Documente Academic
Documente Profesional
Documente Cultură
Adam Przeworski
May 21, 2011
Introduction
Decisions made by governments aect the welfare of particular groups and individuals. Hence, it is only natural that those whose well-being would be inuenced by these decisions seek to inuence them. Indeed, the essence of democracy is that citizens exert inuence over governments by freely exercising their
equal rights to participate in elections, public speech, peaceful demonstrations,
and other forms of political activity. But in any market society, the resources
which the participants can bring to the competition for political inuence are
unequal. Equality of rights is not su cient to sustain the equality of political
inuence in economically unequal societies.
This observation is almost as old as democracy itself. Already in 1844 Marx
characterized the duality between universalistic rules and unequal resources as
follows:
The state abolishes, in its own way, distinctions of birth, social rank,
education, occupation, when it declares that birth, social rank, education, occupation, are non-political distinctions, when it proclaims,
without regard to these distinctions, that every member of the nation is an equal participant in national sovereignty.... Nevertheless
the state allows private property, education, occupation to act in
their way i.e., as private property, as education, as occupation,
and to exert the inuence of their special nature.
This duality was repeatedly diagnosed ever since. The chairman of the Drafting Committee of the Indian 1950 Constitution, B. R. Ambedkar (quoted in
Guha 2008: 133), saw the future Indian republic as entering a "life of contradictions":
In politics we will be recognizing the principle of one man one vote
and one vote one value. In our social and economic life, we shall,
by reason of our social and economic structure, continue to deny
the principle of one man one value. How long shall we continue to
live this life of contradictions? How long shall we continue to deny
equality in our social and economic life? If we continue to deny it
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Private ownership of productive resources limits the range of outcomes that can
ensue from the democratic process (Przeworski and Wallerstein 1988). Collective decisions are constrained in any capitalist economy by the fact that crucial
economic decisions, those aecting employment and investment, are a private
prerogative. Hence, the exclusive focus on the political process can be misleading. Institutions do matter, so do partisan dierences. But how much? Unless
this question is posed each time, we end up with an ideological view of the
political process; a glorication of popular impotence. Indeed, the ideology of
democratic capitalism is self-contradictory: people are simultaneously told that
when they vote they choose and that some choices will result in their impoverishment because of the eect they have on the behavior of those who control
the productive resources. Clearly, this ideology portrays the fact that property
has this constraining power as impersonal and natural, just a fact of life. But
tensions remain: if masses of people are disaected from the political process, it
is because what can be decided by voting is limited by the private ownership of
capital. As Bobbio (1989) put it, the question is not who votes but on what.
Capitalism is a system in which most productive resources are owned privately. Yet under capitalism property is institutionally distinct from political
authority: this separation is necessary for markets to exist. As a result, there are
two mechanisms by which resources are allocated to uses and distributed among
households: the market and the state. Individuals are simultaneously market
agents and citizens. The market is a mechanism in which resources are allocated
by their owners. The state is also a system that allocates resources, including
those it does not own, with rights distributed dierently from the market. The
market is a decentralized mechanism: households and rms decide how to allocate the resources they own. The state is a centralized mechanism: it coerces
economic agents to do what they would have not chosen to do voluntarily.
Given the coexistence of these two mechanisms, one way to see the political
process is the following. Political actors reveal their preferences for policies by
voting; the result are policies, such as the tax rate, that are supposed to be
implemented by the elected governments; and then economic agents maximize
their utility, subject to the constraint of the policy, by deciding how much to
save and how much labor to supply. The result is an allocation of resources to
uses and a distribution of incomes to households.
The constraining eect of private ownership on collective decisions can be
shown already at this level of abstraction. Each voter knows that the policy
resulting from an election will aect the decisions of individuals as economic
agents to save and to work. Specically, they know that redistribution of incomes (or consumption) would cause the owners of capital to reduce investment,
thus future employment and incomes.1 Even if a majority would want to redis1 Note
that the assumption concerns the redistibution of incomes that would be entirely
This structural dependence of the entire society on capital does not undermine the value of elections as a mechanism of collective decision making. The
structure of the economy imposes limits on the collective choice but within these
limits elections still align the collective decision with the distribution of individual preferences. That a choice is exogenously constrained does not imply
that the mechanism by which it is made is faulty. If the voters know the consequences of the choices they would collectively made, they make the best choice
given their beliefs about these consequences.
