Documente Academic
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Documente Cultură
Group Assignment
Trimester 2, 2016
Part A
Cumulative NPV
(34,500,000)
(17,294,000)
(3,812,000)
7,906,000
892,000
The IRR (internal rate of return) is showing the results in percentage term. Under the acceptance
or rejection of the project through IRR method, the proper discount rate is that used that should
be more than cost of capital in order to accept the project. Higher the IRR rate increase the value
of shareholders and easy approach to understand the project acceptance decision making
(Freeman, 2013).
During the calculation of IRR, the cost of capital of the project is also the estimate that creates
the margin in between minimum required rate of return and internal rate of return which may be
less accuracy and small that cannot be useful for project acceptance. One of another limitation of
IRR, that may be multiple IRR or no IRR when non-conventional cash flows are attached with
project (Bhoora, 2001).
The IRR (internal rate of return) is the rate that presents the present value of project investment
where in-flow and outflow of money are equal and NPV is zero. It is also include the major
concept of time value of money (TVM) by using of discount rate factor. It is very useful
techniques mostly implemented in industries of European countries.
Internal Rate of Return (IRR)
Advantages
o It is one of the method that includes the concept of TVM (time value of money),
which is most important part of project appraisal.
o It is based on cash flow instead of accounting profit.
o It is also includes the whole projects life projections.
o The corporate firms can easily evaluate the project acceptance decision making rule,
if the IRR is more than minimum cost of capital or not. If IRR more than cost of
Cash flows
17,206,0
00
13,482,0
00
11,718,0
00
7,014,0
00
Discount at 12%
NPV @ 12%
PV @ 12%
Discount at
17%
PV @ 17%
0.89 15,362,500
0.85 14,705,982.91
0.80 10,747,768
0.73 9,848,783.69
0.71 8,340,641
0.62 7,316,374.18
0.64 4,457,524
0.53 3,743,021.44
3,107,574 NPV @ 17%
(186,696)
shows the acceptance of the project and lower IRR project will not be accepted. Therefore, we
can accept the project due to IRR more than cost of capital.
4. What is the NPV of the project?
The NPV is one of the capital appraisal methods that provide the vital information for investment
project. With the using of NPV method that corporate discount back the future cash flows and
outflows on the basis of discount rate or marginal cost of the capital project. The equation of the
NPV is mentioned below
As per the above equation of NPV, the CFt is indicates that expected future cash flows, t (number
of period), k (cost of capital), n (number of period of the project life). When the project NPV
value is zero or more then it represent that project is enough to create the positive value of the
shareholders, which means NPV is positive. On the other side if the NPV value is less than zero
or negative then project is not enough to increase the shareholders value. Higher the positive
NPV value or more than minimum required rate of return increase the profitability and growth
level of the potential shareholders (Freeman, 2013).
Depreciation of new equipment
Initial cost of equipment
salvage value
Useful life
Depreciation rate
Depreciable asset cost
Annual depreciation
Quantity
Year 1
Year 2
Year 3
Year 4
Total revenue
Units
106,000
87,000
78,000
54,000
Price rate
485
485
485
485
34,500,000
5,500,000
4
0.25
29,000,000
7,250,000
Total Revenue
51,410,000
42,195,000
37,830,000
26,190,000
157,625,000
Quantity
Year 1
Year 2
Year 3
Year 4
Units
Variable cost
205
106,000
205
87,000
205
78,000
205
54,000
Total cost
Total cost
21,730,000
17,835,000
15,990,000
11,070,000
66,625,000
Year 1
Year 2
Year 3
Year 4
Sales
51,410,000
42,195,000
37,830,000
26,190,000
Variable expenses
21,730,000
17,835,000
15,990,000
11,070,000
Contribution margin
29,680,000
24,360,000
21,840,000
15,120,000
Fixed cost
5,100,000
5,100,000
5,100,000
5,100,000
24,580,000
19,260,000
16,740,000
10,020,000
Taxable income
24,580,000
19,260,000
16,740,000
10,020,000
7,374,000
5,778,000
5,022,000
3,006,000
17,206,000
13,482,000
11,718,000
7,014,000
Cash flows
Discount
at 12%
(34,500,000)
17,206,000
13,482,000
11,718,000
7,014,000
0.89
0.80
0.71
0.64
15,362,500
10,747,768
8,340,641
4,457,524
(10,282,000)
2,446,745
equipment
Release of working capital
Total Present value of cash
flows
6,534,397
38,908,433
Net Present value
(NPV)
3,107,574
The NPV (net present value) method of project appraisal is discounting back the future expected
cash flows in term of present value that are linked with project. The difference between the
negative value of initial cash outlay and positive future expected cash inflow is the sum NPV.
