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1. Ghana
2.
Nigeria
Around 80% of Myanmars currency was demonetised in 1987 by the military to curb black
money, but the move resulted in a lot of protests and the country witnessed several killings.
4.
Soviet Union
North Korea
6.
Zimbabwe
Zimbabwe once had hundred trillion dollar note, which was demonetised and
was exchanged in a mocking way dropping trillion dollars to $0.5 dollar.
taxes over the years has always been looked down upon and deprived of the
benefits he/she is entitled in lieu of their paid tax. Therefore, a hope of a
better future is what motivating a common man to support the move.
One the other hand is a group of people who are on a mission to label the
entire decision as a scam, mismanagement, miscalculation, non-futuristic
and draconian. All such people need to have our deepest sympathy and
condolences to their bankruptcy.
Impact: Major impact of the decision is not on the ones standing in the
queues, but on those who are unable to stand in those queues with their
wealth.
Views: Who cares for demonetisation? And the so called people leading the
protest by using their name should be ashamed of themselves as they have
never contributed for upliftment of this class.
BACKGROUND
Historically, previous Indian governments had demonetised bank notes.In
January 1946, banknotes of 1,000 and 10,000 rupees were withdrawn and
new notes of 1,000, 5,000 and 10,000 rupees were introduced in 1954. The
Janata Party coalition government had again demonetised banknotes of
1,000, 5,000 and 10,000 rupees on 16 January 1978 as a means of curbing
counterfeit money and black money.
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In the past, the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) had opposed demonetisation. BJP
spokesperson Meenakshi Lekhi had said in 2014 that "The aam aurats and
the aadmis (general population), those who are illiterate and have no access
to banking facilities, will be the ones to be hit by such diversionary
measures."
The Government of India devised an Income Declaration Scheme (IDS),
which opened on 1 June and ended on 30 September 2016. Under the
scheme, the black money holders could come clean by declaring the assets,
paying the tax and penalty of 45% thereafter.
Modi said that the queues due to demonetisation were the last queues that
would end all other queues.
REACTIONS
Support
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Criticism
The Indian Supreme Court while hearing one among a slew of cases
filed against the sudden demonetisation decision in various
courts,observed that it "appears to be carpet bombing and not surgical
strike" which government repeatedly claims it to be.
Nobel laureate Indian economist Amartya Sen, severely critcized the
demonetisation move calling it a "despotic action" among other things.
Former Senior Vice-President and Chief Economist of the World Bank,
Kaushik Basu, called it a 'major mistake' and said that the 'damage' is
likely to be much greater than any possible benefits.
Pronab Sen, former Chief Statistician and Planning Commision of India
member, called it a "hollow move" since it did not really address any of
the purported goals of tackling black money or fake currency.
Prabhat Patnaik, a former professor of economics at the Jawaharlal
Nehru University, Delhi called the move 'witless' and 'anti-people'. He
criticised the simple way in which black money was assumed as "a
hoard of cash", saying that it would have little effect in eliminating
"black activities" while "causing much hardship to common people."
Noted economist and journalist, T. N. Ninan wrote in the Business
Standard that demonetisation 'looks like a bad idea, badly executed on
the basis of some half-baked notions'.Deepak Parekh (Chairman of
HDFC) had initially appreciated the decision to ban the Rs. 500 and Rs.
1000 notes, but later said that the move had derailed the economy,
and expressed skepticism about its outcome.
Chief Ministers of several Indian states like Mamata Banerjee,Arvind
Kejriwal and Pinarayi Vijayan have criticized and led major protests
against the decision in their states and in parliament. Initially, the
move to demonetise and try to hinder black money was appreciated,
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Opposition
from the Indian National Congress, accused Narendra Modi for the
demonetisation[clarification needed] and compared him to Mussolini,
Hitler and Qadhafi, while Prem Chand Gupta questioned a statement of
Modi from the unscheduled TV broadcast on 8 November, "If it was
planned 10 months ago, how did RBI Governor Urjit Patel sign on new
note?". While on the other side, Praful Patel criticised the
demonetisation by stating "the government was not even prepared to
recalibrate the ATMs while announcing the move. People's suffering
unimaginable. Nobody is questioning the government's intention, but
you are unprepared to execute the move". Later, the former Chief
Minister of Uttar Pradesh Mayawati Prabhu Das stated the situiation to
"a financial emergency", by saying "It looks as if Bharat has shut
down." Also, Sitaram Yechury from Communist Party of India,
questioned the government on the demonetisation move by stating
"only 6% of black money in India is in cash to drive his point that
demonetisation won't curb illicit wealth."