Politics costs money: this much is inescapable. Parties need money to exist, to
organize election campaigns, to survey public opinion, to bring their supporters
to the polls, to persuade those undecided to vote for them. They need to
cover costs of meeting rooms, transportation, printing their materials, access
to television. The point is obvious but it should be kept in mind: in some
countries the general public both opposes public nancing of political parties
and perceives private nancing as corrupting. How much money is another
question. Elections are expensive but their costs varies greatly across countries,
and in some countries they are excessively expensive: in 2000, expenditures
per voter were higher in Mexico than in the United States. Nevertheless, the
elementary fact is that without money parties cannot exist, not to speak of
competing in elections, so it is only natural that they try to nd it wherever
they can.
They can nd it only where the money is. As Becker (1983) has argued, all
politics is a process of competition for inuence. But he neglected to observe
that this competition is not among equals. Some competitors cannot equalize
their marginal cost of inuence over politics with their marginal benets because, in the language of economics, they are "budget constrained." Given the
inequality of nancial resources between producers and consumers, between
large and small rms, a- uent and poor individuals competition for political
inuence may not only generate excessive costs of politics, not only ine cient
allocations of productive resources, but it may bias political outcomes in favor
of those with larger resources, to perpetuate various inequalities. The last eect
is the exclusive focus here: I review only those studies of political inuence that
assess whether political expenditures or other costly eorts by special interest
groups benet them economically.
Interest group activities include inuencing and mobilizing the electorate, nancing electoral campaigns, lobbying legislators and the executive branch, and
using courts. Schematically, one may think that money biases political outcomes
in favor of the donors if (1) political contributions aect the platforms oered by
parties in elections, (2) campaign contributions aect the outcomes of elections,
(3) political contributions or lobbying eorts aect legislative decisions, (4) political contributions, lobbying eorts, or outright bribes inuence executive or
regulatory decisions. Note that, following Walecki (2007) and Zovatto (2003:
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3.1
Methodological Di culties
3.2
Zovatto (2003: 16) puts it simply: "El dinero s compra votos y no slo en los
Estados Unidos." Does it? Does money buy votes or do votes generate money?
8
Moreover, if it does, how does money buy votes? Is it because political advertising changes voterspreferences, because some voters are "impressionable" as
Grossman and Helpman (2001) have it, or is it because campaign contributions
nance the activities of parties ranging from registration eorts to provision of
transportation to bring their supporters to the polls; hence, they dierentially
aect turnout, as argued by Hansen and Rosenstone (1996)? Whose votes does
money buy: of the undecided or of people who otherwise would not vote? In
favor of whom: incumbents or challengers?
The eect of campaign spending on outcomes of elections is controversial
(Stratmann 2005). The observed facts are simple and robust: those who receive
and spend more money win. This much has been observed at least in the United
States, Brazil (Samuels 2001), Chile (Morales Quiroga and Pieiro Rodrguez
2010), France (Palda and Palda 1998), Japan (Cox and Thais 2000), South Korea (Shin et al. 2005), and Uruguay (Morales Quiroga and Pieiro Rodrguez
2007). But the causal question do they win because they spend more money?
has received widely divergent answers. Moreover, in addition to the issue of
causal direction, the eect of spending is confounded by eects of incumbency.
There is extensive evidence that the marginal impact of campaign expenditures
on votes is lower for the incumbents, who already enjoy a high level of support, than for the challengers. Yet even this observation is contested. Hence, it
is not surprising that in a penetrating summary of ndings, Stratmann (2005:
137) is led to observe that "academic researchers for the most part have trouble
establishing a causal and quantitatively important connection between spending and vote shares.... To date, no consensus has been reached regarding the
eectiveness of campaign spending on vote shares."
The rst salvo in these debates was red by Jacobson (1978), who found
that campaign expenditures do not increase the vote share of incumbents in the
U.S. Congressional elections. Beginning with Green and Krasno (1988), however, several scholars argued that the statistical methods used by Jacobson were
awed in that they did not consider the endogeneity of campaign contributions.
Note again that contributions may ow to candidates whose policy positions are
close to those of potential donors, those who are likely to change their position
in response to the contributions, or those who are more likely to win. Hence,
to assess the causal eect of spending, it is necessary to consider why the contributions are made to the particular candidates. Studies that fail to do so and
which, moreover, do not control for the "quality" of the candidates, suer from
the endogeneity and the omitted variables biases.
Particularly interesting is a recent study by Campante (2007) of the relation
between income inequality, individual campaign contributions, and turnout of
dierent income groups in the U.S. states and counties in the 2000 presidential
election. He found that when inequality is greater, fewer individuals make
contributions but their contributions are larger, to the extent that the total sum
of contributions increases with greater inequality. In turn, inequality reduces
the turnout of the poor relative to that of the rich.2 Note that Campante does
2 This
eect has also been found by Salt (2006) among the countries for which data on
not identify the causal eect of contributions on the results of elections, only
separate eects of inequality on contributions and on dierences in turnout,
which jointly add up to a bias in favor of the a- uent. The net eect is that
if at stake in the election is redistribution of income, the eect of inequality
is non-monotonic: redistribution rst increases and then declines as inequality
becomes larger. This is an important conclusion, for it suggests that equal
societies tend to become more equal while those originally unequal becomes
even more so. Hence, this paper supports the argument of Benabou (2000), who
simply assumed that the political weight of individuals increases with income,
and came to the conclusion that depending on initial conditions countries may
end up with high inequality and little redistribution or with equality and more
redistribution.
