.30
92.49
92.51
93.03
92.94
92.99
93.56
94.29
93.96
76.63
74.58
79.45
78.49
84.51
85.78
85.79
86.26
86.92
87.82
89.32
89.43
90.96
90.86
91.90
91.68
91.96
91.98
92.88
93.28
94.01
94.20
94.03
66.36
72.57
78.41
82.26
80.44
81.45
83.17
84.16
86.23
87.93
87.93
88.06
89.00
79.21
82.68
84.63
85.78
87.46
88.02
89.10
90.10
90.50
90.99
91.11
92.27
92.46
92.98
92.97
93.42
93.63
94.21
93.86
94.47
94.79
95.14
95.16
79.45
77.18
82.16
81.86
85.80
87.04
87.07
87.88
88.12
89.00
90.03
90.09
91.54
91.89
92.65
92.58
93.04
93.06
93.63
93.81
94.53
94.72
94.67
69.34
76.91
81.40
84.04
82.59
83.28
85.63
86.61
87.81
89.07
89.07
89.20
89.69
81.50
84.02
85.01
86.43
87.90
88.90
89.90
90.90
90.94
91.63
92.26
92.58
92.88
93.00
93.17
93.86
94.10
94.50
94.55
95.00
95.00
95.44
95.44
80.05
77.40
83.49
83.08
86.33
87.52
87.60
88.55
88.67
89.51
90.28
90.35
91.75
92.47
93.04
93.05
93.61
93.62
94.11
94.14
95.00
95.01
95.03
70.85
78.25
82.68
84.56
85.10
85.50
86.16
87.12
88.70
89.55
89.57
89.70
90.15
85.74
104.38
120.36
153.52
161.73
221.86
234.34
287.07
323.75
344.22
499.00
577.83
818.28
1.101.82
1.220.86
1.764.90
1.957.01
2.320.69
3.404.85
3.710.36
4.474.22
4.709.72
5.545.28
107.23
111.25
141.03
154.04
230.64
273.81
303.86
330.48
373.96
521.49
570.52
664.77
983.34
1.158.72
1.517.54
1.929.32
2.233.27
2.365.19
3.371.38
3.774.38
4.413.56
5.314.94
5.478.16
122.18
159.51
228.74
297.07
336.90
367.22
536.35
539.12
592.46
806.05
876.74
960.66
1.165.83
116.25
140.39
169.39
219.72
234.72
285.90
308.01
396.24
466.45
519.84
639.70
847.33
1.066.47
1.365.98
1.507.94
2.362.85
2.677.72
3.191.93
4.536.94
5.335.18
6.631.68
6.907.52
8.250.94
133.80
158.23
188.73
225.34
313.13
369.77
408.93
476.04
538.33
696.77
747.63
947.14
1.419.94
1.564.05
2.368.73
2.791.54
3.304.55
3.440.75
4.839.74
5.392.02
6.499.88
7.900.22
8.228.01
168.05
228.89
315.15
379.89
408.36
536.21
651.37
661.15
856.26
1.039.95
1.118.90
1.363.67
1.560.03
ARTICLE IN PRESS
A.G.P. Garcia et al. / Energy Policy 35 (2007) 34243439
3439
Hp
Prices
Standard
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
30
40
50
60
75
100
125
150
High efciency
Standard
High
efciency
50%
75%
100%
50%
75%
100%
US$
US$
88.45
88.97
89.52
89.44
90.53
90.63
91.11
91.11
89.66
89.83
90.41
90.44
91.53
91.66
91.99
92.02
90.28
90.33
91.00
91.05
91.95
92.05
92.61
92.64
89.44
89.68
90.39
90.39
91.26
91.32
92.21
92.17
90.62
90.73
91.23
91.24
92.66
92.72
93.18
93.20
91.13
91.20
91.89
91.89
93.11
93.15
93.72
93.74
1.814.87
1.926.17
2.244.19
2.413.02
3.413.97
3.679.07
5.240.39
5.581.80
2.590.95
2.638.35
3.230.43
3.455.64
4.872.00
5.313.88
7.709.15
8.296.86
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