On 17 November 2016, in a rally against demonetisation of Rs 500 and
Rs1000 notes, led by the Chief Minister of Delhi Arvind Kejriwal and his
West Bengal counterpart Mamata Banerjee at Azadpur Mandi, the
biggest vegetable and fruits wholesale hub in the national capital,
Arvind Kejriwal demanded the withdraw of demonetisation in 3 days, or
else there would be a rebellion, he said. Banerjee also stated "I give
the government 3 day ultimatum, fix things or withdraw the
demonetisation scheme".
In the demonetisation debate on the second and third day of the
Winter Session of Parliament, on 17 and 18 November 2016, the
opposition and the government clashed over the demonetisation issue,
bringing the house to continuous halts.
On 24 November 2016, in the demonetisation debate, the former
prime minister of India Manmohan Singh said "this scheme will hurt
small industries, the farming sector. The GDP can decline by about 3
per cent due to this move", while he also questioned "I would like to
ask the Prime Minister examples of countries where people have
deposited their money in the banks and not allowed to withdraw their
own money." and later also said "It is no good that on each day banks
bring out new notifications. It doesn't reflect properly on Prime
Minister's Office, Finance Minister and the Reserve Bank of India.
Cooperative banking system has been prevented from handling
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Strikes
Chief Minister of Delhi Arvind Kejriwal lashed out at a BBC reporter who
asked him to justify his 19 November claim that 55 deaths were linked
to demonetisation.While, the CMD of Punjab National Bank said that
panic after demonetisation started fading on 19 November 2016.As of
8 December 2016, there were still long queues at banks and ATMs.
Transportation halts
After the demonetisation was announced, about 800,000 truck drivers
were affected with scarcity of cash, with around 400,000 trucks
stranded at major highways across India were reported. While major
highway toll junctions on the Gujarat and Delhi-Mumbai highways also
saw long queues as toll plaza operators refused the old banknotes.
Nitin Gadkari, the Minister of Transport, subsequently announced a
suspension of toll collections on all national highways across India until
midnight of 11 November, later extended until 14 November and again
until midnight of 18 November, and yet again till 2 December.
Agriculture
Transactions in the Indian agriculture sector are heavily dependent on
cash and were adversely affected by the demonetisation of Rs 500 and
Rs 1,000 banknotes.Due to scarcity of the new banknotes, many
farmers have unsufficient cash to purchase seeds, fertilisers and
pesticides needed for the plantation of rabi crops usually sown around
mid-November.Farmers and their unions conducted protest rallies in
Gujarat, Amritsar and Muzaffarnagar against the demonetisation as
well as against restrictions imposed by the Reserve Bank of India on
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Banking
In the first four days after the announcement of the step, about Rs 3
trillion (US$45 billion) in the form of old Rs 500 and Rs 1,000
banknotes had been deposited in the banking system and about Rs
500 billion (US$7.4 billion) had been dispensed via withdrawals from
bank accounts, ATMs as well as exchanges over the bank counters.
Within these four days, the banking system has handled about 180
million transactions.The State Bank of India reported to have received
more than Rs 300 billion (US$4.5 billion) in bank deposit in first two
days after demonetisation.A spike in the usage of debit card and credit
card post demonetisation was also reported.
Between November 10 and November 27, banks reported exchange
and deposits of demonetised banknotes worth Rs 8.45 trillion (US$130
billion) (exchange of Rs 339.48 billion (US$5.0 billion) and deposits of
Rs 8.11 trillion (US$120 billion)). During this period, an amount of Rs
2.16 lakh crore (US$32 billion) had been withdrawn by people from
their accounts.
In Malda, a district believed to be a transit-point for fake Indian
currencies,a large sum of cash deposits in dormant accounts were also
reported. According to The Economic Times, more than 80 percent of
fake currency in India originates from Malda district in West Bengal.