Short-cutting long debates, it seems that money is more productive for challengers than for incumbents, that it matters most in close races, and that it has
a signicant eect in open races (those in which there is no incumbent). Yet
these generalizations must be treated with caution, because this is a subject in
which dierent methods tend to generate dierent results.
3.2.1
Eects of political contributions on the votes of the elected legislators are equally
controversial. Several early studies were reviewed by Potters and Sloof (1996).
Ansolabehere, de Figueiredo, and Snyder (2003) were puzzled by the fact that
the amounts of money contributed to legislators are much smaller than the
value the contributors gain from the legislative decisions: a nding that goes
against economic theory in general and Beckers (1983) inuential model of political competition in particular. Moreover, they concluded that the impact of
contributions on legislative votes is miniscule in the U.S. House of Representatives. This nding, however, is not universally accepted. Stratmann (1998) has
discovered that contributions from agricultural groups increase in period preceding important legislative votes concerning agricultural policies. In a particularly
inventive study, Stratmann (2002) has shown that after a bill to deregulate nancial rms failed in the Congress, nancial rms increased their contributions
and the new bill passed with the votes of the recipients. Thus, Stratmann (2005:
146) concludes that political contributions do aect legislative votes and that,
moreover, this is a "spot market" relation in which contributions increase when
issues important for the potential donors are at stake.
Lobbying has been a subject of widespread scrutiny but the evidence about
its eects comes almost exclusively either from case studies of particular pieces
of legislation or from surveys. In particular, inspired by the seminal article of
Grossman and Helpman (1994), there has been an outpouring of research on
protectionist policies: these studies are too numerous to be summarized here.
Because data on lobbying expenditures is limited only to the United States in a
inequality from Luxembourg Income Studies are available.
10
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for example, suered several defeats at the federal level in the United States.3
While Santos (2011) reports that the Confederac
ao Nacional da Industria exerts
powerful inuence over legislation in the Brazilian Camra dos Diputados, this
inuence is limited to committees: if a bill reaches a plenary session and, in
particular, if the vote is nominal, the industrial lobby is no longer eective. But
both the statistical evidence and numerous case studies show that lobbies have
a powerful eect on legislation. While this eect can be due to the fact that
special interests often have information and expertise that legislators lack, the
studies that use lobbying expenditures indicate that more than information is
entailed in their inuence.
3.2.2
Eects of Political Contributions and Lobbying Eorts on Executive and Regulatory Decisions
Studies examining this relation seem rare. Particularly illuminating is the work
of Gordon and Hafer (2005) on inspections by the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission, in which they found that large political donors are less compliant than
smaller ones but the bureaucracy monitors them less. Their explanation is that
political donations signal the willingness of rms to contest adverse rulings in
courts and, given that the regulatory agency has a limited budget and personnel, it prefers to avoid potential costly ghts. This study is innovative in that it
shows that "rms can extract policy concessions from regulators through political expenditures on elected o cials, even holding legislative behavior constant
[i.e. without lobbying]." Moreover, it provides an explanation of the apparent paradox, noted by Ansolabehere, de Figueiredo, and Snyder (2003), that
the benets accruing to political contributions are much larger than these contributions. As Gordon and Hafer (2005: 246) point out, "corporate political
expenditures seem small relative to the benets of legislative actions because
signalling a willingness to ght is always less costly than the ght itself." De
Figuereido and Edwards (2005) nd that campaign contributions have a signicant eect on regulatory decisions of state public utility commissions in the
United States but they do not specify the mechanism by which this inuence
occurs.
Regulation
Given the prima facie corrupting and inegalitarian impacts of money, attempts
at regulation are numerous and recommendations about what should be regulated and how even more.
Regulation diers importantly across countries with regard to transparency,
public, and private nancing. Pierre, Svsand, and Widfeldt (2000) report that
as of 1989, the proportion of state subsidies in the total income of Western
European political parties ranged from 25.1 percent in Austria to 84.2 in Finland. According to IDEA (www.idea.int/parties/nance), out of 116 countries
3 Worldwide
12
for which this information was available as of 2002, seventy-ve have some kind
of regulation of political nancing while forty-one have none. Fifty-nine countries have provisions for disclosure of contributions to political parties while
fty-two do not. Most countries allow private contributions, even from government contractors (eighty-six do, twenty-seven do not). In turn, in eighty-three
countries there is some scheme of direct public nancing of political parties,
while in sixty-one there was none, and in eighty-one countries parties receive
free television time during electoral campaigns while in thirty-four they do not.