Higher the positive future cash flow means the project is more feasible that ultimately enhance
the value of shareholders.
The analysis is indicating that this project has positive NPV 3,107,574. Therefore, we can say
that this project will provide the benefit to the company in terms of more cash inflows and
increase the future growth of the company.
5. How sensitive is the NPV to changes in the price of the new smart phone?
Current NPV = 3,107,574
If price change (increase) from 485 to 495 = 4,672,423
Sensitivity analysis = NPV / Price
(4,672,423 3,107,574) / (495 485)
Sensitivity analysis = 156,484.90
The analysis is indicating that if we increase the price of mobile phone, then it will increase the
profit and if we decrease the price of mobile phone then it will decrease the profit of the
company. Therefore, we can say that higher the price increase the project return in terms of more
cash inflows.
NPV is more sensitive to the changes in the quantity sold, as per analysis of change in price will
affect the NPV. Therefore, we can say that more sold of quantity will increase the NPV and lower
NPV will decrease the NPV of new mobile phone project.
Disadvantages
o It is sometimes complex to describe the various parts to shareholders and other
management.
o More understanding required of minimum required rate of return or cost of capital in
order to evaluate the true value of future expected cash flows.
o It is very complex to evaluate the project value.
o It is required higher weight of WACC (Weighted Average Cost of Capital) for upward
sloping project risk and lowers for downward sloping project risk.
The evaluation or appraisal techniques of discounting cash flows such as NPV and IRR both
have significant importance for organization to make wider decision making process. Both
techniques have several limitations and advantages according to the nature of evaluation of
project. The empirical analysis about IRR indicates that it is provides the results in terms of
percentage that can be easily understand by higher executive members. If the IRR provides the
positive percentage with more than minimum required rate of return / cost of capital then accept
the project otherwise reject it. The IRR may have multiple IRR or no IRR during nonconventional cash flows, which create the difficult for making decision regarding acceptance or
not. The NPV is one of the appraisal methods that eliminate the IRR complications through
providing the most reliable strategic based evaluation about project decision making. If the future
expected cash flow are more than initial cash outlay then accept the project otherwise reject it.
The NPV is also mostly preferred method for strategic capital appraisal decision making as it
includes the wide range of information in terms of cash flow, time value of money, uncertainty
with project and other relevant information that enhance the project evaluation process. Most of
the multinational companies are both using the IRR and NPV methods during the course of
project evaluation. The management is advice to critically understand their merits and demerits
in order to make decision making more efficiently and effectively. However, corporate managers
are required to critically evaluate the both projects appraisal methods and make sure the hurdle
level (cost of capital) must be achieved for making acceptance decision. NPV is most dominating
appraisal method than IRR as it is includes the wide decision making and evaluation concept for
strategic business decision making.
According to the above decision rules of NPV, it is indicating that Emu Electronics must accept
the project as the new smart phone NPV is predicting the positive future cash inflows more than
cost of capital. Therefore, this should be accepted.
8. Suppose Emu Electronics loses sales on other models because of the introduction of
the new model. How would this affect your analysis?
Cannibalization has two direction either positive or negative effect on the sale performance of
the company during the course of introduction new product in the market. It is the situation when
new product will reduce the demand or sales of an existing product which can be negatively
effect on overall demand of existing product in the market. This can be called negative affect of
both market share and demand / volume of sale of the existing product.
If the new mobile phone will have no effect on existing products then it will be positive
cannibalization and if there is negative effect on existing products then it will be negative
cannibalization effect on the company performance. Therefore, it is very important to conduct
study before launching of this new model of mobile phone in order to secure the existing
products of the company.
Part B
Question1:
Following data and information is showing the book value of debt and equity of Harvey Norman.