Business
By the second week after demonetisation of Rs 500 and Rs 1,000
banknotes, cigarette sales across India witnessed a fall of 30
40%,while E-commerce companies saw up to a 30% decline in cash on
delivery (COD) orders.Several e-commerce companies hailed the
demonetisation decision as an impetus to an increase in digital
payments. They believe that it would lead to a decline in COD returns
which is expected to cut down their costs.
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The demand for point of sales (POS) or card swipe machines has
increased.E-payment options like PayTM and PayUMoney has also seen
a rise. According to data of Pine Labs, the demand for its POS machines
doubled after the decision. Further it states that the debit card
transactions rose by 108% and credit card transactions by 60% on 9
November 2016.
Insurgent groups
The move also reportedly crippled Communist guerrilla groups
(Naxalites) financing through money laundering.On 10 November the
police arrested a petrol pump owner at Ranchi when he reportedly tried
to deposit Rs 2.5 billion, belonging to a person affiliated with the
banned Communist Party of India (Maoist).According to Chhattisgarh
Police demonetisation has affected the Naxalite activities. It is reported
that insurgents have stashed more than 70 billion in the Bastar
region.Mumbai Police reported a setback to Hawala operations. Hawala
dealers in Kerala were also affected.The Jammu and Kashmir Police
reported the effect of demonetisation on hawala transactions of
separatists. While Manohar Parrikar claimed that the move has also
helped in reducing the incidents of stone-pelting in valley,his claim has
been disputed. More than 300 Naxals have surrendered to the police
voluntarily due to shortage of funds.
Railways
As of November 2015, Indian Railways did not have the option to make
payment with cards at the counters. After the demonetisation move,
the government announced to make card payment options available at
railway counters in the country.
EVASION ATTEMPTS
Gold purchases
In Gujarat, Delhi and many other major cities, sales of gold increased
on 9 November, with an increased 20 to 30% premium surging the
price as much as Rs 45,000 (US$670) from the ruling price of Rs
31,900 (US$470) per 10 grams (0.35 oz).
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Donations
Authorities of Sri Jalakanteswarar temple at Vellore discovered cash
worth Rs 4.4 million (US$65,000) from the temple Hundi.
Railway bookings
As soon as the demonetisation was announced, it was observed by the
Indian Railways authorities that a large number of people started
booking tickets particularly in classes 1A and 2A for the longest
distance possible, to get rid of unaccounted cash. A senior official said,
"On November 13, 42.7 million passengers were nationally booked
across all classes. Of these, only 1,209 were 1A and 16,999 for 2A. It is
a sharp dip from the number of passengers booked on November 9,
when 27,237 passengers had booked tickets in 1A and 69,950 in 2A."
The Railways Ministry and the Railway Board responded swiftly and
decided that cancellation and refund of tickets of value Rs 10,000 and
above will not be allowed by any means involving cash. The payment
can only be through cheque/electronic payment. Tickets above Rs
10,000 can be refunded by filing ticket deposit receipt only on
surrendering the original ticket. A copy of the PAN card must be
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Backdated accounting
The Enforcement Directorate raided several forex establishments
making back dated entries.Money laundering using backdated
accounting was carried out by co-operative banks,jewellers,sellers of
iPhones and several other businesses.
CONCLUSION
However clever the plan looked on paper, it is both extraordinarily
blunt and risky. Demonetisation will probably make only limited strides
in shrinking the black economy while affecting all of Indias 1.3bn
citizens, the poorest most of all.
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In much of the Indian economy, and especially outside big cities, where
cash transactions are most common and financial infrastructure least
developed, the sudden invalidation of a vast amount of outstanding
currency represents a significant monetary shock. Not all of Indias
shadow economywhich provides real employment and income, if not
real tax revenuescan migrate quickly and easily above board.
Whatever cannot easily be shifted represents a potential loss of
economic activity, and a drag on broader Indian economic growth.
Similarly, if a cash crunch forces small firms without access to credit to
shut down, the eventual alleviation of the cash shortage might not lead
to an immediate and complete revival of economic activity.
Managing an economys money is among the most important tasks of
the government. Clumsy use of monetary instruments comes with high
risk. John Maynard Keynes, an economist, was echoing Lenin when he
wrote in 1919: There is no subtler, no surer means of overturning the
existing basis of society than to debauch the currency. Trust is fragile,
and precious.
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