Another source (http:nnaceproject.org) reports that 156 countries allow private
funding and twenty-eight do not, while 106 provide direct and 110 indirect public
funding and forty-six provide none.
US AID (2003) provides information about rules governing disclosure of political contributions in 118 countries. Of those, fteen are classied as having
"high" disclosure, with Brazil as the only Latin American country in this category. Disclosure levels are classied as "medium" in twenty-six countries, which
include Argentina and Colombia. Bolivia, Chile, Costa Rica, Ecuador, Mexico,
and Peru are included among the thirty countries that have "low" disclosure
rules. Twenty countries collect this information but do not release it to the
public, among them the Dominican Republic, Guatemala, Honduras, Panama,
Paraguay, and Venezuela. Finally, twenty-seven countries do not have any disclosure rules, including El Salvador and Uruguay.
The legal aspects of regulation of political nancing in Latin America are
now well known, due mainly to the pioneering eort of Zovatto (2003). Except
for Venezuela, all Latin American countries combine dierent forms of public nancing with private contributions. Public nancing was introduced in Uruguay
as early as in 1928, followed by Costa Rica in 1949, and after 1997 it was used
by all countries in the region. The formulas of public nancing distribute resources mainly on the basis of past electoral strength of the parties, with minimal
thresholds, and sometimes in combination with other criteria. Most countries
prohibit private contributions by some potential donors, most frequently from
foreign sources, but it is striking that only eight ban contributions by rms
that have contracts from the State and only ten prohibit anonymous contributions. In turn, only seven Latin American countries impose caps on individual
contributions. All countries provide free access to state media and some also
to private ones during elections campaigns. Except for Uruguay, in all countries some specic organ is designated to monitor compliance, with a variety of
sanctions. It bears repeating, however, that all these legal provisions did not
generate systematic information about the actual patterns of nancing.
To my best knowledge, there are no comparative studies of the eect of
these regulatory regimes on the policy outcomes, although there are claims
that private political nance plays little role in some countries, notably the
Netherlands, Denmark, or Sweden, while it is large in Italy, the United Kingdom,
and the United States (Prat 1999).
Proposals for reforming regulatory regimes are a subject of an intense activity by various international, particularly regional bodies (see Walecki 2007
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made parties more dependent on wealthy donors. The anti-union drives in some
countries, notably in the United States, have therefore political as well as economic consequences, undermining the ability of poor people to pool resources
in the political competition. Nevertheless, mechanisms and organizations via
which those with smaller nancial resources could pool them are an important
alternative to legal regulation.
With all the limitations of the available information and the divergent ndings, the overall picture is overwhelmingly somber. Money has endless ways to
inltrate itself into politics. When limits are imposed on political advertising
by candidates, advertising is conducted by "independent" groups in favor of
positions that the candidates are known to stand for. When corporations are
prohibited from contributing to candidates, their employees do it as individuals.
When regulation caps contributions to political parties, special interest groups
just turn around and spend more money trying to persuade voters directly
(Hogan 2005).
Parties and individual politicians accept money from special interests because they need money to pursue political activities but there is also a cloud
of suspicion that they benet materially from favors extended by special interests. Some systematic and much anecdotal evidence indicates that the gains
are often nancial. Statistical studies show that U.S. representatives get signicantly higher returns on investment in common stocks than the market average,
indicating that they benet from insider information (Ziobrowski et al. 2011).
Ways in which politicians leave o ce much wealthier than when they were when
they entered remain mysterious but examples abound. So do examples of retired politicians nding lucrative jobs in the private sector. Such private gains
constitute "corruption" as this term is popularly understood, but the eects
of money on perpetuating inequality operate whether the particular forms of
political inuence are or are not legal in a particular country. No wonder, then,
that masses of democratic citizens around the world see politics as corrupt.
In addition to the deligitimizing eect of the perception of corruption, the
unequal inuence of private money over politics has several corrosive eects on
democracy:
(1) It perpetuates economic and social inequality. If the inuence of the
a- uent increases with the already existing inequality, the result is that unequal
societies redistribute less than more equal ones (Benebou 2000). Thus, originally
unequal countries become more unequal while those more equal remain equal.
(2) It often leads to an ine cient allocation of productive resources. Even
if the government is not corrupt, guided solely by the criterion of economic
e ciency, if both wealthy and highly productive rms organize indistinguishable lobbies, the government may adopt ine cient poliicies in response to their
pressures (Esteban and Ray 2006).
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