The data was collected from the financial statement for the period ended 30th June, 2016.
Book value of debt =
269,459,105
269,459,105 / 2,806,459,105
Wd = 9.60%
Weighted of equity:
We = 2,537,000,000 / 2,806,459,105
We = 90.40%
The analysis is indicating that Harvey Norman has more weightage in equity by 90.40% and debt
by 9.60%.
Question 2:
Following calculation is showing the several things such as stock price, market value of equity /
market capitalization, shares outstanding, annual dividend, beta, government yield or risk free
rate of return and market rate of return.
What is the most recent stock price listed for Harvey
Norman?
What is the market value of equity, or market capitalization?
How many shares does Harvey Norman have outstanding?
What is the most recent annual dividend?
What is the beta for Harvey Norman?
What is the yield on government debt? RFR
Market rate of return
5.20 AUD
5.75 B
1,112.56 Million
0.17
0.74
2.37%
5.5%
The capital asset pricing model (CAPM) offers us to compute and measure investment risk and
investment return. A model that depicts the relationship in the risk and expected return and that is
utilized as a part of the evaluating of risky financial securities. The general thought behind
CAPM is that speculators should be repaid in two ways: time value of money and risk. The time
value of money is spoken to by the risk free (rf) rate in the equation and repays the financial
specialists for putting funds in any venture over a timeframe (Sharfzadeh, 2006).
A portfolio built to have zero systematic risk or, at the end of the day, a beta of zero. A zero-beta
portfolio would have the same expected return as the risk free rate. Such a portfolio would have
zero connection with market movements, given that its expected return levels with the risk free
rate, a low rate of return (Vendrame, 2014).
CAPM
CAPM
(Ke)
Cost of equity = Risk free rate of return + Beta (market rate of return risk free rate of
return)
RFR
Beta
Market rate of return
Market risk premium
Beta (market rate of return risk free rate of return)
Risk free rate of return + Beta (market rate of return Risk free rate of return)
2.37%
0.74
5.5%
3.13%
0.023
4.7%
Kd (1-tc)
11.90%
30%
0.7
8.33%
Question 4
The weighted average cost of capital (WACC) is the minimum rate of return on capital required
to compensate debt and equity investors for bearing risk
WACC = Weighted cost of equity x Cost of equity + Weighted cost of debt x Cost of debt
Such focus on value creation has served the shareholders of Harvey Norman. A Harvey Norman
invested capital multiplied by WACC gives the minimum level of operating profits should
generate to satisfy shareholders.
WACC
We
Ke
Wd
Kd
WACC
90.40%
4.7%
9.60%
8.68%
5.07%
The cost of capital or WACC (weighted average cost of capital) is 5.07%. Harvey Normans
management is required to at least or higher than WACC must generate the operating profit in
order to increase the efficiency of business operations as well as keep paying their liabilities in
future more effectively and efficiently.
Question 5
Pure play method
A = Hubbard Computer Ltd (HCL)
B = Harvey Norman
Unlevered beta of B = (Equity) Beta Coefficient of B/ 1 + DEB (1 Tax RateB)
Unlevered beta
D/E ratio
Tax rate
0.74
0.11
30%
Unlevered beta of B = (Equity) Beta Coefficient of B/ 1 + DEB (1 Tax RateB) = 0.11 (1-0.3)
Unlevered beta of B = (Equity) Beta Coefficient of B/ 1 + DEB (1 Tax RateB) = 0.69
0.69
0.027
30%
117.1
4302.7
0.027
References
Bhoora, G.D. (2001) An evaluation of the capital budgeting process for a multinational firm,
durban: unversity ofnatal.
Freeman, D.M. (2013) Which financial evaluation technique, NPV or IRR, is better to use when
selecting the best project among a number of mutually exclusive projects, and why?, Key Logic.
Freeman, D.M. (2013) Which financial evaluation technique, NPV or IRR, is better to use when
selecting the best project among a number of mutually exclusive projects, and why?, Key Logic.
Sharfzadeh, M. (2006) An empirical and theoratical analysis of Capital Asset Pricing Model,
Boca Raton.
Vendrame, V. (2014) Some Extensions of the Conditional CAPM , University of the West of
England.